Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 19 December 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 16 December 2019, Crystal_Palace 1 1 Brighton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        17   49  +28      10.96    99.27     2.64    96.07     5.73    59.43    92.02    99.46    99.98   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        17   39  +29       8.10    92.47    17.25    75.21     6.49    40.25     0.77    16.24    77.17    92.76    99.46     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         17   35  +28      -4.77    16.32    -2.07    83.68     5.53    64.07     7.20    82.74    98.06    99.74    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          17   29   +6      -0.89    43.20    -3.92    64.37     6.59    16.04     0.01     0.69     9.35    37.97    82.01     0.00R    0.00  
Tottenham        17   26   +8      -4.73    20.04    -3.54    64.78     6.51    23.79     0.01     0.67    10.94    43.04    85.11     0.00R    0.00  
Man_Utd          17   25   +6      -3.14    29.32    -1.05    60.94     6.48    16.74     0.00     0.20     3.68    19.37    68.17     0.01R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        17   25   +5       3.79    74.39     8.26    49.95     6.42    -1.70     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.90     9.36     0.97R    0.03  
Wolverhampton    17   24   +3       1.07    57.67     4.00    51.41     6.46     0.26     0.00     0.00     0.17     1.43    12.91     0.58R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   17   23   -4       2.23    66.06     0.10    49.71     6.41    -7.64     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.62     7.99     1.24R    0.04  
Arsenal          17   22   -3      -4.65    21.26    -7.66    54.03     6.67     1.35     0.00     0.01     0.44     3.56    23.71     0.29R    0.01  
Newcastle        17   22   -7       1.99    64.64    -1.66    47.39     6.31   -12.34     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.27     4.02     2.60R    0.12  
Burnley          17   21   -7       2.40    67.62     1.25    43.70     6.29   -17.86     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     1.33     9.08R    0.69  
Brighton         17   20   -4       2.11    65.92     5.20    42.78     6.25   -13.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.90    10.56R    0.74  
Bournemouth      17   19   -5      -0.40    48.13     2.20    44.72     6.46   -11.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09     1.94     6.92R    0.47  
West_Ham         17   19   -9      -1.43    41.38    -3.84    42.33     6.24   -19.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.67    12.63R    1.12  
Everton          17   18   -9      -3.71    26.20    -5.77    45.11     6.47   -12.54     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.12     2.16     6.04R    0.40  
Aston_Villa      17   15   -7      -2.02    37.40     5.01    38.10     6.48   -17.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.21    32.20R    5.38  
Southampton      17   15  -18      -1.35    41.45    -5.24    35.89     6.17   -32.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    49.57R    9.52  
Norwich          17   12  -17      -3.12    29.62    -1.08    30.23     6.04   -37.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.59R   36.11  
Watford          17    9  -23      -7.10     8.47   -10.10    29.00     6.05   -37.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.72R   45.35  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 December 2019, Barnsley 5 3 QPR; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

West_Brom       22   49  +22       8.32    89.01     5.31    93.64     7.11    40.69    66.08    91.75    99.69    94.20P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    22   47  +22       8.43    89.39     9.66    88.61     7.06    35.02    29.37    77.32    98.53    83.76P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         22   37   +8       3.87    71.05     3.47    72.06     7.25    10.98     0.53     3.71    46.64    13.42P    0.02R    0.00  
Brentford       22   36  +16      -0.85    44.81     5.96    75.19     7.22    25.37     1.59     8.78    66.17    26.62P    0.00R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       22   36  +13       2.50    64.10     7.92    73.31     7.20    19.43     0.80     5.31    55.31    17.92P    0.01R    0.00  
Fulham          22   35   +9       0.18    51.12     1.90    72.06     7.44    15.12     0.67     4.41    47.66    15.91P    0.04R    0.00  
