Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Friday 27 December 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Friday 27 December 2019, Wolverhampton 3 2 Man_City; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1
Liverpool 18 52 +32 11.45 99.44 4.59 98.02 5.38 64.35 97.66 99.93 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00
Leicester 19 39 +23 7.60 89.32 15.14 72.52 6.22 34.38 0.05 10.96 72.33 89.82 98.72 0.00 0.00
Man_City 19 38 +29 -5.99 12.85 -3.43 82.22 5.15 62.18 2.29 87.67 98.75 99.81 99.99 0.00 0.00
Chelsea 19 32 +6 -0.97 43.25 -4.36 63.82 6.18 14.60 0.00 0.76 12.07 40.87 81.34 0.00 0.00
Wolverhampton 19 30 +5 4.05 74.63 5.80 55.79 6.09 4.06 0.00 0.02 0.97 6.00 31.83 0.04R 0.00
Tottenham 19 29 +7 -4.88 21.02 -4.89 63.28 6.10 19.85 0.00 0.52 11.00 38.81 80.78 0.00R 0.00
Sheff_Utd 19 29 +6 4.59 76.85 8.51 50.96 6.00 -0.98 0.00 0.00 0.16 1.32 10.68 0.50R 0.01
Man_Utd 19 28 +7 -3.93 26.53 -1.54 59.90 6.10 15.77 0.00 0.14 4.23 19.32 62.65 0.01R 0.00
Crystal_Palace 19 26 -4 2.21 64.74 -0.32 49.75 5.98 -8.02 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.69 7.05 1.08R 0.02
Newcastle 19 25 -9 3.09 70.45 -2.34 47.77 5.95 -14.24 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.30 3.62 2.42R 0.07
Arsenal 19 24 -3 -5.68 18.15 -7.96 52.78 6.18 0.55 0.00 0.00 0.37 2.64 17.64 0.38R 0.01
Burnley 19 24 -7 2.97 69.87 1.47 44.68 5.85 -16.50 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.11 1.44 7.02R 0.31
Everton 19 22 -8 -2.62 34.00 -5.12 46.24 6.05 -11.51 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.20 2.59 4.40R 0.21
Southampton 19 21 -14 1.60 61.96 -1.91 41.47 5.90 -24.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.34 18.75R 1.54
Brighton 19 20 -6 0.38 53.99 4.73 40.61 5.85 -14.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.24 20.30R 1.73
Bournemouth 19 20 -6 -1.91 38.16 1.52 42.72 5.98 -12.52 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.06 0.69 12.27R 0.85
West_Ham 18 19 -10 -2.28 35.89 -4.10 40.87 6.07 -20.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.31 21.15R 2.16
Aston_Villa 19 18 -8 -1.94 38.21 3.71 37.32 5.96 -20.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 41.23R 5.55
Watford 19 13 -21 -5.54 16.62 -7.85 31.86 5.71 -33.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.97R 26.84
Norwich 19 12 -19 -4.85 20.45 -1.64 27.86 5.56 -38.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 92.48R 60.70
Championship (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 26 December 2019, Barnsley 1 1 West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1
West_Brom 24 51 +22 7.14 84.03 4.79 91.45 6.66 38.34 66.51 89.96 99.66 93.06P 0.00 0.00
Leeds_United 24 48 +21 6.59 81.75 8.51 86.08 6.65 32.89 26.30 69.95 97.96 78.54P 0.00 0.00
Brentford 24 40 +18 -0.15 48.95 7.11 76.98 6.81 28.21 3.46 16.13 78.09 35.30P 0.00R 0.00
Sheff_Wed 24 39 +13 2.58 64.09 7.63 72.92 6.80 18.47 1.03 5.77 56.33 18.26P 0.01R 0.00
