Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 26 December 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 26 December 2019, Aston_Villa 1 0 Norwich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        18   52  +32      11.48    99.40     4.74    98.01     5.37    64.20    94.97    99.93   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        19   39  +23       7.62    89.58    15.13    72.49     6.21    34.34     0.04     6.67    72.33    90.00    98.86     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         18   38  +30      -4.04    20.84    -1.47    84.72     5.29    64.95     4.99    92.64    99.41    99.93   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          19   32   +6      -1.02    42.88    -4.41    63.83     6.16    14.60     0.00     0.42    11.77    41.61    83.46     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        19   29   +7      -4.92    20.67    -4.97    63.36     6.10    19.99     0.00     0.28    11.09    40.28    83.10     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        19   29   +6       4.54    76.72     8.43    51.01     5.96    -0.91     0.00     0.00     0.17     1.35    11.95     0.45R    0.01  
Man_Utd          19   28   +7      -3.97    26.14    -1.60    59.93     6.09    15.78     0.00     0.06     4.33    19.78    65.75     0.01R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    18   27   +4       2.22    64.66     4.25    52.83     6.23     0.91     0.00     0.00     0.38     2.82    19.15     0.30R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   19   26   -4       2.27    65.13    -0.25    49.75     6.00    -7.95     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.82     7.97     1.07R    0.02  
Newcastle        19   25   -9       3.13    70.71    -2.29    47.81     5.92   -14.24     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.31     4.17     2.36R    0.07  
Arsenal          19   24   -3      -5.70    18.18    -7.99    52.76     6.15     0.53     0.00     0.00     0.37     2.75    19.09     0.33R    0.00  
Burnley          19   24   -7       2.93    69.58     1.46    44.66     5.86   -16.51     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09     1.66     7.08R    0.31  
Everton          19   22   -8      -2.74    33.45    -5.30    46.37     6.03   -11.28     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.17     2.86     4.11R    0.19  
Southampton      19   21  -14       1.68    62.30    -1.76    41.31     5.87   -24.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.41    19.30R    1.69  
Brighton         19   20   -6       0.32    53.57     4.60    40.74     5.83   -14.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.29    19.28R    1.64  
Bournemouth      19   20   -6      -1.84    38.91     1.57    42.70     5.96   -12.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.74    12.11R    0.87  
West_Ham         18   19  -10      -2.36    35.25    -4.21    40.83     6.03   -20.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.42    21.34R    2.09  
Aston_Villa      19   18   -8      -1.84    39.09     3.86    37.21     5.95   -20.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10    42.18R    5.71  
Watford          19   13  -21      -5.59    16.54    -8.06    31.99     5.75   -32.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.56R   26.09  
Norwich          19   12  -19      -4.94    20.10    -1.73    27.84     5.53   -38.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.54R   61.29  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 26 December 2019, Barnsley 1 1 West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

West_Brom       24   51  +22       7.11    84.00     4.76    91.52     6.63    38.45    67.00    90.18    99.72    93.21P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    24   48  +21       6.68    82.48     8.61    86.10     6.62    32.89    26.16    70.20    98.11    78.65P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       24   40  +18      -0.14    49.18     7.10    76.93     6.79    28.19     3.33    15.82    78.23    35.67P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       24   39  +13       2.53    63.65     7.54    72.95     6.82    18.51     0.91     5.81    56.33    18.17P    0.01R    0.00  
Fulham          24   39  +10       1.05    55.22     2.26    73.00     6.91    15.60     0.95     5.82    55.75    18.70P    0.01R    0.00  
