Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 11 December 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 9 December 2019, West_Ham 1 3 Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        16   46  +26      10.51    99.09     2.49    95.80     5.80    60.63    92.48    99.16    99.96   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        16   38  +29       9.23    95.58    18.48    77.20     6.63    43.23     1.75    26.70    80.01    94.07    99.57     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         16   32  +25      -5.34    12.97    -3.29    82.36     5.82    61.75     5.73    71.20    95.28    99.12    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          16   29   +7       0.65    54.12    -2.87    67.11     6.74    19.49     0.03     2.03    14.00    50.01    87.77     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          16   24   +6      -2.44    33.11    -0.65    62.17     6.66    18.26     0.00     0.33     3.83    20.69    69.74     0.01R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    16   24   +4       1.99    64.34     4.29    52.71     6.66     1.14     0.00     0.01     0.19     1.75    15.61     0.36R    0.01  
Tottenham        16   23   +7      -5.92    13.40    -3.89    63.34     6.72    23.11     0.01     0.55     6.04    28.14    76.05     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        16   22   +3       2.83    69.82     7.33    48.08     6.62    -4.24     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.38     4.82     2.18R    0.10  
Arsenal          16   22   +0      -4.41    21.86    -6.71    55.28     6.87     4.12     0.00     0.02     0.55     4.39    27.08     0.15R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   16   22   -4       2.72    69.47     0.31    50.54     6.66    -7.10     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.83     8.84     0.98R    0.04  
Newcastle        16   22   -6       3.16    72.53    -0.79    48.98     6.56   -11.04     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.44     5.65     1.73R    0.07  
Brighton         16   19   -4       2.28    67.62     5.07    42.90     6.42   -13.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.84    10.08R    0.75  
Burnley          16   18   -8       0.87    57.64     0.58    41.86     6.42   -19.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.61    14.11R    1.30  
Everton          16   17   -9      -3.72    25.52    -6.33    44.71     6.69   -13.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     1.89     6.87R    0.53  
Bournemouth      16   16   -6      -2.22    35.15     1.01    41.93     6.67   -14.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.78    14.04R    1.41  
West_Ham         16   16  -10      -2.76    31.96    -4.30    40.36     6.48   -21.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.32    20.56R    2.40  
Aston_Villa      16   15   -5      -1.47    40.60     5.74    39.95     6.81   -14.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.40    22.59R    3.25  
Southampton      16   15  -17      -0.34    49.02    -4.69    37.51     6.41   -31.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09    37.59R    6.17  
Norwich          16   11  -17      -3.22    28.25    -1.78    29.22     6.14   -40.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.86R   41.34  
Watford          16    9  -21      -6.75     9.51   -10.01    28.92     6.11   -39.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.91R   42.63  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 11 December 2019, Barnsley 1 1 Reading; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United    21   46  +22       9.15    91.70    10.22    89.61     7.23    35.95    36.91    80.37    98.86    85.98P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       21   46  +21       7.20    86.39     5.10    92.34     7.29    40.02    57.71    88.49    99.51    92.11P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          21   35  +10       1.20    56.68     2.33    73.15     7.63    15.67     1.16     6.08    54.36    19.10P    0.02R    0.00  
Bristol_City    21   35   +4       4.54    75.30     1.77    71.79     7.49     7.89     0.51     3.55    45.70    12.81P    0.03R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   20   34  +10       4.55    75.98     6.89    73.77     7.49    16.15     1.10     6.08    57.42    18.34P    0.02R    0.00  
Preston         21   34   +7       2.87    66.29     3.50    71.07     7.44    11.03     0.52     3.02    42.80    12.25P    0.04R    0.00  
