Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 18 December 2019 at 22:00:02 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 16 December 2019, Crystal_Palace 1 1 Brighton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        17   49  +28      10.94    99.27     2.53    96.15     5.67    59.61    92.19    99.47    99.98   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        17   39  +29       8.22    92.75    17.40    75.13     6.46    40.09     0.64    15.61    76.80    92.62    99.44     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         17   35  +28      -4.81    16.12    -2.14    83.76     5.52    64.19     7.16    83.39    98.12    99.72    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          17   29   +6      -0.97    42.86    -4.05    64.36     6.56    16.04     0.00     0.61     9.42    38.01    82.11     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        17   26   +8      -4.81    19.73    -3.64    64.89     6.53    23.93     0.00     0.74    11.23    43.29    85.56     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          17   25   +6      -3.12    29.68    -1.05    60.90     6.52    16.71     0.00     0.16     3.66    19.31    67.73     0.01R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        17   25   +5       3.81    74.43     8.26    49.96     6.42    -1.68     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.84     9.02     1.04R    0.03  
Wolverhampton    17   24   +3       1.12    57.94     4.06    51.35     6.42     0.16     0.00     0.01     0.15     1.29    12.73     0.56R    0.02  
Crystal_Palace   17   23   -4       2.20    65.39     0.07    49.74     6.43    -7.61     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.70     8.01     1.25R    0.03  
Arsenal          17   22   -3      -4.72    20.88    -7.73    54.10     6.66     1.49     0.00     0.01     0.44     3.55    24.11     0.27R    0.02  
Newcastle        17   22   -7       2.12    65.69    -1.44    47.25     6.31   -12.57     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.27     3.88     2.86R    0.12  
Burnley          17   21   -7       2.27    66.53     1.08    43.76     6.25   -17.77     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     1.27     8.59R    0.60  
Brighton         17   20   -4       2.14    66.26     5.26    42.77     6.25   -13.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.91    10.55R    0.85  
Bournemouth      17   19   -5      -0.41    48.04     2.21    44.71     6.47   -11.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09     2.04     6.91R    0.44  
West_Ham         17   19   -9      -1.37    41.38    -3.75    42.19     6.21   -19.80     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.70    13.20R    1.18  
Everton          17   18   -9      -3.70    26.46    -5.73    45.12     6.50   -12.54     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.14     2.28     6.22R    0.40  
Aston_Villa      17   15   -7      -2.12    36.44     4.86    38.19     6.50   -17.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.17    31.83R    5.27  
Southampton      17   15  -18      -1.41    41.08    -5.34    35.96     6.18   -32.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    49.16R    9.56  
Norwich          17   12  -17      -2.99    30.29    -0.91    30.19     6.05   -37.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    81.55R   35.94  
Watford          17    9  -23      -7.03     8.86    -9.94    28.91     6.02   -37.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.01R   45.55  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 December 2019, Barnsley 5 3 QPR; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

West_Brom       22   49  +22       8.34    89.04     5.35    93.55     7.14    40.52    65.83    91.68    99.69    94.25P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    22   47  +22       8.39    89.17     9.59    88.59     7.01    35.02    29.64    77.40    98.57    84.04P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         22   37   +8       3.82    70.83     3.43    72.09     7.25    11.01     0.48     3.67    46.63    13.30P    0.01R    0.00  
Brentford       22   36  +16      -0.83    44.78     5.98    75.23     7.17    25.44     1.60     8.95    66.28    26.82P    0.01R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       22   36  +13       2.44    63.81     7.80    73.34     7.24    19.49     0.88     5.45    55.61    18.41P    0.01R    0.00  
Fulham          22   35   +9       0.31    51.81     2.14    71.92     7.41    14.89     0.63     4.32    47.05    15.52P    0.03R    0.00  
