Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 28 December 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 December 2019, Brighton 2 0 Bournemouth; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        18   52  +32      11.34    99.34     4.45    98.05     5.37    64.40    97.76    99.93   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        20   42  +24       8.67    91.77    15.23    73.73     5.94    34.74     0.10    13.36    79.19    93.08    99.38     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         19   38  +29      -5.92    13.14    -3.27    82.18     5.17    62.15     2.13    85.58    98.69    99.77   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          19   32   +6      -0.95    43.56    -4.30    63.76     6.15    14.51     0.00     0.62    10.03    40.57    81.16     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          20   31   +9      -3.21    30.61    -0.89    61.36     5.85    17.55     0.00     0.19     4.91    26.04    72.24     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        20   30   +7      -5.88    17.20    -5.96    61.91     5.95    18.16     0.00     0.29     5.99    29.64    75.16     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    19   30   +5       3.99    74.38     5.66    55.80     6.04     4.09     0.00     0.01     0.74     6.02    31.38     0.06R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        19   29   +6       4.61    77.27     8.52    51.04     5.96    -0.89     0.00     0.00     0.12     1.31    10.69     0.46R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   20   27   -4       1.98    62.94    -0.17    49.14     5.73    -8.36     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.50     5.21     0.99R    0.02  
Everton          20   25   -7      -1.35    42.03    -4.68    48.17     5.79   -10.09     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.31     4.12     1.81R    0.07  
Newcastle        20   25  -10       2.03    63.77    -2.79    46.19     5.70   -15.61     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.11     1.81     3.88R    0.21  
Arsenal          19   24   -3      -5.66    18.49    -7.93    52.70     6.15     0.45     0.00     0.00     0.26     2.57    16.95     0.35R    0.00  
Burnley          20   24   -9       2.34    65.72     0.61    43.57     5.63   -18.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.68     9.07R    0.56  
Brighton         20   23   -4       1.55    61.35     5.93    42.71     5.65   -11.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.53    10.31R    0.79  
Southampton      20   22  -14       1.26    59.37    -2.00    41.26     5.66   -23.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.25    18.36R    1.92  
Bournemouth      20   20   -8      -2.76    33.34     0.37    40.90     5.75   -15.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.25    17.95R    1.85  
West_Ham         19   19  -11      -3.26    30.51    -4.47    39.94     5.84   -21.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.17    24.31R    3.28  
Aston_Villa      20   18  -11      -2.26    37.00     2.63    35.10     5.64   -24.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    56.71R   12.00  
Watford          20   16  -18      -4.63    22.58    -6.08    34.10     5.54   -29.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.84R   17.41  
Norwich          20   13  -19      -4.84    21.34    -0.86    28.51     5.42   -36.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.89R   61.86  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 26 December 2019, Barnsley 1 1 West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

West_Brom       24   51  +22       7.10    83.79     4.71    91.56     6.66    38.50    67.14    90.17    99.73    93.21P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    24   48  +21       6.61    82.21     8.53    86.08     6.63    32.82    25.83    70.00    98.05    78.65P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       24   40  +18      -0.15    48.97     7.11    76.93     6.82    28.13     3.40    15.86    77.74    35.43P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       24   39  +13       2.61    64.26     7.60    72.98     6.81    18.54     0.95     5.74    56.58    18.07P    0.00R    0.00  
Fulham          24   39  +10       1.04    55.39     2.27    73.02     6.95    15.70     1.07     6.17    55.74    18.83P    0.00R    0.00  
Preston         24   39   +8       3.53    68.78     4.07    72.22     6.82    12.38     0.67     4.16    50.46    14.58P    0.00R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   23   37   +7       4.21    72.57     5.02    71.34     6.92    11.21     0.56     3.65    45.03    12.83P    0.02R    0.00  