Brentford       21   33  +15      -2.09    37.51     5.49    73.78     7.45    24.68     1.37     6.77    59.49    23.31P    0.01R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       21   33   +9       1.95    61.59     5.52    69.96     7.37    12.93     0.30     2.29    37.71    10.78P    0.04R    0.00  
Cardiff         21   31   +2      -0.46    47.41    -1.97    67.82     7.63     5.74     0.18     1.29    27.16     7.69P    0.24R    0.01  
Blackburn       21   31   +0       2.65    65.89     1.03    64.57     7.39    -1.19     0.06     0.37    14.23     3.00P    0.63R    0.04  
Swansea         21   31   +0       0.89    55.62    -1.85    66.94     7.40     2.62     0.11     0.88    22.17     5.85P    0.27R    0.01  
QPR             21   31   -5       6.16    82.56     1.85    61.03     7.31   -12.40     0.02     0.12     5.85     0.97P    2.31R    0.17  
Millwall        21   30   -1       3.74    72.04     2.76    62.27     7.23    -3.87     0.01     0.15     7.96     1.60P    1.30R    0.08  
Hull            21   29   +3      -0.61    46.58     2.04    64.21     7.45     4.08     0.04     0.39    14.22     3.36P    0.83R    0.05  
Birmingham      21   28   -6       2.05    63.00    -1.97    58.10     7.15   -12.28     0.00     0.03     2.58     0.46P    4.74R    0.41  
Derby           21   26   -6      -3.82    28.39    -7.60    61.48     7.33    -4.15     0.00     0.10     6.99     1.77P    1.90R    0.15  
Charlton        21   23   -2      -3.00    33.35     2.19    54.08     7.38    -6.75     0.00     0.01     0.95     0.20P   12.71R    1.82  
Reading         20   22   -2      -2.16    37.45     3.08    53.35     7.33    -8.47     0.00     0.00     0.79     0.15P   14.92R    2.24  
Huddersfield    21   21  -10      -3.23    31.85    -3.19    49.84     7.29   -17.80     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.03P   30.26R    6.56  
Middlesbrough   21   21  -10      -7.43    12.63    -9.94    54.58     7.18   -10.49     0.00     0.00     0.84     0.20P   11.48R    1.58  
Luton           21   20  -17      -2.46    36.87    -5.89    47.05     7.33   -29.85     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   47.02R   13.60  
Stoke           21   17  -11      -8.81     8.39    -6.74    47.73     7.17   -16.23     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   39.76R   10.04  
Wigan           21   17  -15      -6.36    16.15    -6.98    45.98     7.11   -22.99     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   51.34R   15.39  
Barnsley        21   13  -18      -9.55     6.64    -7.66    39.93     7.24   -30.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   80.12R   47.84  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 December 2019, Blackpool 3 1 Fleetwood_Town; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Wycombe              19   40  +14      11.89    97.22    10.79    75.62     7.38    16.06    12.75    26.41    68.68    33.75P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich              18   36  +15       4.94    78.54     5.60    80.58     7.63    28.53    35.64    54.28    87.29    63.47P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         19   32  +17      -0.37    47.36     6.87    75.52     7.48    32.32    14.41    29.64    71.06    41.24P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            19   32   +7       3.86    72.89     3.88    68.65     7.27    10.70     2.19     6.02    33.01    11.73P    0.00R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       18   31   +3       4.70    77.92     0.37    65.22     7.55     0.60     1.03     2.82    18.71     5.80P    0.03R    0.00  
Coventry             19   31   +3       4.22    75.43     1.86    64.87     7.28     2.81     0.72     2.26    16.67     4.99P    0.02R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           18   30  +18       0.87    55.24    11.14    73.11     7.65    29.67     9.32    20.08    59.41    29.90P    0.00R    0.00  
Rotherham            19   30  +11      -1.54    40.27     2.47    72.20     7.63    23.25     7.16    16.35    53.83    27.11P    0.00R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       17   29   +7       2.14    64.05     1.59    68.77     7.81    11.14     3.01     7.52    35.11    13.62P    0.01R    0.00  
Portsmouth           18   28   +8      -2.60    33.18    -1.37    71.11     7.68    19.27     5.50    12.81    47.92    22.90P    0.01R    0.00  
