Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 21 December 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 December 2019, Aston_Villa 1 3 Southampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        17   49  +28      11.01    99.33     2.73    96.12     5.70    59.51    90.96    99.52    99.99   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        18   39  +27       7.74    90.64    16.96    74.19     6.35    38.93     0.39     9.91    73.47    91.08    99.16     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         18   38  +30      -4.11    20.37    -1.84    84.78     5.29    65.35     8.64    89.29    99.08    99.88   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          17   29   +6      -0.90    43.18    -3.91    64.34     6.55    15.97     0.01     0.55    10.53    38.23    81.79     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        18   28   +6       5.15    80.32     8.75    51.84     6.18    -0.23     0.00     0.01     0.16     1.46    13.20     0.27R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    18   27   +4       2.13    64.12     4.17    52.95     6.20     1.12     0.00     0.00     0.24     1.95    17.11     0.15R    0.00  
Tottenham        17   26   +8      -4.73    20.00    -3.49    64.74     6.48    23.66     0.00     0.59    11.92    43.58    84.50     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          17   25   +6      -3.11    29.58    -1.04    60.95     6.50    16.70     0.00     0.12     4.17    19.96    67.31     0.00R    0.00  
Newcastle        18   25   -6       3.44    72.90    -1.00    49.16     6.13   -11.09     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.46     5.88     1.21R    0.03  
Burnley          18   24   -6       3.86    75.29     1.91    45.95     6.08   -15.71     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.13     2.30     3.90R    0.16  
Arsenal          18   23   -3      -5.12    20.06    -7.78    53.51     6.41     1.18     0.00     0.01     0.33     2.77    20.42     0.27R    0.02  
Crystal_Palace   18   23   -5       1.06    58.02    -0.70    48.22     6.22    -8.81     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.35     4.81     1.85R    0.06  
Brighton         18   20   -5       0.98    58.05     4.43    41.30     5.97   -14.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.35    14.24R    1.03  
Bournemouth      18   19   -6      -1.71    39.40     1.28    42.80     6.18   -13.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.85    10.25R    0.71  
Everton          18   19   -9      -3.86    26.12    -5.54    44.74     6.24   -12.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     1.59     5.84R    0.31  
West_Ham         17   19   -9      -1.38    41.39    -3.82    42.20     6.22   -19.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.57    12.90R    1.02  
Southampton      18   18  -16       0.01    51.30    -3.71    38.24     5.96   -29.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10    32.47R    3.80  
Aston_Villa      18   15   -9      -3.04    31.10     3.84    35.83     6.20   -21.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    45.55R    8.40  
Norwich          18   12  -18      -3.96    25.09    -1.21    29.03     5.83   -38.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.91R   41.85  
Watford          17    9  -23      -7.06     8.75   -10.02    28.99     6.04   -37.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.19R   42.61  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 December 2019, Cardiff 0 0 Preston; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

West_Brom       23   50  +22       7.75    86.74     5.07    92.59     6.85    39.63    67.63    91.22    99.66    93.96P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    23   47  +21       7.26    85.01     8.91    87.05     6.84    33.76    26.80    72.25    97.95    80.13P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          23   38  +10       1.65    58.92     2.63    73.81     7.16    16.29     1.08     6.73    57.24    19.90P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         23   38   +8       3.65    69.58     3.69    71.96     6.99    11.39     0.55     3.83    46.18    13.32P    0.02R    0.00  
Brentford       23   37  +16      -1.05    43.94     6.22    75.51     6.98    26.42     1.87    10.47    68.36    28.58P    0.00R    0.00  
