Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 17 December 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 16 December 2019, Crystal_Palace 1 1 Brighton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        17   49  +28      10.97    99.30     2.59    96.09     5.71    59.46    92.25    99.50    99.98   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        17   39  +29       8.22    92.66    17.41    75.15     6.50    40.13     0.69    15.88    77.07    92.62    99.40     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         17   35  +28      -4.74    16.43    -1.98    83.70     5.53    64.07     7.06    83.10    98.17    99.73    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          17   29   +6      -0.94    42.91    -3.99    64.34     6.57    16.05     0.01     0.71     9.47    37.74    81.88     0.00R    0.00  
Tottenham        17   26   +8      -4.70    20.22    -3.55    64.71     6.48    23.67     0.00     0.67    10.77    42.91    85.06     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          17   25   +6      -3.28    28.42    -1.24    61.04     6.47    16.92     0.00     0.13     3.80    19.94    68.36     0.01R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        17   25   +5       3.80    74.31     8.26    49.98     6.44    -1.70     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.83     9.11     0.96R    0.03  
Wolverhampton    17   24   +3       1.13    58.06     4.08    51.36     6.45     0.20     0.00     0.00     0.13     1.34    13.01     0.59R    0.03  
Crystal_Palace   17   23   -4       2.21    65.82     0.07    49.76     6.41    -7.55     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.73     8.04     1.18R    0.04  
Arsenal          17   22   -3      -4.58    21.63    -7.55    54.03     6.66     1.37     0.00     0.01     0.36     3.47    23.69     0.28R    0.02  
Newcastle        17   22   -7       2.04    65.05    -1.54    47.34     6.30   -12.43     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.30     3.90     2.75R    0.11  
Burnley          17   21   -7       2.28    66.69     1.08    43.78     6.29   -17.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     1.36     8.68R    0.58  
Brighton         17   20   -4       2.11    65.89     5.24    42.78     6.25   -13.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.93    10.76R    0.84  
Bournemouth      17   19   -5      -0.49    47.89     2.04    44.86     6.47   -11.04     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.13     2.12     6.57R    0.46  
West_Ham         17   19   -9      -1.37    41.73    -3.76    42.22     6.25   -19.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.68    13.23R    1.13  
Everton          17   18   -9      -3.70    26.32    -5.74    45.07     6.46   -12.59     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.13     2.20     6.05R    0.39  
Aston_Villa      17   15   -7      -2.12    36.56     4.77    38.20     6.52   -17.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.21    31.77R    5.34  
Southampton      17   15  -18      -1.30    42.03    -5.18    35.81     6.16   -32.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    50.00R    9.77  
Norwich          17   12  -17      -3.10    29.78    -1.06    30.24     6.07   -37.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.19R   35.95  
Watford          17    9  -23      -7.06     8.51    -9.96    28.94     6.03   -37.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.97R   45.32  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 December 2019, Barnsley 5 3 QPR; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

West_Brom       22   49  +22       8.35    89.17     5.37    93.49     7.15    40.43    65.31    91.39    99.70    94.06P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    22   47  +22       8.30    88.94     9.48    88.75     7.06    35.20    30.22    78.07    98.57    84.31P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         22   37   +8       3.87    71.17     3.47    72.05     7.24    10.96     0.50     3.64    46.59    13.40P    0.01R    0.00  
Brentford       22   36  +16      -0.74    45.43     6.08    75.18     7.20    25.37     1.68     8.91    66.08    26.80P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       22   36  +13       2.41    63.66     7.79    73.29     7.21    19.43     0.75     5.33    55.22    18.23P    0.01R    0.00  
Fulham          22   35   +9       0.29    51.49     2.09    71.89     7.40    14.86     0.58     4.22    46.96    15.68P    0.03R    0.00  