Fulham 24 39 +10 1.04 55.57 2.30 73.08 6.97 15.75 1.10 6.17 56.39 19.26P 0.01R 0.00
Preston 24 39 +8 3.53 68.76 4.05 72.23 6.82 12.44 0.60 4.28 50.62 14.74P 0.01R 0.00
Nott'm_Forest 23 37 +7 4.31 73.16 5.18 71.23 6.93 11.05 0.55 3.46 44.64 12.53P 0.02R 0.00
Swansea 24 37 +1 2.48 63.33 -1.26 69.27 6.78 4.29 0.20 1.67 32.29 8.51P 0.05R 0.00
Blackburn 24 36 +2 2.82 65.59 1.87 65.34 6.78 0.81 0.03 0.49 15.66 3.43P 0.30R 0.01
Bristol_City 24 35 +0 1.40 57.89 -0.65 66.46 6.85 1.98 0.09 0.76 19.90 4.71P 0.25R 0.01
Cardiff 24 34 +2 -1.51 42.17 -1.89 66.40 6.93 5.23 0.09 0.81 20.63 5.64P 0.19R 0.01
Millwall 24 34 -1 3.83 71.28 2.92 62.50 6.65 -3.34 0.01 0.14 7.55 1.50P 0.94R 0.07
Hull 24 33 +4 -1.39 43.08 2.04 63.81 6.85 4.65 0.03 0.34 11.99 2.85P 0.61R 0.05
QPR 24 32 -8 4.05 71.75 0.72 57.49 6.69 -16.29 0.00 0.02 1.81 0.29P 5.84R 0.71
Reading 23 29 +2 -0.31 48.88 5.32 57.30 6.80 -2.80 0.00 0.03 2.15 0.43P 5.38R 0.63
Birmingham 24 29 -10 0.59 54.24 -3.36 55.59 6.62 -15.42 0.00 0.00 0.81 0.15P 9.56R 1.36
Charlton 24 28 -1 -2.46 37.44 2.88 55.37 6.71 -5.30 0.00 0.01 1.03 0.21P 9.08R 1.37
Derby 24 27 -10 -5.84 20.82 -10.04 56.62 6.71 -10.74 0.00 0.01 1.32 0.32P 6.93R 0.80
Middlesbrough 24 27 -10 -5.68 21.03 -10.14 55.89 6.57 -11.34 0.00 0.00 0.95 0.23P 7.90R 1.10
Huddersfield 24 25 -10 -2.93 34.78 -2.74 50.64 6.65 -16.53 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.02P 27.58R 6.19
Stoke 24 21 -11 -8.88 10.14 -6.67 47.89 6.64 -15.86 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 41.76R 12.37
Luton 24 21 -19 -4.44 27.38 -5.86 44.82 6.67 -30.28 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 63.51R 27.48
Barnsley 24 20 -15 -7.41 15.03 -5.67 45.02 6.75 -23.90 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01P 60.61R 25.01
Wigan 24 20 -15 -7.42 14.19 -7.06 45.21 6.49 -22.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 59.50R 22.82
League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 26 December 2019, Blackpool 0 1 Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1
Wycombe 22 43 +13 11.51 95.75 10.80 74.96 6.69 15.81 16.37 30.63 71.98 38.04P 0.00 0.00
Ipswich 21 37 +13 2.02 61.56 3.98 75.45 6.95 23.49 20.85 36.23 75.00 47.36P 0.00 0.00
Oxford_Utd 21 36 +19 1.87 60.64 10.91 73.27 7.01 28.05 14.16 26.57 65.85 36.50P 0.00 0.00
Peterborough 22 36 +15 -0.72 45.63 4.67 72.62 6.81 25.37 11.51 23.02 62.46 33.82P 0.00 0.00
Rotherham 22 35 +12 -1.38 41.83 2.30 71.80 7.02 22.31 9.74 19.94 57.35 30.43P 0.00 0.00
Bristol_Rovers 21 35 +3 4.80 76.64 0.65 65.46 6.93 1.30 1.45 3.88 21.02 7.06P 0.01R 0.00
Fleetwood_Town 20 34 +8 2.56 65.13 1.89 69.72 7.23 12.34 5.77 12.76 43.64 19.86P 0.00 0.00
Portsmouth 21 34 +8 -1.15 43.16 -1.96 71.72 7.05 17.36 8.80 18.58 55.39 28.90P 0.00 0.00
Coventry 21 34 +3 4.43 75.14 1.64 64.97 6.85 2.58 1.12 3.12 18.76 6.17P 0.01R 0.00
Blackpool 22 33 +5 1.14 56.67 2.39 64.69 6.64 7.55 0.94 2.70 17.93 6.09P 0.01R 0.00
