Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 25 December 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 22 December 2019, Tottenham 0 2 Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        17   49  +28      10.95    99.29     2.65    96.16     5.69    59.45    90.84    99.52    99.98   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        18   39  +27       7.65    90.55    16.85    74.28     6.31    39.04     0.37    10.16    74.22    92.45    99.41     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         18   38  +30      -4.11    20.39    -1.74    84.80     5.28    65.21     8.77    89.04    98.95    99.90   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          18   32   +8       0.31    51.56    -2.60    66.95     6.32    19.55     0.02     1.05    18.11    59.62    91.75     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        18   28   +6       5.07    79.83     8.66    51.89     6.23    -0.12     0.00     0.00     0.17     1.62    15.62     0.33R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    18   27   +4       2.33    65.06     4.39    52.74     6.21     0.84     0.00     0.00     0.24     2.13    18.95     0.25R    0.00  
Tottenham        18   26   +6      -5.78    16.44    -4.83    62.50     6.27    20.22     0.00     0.20     6.21    29.64    78.83     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          18   25   +4      -4.36    23.53    -2.77    58.08     6.30    12.37     0.00     0.02     1.70    10.57    52.58     0.02R    0.00  
Newcastle        18   25   -6       3.46    72.84    -0.96    49.11     6.12   -11.08     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.48     7.10     1.31R    0.04  
Burnley          18   24   -6       3.94    75.53     1.96    45.98     6.05   -15.64     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.14     2.70     4.24R    0.27  
Arsenal          18   23   -3      -5.20    19.44    -7.89    53.50     6.39     1.11     0.00     0.00     0.33     2.96    23.28     0.25R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   18   23   -5       1.16    58.67    -0.54    48.06     6.15    -9.06     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.31     5.18     2.10R    0.09  
Brighton         18   20   -5       1.10    58.83     4.58    41.18     5.97   -14.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.50    15.95R    1.63  
Bournemouth      18   19   -6      -1.67    39.63     1.34    42.72     6.19   -13.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.98    11.37R    1.10  
Everton          18   19   -9      -3.89    26.03    -5.55    44.74     6.25   -12.35     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.11     2.01     6.63R    0.52  
West_Ham         17   19   -9      -1.40    41.26    -3.81    42.27     6.27   -19.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.89    14.13R    1.44  
Southampton      18   18  -16      -0.07    50.90    -3.89    38.32     6.03   -28.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13    34.08R    5.50  
Aston_Villa      18   15   -9      -3.08    30.50     3.68    35.77     6.23   -21.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    47.81R   11.10  
Norwich          18   12  -18      -4.01    24.76    -1.33    29.16     5.83   -38.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.45R   50.07  
Watford          18   12  -21      -5.41    16.30    -8.18    31.88     5.87   -33.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    75.08R   28.23  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 23 December 2019, Blackburn 0 0 Wigan; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

West_Brom       23   50  +22       7.74    86.70     5.06    92.68     6.85    39.75    68.09    90.92    99.72    93.69P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    23   47  +21       7.23    84.89     8.91    87.00     6.84    33.70    26.10    71.82    98.00    79.74P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       23   39  +14       3.65    69.91     8.19    74.75     7.00    20.11     1.40     8.27    63.34    22.12P    0.00R    0.00  
Fulham          23   38  +10       1.64    58.80     2.63    73.86     7.17    16.38     1.13     6.94    57.62    20.42P    0.01R    0.00  
Preston         23   38   +8       3.67    69.74     3.73    71.94     7.03    11.41     0.54     3.80    46.06    13.41P    0.01R    0.00  
Brentford       23   37  +16      -1.06    43.72     6.23    75.46     6.97    26.33     1.81    10.30    68.42    28.32P    0.00R    0.00  