Bristol_City    22   35   +2       3.50    69.48     0.32    69.16     7.30     3.88     0.20     1.59    31.17     7.98P    0.08R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   21   34   +6       4.16    73.38     4.31    70.71     7.35     9.67     0.33     2.41    39.55    10.56P    0.05R    0.00  
Blackburn       22   34   +2       4.03    72.37     2.58    67.24     7.22     2.40     0.09     0.86    22.23     5.08P    0.17R    0.01  
Swansea         22   34   +2       1.78    60.29    -0.88    69.01     7.13     5.25     0.11     1.34    29.87     7.93P    0.08R    0.00  
Millwall        22   33   +0       5.30    78.51     3.53    64.56     7.08    -1.90     0.02     0.32    12.55     2.47P    0.44R    0.02  
Cardiff         22   32   +2      -0.75    46.02    -1.82    68.25     7.45     6.89     0.16     1.42    28.03     8.29P    0.13R    0.01  
QPR             22   31   -7       5.34    78.71     1.03    59.30     7.12   -15.21     0.01     0.05     3.48     0.56P    3.11R    0.27  
Hull            22   30   +3      -0.99    44.82     2.01    64.04     7.28     4.33     0.03     0.36    12.70     2.95P    0.54R    0.04  
Birmingham      22   28   -7       0.98    56.38    -2.41    57.18     7.04   -12.67     0.00     0.02     1.81     0.33P    5.52R    0.71  
Derby           22   26   -7      -4.96    23.71    -8.28    59.21     7.15    -6.48     0.01     0.06     3.49     0.92P    3.22R    0.33  
Charlton        22   24   -2      -3.50    31.09     2.05    53.77     7.14    -6.74     0.00     0.00     0.74     0.15P   12.21R    1.94  
Reading         21   23   -2      -2.15    37.78     3.54    53.29     7.17    -7.95     0.00     0.00     0.64     0.11P   13.70R    2.37  
Huddersfield    22   22  -10      -3.45    31.16    -3.01    49.77     7.05   -17.36     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P   28.78R    6.67  
Middlesbrough   22   21  -12      -8.00    11.68   -10.86    52.88     6.93   -13.01     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.11P   15.43R    2.56  
Luton           22   20  -18      -3.29    32.45    -5.90    46.34     7.19   -29.69     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   49.73R   17.11  
Stoke           22   18  -11      -9.21     8.03    -6.83    47.04     6.96   -16.54     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   41.87R   12.41  
Wigan           22   18  -15      -6.74    15.30    -6.98    45.18     6.87   -23.59     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   54.58R   19.48  
Barnsley        22   16  -16      -8.78     9.64    -6.68    42.18     7.16   -27.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.29R   36.07  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 December 2019, AFC_Wimbledon 2 1 Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Wycombe              20   43  +16      12.94    97.90    11.89    77.66     7.10    18.63    22.54    40.75    81.32    47.99P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich              19   36  +14       3.55    71.12     4.62    78.30     7.39    26.16    27.87    46.53    83.75    57.22P    0.00R    0.00  
Peterborough         20   35  +18       0.42    52.34     6.49    75.84     7.30    30.85    18.34    34.76    75.95    46.04P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       19   34   +4       6.47    84.97     1.59    67.88     7.40     3.13     2.44     6.48    32.13    11.16P    0.00R    0.00  
Blackpool            20   33   +7       3.59    71.17     4.02    69.03     7.08    11.82     2.88     7.87    38.82    14.78P    0.00R    0.00  
Rotherham            20   31  +11      -2.10    37.29     2.12    70.89     7.44    21.71     6.30    14.52    50.93    24.93P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             20   31   +2       3.19    69.65     1.29    63.35     7.06     1.49     0.45     1.57    13.79     3.96P    0.05R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           19   30  +17      -0.31    47.87    10.49    70.67     7.38    26.98     6.28    14.24    50.58    23.56P    0.00R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       18   30   +7       1.49    59.66     1.17    67.96     7.61    10.50     3.03     7.48    34.67    13.79P    0.01R    0.00  
Portsmouth           19   28   +5      -3.47    28.80    -3.58    68.44     7.48    14.29     3.26     8.03    37.36    16.29P    0.02R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           19   28   -2       2.36    65.21    -1.81    61.55     7.23    -2.76     0.27     1.02     9.58     2.62P    0.17R    0.00  
