Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 10 December 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 9 December 2019, West_Ham 1 3 Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        16   46  +26      10.53    99.19     2.50    95.88     5.83    60.74    92.28    99.13    99.96   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        16   38  +29       9.24    95.55    18.45    77.11     6.69    43.14     1.82    26.54    79.57    93.73    99.56     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         16   32  +25      -5.38    12.81    -3.46    82.35     5.79    61.94     5.87    71.33    95.39    99.17    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          16   29   +7       0.67    54.28    -2.78    67.06     6.78    19.39     0.03     2.05    14.16    50.10    87.44     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          16   24   +6      -2.47    33.10    -0.68    62.18     6.63    18.20     0.00     0.35     4.07    21.14    70.30     0.01R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    16   24   +4       1.93    64.00     4.26    52.70     6.62     1.13     0.00     0.01     0.19     1.85    15.51     0.29R    0.00  
Tottenham        16   23   +7      -5.85    14.21    -3.85    63.25     6.75    23.01     0.00     0.57     5.95    28.06    75.55     0.00R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        16   22   +3       2.78    69.45     7.31    48.14     6.63    -4.15     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.39     5.04     2.25R    0.10  
Arsenal          16   22   +0      -4.41    21.98    -6.71    55.32     6.85     4.16     0.00     0.03     0.55     4.25    27.13     0.17R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   16   22   -4       2.70    69.48     0.29    50.50     6.61    -7.13     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.69     8.52     1.07R    0.03  
Newcastle        16   22   -6       3.17    72.90    -0.74    49.01     6.54   -11.05     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.41     5.87     1.66R    0.06  
Brighton         16   19   -4       2.19    67.05     4.97    42.96     6.46   -13.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.91    10.27R    0.80  
Burnley          16   18   -8       0.87    57.65     0.62    41.85     6.46   -19.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.58    14.46R    1.32  
Everton          16   17   -9      -3.69    25.79    -6.25    44.76     6.72   -13.79     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10     2.06     6.86R    0.54  
Bournemouth      16   16   -6      -2.23    35.02     1.02    41.93     6.65   -14.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.73    14.15R    1.50  
West_Ham         16   16  -10      -2.83    31.25    -4.39    40.43     6.42   -21.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.28    19.88R    2.23  
Aston_Villa      16   15   -5      -1.40    41.15     5.88    39.85     6.78   -15.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.43    22.95R    3.28  
Southampton      16   15  -17      -0.26    49.42    -4.56    37.46     6.44   -31.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13    37.68R    6.10  
Norwich          16   11  -17      -3.21    28.48    -1.84    29.23     6.18   -40.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.87R   41.43  
Watford          16    9  -21      -6.78     9.34   -10.04    28.99     6.13   -38.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.43R   42.60  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 December 2019, Bristol_City 1 2 Millwall; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United    21   46  +22       9.12    91.83    10.17    89.58     7.21    35.92    33.99    80.31    98.76    85.93P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       20   45  +21       7.92    89.57     5.56    93.27     7.45    40.98    61.33    90.13    99.57    93.22P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          21   35  +10       1.19    56.63     2.29    73.22     7.57    15.77     0.99     5.68    54.18    18.62P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_City    21   35   +4       4.37    74.42     1.51    71.98     7.51     8.11     0.57     3.53    45.73    13.01P    0.04R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   20   34  +10       4.52    75.70     6.90    73.80     7.49    16.20     1.04     5.87    56.72    18.18P    0.01R    0.00  