Sunderland           18   26   +4      -5.28    18.79    -6.26    69.98     7.56    16.66     3.80     9.68    41.69    19.85P    0.01R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           18   25   -3       1.02    57.32    -2.35    59.88     7.38    -3.77     0.13     0.45     5.66     1.51P    0.19R    0.00  
Doncaster            16   24   +7      -1.66    38.66     1.39    69.10     8.05    17.40     3.56     9.12    38.15    16.93P    0.02R    0.00  
Gillingham           19   24   +1      -1.25    42.63     2.11    57.86     7.33     0.17     0.06     0.22     3.50     0.86P    0.56R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        18   24   +1      -1.78    38.90    -0.70    64.33     7.60     8.13     0.67     2.17    16.92     5.73P    0.07R    0.00  
Rochdale             20   22  -11      -0.13    50.28    -2.00    48.52     6.93   -21.67     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.02P    8.10R    0.10  
Lincoln_City         18   21   -2      -0.62    47.18     2.55    55.29     7.71    -3.83     0.04     0.16     2.05     0.55P    1.59R    0.02  
Accrington_Stanley   19   19   -4      -4.00    26.29     0.86    49.45     7.20   -10.16     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.02P    6.30R    0.08  
AFC_Wimbledon        19   17   -7      -4.68    22.20    -0.35    45.84     7.11   -15.14     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   14.89R    0.35  
Tranmere             18   17  -11      -0.92    45.21     0.56    42.55     7.32   -27.38     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   31.45R    1.20  
MK_Dons              19   14  -14      -6.74    13.41    -5.84    39.83     7.13   -27.23     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    46.23R    2.78  
Southend             20    6  -37     -11.17     1.85   -18.49    28.11     6.59   -57.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.97R   41.94  
Bolton               16    2  -27      -0.30    49.74   -14.68    26.35     7.30   -50.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.55R   53.51  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 December 2019, Bradford 1 0 Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot1     Bot1

Swindon          20   39  +13       6.85    85.12     6.04    80.52     7.63    21.78    25.96    57.75    88.83    65.21P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           20   36   +5       5.41    79.63     0.30    76.15     7.54    11.68    10.00    33.84    73.96    43.61P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     20   35   +9       4.35    74.95     4.19    74.61     7.45    14.89     7.56    27.34    67.86    37.22P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       19   34  +16       5.33    79.66    12.15    75.00     7.80    21.98     9.74    31.65    70.38    40.44P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            19   34  +10       5.58    80.98     6.46    74.13     7.81    14.55     7.33    26.20    65.10    34.45P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         19   34   +9       2.25    63.35     0.71    79.45     7.94    21.50    22.53    52.49    85.30    62.11P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      20   31   +8       0.26    51.84     3.08    69.86     7.69    12.79     2.67    12.66    44.59    20.67P    0.01R    0.01  
Colchester       19   30   +7       0.35    52.31     1.67    71.22     7.78    13.30     3.86    16.35    51.17    25.49P    0.01R    0.01  
Plymouth         19   29   +5      -1.16    43.04    -1.26    74.32     8.07    17.23     8.45    28.71    66.66    40.00P    0.00R    0.00  
Port_Vale        20   28   -1       2.99    68.78     2.09    60.14     7.32    -5.56     0.11     0.77     7.14     1.94P    0.32R    0.32  
Cambridge_Utd    20   27   +5       1.59    60.55     7.42    61.23     7.40     3.48     0.16     1.28    10.10     3.00P    0.23R    0.23  
Newport_County   18   27   +2       2.80    68.34     2.26    65.82     7.81     3.14     0.83     4.72    24.33     8.95P    0.06R    0.06  
Salford_City     20   25   -6       3.95    74.04     3.85    51.44     7.32   -20.05     0.00     0.05     0.66     0.14P    5.78R    5.78  
Scunthorpe       20   24   +1      -7.72    12.47    -5.48    64.96     7.88     8.89     0.61     4.38    23.46    10.17P    0.10R    0.10  
Macclesfield     19   23   -3       2.21    65.08     4.24    51.86     7.29   -14.34     0.00     0.03     0.73     0.13P    4.84R    4.84  
Crawley_Town     20   22   -6      -1.22    43.30     0.33    52.84     7.40   -13.31     0.01     0.05     1.00     0.22P    3.92R    3.92  
