Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Tuesday 17 December 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 16 December 2019, Crystal_Palace 1 1 Brighton; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Liverpool 17 49 +28 10.97 99.30 2.59 96.09 5.71 59.46 92.25 99.50 99.98 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Leicester 17 39 +29 8.22 92.66 17.41 75.15 6.50 40.13 0.69 15.88 77.07 92.62 99.40 0.00 0.00 Man_City 17 35 +28 -4.74 16.43 -1.98 83.70 5.53 64.07 7.06 83.10 98.17 99.73 99.99 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 17 29 +6 -0.94 42.91 -3.99 64.34 6.57 16.05 0.01 0.71 9.47 37.74 81.88 0.00R 0.00 Tottenham 17 26 +8 -4.70 20.22 -3.55 64.71 6.48 23.67 0.00 0.67 10.77 42.91 85.06 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 17 25 +6 -3.28 28.42 -1.24 61.04 6.47 16.92 0.00 0.13 3.80 19.94 68.36 0.01R 0.00 Sheff_Utd 17 25 +5 3.80 74.31 8.26 49.98 6.44 -1.70 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.83 9.11 0.96R 0.03 Wolverhampton 17 24 +3 1.13 58.06 4.08 51.36 6.45 0.20 0.00 0.00 0.13 1.34 13.01 0.59R 0.03 Crystal_Palace 17 23 -4 2.21 65.82 0.07 49.76 6.41 -7.55 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.73 8.04 1.18R 0.04 Arsenal 17 22 -3 -4.58 21.63 -7.55 54.03 6.66 1.37 0.00 0.01 0.36 3.47 23.69 0.28R 0.02 Newcastle 17 22 -7 2.04 65.05 -1.54 47.34 6.30 -12.43 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.30 3.90 2.75R 0.11 Burnley 17 21 -7 2.28 66.69 1.08 43.78 6.29 -17.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 1.36 8.68R 0.58 Brighton 17 20 -4 2.11 65.89 5.24 42.78 6.25 -13.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.93 10.76R 0.84 Bournemouth 17 19 -5 -0.49 47.89 2.04 44.86 6.47 -11.04 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.13 2.12 6.57R 0.46 West_Ham 17 19 -9 -1.37 41.73 -3.76 42.22 6.25 -19.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.68 13.23R 1.13 Everton 17 18 -9 -3.70 26.32 -5.74 45.07 6.46 -12.59 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.13 2.20 6.05R 0.39 Aston_Villa 17 15 -7 -2.12 36.56 4.77 38.20 6.52 -17.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.21 31.77R 5.34 Southampton 17 15 -18 -1.30 42.03 -5.18 35.81 6.16 -32.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 50.00R 9.77 Norwich 17 12 -17 -3.10 29.78 -1.06 30.24 6.07 -37.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 81.19R 35.95 Watford 17 9 -23 -7.06 8.51 -9.96 28.94 6.03 -37.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 85.97R 45.32Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 December 2019, Barnsley 5 3 QPR; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 West_Brom 22 49 +22 8.35 89.17 5.37 93.49 7.15 40.43 65.31 91.39 99.70 94.06P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 22 47 +22 8.30 88.94 9.48 88.75 7.06 35.20 30.22 78.07 98.57 84.31P 0.00 0.00 Preston 22 37 +8 3.87 71.17 3.47 72.05 7.24 10.96 0.50 3.64 46.59 13.40P 0.01R 0.00 Brentford 22 36 +16 -0.74 45.43 6.08 75.18 7.20 25.37 1.68 8.91 66.08 