Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 12 December 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 9 December 2019, West_Ham 1 3 Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        16   46  +26      10.52    99.19     2.50    95.92     5.80    60.86    92.63    99.20    99.96   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        16   38  +29       9.18    95.38    18.38    77.17     6.68    43.24     1.77    26.70    79.76    93.85    99.49     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         16   32  +25      -5.34    13.09    -3.33    82.34     5.81    61.71     5.55    71.11    95.23    99.13    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          16   29   +7       0.57    53.35    -2.91    67.12     6.76    19.52     0.04     2.08    14.08    49.52    87.91     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          16   24   +6      -2.44    33.23    -0.63    62.15     6.67    18.18     0.00     0.31     4.06    20.81    69.71     0.01R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    16   24   +4       2.04    64.41     4.39    52.63     6.67     0.99     0.00     0.00     0.21     1.89    15.53     0.37R    0.01  
Tottenham        16   23   +7      -5.90    13.95    -3.92    63.37     6.74    23.19     0.01     0.57     5.99    28.86    76.22     0.01R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        16   22   +3       2.82    69.67     7.32    48.13     6.65    -4.17     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.38     5.10     2.16R    0.11  
Arsenal          16   22   +0      -4.40    21.79    -6.70    55.32     6.83     4.20     0.00     0.03     0.57     4.24    26.90     0.18R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   16   22   -4       2.71    69.68     0.28    50.49     6.62    -7.12     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.71     8.56     1.04R    0.04  
Newcastle        16   22   -6       3.20    72.92    -0.72    48.98     6.55   -11.06     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.41     5.62     1.73R    0.07  
Brighton         16   19   -4       2.23    67.37     5.02    42.84     6.41   -14.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.84    10.31R    0.72  
Burnley          16   18   -8       0.80    57.01     0.53    41.96     6.51   -19.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.70    14.15R    1.30  
Everton          16   17   -9      -3.64    26.02    -6.18    44.65     6.67   -13.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09     1.84     6.98R    0.50  
Bournemouth      16   16   -6      -2.29    34.61     0.92    41.96     6.66   -14.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.76    14.12R    1.49  
West_Ham         16   16  -10      -2.80    31.68    -4.34    40.41     6.47   -21.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.31    20.31R    2.34  
Aston_Villa      16   15   -5      -1.41    41.09     5.84    39.88     6.80   -15.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.42    22.73R    3.32  
Southampton      16   15  -17      -0.30    49.25    -4.68    37.48     6.41   -31.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10    37.76R    6.01  
Norwich          16   11  -17      -3.21    28.20    -1.78    29.20     6.17   -41.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.70R   41.68  
Watford          16    9  -21      -6.75     9.43    -9.99    28.99     6.15   -39.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.45R   42.40  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 11 December 2019, Barnsley 1 1 Reading; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United    21   46  +22       9.00    91.44    10.01    89.78     7.21    36.17    38.33    81.18    98.96    86.73P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       21   46  +21       7.27    86.72     5.23    92.17     7.30    39.81    56.56    88.16    99.48    91.78P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          21   35  +10       1.10    56.31     2.19    73.23     7.58    15.81     1.11     5.94    54.77    19.03P    0.02R    0.00  
Bristol_City    21   35   +4       4.44    74.90     1.61    71.89     7.49     7.99     0.58     3.63    46.02    12.90P    0.03R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   20   34  +10       4.56    75.75     6.94    73.69     7.51    16.02     1.04     5.94    57.08    18.26P    0.01R    0.00  
Preston         21   34   +7       2.82    66.27     3.41    71.09     7.42    11.08     0.42     2.99    42.91    12.29P    0.04R    0.00  