Preston         21   34   +7       2.87    66.48     3.50    71.07     7.43    11.03     0.43     2.88    41.47    11.85P    0.05R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       20   32   +9       2.16    63.05     5.32    70.06     7.57    12.61     0.33     2.43    37.33    10.71P    0.08R    0.00  
Cardiff         20   31   +3       0.45    52.72    -1.71    69.05     7.82     6.53     0.29     2.03    32.18     9.52P    0.16R    0.01  
Brentford       20   30  +14      -3.14    31.31     5.31    72.32     7.63    23.98     0.77     4.70    51.25    19.29P    0.03R    0.00  
Blackburn       20   30   +0       2.90    67.62     0.86    64.42     7.65    -2.03     0.03     0.43    14.06     3.29P    0.86R    0.07  
Swansea         20   30   +0       1.26    57.87    -1.82    68.02     7.56     3.68     0.16     1.14    26.52     6.93P    0.24R    0.01  
Millwall        21   30   -1       3.75    72.28     2.81    62.28     7.26    -3.81     0.01     0.16     7.85     1.52P    1.35R    0.13  
Hull            21   29   +3      -0.86    45.40     1.64    64.45     7.48     4.41     0.03     0.38    14.31     3.47P    0.72R    0.05  
Birmingham      20   28   -4       3.02    68.72    -0.57    60.70     7.53    -8.49     0.01     0.12     5.77     1.20P    2.69R    0.23  
QPR             20   28   -7       4.93    78.33     0.60    58.23     7.53   -16.39     0.01     0.06     3.11     0.52P    5.73R    0.64  
Derby           20   25   -6      -3.32    30.67    -7.43    62.09     7.50    -3.85     0.02     0.15     8.24     2.13P    1.76R    0.10  
Charlton        21   23   -2      -2.87    34.08     2.35    54.03     7.36    -6.87     0.00     0.01     1.00     0.24P   12.79R    1.90  
Reading         19   21   -2      -1.73    39.69     3.28    53.40     7.60    -9.05     0.00     0.00     0.90     0.17P   15.79R    2.79  
Huddersfield    21   21  -10      -3.11    32.66    -2.97    49.65     7.20   -18.08     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.02P   30.89R    6.83  
Middlesbrough   21   21  -10      -7.37    12.52    -9.90    54.36     7.12   -10.76     0.00     0.00     0.70     0.16P   11.71R    1.64  
Luton           21   20  -17      -2.57    35.92    -6.02    47.23     7.34   -29.61     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   45.77R   13.16  
Stoke           21   17  -11      -8.95     8.02    -6.89    47.75     7.14   -16.13     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P   39.45R   10.01  
Wigan           20   16  -15      -6.19    16.05    -7.31    45.68     7.26   -24.07     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   52.84R   17.19  
Barnsley        20   12  -18      -9.11     6.93    -7.49    40.51     7.49   -30.08     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    77.03R   45.25  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 December 2019, Blackpool 3 1 Fleetwood_Town; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Wycombe              19   40  +14      11.84    97.13    10.69    75.59     7.36    15.97    12.51    26.19    68.52    33.59P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich              18   36  +15       4.85    78.06     5.49    80.64     7.65    28.61    35.80    54.18    87.40    63.49P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         19   32  +17      -0.54    46.25     6.64    75.69     7.46    32.64    15.13    30.11    72.07    42.08P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            19   32   +7       3.75    72.37     3.71    68.83     7.26    10.99     2.27     6.43    33.73    12.31P    0.00R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       18   31   +3       4.83    78.64     0.56    65.10     7.52     0.42     0.97     2.77    18.51     5.63P    0.03R    0.00  
Coventry             19   31   +3       4.18    75.49     1.78    64.94     7.28     2.90     0.67     2.18    16.84     4.88P    0.01R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           18   30  +18       0.90    55.91    11.19    73.09     7.63    29.63     9.02    19.73    59.55    29.76P    0.00R    0.00  
Rotherham            19   30  +11      -1.44    40.81     2.59    72.09     7.65    23.09     6.77    16.06    53.52    26.68P    0.00R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       17   29   +7       2.09    63.59     1.54    68.85     7.85    11.30     3.22     8.05    35.38    14.16P    0.01R    0.00  
Portsmouth           18   28   +8      -2.62    32.95    -1.41    71.05     7.63    19.18     5.31    12.69    47.37    22.63P    0.00R    0.00  
