Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 24 December 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 22 December 2019, Tottenham 0 2 Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        17   49  +28      10.90    99.31     2.57    96.19     5.69    59.61    90.87    99.54    99.98   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        18   39  +27       7.77    91.03    17.02    74.14     6.29    38.80     0.38     9.71    74.24    92.48    99.39     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         18   38  +30      -4.09    20.16    -1.70    84.81     5.29    65.33     8.73    89.45    99.01    99.89   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          18   32   +8       0.43    52.08    -2.43    66.78     6.29    19.30     0.01     1.05    17.70    59.06    91.61     0.00R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        18   28   +6       5.07    79.84     8.63    51.92     6.23    -0.12     0.00     0.00     0.16     1.67    15.65     0.40R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    18   27   +4       2.19    64.47     4.26    52.86     6.23     1.03     0.00     0.00     0.24     2.23    18.91     0.23R    0.01  
Tottenham        18   26   +6      -5.81    16.14    -4.85    62.52     6.25    20.25     0.00     0.21     6.40    29.53    79.00     0.00R    0.00  
Man_Utd          18   25   +4      -4.43    23.03    -2.83    58.15     6.29    12.46     0.00     0.04     1.82    10.75    53.34     0.02R    0.00  
Newcastle        18   25   -6       3.49    73.17    -0.91    49.14     6.09   -11.13     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.52     6.86     1.30R    0.04  
Burnley          18   24   -6       3.83    75.28     1.77    46.02     6.02   -15.55     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.16     2.78     4.26R    0.23  
Arsenal          18   23   -3      -4.99    20.64    -7.59    53.27     6.46     0.73     0.00     0.01     0.35     3.09    22.35     0.34R    0.02  
Crystal_Palace   18   23   -5       1.14    58.54    -0.59    48.13     6.20    -8.97     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.42     5.41     2.10R    0.06  
Brighton         18   20   -5       1.11    58.92     4.55    41.28     5.96   -14.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.53    15.65R    1.52  
Bournemouth      18   19   -6      -1.62    39.99     1.43    42.73     6.24   -13.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.98    11.81R    1.10  
Everton          18   19   -9      -3.98    25.57    -5.68    44.85     6.28   -12.23     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.11     2.08     6.49R    0.50  
West_Ham         17   19   -9      -1.41    41.39    -3.87    42.28     6.26   -19.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.91    13.93R    1.34  
Southampton      18   18  -16      -0.11    50.72    -3.95    38.38     6.02   -28.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13    33.80R    5.18  
Aston_Villa      18   15   -9      -3.03    30.80     3.74    35.72     6.23   -21.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08    48.39R   11.48  
Norwich          18   12  -18      -4.00    24.76    -1.31    29.12     5.83   -38.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.47R   49.95  
Watford          18   12  -21      -5.43    16.48    -8.26    31.86     5.93   -33.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    74.81R   28.54  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 23 December 2019, Blackburn 0 0 Wigan; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

West_Brom       23   50  +22       7.74    86.69     5.12    92.64     6.89    39.71    67.46    90.91    99.70    93.69P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    23   47  +21       7.21    84.58     8.84    87.06     6.85    33.76    26.59    72.14    97.92    79.85P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       23   39  +14       3.62    69.87     8.18    74.69     6.99    20.12     1.37     8.12    63.06    21.53P    0.00R    0.00  
Fulham          23   38  +10       1.57    58.35     2.56    73.91     7.21    16.44     1.22     6.92    58.02    20.87P    0.01R    0.00  
Preston         23   38   +8       3.73    69.75     3.83    71.96     7.03    11.42     0.55     3.86    46.01    13.27P    0.02R    0.00  
Brentford       23   37  +16      -1.07    43.96     6.23    75.44     6.98    26.35     1.91    10.41    68.13    28.03P    0.00R    0.00  
