Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 22 December 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 22 December 2019, Tottenham 0 2 Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        17   49  +28      10.93    99.29     2.65    96.18     5.65    59.55    91.10    99.48    99.98   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        18   39  +27       7.67    90.56    16.89    74.23     6.31    39.00     0.39     9.79    74.24    92.36    99.29     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         18   38  +30      -4.09    20.38    -1.72    84.79     5.26    65.26     8.50    89.43    99.10    99.88   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          18   32   +8       0.34    51.71    -2.59    66.95     6.30    19.56     0.01     1.05    17.83    59.97    91.72     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        18   28   +6       5.12    80.21     8.69    51.84     6.21    -0.22     0.00     0.00     0.16     1.48    15.27     0.36R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    18   27   +4       2.27    65.12     4.27    52.84     6.17     0.96     0.00     0.00     0.20     1.96    19.36     0.26R    0.00  
Tottenham        18   26   +6      -5.73    16.50    -4.76    62.57     6.26    20.28     0.00     0.22     6.41    29.84    79.12     0.00R    0.00  
Man_Utd          18   25   +4      -4.39    23.57    -2.78    58.13     6.32    12.40     0.00     0.03     1.65    10.47    53.20     0.03R    0.00  
Newcastle        18   25   -6       3.39    72.63    -1.06    49.17     6.10   -11.03     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.51     6.87     1.27R    0.03  
Burnley          18   24   -6       3.86    75.06     1.85    46.01     6.06   -15.59     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.16     2.83     4.24R    0.22  
Arsenal          18   23   -3      -5.06    20.12    -7.65    53.29     6.40     0.78     0.00     0.00     0.32     2.88    22.35     0.29R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   18   23   -5       1.22    58.97    -0.46    48.04     6.16    -9.09     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.32     5.25     2.21R    0.08  
Brighton         18   20   -5       1.05    58.55     4.54    41.22     6.00   -14.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.54    15.94R    1.57  
Bournemouth      18   19   -6      -1.73    39.32     1.25    42.81     6.26   -13.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     1.04    11.55R    1.15  
Everton          18   19   -9      -3.94    25.67    -5.64    44.76     6.24   -12.30     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     2.07     6.62R    0.55  
West_Ham         17   19   -9      -1.37    41.54    -3.80    42.19     6.26   -19.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.88    14.19R    1.48  
Southampton      18   18  -16      -0.04    51.32    -3.85    38.31     5.96   -28.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12    33.87R    5.20  
Aston_Villa      18   15   -9      -3.06    30.74     3.71    35.79     6.20   -21.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    47.95R   11.00  
Norwich          18   12  -18      -4.01    24.67    -1.34    29.19     5.81   -38.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    86.33R   50.14  
Watford          18   12  -21      -5.39    16.66    -8.20    31.85     5.91   -33.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.90R   28.58  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 22 December 2019, Sheff_Wed 1 0 Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

West_Brom       23   50  +22       7.71    86.55     5.02    92.67     6.92    39.75    67.16    90.94    99.70    93.65P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    23   47  +21       7.10    84.43     8.69    87.24     6.83    34.04    27.08    72.81    98.11    80.59P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       23   39  +14       3.73    70.03     8.29    74.67     6.98    20.04     1.30     7.96    62.65    21.50P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          23   38  +10       1.73    59.55     2.80    73.68     7.14    16.10     1.13     6.52    56.34    19.50P    0.01R    0.00  
Preston         23   38   +8       3.67    69.88     3.74    71.94     6.99    11.38     0.52     3.55    45.59    12.91P    0.01R    0.00  
Brentford       23   37  +16      -1.06    43.76     6.20    75.52     6.97    26.46     1.79    10.13    68.26    28.39P    0.00R    0.00  
