Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 20 December 2019 at 22:00:02 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 16 December 2019, Crystal_Palace 1 1 Brighton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        17   49  +28      10.94    99.28     2.49    96.13     5.67    59.63    92.19    99.48    99.98   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        17   39  +29       8.22    92.55    17.42    75.13     6.54    40.07     0.79    16.02    76.74    92.37    99.37     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         17   35  +28      -4.75    16.36    -2.03    83.70     5.54    64.05     7.01    83.00    98.14    99.73   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          17   29   +6      -0.88    43.35    -3.91    64.25     6.58    15.86     0.01     0.63     9.38    37.43    81.43     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        17   26   +8      -4.75    19.95    -3.55    64.82     6.48    23.85     0.01     0.72    11.18    43.62    85.39     0.00R    0.00  
Man_Utd          17   25   +6      -3.18    29.25    -1.12    61.02     6.42    16.82     0.00     0.14     3.86    19.82    68.27     0.01R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        17   25   +5       3.80    74.24     8.27    49.97     6.42    -1.68     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.81     9.06     1.04R    0.02  
Wolverhampton    17   24   +3       1.07    57.83     3.99    51.51     6.48     0.40     0.00     0.00     0.14     1.37    13.33     0.57R    0.02  
Crystal_Palace   17   23   -4       2.19    65.55     0.08    49.76     6.44    -7.59     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.65     8.04     1.31R    0.04  
Arsenal          17   22   -3      -4.67    21.06    -7.70    54.08     6.68     1.49     0.00     0.01     0.41     3.61    23.88     0.30R    0.01  
Newcastle        17   22   -7       2.02    64.67    -1.56    47.31     6.30   -12.42     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.28     3.93     2.70R    0.12  
Burnley          17   21   -7       2.30    66.73     1.17    43.69     6.27   -17.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     1.30     8.63R    0.61  
Brighton         17   20   -4       2.07    65.60     5.13    42.84     6.27   -13.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.87    10.25R    0.74  
Bournemouth      17   19   -5      -0.54    47.20     1.99    44.82     6.45   -11.09     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10     1.99     6.54R    0.46  
West_Ham         17   19   -9      -1.41    41.35    -3.85    42.26     6.27   -19.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.71    12.87R    1.17  
Everton          17   18   -9      -3.70    26.14    -5.71    45.06     6.51   -12.63     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.11     2.17     6.25R    0.41  
Aston_Villa      17   15   -7      -2.10    36.45     4.87    38.17     6.53   -17.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.23    32.11R    5.22  
Southampton      17   15  -18      -1.33    41.70    -5.25    35.83     6.15   -32.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    49.75R    9.59  
Norwich          17   12  -17      -3.00    30.08    -0.88    30.18     6.05   -37.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.59R   35.90  
Watford          17    9  -23      -6.98     8.83    -9.86    28.88     6.03   -38.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.07R   45.69  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 20 December 2019, Middlesbrough 2 1 Stoke; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

West_Brom       22   49  +22       8.35    89.33     5.40    93.58     7.06    40.56    65.52    91.99    99.76    94.40P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    22   47  +22       8.26    89.07     9.45    88.75     7.02    35.24    29.89    78.09    98.74    84.45P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         22   37   +8       3.98    71.64     3.65    71.92     7.25    10.77     0.48     3.37    45.76    12.79P    0.02R    0.00  
Brentford       22   36  +16      -0.84    44.90     5.96    75.19     7.23    25.42     1.70     8.83    66.18    26.55P    0.00R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       22   36  +13       2.40    63.72     7.76    73.39     7.23    19.53     0.83     5.32    55.62    18.56P    0.01R    0.00  
