Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 13 December 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 9 December 2019, West_Ham 1 3 Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        16   46  +26      10.45    99.11     2.37    95.96     5.84    60.97    92.52    99.19    99.98   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        16   38  +29       9.24    95.59    18.48    77.13     6.68    43.16     1.78    27.06    79.31    93.59    99.45     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         16   32  +25      -5.32    12.97    -3.26    82.30     5.82    61.67     5.66    70.72    95.15    99.09    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          16   29   +7       0.56    53.08    -2.98    67.19     6.74    19.60     0.04     2.08    14.28    50.44    88.12     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          16   24   +6      -2.44    33.18    -0.63    62.18     6.67    18.21     0.00     0.31     4.06    20.57    69.77     0.00R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    16   24   +4       2.08    64.74     4.43    52.57     6.65     0.89     0.00     0.00     0.17     1.68    15.21     0.38R    0.01  
Tottenham        16   23   +7      -5.95    13.50    -3.99    63.36     6.79    23.22     0.00     0.58     6.35    28.51    75.65     0.01R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        16   22   +3       2.90    70.21     7.45    47.96     6.62    -4.37     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.33     4.75     2.36R    0.11  
Arsenal          16   22   +0      -4.48    21.44    -6.80    55.38     6.87     4.29     0.00     0.04     0.56     4.42    27.55     0.16R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   16   22   -4       2.72    69.59     0.30    50.48     6.62    -7.21     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.69     8.63     1.08R    0.03  
Newcastle        16   22   -6       3.12    72.26    -0.83    49.02     6.56   -11.04     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.42     5.62     1.64R    0.04  
Brighton         16   19   -4       2.24    67.25     5.02    42.91     6.43   -13.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.96    10.20R    0.81  
Burnley          16   18   -8       0.87    57.48     0.67    41.82     6.52   -19.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.67    14.47R    1.45  
Everton          16   17   -9      -3.67    25.72    -6.21    44.68     6.69   -13.97     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.13     2.01     7.06R    0.56  
Bournemouth      16   16   -6      -2.31    34.41     0.88    42.05     6.62   -14.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.73    13.58R    1.37  
West_Ham         16   16  -10      -2.71    32.28    -4.21    40.30     6.42   -21.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.31    20.62R    2.44  
Aston_Villa      16   15   -5      -1.44    41.03     5.81    39.93     6.83   -14.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.47    22.70R    3.36  
Southampton      16   15  -17      -0.29    49.53    -4.58    37.47     6.43   -31.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12    37.79R    6.25  
Norwich          16   11  -17      -3.24    28.40    -1.90    29.31     6.21   -40.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.36R   41.33  
Watford          16    9  -21      -6.77     9.24   -10.04    29.01     6.13   -39.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.58R   42.23  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 13 December 2019, Charlton 2 2 Hull; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United    21   46  +22       9.08    91.62    10.15    89.62     7.22    35.92    37.71    80.53    98.85    86.10P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       21   46  +21       7.31    86.71     5.33    92.18     7.27    39.77    56.95    88.17    99.51    91.80P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          21   35  +10       1.15    56.50     2.27    73.15     7.57    15.69     1.13     6.01    54.42    19.11P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_City    21   35   +4       4.59    75.39     1.82    71.66     7.46     7.66     0.52     3.40    44.81    12.32P    0.03R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   20   34  +10       4.48    75.53     6.82    73.83     7.50    16.22     1.11     6.26    58.08    18.75P    0.02R    0.00  
Preston         21   34   +7       2.77    65.72     3.35    71.21     7.44    11.25     0.48     3.17    43.57    12.70P    0.04R    0.00  
