Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 16 December 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 16 December 2019, Crystal_Palace 1 1 Brighton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        17   49  +28      10.98    99.28     2.56    96.09     5.69    59.53    92.20    99.53    99.99   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        17   39  +29       8.24    92.76    17.39    75.17     6.50    40.20     0.76    15.85    76.70    92.53    99.40     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         17   35  +28      -4.76    16.47    -2.08    83.71     5.56    64.18     7.03    83.08    98.12    99.67    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          17   29   +6      -0.95    42.63    -4.02    64.37     6.58    16.07     0.00     0.63     9.48    37.67    81.82     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        17   26   +8      -4.75    19.79    -3.61    64.84     6.49    23.85     0.00     0.75    11.18    43.34    85.12     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          17   25   +6      -3.20    29.37    -1.15    60.97     6.47    16.81     0.00     0.15     3.71    19.52    67.65     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        17   25   +5       3.67    73.53     8.09    50.10     6.43    -1.47     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.90     9.32     0.88R    0.03  
Wolverhampton    17   24   +3       1.09    57.90     4.00    51.48     6.48     0.35     0.00     0.00     0.17     1.44    13.24     0.58R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   17   23   -4       2.17    65.45     0.03    49.83     6.37    -7.50     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.73     8.14     1.09R    0.03  
Arsenal          17   22   -3      -4.72    20.82    -7.78    54.17     6.68     1.54     0.00     0.01     0.48     3.60    24.17     0.23R    0.01  
Newcastle        17   22   -7       1.98    64.63    -1.59    47.37     6.32   -12.40     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.27     3.85     2.74R    0.09  
Burnley          17   21   -7       2.35    67.16     1.26    43.69     6.29   -17.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     1.16     8.87R    0.57  
Brighton         17   20   -4       2.13    66.34     5.21    42.72     6.24   -13.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.91    10.79R    0.74  
Bournemouth      17   19   -5      -0.39    48.31     2.28    44.73     6.46   -11.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10     1.98     6.57R    0.44  
West_Ham         17   19   -9      -1.32    41.94    -3.72    42.18     6.23   -19.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.72    13.10R    1.02  
Everton          17   18   -9      -3.68    26.35    -5.70    45.05     6.52   -12.61     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.12     2.28     6.22R    0.44  
Aston_Villa      17   15   -7      -2.08    36.72     4.89    38.20     6.50   -17.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.22    31.50R    5.27  
Southampton      17   15  -18      -1.39    41.10    -5.34    35.90     6.16   -32.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    49.23R    9.41  
Norwich          17   12  -17      -2.99    30.55    -0.89    30.14     6.06   -37.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.64R   35.58  
Watford          17    9  -23      -6.96     8.91    -9.83    28.75     6.04   -38.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.55R   46.38  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 December 2019, Barnsley 5 3 QPR; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

West_Brom       22   49  +22       8.21    88.86     5.09    93.68     7.13    40.76    65.92    91.78    99.72    94.30P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    22   47  +22       8.30    88.70     9.47    88.73     7.02    35.22    29.44    77.85    98.67    84.23P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         22   37   +8       3.93    71.14     3.55    72.05     7.21    10.90     0.50     3.63    46.52    13.63P    0.02R    0.00  
Brentford       22   36  +16      -0.86    44.73     5.93    75.25     7.24    25.47     1.73     9.07    66.24    26.52P    0.01R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       22   36  +13       2.37    63.51     7.69    73.35     7.20    19.52     0.81     5.30    55.72    17.98P    0.01R    0.00  
Fulham          22   35   +9       0.34    51.79     2.17    71.89     7.44    14.83     0.65     4.15    47.17    15.54P    0.04R    0.00  