Swansea         23   37   +3       3.04    66.63    -0.50    70.67     6.97     6.30     0.32     2.50    37.79    10.58P    0.02R    0.00  
Blackburn       23   35   +2       3.50    69.40     2.34    66.24     7.02     1.47     0.07     0.61    17.89     4.13P    0.23R    0.01  
Bristol_City    23   35   +1       2.59    64.66     0.02    67.95     7.05     3.18     0.09     1.04    24.58     6.00P    0.11R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   22   34   +5       3.07    67.45     3.72    68.92     7.16     7.97     0.24     1.67    29.83     7.81P    0.10R    0.01  
Hull            23   33   +6      -0.50    47.47     3.21    65.99     7.06     7.89     0.06     0.61    18.49     4.61P    0.26R    0.01  
Cardiff         23   33   +2      -1.03    44.48    -1.78    67.41     7.24     6.25     0.11     1.00    24.23     6.80P    0.18R    0.01  
Millwall        23   33   -1       3.90    71.68     2.56    62.39     6.84    -4.11     0.00     0.14     7.08     1.38P    0.94R    0.06  
QPR             23   32   -7       4.92    76.38     1.01    58.63     6.88   -15.70     0.00     0.04     2.41     0.37P    3.94R    0.41  
Birmingham      23   28  -10       0.90    55.86    -3.43    55.35     6.74   -16.39     0.00     0.00     0.77     0.13P    9.26R    1.33  
Reading         22   26   +1      -1.47    42.31     5.11    55.85     7.01    -3.54     0.00     0.01     1.36     0.32P    7.40R    1.10  
Derby           23   26  -10      -5.48    21.95   -10.04    57.06     6.89   -10.65     0.00     0.01     1.45     0.34P    5.82R    0.70  
Charlton        23   25   -2      -3.67    30.93     2.36    53.50     6.93    -6.61     0.00     0.01     0.50     0.10P   13.47R    2.42  
Huddersfield    23   25   -9      -1.96    39.80    -2.21    51.63     6.81   -16.04     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.05P   21.17R    4.27  
Middlesbrough   23   24  -11      -6.80    16.14   -10.43    54.44     6.80   -12.13     0.00     0.01     0.54     0.14P   10.95R    1.74  
Luton           23   20  -19      -4.13    28.24    -6.18    44.70     6.91   -30.90     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    61.07R   26.04  
Barnsley        23   19  -15      -7.34    14.60    -6.12    44.84     6.96   -24.91     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   59.01R   24.36  
Wigan           23   19  -15      -7.06    14.70    -7.05    45.51     6.70   -22.39     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   54.73R   19.82  
Stoke           23   18  -12     -10.26     6.20    -7.34    45.80     6.75   -17.48     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   51.32R   17.71  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 December 2019, Blackpool 0 1 Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Wycombe              21   43  +15      12.07    96.59    11.62    76.41     6.91    17.85    20.47    37.05    77.78    44.58P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         21   36  +18       0.05    49.96     6.58    75.33     7.03    30.61    18.91    34.88    75.20    46.14P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich              20   36  +13       2.71    65.84     4.38    76.61     7.15    24.71    23.63    40.64    78.84    51.47P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       20   35   +4       6.11    83.12     1.51    67.59     7.10     3.40     2.45     6.21    30.50    10.82P    0.01R    0.00  
Coventry             21   34   +3       4.39    75.34     1.68    64.78     6.91     2.27     0.97     2.73    17.98     5.58P    0.03R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           20   33  +18       0.87    55.40    10.84    72.22     7.18    27.93     9.99    20.97    59.73    30.82P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            21   33   +6       2.34    63.75     3.17    66.83     6.88     9.64     1.78     4.88    27.44     9.81P    0.01R    0.00  
Rotherham            21   32  +11      -2.67    34.65     1.80    69.94     7.17    20.89     5.61    12.74    46.64    22.60P    0.01R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       19   31   +7       1.18    57.59     1.32    68.18     7.43    11.51     3.59     8.56    35.80    15.03P    0.00R    0.00  
Portsmouth           20   31   +6      -1.96    38.05    -2.83    69.97     7.17    15.14     5.00    11.93    45.63    21.42P    0.01R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           20   31   -1       4.00    73.88    -0.87    63.94     6.96    -0.68     0.65     1.98    15.25     4.62P    0.03R    0.00  