Fulham          22   35   +9       0.36    52.34     2.22    71.83     7.38    14.73     0.55     3.88    46.82    15.32P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_City    22   35   +2       3.40    68.97     0.19    69.23     7.27     4.01     0.20     1.54    31.16     7.81P    0.08R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   21   34   +6       4.15    73.36     4.31    70.76     7.33     9.71     0.31     2.43    39.45    10.83P    0.04R    0.00  
Blackburn       22   34   +2       3.97    71.74     2.47    67.33     7.26     2.55     0.11     0.90    22.63     5.20P    0.15R    0.00  
Swansea         22   34   +2       1.76    60.02    -0.96    69.03     7.19     5.27     0.15     1.44    29.97     8.21P    0.05R    0.00  
Millwall        22   33   +0       5.34    78.72     3.60    64.51     7.08    -1.98     0.03     0.30    12.23     2.42P    0.45R    0.02  
Cardiff         22   32   +2      -0.71    46.11    -1.80    68.29     7.50     6.97     0.19     1.45    28.42     8.27P    0.15R    0.01  
QPR             22   31   -7       5.31    78.47     0.93    59.30     7.15   -15.16     0.01     0.06     3.56     0.57P    3.24R    0.31  
Hull            22   30   +3      -0.99    44.62     2.03    64.08     7.28     4.36     0.03     0.33    12.78     3.08P    0.60R    0.06  
Birmingham      22   28   -7       1.12    57.20    -2.23    57.10     7.03   -12.81     0.00     0.01     1.70     0.33P    5.53R    0.68  
Derby           22   26   -7      -4.93    23.56    -8.22    59.20     7.11    -6.51     0.00     0.04     3.13     0.79P    3.04R    0.32  
Charlton        22   24   -2      -3.40    31.88     2.22    53.66     7.19    -6.94     0.00     0.00     0.76     0.16P   12.62R    2.08  
Middlesbrough   23   24  -11      -6.95    15.50   -10.59    54.55     6.75   -12.01     0.00     0.00     0.53     0.12P    9.57R    1.28  
Reading         21   23   -2      -2.15    37.86     3.54    53.14     7.21    -8.13     0.00     0.01     0.60     0.11P   13.98R    2.46  
Huddersfield    22   22  -10      -3.28    32.20    -2.81    49.55     7.07   -17.63     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   29.61R    6.94  
Luton           22   20  -18      -3.43    31.60    -6.10    46.42     7.19   -29.55     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   48.87R   16.38  
Stoke           23   18  -12     -10.22     6.64    -7.27    45.83     6.82   -17.42     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    48.59R   15.43  
Wigan           22   18  -15      -6.79    14.92    -7.08    45.24     6.86   -23.51     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   53.83R   18.71  
Barnsley        22   16  -16      -8.75     9.64    -6.69    42.24     7.18   -27.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.55R   35.34  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 December 2019, AFC_Wimbledon 2 1 Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Wycombe              20   43  +16      13.02    98.01    12.06    77.51     7.12    18.41    21.91    40.06    80.96    47.38P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich              19   36  +14       3.54    70.77     4.56    78.33     7.45    26.25    28.35    46.80    83.85    57.39P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         20   35  +18       0.34    51.65     6.34    75.95     7.25    31.08    18.56    35.46    76.45    47.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       19   34   +4       6.52    85.18     1.60    67.77     7.42     2.97     2.47     6.42    31.82    11.23P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackpool            20   33   +7       3.63    71.03     4.06    69.02     7.08    11.79     3.03     7.88    38.84    14.65P    0.01R    0.00  
Rotherham            20   31  +11      -2.06    37.42     2.17    70.75     7.41    21.52     5.96    14.12    50.79    24.50P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             20   31   +2       3.22    69.74     1.39    63.31     7.07     1.42     0.46     1.57    13.77     3.96P    0.07R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           19   30  +17      -0.44    47.09    10.29    70.88     7.40    27.34     6.77    14.97    52.20    24.77P    0.01R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       18   30   +7       1.49    59.70     1.21    67.92     7.62    10.41     3.05     7.50    34.39    13.57P    0.02R    0.00  
Portsmouth           19   28   +5      -3.24    30.27    -3.21    68.11     7.46    13.80     2.93     7.52    35.71    15.32P    0.02R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           19   28   -2       2.47    65.80    -1.61    61.39     7.20    -2.98     0.27     0.90     9.08     2.47P    0.19R    0.00  