Brentford       21   33  +15      -1.99    37.99     5.59    73.69     7.39    24.61     1.22     6.52    58.93    22.71P    0.01R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       21   33   +9       1.84    61.03     5.39    70.01     7.35    13.04     0.30     2.19    37.91    10.86P    0.06R    0.00  
Cardiff         21   31   +2      -0.50    47.16    -2.08    67.92     7.57     5.93     0.21     1.38    27.38     7.91P    0.22R    0.01  
Blackburn       21   31   +0       2.84    66.99     1.21    64.49     7.43    -1.31     0.07     0.45    14.19     3.29P    0.73R    0.04  
Swansea         21   31   +0       0.91    55.59    -1.80    66.95     7.31     2.62     0.09     0.81    21.92     5.47P    0.26R    0.01  
QPR             21   31   -5       6.25    83.04     1.97    60.98     7.32   -12.46     0.01     0.10     5.89     0.95P    2.42R    0.19  
Millwall        21   30   -1       3.87    72.78     2.97    62.18     7.25    -4.02     0.01     0.12     7.95     1.53P    1.40R    0.10  
Hull            21   29   +3      -0.69    46.41     1.90    64.25     7.45     4.14     0.04     0.42    14.04     3.38P    0.74R    0.05  
Birmingham      21   28   -6       1.95    62.37    -2.15    58.23     7.22   -12.13     0.00     0.03     2.85     0.51P    4.64R    0.44  
Derby           21   26   -6      -3.72    29.05    -7.51    61.48     7.33    -4.20     0.01     0.12     6.77     1.75P    1.82R    0.13  
Charlton        21   23   -2      -2.89    34.02     2.38    53.97     7.38    -6.92     0.00     0.01     1.01     0.22P   13.03R    2.04  
Reading         20   22   -2      -2.15    37.76     3.06    53.38     7.35    -8.45     0.00     0.00     0.79     0.14P   15.16R    2.24  
Huddersfield    21   21  -10      -3.25    31.70    -3.18    49.80     7.17   -17.84     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.04P   30.18R    6.31  
Middlesbrough   21   21  -10      -7.42    12.62    -9.96    54.47     7.09   -10.60     0.00     0.01     0.78     0.22P   11.44R    1.53  
Luton           21   20  -17      -2.40    36.86    -5.75    47.04     7.30   -29.86     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   47.04R   13.62  
Stoke           21   17  -11      -8.84     8.28    -6.75    47.78     7.16   -16.18     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   39.49R    9.89  
Wigan           21   17  -15      -6.42    15.78    -7.08    46.01     7.07   -22.89     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   51.03R   15.17  
Barnsley        21   13  -18      -9.54     6.54    -7.61    39.92     7.25   -30.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.24R   48.23  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 December 2019, Blackpool 3 1 Fleetwood_Town; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Wycombe              19   40  +14      11.90    97.19    10.80    75.60     7.31    15.99    12.27    26.28    68.84    33.77P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich              18   36  +15       4.88    78.29     5.54    80.70     7.67    28.66    36.39    54.86    87.38    63.95P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         19   32  +17      -0.43    46.93     6.81    75.53     7.43    32.30    14.58    29.56    71.51    41.45P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            19   32   +7       3.83    72.82     3.82    68.71     7.30    10.79     2.32     6.36    33.47    12.09P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       18   31   +3       4.60    77.40     0.22    65.39     7.60     0.89     1.11     3.09    19.63     6.30P    0.03R    0.00  
Coventry             19   31   +3       4.22    75.26     1.86    64.88     7.31     2.81     0.72     2.28    16.83     5.05P    0.02R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           18   30  +18       0.93    55.89    11.23    72.97     7.64    29.46     9.12    19.40    58.88    29.40P    0.00R    0.00  
Rotherham            19   30  +11      -1.41    40.97     2.66    72.03     7.68    22.98     6.94    15.93    52.93    26.44P    0.00R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       17   29   +7       2.12    64.02     1.60    68.78     7.90    11.17     3.13     8.14    35.29    14.26P    0.01R    0.00  
Portsmouth           18   28   +8      -2.56    33.63    -1.32    70.97     7.65    19.06     5.15    12.55    47.16    22.54P    0.00R    0.00  