Swansea         23   37   +3       3.00    66.38    -0.51    70.63     6.96     6.31     0.30     2.43    37.46    10.46P    0.04R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       22   36  +13       2.55    64.53     8.00    73.24     7.22    19.36     0.99     6.31    54.67    18.66P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_City    22   35   +2       3.43    69.25     0.25    69.20     7.26     3.96     0.24     1.91    30.62     7.84P    0.09R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   22   34   +5       3.07    67.54     3.76    68.85     7.10     7.87     0.19     1.76    29.47     7.75P    0.07R    0.00  
Blackburn       22   34   +2       3.98    72.35     2.53    67.23     7.25     2.43     0.14     1.04    22.03     5.21P    0.19R    0.01  
Hull            23   33   +6      -0.40    47.86     3.45    65.86     7.12     7.68     0.08     0.75    18.01     4.66P    0.32R    0.02  
Cardiff         23   33   +2      -1.18    43.74    -1.95    67.56     7.21     6.43     0.12     1.09    24.28     6.75P    0.17R    0.00  
Millwall        23   33   -1       4.09    72.73     2.82    62.26     6.86    -4.28     0.02     0.13     6.72     1.36P    0.99R    0.08  
QPR             23   32   -7       4.80    75.86     0.80    58.75     6.88   -15.49     0.00     0.03     2.41     0.41P    3.80R    0.47  
Birmingham      23   28  -10       0.89    55.95    -3.41    55.36     6.77   -16.37     0.00     0.00     0.79     0.12P    9.36R    1.32  
Reading         22   26   +1      -1.62    41.27     4.92    56.00     7.02    -3.34     0.00     0.02     1.33     0.26P    7.40R    1.02  
Derby           23   26  -10      -5.50    21.70   -10.08    57.01     6.92   -10.70     0.00     0.01     1.52     0.34P    6.09R    0.78  
Charlton        23   25   -2      -3.65    31.14     2.45    53.48     6.93    -6.66     0.00     0.01     0.53     0.11P   13.56R    2.32  
Huddersfield    23   25   -9      -2.06    39.41    -2.39    51.80     6.82   -15.79     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.05P   20.29R    4.03  
Middlesbrough   23   24  -11      -6.84    16.09   -10.46    54.55     6.72   -12.01     0.00     0.00     0.51     0.11P   10.38R    1.51  
Luton           23   20  -19      -4.23    27.80    -6.30    44.84     6.90   -30.73     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    60.13R   25.01  
Barnsley        23   19  -15      -7.30    14.81    -5.99    44.72     6.86   -25.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.18R   24.27  
Stoke           23   18  -12     -10.25     6.29    -7.38    45.82     6.77   -17.42     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   51.20R   17.45  
Wigan           22   18  -15      -6.77    15.37    -7.02    45.19     6.87   -23.63     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    56.72R   21.70  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 December 2019, Blackpool 0 1 Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Wycombe              21   43  +15      12.03    96.65    11.55    76.38     6.87    17.87    20.29    37.11    77.90    44.53P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         21   36  +18       0.06    50.05     6.58    75.39     7.02    30.67    19.18    35.62    75.59    46.78P    0.00R    0.00  
Ipswich              20   36  +13       2.58    64.90     4.17    76.69     7.24    24.84    24.32    41.15    79.13    52.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       20   35   +4       6.25    83.50     1.73    67.37     7.11     3.05     2.24     5.86    29.73    10.34P    0.01R    0.00  
Coventry             21   34   +3       4.36    75.17     1.62    64.84     6.82     2.35     0.92     2.67    18.22     5.77P    0.01R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           20   33  +18       0.88    55.21    10.87    72.18     7.15    27.86     9.99    20.49    59.76    30.69P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            21   33   +6       2.42    64.11     3.30    66.82     6.87     9.60     1.69     4.86    27.58     9.80P    0.01R    0.00  
Rotherham            21   32  +11      -2.58    35.08     1.97    69.73     7.19    20.61     5.28    12.31    45.55    21.78P    0.01R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       19   31   +7       1.30    58.20     1.47    68.04     7.42    11.28     3.48     8.38    35.22    14.52P    0.02R    0.00  
Portsmouth           20   31   +6      -2.03    37.61    -2.88    70.02     7.20    15.25     5.04    11.93    45.81    21.40P    0.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           20   31   -1       3.93    73.40    -0.97    63.88     6.97    -0.71     0.68     2.06    15.03     4.68P    0.04R    0.00  
