Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Saturday 28 December 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 December 2019, Brighton 2 0 Bournemouth; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Liverpool 18 52 +32 11.34 99.34 4.45 98.05 5.37 64.40 97.76 99.93 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Leicester 20 42 +24 8.67 91.77 15.23 73.73 5.94 34.74 0.10 13.36 79.19 93.08 99.38 0.00 0.00 Man_City 19 38 +29 -5.92 13.14 -3.27 82.18 5.17 62.15 2.13 85.58 98.69 99.77 100.00 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 19 32 +6 -0.95 43.56 -4.30 63.76 6.15 14.51 0.00 0.62 10.03 40.57 81.16 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 20 31 +9 -3.21 30.61 -0.89 61.36 5.85 17.55 0.00 0.19 4.91 26.04 72.24 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 20 30 +7 -5.88 17.20 -5.96 61.91 5.95 18.16 0.00 0.29 5.99 29.64 75.16 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 19 30 +5 3.99 74.38 5.66 55.80 6.04 4.09 0.00 0.01 0.74 6.02 31.38 0.06R 0.00 Sheff_Utd 19 29 +6 4.61 77.27 8.52 51.04 5.96 -0.89 0.00 0.00 0.12 1.31 10.69 0.46R 0.01 Crystal_Palace 20 27 -4 1.98 62.94 -0.17 49.14 5.73 -8.36 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.50 5.21 0.99R 0.02 Everton 20 25 -7 -1.35 42.03 -4.68 48.17 5.79 -10.09 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.31 4.12 1.81R 0.07 Newcastle 20 25 -10 2.03 63.77 -2.79 46.19 5.70 -15.61 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.11 1.81 3.88R 0.21 Arsenal 19 24 -3 -5.66 18.49 -7.93 52.70 6.15 0.45 0.00 0.00 0.26 2.57 16.95 0.35R 0.00 Burnley 20 24 -9 2.34 65.72 0.61 43.57 5.63 -18.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.68 9.07R 0.56 Brighton 20 23 -4 1.55 61.35 5.93 42.71 5.65 -11.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.53 10.31R 0.79 Southampton 20 22 -14 1.26 59.37 -2.00 41.26 5.66 -23.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.25 18.36R 1.92 Bournemouth 20 20 -8 -2.76 33.34 0.37 40.90 5.75 -15.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.25 17.95R 1.85 West_Ham 19 19 -11 -3.26 30.51 -4.47 39.94 5.84 -21.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.17 24.31R 3.28 Aston_Villa 20 18 -11 -2.26 37.00 2.63 35.10 5.64 -24.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 56.71R 12.00 Watford 20 16 -18 -4.63 22.58 -6.08 34.10 5.54 -29.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 64.84R 17.41 Norwich 20 13 -19 -4.84 21.34 -0.86 28.51 5.42 -36.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 90.89R 61.86Championship (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 26 December 2019, Barnsley 1 1 West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 West_Brom 24 51 +22 7.10 83.79 4.71 91.56 6.66 38.50 67.14 90.17 99.73 93.21P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 24 48 +21 6.61 82.21 8.53 86.08 6.63 32.82 25.83 70.00 98.05 78.65P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 24 40 +18 -0.15 48.97 7.11 76.93 6.82 28.13 3.40 15.86 77.74 35.43P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 24 39 +13 2.61 