Bristol_City    22   35   +2       3.49    69.49     0.29    69.15     7.24     3.84     0.18     1.62    30.36     7.59P    0.08R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   21   34   +6       4.10    72.88     4.27    70.71     7.31     9.68     0.31     2.57    39.25    11.07P    0.04R    0.00  
Blackburn       22   34   +2       4.05    72.46     2.60    67.21     7.22     2.37     0.08     0.79    22.04     4.95P    0.21R    0.01  
Swansea         22   34   +2       1.78    60.17    -0.89    69.00     7.22     5.21     0.16     1.46    29.82     8.30P    0.09R    0.00  
Millwall        22   33   +0       5.19    78.25     3.44    64.66     7.13    -1.77     0.03     0.32    12.82     2.49P    0.48R    0.03  
Cardiff         22   32   +2      -0.67    46.48    -1.71    68.22     7.49     6.86     0.17     1.49    28.03     8.35P    0.12R    0.01  
QPR             22   31   -7       5.47    79.22     1.20    59.23     7.13   -15.27     0.00     0.04     3.33     0.50P    3.40R    0.32  
Hull            22   30   +3      -1.17    43.75     1.77    64.19     7.33     4.54     0.04     0.37    13.26     3.21P    0.62R    0.04  
Birmingham      22   28   -7       1.00    56.55    -2.37    57.14     7.04   -12.76     0.00     0.02     1.73     0.36P    5.67R    0.56  
Derby           22   26   -7      -5.02    23.22    -8.38    59.29     7.15    -6.38     0.00     0.04     3.44     0.91P    3.09R    0.27  
Charlton        22   24   -2      -3.28    32.53     2.39    53.51     7.23    -7.15     0.00     0.00     0.73     0.17P   12.96R    2.24  
Reading         21   23   -2      -2.32    36.85     3.28    53.40     7.19    -7.76     0.00     0.00     0.66     0.14P   13.53R    2.23  
Huddersfield    22   22  -10      -3.39    31.55    -2.88    49.62     6.99   -17.56     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P   28.81R    6.69  
Middlesbrough   22   21  -12      -8.03    11.32   -10.92    52.89     6.98   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.08P   15.05R    2.64  
Luton           22   20  -18      -3.26    32.65    -5.81    46.22     7.15   -29.90     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00P   49.96R   17.55  
Stoke           22   18  -11      -9.22     7.99    -6.79    46.97     6.95   -16.64     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   42.18R   12.38  
Wigan           22   18  -15      -6.84    14.73    -7.16    45.32     6.87   -23.38     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   53.51R   18.87  
Barnsley        22   16  -16      -8.66     9.89    -6.57    42.16     7.13   -27.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   70.14R   36.16  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 December 2019, AFC_Wimbledon 2 1 Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Wycombe              20   43  +16      12.91    97.86    11.84    77.64     7.12    18.59    22.62    41.07    81.37    48.47P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich              19   36  +14       3.63    71.12     4.73    78.10     7.45    25.91    27.28    45.90    82.80    56.37P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         20   35  +18       0.43    52.14     6.56    75.74     7.32    30.69    18.54    34.65    75.55    45.90P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       19   34   +4       6.46    85.11     1.54    67.91     7.37     3.17     2.45     6.34    32.47    11.18P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackpool            20   33   +7       3.72    71.87     4.23    68.90     7.05    11.62     2.85     7.71    38.04    14.42P    0.01R    0.00  
Rotherham            20   31  +11      -2.14    37.09     2.05    70.89     7.43    21.77     6.40    14.46    51.44    25.03P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             20   31   +2       3.09    68.90     1.17    63.41     7.13     1.55     0.50     1.68    14.32     4.22P    0.07R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           19   30  +17      -0.48    46.95    10.22    70.95     7.43    27.45     6.84    15.39    52.45    25.19P    0.01R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       18   30   +7       1.51    59.63     1.27    67.80     7.65    10.31     2.90     7.35    33.95    13.54P    0.01R    0.00  
Portsmouth           19   28   +5      -3.34    30.00    -3.38    68.28     7.43    14.02     3.02     7.79    36.55    15.81P    0.01R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           19   28   -2       2.31    65.00    -1.87    61.60     7.19    -2.66     0.31     0.98     9.65     2.59P    0.15R    0.00  
