Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Saturday 14 December 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 December 2019, Burnley 1 0 Newcastle; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Liverpool 17 49 +28 10.86 99.29 2.34 96.16 5.70 59.70 93.60 99.54 99.99 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Leicester 17 39 +29 8.27 92.85 17.45 75.05 6.51 39.98 0.80 19.40 76.87 91.97 99.24 0.00 0.00 Man_City 16 32 +25 -5.37 13.03 -3.32 82.45 5.80 61.75 5.59 78.81 96.91 99.35 99.97 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 17 29 +6 -1.01 42.76 -4.13 64.39 6.60 16.15 0.00 0.98 10.22 38.64 79.99 0.00R 0.00 Sheff_Utd 17 25 +5 3.88 74.89 8.39 49.89 6.40 -1.80 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.81 7.88 1.04R 0.03 Man_Utd 16 24 +6 -2.42 33.38 -0.58 62.07 6.69 17.98 0.00 0.45 5.90 25.28 70.92 0.01R 0.00 Wolverhampton 16 24 +4 1.96 64.06 4.28 52.69 6.66 1.13 0.00 0.02 0.32 2.40 16.62 0.41R 0.02 Tottenham 16 23 +7 -5.85 14.00 -3.73 63.28 6.75 22.91 0.00 0.78 8.71 34.30 76.80 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 16 22 +0 -4.34 22.02 -6.55 55.28 6.87 4.02 0.00 0.04 0.87 5.59 28.77 0.20R 0.01 Crystal_Palace 16 22 -4 2.68 69.27 0.23 50.57 6.61 -6.96 0.00 0.00 0.11 1.01 9.53 1.06R 0.05 Newcastle 17 22 -7 2.03 64.81 -1.54 47.33 6.32 -12.42 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.25 3.49 2.78R 0.13 Burnley 17 21 -7 2.35 67.14 1.18 43.64 6.27 -17.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 1.21 8.93R 0.65 Brighton 16 19 -4 2.23 67.29 4.94 42.83 6.43 -13.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 1.02 10.71R 0.84 Bournemouth 17 19 -5 -0.34 48.61 2.31 44.67 6.44 -11.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.09 1.73 6.64R 0.42 West_Ham 17 19 -9 -1.39 41.40 -3.83 42.32 6.27 -19.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.67 12.86R 1.25 Everton 16 17 -9 -3.61 26.28 -6.14 44.70 6.61 -13.86 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.13 1.95 7.24R 0.55 Aston_Villa 17 15 -7 -2.06 36.90 4.93 38.06 6.51 -17.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.16 32.22R 5.50 Southampton 17 15 -18 -1.34 41.45 -5.22 35.82 6.15 -32.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 49.93R 9.70 Norwich 17 12 -17 -3.02 30.37 -0.92 30.28 6.05 -37.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 80.74R 35.85 Watford 17 9 -23 -7.15 8.01 -10.12 29.01 6.07 -37.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 85.22R 45.02Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 December 2019, Barnsley 5 3 QPR; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 West_Brom 22 49 +22 8.33 89.06 5.34 93.56 7.13 40.53 65.53 91.64 99.70 94.21P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 22 47 +22 8.36 89.08 9.55 88.69 7.03 35.15 29.82 77.43 98.59 83.96P 0.00 0.00 Preston 22 37 +8 3.87 71.16 3.48 72.10 7.24 11.00 0.50 3.72 46.95 13.46P 0.02R 0.00 Brentford 22 36 +16 -0.98 44.20 5.74 75.44 7.21 25.70 1.79 9.21 67.27 27.15P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 