Swansea         23   37   +3       3.07    66.69    -0.44    70.58     6.96     6.22     0.29     2.41    37.30    10.39P    0.02R    0.00  
Blackburn       23   35   +2       3.25    68.15     1.98    66.39     7.00     1.74     0.07     0.63    18.20     4.13P    0.19R    0.01  
Bristol_City    23   35   +1       2.51    64.09    -0.15    68.02     7.05     3.30     0.13     1.26    24.74     6.15P    0.12R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   22   34   +5       3.05    67.37     3.72    68.84     7.11     7.87     0.21     1.59    29.78     7.62P    0.07R    0.00  
Hull            23   33   +6      -0.54    47.16     3.21    66.05     7.09     8.01     0.07     0.68    18.78     4.61P    0.24R    0.01  
Cardiff         23   33   +2      -1.14    43.98    -1.90    67.45     7.20     6.26     0.14     1.17    23.85     6.70P    0.17R    0.01  
Millwall        23   33   -1       3.97    72.20     2.65    62.30     6.86    -4.23     0.02     0.16     6.86     1.33P    1.03R    0.07  
QPR             23   32   -7       4.91    76.26     0.97    58.69     6.88   -15.59     0.00     0.01     2.44     0.39P    3.76R    0.36  
Birmingham      23   28  -10       0.73    55.05    -3.63    55.42     6.78   -16.25     0.00     0.01     0.80     0.12P    9.19R    1.29  
Reading         22   26   +1      -1.41    42.55     5.15    55.86     7.07    -3.50     0.00     0.01     1.40     0.26P    7.72R    1.11  
Derby           23   26  -10      -5.56    21.26   -10.16    57.09     6.85   -10.57     0.00     0.01     1.41     0.35P    5.75R    0.69  
Charlton        23   25   -2      -3.66    31.10     2.44    53.46     6.91    -6.61     0.00     0.00     0.51     0.09P   13.29R    2.34  
Huddersfield    23   25   -9      -2.03    39.40    -2.37    51.78     6.81   -15.86     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.06P   20.16R    3.99  
Middlesbrough   23   24  -11      -6.87    15.91   -10.50    54.53     6.72   -12.03     0.00     0.00     0.51     0.10P   10.40R    1.57  
Luton           23   20  -19      -4.10    28.47    -6.13    44.76     6.89   -30.83     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    60.45R   25.22  
Barnsley        23   19  -15      -7.12    15.37    -5.72    44.56     6.96   -25.38     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    60.15R   25.19  
Wigan           23   19  -15      -6.82    15.38    -6.72    45.38     6.67   -22.62     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   55.41R   20.01  
Stoke           23   18  -12     -10.11     6.43    -7.15    45.67     6.80   -17.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   51.86R   18.13  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 December 2019, Blackpool 0 1 Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Wycombe              21   43  +15      12.16    96.79    11.76    76.32     6.89    17.70    19.90    36.39    77.38    43.84P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         21   36  +18       0.06    50.23     6.58    75.35     7.00    30.64    18.86    35.00    75.33    46.45P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich              20   36  +13       2.65    65.66     4.33    76.61     7.18    24.67    23.69    40.51    78.92    51.57P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       20   35   +4       6.04    82.63     1.41    67.63     7.12     3.43     2.56     6.35    30.88    10.98P    0.01R    0.00  
Coventry             21   34   +3       4.33    74.80     1.54    64.89     6.89     2.39     0.97     2.83    18.55     5.96P    0.02R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           20   33  +18       0.77    54.57    10.67    72.37     7.14    28.10    10.39    21.22    60.57    31.34P    0.00R    0.00  
Blackpool            21   33   +6       2.28    63.52     3.07    66.91     6.85     9.77     1.80     4.93    28.00     9.90P    0.00R    0.00  
Rotherham            21   32  +11      -2.56    35.22     2.00    69.75     7.20    20.58     5.41    12.31    45.30    21.70P    0.00R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       19   31   +7       1.25    57.58     1.41    68.13     7.45    11.40     3.61     8.62    35.63    14.81P    0.01R    0.00  
Portsmouth           20   31   +6      -2.08    37.23    -2.91    69.95     7.22    15.15     5.31    12.30    45.14    21.22P    0.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           20   31   -1       4.08    74.44    -0.75    63.82     6.95    -0.82     0.67     1.97    14.79     4.61P    0.03R    0.00  