Swansea         24   37   +1       2.38    62.99    -1.43    69.33     6.80     4.39     0.18     1.74    32.28     8.51P    0.05R    0.00  
Blackburn       24   36   +2       2.69    64.91     1.63    65.46     6.80     1.01     0.03     0.49    16.23     3.60P    0.29R    0.02  
Bristol_City    24   35   +0       1.49    58.57    -0.52    66.48     6.81     2.00     0.07     0.72    19.98     4.85P    0.22R    0.01  
Cardiff         24   34   +2      -1.57    41.72    -1.95    66.32     7.01     5.15     0.06     0.80    20.43     5.57P    0.25R    0.01  
Millwall        24   34   -1       3.84    71.05     2.97    62.49     6.68    -3.36     0.02     0.12     7.61     1.43P    0.99R    0.06  
Hull            24   33   +4      -1.41    42.74     2.02    63.81     6.87     4.70     0.03     0.30    12.26     2.94P    0.61R    0.04  
QPR             24   32   -8       4.01    71.72     0.69    57.45     6.72   -16.31     0.00     0.01     1.77     0.25P    6.01R    0.72  
Reading         23   29   +2      -0.14    49.78     5.57    57.12     6.77    -3.03     0.00     0.02     1.90     0.37P    5.47R    0.60  
Birmingham      24   29  -10       0.65    54.53    -3.25    55.58     6.63   -15.47     0.00     0.00     0.82     0.12P    9.53R    1.31  
Charlton        24   28   -1      -2.51    37.42     2.82    55.38     6.75    -5.28     0.00     0.01     1.04     0.23P    9.11R    1.31  
Derby           24   27  -10      -5.86    20.86   -10.06    56.70     6.72   -10.62     0.00     0.01     1.32     0.32P    6.53R    0.84  
Middlesbrough   24   27  -10      -5.67    21.30   -10.17    55.99     6.58   -11.25     0.00     0.01     0.86     0.17P    7.85R    1.11  
Huddersfield    24   25  -10      -2.81    35.46    -2.60    50.51     6.65   -16.69     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P   27.85R    6.31  
Stoke           24   21  -11      -8.87    10.19    -6.68    47.90     6.59   -15.90     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   41.41R   11.85  
Luton           24   21  -19      -4.40    27.73    -5.76    44.82     6.71   -30.30     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   63.38R   27.46  
Barnsley        24   20  -15      -7.41    15.47    -5.62    44.95     6.81   -23.99     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    60.83R   25.58  
Wigan           24   20  -15      -7.37    14.30    -6.96    45.19     6.48   -22.35     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    59.58R   22.75  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 26 December 2019, Blackpool 0 1 Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Wycombe              22   43  +13      11.46    95.35    10.73    74.94     6.69    15.78    16.59    30.90    72.18    38.30P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich              21   37  +13       2.07    61.73     4.07    75.39     6.94    23.38    20.84    36.03    74.99    47.13P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           21   36  +19       1.89    60.95    10.90    73.28     6.97    28.02    14.19    26.85    66.11    36.82P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         22   36  +15      -0.66    45.99     4.71    72.57     6.84    25.32    11.22    22.96    62.00    33.47P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            22   35  +12      -1.42    41.83     2.21    71.79     6.96    22.30     9.83    19.99    57.26    30.45P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       21   35   +3       4.87    77.04     0.79    65.26     6.94     1.07     1.36     3.63    20.39     6.79P    0.01R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       20   34   +8       2.58    65.56     1.94    69.74     7.22    12.36     5.88    12.70    43.62    19.71P    0.00R    0.00  
Portsmouth           21   34   +8      -1.09    43.44    -1.86    71.67     7.01    17.28     8.68    18.18    55.09    28.48P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             21   34   +3       4.25    74.47     1.41    65.13     6.87     2.82     1.22     3.29    19.78     6.72P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackpool            22   33   +5       0.98    56.02     2.16    64.84     6.63     7.77     0.98     2.77    18.54     6.27P    0.02R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           21   31   -2       2.89    67.64    -1.55    62.22     6.80    -2.15     0.36     1.22     9.96     2.96P    0.07R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        21   30   +3      -1.22    42.87    -0.76    64.87     7.04     8.08     1.23     3.35    20.34     7.51P    0.03R    0.00  