22 36 +13 2.41 63.95 7.77 73.31 7.20 19.46 0.73 5.27 55.23 18.13P 0.01R 0.00 Fulham 22 35 +9 0.30 51.55 2.09 71.94 7.40 14.93 0.69 4.22 47.01 15.81P 0.02R 0.00 Bristol_City 22 35 +2 3.42 69.14 0.20 69.22 7.26 3.97 0.18 1.65 30.78 7.79P 0.06R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 21 34 +6 4.17 73.28 4.38 70.62 7.35 9.53 0.30 2.46 38.87 10.77P 0.03R 0.00 Blackburn 22 34 +2 3.95 72.01 2.46 67.28 7.27 2.46 0.08 0.88 22.46 5.07P 0.16R 0.01 Swansea 22 34 +2 1.81 60.72 -0.84 68.93 7.23 5.12 0.16 1.42 29.58 7.94P 0.10R 0.01 Millwall 22 33 +0 5.32 78.82 3.64 64.48 7.15 -2.03 0.02 0.29 12.58 2.48P 0.45R 0.03 Cardiff 22 32 +2 -0.70 46.21 -1.78 68.24 7.46 6.89 0.16 1.40 27.88 8.09P 0.16R 0.01 QPR 22 31 -7 5.49 79.44 1.27 59.16 7.15 -15.42 0.01 0.05 3.25 0.56P 3.42R 0.32 Hull 22 30 +3 -1.06 44.52 1.90 64.15 7.25 4.51 0.03 0.31 12.89 3.10P 0.62R 0.05 Birmingham 22 28 -7 1.08 57.04 -2.27 57.15 7.02 -12.73 0.00 0.02 1.69 0.29P 5.66R 0.65 Derby 22 26 -7 -4.99 23.37 -8.34 59.27 7.12 -6.36 0.00 0.03 3.36 0.78P 3.05R 0.35 Charlton 22 24 -2 -3.27 32.62 2.38 53.53 7.19 -7.07 0.00 0.01 0.69 0.15P 12.98R 2.31 Reading 21 23 -2 -2.26 37.29 3.38 53.29 7.20 -7.92 0.00 0.00 0.65 0.11P 13.83R 2.43 Huddersfield 22 22 -10 -3.39 31.63 -2.92 49.66 7.06 -17.52 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.03P 28.95R 6.87 Middlesbrough 22 21 -12 -7.91 11.55 -10.74 52.85 6.94 -13.09 0.00 0.00 0.34 0.07P 15.25R 2.62 Luton 22 20 -18 -3.32 32.16 -5.92 46.29 7.13 -29.71 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 49.82R 17.03 Stoke 22 18 -11 -9.45 7.63 -7.16 47.19 6.95 -16.27 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 41.17R 11.66 Wigan 22 18 -15 -6.85 14.79 -7.15 45.31 6.90 -23.39 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 53.62R 18.96 Barnsley 22 16 -16 -8.61 9.90 -6.44 42.08 7.10 -27.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 70.63R 36.69League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 December 2019, AFC_Wimbledon 2 1 Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Wycombe 20 43 +16 12.89 97.85 11.84 77.66 7.16 18.62 22.66 40.69 81.47 47.95P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 19 36 +14 3.59 70.94 4.65 78.21 7.44 26.04 28.02 46.66 83.27 57.17P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 20 35 +18 0.36 51.80 6.42 75.90 7.30 30.94 18.58 35.29 76.50 46.78P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 19 34 +4 6.38 84.68 1.40 67.95 7.42 3.28 2.55 6.68 32.71 11.44P 0.03R 0.00 Blackpool 20 33 +7 3.70 71.53 4.17 68.89 7.08 11.62 2.91 7.54 38.31 14.31P 0.00R 0.00 Rotherham 20 31 +11 -2.07 37.59 2.21 70.69 7.40 21.45 5.96 13.94 50.32 24.49P 0.00 0.00 Coventry 20 31 +2 3.17 69.38 1.29 63.39 7.04 1.55 0.49 1.66 13.91 4.06P 0.05R 0.00 Oxford_Utd 19 30 +17 -0.37 47.39 10.38 70.86 7.42 27.27 6.65 15.04 52.26 24.69P 0.00R 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 18 30 +7 1.54 59.90 1.27 67.89 7.64 10.35 2.98 7.36 34.17 13.64P 0.02R 0.00 Portsmouth 19 28 +5 -3.33 29.80 -3.34 68.27 7.46 14.03 