Brentford       21   33  +15      -2.00    38.10     5.58    73.64     7.45    24.54     1.31     6.72    58.74    22.61P    0.01R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       21   33   +9       1.78    60.60     5.29    70.15     7.38    13.23     0.37     2.34    38.55    10.88P    0.05R    0.00  
Cardiff         21   31   +2      -0.36    48.02    -1.84    67.73     7.64     5.63     0.21     1.37    26.85     8.02P    0.24R    0.01  
Blackburn       21   31   +0       2.82    66.86     1.24    64.52     7.42    -1.30     0.05     0.38    14.09     3.08P    0.65R    0.03  
Swansea         21   31   +0       0.74    54.72    -2.05    67.16     7.37     2.87     0.10     0.90    22.84     6.03P    0.24R    0.01  
QPR             21   31   -5       6.17    82.53     1.82    61.10     7.31   -12.29     0.01     0.12     6.13     1.04P    2.19R    0.17  
Hull            22   30   +3      -0.97    44.83     2.07    63.97     7.25     4.23     0.04     0.34    12.89     3.09P    0.68R    0.04  
Millwall        21   30   -1       3.78    72.03     2.86    62.19     7.21    -3.96     0.01     0.14     8.01     1.59P    1.29R    0.08  
Birmingham      21   28   -6       1.95    62.38    -2.11    58.25     7.21   -12.11     0.00     0.03     2.76     0.49P    4.67R    0.41  
Derby           21   26   -6      -3.80    28.77    -7.59    61.53     7.38    -4.13     0.00     0.11     7.13     1.85P    1.84R    0.18  
Charlton        22   24   -2      -3.47    31.52     2.05    53.70     7.14    -6.80     0.00     0.00     0.77     0.16P   12.89R    1.83  
Reading         20   22   -2      -2.16    37.35     3.05    53.32     7.42    -8.48     0.00     0.01     0.87     0.16P   15.38R    2.26  
Huddersfield    21   21  -10      -3.16    32.34    -3.09    49.65     7.28   -18.01     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.05P   31.03R    6.61  
Middlesbrough   21   21  -10      -7.50    12.52   -10.05    54.62     7.10   -10.39     0.00     0.01     0.76     0.15P   10.95R    1.40  
Luton           21   20  -17      -2.53    35.98    -5.96    47.10     7.34   -29.78     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   46.57R   13.21  
Stoke           21   17  -11      -8.91     8.16    -6.83    47.79     7.20   -16.13     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   39.41R    9.54  
Wigan           21   17  -15      -6.26    16.43    -6.88    45.95     7.07   -22.95     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   51.29R   15.08  
Barnsley        21   13  -18      -9.36     7.13    -7.32    39.75     7.30   -30.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   80.53R   49.14  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 December 2019, Blackpool 3 1 Fleetwood_Town; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Wycombe              19   40  +14      11.84    97.16    10.71    75.63     7.34    16.03    12.48    26.32    69.07    33.75P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich              18   36  +15       4.96    78.56     5.64    80.60     7.64    28.51    35.98    54.50    87.34    63.66P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         19   32  +17      -0.46    46.59     6.81    75.60     7.43    32.41    14.78    29.97    71.76    41.68P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            19   32   +7       3.62    71.77     3.50    68.93     7.27    11.13     2.37     6.66    34.50    12.48P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       18   31   +3       4.77    78.40     0.44    65.12     7.52     0.50     1.01     2.84    18.36     5.67P    0.03R    0.00  
Coventry             19   31   +3       4.28    75.92     1.93    64.81     7.30     2.72     0.68     2.23    16.73     5.05P    0.02R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           18   30  +18       1.03    56.51    11.38    72.86     7.66    29.34     9.11    19.31    58.23    29.13P    0.00R    0.00  
Rotherham            19   30  +11      -1.40    41.20     2.65    72.11     7.61    23.05     6.90    16.10    53.85    26.99P    0.00R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       17   29   +7       2.15    64.22     1.60    68.78     7.87    11.21     3.14     8.06    35.29    14.17P    0.01R    0.00  
Portsmouth           18   28   +8      -2.58    33.55    -1.30    71.03     7.60    19.17     5.32    12.47    47.68    22.61P    0.00R    0.00  