Gillingham           21   28   +3      -0.59    47.06     3.17    59.54     6.94     2.85     0.15     0.53     5.84     1.67P    0.27R    0.00  
Sunderland           19   27   +4      -5.78    17.70    -6.42    68.81     7.36    15.40     4.16     9.91    39.81    19.44P    0.01R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        20   27   +1      -1.92    38.56    -1.36    63.93     7.20     7.11     0.81     2.38    17.01     5.99P    0.07R    0.00  
Doncaster            18   25   +6      -3.70    27.70    -0.01    65.25     7.54    13.20     1.67     4.59    24.01     9.82P    0.04R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         20   24   -2      -0.41    48.22     2.23    55.49     7.23    -3.84     0.04     0.14     2.06     0.53P    1.47R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley   21   23   -1      -3.02    32.86     3.47    52.80     6.86    -3.77     0.00     0.03     0.63     0.15P    2.73R    0.02  
Rochdale             21   22  -13      -0.65    47.19    -2.66    47.52     6.68   -23.02     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   12.77R    0.20  
AFC_Wimbledon        21   20   -7      -4.24    25.64    -0.17    46.53     6.68   -14.44     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   14.44R    0.21  
Tranmere             20   20  -11      -0.30    49.46     0.76    43.51     6.87   -25.94     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    30.32R    0.82  
MK_Dons              21   17  -15      -5.69    19.09    -5.68    41.04     6.65   -26.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.01R    1.87  
Southend             22    7  -38     -12.34     1.48   -18.35    27.33     6.21   -56.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.41R   52.36  
Bolton               18    5  -27       0.17    52.66   -14.10    28.04     6.94   -47.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.37R   44.51  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 December 2019, Bradford 1 1 Salford_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot1     Bot1

Swindon          22   43  +15       7.40    85.70     6.92    82.09     7.21    24.21    33.45    66.21    93.28    72.85P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           22   40   +6       5.88    80.28     0.21    76.86     7.14    11.87    10.95    36.29    77.85    45.75P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            21   38  +14       5.46    78.89     8.39    76.57     7.49    20.35    12.15    37.89    77.08    46.72P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       21   36  +16       4.45    74.24    11.93    73.49     7.37    20.80     6.07    23.61    64.47    32.98P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         21   36   +9       0.89    55.09    -0.17    76.64     7.50    18.37    12.28    37.18    77.10    48.60P    0.00R    0.00  
Forest_Green     22   36   +8       2.97    67.04     3.71    72.52     7.08    13.40     3.87    17.52    57.65    27.26P    0.00R    0.00  
Northampton      22   35   +9       1.40    58.17     3.92    71.38     7.27    14.16     3.14    15.11    52.44    23.90P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       21   34  +10       0.53    53.29     3.18    73.22     7.38    17.25     5.49    22.47    62.06    33.23P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         20   32   +8      -0.91    44.29    -0.33    76.06     7.79    20.37    11.60    35.69    74.55    47.23P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        22   30   -1       2.57    65.47     2.39    59.52     6.94    -5.37     0.04     0.43     5.27     1.30P    0.26R    0.26  
Cambridge_Utd    22   28   +4      -0.03    50.37     6.62    59.32     6.95     2.16     0.05     0.45     5.28     1.35P    0.33R    0.33  
Scunthorpe       22   28   +2      -6.99    16.17    -5.21    65.81     7.39     9.27     0.61     4.35    25.06    10.23P    0.03R    0.03  
Newport_County   20   28   +1       1.09    57.02     1.33    63.03     7.43     0.61     0.23     1.92    13.70     4.34P    0.11R    0.11  
Salford_City     22   26   -7       3.08    68.73     4.06    50.94     6.96   -18.94     0.00     0.02     0.44     0.10P    5.86R    5.86  
Leyton_Orient    22   25   -7       0.53    54.30     1.90    51.76     7.07   -16.63     0.00     0.03     0.52     0.11P    4.72R    4.72  
Macclesfield     20   24   -3       2.00    63.78     4.43    51.91     7.09   -13.84     0.00     0.04     0.58     0.15P    4.37R    4.37  
Walsall          22   24  -11      -5.29    22.44    -9.97    56.30     7.27   -11.51     0.01     0.14     2.38     0.68P    1.33R    1.33  