3.06 7.86 36.78 15.88P 0.02R 0.00 Shrewsbury 19 28 -2 2.43 65.67 -1.70 61.44 7.18 -2.88 0.20 0.85 9.18 2.48P 0.17R 0.00 Sunderland 19 27 +4 -5.82 17.30 -6.45 68.81 7.34 15.43 3.10 8.48 39.66 18.38P 0.01R 0.00 Gillingham 20 25 +1 -1.48 41.63 2.31 58.15 7.11 1.23 0.07 0.27 4.22 1.04P 0.58R 0.00 Doncaster 17 24 +6 -3.00 31.01 0.50 66.64 7.86 14.73 2.30 5.99 30.18 12.40P 0.06R 0.00 Burton_Albion 19 24 -1 -2.62 34.03 -1.95 62.47 7.40 5.34 0.41 1.44 12.79 4.27P 0.19R 0.00 Lincoln_City 19 24 -1 0.44 53.86 2.57 56.75 7.40 -3.03 0.06 0.20 3.25 0.78P 1.10R 0.01 Accrington_Stanley 20 22 -1 -3.09 31.95 2.85 52.61 7.10 -4.79 0.01 0.03 0.77 0.18P 3.27R 0.03 Rochdale 20 22 -11 0.07 51.67 -1.75 48.40 6.82 -21.85 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.02P 10.58R 0.12 AFC_Wimbledon 20 20 -6 -3.20 31.00 0.41 48.18 6.86 -13.10 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.02P 10.79R 0.10 Tranmere 19 17 -12 -1.70 40.04 0.37 41.56 7.07 -27.65 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 43.05R 1.73 MK_Dons 20 17 -13 -5.06 21.61 -4.88 42.25 6.94 -24.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 37.38R 1.33 Southend 21 7 -37 -11.12 2.29 -17.80 28.45 6.43 -56.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.15R 42.26 Bolton 17 2 -28 -1.16 43.57 -14.76 26.56 7.14 -47.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.54R 54.42 Adjustments: Bolton -12 Bury -12League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 December 2019, Carlisle 0 0 Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot1 Bot1 Swindon 21 42 +15 7.78 87.59 6.98 82.29 7.42 23.97 34.19 67.37 93.15 73.69P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 21 39 +6 6.49 83.45 0.53 77.62 7.27 12.44 12.57 40.89 80.31 50.18P 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 20 35 +16 4.79 76.82 11.89 74.09 7.58 21.19 7.42 26.82 67.44 36.05P 0.00R 0.00 Crewe 20 35 +10 5.14 78.32 6.36 73.57 7.64 14.26 5.93 23.56 63.56 32.27P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 20 35 +9 1.70 59.66 0.53 78.21 7.74 20.15 16.87 46.15 82.33 56.81P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 21 35 +8 3.39 69.78 3.76 72.97 7.31 13.52 4.79 20.18 60.72 30.24P 0.00 0.00 Northampton 21 34 +9 1.68 59.94 3.77 71.56 7.44 13.89 3.48 16.34 53.46 25.24P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 20 32 +8 -0.70 45.64 -0.02 75.62 7.77 19.72 10.13 33.78 73.49 45.47P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 20 31 +7 0.14 50.92 1.92 71.01 7.54 13.51 3.34 14.99 50.63 24.49P 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 21 29 -1 2.80 67.48 2.18 59.79 7.12 -5.44 0.07 0.54 6.20 1.56P 0.22R 0.22 Cambridge_Utd 21 28 +5 1.31 58.63 7.46 61.52 7.18 4.43 0.12 1.13 10.15 2.98P 0.15R 0.15 Newport_County 19 28 +2 2.23 64.26 1.96 65.19 7.66 2.75 0.62 3.84 21.80 7.67P 0.05R 0.05 Scunthorpe 21 25 +1 -8.17 11.77 -5.58 64.30 7.60 8.43 0.39 3.25 20.43 8.53P 0.08R 0.08 Salford_City 21 25 -7 3.15 69.53 3.52 50.28 7.06 -20.58 0.00 0.02 0.36 0.07P 6.06R 6.06 Macclesfield 20 24 -3 2.04 64.22 