Sunderland           19   27   +4      -5.90    17.07    -6.57    68.93     7.39    15.58     3.35     8.66    40.21    18.94P    0.01R    0.00  
Gillingham           20   25   +1      -1.35    42.34     2.55    57.96     7.13     0.94     0.07     0.27     3.88     1.02P    0.67R    0.00  
Doncaster            17   24   +6      -3.03    30.71     0.42    66.71     7.85    14.85     2.42     6.15    30.20    12.50P    0.04R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        19   24   -1      -2.66    34.23    -1.99    62.54     7.40     5.45     0.44     1.40    13.07     4.30P    0.13R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         19   24   -1       0.64    55.09     2.88    56.48     7.36    -3.38     0.06     0.23     2.78     0.72P    1.16R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley   20   22   -1      -3.14    31.74     2.79    52.63     7.08    -4.69     0.00     0.03     0.78     0.17P    3.19R    0.02  
Rochdale             20   22  -11      -0.05    50.91    -1.90    48.43     6.84   -21.80     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   10.85R    0.14  
AFC_Wimbledon        20   20   -6      -3.17    31.49     0.43    48.11     6.88   -13.17     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   10.93R    0.15  
Tranmere             19   17  -12      -1.76    39.61     0.23    41.63     7.05   -27.58     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   42.35R    1.65  
MK_Dons              20   17  -13      -5.07    21.45    -4.89    42.26     6.92   -24.77     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    37.46R    1.20  
Southend             21    7  -37     -11.19     2.15   -17.88    28.55     6.43   -55.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.12R   40.63  
Bolton               17    2  -28      -0.91    45.11   -14.35    26.20     7.19   -48.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.82R   56.21  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 December 2019, Carlisle 0 0 Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot1     Bot1

Swindon          21   42  +15       7.84    87.81     7.06    82.23     7.39    23.86    33.65    66.73    93.16    73.14P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           21   39   +6       6.60    84.06     0.67    77.49     7.27    12.26    12.42    39.63    80.06    49.27P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       20   35  +16       4.77    76.84    11.86    74.12     7.59    21.19     7.26    27.13    67.35    36.33P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            20   35  +10       5.13    78.30     6.32    73.56     7.63    14.29     5.95    23.52    63.04    32.08P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         20   35   +9       1.58    59.14     0.35    78.35     7.72    20.34    17.14    46.82    82.64    57.09P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     21   35   +8       3.41    69.63     3.81    72.87     7.24    13.44     4.46    19.50    60.00    29.40P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      21   34   +9       1.58    59.48     3.63    71.63     7.44    13.98     3.51    16.36    53.99    25.57P    0.00R    0.00  
Plymouth         20   32   +8      -1.05    43.69    -0.54    76.05     7.80    20.35    11.24    35.85    75.05    47.75P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       20   31   +7       0.15    51.08     1.93    71.04     7.52    13.52     3.10    14.87    50.75    24.27P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        21   29   -1       2.84    67.52     2.29    59.81     7.11    -5.41     0.06     0.59     6.04     1.64P    0.23R    0.23  
Cambridge_Utd    21   28   +5       1.44    59.21     7.70    61.36     7.16     4.17     0.11     0.98     9.72     2.74P    0.13R    0.13  
Newport_County   19   28   +2       2.27    64.97     2.04    65.14     7.64     2.70     0.57     3.68    21.73     7.52P    0.05R    0.05  
Scunthorpe       21   25   +1      -8.23    11.59    -5.65    64.32     7.62     8.49     0.46     3.22    20.39     8.47P    0.07R    0.07  
Salford_City     21   25   -7       3.05    69.23     3.38    50.35     7.04   -20.46     0.00     0.01     0.38     0.07P    5.94R    5.94  
Macclesfield     20   24   -3       2.12    64.53     4.54    52.00     7.07   -13.61     0.00     0.03     0.64     0.13P    3.56R    3.56  
Crawley_Town     21   23   -6      -1.62    41.18     0.14    52.42     7.14   -13.26     0.00     0.04     0.72     0.14P    3.31R    3.31  
Walsall          21   23  -11      -5.18    22.05   -10.43    56.19     7.38   -12.02     0.01     0.15     2.50     0.72P    1.29R    1.29  