Sunderland           18   26   +4      -5.22    19.20    -6.17    69.89     7.59    16.51     3.68     9.56    41.23    19.61P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           18   25   -3       1.10    57.97    -2.24    59.77     7.37    -3.90     0.11     0.42     5.41     1.37P    0.30R    0.00  
Doncaster            16   24   +7      -1.67    38.77     1.39    69.03     8.09    17.32     3.79     9.10    37.89    16.83P    0.02R    0.00  
Gillingham           19   24   +1      -1.26    42.60     2.09    57.89     7.34     0.27     0.06     0.19     3.44     0.82P    0.63R    0.01  
Burton_Albion        18   24   +1      -1.79    38.71    -0.70    64.35     7.58     8.15     0.64     2.19    16.88     5.64P    0.06R    0.00  
Rochdale             20   22  -11      -0.08    50.69    -2.00    48.49     6.87   -21.71     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00P    8.11R    0.11  
Lincoln_City         18   21   -2      -0.60    46.91     2.54    55.31     7.60    -3.84     0.05     0.13     1.93     0.48P    1.48R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley   19   19   -4      -4.03    26.17     0.87    49.41     7.25   -10.17     0.00     0.01     0.20     0.03P    6.42R    0.09  
AFC_Wimbledon        19   17   -7      -4.61    22.79    -0.25    45.74     7.11   -15.30     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   15.22R    0.38  
Tranmere             18   17  -11      -0.83    45.59     0.71    42.48     7.31   -27.49     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   31.57R    1.31  
MK_Dons              19   14  -14      -6.65    13.58    -5.69    39.79     7.13   -27.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.31R    2.67  
Southend             20    6  -37     -11.25     1.79   -18.60    28.17     6.64   -57.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.65R   41.93  
Bolton               16    2  -27      -0.31    49.58   -14.71    26.40     7.33   -50.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.17R   53.49  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 December 2019, Bradford 1 0 Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot1     Bot1

Swindon          20   39  +13       6.87    85.43     6.02    80.64     7.61    21.96    25.98    58.28    89.21    65.96P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           20   36   +5       5.39    79.58     0.28    76.08     7.56    11.62    10.15    32.98    73.58    42.57P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     20   35   +9       4.35    74.95     4.19    74.58     7.51    14.86     7.53    27.38    68.02    37.34P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       19   34  +16       5.30    79.62    12.10    74.99     7.83    21.92     9.56    31.55    70.36    40.53P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            19   34  +10       5.49    80.16     6.34    74.29     7.87    14.82     7.88    27.11    65.83    35.72P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         19   34   +9       2.19    63.01     0.65    79.46     7.98    21.53    22.33    52.53    85.27    62.05P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      20   31   +8       0.28    51.74     3.15    69.77     7.68    12.65     2.52    12.10    44.22    19.80P    0.00R    0.00  
Colchester       19   30   +7       0.31    52.33     1.60    71.28     7.75    13.31     3.91    16.55    51.44    25.73P    0.01R    0.01  
Plymouth         19   29   +5      -1.17    42.83    -1.22    74.35     8.06    17.33     8.32    28.60    66.82    39.99P    0.01R    0.01  
Port_Vale        20   28   -1       2.98    68.55     2.10    60.12     7.35    -5.60     0.09     0.77     7.09     1.94P    0.28R    0.28  
Cambridge_Utd    20   27   +5       1.47    59.76     7.28    61.29     7.42     3.57     0.18     1.32    10.28     3.08P    0.20R    0.20  
Newport_County   18   27   +2       2.80    68.23     2.25    65.86     7.83     3.16     0.80     4.91    24.67     9.20P    0.07R    0.07  
Salford_City     20   25   -6       3.80    73.45     3.57    51.60     7.35   -19.85     0.00     0.04     0.71     0.13P    5.46R    5.46  
Scunthorpe       20   24   +1      -7.67    12.52    -5.37    64.83     7.83     8.70     0.58     4.06    22.56     9.74P    0.10R    0.10  
Macclesfield     19   23   -3       2.29    66.07     4.36    51.72     7.21   -14.56     0.00     0.04     0.62     0.12P    4.71R    4.71  
Crawley_Town     20   22   -6      -1.28    42.88     0.21    52.96     7.42   -13.15     0.00     0.08     1.08     0.25P    3.82R    3.82  