4.46 52.04 7.11 -13.56 0.00 0.04 0.70 0.13P 3.49R 3.49 Crawley_Town 21 23 -6 -1.66 40.84 0.09 52.43 7.13 -13.27 0.00 0.03 0.66 0.12P 3.39R 3.39 Walsall 21 23 -11 -5.30 21.45 -10.59 56.45 7.32 -11.68 0.02 0.19 2.73 0.78P 1.07R 1.07 Mansfield 21 22 -3 -10.10 6.49 -7.99 59.55 7.39 1.88 0.05 0.65 7.09 2.51P 0.36R 0.36 Leyton_Orient 21 22 -8 -0.98 45.38 0.87 49.17 7.18 -18.82 0.00 0.01 0.27 0.05P 8.15R 8.15 Grimsby 19 21 -5 -1.30 42.67 -0.21 52.44 7.36 -12.48 0.00 0.05 0.94 0.22P 3.47R 3.47 Carlisle 21 21 -12 -5.62 19.76 -8.73 51.99 7.25 -16.67 0.00 0.01 0.63 0.13P 4.16R 4.16 Oldham 20 20 -9 -6.61 15.11 -7.88 55.99 7.57 -8.34 0.01 0.16 2.72 0.73P 1.51R 1.51 Stevenage 20 16 -9 -9.23 6.60 -6.37 48.57 7.38 -12.74 0.00 0.00 0.23 0.06P 9.33R 9.33 Morecambe 21 15 -22 -5.24 20.00 -8.90 39.48 6.79 -36.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 58.52R 58.52National League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 December 2019, AFC_Fylde 0 0 Sutton_United; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Barrow 24 47 +19 8.24 86.97 10.36 80.87 6.94 24.53 31.47 86.31 44.23P 0.00 0.00 Yeovil 25 44 +13 0.02 49.69 -1.46 81.09 6.72 25.54 32.42 87.88 50.58P 0.00 0.00 Bromley 25 44 +12 5.73 77.24 6.06 76.78 6.83 17.93 12.88 69.79 25.34P 0.00 0.00 Woking 25 41 +6 7.61 83.48 7.46 69.41 6.87 5.32 1.83 27.51 6.59P 0.18R 0.01 Solihull_Moors 24 40 +12 1.11 55.80 3.14 75.83 6.95 20.37 11.74 65.57 26.86P 0.00R 0.00 Harrogate_Town 25 40 +4 2.46 62.96 -0.78 70.99 6.79 7.10 2.79 35.76 9.87P 0.07R 0.00 Halifax 24 38 +2 6.59 82.00 3.90 68.26 6.84 2.38 1.03 21.86 4.89P 0.32R 0.01 Stockport 25 38 -4 8.50 86.61 3.92 61.95 6.76 -11.75 0.15 4.90 0.86P 3.04R 0.17 Boreham_Wood 25 37 +8 1.48 58.09 6.19 67.29 6.67 10.26 0.91 19.28 4.76P 0.30R 0.02 Barnet 24 34 +3 -1.40 42.88 -0.72 65.99 6.88 5.71 0.62 15.15 4.15P 0.71R 0.03 Torquay 25 34 +0 2.68 63.74 5.50 59.46 6.87 -5.96 0.06 2.88 0.55P 6.68R 0.62 Notts_County 24 33 +8 -8.15 13.87 -4.38 70.94 7.05 19.72 3.51 39.71 16.02P 0.13R 0.00 Eastleigh 24 33 -2 1.26 57.40 -0.05 61.84 6.83 -4.21 0.13 5.07 1.07P 3.28R 0.28 Hartlepool 24 32 +3 -1.19 44.06 2.84 62.25 6.93 2.88 0.18 6.50 1.56P 2.72R 0.20 Dover_Athletic 23 32 -3 0.71 54.31 -2.49 61.96 7.09 -5.59 0.19 5.76 1.27P 3.62R 0.35 Maidenhead 25 31 -3 1.43 58.52 4.36 55.53 6.49 -9.75 0.01 0.56 0.08P 16.33R 1.97 Dag_&_Red 25 30 -3 -3.69 31.39 -2.14 57.06 6.65 -5.62 0.02 1.12 0.23P 11.15R 1.18 AFC_Fylde 24 28 -9 -6.54 18.87 -11.32 59.88 6.99 -6.55 0.07 3.06 0.79P 6.38R 0.64 Sutton_United 25 27 -5 -4.96 25.33 -1.66 54.62 6.57 -6.60 0.00 0.34 0.09P 19.14R 2.86 Aldershot 25 27 -10 -0.89 45.97 -0.67 51.43 6.40 -16.25 0.00 0.09 0.02P 37.14R 7.23 Wrexham 25 26 -5 -9.03 11.08 -6.32 56.44 6.60 -2.47 0.00 0.78 0.18P 12.25R 1.70 Ebbsfleet_United 25 23 -12 -9.51 10.37 -8.80 50.71 6.72 -14.11 0.00 0.08 0.01P 40.26R 9.55 Chesterfield 25 23 -14 -9.42 10.33 -10.75 49.52 6.66 -17.81 0.00 0.03 0.01P 48.52R 12.67 Chorley 25 23 -20 0.10 52.46 -2.19 42.14 6.22 -35.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 87.76R 60.50