Preston         24   39   +8       3.48    68.48     3.99    72.23     6.77    12.40     0.66     4.28    50.49    14.74P    0.01R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   23   37   +7       4.21    72.59     5.06    71.33     6.88    11.21     0.53     3.44    45.06    12.50P    0.01R    0.00  
Swansea         24   37   +1       2.50    63.74    -1.18    69.16     6.77     4.14     0.22     1.79    31.37     8.31P    0.06R    0.00  
Blackburn       24   36   +2       2.68    64.72     1.66    65.42     6.77     0.93     0.04     0.45    15.89     3.57P    0.34R    0.02  
Bristol_City    24   35   +0       1.56    59.04    -0.42    66.46     6.86     1.97     0.08     0.77    19.91     4.77P    0.19R    0.01  
Cardiff         24   34   +2      -1.71    40.73    -2.18    66.54     7.00     5.44     0.08     0.85    21.27     5.88P    0.24R    0.01  
Millwall        24   34   -1       3.87    71.39     3.03    62.44     6.66    -3.45     0.01     0.17     7.45     1.40P    0.86R    0.07  
Hull            24   33   +4      -1.33    43.09     2.11    63.78     6.90     4.61     0.04     0.34    12.19     2.88P    0.69R    0.06  
QPR             24   32   -8       4.00    71.57     0.62    57.51     6.68   -16.28     0.00     0.02     1.79     0.26P    5.73R    0.71  
Reading         23   29   +2      -0.25    49.11     5.41    57.24     6.81    -2.84     0.00     0.03     2.07     0.37P    5.30R    0.68  
Birmingham      24   29  -10       0.62    54.45    -3.27    55.54     6.64   -15.45     0.00     0.01     0.87     0.17P    9.52R    1.31  
Charlton        24   28   -1      -2.54    37.38     2.75    55.43     6.72    -5.22     0.00     0.00     1.17     0.24P    9.00R    1.29  
Derby           24   27  -10      -5.80    20.95   -10.02    56.63     6.69   -10.74     0.00     0.01     1.27     0.26P    6.74R    0.87  
Middlesbrough   24   27  -10      -5.72    21.17   -10.20    55.94     6.52   -11.30     0.00     0.00     0.83     0.20P    7.84R    0.99  
Huddersfield    24   25  -10      -2.92    34.76    -2.73    50.67     6.64   -16.47     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P   27.29R    5.80  
Stoke           24   21  -11      -8.80    10.23    -6.56    47.88     6.58   -15.90     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   41.51R   11.83  
Luton           24   21  -19      -4.51    27.08    -5.91    44.88     6.72   -30.20     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   63.07R   27.40  
Barnsley        24   20  -15      -7.35    15.28    -5.57    44.92     6.70   -24.05     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    61.36R   25.59  
Wigan           24   20  -15      -7.26    14.52    -6.86    45.14     6.45   -22.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.23R   23.35  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 26 December 2019, Blackpool 0 1 Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Wycombe              22   43  +13      11.41    95.42    10.69    75.04     6.71    15.90    16.55    31.16    72.08    38.69P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich              21   37  +13       1.88    60.67     3.79    75.56     7.04    23.64    21.51    36.63    75.45    47.87P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           21   36  +19       1.85    60.77    10.90    73.29     6.95    28.03    13.97    26.50    66.01    36.67P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         22   36  +15      -0.72    45.49     4.64    72.62     6.77    25.41    11.26    22.70    62.74    33.49P    0.00R    0.00  
Rotherham            22   35  +12      -1.19    43.17     2.53    71.59     7.02    21.99     9.19    19.04    56.00    29.18P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       21   35   +3       4.74    76.42     0.55    65.40     6.97     1.24     1.36     3.67    21.08     6.94P    0.02R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       20   34   +8       2.52    65.01     1.84    69.81     7.23    12.44     5.94    12.83    43.98    20.02P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           21   34   +8      -1.19    42.79    -2.06    71.82     7.08    17.53     8.85    18.87    56.27    29.35P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             21   34   +3       4.43    75.35     1.66    64.99     6.93     2.59     1.25     3.28    19.27     6.37P    0.02R    0.00  
Blackpool            22   33   +5       1.15    56.86     2.37    64.63     6.67     7.47     0.92     2.70    17.91     6.00P    0.03R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           21   31   -2       2.89    67.29    -1.54    62.26     6.81    -2.09     0.43     1.28    10.15     2.95P    0.07R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        21   30   +3      -1.23    42.90    -0.79    64.99     7.07     8.21     1.26     3.52    20.85     7.68P    0.03R    0.00  