Gillingham           22   29   +3      -0.71    46.38     3.51    59.95     6.77     4.11     0.13     0.49     6.13     1.67P    0.23R    0.00  
Doncaster            19   28   +9      -2.68    33.73     2.05    68.54     7.41    18.83     4.71    10.61    39.79    18.67P    0.01R    0.00  
Sunderland           20   28   +4      -6.74    14.52    -7.28    67.04     7.20    13.18     2.72     6.84    30.96    14.35P    0.01R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   22   26   +0      -1.59    41.20     4.05    55.34     6.75    -1.27     0.03     0.11     1.57     0.38P    0.98R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         21   24   -3      -1.11    44.11     2.14    54.20     7.04    -4.61     0.02     0.07     1.17     0.30P    1.91R    0.01  
AFC_Wimbledon        22   23   -6      -2.60    35.64     0.74    48.98     6.48   -12.15     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P    6.97R    0.08  
Rochdale             22   22  -14      -1.55    41.75    -2.83    46.02     6.48   -24.30     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   16.65R    0.28  
Tranmere             21   20  -13      -0.92    45.49     0.15    42.59     6.68   -27.38     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   34.17R    1.11  
MK_Dons              22   18  -15      -5.98    18.51    -5.54    40.63     6.47   -26.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.30R    1.47  
Southend             23    8  -38     -12.53     1.83   -18.11    26.66     5.98   -57.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.27R   59.62  
Bolton               19    6  -27       0.28    53.57   -13.61    28.97     6.81   -44.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.36R   37.43  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 26 December 2019, Carlisle 0 0 Bradford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot1     Bot1

Swindon          23   46  +19       7.48    85.48     8.60    84.27     7.04    29.10    45.32    78.45    97.12    83.29P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           23   43   +7       7.23    85.11     0.80    78.09     6.92    12.34    12.04    43.16    85.21    53.10P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            22   38  +12       4.63    74.55     7.20    74.08     7.23    16.59     5.63    25.19    69.11    34.82P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       22   37  +12       1.44    58.20     4.10    74.92     7.15    19.37     6.94    29.53    73.91    41.42P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         22   37   +9       0.45    52.36    -0.22    75.79     7.29    17.61     8.53    33.33    76.55    45.94P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     23   37   +8       2.62    64.58     3.67    71.87     6.89    13.01     2.55    15.30    57.64    25.62P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       22   36  +15       3.30    68.23    11.25    72.10     7.16    19.81     3.37    17.93    60.53    27.45P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         21   35   +9       0.53    52.77     0.43    77.80     7.53    21.49    14.20    44.79    83.75    56.43P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      23   35   +5       1.14    56.59     1.59    68.57     7.06     8.04     1.06     7.50    38.71    14.60P    0.00R    0.00  
Port_Vale        23   31   -1       2.21    63.29     2.45    59.82     6.75    -4.49     0.04     0.40     5.93     1.41P    0.17R    0.17  
Salford_City     23   29   -5       4.14    73.39     5.20    53.82     6.76   -15.00     0.00     0.04     0.99     0.23P    2.03R    2.03  
Scunthorpe       23   28   +0      -7.86    14.27    -6.47    63.37     7.26     5.64     0.15     1.99    17.35     6.39P    0.08R    0.08  
Cambridge_Utd    23   28   +0       0.00    50.73     4.68    57.52     6.79    -2.44     0.01     0.16     3.36     0.84P    0.57R    0.57  
Newport_County   21   28   +0       0.19    51.94     0.93    61.81     7.24    -0.19     0.08     1.06    11.49     3.19P    0.18R    0.18  
Walsall          23   27   -9      -4.24    27.91    -8.75    59.19     7.03    -7.64     0.03     0.38     5.36     1.64P    0.39R    0.39  
Crawley_Town     23   26   -3      -2.09    38.91     2.06    54.35     6.83    -7.85     0.00     0.07     1.21     0.31P    1.58R    1.58  
Oldham           22   26   -7      -4.12    27.59    -6.95    58.87     7.20    -6.99     0.02     0.42     5.53     1.52P    0.42R    0.42  