Sunderland           18   26   +4      -5.19    19.41    -6.10    69.89     7.57    16.48     3.80     9.63    41.15    19.59P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           18   25   -3       1.04    57.40    -2.34    59.81     7.31    -3.80     0.10     0.46     5.55     1.47P    0.25R    0.00  
Doncaster            16   24   +7      -1.73    38.21     1.26    69.04     7.97    17.39     3.57     8.98    37.71    16.56P    0.02R    0.00  
Gillingham           19   24   +1      -1.26    42.71     2.08    57.97     7.38     0.34     0.05     0.24     3.62     0.99P    0.56R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        18   24   +1      -1.85    38.34    -0.80    64.31     7.54     8.11     0.66     2.11    16.68     5.68P    0.05R    0.00  
Rochdale             20   22  -11      -0.00    51.21    -1.85    48.47     6.93   -21.77     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    8.55R    0.10  
Lincoln_City         18   21   -2      -0.75    45.87     2.32    55.47     7.66    -3.56     0.04     0.13     2.11     0.44P    1.40R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley   19   19   -4      -4.07    26.16     0.84    49.48     7.26   -10.05     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.05P    6.41R    0.08  
AFC_Wimbledon        19   17   -7      -4.70    22.12    -0.39    45.80     7.09   -15.23     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   15.02R    0.37  
Tranmere             18   17  -11      -0.99    44.78     0.47    42.61     7.34   -27.33     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    31.04R    1.24  
MK_Dons              19   14  -14      -6.64    13.66    -5.68    39.79     7.09   -27.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   46.48R    2.75  
Southend             20    6  -37     -11.15     1.92   -18.50    28.13     6.62   -57.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.80R   42.34  
Bolton               16    2  -27      -0.31    49.65   -14.69    26.41     7.30   -50.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.35R   53.11  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 December 2019, Bradford 1 0 Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot1     Bot1

Swindon          20   39  +13       6.85    85.41     5.99    80.67     7.65    22.02    26.59    58.70    89.08    66.38P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           20   36   +5       5.41    79.65     0.29    76.06     7.52    11.60     9.68    32.94    73.53    42.81P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     20   35   +9       4.30    74.59     4.14    74.68     7.56    15.02     7.90    28.12    68.21    37.90P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       19   34  +16       5.36    79.97    12.15    74.97     7.74    21.93     9.38    30.97    70.68    40.05P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            19   34  +10       5.57    80.76     6.47    74.18     7.88    14.67     7.67    26.64    65.36    35.03P    0.00R    0.00  
Bradford         19   34   +9       2.21    63.19     0.63    79.55     7.91    21.64    22.32    53.10    85.46    62.52P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      20   31   +8       0.33    52.39     3.14    69.78     7.70    12.67     2.57    12.22    44.06    19.95P    0.01R    0.01  
Colchester       19   30   +7       0.37    52.41     1.75    71.09     7.78    13.09     3.63    15.86    50.66    25.00P    0.02R    0.02  
Plymouth         19   29   +5      -1.24    42.32    -1.31    74.38     7.99    17.38     8.38    28.41    67.14    39.74P    0.00R    0.00  
Port_Vale        20   28   -1       3.01    68.84     2.11    60.12     7.37    -5.63     0.08     0.80     7.15     1.96P    0.29R    0.29  
Cambridge_Utd    20   27   +5       1.51    59.93     7.29    61.34     7.41     3.65     0.14     1.26    10.39     3.14P    0.22R    0.22  
Newport_County   18   27   +2       2.73    67.76     2.18    65.82     7.85     3.12     0.88     4.91    24.42     9.05P    0.07R    0.07  
Salford_City     20   25   -6       4.01    74.30     3.88    51.40     7.31   -20.17     0.00     0.06     0.68     0.14P    5.81R    5.81  
Scunthorpe       20   24   +1      -7.70    12.14    -5.40    64.86     7.83     8.73     0.65     4.27    22.86     9.92P    0.08R    0.08  
Macclesfield     19   23   -3       2.26    65.75     4.36    51.76     7.33   -14.57     0.00     0.04     0.76     0.14P    4.76R    4.76  
Crawley_Town     20   22   -6      -1.27    42.81     0.21    53.05     7.42   -13.03     0.00     0.05     1.05     0.24P    3.67R    3.67  
Walsall          20   22  -11      -4.57    24.67   -10.08    57.15     7.56   -11.20     0.03     0.29     3.50     1.08P    1.26R    1.26  