Swansea         23   37   +3       3.05    66.81    -0.46    70.56     6.98     6.16     0.31     2.34    36.59    10.21P    0.03R    0.00  
Bristol_City    23   35   +1       2.36    63.35    -0.35    68.17     7.06     3.49     0.12     1.18    25.43     6.41P    0.10R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   22   34   +5       2.97    66.88     3.63    68.92     7.13     8.01     0.21     1.60    29.57     7.94P    0.06R    0.01  
Blackburn       22   34   +2       4.06    72.82     2.63    67.22     7.23     2.44     0.12     0.93    21.82     4.98P    0.18R    0.01  
Hull            23   33   +6      -0.60    46.97     3.08    66.06     7.05     8.01     0.09     0.70    18.22     4.54P    0.24R    0.02  
Cardiff         23   33   +2      -1.05    44.28    -1.74    67.43     7.24     6.24     0.13     1.16    23.52     6.75P    0.14R    0.01  
Millwall        23   33   -1       4.02    72.32     2.72    62.26     6.89    -4.28     0.01     0.12     6.85     1.29P    0.94R    0.06  
QPR             23   32   -7       4.87    76.10     0.95    58.70     6.87   -15.61     0.00     0.02     2.35     0.36P    3.76R    0.43  
Birmingham      23   28  -10       0.75    55.32    -3.58    55.40     6.83   -16.27     0.00     0.00     0.84     0.14P    9.11R    1.26  
Reading         22   26   +1      -1.43    42.60     5.16    55.86     7.03    -3.56     0.00     0.01     1.34     0.26P    7.44R    1.10  
Derby           23   26  -10      -5.55    21.28   -10.16    57.18     6.87   -10.46     0.00     0.01     1.47     0.33P    5.65R    0.70  
Charlton        23   25   -2      -3.53    31.52     2.65    53.33     6.93    -6.88     0.00     0.01     0.56     0.10P   13.81R    2.57  
Huddersfield    23   25   -9      -2.02    39.48    -2.34    51.76     6.83   -15.87     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.04P   20.40R    3.97  
Middlesbrough   23   24  -11      -6.92    15.48   -10.59    54.52     6.75   -12.01     0.00     0.00     0.53     0.11P   10.36R    1.49  
Luton           23   20  -19      -4.04    28.86    -5.96    44.61     6.86   -31.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.56R   25.73  
Barnsley        23   19  -15      -7.30    14.81    -6.03    44.75     6.95   -25.07     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   58.92R   23.86  
Stoke           23   18  -12     -10.19     6.36    -7.27    45.80     6.75   -17.46     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    50.99R   17.56  
Wigan           22   18  -15      -6.78    15.03    -7.08    45.23     6.87   -23.52     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   56.26R   21.23  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 December 2019, Blackpool 0 1 Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Wycombe              21   43  +15      11.96    96.54    11.50    76.50     6.89    17.99    20.66    37.45    78.11    45.15P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         21   36  +18       0.03    49.85     6.54    75.37     7.00    30.61    18.98    35.12    75.28    46.21P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich              20   36  +13       2.68    65.75     4.33    76.66     7.18    24.80    23.84    40.71    78.99    51.69P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       20   35   +4       6.21    83.51     1.66    67.45     7.10     3.18     2.30     5.98    29.76    10.41P    0.01R    0.00  
Coventry             21   34   +3       4.38    75.11     1.64    64.86     6.88     2.38     0.99     2.71    18.39     5.71P    0.02R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           20   33  +18       0.78    54.63    10.71    72.31     7.17    28.03    10.17    21.14    60.10    31.36P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            21   33   +6       2.28    63.58     3.10    66.94     6.83     9.81     1.75     4.88    28.06     9.93P    0.00R    0.00  
Rotherham            21   32  +11      -2.80    34.18     1.67    69.93     7.19    20.92     5.52    12.82    46.89    22.55P    0.01R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       19   31   +7       1.36    58.45     1.58    68.02     7.44    11.19     3.41     8.18    34.99    14.29P    0.01R    0.00  
Portsmouth           20   31   +6      -1.95    38.19    -2.75    69.89     7.17    15.03     4.95    11.50    44.83    20.81P    0.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           20   31   -1       4.08    74.39    -0.78    63.78     6.99    -0.86     0.64     1.98    14.91     4.52P    0.06R    0.00  