Gillingham           21   28   +3      -0.75    45.90     2.98    59.71     6.89     3.14     0.13     0.52     5.99     1.69P    0.26R    0.00  
Sunderland           19   27   +4      -5.86    17.15    -6.56    68.85     7.36    15.45     4.22    10.07    40.17    19.57P    0.00R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        20   27   +1      -2.01    37.83    -1.49    63.97     7.17     7.17     0.80     2.40    17.12     6.02P    0.05R    0.00  
Doncaster            18   25   +6      -3.75    27.29    -0.09    65.31     7.54    13.31     1.69     4.41    24.25     9.78P    0.06R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         20   24   -2      -0.47    47.88     2.12    55.54     7.14    -3.77     0.05     0.13     2.06     0.48P    1.34R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley   21   23   -1      -3.17    32.22     3.26    53.05     6.84    -3.38     0.01     0.04     0.78     0.17P    2.37R    0.02  
Rochdale             21   22  -13      -0.57    47.33    -2.49    47.40     6.67   -23.34     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00P   12.88R    0.21  
AFC_Wimbledon        21   20   -7      -4.22    25.96    -0.14    46.50     6.64   -14.46     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   14.03R    0.23  
Tranmere             20   20  -11      -0.27    49.49     0.81    43.43     6.84   -26.04     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   30.26R    0.84  
MK_Dons              21   17  -15      -5.51    19.90    -5.42    40.87     6.71   -26.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.82R    1.91  
Southend             22    7  -38     -12.26     1.45   -18.24    27.34     6.21   -56.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.39R   52.36  
Bolton               18    5  -27       0.13    52.40   -14.16    28.11     6.93   -47.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.43R   44.43  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 December 2019, Bradford 1 1 Salford_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot1     Bot1

Swindon          22   43  +15       7.52    86.13     7.11    81.93     7.22    23.99    32.71    65.59    92.99    72.12P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           22   40   +6       5.99    80.50     0.38    76.64     7.14    11.60    10.45    35.18    76.63    45.00P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            21   38  +14       5.42    78.79     8.32    76.65     7.42    20.44    12.40    37.85    77.71    46.77P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       21   36  +16       4.32    74.08    11.75    73.65     7.37    21.05     6.39    24.41    65.10    33.55P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         21   36   +9       0.97    55.33    -0.03    76.59     7.58    18.31    12.16    37.38    76.68    48.50P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     22   36   +8       3.01    67.04     3.78    72.50     7.10    13.33     3.93    17.73    58.09    27.58P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      22   35   +9       1.36    58.01     3.83    71.47     7.26    14.25     3.36    15.57    52.77    24.56P    0.00R    0.00  
Colchester       21   34  +10       0.76    54.72     3.47    73.03     7.34    16.99     5.18    21.52    61.33    32.16P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         20   32   +8      -1.01    44.14    -0.46    76.20     7.85    20.55    12.40    36.72    75.25    48.05P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        22   30   -1       2.44    64.94     2.27    59.56     6.85    -5.27     0.03     0.40     5.17     1.29P    0.23R    0.23  
Cambridge_Utd    22   28   +4       0.03    50.78     6.74    59.23     7.02     2.02     0.06     0.49     5.44     1.49P    0.32R    0.32  
Scunthorpe       22   28   +2      -6.97    16.13    -5.20    65.75     7.38     9.20     0.60     4.22    24.56    10.15P    0.04R    0.04  
Newport_County   20   28   +1       0.95    56.24     1.18    63.18     7.44     0.81     0.26     2.01    14.24     4.68P    0.10R    0.10  
Salford_City     22   26   -7       3.04    68.72     3.95    51.01     6.92   -18.80     0.00     0.01     0.37     0.07P    5.58R    5.58  
Leyton_Orient    22   25   -7       0.48    53.89     1.86    51.70     7.08   -16.74     0.00     0.02     0.53     0.10P    4.88R    4.88  
Macclesfield     20   24   -3       2.07    64.16     4.55    51.91     7.13   -13.87     0.00     0.02     0.64     0.11P    4.35R    4.35  