Mansfield        20   21   -3      -9.79     6.56    -8.05    59.69     7.61     1.50     0.06     0.80     7.81     2.96P    0.48R    0.48  
Leyton_Orient    20   21   -8      -0.86    46.00     0.73    48.96     7.43   -20.05     0.00     0.01     0.33     0.08P   10.67R   10.67  
Grimsby          18   20   -5      -1.21    42.95    -0.43    52.58     7.68   -12.96     0.01     0.09     1.14     0.25P    4.63R    4.63  
Oldham           19   20   -7      -5.94    17.36    -6.92    57.48     7.80    -6.25     0.04     0.40     4.44     1.34P    1.21R    1.21  
Carlisle         20   20  -12      -5.29    20.85    -8.67    52.91     7.51   -16.06     0.00     0.06     1.03     0.28P    4.16R    4.16  
Stevenage        19   15   -9      -9.06     6.38    -6.59    48.58     7.52   -13.21     0.00     0.01     0.24     0.04P   10.68R   10.68  
Morecambe        20   15  -19      -5.07    20.54    -7.87    40.76     7.02   -33.89     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    51.98R   51.98  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 December 2019, AFC_Fylde 0 0 Sutton_United; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barrow             24   47  +19       8.30    87.05    10.39    80.90     6.94    24.54    31.52    86.46    44.49P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil             25   44  +13      -0.07    49.13    -1.56    81.15     6.74    25.64    32.91    88.06    51.27P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley            25   44  +12       5.60    76.65     5.87    76.84     6.85    18.04    12.83    70.17    25.52P    0.00R    0.00  
Woking             25   41   +6       7.64    83.62     7.51    69.44     6.90     5.38     1.84    27.62     6.59P    0.15R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors     24   40  +12       1.16    56.16     3.21    75.83     6.91    20.35    11.25    66.03    25.99P    0.01R    0.00  
Harrogate_Town     25   40   +4       2.48    62.90    -0.72    70.98     6.82     7.07     2.88    35.77    10.11P    0.06R    0.00  
Halifax            24   38   +2       6.56    81.85     3.83    68.28     6.80     2.48     1.14    21.75     5.04P    0.26R    0.02  
Stockport          25   38   -4       8.45    86.40     3.75    61.99     6.74   -11.65     0.10     5.00     0.84P    3.07R    0.15  
Boreham_Wood       25   37   +8       1.56    58.54     6.31    67.20     6.67    10.13     0.84    19.21     4.79P    0.30R    0.01  
Barnet             24   34   +3      -1.42    42.72    -0.70    66.06     6.87     5.77     0.60    15.27     4.14P    0.67R    0.03  
Torquay            25   34   +0       2.66    63.91     5.51    59.38     6.84    -6.08     0.05     2.56     0.52P    6.89R    0.62  
Notts_County       24   33   +8      -8.07    14.17    -4.25    70.83     7.07    19.59     3.48    38.97    15.45P    0.14R    0.01  
Eastleigh          24   33   -2       1.27    57.34     0.01    61.83     6.86    -4.22     0.12     5.19     1.03P    3.31R    0.24  
Hartlepool         24   32   +3      -1.07    44.59     2.99    62.22     6.88     2.82     0.18     6.18     1.46P    2.63R    0.18  
Dover_Athletic     23   32   -3       0.54    53.69    -2.75    62.02     7.07    -5.44     0.19     5.82     1.31P    3.68R    0.27  
Maidenhead         25   31   -3       1.41    58.49     4.23    55.61     6.50    -9.60     0.00     0.55     0.07P   15.81R    2.05  
Dag_&_Red          25   30   -3      -3.64    31.82    -2.05    57.04     6.63    -5.65     0.01     1.04     0.22P   11.10R    1.17  
AFC_Fylde          24   28   -9      -6.68    18.27   -11.50    59.98     6.96    -6.47     0.06     3.04     0.84P    6.10R    0.64  
Sutton_United      25   27   -5      -4.92    25.31    -1.60    54.56     6.55    -6.68     0.00     0.35     0.08P   19.17R    2.88  
Aldershot          25   27  -10      -1.03    45.41    -0.89    51.56     6.43   -16.12     0.00     0.09     0.02P   36.31R    6.76  
Wrexham            25   26   -5      -9.05    10.78    -6.35    56.45     6.57    -2.48     0.00     0.74     0.19P   12.07R    1.58  
Ebbsfleet_United   25   23  -12      -9.40    10.63    -8.63    50.64     6.74   -14.25     0.00     0.10     0.03P   41.16R    9.74  
Chesterfield       25   23  -14      -9.25    10.61   -10.47    49.40     6.60   -18.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   49.37R   12.68  
Chorley            25   23  -20       0.11    52.30    -2.13    42.08     6.20   -35.19     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.73R   60.98