Sunderland           18   26   +4      -5.15    19.77    -6.05    69.80     7.58    16.34     3.52     9.18    40.90    19.15P    0.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           18   25   -3       1.13    58.08    -2.19    59.72     7.39    -3.99     0.12     0.43     5.56     1.48P    0.27R    0.00  
Doncaster            16   24   +7      -1.74    38.02     1.28    69.11     8.05    17.40     3.79     9.17    38.39    16.69P    0.02R    0.00  
Gillingham           19   24   +1      -1.33    42.33     2.00    57.95     7.38     0.33     0.06     0.21     3.47     0.81P    0.60R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        18   24   +1      -1.89    38.44    -0.87    64.43     7.62     8.32     0.75     2.42    17.31     6.05P    0.04R    0.00  
Rochdale             20   22  -11       0.03    51.50    -1.82    48.42     6.92   -21.81     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P    8.12R    0.12  
Lincoln_City         18   21   -2      -0.56    47.45     2.59    55.20     7.72    -3.99     0.05     0.15     2.08     0.53P    1.63R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley   19   19   -4      -4.02    26.14     0.86    49.50     7.23   -10.06     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.03P    6.40R    0.08  
AFC_Wimbledon        19   17   -7      -4.82    21.59    -0.55    46.06     7.11   -14.84     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   14.28R    0.28  
Tranmere             18   17  -11      -0.98    44.70     0.52    42.62     7.28   -27.31     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   31.12R    1.10  
MK_Dons              19   14  -14      -6.60    13.62    -5.65    39.76     7.09   -27.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.12R    2.91  
Southend             20    6  -37     -11.15     1.98   -18.54    28.14     6.62   -57.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.00R   42.38  
Bolton               16    2  -27      -0.40    49.03   -14.83    26.43     7.33   -49.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.33R   53.11  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 December 2019, Bradford 1 0 Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot1     Bot1

Swindon          20   39  +13       6.96    85.59     6.17    80.51     7.60    21.75    25.51    57.78    88.99    65.39P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           20   36   +5       5.34    79.09     0.20    76.21     7.54    11.76    10.10    34.03    74.09    43.52P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     20   35   +9       4.44    75.29     4.36    74.43     7.48    14.74     7.35    26.55    66.99    36.37P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       19   34  +16       5.29    79.60    12.05    75.16     7.80    22.18     9.83    32.20    71.14    41.13P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            19   34  +10       5.56    80.64     6.43    74.22     7.86    14.65     7.69    26.71    65.76    35.29P    0.01R    0.01  
Bradford         19   34   +9       2.14    62.81     0.60    79.54     7.93    21.62    22.68    52.79    85.53    62.59P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      20   31   +8       0.27    51.74     3.08    69.86     7.72    12.82     2.63    12.54    44.54    20.30P    0.01R    0.01  
Colchester       19   30   +7       0.41    52.53     1.79    71.15     7.78    13.18     3.99    16.16    50.70    25.36P    0.01R    0.01  
Plymouth         19   29   +5      -1.17    42.81    -1.25    74.33     8.01    17.26     8.31    28.21    66.78    39.47P    0.01R    0.01  
Port_Vale        20   28   -1       3.06    69.04     2.20    60.05     7.34    -5.73     0.11     0.72     7.09     1.86P    0.33R    0.33  
Cambridge_Utd    20   27   +5       1.51    59.81     7.32    61.24     7.40     3.49     0.13     1.23    10.12     3.00P    0.22R    0.22  
Newport_County   18   27   +2       2.78    68.17     2.26    65.78     7.85     3.01     0.78     4.89    24.29     9.07P    0.07R    0.07  
Salford_City     20   25   -6       3.91    73.91     3.72    51.48     7.30   -20.01     0.00     0.04     0.65     0.12P    5.59R    5.59  
Scunthorpe       20   24   +1      -7.82    12.20    -5.58    64.96     7.87     8.89     0.73     4.32    23.17    10.15P    0.10R    0.10  
Macclesfield     19   23   -3       2.26    65.94     4.34    51.79     7.22   -14.46     0.00     0.04     0.63     0.14P    4.62R    4.62  
Crawley_Town     20   22   -6      -1.32    42.84     0.13    53.00     7.40   -13.05     0.00     0.06     1.02     0.23P    3.75R    3.75  