Gillingham           21   28   +3      -0.67    46.55     3.06    59.57     6.91     2.94     0.15     0.47     5.64     1.54P    0.25R    0.00  
Sunderland           19   27   +4      -5.88    17.13    -6.59    68.94     7.34    15.61     4.10    10.05    40.38    19.67P    0.01R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        20   27   +1      -1.92    38.44    -1.36    63.97     7.19     7.16     0.82     2.41    16.91     5.94P    0.03R    0.00  
Doncaster            18   25   +6      -3.70    27.65    -0.03    65.23     7.58    13.22     1.67     4.45    23.90     9.49P    0.06R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         20   24   -2      -0.37    48.74     2.29    55.37     7.22    -4.00     0.04     0.13     1.95     0.52P    1.56R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley   21   23   -1      -3.01    33.05     3.49    52.91     6.94    -3.63     0.00     0.03     0.76     0.18P    2.71R    0.03  
Rochdale             21   22  -13      -0.66    47.27    -2.64    47.55     6.66   -23.11     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   12.36R    0.21  
AFC_Wimbledon        21   20   -7      -4.32    25.58    -0.35    46.62     6.66   -14.25     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   13.59R    0.23  
Tranmere             20   20  -11      -0.24    49.81     0.92    43.41     6.86   -26.11     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    30.49R    0.94  
MK_Dons              21   17  -15      -5.53    19.65    -5.44    40.84     6.64   -27.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.14R    2.01  
Southend             22    7  -38     -12.29     1.56   -18.33    27.32     6.22   -56.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.47R   52.19  
Bolton               18    5  -27       0.10    52.37   -14.20    28.06     6.97   -47.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.23R   44.39  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 December 2019, Bradford 1 1 Salford_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot1     Bot1

Swindon          22   43  +15       7.34    85.52     6.85    82.17     7.23    24.28    33.50    66.95    93.26    73.10P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           22   40   +6       5.87    80.23     0.23    76.79     7.17    11.77    10.65    35.47    77.20    45.19P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            21   38  +14       5.44    78.55     8.39    76.71     7.48    20.52    12.51    38.06    77.99    47.35P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       21   36  +16       4.26    73.35    11.64    73.68     7.41    21.08     6.33    24.48    65.13    33.91P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         21   36   +9       0.98    55.41     0.01    76.57     7.48    18.29    11.70    36.87    76.81    48.09P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     22   36   +8       2.95    66.71     3.67    72.58     7.09    13.50     3.85    17.73    58.30    27.48P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      22   35   +9       1.30    57.66     3.75    71.49     7.26    14.29     3.28    15.40    52.69    24.34P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       21   34  +10       0.67    54.04     3.38    73.00     7.40    17.00     5.33    21.27    60.80    31.68P    0.00R    0.00  
Plymouth         20   32   +8      -0.92    44.29    -0.32    76.08     7.81    20.37    11.89    35.96    74.65    47.48P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        22   30   -1       2.61    65.77     2.47    59.48     6.92    -5.46     0.04     0.40     5.13     1.27P    0.26R    0.26  
Cambridge_Utd    22   28   +4       0.01    50.87     6.70    59.24     6.98     2.04     0.04     0.40     5.41     1.39P    0.28R    0.28  
Scunthorpe       22   28   +2      -7.05    16.04    -5.27    65.88     7.41     9.35     0.58     4.35    25.14    10.41P    0.04R    0.04  
Newport_County   20   28   +1       1.10    57.27     1.35    63.03     7.37     0.58     0.25     1.81    13.65     4.35P    0.10R    0.10  
Salford_City     22   26   -7       3.00    68.12     3.88    51.01     6.94   -18.76     0.00     0.01     0.38     0.06P    5.66R    5.66  
Leyton_Orient    22   25   -7       0.60    54.53     2.00    51.66     7.04   -16.75     0.00     0.02     0.54     0.09P    4.83R    4.83  
Macclesfield     20   24   -3       2.09    64.47     4.57    51.88     7.10   -13.92     0.00     0.02     0.60     0.12P    4.35R    4.35  
Walsall          22   24  -11      -5.39    21.93   -10.10    56.46     7.21   -11.26     0.01     0.12     2.26     0.62P    1.28R    1.28  