Bristol_City    22   35   +2       3.30    68.53    -0.01    69.35     7.28     4.15     0.17     1.59    31.62     8.09P    0.06R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   21   34   +6       4.28    73.79     4.49    70.60     7.34     9.49     0.31     2.50    38.34    10.51P    0.05R    0.00  
Blackburn       22   34   +2       4.03    72.35     2.55    67.28     7.26     2.49     0.08     0.84    22.29     5.05P    0.17R    0.01  
Swansea         22   34   +2       1.70    60.19    -1.01    69.07     7.21     5.35     0.18     1.53    30.03     8.19P    0.08R    0.01  
Millwall        22   33   +0       5.25    78.39     3.50    64.56     7.06    -1.91     0.01     0.29    12.37     2.45P    0.44R    0.03  
Cardiff         22   32   +2      -0.62    46.83    -1.63    68.21     7.49     6.82     0.14     1.39    27.87     8.12P    0.18R    0.02  
QPR             22   31   -7       5.35    78.60     1.05    59.25     7.12   -15.28     0.00     0.03     3.30     0.52P    3.20R    0.31  
Hull            22   30   +3      -1.11    44.20     1.81    64.17     7.31     4.54     0.03     0.32    13.25     3.21P    0.61R    0.03  
Birmingham      22   28   -7       1.07    57.02    -2.23    57.03     7.03   -12.91     0.00     0.01     1.68     0.30P    5.73R    0.72  
Derby           22   26   -7      -5.00    23.57    -8.34    59.28     7.11    -6.40     0.00     0.03     3.43     0.84P    3.03R    0.33  
Charlton        22   24   -2      -3.35    32.11     2.27    53.64     7.22    -6.93     0.00     0.01     0.79     0.16P   12.68R    2.05  
Reading         21   23   -2      -2.22    37.44     3.41    53.27     7.20    -7.92     0.00     0.00     0.69     0.11P   13.93R    2.40  
Huddersfield    22   22  -10      -3.47    31.15    -3.05    49.79     7.04   -17.28     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P   28.16R    6.39  
Middlesbrough   22   21  -12      -8.03    11.23   -10.88    52.91     6.91   -12.97     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.06P   15.06R    2.55  
Luton           22   20  -18      -3.23    32.87    -5.78    46.17     7.15   -29.94     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   50.38R   17.41  
Stoke           22   18  -11      -9.32     7.91    -6.94    47.15     6.98   -16.40     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   41.35R   12.08  
Wigan           22   18  -15      -6.73    15.22    -6.96    45.18     6.85   -23.61     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   54.51R   19.26  
Barnsley        22   16  -16      -8.66     9.89    -6.53    42.12     7.16   -27.66     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   70.31R   36.41  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 December 2019, AFC_Wimbledon 2 1 Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Wycombe              20   43  +16      12.76    97.76    11.65    77.80     7.15    18.90    23.30    41.86    82.02    49.54P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich              19   36  +14       3.66    71.58     4.74    78.17     7.42    25.98    27.69    46.19    83.26    56.63P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         20   35  +18       0.41    52.29     6.48    75.90     7.26    30.90    18.62    35.07    76.58    46.53P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       19   34   +4       6.41    84.96     1.47    67.87     7.36     3.17     2.46     6.43    32.10    11.16P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackpool            20   33   +7       3.54    71.08     3.91    69.09     7.04    11.91     2.91     7.89    39.37    14.66P    0.00R    0.00  
Rotherham            20   31  +11      -2.19    36.98     2.00    70.86     7.43    21.71     6.18    14.52    51.47    25.20P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             20   31   +2       3.12    69.12     1.19    63.35     7.09     1.49     0.51     1.61    13.89     3.97P    0.05R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           19   30  +17      -0.28    48.21    10.55    70.71     7.37    27.05     6.28    14.30    51.50    23.96P    0.01R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       18   30   +7       1.49    59.47     1.21    67.92     7.57    10.47     2.82     7.28    34.28    13.55P    0.02R    0.00  
Portsmouth           19   28   +5      -3.31    29.97    -3.37    68.17     7.42    13.86     2.82     7.42    36.08    15.36P    0.02R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           19   28   -2       2.35    65.14    -1.79    61.53     7.14    -2.75     0.26     0.88     9.24     2.48P    0.14R    0.00  