Walsall          22   24  -11      -5.32    22.20    -9.97    56.39     7.22   -11.33     0.01     0.14     2.44     0.72P    1.22R    1.22  
Mansfield        22   23   -3     -10.64     5.92    -8.22    59.07     7.14     1.68     0.04     0.41     5.39     1.76P    0.44R    0.44  
Crawley_Town     22   23   -7      -2.56    35.94    -0.19    51.36     6.97   -13.87     0.00     0.02     0.42     0.11P    5.06R    5.06  
Oldham           21   23   -8      -5.46    20.82    -7.57    57.53     7.38    -7.58     0.02     0.27     3.47     1.03P    1.05R    1.05  
Grimsby          20   21   -6      -2.23    36.77    -0.56    51.13     7.20   -13.42     0.00     0.01     0.45     0.09P    5.73R    5.73  
Carlisle         22   21  -15      -5.94    18.94   -10.16    50.43     7.09   -20.12     0.00     0.01     0.29     0.07P    7.09R    7.09  
Morecambe        22   18  -21      -3.65    29.04    -7.99    41.75     6.67   -34.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   45.80R   45.80  
Stevenage        21   16  -13      -9.59     6.40    -8.81    46.15     7.12   -18.45     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   18.10R   18.10  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 December 2019, AFC_Fylde 2 2 Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barrow             24   47  +19       8.22    86.57    10.32    80.89     6.99    24.51    34.43    86.28    46.41P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil             26   45  +13      -0.41    47.45    -1.56    80.34     6.56    25.02    30.30    86.31    48.73P    0.00R    0.00  
Bromley            26   44  +11       4.61    72.04     5.48    74.78     6.62    15.94     8.27    59.62    19.29P    0.01R    0.00  
Woking             25   41   +6       7.84    84.22     7.86    69.17     6.86     4.98     1.91    26.52     6.27P    0.23R    0.01  
Solihull_Moors     24   40  +12       0.89    54.65     2.82    75.88     6.93    20.44    12.75    66.31    27.37P    0.01R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       26   40   +9       2.68    64.06     6.61    69.11     6.48    11.55     1.58    26.92     6.86P    0.15R    0.01  
Harrogate_Town     26   40   +3       1.44    57.56    -1.17    69.25     6.61     5.51     1.65    26.57     6.88P    0.17R    0.00  
Halifax            25   38   +0       5.94    79.30     3.06    66.77     6.62     0.18     0.69    15.46     3.26P    0.48R    0.02  
Stockport          26   38   -5       7.50    82.96     3.47    60.35     6.53   -13.16     0.06     2.91     0.47P    5.13R    0.33  
Barnet             25   37   +6      -0.77    45.90     0.79    68.08     6.71     9.35     1.33    23.08     6.48P    0.24R    0.01  
Notts_County       25   36  +10      -7.35    16.83    -3.74    72.87     6.82    22.34     6.15    51.09    21.55P    0.05R    0.00  
Eastleigh          25   36   -1       2.54    63.42     0.54    64.13     6.64    -2.23     0.28     8.52     1.76P    1.52R    0.08  
Hartlepool         25   35   +4       0.08    51.05     3.26    64.06     6.76     4.21     0.34     9.75     2.20P    1.46R    0.09  
Torquay            26   34   -3       2.48    62.91     4.50    57.17     6.56   -10.45     0.02     1.12     0.24P   12.36R    1.40  
Dover_Athletic     24   33   -3      -0.06    50.05    -3.11    61.32     6.91    -6.02     0.18     4.62     1.10P    4.49R    0.35  
Maidenhead         26   31   -6       0.98    56.26     2.87    53.91     6.36   -13.31     0.00     0.26     0.04P   24.94R    3.75  
Sutton_United      26   30   -3      -3.98    30.11    -0.54    56.90     6.42    -3.76     0.01     0.82     0.16P   11.58R    1.43  
Dag_&_Red          26   30   -4      -4.70    27.11    -2.55    55.63     6.42    -6.68     0.00     0.49     0.13P   16.16R    1.88  
Aldershot          26   30   -9       0.25    52.44    -0.35    53.36     6.20   -14.89     0.00     0.18     0.02P   27.52R    4.30  
AFC_Fylde          25   29   -9      -6.79    18.46   -11.08    59.79     6.77    -6.15     0.04     2.67     0.68P    6.71R    0.71  
Wrexham            26   26   -7      -9.76     9.70    -7.40    54.62     6.36    -5.18     0.00     0.31     0.06P   19.25R    3.22  
Chesterfield       26   26  -11      -8.73    12.90    -9.21    51.78     6.45   -13.80     0.00     0.11     0.02P   35.96R    7.64  
Chorley            26   24  -20      -0.23    50.46    -2.11    42.29     6.03   -34.24     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.67R   64.06  
Ebbsfleet_United   25   23  -12      -9.48    10.36    -8.76    50.67     6.72   -14.18     0.00     0.07     0.01P   42.91R   10.72