Bristol_City    22   35   +2       3.42    68.91     0.18    69.20     7.28     3.94     0.19     1.64    31.00     7.97P    0.07R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   21   34   +6       4.25    73.81     4.46    70.59     7.30     9.47     0.32     2.40    38.71    10.66P    0.05R    0.00  
Blackburn       22   34   +2       3.94    71.99     2.46    67.32     7.24     2.54     0.08     0.80    22.53     5.19P    0.16R    0.01  
Swansea         22   34   +2       1.79    60.14    -0.88    69.05     7.21     5.33     0.16     1.37    30.43     8.27P    0.10R    0.00  
Millwall        22   33   +0       5.32    78.50     3.62    64.51     7.08    -1.93     0.03     0.30    12.39     2.52P    0.51R    0.04  
Cardiff         22   32   +2      -0.69    46.52    -1.75    68.18     7.48     6.80     0.14     1.34    27.92     8.00P    0.16R    0.01  
QPR             22   31   -7       5.42    78.93     1.10    59.29     7.11   -15.25     0.00     0.03     3.36     0.55P    3.20R    0.31  
Hull            22   30   +3      -0.97    44.73     2.09    63.94     7.26     4.17     0.03     0.31    12.46     3.03P    0.64R    0.04  
Birmingham      22   28   -7       1.09    57.10    -2.27    57.10     7.06   -12.85     0.00     0.01     1.73     0.34P    5.74R    0.70  
Derby           22   26   -7      -5.08    22.91    -8.46    59.36     7.14    -6.27     0.00     0.01     3.55     0.85P    3.00R    0.35  
Charlton        22   24   -2      -3.32    32.09     2.31    53.59     7.11    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.69     0.16P   12.55R    2.09  
Reading         21   23   -2      -2.29    37.06     3.29    53.40     7.20    -7.77     0.00     0.00     0.64     0.14P   13.47R    2.33  
Huddersfield    22   22  -10      -3.38    31.80    -2.89    49.67     7.04   -17.50     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P   28.94R    6.58  
Middlesbrough   22   21  -12      -7.96    11.40   -10.79    52.87     6.92   -13.05     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.10P   15.07R    2.63  
Luton           22   20  -18      -3.29    32.46    -5.84    46.21     7.20   -29.80     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   50.25R   17.49  
Stoke           22   18  -11      -9.34     7.61    -6.99    47.16     6.89   -16.31     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   41.31R   11.71  
Wigan           22   18  -15      -6.80    15.14    -7.06    45.21     6.88   -23.56     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   54.29R   19.40  
Barnsley        22   16  -16      -8.65    10.05    -6.49    42.11     7.15   -27.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.43R   36.32  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 December 2019, AFC_Wimbledon 2 1 Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Wycombe              20   43  +16      12.90    97.82    11.82    77.69     7.17    18.66    22.89    41.22    81.56    48.34P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich              19   36  +14       3.59    70.96     4.65    78.12     7.42    25.98    27.51    45.80    82.96    56.49P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         20   35  +18       0.33    51.35     6.33    75.86     7.29    30.93    18.53    35.18    76.36    46.53P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       19   34   +4       6.48    85.03     1.58    67.82     7.39     3.06     2.35     6.42    32.15    11.23P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackpool            20   33   +7       3.58    70.93     4.01    69.07     7.06    11.88     2.95     7.93    39.11    14.91P    0.01R    0.00  
Rotherham            20   31  +11      -2.02    37.63     2.27    70.72     7.41    21.46     5.88    13.99    50.61    24.34P    0.00R    0.00  
Coventry             20   31   +2       3.18    69.58     1.27    63.30     7.05     1.41     0.50     1.57    13.51     3.94P    0.04R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           19   30  +17      -0.43    47.34    10.25    70.95     7.42    27.41     6.95    15.40    52.50    25.17P    0.00R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       18   30   +7       1.54    59.76     1.28    67.89     7.64    10.38     3.07     7.48    34.20    13.56P    0.01R    0.00  
Portsmouth           19   28   +5      -3.42    29.04    -3.49    68.37     7.42    14.19     3.08     7.90    36.97    15.95P    0.01R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           19   28   -2       2.42    65.52    -1.67    61.44     7.12    -2.86     0.24     0.79     8.97     2.45P    0.14R    0.00  