64.26 7.60 72.98 6.81 18.54 0.95 5.74 56.58 18.07P 0.00R 0.00 Fulham 24 39 +10 1.04 55.39 2.27 73.02 6.95 15.70 1.07 6.17 55.74 18.83P 0.00R 0.00 Preston 24 39 +8 3.53 68.78 4.07 72.22 6.82 12.38 0.67 4.16 50.46 14.58P 0.00R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 23 37 +7 4.21 72.57 5.02 71.34 6.92 11.21 0.56 3.65 45.03 12.83P 0.02R 0.00 Swansea 24 37 +1 2.38 62.99 -1.43 69.33 6.80 4.39 0.18 1.74 32.28 8.51P 0.05R 0.00 Blackburn 24 36 +2 2.69 64.91 1.63 65.46 6.80 1.01 0.03 0.49 16.23 3.60P 0.29R 0.02 Bristol_City 24 35 +0 1.49 58.57 -0.52 66.48 6.81 2.00 0.07 0.72 19.98 4.85P 0.22R 0.01 Cardiff 24 34 +2 -1.57 41.72 -1.95 66.32 7.01 5.15 0.06 0.80 20.43 5.57P 0.25R 0.01 Millwall 24 34 -1 3.84 71.05 2.97 62.49 6.68 -3.36 0.02 0.12 7.61 1.43P 0.99R 0.06 Hull 24 33 +4 -1.41 42.74 2.02 63.81 6.87 4.70 0.03 0.30 12.26 2.94P 0.61R 0.04 QPR 24 32 -8 4.01 71.72 0.69 57.45 6.72 -16.31 0.00 0.01 1.77 0.25P 6.01R 0.72 Reading 23 29 +2 -0.14 49.78 5.57 57.12 6.77 -3.03 0.00 0.02 1.90 0.37P 5.47R 0.60 Birmingham 24 29 -10 0.65 54.53 -3.25 55.58 6.63 -15.47 0.00 0.00 0.82 0.12P 9.53R 1.31 Charlton 24 28 -1 -2.51 37.42 2.82 55.38 6.75 -5.28 0.00 0.01 1.04 0.23P 9.11R 1.31 Derby 24 27 -10 -5.86 20.86 -10.06 56.70 6.72 -10.62 0.00 0.01 1.32 0.32P 6.53R 0.84 Middlesbrough 24 27 -10 -5.67 21.30 -10.17 55.99 6.58 -11.25 0.00 0.01 0.86 0.17P 7.85R 1.11 Huddersfield 24 25 -10 -2.81 35.46 -2.60 50.51 6.65 -16.69 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.02P 27.85R 6.31 Stoke 24 21 -11 -8.87 10.19 -6.68 47.90 6.59 -15.90 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01P 41.41R 11.85 Luton 24 21 -19 -4.40 27.73 -5.76 44.82 6.71 -30.30 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 63.38R 27.46 Barnsley 24 20 -15 -7.41 15.47 -5.62 44.95 6.81 -23.99 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 60.83R 25.58 Wigan 24 20 -15 -7.37 14.30 -6.96 45.19 6.48 -22.35 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 59.58R 22.75League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 26 December 2019, Blackpool 0 1 Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Wycombe 22 43 +13 11.46 95.35 10.73 74.94 6.69 15.78 16.59 30.90 72.18 38.30P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 21 37 +13 2.07 61.73 4.07 75.39 6.94 23.38 20.84 36.03 74.99 47.13P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 21 36 +19 1.89 60.95 10.90 73.28 6.97 28.02 14.19 26.85 66.11 36.82P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 22 36 +15 -0.66 45.99 4.71 72.57 6.84 25.32 11.22 22.96 62.00 33.47P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 22 35 +12 -1.42 41.83 2.21 71.79 6.96 22.30 9.83 19.99 57.26 30.45P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 21 35 +3 4.87 77.04 0.79 65.26 6.94 1.07 1.36 3.63 20.39 6.79P 0.01R 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 20 34 +8 2.58 65.56 1.94 69.74 7.22 12.36 5.88 12.70 43.62 19.71P 0.00R 0.00 Portsmouth 21 34 +8 -1.09 43.44 -1.86 71.67 7.01 17.28 8.68 18.18 55.09 28.48P 0.00 0.00 Coventry 21 34 +3 4.25 74.47 1.41 65.13 6.87 2.82 1.22 