Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Sunday 15 December 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 15 December 2019, Arsenal 0 3 Man_City; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Liverpool 17 49 +28 11.01 99.25 2.63 96.10 5.68 59.53 92.04 99.49 99.99 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Leicester 17 39 +29 8.22 92.78 17.40 75.14 6.54 40.09 0.85 15.92 76.41 92.43 99.36 0.00 0.00 Man_City 17 35 +28 -4.77 16.20 -2.12 83.70 5.49 64.12 7.09 83.02 98.13 99.73 99.98 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 17 29 +6 -0.97 42.89 -4.02 64.39 6.56 16.10 0.01 0.62 9.67 37.67 81.81 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 17 26 +8 -4.80 19.47 -3.65 64.82 6.49 23.81 0.01 0.76 11.07 43.34 84.88 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 17 25 +6 -3.21 29.00 -1.19 61.05 6.46 16.91 0.00 0.18 3.95 19.59 67.54 0.01R 0.00 Sheff_Utd 17 25 +5 3.76 74.04 8.24 49.98 6.49 -1.67 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.90 8.95 1.07R 0.03 Wolverhampton 17 24 +3 1.03 57.27 3.96 51.51 6.50 0.40 0.00 0.00 0.16 1.28 12.98 0.61R 0.02 Arsenal 17 22 -3 -4.60 21.70 -7.54 53.99 6.65 1.35 0.00 0.01 0.39 3.40 23.19 0.33R 0.01 Crystal_Palace 16 22 -4 2.71 69.58 0.27 50.51 6.64 -7.07 0.00 0.00 0.09 1.02 10.10 1.15R 0.04 Newcastle 17 22 -7 2.01 64.62 -1.59 47.36 6.32 -12.36 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.25 3.83 2.72R 0.12 Burnley 17 21 -7 2.41 67.63 1.32 43.60 6.29 -18.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 1.24 9.05R 0.61 Brighton 16 19 -4 2.27 67.43 4.95 42.81 6.41 -14.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 1.02 10.89R 0.93 Bournemouth 17 19 -5 -0.42 48.21 2.18 44.74 6.45 -11.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.11 1.92 6.70R 0.44 West_Ham 17 19 -9 -1.31 42.05 -3.72 42.22 6.28 -19.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.67 13.11R 1.16 Everton 17 18 -9 -3.69 26.30 -5.74 45.14 6.50 -12.48 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.12 2.27 6.26R 0.38 Aston_Villa 17 15 -7 -2.12 36.61 4.82 38.18 6.52 -17.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.20 31.41R 5.15 Southampton 17 15 -18 -1.46 41.01 -5.46 35.97 6.20 -32.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 48.74R 9.31 Norwich 17 12 -17 -3.02 30.31 -0.89 30.18 6.05 -37.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 81.45R 35.47 Watford 17 9 -23 -6.99 8.74 -9.84 28.77 5.98 -38.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 86.51R 46.34Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 December 2019, Barnsley 5 3 QPR; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 West_Brom 22 49 +22 8.30 89.00 5.24 93.67 7.14 40.74 65.78 91.67 99.69 94.22P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 22 47 +22 8.28 88.74 9.43 88.73 7.05 35.21 29.71 77.67 98.65 84.03P 0.00 0.00 Preston 22 37 +8 3.86 71.25 3.43 72.00 7.23 10.88 0.46 3.45 46.42 13.22P 0.01R 0.00 Brentford 22 36 +16 -0.96 44.25 5.80 75.30 7.20 25.58 1.69 9.29 