Gillingham           21   28   +3      -0.66    46.37     3.06    59.64     6.88     3.05     0.14     0.47     5.85     1.50P    0.22R    0.00  
Sunderland           19   27   +4      -5.86    17.29    -6.53    68.85     7.37    15.47     4.25     9.94    39.80    19.47P    0.00R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        20   27   +1      -2.00    38.00    -1.48    63.99     7.16     7.18     0.83     2.37    17.00     5.79P    0.08R    0.00  
Doncaster            18   25   +6      -3.73    27.40    -0.07    65.25     7.54    13.18     1.70     4.47    23.79     9.68P    0.05R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         20   24   -2      -0.33    48.72     2.40    55.35     7.19    -4.07     0.03     0.14     1.94     0.51P    1.53R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley   21   23   -1      -3.06    32.78     3.42    52.96     6.88    -3.57     0.00     0.03     0.73     0.14P    2.58R    0.01  
Rochdale             21   22  -13      -0.57    47.80    -2.52    47.45     6.66   -23.22     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   12.60R    0.17  
AFC_Wimbledon        21   20   -7      -4.30    25.57    -0.27    46.56     6.66   -14.37     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   14.16R    0.20  
Tranmere             20   20  -11      -0.38    48.95     0.61    43.54     6.83   -25.87     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   29.74R    0.87  
MK_Dons              21   17  -15      -5.57    19.62    -5.50    40.93     6.74   -26.85     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    45.98R    1.87  
Southend             22    7  -38     -12.22     1.56   -18.20    27.24     6.20   -56.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.63R   52.09  
Bolton               18    5  -27       0.15    52.71   -14.11    27.95     6.97   -47.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.32R   44.79  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 December 2019, Bradford 1 1 Salford_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot1     Bot1

Swindon          22   43  +15       7.47    86.09     7.06    82.01     7.22    24.05    33.25    66.49    93.03    72.75P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           22   40   +6       5.91    80.30     0.26    76.73     7.18    11.70    10.60    35.77    77.16    45.53P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            21   38  +14       5.56    79.14     8.54    76.48     7.47    20.20    12.07    37.21    76.83    46.19P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       21   36  +16       4.21    73.36    11.62    73.75     7.34    21.18     6.28    25.02    65.78    34.11P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         21   36   +9       0.93    55.31    -0.11    76.65     7.52    18.40    12.50    37.53    76.75    48.93P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     22   36   +8       2.89    66.50     3.59    72.56     7.11    13.49     4.15    18.14    58.25    27.96P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      22   35   +9       1.31    57.55     3.80    71.45     7.27    14.23     3.32    15.16    52.67    24.14P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       21   34  +10       0.67    53.95     3.35    73.03     7.39    17.01     5.41    21.55    61.43    32.18P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         20   32   +8      -0.87    44.48    -0.25    75.90     7.82    20.15    11.46    35.08    74.14    46.28P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        22   30   -1       2.38    64.26     2.19    59.71     6.92    -5.12     0.05     0.46     5.40     1.28P    0.25R    0.25  
Cambridge_Utd    22   28   +4       0.03    50.81     6.69    59.31     7.01     2.12     0.04     0.47     5.61     1.49P    0.30R    0.30  
Scunthorpe       22   28   +2      -7.07    16.19    -5.30    65.86     7.40     9.35     0.64     4.48    25.26    10.82P    0.02R    0.02  
Newport_County   20   28   +1       1.16    57.68     1.40    62.90     7.39     0.45     0.18     1.68    13.45     4.14P    0.13R    0.13  
Salford_City     22   26   -7       3.16    69.16     4.11    50.96     6.93   -18.89     0.00     0.01     0.38     0.07P    5.83R    5.83  
Leyton_Orient    22   25   -7       0.50    54.07     1.87    51.82     7.09   -16.51     0.00     0.03     0.58     0.12P    4.79R    4.79  
Macclesfield     20   24   -3       2.11    64.33     4.59    51.89     7.10   -13.84     0.00     0.04     0.62     0.12P    4.37R    4.37  
