Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 23 December 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 22 December 2019, Tottenham 0 2 Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        17   49  +28      11.00    99.28     2.75    96.09     5.71    59.35    90.70    99.47    99.98   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        18   39  +27       7.66    90.71    16.87    74.28     6.38    39.06     0.40    10.22    74.26    92.30    99.34     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         18   38  +30      -4.10    20.15    -1.76    84.78     5.28    65.28     8.88    88.93    98.97    99.89   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          18   32   +8       0.38    51.84    -2.50    66.88     6.35    19.46     0.02     1.13    17.84    59.23    91.60     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        18   28   +6       5.17    80.54     8.79    51.80     6.20    -0.24     0.00     0.00     0.15     1.54    15.02     0.40R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    18   27   +4       2.15    64.19     4.11    52.98     6.23     1.23     0.00     0.00     0.23     2.33    20.08     0.28R    0.01  
Tottenham        18   26   +6      -5.81    16.31    -4.84    62.55     6.28    20.28     0.00     0.21     6.47    29.94    78.82     0.00R    0.00  
Man_Utd          18   25   +4      -4.45    22.99    -2.87    58.20     6.26    12.54     0.00     0.03     1.72    10.64    53.27     0.02R    0.00  
Newcastle        18   25   -6       3.46    72.88    -0.99    49.12     6.10   -11.14     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.51     6.78     1.28R    0.04  
Burnley          18   24   -6       3.91    75.36     1.93    45.91     6.07   -15.72     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.16     2.82     4.36R    0.22  
Arsenal          18   23   -3      -5.04    20.18    -7.66    53.39     6.40     0.94     0.00     0.00     0.30     2.93    22.38     0.32R    0.02  
Crystal_Palace   18   23   -5       1.12    58.36    -0.58    48.06     6.15    -9.05     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.34     5.25     2.06R    0.10  
Brighton         18   20   -5       0.99    58.35     4.46    41.31     6.00   -14.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.47    15.65R    1.59  
Bournemouth      18   19   -6      -1.70    39.56     1.30    42.79     6.21   -13.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     1.02    11.38R    1.04  
Everton          18   19   -9      -3.87    26.27    -5.54    44.71     6.30   -12.46     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10     2.09     6.86R    0.62  
West_Ham         17   19   -9      -1.42    41.11    -3.88    42.21     6.22   -19.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.85    14.19R    1.51  
Southampton      18   18  -16      -0.06    50.82    -3.94    38.34     6.01   -28.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14    33.77R    5.22  
Aston_Villa      18   15   -9      -2.93    31.33     3.95    35.62     6.20   -21.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    49.25R   11.29  
Norwich          18   12  -18      -3.92    25.13    -1.21    29.10     5.80   -38.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.69R   50.44  
Watford          18   12  -21      -5.51    16.10    -8.39    32.03     5.94   -33.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.50R   27.89  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 23 December 2019, Blackburn 0 0 Wigan; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

West_Brom       23   50  +22       7.85    87.20     5.29    92.50     6.90    39.44    66.81    90.59    99.67    93.43P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    23   47  +21       7.16    84.87     8.82    87.20     6.80    33.91    27.29    72.72    98.17    80.45P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       23   39  +14       3.65    69.95     8.18    74.68     6.97    20.06     1.41     8.03    63.16    21.69P    0.00R    0.00  
Fulham          23   38  +10       1.62    58.54     2.60    73.82     7.15    16.28     1.15     6.79    57.56    20.50P    0.00R    0.00  
Preston         23   38   +8       3.62    69.48     3.70    71.95     7.00    11.41     0.60     3.95    46.28    13.51P    0.01R    0.00  
Brentford       23   37  +16      -0.98    44.36     6.34    75.42     6.99    26.28     1.76    10.21    68.26    28.12P    0.00R    0.00  