66.55 27.22P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 22 36 +13 2.34 63.48 7.65 73.38 7.23 19.54 0.81 5.38 55.65 18.39P 0.00R 0.00 Fulham 22 35 +9 0.30 51.56 2.13 71.86 7.46 14.81 0.60 4.04 46.94 15.71P 0.03R 0.00 Bristol_City 22 35 +2 3.46 69.36 0.26 69.24 7.25 4.03 0.18 1.57 31.15 7.99P 0.07R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 21 34 +6 4.22 73.56 4.41 70.64 7.37 9.55 0.30 2.59 39.00 10.66P 0.05R 0.00 Blackburn 22 34 +2 4.00 72.24 2.55 67.25 7.23 2.46 0.07 0.83 22.34 4.93P 0.17R 0.01 Swansea 22 34 +2 1.89 60.77 -0.73 68.95 7.22 5.10 0.15 1.35 29.66 7.74P 0.10R 0.00 Millwall 22 33 +0 5.34 78.55 3.62 64.51 7.07 -1.97 0.03 0.29 12.36 2.44P 0.44R 0.03 Cardiff 22 32 +2 -0.76 45.81 -1.88 68.29 7.52 6.99 0.17 1.42 28.34 8.34P 0.15R 0.00 QPR 22 31 -7 5.52 79.37 1.31 59.16 7.10 -15.49 0.00 0.04 3.19 0.44P 3.37R 0.36 Hull 22 30 +3 -1.03 44.57 1.97 64.15 7.26 4.47 0.04 0.35 12.93 3.09P 0.56R 0.04 Birmingham 22 28 -7 1.23 58.24 -2.05 56.97 7.04 -13.00 0.00 0.01 1.75 0.32P 5.97R 0.66 Derby 22 26 -7 -4.98 23.62 -8.29 59.22 7.14 -6.48 0.00 0.05 3.38 0.88P 3.15R 0.30 Charlton 22 24 -2 -3.42 31.79 2.16 53.68 7.22 -6.87 0.00 0.00 0.76 0.18P 12.74R 2.21 Reading 21 23 -2 -2.26 37.10 3.36 53.32 7.18 -7.87 0.00 0.01 0.67 0.10P 13.62R 2.31 Huddersfield 22 22 -10 -3.43 31.26 -2.98 49.72 7.04 -17.39 0.00 0.00 0.17 0.03P 28.80R 6.67 Middlesbrough 22 21 -12 -8.06 11.25 -10.90 52.93 6.94 -12.96 0.00 0.00 0.29 0.07P 14.81R 2.54 Luton 22 20 -18 -3.20 32.93 -5.75 46.25 7.16 -29.83 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 50.18R 17.38 Stoke 22 18 -11 -9.38 7.70 -7.00 47.15 6.97 -16.37 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 41.19R 12.08 Wigan 22 18 -15 -6.89 14.78 -7.19 45.27 6.88 -23.48 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 54.11R 18.89 Barnsley 22 16 -16 -8.67 10.03 -6.53 42.13 7.15 -27.66 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 70.47R 36.50League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 December 2019, AFC_Wimbledon 2 1 Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Wycombe 20 43 +16 13.04 97.85 12.04 77.49 7.13 18.38 22.03 39.88 80.78 47.41P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 19 36 +14 3.58 70.82 4.63 78.17 7.44 26.00 27.95 46.15 83.19 56.47P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 20 35 +18 0.41 52.12 6.49 75.84 7.29 30.88 18.60 35.10 76.16 46.45P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 19 34 +4 6.46 84.77 1.54 67.89 7.40 3.15 2.60 6.65 32.50 11.58P 0.01R 0.00 Blackpool 20 33 +7 3.72 71.69 4.16 68.94 7.11 11.65 2.90 7.83 38.52 14.60P 0.00R 0.00 Rotherham 20 31 +11 -2.21 36.66 1.99 70.97 7.44 21.86 6.30 14.83 51.92 25.46P 0.00R 0.00 Coventry 20 31 +2 3.15 69.38 1.27 63.36 7.07 1.51 0.50 1.59 13.83 4.12P 0.05R 0.00 Oxford_Utd 19 30 +17 -0.41 47.37 10.36 70.89 7.41 27.32 6.74 15.09 52.55 24.86P 0.00R 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 18 30 +7 1.53 60.00 1.28 67.87 7.62 10.39 2.92 7.50 34.16 13.59P 0.01R 0.00 Portsmouth 19 28 +5 -3.31 30.04 -3.35 68.22 7.48 14.00 3.05 7.82 36.32 15.80P 0.02R 0.00 Shrewsbury 19 28 -2 2.42 65.71 -1.72 61.44 7.13 -2.88 0.26 0.87 8.91 2.47P 0.20R 0.00 Sunderland 19 27 +4 -5.84 17.53 -6.50 68.79 7.35 15.41 3.28 8.68 39.62 18.48P 0.00R 0.00 Gillingham 20 25 +1 -1.49 41.40 2.33 58.13 7.13 1.18 0.05 0.27 4.17 1.02P 0.60R 0.00 Doncaster 17 24 +6 -2.95 31.25 0.55 66.65 7.82 14.71 2.32 6.01 29.99 12.36P 0.03R 0.00 Burton_Albion 19 24 -1 -2.58 34.41 -1.88 62.45 7.43 5.34 0.40 1.44 12.97 4.28P 0.16R 0.00 Lincoln_City 19 24 -1 0.39 53.28 2.47 56.81 7.40 -2.91 0.08 0.26 3.33 0.85P 1.04R 0.01 Accrington_Stanley 20 22 -1 -3.01 32.61 2.91 52.58 7.09 -4.79 0.00 0.02 0.80 0.16P 3.30R 0.02 Rochdale 20 22 -11 0.01 51.34 -1.87 48.48 6.86 -21.79 0.00 0.01 0.13 0.02P 10.81R 0.12 AFC_Wimbledon 20 20 -6 -3.28 30.68 0.29 48.32 6.91 -12.88 0.00 0.01 0.13 0.03P 10.43R 0.12 Tranmere 19 17 -12 -1.60 40.67 0.52 41.43 7.03 -27.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 44.07R 1.73 MK_Dons 20 17 -13 -5.13 20.87 -4.97 42.32 6.84 -24.71 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 36.43R 1.22 Southend 21 7 -37 -11.24 2.20 -17.94 28.56 6.42 -55.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.13R 41.14 Bolton 17 2 -28 -1.06 43.91 -14.61 26.41 7.22 -48.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.69R 55.64 Adjustments: Bolton -12 Bury -12League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 December 2019, Carlisle 0 0 Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot1 Bot1 Swindon 21 42 +15 7.79 87.68 6.97 82.22 7.42 23.86 33.85 66.88 92.97 73.50P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 21 39 +6 6.58 83.75 0.64 77.49 7.26 12.29 12.28 39.56 80.03 49.31P 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 20 35 +16 4.71 76.07 11.75 74.21 7.57 21.34 7.37 27.39 67.88 36.63P 0.00 0.00 Crewe 20 35 +10 5.10 78.14 6.30 73.73 7.66 14.51 6.47 24.09 63.79 32.69P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 20 35 +9 1.72 60.05 0.56 78.20 7.69 20.13 16.63 46.08 82.36 56.49P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 21 35 +8 3.41 69.52 3.77 72.99 7.25 13.55 4.67 20.09 60.57 30.02P 0.00 0.00 Northampton 21 34 +9 1.56 59.29 3.61 71.68 7.39 14.06 3.52 16.37 54.24 25.40P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 20 32 +8 -0.88 44.76 -0.27 75.84 7.75 20.01 10.65 34.74 74.20 46.64P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 20 31 +7 0.09 50.83 1.87 71.07 7.55 13.58 3.35 15.21 50.58 24.59P 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 21 29 -1 2.72 66.82 2.13 59.85 7.08 -5.39 0.05 0.57 6.25 1.59P 0.20R 0.20 Cambridge_Utd 21 28 +5 1.40 59.25 7.62 61.34 7.18 4.18 0.10 1.04 9.72 2.77P 0.16R 0.16 Newport_County 19 28 +2 2.28 64.85 2.04 65.11 7.60 2.68 0.53 3.68 21.27 7.38P 0.05R 0.05 Scunthorpe 21 25 +1 -8.09 11.97 -5.45 64.21 7.66 8.27 0.43 3.13 20.03 8.14P 0.08R 0.08 Salford_City 21 25 -7 2.97 68.73 3.19 50.41 7.05 -20.32 0.00 0.02 0.37 0.08P 6.20R 6.20 Macclesfield 20 24 -3 2.13 64.54 4.57 51.97 7.11 -13.66 