Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 14 December 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 December 2019, Burnley 1 0 Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        17   49  +28      10.86    99.29     2.34    96.16     5.70    59.70    93.60    99.54    99.99   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        17   39  +29       8.27    92.85    17.45    75.05     6.51    39.98     0.80    19.40    76.87    91.97    99.24     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         16   32  +25      -5.37    13.03    -3.32    82.45     5.80    61.75     5.59    78.81    96.91    99.35    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          17   29   +6      -1.01    42.76    -4.13    64.39     6.60    16.15     0.00     0.98    10.22    38.64    79.99     0.00R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        17   25   +5       3.88    74.89     8.39    49.89     6.40    -1.80     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.81     7.88     1.04R    0.03  
Man_Utd          16   24   +6      -2.42    33.38    -0.58    62.07     6.69    17.98     0.00     0.45     5.90    25.28    70.92     0.01R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    16   24   +4       1.96    64.06     4.28    52.69     6.66     1.13     0.00     0.02     0.32     2.40    16.62     0.41R    0.02  
Tottenham        16   23   +7      -5.85    14.00    -3.73    63.28     6.75    22.91     0.00     0.78     8.71    34.30    76.80     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          16   22   +0      -4.34    22.02    -6.55    55.28     6.87     4.02     0.00     0.04     0.87     5.59    28.77     0.20R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   16   22   -4       2.68    69.27     0.23    50.57     6.61    -6.96     0.00     0.00     0.11     1.01     9.53     1.06R    0.05  
Newcastle        17   22   -7       2.03    64.81    -1.54    47.33     6.32   -12.42     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.25     3.49     2.78R    0.13  
Burnley          17   21   -7       2.35    67.14     1.18    43.64     6.27   -17.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     1.21     8.93R    0.65  
Brighton         16   19   -4       2.23    67.29     4.94    42.83     6.43   -13.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     1.02    10.71R    0.84  
Bournemouth      17   19   -5      -0.34    48.61     2.31    44.67     6.44   -11.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09     1.73     6.64R    0.42  
West_Ham         17   19   -9      -1.39    41.40    -3.83    42.32     6.27   -19.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.67    12.86R    1.25  
Everton          16   17   -9      -3.61    26.28    -6.14    44.70     6.61   -13.86     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.13     1.95     7.24R    0.55  
Aston_Villa      17   15   -7      -2.06    36.90     4.93    38.06     6.51   -17.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.16    32.22R    5.50  
Southampton      17   15  -18      -1.34    41.45    -5.22    35.82     6.15   -32.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    49.93R    9.70  
Norwich          17   12  -17      -3.02    30.37    -0.92    30.28     6.05   -37.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    80.74R   35.85  
Watford          17    9  -23      -7.15     8.01   -10.12    29.01     6.07   -37.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.22R   45.02  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 December 2019, Barnsley 5 3 QPR; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

West_Brom       22   49  +22       8.33    89.06     5.34    93.56     7.13    40.53    65.53    91.64    99.70    94.21P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    22   47  +22       8.36    89.08     9.55    88.69     7.03    35.15    29.82    77.43    98.59    83.96P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         22   37   +8       3.87    71.16     3.48    72.10     7.24    11.00     0.50     3.72    46.95    13.46P    0.02R    0.00  
Brentford       22   36  +16      -0.98    44.20     5.74    75.44     7.21    25.70     1.79     9.21    67.27    27.15P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       22   36  +13       2.41    63.95     7.77    73.31     7.20    19.46     0.73     5.27    55.23    18.13P    0.01R    0.00  
Fulham          22   35   +9       0.30    51.55     2.09    71.94     7.40    14.93     0.69     4.22    47.01    15.81P    0.02R    0.00  