Walsall          20   22  -11      -4.49    24.90    -9.98    56.95     7.62   -11.44     0.04     0.31     3.44     1.01P    1.36R    1.36  
Mansfield        20   21   -3      -9.87     6.18    -8.16    59.83     7.60     1.70     0.09     0.90     7.86     2.91P    0.44R    0.44  
Leyton_Orient    20   21   -8      -0.82    46.16     0.83    48.96     7.43   -20.06     0.00     0.01     0.33     0.09P   10.52R   10.52  
Grimsby          18   20   -5      -1.12    43.66    -0.30    52.54     7.62   -12.99     0.01     0.07     1.04     0.24P    4.40R    4.40  
Oldham           19   20   -7      -5.92    17.06    -6.91    57.47     7.76    -6.27     0.04     0.38     4.31     1.27P    1.22R    1.22  
Carlisle         20   20  -12      -5.21    21.16    -8.58    52.87     7.56   -16.11     0.00     0.06     1.00     0.26P    4.22R    4.22  
Stevenage        19   15   -9      -9.09     6.56    -6.62    48.68     7.50   -13.11     0.00     0.01     0.26     0.06P   10.63R   10.63  
Morecambe        20   15  -19      -4.99    20.80    -7.76    40.66     7.02   -34.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.56R   52.56  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 December 2019, AFC_Fylde 0 0 Sutton_United; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barrow             24   47  +19       8.16    86.66    10.25    80.99     7.00    24.71    32.52    86.66    45.40P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil             25   44  +13       0.26    50.76    -1.10    80.90     6.81    25.28    31.96    87.02    50.09P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley            25   44  +12       5.67    77.12     5.98    76.77     6.81    17.91    12.80    70.06    25.48P    0.00     0.00  
Woking             25   41   +6       7.68    84.01     7.58    69.29     6.82     5.20     1.71    26.91     6.13P    0.15R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors     24   40  +12       1.10    55.70     3.10    75.89     6.89    20.46    11.37    66.12    26.70P    0.00R    0.00  
Harrogate_Town     25   40   +4       2.37    62.10    -0.91    71.11     6.81     7.27     2.98    36.85    10.43P    0.08R    0.00  
Halifax            24   38   +2       6.52    81.85     3.82    68.26     6.78     2.35     1.09    21.59     4.87P    0.25R    0.01  
Stockport          25   38   -4       8.49    86.39     3.84    61.89     6.77   -11.76     0.12     4.97     0.84P    3.29R    0.18  
Boreham_Wood       25   37   +8       1.49    58.08     6.23    67.24     6.72    10.20     0.95    19.60     4.93P    0.32R    0.01  
Barnet             24   34   +3      -1.39    42.81    -0.70    66.05     6.85     5.73     0.60    15.11     4.13P    0.72R    0.03  
Torquay            25   34   +0       2.59    63.14     5.39    59.46     6.89    -5.91     0.07     2.80     0.56P    6.80R    0.70  
Notts_County       24   33   +8      -7.97    14.51    -4.10    70.73     7.01    19.45     3.25    38.27    14.98P    0.11R    0.00  
Eastleigh          24   33   -2       1.22    56.92    -0.07    61.85     6.86    -4.16     0.12     5.37     1.04P    3.26R    0.25  
Hartlepool         24   32   +3      -1.07    44.73     2.99    62.14     6.91     2.71     0.15     6.33     1.51P    2.81R    0.24  
Dover_Athletic     23   32   -3       0.55    53.68    -2.79    62.10     7.14    -5.39     0.18     6.10     1.39P    3.75R    0.34  
Maidenhead         25   31   -3       1.23    57.49     4.03    55.69     6.49    -9.48     0.00     0.64     0.12P   15.57R    1.96  
Dag_&_Red          25   30   -3      -3.69    31.29    -2.12    57.00     6.59    -5.69     0.02     1.04     0.26P   11.33R    1.10  
AFC_Fylde          24   28   -9      -6.52    18.95   -11.26    59.87     6.96    -6.61     0.07     3.04     0.83P    6.30R    0.68  
Sutton_United      25   27   -5      -4.97    25.33    -1.66    54.68     6.63    -6.52     0.00     0.44     0.08P   19.18R    2.78  
Aldershot          25   27  -10      -0.92    45.98    -0.72    51.42     6.45   -16.28     0.00     0.11     0.01P   37.44R    7.18  
Wrexham            25   26   -5      -8.89    11.32    -6.15    56.46     6.59    -2.47     0.01     0.83     0.20P   12.24R    1.74  
Ebbsfleet_United   25   23  -12      -9.74     9.79    -9.20    50.91     6.77   -13.80     0.00     0.10     0.02P   39.52R    9.12  
Chesterfield       25   23  -14      -9.30    10.54   -10.59    49.55     6.64   -17.80     0.00     0.04     0.02P   48.68R   11.98  
Chorley            25   23  -20       0.27    53.26    -1.84    41.97     6.24   -35.40     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.20R   61.69