Sunderland           19   27   +4      -5.93    17.01    -6.62    68.98     7.35    15.72     3.36     8.87    40.33    18.97P    0.01R    0.00  
Gillingham           20   25   +1      -1.54    41.18     2.23    58.15     7.12     1.24     0.06     0.26     4.06     1.04P    0.61R    0.00  
Doncaster            17   24   +6      -3.00    30.82     0.50    66.66     7.85    14.77     2.33     6.08    30.39    12.56P    0.05R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        19   24   -1      -2.71    33.71    -2.05    62.62     7.37     5.58     0.43     1.37    13.20     4.27P    0.13R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         19   24   -1       0.46    53.80     2.62    56.63     7.41    -3.21     0.05     0.19     3.13     0.76P    1.26R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley   20   22   -1      -3.08    31.87     2.89    52.61     7.04    -4.80     0.01     0.02     0.76     0.15P    3.26R    0.01  
Rochdale             20   22  -11      -0.04    50.93    -1.94    48.48     6.87   -21.73     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P   10.91R    0.13  
AFC_Wimbledon        20   20   -6      -3.21    31.13     0.39    48.27     6.91   -12.99     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P   10.72R    0.11  
Tranmere             19   17  -12      -1.67    40.42     0.38    41.62     7.12   -27.63     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   42.66R    1.62  
MK_Dons              20   17  -13      -5.08    21.33    -4.90    42.25     6.89   -24.85     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    37.19R    1.28  
Southend             21    7  -37     -11.18     2.26   -17.87    28.55     6.44   -55.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.11R   41.12  
Bolton               17    2  -28      -1.02    44.45   -14.49    26.29     7.16   -48.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.76R   55.72  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 December 2019, Carlisle 0 0 Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot1     Bot1

Swindon          21   42  +15       7.74    87.45     6.94    82.27     7.39    23.96    33.90    67.17    93.04    73.67P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           21   39   +6       6.61    83.80     0.66    77.45     7.29    12.24    12.29    39.49    80.01    49.30P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       20   35  +16       4.81    77.01    11.93    74.09     7.54    21.16     7.15    26.61    67.50    36.05P    0.00R    0.00  
Crewe            20   35  +10       5.19    78.69     6.41    73.47     7.60    14.14     5.92    23.05    62.86    31.73P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         20   35   +9       1.67    59.76     0.47    78.28     7.74    20.25    17.06    46.54    82.28    56.99P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     21   35   +8       3.39    69.48     3.74    72.93     7.31    13.48     4.63    20.04    60.39    29.84P    0.00R    0.00  
Northampton      21   34   +9       1.64    59.83     3.76    71.55     7.47    13.89     3.58    16.35    53.39    25.24P    0.01R    0.01  
Plymouth         20   32   +8      -0.93    44.48    -0.35    75.99     7.72    20.25    11.01    35.47    74.86    47.12P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       20   31   +7       0.05    50.42     1.78    71.12     7.51    13.67     3.25    15.38    51.19    24.97P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        21   29   -1       2.71    66.86     2.08    59.87     7.08    -5.33     0.05     0.57     6.32     1.60P    0.20R    0.20  
Cambridge_Utd    21   28   +5       1.47    59.61     7.69    61.36     7.25     4.18     0.08     1.13    10.03     2.85P    0.17R    0.17  
Newport_County   19   28   +2       2.28    64.74     2.09    65.07     7.59     2.60     0.54     3.65    21.06     7.43P    0.05R    0.05  
Scunthorpe       21   25   +1      -8.31    11.10    -5.76    64.42     7.62     8.60     0.41     3.33    20.75     8.35P    0.08R    0.08  
Salford_City     21   25   -7       3.26    70.35     3.71    50.11     7.04   -20.89     0.00     0.01     0.31     0.05P    6.52R    6.52  
Macclesfield     20   24   -3       2.08    64.29     4.53    52.03     7.08   -13.58     0.00     0.02     0.68     0.15P    3.52R    3.52  
Crawley_Town     21   23   -6      -1.56    41.47     0.20    52.42     7.14   -13.29     0.00     0.04     0.78     0.17P    3.28R    3.28  