Sunderland           19   27   +4      -5.76    17.62    -6.38    68.76     7.28    15.37     3.14     8.16    39.39    18.17P    0.01R    0.00  
Gillingham           20   25   +1      -1.52    41.13     2.26    58.15     7.14     1.21     0.07     0.30     4.10     1.04P    0.69R    0.00  
Doncaster            17   24   +6      -2.94    31.39     0.57    66.63     7.79    14.79     2.30     6.09    30.05    12.46P    0.04R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        19   24   -1      -2.68    33.88    -2.00    62.62     7.38     5.58     0.46     1.46    13.23     4.34P    0.15R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         19   24   -1       0.51    54.23     2.67    56.66     7.46    -3.14     0.09     0.27     3.33     0.88P    1.18R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   20   22   -1      -3.00    32.41     3.01    52.54     7.04    -4.93     0.01     0.02     0.72     0.14P    3.25R    0.02  
Rochdale             20   22  -11      -0.05    50.81    -1.94    48.56     6.90   -21.66     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P   10.19R    0.14  
AFC_Wimbledon        20   20   -6      -3.23    30.86     0.36    48.21     6.90   -13.07     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P   10.68R    0.13  
Tranmere             19   17  -12      -1.58    40.97     0.53    41.43     7.07   -27.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.66R    1.71  
MK_Dons              20   17  -13      -5.07    21.34    -4.83    42.24     6.94   -24.84     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    37.10R    1.34  
Southend             21    7  -37     -11.26     2.08   -17.99    28.67     6.44   -55.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.90R   40.60  
Bolton               17    2  -28      -1.06    43.78   -14.54    26.31     7.11   -48.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.93R   56.06  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 December 2019, Carlisle 0 0 Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot1     Bot1

Swindon          21   42  +15       7.71    87.41     6.91    82.36     7.38    24.06    34.05    67.56    93.32    74.20P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           21   39   +6       6.56    83.68     0.62    77.60     7.31    12.41    12.62    40.50    80.38    49.97P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       20   35  +16       4.88    77.39    12.02    74.01     7.58    21.03     6.95    26.18    66.92    35.29P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            20   35  +10       5.12    78.25     6.35    73.57     7.60    14.29     5.89    23.32    63.41    31.93P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         20   35   +9       1.50    58.79     0.24    78.47     7.69    20.51    17.42    47.28    83.35    58.25P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     21   35   +8       3.52    70.42     3.90    72.77     7.24    13.28     4.41    19.03    59.69    28.66P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      21   34   +9       1.64    59.60     3.73    71.54     7.45    13.88     3.40    16.24    53.57    25.22P    0.00R    0.00  
Plymouth         20   32   +8      -0.97    43.91    -0.40    76.00     7.78    20.28    10.98    35.56    75.18    47.39P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       20   31   +7       0.08    50.62     1.86    70.98     7.55    13.48     3.12    14.87    50.63    24.11P    0.00R    0.00  
Port_Vale        21   29   -1       2.85    67.46     2.26    59.77     7.05    -5.48     0.07     0.50     5.91     1.50P    0.26R    0.26  
Cambridge_Utd    21   28   +5       1.38    59.10     7.58    61.40     7.17     4.27     0.10     1.11     9.96     2.87P    0.13R    0.13  
Newport_County   19   28   +2       2.31    64.94     2.09    65.06     7.60     2.55     0.53     3.50    21.44     7.28P    0.06R    0.06  
Scunthorpe       21   25   +1      -8.10    11.95    -5.43    64.25     7.61     8.36     0.40     3.21    20.28     8.52P    0.08R    0.08  
Salford_City     21   25   -7       2.95    68.54     3.21    50.46     7.06   -20.32     0.00     0.02     0.38     0.07P    5.91R    5.91  
Macclesfield     20   24   -3       2.12    64.47     4.56    51.95     7.07   -13.69     0.00     0.04     0.70     0.13P    3.63R    3.63  
Crawley_Town     21   23   -6      -1.72    40.56    -0.05    52.63     7.18   -12.94     0.00     0.05     0.81     0.17P    3.32R    3.32  