Gillingham           22   29   +3      -0.67    46.68     3.48    59.91     6.71     4.09     0.14     0.47     5.81     1.61P    0.16R    0.00  
Doncaster            19   28   +9      -2.60    34.38     2.16    68.52     7.36    18.76     4.61    10.51    39.04    18.28P    0.00R    0.00  
Sunderland           20   28   +4      -6.72    14.39    -7.26    66.97     7.23    13.05     2.73     6.69    30.66    14.27P    0.01R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   22   26   +0      -1.41    42.61     4.34    55.16     6.75    -1.58     0.02     0.07     1.46     0.29P    0.99R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         21   24   -3      -1.17    43.76     2.04    54.25     7.00    -4.50     0.02     0.08     1.12     0.33P    1.79R    0.02  
AFC_Wimbledon        22   23   -6      -2.75    34.90     0.53    49.08     6.53   -12.01     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P    6.87R    0.07  
Rochdale             22   22  -14      -1.55    41.93    -2.83    46.10     6.44   -24.19     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    16.46R    0.30  
Tranmere             21   20  -13      -0.79    46.51     0.38    42.46     6.67   -27.63     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    35.06R    1.11  
MK_Dons              22   18  -15      -6.01    18.56    -5.56    40.69     6.43   -26.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.95R    1.60  
Southend             23    8  -38     -12.69     1.51   -18.34    26.72     6.01   -57.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.12R   58.41  
Bolton               19    6  -27       0.36    54.17   -13.51    28.83     6.81   -44.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.42R   38.49  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 26 December 2019, Carlisle 0 0 Bradford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot1     Bot1

Swindon          23   46  +19       7.63    85.90     8.84    84.12     7.03    28.86    43.98    77.63    97.09    82.60P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           23   43   +7       7.15    84.45     0.68    78.14     6.94    12.38    12.58    43.44    84.88    53.07P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            22   38  +12       4.53    74.28     7.04    74.17     7.25    16.81     5.73    25.59    69.69    35.25P    0.00R    0.00  
Colchester       22   37  +12       1.44    58.19     4.08    74.97     7.15    19.42     7.26    29.61    73.89    41.54P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         22   37   +9       0.49    52.53    -0.14    75.77     7.26    17.62     8.59    33.02    76.58    45.68P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     23   37   +8       2.54    64.40     3.59    71.91     6.87    13.06     2.57    15.27    57.93    25.86P    0.00R    0.00  
Cheltenham       22   36  +15       3.46    69.25    11.48    72.02     7.13    19.68     3.27    17.61    60.15    27.15P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         21   35   +9       0.47    52.32     0.33    77.86     7.53    21.59    14.50    45.19    83.97    56.65P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      23   35   +5       1.01    55.88     1.38    68.73     7.11     8.31     1.14     8.03    39.63    15.26P    0.00R    0.00  
Port_Vale        23   31   -1       2.32    63.86     2.62    59.73     6.73    -4.63     0.03     0.36     5.75     1.34P    0.17R    0.17  
Salford_City     23   29   -5       4.11    72.93     5.16    53.82     6.83   -15.04     0.00     0.05     1.07     0.20P    2.20R    2.20  
Scunthorpe       23   28   +0      -7.92    13.69    -6.54    63.31     7.16     5.62     0.18     1.86    16.48     6.15P    0.09R    0.09  
Cambridge_Utd    23   28   +0       0.06    51.16     4.78    57.48     6.80    -2.52     0.01     0.18     3.32     0.79P    0.49R    0.49  
Newport_County   21   28   +0       0.24    52.12     1.02    61.77     7.24    -0.26     0.09     1.10    11.23     3.19P    0.16R    0.16  
Walsall          23   27   -9      -4.25    27.92    -8.80    59.21     7.09    -7.64     0.03     0.37     5.71     1.72P    0.41R    0.41  
Crawley_Town     23   26   -3      -2.02    39.50     2.19    54.36     6.81    -7.86     0.00     0.05     1.31     0.28P    1.67R    1.67  
Oldham           22   26   -7      -4.12    27.32    -6.99    58.83     7.16    -7.03     0.03     0.36     5.33     1.52P    0.44R    0.44  