Sunderland           19   27   +4      -5.86    17.33    -6.50    68.94     7.33    15.57     3.30     8.74    39.97    18.54P    0.01R    0.00  
Gillingham           20   25   +1      -1.43    41.57     2.35    58.07     7.11     1.13     0.06     0.27     4.03     0.99P    0.65R    0.00  
Doncaster            17   24   +6      -2.84    31.91     0.67    66.54     7.80    14.59     2.33     5.94    29.76    12.38P    0.06R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        19   24   -1      -2.46    35.21    -1.70    62.27     7.36     5.12     0.39     1.31    12.24     3.93P    0.18R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         19   24   -1       0.53    54.29     2.76    56.63     7.42    -3.22     0.06     0.26     3.19     0.87P    1.10R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   20   22   -1      -3.07    32.11     2.88    52.60     7.07    -4.82     0.00     0.03     0.76     0.19P    3.20R    0.01  
Rochdale             20   22  -11       0.02    51.37    -1.82    48.46     6.87   -21.80     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P   10.63R    0.14  
AFC_Wimbledon        20   20   -6      -3.22    31.14     0.39    48.27     6.91   -13.02     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   10.65R    0.12  
Tranmere             19   17  -12      -1.63    40.59     0.45    41.46     7.03   -27.79     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   43.85R    1.65  
MK_Dons              20   17  -13      -5.16    21.03    -5.02    42.34     6.88   -24.66     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   36.70R    1.22  
Southend             21    7  -37     -11.27     2.14   -18.06    28.63     6.41   -55.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.03R   41.04  
Bolton               17    2  -28      -0.98    44.53   -14.46    26.38     7.15   -48.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.70R   55.80  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 December 2019, Carlisle 0 0 Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot1     Bot1

Swindon          21   42  +15       7.84    87.97     7.07    82.20     7.35    23.82    33.28    66.41    93.02    72.93P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           21   39   +6       6.59    83.83     0.63    77.50     7.34    12.29    12.56    39.72    79.74    49.20P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       20   35  +16       4.90    77.17    12.05    73.96     7.62    20.98     7.17    26.47    66.43    35.42P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            20   35  +10       5.07    77.88     6.24    73.75     7.61    14.55     6.06    24.30    64.08    33.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         20   35   +9       1.65    59.52     0.43    78.24     7.69    20.21    17.04    45.94    82.39    56.65P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     21   35   +8       3.42    69.67     3.78    72.90     7.29    13.42     4.67    19.77    60.10    29.65P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      21   34   +9       1.55    58.95     3.57    71.68     7.52    14.06     3.79    17.04    54.35    26.29P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         20   32   +8      -0.96    44.12    -0.39    75.90     7.76    20.12    10.91    35.03    74.54    46.85P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       20   31   +7       0.02    50.38     1.74    71.22     7.58    13.82     3.34    15.67    51.71    24.99P    0.00R    0.00  
Port_Vale        21   29   -1       2.72    67.00     2.12    59.89     7.12    -5.30     0.07     0.58     6.31     1.62P    0.25R    0.25  
Cambridge_Utd    21   28   +5       1.32    58.83     7.54    61.46     7.16     4.33     0.10     1.06    10.00     2.86P    0.12R    0.12  
Newport_County   19   28   +2       2.32    64.78     2.11    65.04     7.63     2.56     0.52     3.65    21.36     7.43P    0.09R    0.09  
Scunthorpe       21   25   +1      -8.20    11.73    -5.58    64.29     7.59     8.45     0.40     3.19    20.09     8.42P    0.05R    0.05  
Salford_City     21   25   -7       3.07    69.21     3.46    50.27     7.05   -20.62     0.00     0.01     0.32     0.07P    6.20R    6.20  
Macclesfield     20   24   -3       2.08    64.37     4.54    51.97     7.14   -13.72     0.00     0.04     0.74     0.13P    3.61R    3.61  
Crawley_Town     21   23   -6      -1.61    41.31     0.13    52.46     7.17   -13.19     0.00     0.02     0.76     0.15P    3.31R    3.31  