Walsall          21   23  -11      -5.01    22.75   -10.21    56.01     7.36   -12.24     0.01     0.15     2.39     0.74P    1.34R    1.34  
Mansfield        21   22   -3     -10.09     6.44    -7.97    59.45     7.34     1.70     0.04     0.62     6.79     2.40P    0.33R    0.33  
Leyton_Orient    21   22   -8      -0.98    45.23     0.98    49.23     7.23   -18.79     0.00     0.02     0.32     0.07P    8.14R    8.14  
Grimsby          19   21   -5      -1.28    42.59    -0.16    52.42     7.37   -12.53     0.00     0.06     0.95     0.24P    3.66R    3.66  
Carlisle         21   21  -12      -5.74    19.47    -8.90    52.24     7.24   -16.34     0.00     0.03     0.74     0.19P    3.82R    3.82  
Oldham           20   20   -9      -6.57    15.37    -7.79    55.89     7.57    -8.51     0.01     0.17     2.65     0.73P    1.56R    1.56  
Stevenage        20   16   -9      -9.25     6.62    -6.41    48.61     7.34   -12.74     0.00     0.01     0.25     0.08P    9.24R    9.24  
Morecambe        21   15  -22      -5.27    19.83    -9.01    39.54     6.79   -36.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.52R   58.52  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 December 2019, AFC_Fylde 0 0 Sutton_United; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barrow             24   47  +19       8.35    87.09    10.52    80.78     6.96    24.40    31.30    85.98    43.97P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil             25   44  +13       0.03    49.70    -1.47    81.05     6.78    25.45    32.98    87.68    50.71P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley            25   44  +12       5.72    77.07     6.09    76.76     6.78    17.95    12.56    70.09    25.34P    0.00R    0.00  
Woking             25   41   +6       7.68    83.55     7.54    69.33     6.90     5.23     1.78    27.41     6.55P    0.18R    0.01  
Solihull_Moors     24   40  +12       1.07    55.65     3.10    75.84     6.95    20.41    11.59    65.85    26.55P    0.01R    0.00  
Harrogate_Town     25   40   +4       2.49    62.82    -0.71    70.95     6.78     7.05     2.75    35.69     9.93P    0.06R    0.00  
Halifax            24   38   +2       6.72    82.66     4.06    68.16     6.81     2.22     1.07    21.31     4.88P    0.30R    0.01  
Stockport          25   38   -4       8.36    86.05     3.63    62.04     6.75   -11.57     0.09     5.06     0.81P    2.97R    0.15  
Boreham_Wood       25   37   +8       1.48    58.08     6.18    67.25     6.65    10.21     0.91    19.08     4.85P    0.31R    0.01  
Barnet             24   34   +3      -1.18    43.99    -0.43    65.86     6.91     5.52     0.56    14.86     3.96P    0.72R    0.05  
Torquay            25   34   +0       2.58    63.34     5.30    59.53     6.88    -5.86     0.07     2.95     0.57P    6.53R    0.61  
Notts_County       24   33   +8      -8.33    13.34    -4.63    71.07     7.05    19.95     3.78    40.36    16.33P    0.13R    0.01  
Eastleigh          24   33   -2       1.18    56.85    -0.15    61.98     6.80    -3.99     0.13     5.15     1.10P    3.16R    0.23  
Hartlepool         24   32   +3      -1.18    44.14     2.82    62.24     6.94     2.86     0.15     6.47     1.51P    2.79R    0.21  
Dover_Athletic     23   32   -3       0.62    53.82    -2.64    62.02     7.10    -5.50     0.21     5.96     1.35P    3.47R    0.29  
Maidenhead         25   31   -3       1.37    58.32     4.27    55.63     6.51    -9.64     0.01     0.59     0.12P   15.64R    2.06  
Dag_&_Red          25   30   -3      -3.68    31.70    -2.09    57.02     6.65    -5.66     0.01     1.06     0.26P   11.36R    1.12  
AFC_Fylde          24   28   -9      -6.70    18.22   -11.54    59.99     6.97    -6.41     0.06     3.21     0.87P    6.38R    0.71  
Sutton_United      25   27   -5      -4.87    25.92    -1.51    54.52     6.59    -6.68     0.01     0.35     0.08P   19.44R    2.99  
Aldershot          25   27  -10      -0.96    45.73    -0.74    51.42     6.43   -16.28     0.00     0.08     0.01P   37.15R    7.19  
Wrexham            25   26   -5      -8.95    11.60    -6.17    56.44     6.61    -2.48     0.01     0.72     0.23P   12.38R    1.87  
Ebbsfleet_United   25   23  -12      -9.38    10.54    -8.60    50.65     6.68   -14.25     0.00     0.07     0.01P   40.67R    9.49  
Chesterfield       25   23  -14      -9.33    10.43   -10.61    49.49     6.61   -17.87     0.00     0.03     0.01P   48.87R   12.40  
Chorley            25   23  -20       0.05    51.90    -2.25    42.18     6.23   -35.06     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.49R   60.59