Macclesfield     21   25   -3       1.63    60.74     4.40    51.55     6.89   -13.78     0.00     0.01     0.54     0.07P    4.15R    4.15  
Leyton_Orient    23   25   -9      -0.16    50.48     1.00    50.41     6.87   -18.73     0.00     0.01     0.34     0.06P    6.19R    6.19  
Mansfield        23   24   -3     -11.11     5.53    -8.36    58.01     7.00     0.74     0.01     0.25     4.41     1.45P    0.53R    0.53  
Grimsby          21   22   -6      -2.67    34.85    -0.72    50.87     7.02   -13.31     0.00     0.02     0.45     0.09P    5.31R    5.31  
Carlisle         23   22  -15      -6.26    18.29   -10.18    50.42     6.84   -19.51     0.00     0.01     0.22     0.06P    6.28R    6.28  
Morecambe        23   18  -22      -4.56    24.90    -8.17    40.49     6.46   -35.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.33R   54.33  
Stevenage        22   17  -13      -9.78     6.42    -8.68    45.92     6.91   -18.18     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   17.58R   17.58  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 26 December 2019, Barrow 1 1 AFC_Fylde; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barrow             25   48  +19       7.63    84.55     9.99    80.22     6.76    24.07    29.04    85.47    42.08P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil             27   48  +17      -0.62    46.31    -0.71    81.89     6.30    29.00    40.61    92.00    57.39P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley            27   44   +8       4.11    69.84     3.88    72.60     6.36    11.65     3.85    46.78    12.28P    0.02R    0.00  
Harrogate_Town     27   43   +6       1.91    59.73    -0.01    71.31     6.37     9.21     2.73    38.51    10.46P    0.04R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors     25   41  +12       0.35    51.69     2.48    75.46     6.73    20.40    10.75    65.25    25.43P    0.00     0.00  
Woking             26   41   +4       7.06    81.42     6.73    67.04     6.60     1.78     0.78    17.10     3.66P    0.36R    0.01  
Stockport          27   41   -1       7.40    81.91     4.95    63.20     6.37    -7.32     0.14     6.41     1.05P    1.66R    0.05  
Boreham_Wood       26   40   +9       2.72    64.09     6.66    69.22     6.45    11.71     1.58    27.78     7.03P    0.12R    0.00  
Notts_County       26   39  +13      -7.26    17.40    -3.17    74.47     6.55    25.35     8.59    61.74    27.12P    0.01R    0.00  
Halifax            26   38   -4       5.65    77.83     0.82    64.69     6.38    -4.97     0.21     8.86     1.60P    1.08R    0.04  
Barnet             25   37   +6      -0.78    46.04     0.83    67.92     6.71     9.10     1.12    22.76     6.23P    0.31R    0.00  
Dover_Athletic     25   36   +0       0.82    54.80    -1.17    63.51     6.66    -2.15     0.22     7.72     1.56P    1.80R    0.07  
Eastleigh          25   36   -1       2.59    63.67     0.63    63.92     6.65    -2.57     0.24     8.34     1.70P    1.64R    0.07  
Hartlepool         26   35   +1      -0.18    49.77     2.07    62.07     6.51     0.20     0.10     5.29     1.09P    2.53R    0.15  
Torquay            27   34   -7       2.66    63.61     3.54    55.91     6.33   -14.41     0.00     0.56     0.11P   16.59R    1.65  
Sutton_United      27   33   -1      -3.01    35.06     0.48    59.27     6.24    -0.65     0.02     1.76     0.36P    5.60R    0.37  
Dag_&_Red          27   31   -4      -5.19    25.43    -2.76    55.15     6.21    -6.81     0.00     0.38     0.07P   17.18R    1.60  
Maidenhead         27   31   -9       0.95    56.10     2.12    52.59     6.05   -16.19     0.00     0.09     0.02P   31.52R    4.53  
AFC_Fylde          26   30   -9      -6.95    18.63   -10.73    59.79     6.58    -5.55     0.02     2.40     0.57P    6.32R    0.53  
Aldershot          26   30   -9       0.40    52.99    -0.09    53.40     6.25   -14.80     0.00     0.18     0.04P   27.69R    3.56  
Wrexham            27   29   -5      -9.02    12.17    -6.63    56.02     6.23    -3.56     0.00     0.50     0.13P   13.56R    1.39  
Chesterfield       27   27  -11      -9.14    12.31    -9.18    51.69     6.24   -13.49     0.00     0.09     0.02P   36.03R    6.10  
Ebbsfleet_United   26   24  -12      -9.73     9.97    -8.54    50.50     6.50   -13.87     0.00     0.04     0.01P   43.72R    9.25  
Chorley            27   24  -22      -0.48    48.88    -2.19    41.17     5.83   -36.14     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.23R   70.62