Shrewsbury 21 31 -2 2.85 67.20 -1.59 62.25 6.81 -2.05 0.35 1.14 9.99 2.93P 0.08R 0.00
Burton_Albion 21 30 +3 -1.36 41.90 -0.99 65.03 7.01 8.25 1.27 3.49 20.78 7.63P 0.01R 0.00
Gillingham 22 29 +3 -0.77 45.94 3.42 59.96 6.78 4.15 0.14 0.51 6.16 1.64P 0.19R 0.00
Doncaster 19 28 +9 -2.71 33.66 2.02 68.62 7.37 18.96 4.71 10.50 39.85 18.52P 0.01R 0.00
Sunderland 20 28 +4 -6.77 14.24 -7.28 67.10 7.16 13.22 2.79 6.80 31.18 14.46P 0.02R 0.00
Accrington_Stanley 22 26 +0 -1.44 42.29 4.26 55.25 6.70 -1.48 0.01 0.07 1.43 0.31P 0.92R 0.00
Lincoln_City 21 24 -3 -1.09 44.19 2.11 54.16 6.97 -4.62 0.01 0.06 1.13 0.25P 1.83R 0.01
AFC_Wimbledon 22 23 -6 -2.75 34.69 0.49 49.06 6.48 -12.06 0.00 0.01 0.08 0.02P 6.57R 0.04
Rochdale 22 22 -14 -1.53 42.04 -2.83 46.02 6.46 -24.29 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 16.24R 0.25
Tranmere 21 20 -13 -0.72 46.66 0.52 42.33 6.68 -27.82 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 35.35R 1.16
MK_Dons 22 18 -15 -5.82 19.43 -5.35 40.51 6.45 -26.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 46.55R 1.61
Southend 23 8 -38 -12.69 1.71 -18.40 26.67 5.98 -57.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.22R 59.38
Bolton 19 6 -27 0.28 53.36 -13.64 29.02 6.84 -44.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 93.98R 37.54
Adjustments:
Bolton -12
Bury -12
League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 26 December 2019, Carlisle 0 0 Bradford; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot1 Bot1
Swindon 23 46 +19 7.63 86.03 8.83 84.11 7.01 28.84 43.79 77.54 97.12 82.43P 0.00 0.00
Exeter 23 43 +7 7.16 84.69 0.68 78.08 6.96 12.33 12.37 42.68 84.83 52.53P 0.00 0.00
Crewe 22 38 +12 4.58 74.35 7.12 74.13 7.26 16.70 5.96 25.60 69.34 35.24P 0.00 0.00
Colchester 22 37 +12 1.39 57.88 4.02 74.96 7.12 19.45 7.04 29.47 74.11 41.65P 0.00 0.00
Bradford 22 37 +9 0.45 52.20 -0.20 75.80 7.25 17.63 8.29 33.15 76.64 45.97P 0.00 0.00
Forest_Green 23 37 +8 2.51 64.01 3.52 72.02 6.88 13.20 2.68 15.75 58.58 26.20P 0.00 0.00
Cheltenham 22 36 +15 3.41 69.10 11.38 72.04 7.17 19.71 3.37 17.74 60.14 27.33P 0.00 0.00
Plymouth 21 35 +9 0.33 51.63 0.09 78.09 7.55 21.90 15.25 46.13 84.59 57.49P 0.00 0.00
Northampton 23 35 +5 1.18 56.67 1.66 68.60 7.01 8.07 0.89 7.26 38.66 14.40P 0.01R 0.01
Port_Vale 23 31 -1 2.33 63.91 2.63 59.68 6.71 -4.63 0.03 0.39 5.47 1.25P 0.17R 0.17
Salford_City 23 29 -5 4.08 72.77 5.13 53.80 6.77 -15.02 0.00 0.03 1.05 0.17P 2.04R 2.04
Scunthorpe 23 28 +0 -7.78 14.12 -6.36 63.28 7.21 5.51 0.18 1.87 16.57 6.14P 0.09R 0.09
Cambridge_Utd 23 28 +0 0.03 50.90 4.75 57.49 6.78 -2.51 0.01 0.16 3.36 0.72P 0.56R 0.56
Newport_County 21 28 +0 0.19 51.73 0.93 61.80 7.22 -0.19 0.09 1.12 11.20 3.23P 0.17R 0.17
Walsall 23 27 -9 -4.15 28.25 -8.66 59.13 7.05 -7.71 0.02 0.39 5.33 1.59P 0.39R 0.39
Crawley_Town 23 26 -3 -1.99 39.75 2.26 54.28 6.80 -8.00 0.00 0.03 1.19 0.24P 1.72R 1.72