26.80P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 22 36 +13 2.41 63.66 7.79 73.29 7.21 19.43 0.75 5.33 55.22 18.23P 0.01R 0.00 Fulham 22 35 +9 0.29 51.49 2.09 71.89 7.40 14.86 0.58 4.22 46.96 15.68P 0.03R 0.00 Bristol_City 22 35 +2 3.50 69.48 0.32 69.16 7.30 3.88 0.20 1.59 31.17 7.98P 0.08R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 21 34 +6 4.16 73.38 4.31 70.71 7.35 9.67 0.33 2.41 39.55 10.56P 0.05R 0.00 Blackburn 22 34 +2 4.03 72.37 2.58 67.24 7.22 2.40 0.09 0.86 22.23 5.08P 0.17R 0.01 Swansea 22 34 +2 1.78 60.29 -0.88 69.01 7.13 5.25 0.11 1.34 29.87 7.93P 0.08R 0.00 Millwall 22 33 +0 5.30 78.51 3.53 64.56 7.08 -1.90 0.02 0.32 12.55 2.47P 0.44R 0.02 Cardiff 22 32 +2 -0.75 46.02 -1.82 68.25 7.45 6.89 0.16 1.42 28.03 8.29P 0.13R 0.01 QPR 22 31 -7 5.34 78.71 1.03 59.30 7.12 -15.21 0.01 0.05 3.48 0.56P 3.11R 0.27 Hull 22 30 +3 -0.99 44.82 2.01 64.04 7.28 4.33 0.03 0.36 12.70 2.95P 0.54R 0.04 Birmingham 22 28 -7 0.98 56.38 -2.41 57.18 7.04 -12.67 0.00 0.02 1.81 0.33P 5.52R 0.71 Derby 22 26 -7 -4.96 23.71 -8.28 59.21 7.15 -6.48 0.01 0.06 3.49 0.92P 3.22R 0.33 Charlton 22 24 -2 -3.50 31.09 2.05 53.77 7.14 -6.74 0.00 0.00 0.74 0.15P 12.21R 1.94 Reading 21 23 -2 -2.15 37.78 3.54 53.29 7.17 -7.95 0.00 0.00 0.64 0.11P 13.70R 2.37 Huddersfield 22 22 -10 -3.45 31.16 -3.01 49.77 7.05 -17.36 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.03P 28.78R 6.67 Middlesbrough 22 21 -12 -8.00 11.68 -10.86 52.88 6.93 -13.01 0.00 0.00 0.36 0.11P 15.43R 2.56 Luton 22 20 -18 -3.29 32.45 -5.90 46.34 7.19 -29.69 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 49.73R 17.11 Stoke 22 18 -11 -9.21 8.03 -6.83 47.04 6.96 -16.54 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.00P 41.87R 12.41 Wigan 22 18 -15 -6.74 15.30 -6.98 45.18 6.87 -23.59 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 54.58R 19.48 Barnsley 22 16 -16 -8.78 9.64 -6.68 42.18 7.16 -27.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 70.29R 36.07League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 December 2019, AFC_Wimbledon 2 1 Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Wycombe 20 43 +16 12.94 97.90 11.89 77.66 7.10 18.63 22.54 40.75 81.32 47.99P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 19 36 +14 3.55 71.12 4.62 78.30 7.39 26.16 27.87 46.53 83.75 57.22P 0.00R 0.00 Peterborough 20 35 +18 0.42 52.34 6.49 75.84 7.30 30.85 18.34 34.76 75.95 46.04P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 19 34 +4 6.47 84.97 1.59 67.88 7.40 3.13 2.44 6.48 32.13 11.16P 0.00R 0.00 Blackpool 20 33 +7 3.59 71.17 4.02 69.03 7.08 11.82 2.88 7.87 38.82 14.78P 0.00R 0.00 Rotherham 20 31 +11 -2.10 37.29 2.12 70.89 7.44 21.71 6.30 14.52 50.93 24.93P 0.00 0.00 Coventry 20 31 +2 3.19 69.65 1.29 63.35 7.06 1.49 0.45 1.57 13.79 3.96P 0.05R 0.00 Oxford_Utd 19 30 +17 -0.31 47.87 10.49 70.67 7.38 26.98 6.28 14.24 50.58 23.56P 0.00R 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 18 30 +7 1.49 59.66 1.17 67.96 7.61 10.50 3.03 7.48 34.67 13.79P 0.01R 0.00 Portsmouth 19 28 +5 -3.47 28.80 -3.58 68.44 7.48 14.29 3.26 8.03 37.36 16.29P 0.02R 0.00 Shrewsbury 19 28 -2 2.36 65.21 -1.81 61.55 7.23 -2.76 0.27 1.02 9.58 2.62P 0.17R 0.00 Sunderland 19 27 +4 -5.90 17.07 -6.57 68.93 7.39 15.58 3.35 8.66 40.21 18.94P 0.01R 0.00 Gillingham 20 25 +1 -1.35 42.34 2.55 57.96 7.13 0.94 0.07 0.27 3.88 1.02P 0.67R 0.00 Doncaster 17 24 +6 -3.03 30.71 0.42 66.71 7.85 14.85 2.42 6.15 30.20 12.50P 0.04R 0.00 Burton_Albion 19 24 -1 -2.66 34.23 -1.99 62.54 7.40 5.45 0.44 1.40 13.07 4.30P 0.13R 0.00 Lincoln_City 19 24 -1 0.64 55.09 2.88 56.48 7.36 -3.38 0.06 0.23 2.78 0.72P 1.16R 0.01 Accrington_Stanley 20 22 -1 -3.14 31.74 2.79 52.63 7.08 -4.69 0.00 0.03 0.78 0.17P 3.19R 0.02 Rochdale 20 22 -11 -0.05 50.91 -1.90 48.43 6.84 -21.80 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.01P 10.85R 0.14 AFC_Wimbledon 20 20 -6 -3.17 31.49 0.43 48.11 6.88 -13.17 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.02P 10.93R 0.15 Tranmere 19 17 -12 -1.76 39.61 0.23 41.63 7.05 -27.58 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 42.35R 1.65 MK_Dons 20 17 -13 -5.07 21.45 -4.89 42.26 6.92 -24.77 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 37.46R 1.20 Southend 21 7 -37 -11.19 2.15 -17.88 28.55 6.43 -55.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.12R 40.63 Bolton 17 2 -28 -0.91 45.11 -14.35 26.20 7.19 -48.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.82R 56.21 Adjustments: Bolton -12 Bury -12League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 December 2019, Carlisle 0 0 Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot1 Bot1 Swindon 21 42 +15 7.84 87.81 7.06 82.23 7.39 23.86 33.65 66.73 93.16 73.14P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 21 39 +6 6.60 84.06 0.67 77.49 7.27 12.26 12.42 39.63 80.06 49.27P 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 20 35 +16 4.77 76.84 11.86 74.12 7.59 21.19 7.26 27.13 67.35 36.33P 0.00 0.00 Crewe 20 35 +10 5.13 78.30 6.32 73.56 7.63 14.29 5.95 23.52 63.04 32.08P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 20 35 +9 1.58 59.14 0.35 78.35 7.72 20.34 17.14 46.82 82.64 57.09P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 21 35 +8 3.41 69.63 3.81 72.87 7.24 13.44 4.46 19.50 60.00 29.40P 0.00 0.00 Northampton 21 34 +9 1.58 59.48 3.63 71.63 7.44 13.98 3.51 16.36 53.99 25.57P 0.00R 0.00 Plymouth 20 32 +8 -1.05 43.69 -0.54 76.05 7.80 20.35 11.24 35.85 75.05 47.75P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 20 31 +7 0.15 51.08 1.93 71.04 7.52 13.52 3.10 14.87 50.75 24.27P 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 21 29 -1 2.84 67.52 2.29 59.81 7.11 -5.41 0.06 0.59 6.04 1.64P 0.23R 0.23 Cambridge_Utd 21 28 +5 1.44 59.21 7.70 61.36 7.16 4.17 0.11 0.98 9.72 2.74P 0.13R 0.13 Newport_County 19 28 +2 2.27 64.97 2.04 65.14 7.64 2.70 0.57 3.68 21.73 7.52P 0.05R 0.05 Scunthorpe 21 25 +1 -8.23 11.59 -5.65 64.32 7.62 8.49 0.46 3.22 20.39 8.47P 0.07R 0.07 Salford_City 21 25 -7 3.05 69.23 3.38 50.35 7.04 -20.46 0.00 0.01 0.38 0.07P 5.94R 5.94 Macclesfield 20 24 -3 2.12 64.53 4.54 