Bristol_City    22   35   +2       3.42    69.14     0.20    69.22     7.26     3.97     0.18     1.65    30.78     7.79P    0.06R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   21   34   +6       4.17    73.28     4.38    70.62     7.35     9.53     0.30     2.46    38.87    10.77P    0.03R    0.00  
Blackburn       22   34   +2       3.95    72.01     2.46    67.28     7.27     2.46     0.08     0.88    22.46     5.07P    0.16R    0.01  
Swansea         22   34   +2       1.81    60.72    -0.84    68.93     7.23     5.12     0.16     1.42    29.58     7.94P    0.10R    0.01  
Millwall        22   33   +0       5.32    78.82     3.64    64.48     7.15    -2.03     0.02     0.29    12.58     2.48P    0.45R    0.03  
Cardiff         22   32   +2      -0.70    46.21    -1.78    68.24     7.46     6.89     0.16     1.40    27.88     8.09P    0.16R    0.01  
QPR             22   31   -7       5.49    79.44     1.27    59.16     7.15   -15.42     0.01     0.05     3.25     0.56P    3.42R    0.32  
Hull            22   30   +3      -1.06    44.52     1.90    64.15     7.25     4.51     0.03     0.31    12.89     3.10P    0.62R    0.05  
Birmingham      22   28   -7       1.08    57.04    -2.27    57.15     7.02   -12.73     0.00     0.02     1.69     0.29P    5.66R    0.65  
Derby           22   26   -7      -4.99    23.37    -8.34    59.27     7.12    -6.36     0.00     0.03     3.36     0.78P    3.05R    0.35  
Charlton        22   24   -2      -3.27    32.62     2.38    53.53     7.19    -7.07     0.00     0.01     0.69     0.15P   12.98R    2.31  
Reading         21   23   -2      -2.26    37.29     3.38    53.29     7.20    -7.92     0.00     0.00     0.65     0.11P   13.83R    2.43  
Huddersfield    22   22  -10      -3.39    31.63    -2.92    49.66     7.06   -17.52     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P   28.95R    6.87  
Middlesbrough   22   21  -12      -7.91    11.55   -10.74    52.85     6.94   -13.09     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.07P   15.25R    2.62  
Luton           22   20  -18      -3.32    32.16    -5.92    46.29     7.13   -29.71     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   49.82R   17.03  
Stoke           22   18  -11      -9.45     7.63    -7.16    47.19     6.95   -16.27     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   41.17R   11.66  
Wigan           22   18  -15      -6.85    14.79    -7.15    45.31     6.90   -23.39     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   53.62R   18.96  
Barnsley        22   16  -16      -8.61     9.90    -6.44    42.08     7.10   -27.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.63R   36.69  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 December 2019, AFC_Wimbledon 2 1 Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Wycombe              20   43  +16      12.89    97.85    11.84    77.66     7.16    18.62    22.66    40.69    81.47    47.95P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich              19   36  +14       3.59    70.94     4.65    78.21     7.44    26.04    28.02    46.66    83.27    57.17P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         20   35  +18       0.36    51.80     6.42    75.90     7.30    30.94    18.58    35.29    76.50    46.78P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       19   34   +4       6.38    84.68     1.40    67.95     7.42     3.28     2.55     6.68    32.71    11.44P    0.03R    0.00  
Blackpool            20   33   +7       3.70    71.53     4.17    68.89     7.08    11.62     2.91     7.54    38.31    14.31P    0.00R    0.00  
Rotherham            20   31  +11      -2.07    37.59     2.21    70.69     7.40    21.45     5.96    13.94    50.32    24.49P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             20   31   +2       3.17    69.38     1.29    63.39     7.04     1.55     0.49     1.66    13.91     4.06P    0.05R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           19   30  +17      -0.37    47.39    10.38    70.86     7.42    27.27     6.65    15.04    52.26    24.69P    0.00R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       18   30   +7       1.54    59.90     1.27    67.89     7.64    10.35     2.98     7.36    34.17    13.64P    0.02R    0.00  
Portsmouth           19   28   +5      -3.33    29.80    -3.34    68.27     7.46    14.03     3.06     7.86    36.78    15.88P    0.02R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           19   28   -2       2.43    65.67    -1.70    61.44     7.18    -2.88     0.20     0.85     9.18     2.48P    0.17R    0.00  