Oldham 22 26 -7 -4.24 26.87 -7.17 59.00 7.18 -6.78 0.01 0.39 5.64 1.62P 0.37R 0.37
Macclesfield 21 25 -3 1.70 61.52 4.50 51.49 6.92 -13.90 0.00 0.03 0.56 0.10P 4.27R 4.27
Leyton_Orient 23 25 -9 -0.02 51.14 1.24 50.24 6.82 -18.98 0.00 0.01 0.29 0.06P 6.38R 6.38
Mansfield 23 24 -3 -11.18 5.48 -8.46 58.17 6.99 0.93 0.01 0.25 4.57 1.50P 0.44R 0.44
Grimsby 21 22 -6 -2.63 35.08 -0.66 50.83 7.03 -13.35 0.00 0.01 0.43 0.09P 5.54R 5.54
Carlisle 23 22 -15 -6.34 17.84 -10.26 50.45 6.86 -19.47 0.00 0.00 0.28 0.04P 6.07R 6.07
Morecambe 23 18 -22 -4.63 24.65 -8.29 40.53 6.49 -35.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 54.08R 54.08
Stevenage 22 17 -13 -9.80 6.43 -8.68 45.90 6.87 -18.18 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 17.70R 17.70
National League (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 26 December 2019, Barrow 1 1 AFC_Fylde; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1
Barrow 25 48 +19 7.83 84.85 10.26 80.06 6.76 23.87 28.76 84.97 41.85P 0.00 0.00
Yeovil 27 48 +17 -0.48 47.04 -0.40 81.88 6.35 28.98 41.29 91.91 57.72P 0.00 0.00
Bromley 27 44 +8 3.92 68.59 3.64 72.72 6.38 11.85 4.12 47.73 12.88P 0.00R 0.00
Harrogate_Town 27 43 +6 1.81 59.08 -0.16 71.39 6.34 9.35 2.89 39.18 10.88P 0.03R 0.00
Solihull_Moors 25 41 +12 0.62 53.24 2.91 75.23 6.65 20.06 10.10 64.29 24.77P 0.00R 0.00
Woking 26 41 +4 7.05 81.06 6.70 67.08 6.64 1.83 0.82 17.53 3.84P 0.40R 0.01
Stockport 27 41 -1 7.46 82.20 4.99 63.22 6.36 -7.29 0.18 6.32 1.08P 1.55R 0.05
Boreham_Wood 26 40 +9 2.71 63.93 6.68 69.18 6.44 11.62 1.54 27.60 6.94P 0.11R 0.00
Notts_County 26 39 +13 -7.03 18.19 -2.78 74.25 6.57 24.95 8.18 60.31 26.07P 0.01R 0.00
Halifax 26 38 -4 5.66 77.81 0.80 64.57 6.32 -5.11 0.21 8.54 1.56P 0.98R 0.04
Barnet 25 37 +6 -0.89 45.41 0.67 68.05 6.68 9.28 1.29 23.38 6.40P 0.23R 0.01
Dover_Athletic 25 36 +0 0.65 54.01 -1.40 63.65 6.66 -1.92 0.27 8.22 1.84P 1.75R 0.06
Eastleigh 25 36 -1 2.52 63.41 0.53 63.97 6.63 -2.48 0.25 8.54 1.71P 1.46R 0.07
Hartlepool 26 35 +1 -0.23 49.40 2.03 62.14 6.46 0.32 0.08 5.29 1.17P 2.45R 0.13
Torquay 27 34 -7 2.68 63.75 3.49 55.95 6.37 -14.34 0.01 0.64 0.10P 16.65R 1.78
Sutton_United 27 33 -1 -2.85 36.15 0.74 59.12 6.23 -0.84 0.01 1.62 0.29P 5.73R 0.40
Dag_&_Red 27 31 -4 -5.30 25.12 -2.93 55.21 6.20 -6.73 0.00 0.43 0.10P 16.89R 1.68
Maidenhead 27 31 -9 0.86 55.56 2.02 52.63 6.09 -16.17 0.00 0.11 0.02P 31.95R 4.58
AFC_Fylde 26 30 -9 -7.14 17.98 -11.02 59.98 6.56 -5.26 0.02 2.64 0.64P 5.86R 0.44
Aldershot 26 30 -9 0.44 53.38 -0.03 53.35 6.23 -14.90 0.00 0.16 0.01P 28.06R 3.68
Wrexham 27 29 -5 -9.04 12.11 -6.67 56.01 6.22 -3.56 0.00 0.46 0.12P 13.51R 1.46
Chesterfield 27 27 -11 -9.07 12.57 -9.09 51.64 6.26 -13.54 0.00 0.05 0.01P 36.57R 6.36
Ebbsfleet_United 26 24 -12 -9.74 10.11 -8.58 50.47 6.54 -13.96 0.00 0.07 0.02P 43.71R 9.36
Chorley 27 24 -22 -0.58 48.50 -2.39 41.25 5.82 -36.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 92.08R 69.91