Sunderland           19   27   +4      -5.89    17.22    -6.54    68.89     7.35    15.52     3.39     8.60    40.26    18.64P    0.01R    0.00  
Gillingham           20   25   +1      -1.44    41.74     2.36    58.02     7.13     1.02     0.07     0.28     4.06     1.01P    0.70R    0.00  
Doncaster            17   24   +6      -2.95    31.17     0.53    66.74     7.77    14.88     2.37     6.13    30.20    12.55P    0.05R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        19   24   -1      -2.56    34.28    -1.85    62.46     7.36     5.36     0.42     1.38    12.79     4.11P    0.16R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         19   24   -1       0.52    54.14     2.69    56.70     7.40    -3.11     0.05     0.23     3.06     0.76P    1.17R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley   20   22   -1      -2.97    32.90     3.08    52.44     7.07    -5.06     0.01     0.03     0.74     0.14P    3.31R    0.01  
Rochdale             20   22  -11      -0.01    51.06    -1.92    48.49     6.92   -21.63     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P   10.80R    0.13  
AFC_Wimbledon        20   20   -6      -3.19    31.11     0.35    48.22     6.91   -13.02     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   10.71R    0.14  
Tranmere             19   17  -12      -1.71    39.77     0.36    41.52     7.08   -27.71     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    43.55R    1.66  
MK_Dons              20   17  -13      -5.16    21.12    -5.01    42.35     6.93   -24.62     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   36.69R    1.20  
Southend             21    7  -37     -11.23     2.17   -17.96    28.57     6.45   -55.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.87R   40.67  
Bolton               17    2  -28      -0.98    44.77   -14.45    26.32     7.22   -48.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.72R   56.18  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 December 2019, Carlisle 0 0 Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot1     Bot1

Swindon          21   42  +15       7.76    87.65     6.97    82.34     7.37    24.04    33.99    67.29    93.33    73.81P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           21   39   +6       6.61    84.09     0.70    77.44     7.34    12.23    12.39    39.65    79.76    49.38P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       20   35  +16       4.90    77.29    12.03    73.97     7.59    21.01     7.03    26.30    66.78    35.29P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            20   35  +10       5.13    78.37     6.31    73.64     7.62    14.37     6.12    23.73    63.85    32.54P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         20   35   +9       1.57    59.11     0.34    78.40     7.72    20.41    17.42    46.93    83.18    57.72P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     21   35   +8       3.40    69.77     3.79    72.91     7.23    13.45     4.42    19.63    60.20    29.52P    0.00R    0.00  
Northampton      21   34   +9       1.63    59.62     3.69    71.60     7.48    13.93     3.50    16.64    53.93    25.69P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         20   32   +8      -0.89    44.63    -0.30    75.83     7.85    20.00    10.76    34.93    73.97    46.50P    0.00R    0.00  
Colchester       20   31   +7       0.13    51.18     1.94    71.01     7.60    13.47     3.28    15.10    50.63    24.53P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        21   29   -1       2.78    67.27     2.21    59.78     7.11    -5.45     0.06     0.58     6.13     1.56P    0.25R    0.25  
Cambridge_Utd    21   28   +5       1.37    59.19     7.58    61.42     7.21     4.30     0.11     1.11    10.05     2.87P    0.15R    0.15  
Newport_County   19   28   +2       2.29    64.77     2.08    65.11     7.60     2.65     0.50     3.69    21.68     7.43P    0.07R    0.07  
Scunthorpe       21   25   +1      -8.10    12.05    -5.45    64.15     7.66     8.22     0.34     3.24    20.06     8.26P    0.07R    0.07  
Salford_City     21   25   -7       3.02    68.90     3.31    50.41     7.13   -20.37     0.00     0.01     0.41     0.07P    6.05R    6.05  
Macclesfield     20   24   -3       2.02    63.93     4.38    52.13     7.18   -13.48     0.00     0.05     0.77     0.15P    3.50R    3.50  
Crawley_Town     21   23   -6      -1.61    40.91     0.10    52.40     7.13   -13.26     0.01     0.04     0.71     0.17P    3.31R    3.31  