3.29 19.78 6.72P 0.01R 0.00 Blackpool 22 33 +5 0.98 56.02 2.16 64.84 6.63 7.77 0.98 2.77 18.54 6.27P 0.02R 0.00 Shrewsbury 21 31 -2 2.89 67.64 -1.55 62.22 6.80 -2.15 0.36 1.22 9.96 2.96P 0.07R 0.00 Burton_Albion 21 30 +3 -1.22 42.87 -0.76 64.87 7.04 8.08 1.23 3.35 20.34 7.51P 0.03R 0.00 Gillingham 22 29 +3 -0.71 46.38 3.51 59.95 6.77 4.11 0.13 0.49 6.13 1.67P 0.23R 0.00 Doncaster 19 28 +9 -2.68 33.73 2.05 68.54 7.41 18.83 4.71 10.61 39.79 18.67P 0.01R 0.00 Sunderland 20 28 +4 -6.74 14.52 -7.28 67.04 7.20 13.18 2.72 6.84 30.96 14.35P 0.01R 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 22 26 +0 -1.59 41.20 4.05 55.34 6.75 -1.27 0.03 0.11 1.57 0.38P 0.98R 0.00 Lincoln_City 21 24 -3 -1.11 44.11 2.14 54.20 7.04 -4.61 0.02 0.07 1.17 0.30P 1.91R 0.01 AFC_Wimbledon 22 23 -6 -2.60 35.64 0.74 48.98 6.48 -12.15 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.02P 6.97R 0.08 Rochdale 22 22 -14 -1.55 41.75 -2.83 46.02 6.48 -24.30 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 16.65R 0.28 Tranmere 21 20 -13 -0.92 45.49 0.15 42.59 6.68 -27.38 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 34.17R 1.11 MK_Dons 22 18 -15 -5.98 18.51 -5.54 40.63 6.47 -26.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 46.30R 1.47 Southend 23 8 -38 -12.53 1.83 -18.11 26.66 5.98 -57.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.27R 59.62 Bolton 19 6 -27 0.28 53.57 -13.61 28.97 6.81 -44.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.36R 37.43 Adjustments: Bolton -12 Bury -12League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 26 December 2019, Carlisle 0 0 Bradford; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot1 Bot1 Swindon 23 46 +19 7.48 85.48 8.60 84.27 7.04 29.10 45.32 78.45 97.12 83.29P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 23 43 +7 7.23 85.11 0.80 78.09 6.92 12.34 12.04 43.16 85.21 53.10P 0.00 0.00 Crewe 22 38 +12 4.63 74.55 7.20 74.08 7.23 16.59 5.63 25.19 69.11 34.82P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 22 37 +12 1.44 58.20 4.10 74.92 7.15 19.37 6.94 29.53 73.91 41.42P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 22 37 +9 0.45 52.36 -0.22 75.79 7.29 17.61 8.53 33.33 76.55 45.94P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 23 37 +8 2.62 64.58 3.67 71.87 6.89 13.01 2.55 15.30 57.64 25.62P 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 22 36 +15 3.30 68.23 11.25 72.10 7.16 19.81 3.37 17.93 60.53 27.45P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 21 35 +9 0.53 52.77 0.43 77.80 7.53 21.49 14.20 44.79 83.75 56.43P 0.00 0.00 Northampton 23 35 +5 1.14 56.59 1.59 68.57 7.06 8.04 1.06 7.50 38.71 14.60P 0.00R 0.00 Port_Vale 23 31 -1 2.21 63.29 2.45 59.82 6.75 -4.49 0.04 0.40 5.93 1.41P 0.17R 0.17 Salford_City 23 29 -5 4.14 73.39 5.20 53.82 6.76 -15.00 0.00 0.04 0.99 0.23P 2.03R 2.03 Scunthorpe 23 28 +0 -7.86 14.27 -6.47 63.37 7.26 5.64 0.15 1.99 17.35 6.39P 0.08R 0.08 Cambridge_Utd 23 28 +0 0.00 50.73 4.68 57.52 6.79 -2.44 0.01 0.16 3.36 0.84P 0.57R 0.57 Newport_County 21 28 +0 0.19 51.94 0.93 61.81 7.24 -0.19 0.08 1.06 11.49 3.19P 0.18R 0.18 Walsall 