52.00 7.07 -13.61 0.00 0.03 0.64 0.13P 3.56R 3.56 Crawley_Town 21 23 -6 -1.62 41.18 0.14 52.42 7.14 -13.26 0.00 0.04 0.72 0.14P 3.31R 3.31 Walsall 21 23 -11 -5.18 22.05 -10.43 56.19 7.38 -12.02 0.01 0.15 2.50 0.72P 1.29R 1.29 Mansfield 21 22 -3 -10.18 6.03 -8.11 59.63 7.37 1.95 0.04 0.61 7.05 2.47P 0.41R 0.41 Leyton_Orient 21 22 -8 -0.84 46.36 1.16 49.03 7.21 -19.03 0.00 0.01 0.23 0.04P 8.56R 8.56 Grimsby 19 21 -5 -1.28 42.72 -0.16 52.45 7.38 -12.47 0.01 0.05 0.97 0.20P 3.50R 3.50 Carlisle 21 21 -12 -5.78 19.12 -8.93 52.11 7.26 -16.51 0.00 0.02 0.69 0.17P 3.87R 3.87 Oldham 20 20 -9 -6.52 15.32 -7.77 55.89 7.60 -8.48 0.01 0.17 2.69 0.72P 1.47R 1.47 Stevenage 20 16 -9 -9.23 6.47 -6.37 48.55 7.33 -12.79 0.00 0.00 0.21 0.06P 9.34R 9.34 Morecambe 21 15 -22 -5.24 20.08 -8.91 39.56 6.81 -36.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 58.27R 58.27National League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 December 2019, AFC_Fylde 0 0 Sutton_United; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Barrow 24 47 +19 8.35 87.19 10.54 80.77 6.98 24.37 31.24 85.97 44.04P 0.00 0.00 Yeovil 25 44 +13 0.16 50.59 -1.24 80.93 6.80 25.30 32.30 87.44 50.39P 0.00 0.00 Bromley 25 44 +12 5.80 77.63 6.23 76.73 6.82 17.81 12.82 69.96 25.43P 0.00R 0.00 Woking 25 41 +6 7.83 84.05 7.77 69.22 6.89 5.06 1.76 26.83 6.23P 0.18R 0.00 Solihull_Moors 24 40 +12 0.96 54.79 2.91 75.98 6.93 20.60 12.08 66.68 27.55P 0.02R 0.00 Harrogate_Town 25 40 +4 2.49 62.84 -0.70 70.97 6.83 7.04 2.92 35.72 10.06P 0.10R 0.00 Halifax 24 38 +2 6.64 82.41 3.96 68.25 6.77 2.35 1.09 21.89 4.99P 0.27R 0.01 Stockport 25 38 -4 8.52 86.70 3.89 61.92 6.78 -11.75 0.15 5.05 0.90P 3.26R 0.21 Boreham_Wood 25 37 +8 1.43 57.92 6.12 67.34 6.68 10.31 0.86 19.53 4.90P 0.33R 0.01 Barnet 24 34 +3 -1.24 43.66 -0.48 65.87 6.87 5.53 0.57 14.76 3.88P 0.65R 0.03 Torquay 25 34 +0 2.54 63.18 5.28 59.53 6.87 -5.80 0.06 2.81 0.54P 6.65R 0.72 Notts_County 24 33 +8 -8.16 13.65 -4.38 70.94 7.02 19.76 3.59 39.79 15.79P 0.12R 0.01 Eastleigh 24 33 -2 1.35 57.94 0.08 61.77 6.80 -4.28 0.13 4.99 1.07P 3.17R 0.26 Hartlepool 24 32 +3 -1.12 44.45 2.92 62.24 6.91 2.84 0.16 6.40 1.46P 2.76R 0.19 Dover_Athletic 23 32 -3 0.52 53.38 -2.78 62.09 7.16 -5.35 0.21 6.13 1.42P 3.71R 0.34 Maidenhead 25 31 -3 1.26 57.59 4.06 55.64 6.49 -9.56 0.00 0.55 0.08P 15.74R 2.05 Dag_&_Red 25 30 -3 -3.71 31.42 -2.15 57.06 6.61 -5.59 0.02 1.01 0.23P 11.22R 1.18 AFC_Fylde 24 28 -9 -6.58 18.64 -11.34 59.90 6.95 -6.56 0.04 3.12 0.79P 6.28R 0.74 Sutton_United 25 27 -5 -5.12 24.63 -1.90 54.80 6.58 -6.33 0.00 0.42 0.07P 18.52R 2.80 Aldershot 25 27 -10 -0.89 46.06 -0.68 51.42 6.40 -16.28 0.00 0.09 0.01P 37.30R 7.21 Wrexham 25 26 -5 -8.99 11.06 -6.26 56.44 6.58 -2.48 0.00 0.73 0.18P 12.28R 1.77 Ebbsfleet_United 25 23 -12 -9.46 10.17 -8.70 50.68 6.71 -14.18 0.00 0.08 0.01P 40.99R 9.58 Chesterfield 25 23 -14 -9.39 10.57 -10.73 49.47 6.57 -17.90 0.00 0.04 0.00P 49.25R 12.60 Chorley 25 23 -20 -0.06 51.40 -2.40 42.23 6.28 -34.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 87.21R 60.30