Walsall          21   23  -11      -5.07    22.72   -10.32    56.09     7.38   -12.18     0.01     0.18     2.41     0.74P    1.29R    1.29  
Mansfield        21   22   -3     -10.07     6.50    -7.93    59.48     7.36     1.72     0.06     0.65     6.66     2.33P    0.33R    0.33  
Leyton_Orient    21   22   -8      -1.11    44.47     0.73    49.40     7.27   -18.51     0.00     0.01     0.32     0.07P    7.94R    7.94  
Grimsby          19   21   -5      -1.39    41.98    -0.30    52.55     7.42   -12.30     0.00     0.05     1.03     0.22P    3.46R    3.46  
Carlisle         21   21  -12      -5.71    19.51    -8.86    52.12     7.27   -16.55     0.00     0.02     0.67     0.14P    4.12R    4.12  
Oldham           20   20   -9      -6.46    15.86    -7.64    55.87     7.62    -8.50     0.00     0.18     2.78     0.80P    1.60R    1.60  
Stevenage        20   16   -9      -9.11     6.76    -6.25    48.46     7.31   -12.90     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.04P    9.41R    9.41  
Morecambe        21   15  -22      -5.20    20.15    -8.86    39.49     6.80   -36.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.21R   58.21  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 December 2019, AFC_Fylde 0 0 Sutton_United; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barrow             24   47  +19       8.22    86.73    10.31    80.85     6.97    24.52    31.49    86.25    44.60P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil             25   44  +13      -0.08    49.01    -1.66    81.18     6.74    25.68    33.42    88.10    51.50P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley            25   44  +12       5.75    77.36     6.12    76.75     6.81    17.88    12.54    69.96    25.19P    0.00R    0.00  
Woking             25   41   +6       7.60    83.40     7.46    69.40     6.90     5.37     1.87    27.64     6.63P    0.17R    0.01  
Solihull_Moors     24   40  +12       1.17    56.09     3.21    75.77     6.92    20.29    11.18    65.41    26.05P    0.00R    0.00  
Harrogate_Town     25   40   +4       2.42    62.20    -0.83    71.03     6.80     7.15     2.90    36.48    10.27P    0.08R    0.00  
Halifax            24   38   +2       6.57    82.15     3.90    68.26     6.85     2.38     1.12    21.91     4.96P    0.25R    0.00  
Stockport          25   38   -4       8.58    86.93     4.03    61.87     6.70   -11.87     0.12     4.75     0.80P    3.18R    0.18  
Boreham_Wood       25   37   +8       1.49    58.21     6.15    67.22     6.65    10.18     0.88    18.84     4.68P    0.34R    0.01  
Barnet             24   34   +3      -1.28    43.35    -0.53    65.90     6.87     5.55     0.55    14.75     4.00P    0.72R    0.03  
Torquay            25   34   +0       2.58    63.44     5.32    59.54     6.86    -5.81     0.08     2.87     0.59P    6.63R    0.63  
Notts_County       24   33   +8      -8.03    14.29    -4.16    70.84     7.00    19.56     3.33    39.01    15.32P    0.10R    0.00  
Eastleigh          24   33   -2       1.32    57.69     0.08    61.84     6.87    -4.20     0.10     5.25     1.08P    3.32R    0.29  
Hartlepool         24   32   +3      -1.15    44.27     2.86    62.20     6.89     2.79     0.16     6.34     1.51P    2.69R    0.24  
Dover_Athletic     23   32   -3       0.52    53.45    -2.80    62.17     7.12    -5.31     0.18     6.35     1.34P    3.48R    0.30  
Maidenhead         25   31   -3       1.28    57.97     4.13    55.67     6.47    -9.52     0.00     0.59     0.10P   15.56R    1.90  
Dag_&_Red          25   30   -3      -3.66    31.40    -2.04    57.06     6.58    -5.65     0.01     1.09     0.27P   10.88R    1.16  
AFC_Fylde          24   28   -9      -6.65    18.34   -11.50    59.99     6.97    -6.39     0.07     3.07     0.79P    6.11R    0.65  
Sutton_United      25   27   -5      -4.89    25.81    -1.54    54.55     6.61    -6.71     0.00     0.37     0.08P   19.58R    2.91  
Aldershot          25   27  -10      -0.92    45.81    -0.70    51.47     6.46   -16.20     0.00     0.08     0.01P   37.06R    6.97  
Wrexham            25   26   -5      -9.03    11.01    -6.32    56.50     6.59    -2.42     0.00     0.77     0.20P   12.18R    1.64  
Ebbsfleet_United   25   23  -12      -9.41    10.32    -8.70    50.67     6.72   -14.18     0.00     0.09     0.01P   40.80R    9.50  
Chesterfield       25   23  -14      -9.26    10.81   -10.48    49.40     6.66   -17.98     0.00     0.03     0.01P   49.13R   13.03  
Chorley            25   23  -20       0.05    52.07    -2.30    42.12     6.25   -35.13     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.71R   60.58