23 27 -9 -4.24 27.91 -8.75 59.19 7.03 -7.64 0.03 0.38 5.36 1.64P 0.39R 0.39 Crawley_Town 23 26 -3 -2.09 38.91 2.06 54.35 6.83 -7.85 0.00 0.07 1.21 0.31P 1.58R 1.58 Oldham 22 26 -7 -4.12 27.59 -6.95 58.87 7.20 -6.99 0.02 0.42 5.53 1.52P 0.42R 0.42 Macclesfield 21 25 -3 1.69 61.57 4.50 51.60 6.94 -13.76 0.00 0.02 0.59 0.10P 4.19R 4.19 Leyton_Orient 23 25 -9 -0.24 49.71 0.92 50.39 6.85 -18.70 0.00 0.00 0.28 0.05P 6.15R 6.15 Mansfield 23 24 -3 -11.19 5.47 -8.47 58.15 6.99 0.85 0.01 0.25 4.63 1.48P 0.48R 0.48 Grimsby 21 22 -6 -2.63 35.20 -0.66 50.89 7.02 -13.26 0.00 0.02 0.48 0.11P 5.23R 5.23 Carlisle 23 22 -15 -6.16 18.53 -10.03 50.30 6.85 -19.64 0.00 0.01 0.24 0.05P 6.48R 6.48 Morecambe 23 18 -22 -4.56 24.96 -8.16 40.44 6.43 -35.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 54.35R 54.35 Stevenage 22 17 -13 -9.78 6.44 -8.64 45.87 6.88 -18.23 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 17.70R 17.70National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 December 2019, AFC_Fylde 1 2 Stockport; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Barrow 26 49 +19 7.30 82.17 10.09 79.52 6.53 23.58 29.54 83.27 41.87P 0.00 0.00 Yeovil 28 48 +16 -1.57 41.75 -1.06 79.80 6.11 26.96 31.11 86.52 48.81P 0.00 0.00 Bromley 28 47 +11 4.55 71.13 5.06 74.33 6.13 14.85 7.49 56.88 17.80P 0.00R 0.00 Harrogate_Town 28 46 +8 2.63 62.74 0.60 72.82 6.16 11.03 4.89 46.63 13.99P 0.01R 0.00 Stockport 28 44 +0 8.68 85.51 5.42 65.64 6.18 -5.03 0.42 10.58 1.91P 0.41R 0.01 Notts_County 27 42 +14 -5.81 23.12 -2.33 76.15 6.37 26.37 14.77 70.37 34.26P 0.00 0.00 Solihull_Moors 26 41 +11 -0.47 47.53 2.42 73.74 6.50 18.81 7.59 54.55 20.28P 0.01R 0.00 Boreham_Wood 27 41 +9 2.20 61.10 6.48 68.55 6.22 11.28 1.27 23.13 5.77P 0.08R 0.00 Woking 27 41 +1 6.89 80.17 5.64 64.91 6.34 -2.41 0.41 9.08 1.84P 0.69R 0.01 Halifax 27 41 -3 7.12 82.40 1.56 66.27 6.15 -3.99 0.42 11.72 2.17P 0.30R 0.00 Dover_Athletic 26 39 +1 2.00 60.49 -0.88 65.54 6.46 -0.44 0.59 11.45 2.62P 0.60R 0.02 Barnet 26 38 +6 -1.37 43.26 0.54 67.37 6.51 8.81 1.09 19.06 5.34P 0.21R 0.01 Eastleigh 26 37 -1 2.47 62.84 1.13 63.76 6.47 -2.24 0.23 7.01 1.42P 1.38R 0.04 Torquay 28 37 -4 3.03 64.91 4.43 58.36 6.19 -10.02 0.01 1.13 0.17P 7.69R 0.43 Hartlepool 27 36 +1 -0.48 48.38 2.20 61.74 6.28 0.25 0.10 4.01 0.75P 2.20R 0.10 Sutton_United 28 36 +0 -1.60 42.52 1.18 61.52 6.08 1.23 0.06 3.11 0.68P 2.02R 0.05 Maidenhead 28 34 -7 1.88 60.42 3.03 54.93 5.91 -13.09 0.00 0.19 0.02P 17.29R 1.23 Dag_&_Red 28 31 -7 -5.48 24.64 -4.07 53.48 5.93 -10.26 0.00 0.09 0.02P 23.30R 1.89 Aldershot 27 31 -9 0.17 51.84 -0.04 53.28 6.03 -14.40 0.00 0.10 0.03P 26.01R 2.56 AFC_Fylde 27 30 -10 -8.37 14.42 -11.80 57.89 6.34 -7.39 0.01 0.96 0.23P 8.90R 0.67 Wrexham 28 29 -7 -9.99 10.02 -8.02 54.02 5.97 -6.47 0.00 0.11 0.02P 19.36R 1.81 Chesterfield 28 27 -12 -10.06 10.20 -9.54 50.26 6.01 -14.50 0.00 0.02 0.01P 43.05R 6.76 Ebbsfleet_United 27 24 -13 -10.85 8.19 -9.21 48.90 6.28 -15.24 0.00 0.02 0.00P 51.94R 10.27 Chorley 28 24 -24 -0.94 46.51 -2.82 40.04 5.58 -37.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.55R 74.14