Walsall          21   23  -11      -5.25    21.72   -10.52    56.29     7.39   -11.85     0.01     0.18     2.66     0.82P    1.19R    1.19  
Mansfield        21   22   -3     -10.11     6.36    -8.08    59.59     7.39     1.89     0.08     0.69     7.11     2.48P    0.36R    0.36  
Leyton_Orient    21   22   -8      -1.06    44.86     0.80    49.36     7.18   -18.58     0.00     0.01     0.27     0.06P    7.91R    7.91  
Grimsby          19   21   -5      -1.31    42.55    -0.20    52.49     7.41   -12.45     0.01     0.04     0.89     0.19P    3.50R    3.50  
Carlisle         21   21  -12      -5.65    19.82    -8.75    52.06     7.25   -16.63     0.00     0.03     0.67     0.15P    3.99R    3.99  
Oldham           20   20   -9      -6.63    15.30    -7.93    55.99     7.61    -8.37     0.02     0.20     2.71     0.74P    1.48R    1.48  
Stevenage        20   16   -9      -9.26     6.42    -6.41    48.55     7.32   -12.77     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.06P    9.25R    9.25  
Morecambe        21   15  -22      -5.19    20.14    -8.79    39.48     6.79   -36.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.49R   58.49  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 December 2019, AFC_Fylde 0 0 Sutton_United; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barrow             24   47  +19       8.20    86.73    10.27    80.92     6.96    24.61    31.48    86.38    44.43P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil             25   44  +13       0.11    49.96    -1.32    81.02     6.80    25.44    32.50    87.32    50.71P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley            25   44  +12       5.78    77.43     6.18    76.76     6.80    17.92    12.58    69.81    25.07P    0.00R    0.00  
Woking             25   41   +6       7.73    83.65     7.66    69.34     6.89     5.22     1.81    27.17     6.39P    0.19R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors     24   40  +12       1.07    55.57     3.06    75.92     6.95    20.49    11.62    66.18    26.72P    0.01R    0.00  
Harrogate_Town     25   40   +4       2.53    62.91    -0.64    70.97     6.85     7.02     2.90    36.01    10.34P    0.06R    0.00  
Halifax            24   38   +2       6.46    81.52     3.68    68.36     6.81     2.50     1.12    22.08     4.87P    0.23R    0.02  
Stockport          25   38   -4       8.36    86.14     3.63    62.02     6.75   -11.59     0.14     5.13     0.88P    2.97R    0.16  
Boreham_Wood       25   37   +8       1.42    57.87     6.10    67.30     6.64    10.27     0.82    19.23     4.80P    0.28R    0.01  
Barnet             24   34   +3      -1.30    43.13    -0.58    65.94     6.88     5.62     0.66    14.74     4.06P    0.69R    0.03  
Torquay            25   34   +0       2.54    63.16     5.26    59.58     6.88    -5.75     0.08     2.90     0.58P    6.44R    0.58  
Notts_County       24   33   +8      -8.16    13.85    -4.41    70.97     7.07    19.82     3.70    39.79    16.02P    0.13R    0.01  
Eastleigh          24   33   -2       1.10    56.23    -0.23    61.86     6.86    -4.14     0.13     5.23     1.08P    3.13R    0.21  
Hartlepool         24   32   +3      -1.12    44.36     2.91    62.20     6.88     2.78     0.17     6.18     1.44P    2.63R    0.21  
Dover_Athletic     23   32   -3       0.68    54.30    -2.54    61.99     7.12    -5.55     0.20     5.94     1.22P    3.70R    0.31  
Maidenhead         25   31   -3       1.52    59.15     4.44    55.46     6.49    -9.85     0.00     0.57     0.10P   16.33R    1.99  
Dag_&_Red          25   30   -3      -3.69    31.27    -2.09    57.04     6.61    -5.61     0.01     1.07     0.21P   10.90R    1.13  
AFC_Fylde          24   28   -9      -6.64    18.46   -11.46    59.97     6.94    -6.45     0.07     2.93     0.77P    6.13R    0.69  
Sutton_United      25   27   -5      -4.89    25.72    -1.61    54.58     6.59    -6.65     0.00     0.38     0.07P   19.26R    2.94  
Aldershot          25   27  -10      -0.86    46.16    -0.61    51.35     6.42   -16.39     0.00     0.09     0.01P   37.18R    7.19  
Wrexham            25   26   -5      -8.97    11.34    -6.27    56.46     6.58    -2.45     0.00     0.76     0.19P   12.13R    1.64  
Ebbsfleet_United   25   23  -12      -9.31    10.60    -8.51    50.63     6.68   -14.25     0.00     0.07     0.01P   40.97R    9.51  
Chesterfield       25   23  -14      -9.47    10.07   -10.82    49.49     6.63   -17.83     0.00     0.05     0.01P   48.95R   12.47  
Chorley            25   23  -20       0.15    52.62    -2.12    42.07     6.21   -35.17     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.69R   60.91