Walsall          20   22  -11      -4.60    24.40   -10.15    57.13     7.61   -11.22     0.02     0.30     3.60     1.11P    1.24R    1.24  
Mansfield        20   21   -3      -9.89     6.36    -8.20    59.77     7.61     1.60     0.08     0.83     7.77     2.85P    0.49R    0.49  
Leyton_Orient    20   21   -8      -0.81    46.24     0.81    48.95     7.37   -20.04     0.00     0.01     0.35     0.05P   10.30R   10.30  
Grimsby          18   20   -5      -1.20    43.18    -0.40    52.62     7.66   -12.89     0.01     0.09     1.13     0.26P    4.43R    4.43  
Oldham           19   20   -7      -5.96    17.20    -6.96    57.53     7.79    -6.17     0.05     0.45     4.43     1.41P    1.25R    1.25  
Carlisle         20   20  -12      -5.12    21.62    -8.45    52.73     7.52   -16.33     0.00     0.05     0.98     0.25P    4.43R    4.43  
Stevenage        19   15   -9      -9.15     6.18    -6.73    48.70     7.51   -13.02     0.00     0.01     0.25     0.06P   10.54R   10.54  
Morecambe        20   15  -19      -5.01    20.85    -7.73    40.66     7.01   -34.03     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    52.61R   52.61  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 December 2019, AFC_Fylde 0 0 Sutton_United; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barrow             24   47  +19       8.40    87.41    10.55    80.81     6.98    24.39    31.88    86.07    44.54P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil             25   44  +13       0.23    50.77    -1.17    80.85     6.76    25.18    31.56    87.10    49.70P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley            25   44  +12       5.68    76.82     6.01    76.83     6.81    18.00    13.22    70.17    25.87P    0.00R    0.00  
Woking             25   41   +6       7.57    83.29     7.38    69.52     6.86     5.52     1.93    27.90     6.69P    0.14R    0.01  
Solihull_Moors     24   40  +12       0.99    55.17     2.95    75.97     6.85    20.58    11.76    66.58    27.06P    0.00R    0.00  
Harrogate_Town     25   40   +4       2.44    62.65    -0.77    71.01     6.79     7.12     2.88    35.92    10.19P    0.07R    0.00  
Halifax            24   38   +2       6.56    81.76     3.88    68.19     6.80     2.32     1.09    21.47     4.86P    0.27R    0.01  
Stockport          25   38   -4       8.42    86.24     3.77    62.03     6.78   -11.62     0.14     5.14     0.84P    3.07R    0.13  
Boreham_Wood       25   37   +8       1.48    58.26     6.21    67.25     6.66    10.19     0.89    19.15     4.83P    0.30R    0.01  
Barnet             24   34   +3      -1.30    43.18    -0.60    66.01     6.87     5.69     0.64    15.21     4.08P    0.55R    0.03  
Torquay            25   34   +0       2.57    63.29     5.32    59.50     6.89    -5.87     0.09     2.80     0.60P    6.72R    0.65  
Notts_County       24   33   +8      -8.06    14.10    -4.24    70.82     7.02    19.57     3.32    38.81    15.44P    0.12R    0.00  
Eastleigh          24   33   -2       1.26    57.51     0.02    61.83     6.83    -4.20     0.13     5.09     1.08P    3.29R    0.27  
Hartlepool         24   32   +3      -1.07    44.64     2.97    62.18     6.93     2.78     0.19     6.37     1.44P    2.77R    0.20  
Dover_Athletic     23   32   -3       0.58    53.55    -2.72    62.12     7.11    -5.30     0.22     6.34     1.43P    3.37R    0.27  
Maidenhead         25   31   -3       1.24    57.39     4.01    55.74     6.49    -9.44     0.00     0.59     0.07P   15.41R    1.78  
Dag_&_Red          25   30   -3      -3.60    31.83    -1.98    56.97     6.62    -5.75     0.01     0.99     0.23P   11.37R    1.27  
AFC_Fylde          24   28   -9      -6.70    18.12   -11.53    59.98     6.94    -6.43     0.05     3.00     0.73P    6.19R    0.66  
Sutton_United      25   27   -5      -4.85    25.93    -1.48    54.53     6.64    -6.75     0.00     0.38     0.08P   19.58R    3.09  
Aldershot          25   27  -10      -0.82    46.68    -0.56    51.37     6.46   -16.40     0.00     0.08     0.01P   37.75R    7.43  
Wrexham            25   26   -5      -8.99    10.95    -6.23    56.43     6.59    -2.52     0.00     0.73     0.19P   12.18R    1.71  
Ebbsfleet_United   25   23  -12      -9.48    10.09    -8.76    50.68     6.72   -14.20     0.00     0.08     0.02P   40.62R    9.57  
Chesterfield       25   23  -14      -9.44    10.32   -10.76    49.52     6.65   -17.83     0.00     0.04     0.01P   48.80R   12.57  
Chorley            25   23  -20       0.04    52.03    -2.29    42.14     6.28   -35.03     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.43R   60.35