Sunderland           19   27   +4      -5.82    17.30    -6.45    68.81     7.34    15.43     3.10     8.48    39.66    18.38P    0.01R    0.00  
Gillingham           20   25   +1      -1.48    41.63     2.31    58.15     7.11     1.23     0.07     0.27     4.22     1.04P    0.58R    0.00  
Doncaster            17   24   +6      -3.00    31.01     0.50    66.64     7.86    14.73     2.30     5.99    30.18    12.40P    0.06R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        19   24   -1      -2.62    34.03    -1.95    62.47     7.40     5.34     0.41     1.44    12.79     4.27P    0.19R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         19   24   -1       0.44    53.86     2.57    56.75     7.40    -3.03     0.06     0.20     3.25     0.78P    1.10R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley   20   22   -1      -3.09    31.95     2.85    52.61     7.10    -4.79     0.01     0.03     0.77     0.18P    3.27R    0.03  
Rochdale             20   22  -11       0.07    51.67    -1.75    48.40     6.82   -21.85     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   10.58R    0.12  
AFC_Wimbledon        20   20   -6      -3.20    31.00     0.41    48.18     6.86   -13.10     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   10.79R    0.10  
Tranmere             19   17  -12      -1.70    40.04     0.37    41.56     7.07   -27.65     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   43.05R    1.73  
MK_Dons              20   17  -13      -5.06    21.61    -4.88    42.25     6.94   -24.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   37.38R    1.33  
Southend             21    7  -37     -11.12     2.29   -17.80    28.45     6.43   -56.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.15R   42.26  
Bolton               17    2  -28      -1.16    43.57   -14.76    26.56     7.14   -47.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.54R   54.42  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 December 2019, Carlisle 0 0 Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot1     Bot1

Swindon          21   42  +15       7.78    87.59     6.98    82.29     7.42    23.97    34.19    67.37    93.15    73.69P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           21   39   +6       6.49    83.45     0.53    77.62     7.27    12.44    12.57    40.89    80.31    50.18P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       20   35  +16       4.79    76.82    11.89    74.09     7.58    21.19     7.42    26.82    67.44    36.05P    0.00R    0.00  
Crewe            20   35  +10       5.14    78.32     6.36    73.57     7.64    14.26     5.93    23.56    63.56    32.27P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         20   35   +9       1.70    59.66     0.53    78.21     7.74    20.15    16.87    46.15    82.33    56.81P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     21   35   +8       3.39    69.78     3.76    72.97     7.31    13.52     4.79    20.18    60.72    30.24P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      21   34   +9       1.68    59.94     3.77    71.56     7.44    13.89     3.48    16.34    53.46    25.24P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         20   32   +8      -0.70    45.64    -0.02    75.62     7.77    19.72    10.13    33.78    73.49    45.47P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       20   31   +7       0.14    50.92     1.92    71.01     7.54    13.51     3.34    14.99    50.63    24.49P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        21   29   -1       2.80    67.48     2.18    59.79     7.12    -5.44     0.07     0.54     6.20     1.56P    0.22R    0.22  
Cambridge_Utd    21   28   +5       1.31    58.63     7.46    61.52     7.18     4.43     0.12     1.13    10.15     2.98P    0.15R    0.15  
Newport_County   19   28   +2       2.23    64.26     1.96    65.19     7.66     2.75     0.62     3.84    21.80     7.67P    0.05R    0.05  
Scunthorpe       21   25   +1      -8.17    11.77    -5.58    64.30     7.60     8.43     0.39     3.25    20.43     8.53P    0.08R    0.08  
Salford_City     21   25   -7       3.15    69.53     3.52    50.28     7.06   -20.58     0.00     0.02     0.36     0.07P    6.06R    6.06  
Macclesfield     20   24   -3       2.04    64.22     4.46    52.04     7.11   -13.56     0.00     0.04     0.70     0.13P    3.49R    3.49  
Crawley_Town     21   23   -6      -1.66    40.84     0.09    52.43     7.13   -13.27     0.00     0.03     0.66     0.12P    3.39R    3.39  