Macclesfield     21   25   -3       1.69    61.57     4.50    51.60     6.94   -13.76     0.00     0.02     0.59     0.10P    4.19R    4.19  
Leyton_Orient    23   25   -9      -0.24    49.71     0.92    50.39     6.85   -18.70     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.05P    6.15R    6.15  
Mansfield        23   24   -3     -11.19     5.47    -8.47    58.15     6.99     0.85     0.01     0.25     4.63     1.48P    0.48R    0.48  
Grimsby          21   22   -6      -2.63    35.20    -0.66    50.89     7.02   -13.26     0.00     0.02     0.48     0.11P    5.23R    5.23  
Carlisle         23   22  -15      -6.16    18.53   -10.03    50.30     6.85   -19.64     0.00     0.01     0.24     0.05P    6.48R    6.48  
Morecambe        23   18  -22      -4.56    24.96    -8.16    40.44     6.43   -35.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.35R   54.35  
Stevenage        22   17  -13      -9.78     6.44    -8.64    45.87     6.88   -18.23     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   17.70R   17.70  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 December 2019, AFC_Fylde 1 2 Stockport; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barrow             26   49  +19       7.30    82.17    10.09    79.52     6.53    23.58    29.54    83.27    41.87P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil             28   48  +16      -1.57    41.75    -1.06    79.80     6.11    26.96    31.11    86.52    48.81P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley            28   47  +11       4.55    71.13     5.06    74.33     6.13    14.85     7.49    56.88    17.80P    0.00R    0.00  
Harrogate_Town     28   46   +8       2.63    62.74     0.60    72.82     6.16    11.03     4.89    46.63    13.99P    0.01R    0.00  
Stockport          28   44   +0       8.68    85.51     5.42    65.64     6.18    -5.03     0.42    10.58     1.91P    0.41R    0.01  
Notts_County       27   42  +14      -5.81    23.12    -2.33    76.15     6.37    26.37    14.77    70.37    34.26P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     26   41  +11      -0.47    47.53     2.42    73.74     6.50    18.81     7.59    54.55    20.28P    0.01R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       27   41   +9       2.20    61.10     6.48    68.55     6.22    11.28     1.27    23.13     5.77P    0.08R    0.00  
Woking             27   41   +1       6.89    80.17     5.64    64.91     6.34    -2.41     0.41     9.08     1.84P    0.69R    0.01  
Halifax            27   41   -3       7.12    82.40     1.56    66.27     6.15    -3.99     0.42    11.72     2.17P    0.30R    0.00  
Dover_Athletic     26   39   +1       2.00    60.49    -0.88    65.54     6.46    -0.44     0.59    11.45     2.62P    0.60R    0.02  
Barnet             26   38   +6      -1.37    43.26     0.54    67.37     6.51     8.81     1.09    19.06     5.34P    0.21R    0.01  
Eastleigh          26   37   -1       2.47    62.84     1.13    63.76     6.47    -2.24     0.23     7.01     1.42P    1.38R    0.04  
Torquay            28   37   -4       3.03    64.91     4.43    58.36     6.19   -10.02     0.01     1.13     0.17P    7.69R    0.43  
Hartlepool         27   36   +1      -0.48    48.38     2.20    61.74     6.28     0.25     0.10     4.01     0.75P    2.20R    0.10  
Sutton_United      28   36   +0      -1.60    42.52     1.18    61.52     6.08     1.23     0.06     3.11     0.68P    2.02R    0.05  
Maidenhead         28   34   -7       1.88    60.42     3.03    54.93     5.91   -13.09     0.00     0.19     0.02P   17.29R    1.23  
Dag_&_Red          28   31   -7      -5.48    24.64    -4.07    53.48     5.93   -10.26     0.00     0.09     0.02P   23.30R    1.89  
Aldershot          27   31   -9       0.17    51.84    -0.04    53.28     6.03   -14.40     0.00     0.10     0.03P   26.01R    2.56  
AFC_Fylde          27   30  -10      -8.37    14.42   -11.80    57.89     6.34    -7.39     0.01     0.96     0.23P    8.90R    0.67  
Wrexham            28   29   -7      -9.99    10.02    -8.02    54.02     5.97    -6.47     0.00     0.11     0.02P   19.36R    1.81  
Chesterfield       28   27  -12     -10.06    10.20    -9.54    50.26     6.01   -14.50     0.00     0.02     0.01P   43.05R    6.76  
Ebbsfleet_United   27   24  -13     -10.85     8.19    -9.21    48.90     6.28   -15.24     0.00     0.02     0.00P   51.94R   10.27  
Chorley            28   24  -24      -0.94    46.51    -2.82    40.04     5.58   -37.69     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.55R   74.14