Swansea         23   37   +3       3.10    67.03    -0.38    70.52     7.00     6.11     0.34     2.44    36.91    10.06P    0.04R    0.00  
Blackburn       23   35   +2       3.43    68.90     2.18    66.30     7.01     1.65     0.08     0.62    18.10     4.13P    0.25R    0.01  
Bristol_City    23   35   +1       2.61    64.69     0.02    67.90     7.06     3.09     0.14     1.19    24.70     6.12P    0.12R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   22   34   +5       3.04    67.05     3.66    68.91     7.12     7.99     0.22     1.57    30.31     7.94P    0.07R    0.00  
Hull            23   33   +6      -0.47    47.87     3.28    65.95     7.08     7.88     0.06     0.63    18.47     4.59P    0.27R    0.02  
Cardiff         23   33   +2      -1.18    43.84    -1.95    67.52     7.23     6.39     0.12     1.08    24.09     6.80P    0.21R    0.01  
Millwall        23   33   -1       4.00    72.31     2.67    62.33     6.82    -4.18     0.01     0.12     6.96     1.30P    0.92R    0.06  
QPR             23   32   -7       4.79    75.93     0.80    58.78     6.86   -15.46     0.00     0.02     2.56     0.35P    3.68R    0.37  
Birmingham      23   28  -10       0.72    54.92    -3.68    55.47     6.80   -16.14     0.00     0.01     0.80     0.15P    9.17R    1.25  
Reading         22   26   +1      -1.40    42.54     5.17    55.88     6.97    -3.52     0.00     0.01     1.29     0.26P    7.46R    1.06  
Derby           23   26  -10      -5.38    22.27    -9.91    56.95     6.86   -10.75     0.00     0.01     1.39     0.33P    6.03R    0.76  
Charlton        23   25   -2      -3.67    30.69     2.39    53.45     6.94    -6.67     0.00     0.00     0.52     0.10P   13.62R    2.30  
Huddersfield    23   25   -9      -2.15    38.59    -2.50    51.82     6.85   -15.73     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.05P   20.49R    4.15  
Middlesbrough   23   24  -11      -6.81    16.00   -10.45    54.50     6.69   -12.03     0.00     0.01     0.48     0.10P   10.58R    1.60  
Luton           23   20  -19      -4.14    28.49    -6.16    44.75     6.86   -30.84     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   60.73R   25.53  
Barnsley        23   19  -15      -7.22    15.13    -5.91    44.59     6.90   -25.34     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   60.09R   25.47  
Wigan           23   19  -15      -6.85    15.45    -6.77    45.41     6.68   -22.55     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    55.50R   19.93  
Stoke           23   18  -12     -10.30     6.11    -7.41    45.92     6.77   -17.27     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    50.77R   17.48  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 December 2019, Blackpool 0 1 Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Wycombe              21   43  +15      12.11    96.81    11.71    76.35     6.94    17.78    20.39    36.76    77.36    44.46P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         21   36  +18       0.01    49.59     6.48    75.44     6.98    30.76    19.16    35.46    75.97    46.98P    0.00R    0.00  
Ipswich              20   36  +13       2.57    64.87     4.22    76.63     7.13    24.77    23.69    40.71    79.18    51.70P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       20   35   +4       6.16    83.02     1.57    67.51     7.08     3.28     2.36     6.14    30.15    10.64P    0.01R    0.00  
Coventry             21   34   +3       4.38    74.91     1.65    64.78     6.90     2.32     0.96     2.72    18.03     5.68P    0.03R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           20   33  +18       0.69    53.93    10.53    72.35     7.18    28.13    10.41    21.29    60.44    31.58P    0.00R    0.00  
Blackpool            21   33   +6       2.36    63.92     3.22    66.85     6.83     9.69     1.71     4.68    27.44     9.77P    0.01R    0.00  
Rotherham            21   32  +11      -2.62    34.77     1.92    69.75     7.21    20.62     5.39    12.49    45.59    21.95P    0.00R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       19   31   +7       1.47    59.08     1.75    67.95     7.41    11.10     3.34     8.05    34.72    13.94P    0.01R    0.00  
Portsmouth           20   31   +6      -1.94    38.06    -2.76    69.94     7.26    15.07     5.07    12.10    45.24    21.03P    0.01R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           20   31   -1       3.96    73.60    -0.91    63.95     7.02    -0.64     0.71     2.14    15.69     4.84P    0.05R    0.00  