Walsall          21   23  -11      -5.30    21.45   -10.59    56.45     7.32   -11.68     0.02     0.19     2.73     0.78P    1.07R    1.07  
Mansfield        21   22   -3     -10.10     6.49    -7.99    59.55     7.39     1.88     0.05     0.65     7.09     2.51P    0.36R    0.36  
Leyton_Orient    21   22   -8      -0.98    45.38     0.87    49.17     7.18   -18.82     0.00     0.01     0.27     0.05P    8.15R    8.15  
Grimsby          19   21   -5      -1.30    42.67    -0.21    52.44     7.36   -12.48     0.00     0.05     0.94     0.22P    3.47R    3.47  
Carlisle         21   21  -12      -5.62    19.76    -8.73    51.99     7.25   -16.67     0.00     0.01     0.63     0.13P    4.16R    4.16  
Oldham           20   20   -9      -6.61    15.11    -7.88    55.99     7.57    -8.34     0.01     0.16     2.72     0.73P    1.51R    1.51  
Stevenage        20   16   -9      -9.23     6.60    -6.37    48.57     7.38   -12.74     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.06P    9.33R    9.33  
Morecambe        21   15  -22      -5.24    20.00    -8.90    39.48     6.79   -36.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.52R   58.52  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 December 2019, AFC_Fylde 0 0 Sutton_United; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barrow             24   47  +19       8.24    86.97    10.36    80.87     6.94    24.53    31.47    86.31    44.23P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil             25   44  +13       0.02    49.69    -1.46    81.09     6.72    25.54    32.42    87.88    50.58P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley            25   44  +12       5.73    77.24     6.06    76.78     6.83    17.93    12.88    69.79    25.34P    0.00     0.00  
Woking             25   41   +6       7.61    83.48     7.46    69.41     6.87     5.32     1.83    27.51     6.59P    0.18R    0.01  
Solihull_Moors     24   40  +12       1.11    55.80     3.14    75.83     6.95    20.37    11.74    65.57    26.86P    0.00R    0.00  
Harrogate_Town     25   40   +4       2.46    62.96    -0.78    70.99     6.79     7.10     2.79    35.76     9.87P    0.07R    0.00  
Halifax            24   38   +2       6.59    82.00     3.90    68.26     6.84     2.38     1.03    21.86     4.89P    0.32R    0.01  
Stockport          25   38   -4       8.50    86.61     3.92    61.95     6.76   -11.75     0.15     4.90     0.86P    3.04R    0.17  
Boreham_Wood       25   37   +8       1.48    58.09     6.19    67.29     6.67    10.26     0.91    19.28     4.76P    0.30R    0.02  
Barnet             24   34   +3      -1.40    42.88    -0.72    65.99     6.88     5.71     0.62    15.15     4.15P    0.71R    0.03  
Torquay            25   34   +0       2.68    63.74     5.50    59.46     6.87    -5.96     0.06     2.88     0.55P    6.68R    0.62  
Notts_County       24   33   +8      -8.15    13.87    -4.38    70.94     7.05    19.72     3.51    39.71    16.02P    0.13R    0.00  
Eastleigh          24   33   -2       1.26    57.40    -0.05    61.84     6.83    -4.21     0.13     5.07     1.07P    3.28R    0.28  
Hartlepool         24   32   +3      -1.19    44.06     2.84    62.25     6.93     2.88     0.18     6.50     1.56P    2.72R    0.20  
Dover_Athletic     23   32   -3       0.71    54.31    -2.49    61.96     7.09    -5.59     0.19     5.76     1.27P    3.62R    0.35  
Maidenhead         25   31   -3       1.43    58.52     4.36    55.53     6.49    -9.75     0.01     0.56     0.08P   16.33R    1.97  
Dag_&_Red          25   30   -3      -3.69    31.39    -2.14    57.06     6.65    -5.62     0.02     1.12     0.23P   11.15R    1.18  
AFC_Fylde          24   28   -9      -6.54    18.87   -11.32    59.88     6.99    -6.55     0.07     3.06     0.79P    6.38R    0.64  
Sutton_United      25   27   -5      -4.96    25.33    -1.66    54.62     6.57    -6.60     0.00     0.34     0.09P   19.14R    2.86  
Aldershot          25   27  -10      -0.89    45.97    -0.67    51.43     6.40   -16.25     0.00     0.09     0.02P   37.14R    7.23  
Wrexham            25   26   -5      -9.03    11.08    -6.32    56.44     6.60    -2.47     0.00     0.78     0.18P   12.25R    1.70  
Ebbsfleet_United   25   23  -12      -9.51    10.37    -8.80    50.71     6.72   -14.11     0.00     0.08     0.01P   40.26R    9.55  
Chesterfield       25   23  -14      -9.42    10.33   -10.75    49.52     6.66   -17.81     0.00     0.03     0.01P   48.52R   12.67  
Chorley            25   23  -20       0.10    52.46    -2.19    42.14     6.22   -35.07     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.76R   60.50