Mansfield        22   23   -3     -10.59     6.16    -8.10    59.01     7.16     1.57     0.03     0.38     5.40     1.89P    0.44R    0.44  
Crawley_Town     22   23   -7      -2.52    35.99    -0.11    51.29     6.91   -13.97     0.00     0.01     0.40     0.10P    4.96R    4.96  
Oldham           21   23   -8      -5.38    21.02    -7.48    57.54     7.36    -7.56     0.01     0.23     3.69     1.05P    0.95R    0.95  
Grimsby          20   21   -6      -2.35    36.29    -0.72    51.30     7.16   -13.16     0.00     0.01     0.47     0.10P    5.27R    5.27  
Carlisle         22   21  -15      -6.04    18.62   -10.24    50.44     7.05   -20.10     0.00     0.01     0.26     0.06P    7.26R    7.26  
Morecambe        22   18  -21      -3.66    29.02    -7.95    41.78     6.69   -34.74     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    45.54R   45.54  
Stevenage        21   16  -13      -9.50     6.57    -8.72    46.07     7.13   -18.56     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P   18.55R   18.55  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 December 2019, AFC_Fylde 2 2 Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barrow             24   47  +19       8.24    86.64    10.32    80.89     6.99    24.57    34.18    86.31    46.29P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil             26   45  +13      -0.45    47.27    -1.61    80.32     6.56    24.98    30.50    86.45    48.60P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley            26   44  +11       4.57    72.06     5.46    74.85     6.60    16.02     8.72    59.80    19.71P    0.01R    0.00  
Woking             25   41   +6       7.76    84.00     7.70    69.33     6.88     5.19     2.08    27.34     6.71P    0.20R    0.02  
Solihull_Moors     24   40  +12       1.05    55.71     3.02    75.73     6.89    20.25    12.16    65.47    26.57P    0.01R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       26   40   +9       2.67    63.91     6.58    69.12     6.48    11.54     1.61    26.73     6.97P    0.12R    0.00  
Harrogate_Town     26   40   +3       1.43    57.39    -1.16    69.35     6.63     5.67     1.72    27.46     7.19P    0.11R    0.00  
Halifax            25   38   +0       5.92    78.95     3.07    66.72     6.61     0.07     0.58    15.28     3.20P    0.56R    0.02  
Stockport          26   38   -5       7.41    83.03     3.42    60.36     6.51   -13.15     0.05     2.74     0.47P    5.11R    0.30  
Barnet             25   37   +6      -0.86    45.93     0.69    68.16     6.73     9.44     1.31    23.49     6.59P    0.26R    0.01  
Notts_County       25   36  +10      -7.25    17.20    -3.60    72.82     6.79    22.24     6.30    50.56    21.32P    0.05R    0.00  
Eastleigh          25   36   -1       2.70    64.20     0.77    64.09     6.65    -2.28     0.24     8.34     1.80P    1.58R    0.10  
Hartlepool         25   35   +4       0.16    51.08     3.37    63.88     6.73     3.95     0.32     9.10     2.09P    1.42R    0.08  
Torquay            26   34   -3       2.30    61.99     4.12    57.30     6.58   -10.24     0.02     1.21     0.21P   11.99R    1.42  
Dover_Athletic     24   33   -3      -0.12    49.75    -3.16    61.35     6.86    -5.96     0.15     4.79     1.12P    4.32R    0.32  
Maidenhead         26   31   -6       1.01    56.51     2.93    53.83     6.31   -13.43     0.00     0.27     0.04P   24.98R    3.99  
Sutton_United      26   30   -3      -4.04    30.02    -0.66    56.86     6.47    -3.77     0.00     0.80     0.17P   11.93R    1.40  
Dag_&_Red          26   30   -4      -4.67    27.18    -2.58    55.64     6.41    -6.69     0.00     0.56     0.13P   16.04R    1.85  
Aldershot          26   30   -9       0.33    52.70    -0.25    53.30     6.25   -14.97     0.00     0.15     0.03P   28.09R    4.47  
AFC_Fylde          25   29   -9      -6.86    18.41   -11.19    59.91     6.81    -6.00     0.06     2.73     0.68P    6.55R    0.71  
Wrexham            26   26   -7      -9.78     9.65    -7.42    54.59     6.39    -5.20     0.00     0.28     0.09P   19.45R    3.22  
Chesterfield       26   26  -11      -8.68    12.82    -9.11    51.79     6.43   -13.78     0.00     0.09     0.02P   35.98R    7.35  
Chorley            26   24  -20      -0.16    50.88    -2.02    42.24     6.04   -34.32     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.80R   64.16  
Ebbsfleet_United   25   23  -12      -9.46    10.32    -8.71    50.73     6.72   -14.11     0.00     0.07     0.01P   42.42R   10.56