Walsall          21   23  -11      -5.10    22.49   -10.30    56.12     7.43   -12.11     0.01     0.17     2.60     0.77P    1.40R    1.40  
Mansfield        21   22   -3     -10.14     6.24    -8.03    59.58     7.37     1.89     0.05     0.68     7.13     2.49P    0.36R    0.36  
Leyton_Orient    21   22   -8      -1.02    44.87     0.82    49.26     7.17   -18.67     0.00     0.01     0.26     0.05P    8.02R    8.02  
Grimsby          19   21   -5      -1.34    42.49    -0.25    52.48     7.34   -12.41     0.00     0.03     0.92     0.21P    3.44R    3.44  
Carlisle         21   21  -12      -5.69    19.62    -8.82    52.13     7.25   -16.51     0.00     0.02     0.74     0.17P    3.95R    3.95  
Oldham           20   20   -9      -6.56    15.17    -7.80    55.90     7.58    -8.48     0.01     0.16     2.68     0.77P    1.47R    1.47  
Stevenage        20   16   -9      -9.22     6.40    -6.39    48.65     7.30   -12.65     0.00     0.01     0.22     0.06P    9.02R    9.02  
Morecambe        21   15  -22      -5.21    20.14    -8.90    39.48     6.81   -36.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.94R   58.94  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 December 2019, AFC_Fylde 0 0 Sutton_United; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barrow             24   47  +19       8.18    86.67    10.27    80.99     6.99    24.68    32.40    86.55    45.15P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil             25   44  +13       0.14    50.26    -1.27    81.01     6.80    25.39    32.20    87.61    50.49P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley            25   44  +12       5.67    76.96     5.99    76.83     6.83    18.00    13.04    70.32    25.80P    0.00R    0.00  
Woking             25   41   +6       7.66    83.55     7.52    69.40     6.88     5.30     1.77    27.42     6.36P    0.17R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors     24   40  +12       1.18    56.13     3.19    75.84     6.91    20.42    11.27    65.91    26.57P    0.01R    0.00  
Harrogate_Town     25   40   +4       2.48    62.87    -0.70    70.93     6.85     6.97     2.89    35.70     9.92P    0.07R    0.00  
Halifax            24   38   +2       6.68    82.64     4.02    68.21     6.75     2.31     1.00    21.57     4.80P    0.27R    0.01  
Stockport          25   38   -4       8.50    86.70     3.87    61.95     6.73   -11.68     0.12     4.94     0.83P    3.10R    0.14  
Boreham_Wood       25   37   +8       1.46    57.96     6.18    67.31     6.70    10.26     0.84    19.52     4.90P    0.30R    0.01  
Barnet             24   34   +3      -1.27    43.29    -0.52    65.89     6.85     5.59     0.50    14.77     3.82P    0.70R    0.03  
Torquay            25   34   +0       2.53    63.45     5.24    59.55     6.88    -5.83     0.05     2.93     0.57P    6.58R    0.55  
Notts_County       24   33   +8      -8.15    13.85    -4.38    70.91     6.98    19.71     3.35    39.47    15.51P    0.11R    0.00  
Eastleigh          24   33   -2       1.36    57.76     0.12    61.68     6.83    -4.38     0.11     4.88     1.03P    3.38R    0.25  
Hartlepool         24   32   +3      -1.10    44.39     2.93    62.20     6.90     2.83     0.16     6.33     1.49P    2.74R    0.23  
Dover_Athletic     23   32   -3       0.56    53.59    -2.76    62.07     7.09    -5.42     0.21     5.87     1.33P    3.62R    0.30  
Maidenhead         25   31   -3       1.40    58.45     4.27    55.58     6.55    -9.67     0.01     0.62     0.12P   16.01R    2.10  
Dag_&_Red          25   30   -3      -3.84    30.57    -2.33    57.15     6.63    -5.42     0.02     1.16     0.28P   10.92R    1.10  
AFC_Fylde          24   28   -9      -6.62    18.55   -11.44    59.90     6.99    -6.55     0.04     3.10     0.76P    6.36R    0.74  
Sutton_United      25   27   -5      -5.00    25.44    -1.67    54.66     6.63    -6.53     0.01     0.45     0.08P   19.15R    2.88  
Aldershot          25   27  -10      -1.00    45.59    -0.89    51.50     6.42   -16.16     0.00     0.07     0.02P   36.91R    7.15  
Wrexham            25   26   -5      -8.98    11.04    -6.20    56.37     6.55    -2.56     0.00     0.68     0.14P   12.00R    1.58  
Ebbsfleet_United   25   23  -12      -9.35    10.40    -8.56    50.57     6.70   -14.37     0.00     0.07     0.02P   41.51R    9.69  
Chesterfield       25   23  -14      -9.34    10.77   -10.63    49.49     6.62   -17.89     0.00     0.05     0.01P   48.79R   12.79  
Chorley            25   23  -20       0.01    51.55    -2.25    42.22     6.24   -35.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.30R   60.45