0.01 0.04 0.71 0.12P 3.69R 3.69 Crawley_Town 21 23 -6 -1.57 41.61 0.17 52.42 7.13 -13.23 0.00 0.03 0.73 0.15P 3.29R 3.29 Walsall 21 23 -11 -5.18 22.13 -10.41 56.18 7.42 -12.01 0.01 0.16 2.66 0.76P 1.27R 1.27 Mansfield 21 22 -3 -10.07 6.31 -7.92 59.43 7.38 1.68 0.06 0.63 6.82 2.43P 0.41R 0.41 Leyton_Orient 21 22 -8 -0.97 45.50 0.96 49.22 7.18 -18.79 0.00 0.01 0.26 0.06P 8.23R 8.23 Grimsby 19 21 -5 -1.27 42.44 -0.13 52.47 7.43 -12.46 0.00 0.05 1.01 0.22P 3.66R 3.66 Carlisle 21 21 -12 -5.67 19.68 -8.80 52.06 7.23 -16.61 0.00 0.03 0.65 0.17P 4.10R 4.10 Oldham 20 20 -9 -6.55 15.70 -7.79 55.90 7.60 -8.50 0.01 0.18 2.71 0.80P 1.57R 1.57 Stevenage 20 16 -9 -9.23 6.40 -6.38 48.57 7.31 -12.73 0.00 0.01 0.22 0.06P 9.37R 9.37 Morecambe 21 15 -22 -5.29 19.86 -8.98 39.59 6.78 -36.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 57.70R 57.70National League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 December 2019, AFC_Fylde 0 0 Sutton_United; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Barrow 24 47 +19 8.38 87.48 10.52 80.80 6.95 24.41 31.29 86.27 44.03P 0.00 0.00 Yeovil 25 44 +13 0.12 50.01 -1.31 80.99 6.79 25.38 32.26 87.32 50.37P 0.00 0.00 Bromley 25 44 +12 5.68 76.94 6.02 76.84 6.82 18.01 13.13 70.32 25.86P 0.00 0.00 Woking 25 41 +6 7.46 82.94 7.21 69.52 6.90 5.54 1.93 28.20 6.83P 0.15R 0.00 Solihull_Moors 24 40 +12 1.06 55.74 3.07 75.94 6.90 20.54 11.70 66.26 27.16P 0.01R 0.00 Harrogate_Town 25 40 +4 2.49 62.76 -0.71 70.97 6.85 7.08 2.98 35.78 10.02P 0.09R 0.00 Halifax 24 38 +2 6.60 82.21 3.90 68.28 6.81 2.38 1.10 22.12 5.00P 0.27R 0.00 Stockport 25 38 -4 8.34 86.12 3.62 62.00 6.75 -11.56 0.11 5.04 0.87P 2.92R 0.13 Boreham_Wood 25 37 +8 1.53 58.42 6.26 67.20 6.65 10.16 0.84 18.90 4.81P 0.32R 0.02 Barnet 24 34 +3 -1.27 43.44 -0.54 65.95 6.92 5.62 0.64 15.16 4.03P 0.67R 0.04 Torquay 25 34 +0 2.59 63.45 5.33 59.49 6.91 -5.86 0.08 2.94 0.58P 6.94R 0.70 Notts_County 24 33 +8 -8.07 14.16 -4.24 70.85 7.04 19.59 3.41 38.83 15.40P 0.11R 0.01 Eastleigh 24 33 -2 1.30 57.75 -0.00 61.85 6.81 -4.16 0.12 5.04 0.99P 3.18R 0.28 Hartlepool 24 32 +3 -0.94 45.34 3.22 62.03 6.87 2.56 0.16 5.98 1.39P 2.89R 0.23 Dover_Athletic 23 32 -3 0.61 53.87 -2.67 62.04 7.04 -5.48 0.19 5.82 1.28P 3.43R 0.25 Maidenhead 25 31 -3 1.36 58.12 4.23 55.69 6.53 -9.54 0.00 0.64 0.10P 15.93R 2.00 Dag_&_Red 25 30 -3 -3.76 31.10 -2.23 57.08 6.62 -5.55 0.01 1.03 0.22P 11.18R 1.09 AFC_Fylde 24 28 -9 -6.48 18.96 -11.22 59.86 6.96 -6.63 0.04 3.00 0.74P 6.27R 0.66 Sutton_United 25 27 -5 -4.98 25.13 -1.71 54.66 6.60 -6.55 0.00 0.41 0.09P 19.01R 2.81 Aldershot 25 27 -10 -0.91 46.05 -0.69 51.39 6.45 -16.32 0.00 0.09 0.01P 37.36R 7.19 Wrexham 25 26 -5 -9.08 10.92 -6.38 56.50 6.56 -2.42 0.00 0.75 0.20P 11.94R 1.66 Ebbsfleet_United 25 23 -12 -9.50 10.15 -8.81 50.69 6.74 -14.15 0.00 0.07 0.02P 40.79R 9.58 Chesterfield 25 23 -14 -9.39 10.16 -10.72 49.44 6.62 -17.93 0.00 0.03 0.01P 49.12R 12.99 Chorley 25 23 -20 0.09 52.20 -2.15 42.16 6.26 -35.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 87.41R 60.35