Walsall          20   22  -11      -4.59    24.27   -10.10    57.16     7.62   -11.19     0.03     0.33     3.71     1.20P    1.21R    1.21  
Mansfield        20   21   -3      -9.97     6.17    -8.31    59.87     7.59     1.79     0.08     0.89     8.02     2.97P    0.45R    0.45  
Leyton_Orient    20   21   -8      -0.93    45.56     0.65    49.02     7.42   -19.95     0.00     0.01     0.33     0.08P   10.59R   10.59  
Grimsby          18   20   -5      -1.06    43.98    -0.24    52.49     7.61   -13.08     0.01     0.06     1.02     0.26P    4.50R    4.50  
Oldham           19   20   -7      -6.00    16.93    -6.97    57.49     7.80    -6.22     0.04     0.38     4.40     1.39P    1.27R    1.27  
Carlisle         20   20  -12      -5.19    21.34    -8.55    52.74     7.44   -16.32     0.00     0.05     0.94     0.28P    4.30R    4.30  
Stevenage        19   15   -9      -9.13     6.12    -6.66    48.68     7.50   -13.10     0.00     0.01     0.30     0.09P   10.47R   10.47  
Morecambe        20   15  -19      -5.05    20.57    -7.85    40.75     7.04   -33.89     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   51.95R   51.95  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 December 2019, AFC_Fylde 0 0 Sutton_United; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barrow             24   47  +19       8.23    86.86    10.36    80.92     7.00    24.56    32.05    86.15    44.72P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil             25   44  +13       0.03    49.59    -1.47    81.04     6.78    25.49    32.32    87.56    50.59P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley            25   44  +12       5.84    77.47     6.28    76.75     6.76    17.87    12.56    69.90    25.22P    0.00     0.00  
Woking             25   41   +6       7.60    83.59     7.46    69.44     6.91     5.37     1.86    27.77     6.47P    0.18R    0.01  
Solihull_Moors     24   40  +12       1.02    55.34     2.97    75.95     6.95    20.53    11.85    66.24    27.18P    0.01R    0.00  
Harrogate_Town     25   40   +4       2.47    62.86    -0.78    70.97     6.78     7.08     2.79    35.84     9.75P    0.07R    0.00  
Halifax            24   38   +2       6.63    82.37     3.96    68.18     6.83     2.24     0.98    21.59     4.94P    0.30R    0.01  
Stockport          25   38   -4       8.48    86.59     3.83    61.95     6.70   -11.74     0.15     4.93     0.85P    3.02R    0.18  
Boreham_Wood       25   37   +8       1.36    57.26     6.03    67.35     6.70    10.34     0.93    19.71     5.04P    0.29R    0.01  
Barnet             24   34   +3      -1.26    43.55    -0.51    65.88     6.86     5.50     0.57    14.73     3.89P    0.64R    0.04  
Torquay            25   34   +0       2.60    63.39     5.31    59.56     6.86    -5.78     0.05     2.75     0.53P    6.60R    0.70  
Notts_County       24   33   +8      -8.15    13.85    -4.39    70.88     7.07    19.70     3.28    39.08    15.50P    0.14R    0.00  
Eastleigh          24   33   -2       1.34    57.57     0.11    61.78     6.88    -4.27     0.11     5.24     1.06P    3.46R    0.29  
Hartlepool         24   32   +3      -1.12    44.49     2.94    62.20     6.93     2.82     0.18     6.40     1.45P    2.83R    0.22  
Dover_Athletic     23   32   -3       0.59    53.76    -2.68    62.09     7.09    -5.35     0.22     6.10     1.32P    3.44R    0.25  
Maidenhead         25   31   -3       1.40    58.38     4.28    55.57     6.47    -9.66     0.00     0.63     0.08P   15.95R    1.92  
Dag_&_Red          25   30   -3      -3.88    30.57    -2.38    57.20     6.56    -5.38     0.01     1.08     0.27P   10.47R    0.98  
AFC_Fylde          24   28   -9      -6.65    18.38   -11.48    59.97     6.95    -6.46     0.07     2.92     0.79P    6.25R    0.62  
Sutton_United      25   27   -5      -4.80    26.00    -1.39    54.49     6.61    -6.82     0.00     0.37     0.09P   19.90R    2.93  
Aldershot          25   27  -10      -1.01    45.44    -0.84    51.47     6.47   -16.22     0.00     0.10     0.02P   36.94R    7.06  
Wrexham            25   26   -5      -8.85    11.58    -6.09    56.36     6.57    -2.59     0.00     0.76     0.20P   12.49R    1.68  
Ebbsfleet_United   25   23  -12      -9.47    10.25    -8.76    50.66     6.72   -14.20     0.00     0.10     0.03P   40.69R    9.79  
Chesterfield       25   23  -14      -9.39    10.25   -10.66    49.51     6.68   -17.85     0.00     0.06     0.01P   48.58R   12.55  
Chorley            25   23  -20       0.17    52.78    -2.08    42.04     6.22   -35.18     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.76R   60.75