Walsall          22   24  -11      -5.36    21.91   -10.08    56.36     7.24   -11.39     0.00     0.13     2.42     0.71P    1.27R    1.27  
Mansfield        22   23   -3     -10.55     5.96    -8.09    59.06     7.19     1.65     0.02     0.42     5.49     1.84P    0.49R    0.49  
Crawley_Town     22   23   -7      -2.56    35.96    -0.21    51.36     6.93   -13.93     0.00     0.01     0.37     0.07P    5.00R    5.00  
Oldham           21   23   -8      -5.42    20.82    -7.54    57.53     7.46    -7.54     0.02     0.31     3.55     1.08P    1.05R    1.05  
Grimsby          20   21   -6      -2.28    36.63    -0.64    51.23     7.18   -13.25     0.00     0.02     0.50     0.11P    5.54R    5.54  
Carlisle         22   21  -15      -5.95    19.14   -10.13    50.32     7.08   -20.25     0.00     0.02     0.25     0.05P    7.32R    7.32  
Morecambe        22   18  -21      -3.74    28.82    -8.03    41.84     6.72   -34.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.89R   44.89  
Stevenage        21   16  -13      -9.49     6.57    -8.70    46.02     7.15   -18.58     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   18.76R   18.76  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 December 2019, AFC_Fylde 2 2 Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barrow             24   47  +19       8.15    86.50    10.23    80.88     7.00    24.55    34.31    86.36    46.40P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil             26   45  +13      -0.41    47.22    -1.56    80.30     6.53    24.91    29.85    86.26    47.77P    0.00R    0.00  
Bromley            26   44  +11       4.51    71.79     5.34    74.93     6.62    16.17     8.84    60.54    19.79P    0.00R    0.00  
Woking             25   41   +6       7.68    83.67     7.55    69.38     6.89     5.27     2.05    27.41     6.71P    0.18R    0.01  
Solihull_Moors     24   40  +12       0.98    55.10     2.98    75.80     6.95    20.36    12.61    65.52    27.04P    0.01R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       26   40   +9       2.64    63.65     6.53    69.13     6.44    11.57     1.56    26.66     7.01P    0.11R    0.00  
Harrogate_Town     26   40   +3       1.35    57.03    -1.33    69.38     6.58     5.71     1.75    26.97     7.11P    0.13R    0.00  
Halifax            25   38   +0       5.93    79.07     3.07    66.83     6.61     0.23     0.59    15.45     3.23P    0.48R    0.03  
Stockport          26   38   -5       7.59    83.53     3.65    60.29     6.52   -13.23     0.04     2.91     0.52P    5.38R    0.34  
Barnet             25   37   +6      -0.83    46.04     0.79    68.04     6.71     9.27     1.28    22.74     6.40P    0.23R    0.01  
Notts_County       25   36  +10      -7.50    16.23    -3.97    72.97     6.79    22.51     6.35    51.55    21.95P    0.05R    0.00  
Eastleigh          25   36   -1       2.56    63.85     0.62    64.09     6.67    -2.26     0.27     8.43     1.81P    1.54R    0.08  
Hartlepool         25   35   +4       0.22    51.56     3.51    63.88     6.71     3.92     0.29     9.01     2.05P    1.52R    0.09  
Torquay            26   34   -3       2.34    62.25     4.23    57.33     6.59   -10.22     0.01     1.21     0.22P   11.80R    1.40  
Dover_Athletic     24   33   -3       0.08    51.01    -2.90    61.17     6.85    -6.20     0.13     4.32     0.94P    4.46R    0.30  
Maidenhead         26   31   -6       0.97    55.92     2.87    53.82     6.26   -13.48     0.00     0.24     0.04P   25.01R    3.92  
Sutton_United      26   30   -3      -3.94    30.26    -0.48    56.83     6.44    -3.86     0.01     0.80     0.17P   11.87R    1.40  
Dag_&_Red          26   30   -4      -4.62    27.45    -2.47    55.55     6.39    -6.81     0.00     0.51     0.11P   16.41R    1.88  
Aldershot          26   30   -9       0.42    53.36    -0.12    53.25     6.23   -15.08     0.00     0.13     0.02P   28.09R    4.47  
AFC_Fylde          25   29   -9      -6.85    18.35   -11.18    59.84     6.77    -6.09     0.05     2.60     0.65P    6.55R    0.75  
Wrexham            26   26   -7      -9.73     9.84    -7.32    54.58     6.36    -5.23     0.01     0.24     0.05P   19.81R    3.23  
Chesterfield       26   26  -11      -8.72    12.80    -9.16    51.82     6.43   -13.75     0.00     0.07     0.01P   35.61R    7.35  
Chorley            26   24  -20      -0.18    50.73    -2.05    42.31     6.06   -34.25     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.59R   64.30  
Ebbsfleet_United   25   23  -12      -9.54    10.28    -8.82    50.79     6.73   -14.02     0.00     0.07     0.01P   42.16R   10.42