Mansfield        22   23   -3     -10.63     6.00    -8.19    59.03     7.17     1.62     0.03     0.40     5.39     1.88P    0.40R    0.40  
Crawley_Town     22   23   -7      -2.52    36.18    -0.11    51.30     6.98   -13.97     0.00     0.02     0.39     0.09P    5.12R    5.12  
Oldham           21   23   -8      -5.37    20.93    -7.47    57.48     7.34    -7.64     0.02     0.24     3.48     0.93P    0.95R    0.95  
Grimsby          20   21   -6      -2.30    36.42    -0.65    51.22     7.21   -13.27     0.00     0.01     0.48     0.11P    5.61R    5.61  
Carlisle         22   21  -15      -5.85    19.34    -9.99    50.29     7.03   -20.31     0.00     0.01     0.24     0.05P    7.19R    7.19  
Morecambe        22   18  -21      -3.66    29.32    -7.98    41.79     6.66   -34.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.31R   45.31  
Stevenage        21   16  -13      -9.59     6.38    -8.79    46.02     7.10   -18.62     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   18.61R   18.61  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 December 2019, AFC_Fylde 2 2 Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barrow             24   47  +19       8.23    86.72    10.34    80.90     7.03    24.58    34.53    86.27    46.48P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil             26   45  +13      -0.45    47.34    -1.60    80.39     6.51    25.10    30.34    86.69    48.79P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley            26   44  +11       4.58    72.02     5.43    74.80     6.59    15.99     8.28    59.70    19.15P    0.00     0.00  
Woking             25   41   +6       7.60    83.49     7.46    69.45     6.92     5.39     2.17    27.61     6.62P    0.21R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors     24   40  +12       0.86    54.45     2.77    75.93     6.88    20.47    12.59    66.20    27.20P    0.01R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       26   40   +9       2.69    63.92     6.56    69.12     6.47    11.53     1.53    26.84     6.87P    0.11R    0.01  
Harrogate_Town     26   40   +3       1.52    57.70    -1.05    69.25     6.60     5.50     1.64    26.65     6.92P    0.14R    0.00  
Halifax            25   38   +0       5.96    79.02     3.07    66.78     6.63     0.16     0.64    15.48     3.42P    0.46R    0.02  
Stockport          26   38   -5       7.47    83.32     3.48    60.29     6.49   -13.24     0.04     2.81     0.50P    5.11R    0.33  
Barnet             25   37   +6      -0.83    45.69     0.75    68.06     6.68     9.31     1.25    22.57     6.26P    0.23R    0.00  
Notts_County       25   36  +10      -7.39    16.86    -3.76    72.91     6.82    22.44     6.20    51.12    21.49P    0.05R    0.00  
Eastleigh          25   36   -1       2.65    63.98     0.74    63.98     6.63    -2.42     0.26     8.14     1.70P    1.59R    0.09  
Hartlepool         25   35   +4       0.05    50.50     3.25    64.07     6.71     4.20     0.32     9.52     2.26P    1.41R    0.07  
Torquay            26   34   -3       2.34    62.14     4.25    57.13     6.55   -10.50     0.02     1.01     0.19P   12.48R    1.35  
Dover_Athletic     24   33   -3       0.04    50.69    -2.95    61.26     6.88    -6.11     0.15     4.50     0.93P    4.43R    0.34  
Maidenhead         26   31   -6       1.06    56.48     2.98    53.82     6.23   -13.46     0.00     0.20     0.02P   24.73R    3.72  
Sutton_United      26   30   -3      -3.95    30.65    -0.51    56.82     6.48    -3.85     0.00     0.85     0.20P   11.76R    1.36  
Dag_&_Red          26   30   -4      -4.73    26.93    -2.62    55.66     6.43    -6.60     0.01     0.53     0.12P   16.08R    1.94  
Aldershot          26   30   -9       0.37    52.98    -0.15    53.27     6.23   -15.03     0.00     0.13     0.02P   27.91R    4.52  
AFC_Fylde          25   29   -9      -6.78    18.62   -11.08    59.86     6.76    -6.08     0.05     2.67     0.72P    6.53R    0.72  
Wrexham            26   26   -7      -9.73     9.87    -7.37    54.63     6.44    -5.18     0.00     0.34     0.08P   19.61R    3.16  
Chesterfield       26   26  -11      -8.73    12.92    -9.18    51.78     6.48   -13.82     0.00     0.09     0.02P   35.99R    7.52  
Chorley            26   24  -20      -0.15    50.56    -2.08    42.25     6.02   -34.30     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.86R   64.33  
Ebbsfleet_United   25   23  -12      -9.46    10.39    -8.73    50.74     6.72   -14.11     0.00     0.07     0.02P   42.29R   10.50