Mansfield        21   22   -3     -10.18     6.03    -8.11    59.63     7.37     1.95     0.04     0.61     7.05     2.47P    0.41R    0.41  
Leyton_Orient    21   22   -8      -0.84    46.36     1.16    49.03     7.21   -19.03     0.00     0.01     0.23     0.04P    8.56R    8.56  
Grimsby          19   21   -5      -1.28    42.72    -0.16    52.45     7.38   -12.47     0.01     0.05     0.97     0.20P    3.50R    3.50  
Carlisle         21   21  -12      -5.78    19.12    -8.93    52.11     7.26   -16.51     0.00     0.02     0.69     0.17P    3.87R    3.87  
Oldham           20   20   -9      -6.52    15.32    -7.77    55.89     7.60    -8.48     0.01     0.17     2.69     0.72P    1.47R    1.47  
Stevenage        20   16   -9      -9.23     6.47    -6.37    48.55     7.33   -12.79     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.06P    9.34R    9.34  
Morecambe        21   15  -22      -5.24    20.08    -8.91    39.56     6.81   -36.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   58.27R   58.27  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 December 2019, AFC_Fylde 0 0 Sutton_United; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barrow             24   47  +19       8.35    87.19    10.54    80.77     6.98    24.37    31.24    85.97    44.04P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil             25   44  +13       0.16    50.59    -1.24    80.93     6.80    25.30    32.30    87.44    50.39P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley            25   44  +12       5.80    77.63     6.23    76.73     6.82    17.81    12.82    69.96    25.43P    0.00R    0.00  
Woking             25   41   +6       7.83    84.05     7.77    69.22     6.89     5.06     1.76    26.83     6.23P    0.18R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors     24   40  +12       0.96    54.79     2.91    75.98     6.93    20.60    12.08    66.68    27.55P    0.02R    0.00  
Harrogate_Town     25   40   +4       2.49    62.84    -0.70    70.97     6.83     7.04     2.92    35.72    10.06P    0.10R    0.00  
Halifax            24   38   +2       6.64    82.41     3.96    68.25     6.77     2.35     1.09    21.89     4.99P    0.27R    0.01  
Stockport          25   38   -4       8.52    86.70     3.89    61.92     6.78   -11.75     0.15     5.05     0.90P    3.26R    0.21  
Boreham_Wood       25   37   +8       1.43    57.92     6.12    67.34     6.68    10.31     0.86    19.53     4.90P    0.33R    0.01  
Barnet             24   34   +3      -1.24    43.66    -0.48    65.87     6.87     5.53     0.57    14.76     3.88P    0.65R    0.03  
Torquay            25   34   +0       2.54    63.18     5.28    59.53     6.87    -5.80     0.06     2.81     0.54P    6.65R    0.72  
Notts_County       24   33   +8      -8.16    13.65    -4.38    70.94     7.02    19.76     3.59    39.79    15.79P    0.12R    0.01  
Eastleigh          24   33   -2       1.35    57.94     0.08    61.77     6.80    -4.28     0.13     4.99     1.07P    3.17R    0.26  
Hartlepool         24   32   +3      -1.12    44.45     2.92    62.24     6.91     2.84     0.16     6.40     1.46P    2.76R    0.19  
Dover_Athletic     23   32   -3       0.52    53.38    -2.78    62.09     7.16    -5.35     0.21     6.13     1.42P    3.71R    0.34  
Maidenhead         25   31   -3       1.26    57.59     4.06    55.64     6.49    -9.56     0.00     0.55     0.08P   15.74R    2.05  
Dag_&_Red          25   30   -3      -3.71    31.42    -2.15    57.06     6.61    -5.59     0.02     1.01     0.23P   11.22R    1.18  
AFC_Fylde          24   28   -9      -6.58    18.64   -11.34    59.90     6.95    -6.56     0.04     3.12     0.79P    6.28R    0.74  
Sutton_United      25   27   -5      -5.12    24.63    -1.90    54.80     6.58    -6.33     0.00     0.42     0.07P   18.52R    2.80  
Aldershot          25   27  -10      -0.89    46.06    -0.68    51.42     6.40   -16.28     0.00     0.09     0.01P   37.30R    7.21  
Wrexham            25   26   -5      -8.99    11.06    -6.26    56.44     6.58    -2.48     0.00     0.73     0.18P   12.28R    1.77  
Ebbsfleet_United   25   23  -12      -9.46    10.17    -8.70    50.68     6.71   -14.18     0.00     0.08     0.01P   40.99R    9.58  
Chesterfield       25   23  -14      -9.39    10.57   -10.73    49.47     6.57   -17.90     0.00     0.04     0.00P   49.25R   12.60  
Chorley            25   23  -20      -0.06    51.40    -2.40    42.23     6.28   -34.92     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.21R   60.30