Gillingham           21   28   +3      -0.67    46.52     3.10    59.64     6.91     3.04     0.14     0.53     5.82     1.59P    0.25R    0.00  
Sunderland           19   27   +4      -5.87    17.14    -6.56    68.83     7.33    15.50     4.00     9.82    40.09    19.44P    0.00R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        20   27   +1      -1.91    38.83    -1.37    63.94     7.21     7.12     0.83     2.42    17.11     5.94P    0.06R    0.00  
Doncaster            18   25   +6      -3.71    27.70    -0.05    65.28     7.58    13.23     1.77     4.45    24.13     9.71P    0.06R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         20   24   -2      -0.49    47.87     2.11    55.58     7.28    -3.72     0.06     0.19     2.14     0.56P    1.53R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley   21   23   -1      -3.11    32.21     3.32    52.93     6.90    -3.57     0.00     0.04     0.76     0.18P    2.59R    0.01  
Rochdale             21   22  -13      -0.56    47.59    -2.48    47.38     6.69   -23.36     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   13.17R    0.22  
AFC_Wimbledon        21   20   -7      -4.30    25.48    -0.29    46.65     6.61   -14.25     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   13.62R    0.22  
Tranmere             20   20  -11      -0.29    49.49     0.83    43.44     6.85   -26.04     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   30.60R    0.80  
MK_Dons              21   17  -15      -5.64    19.11    -5.67    41.06     6.65   -26.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   44.94R    1.72  
Southend             22    7  -38     -12.32     1.49   -18.35    27.37     6.22   -56.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.47R   51.46  
Bolton               18    5  -27       0.26    53.27   -13.97    27.85     6.92   -47.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.58R   45.56  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 December 2019, Bradford 1 1 Salford_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot1     Bot1

Swindon          22   43  +15       7.54    86.38     7.13    81.98     7.24    24.01    32.93    66.13    92.96    72.47P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           22   40   +6       5.93    80.36     0.28    76.72     7.12    11.71    10.66    35.54    77.20    45.33P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            21   38  +14       5.50    78.74     8.48    76.58     7.49    20.40    12.53    37.64    77.31    46.63P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       21   36  +16       4.41    74.48    11.85    73.57     7.37    20.95     6.25    24.16    64.76    33.29P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         21   36   +9       0.87    54.92    -0.17    76.65     7.52    18.37    12.06    37.49    76.99    48.81P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     22   36   +8       2.95    66.75     3.68    72.58     7.07    13.47     3.88    17.98    58.29    27.88P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      22   35   +9       1.40    58.12     3.89    71.43     7.24    14.19     3.39    15.30    52.36    24.00P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       21   34  +10       0.62    53.84     3.30    73.11     7.37    17.07     5.44    21.69    61.75    32.48P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         20   32   +8      -0.90    44.49    -0.27    76.05     7.77    20.35    11.74    35.93    74.80    47.36P    0.00R    0.00  
Port_Vale        22   30   -1       2.43    64.75     2.27    59.62     6.98    -5.25     0.05     0.54     5.43     1.37P    0.25R    0.25  
Cambridge_Utd    22   28   +4       0.11    51.36     6.85    59.13     7.00     1.89     0.03     0.39     5.14     1.26P    0.34R    0.34  
Scunthorpe       22   28   +2      -7.00    16.01    -5.22    65.80     7.38     9.24     0.69     4.43    24.95    10.58P    0.03R    0.03  
Newport_County   20   28   +1       1.08    57.30     1.30    63.05     7.45     0.66     0.26     1.89    13.96     4.44P    0.10R    0.10  
Salford_City     22   26   -7       2.96    68.21     3.83    51.09     6.94   -18.68     0.00     0.01     0.38     0.06P    5.46R    5.46  
Leyton_Orient    22   25   -7       0.49    53.96     1.80    51.81     7.04   -16.53     0.00     0.02     0.52     0.12P    4.74R    4.74  
Macclesfield     20   24   -3       2.10    64.11     4.55    51.87     7.10   -13.97     0.00     0.02     0.59     0.11P    4.53R    4.53  
Walsall          22   24  -11      -5.36    22.15   -10.05    56.44     7.23   -11.30     0.01     0.12     2.42     0.65P    1.23R    1.23  
Mansfield        22   23   -3     -10.71     5.90    -8.26    59.09     7.15     1.70     0.03     0.44     5.48     1.91P    0.43R    0.43  
Crawley_Town     22   23   -7      -2.61    35.64    -0.22    51.37     7.00   -13.84     0.00     0.01     0.41     0.08P    5.08R    5.08  
Oldham           21   23   -8      -5.45    20.66    -7.57    57.52     7.39    -7.57     0.01     0.25     3.50     0.98P    1.03R    1.03  
Grimsby          20   21   -6      -2.31    36.36    -0.70    51.21     7.18   -13.25     0.00     0.02     0.48     0.11P    5.54R    5.54  
Carlisle         22   21  -15      -5.91    19.15   -10.09    50.35     7.08   -20.21     0.00     0.01     0.27     0.07P    7.11R    7.11  
Morecambe        22   18  -21      -3.68    29.34    -8.01    41.81     6.64   -34.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.00R   45.00  
Stevenage        21   16  -13      -9.47     6.45    -8.64    45.98     7.16   -18.70     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   19.14R   19.14  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 December 2019, AFC_Fylde 2 2 Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barrow             24   47  +19       8.20    86.84    10.29    80.89     6.96    24.51    34.56    86.31    46.65P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil             26   45  +13      -0.43    47.48    -1.61    80.34     6.59    25.01    30.50    86.04    48.48P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley            26   44  +11       4.58    71.79     5.50    74.78     6.57    15.97     8.20    59.62    19.34P    0.00R    0.00  
Woking             25   41   +6       7.66    83.47     7.60    69.32     6.89     5.20     2.06    27.28     6.67P    0.24R    0.01  
Solihull_Moors     24   40  +12       0.98    55.07     2.94    75.80     6.92    20.31    12.35    66.06    26.67P    0.00R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       26   40   +9       2.79    64.26     6.76    69.06     6.48    11.45     1.51    26.29     6.85P    0.13R    0.00  
Harrogate_Town     26   40   +3       1.37    57.09    -1.29    69.38     6.59     5.70     1.78    27.17     7.23P    0.17R    0.01  
Halifax            25   38   +0       5.89    78.81     2.99    66.81     6.59     0.22     0.63    15.62     3.32P    0.52R    0.03  
Stockport          26   38   -5       7.41    83.02     3.34    60.33     6.50   -13.14     0.04     2.88     0.46P    5.31R    0.34  
Barnet             25   37   +6      -0.79    46.06     0.77    68.11     6.70     9.37     1.30    23.27     6.57P    0.22R    0.00  
Notts_County       25   36  +10      -7.38    16.70    -3.77    72.92     6.80    22.42     6.27    51.29    21.52P    0.06R    0.00  
Eastleigh          25   36   -1       2.63    64.10     0.69    64.02     6.59    -2.36     0.29     8.27     1.75P    1.41R    0.06  
Hartlepool         25   35   +4       0.25    51.68     3.51    63.89     6.70     3.94     0.27     9.22     2.13P    1.51R    0.10  
Torquay            26   34   -3       2.35    62.18     4.26    57.23     6.56   -10.36     0.02     1.14     0.20P   12.10R    1.39  
Dover_Athletic     24   33   -3       0.05    50.58    -2.92    61.21     6.87    -6.13     0.15     4.41     1.00P    4.44R    0.31  
Maidenhead         26   31   -6       0.93    55.78     2.79    53.89     6.29   -13.36     0.00     0.27     0.04P   24.69R    3.73  
Sutton_United      26   30   -3      -4.02    30.25    -0.58    56.95     6.43    -3.68     0.01     0.86     0.18P   11.29R    1.28  
Dag_&_Red          26   30   -4      -4.76    26.75    -2.68    55.70     6.40    -6.56     0.01     0.58     0.12P   15.91R    1.78  
Aldershot          26   30   -9       0.46    53.52    -0.06    53.20     6.24   -15.11     0.00     0.13     0.02P   28.48R    4.77  
AFC_Fylde          25   29   -9      -6.92    18.19   -11.26    59.96     6.80    -5.91     0.05     2.84     0.70P    6.40R    0.74  
Wrexham            26   26   -7      -9.76     9.92    -7.40    54.64     6.39    -5.15     0.00     0.30     0.07P   19.36R    3.17  
Chesterfield       26   26  -11      -8.73    12.90    -9.21    51.81     6.45   -13.76     0.00     0.09     0.01P   35.94R    7.33  
Chorley            26   24  -20      -0.11    51.19    -2.01    42.22     6.01   -34.32     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.87R   64.24  
Ebbsfleet_United   25   23  -12      -9.43    10.34    -8.64    50.63     6.73   -14.25     0.00     0.06     0.02P   42.94R   10.71