Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 9 December 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 9 December 2019, West_Ham 1 3 Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        16   46  +26      10.49    99.19     2.49    95.89     5.78    60.73    92.44    99.19    99.96   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        16   38  +29       9.21    95.44    18.46    77.19     6.68    43.26     1.73    26.45    79.93    93.90    99.58     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         16   32  +25      -5.44    12.75    -3.61    82.43     5.79    61.99     5.79    71.49    95.48    99.12    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          16   29   +7       0.64    53.93    -2.85    67.12     6.78    19.53     0.04     1.95    13.89    50.27    87.81     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          16   24   +6      -2.41    33.22    -0.55    62.09     6.64    18.06     0.00     0.33     3.82    20.34    69.69     0.00R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    16   24   +4       1.95    63.89     4.29    52.68     6.69     1.11     0.00     0.01     0.18     1.77    15.43     0.39R    0.01  
Tottenham        16   23   +7      -5.94    13.90    -3.99    63.36     6.74    23.21     0.01     0.55     6.02    28.55    76.12     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        16   22   +3       2.84    69.94     7.37    48.06     6.63    -4.27     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.35     4.93     2.22R    0.09  
Arsenal          16   22   +0      -4.36    22.17    -6.63    55.30     6.85     4.13     0.00     0.03     0.56     4.34    27.05     0.20R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   16   22   -4       2.73    69.73     0.35    50.45     6.63    -7.19     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.72     8.58     1.07R    0.05  
Newcastle        16   22   -6       3.09    72.05    -0.91    49.10     6.56   -10.94     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.46     5.87     1.63R    0.05  
Brighton         16   19   -4       2.26    67.71     5.09    42.84     6.43   -14.04     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.80    10.35R    0.82  
Burnley          16   18   -8       0.84    57.41     0.56    41.95     6.50   -19.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.68    14.04R    1.35  
Everton          16   17   -9      -3.62    26.11    -6.13    44.64     6.66   -13.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10     1.85     7.12R    0.52  
Bournemouth      16   16   -6      -2.32    34.33     0.89    41.95     6.62   -14.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.76    13.79R    1.39  
West_Ham         16   16  -10      -2.72    32.27    -4.26    40.31     6.45   -21.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.34    20.64R    2.33  
Aston_Villa      16   15   -5      -1.43    40.76     5.81    39.94     6.81   -14.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.42    22.47R    3.13  
Southampton      16   15  -17      -0.31    49.02    -4.58    37.52     6.47   -31.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09    37.60R    5.95  
Norwich          16   11  -17      -3.19    28.29    -1.76    29.18     6.13   -41.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.16R   42.27  
Watford          16    9  -21      -6.75     9.21   -10.04    29.03     6.15   -38.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.31R   42.05  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 8 December 2019, West_Brom 5 1 Swansea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

West_Brom       20   45  +21       7.92    89.49     5.59    93.26     7.51    40.94    64.12    88.83    99.45    92.20P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    20   43  +20       8.29    90.27     9.33    88.24     7.37    34.32    28.86    72.51    97.73    80.35P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          20   35  +11       2.14    62.30     2.69    74.76     7.80    17.05     1.79     8.98    59.77    22.49P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_City    20   35   +5       5.93    81.62     2.74    74.14     7.75    10.30     1.25     6.82    55.49    17.58P    0.01R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   19   33  +10       5.32    79.94     7.48    74.40     7.75    16.54     1.52     7.74    58.41    19.78P    0.02R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       20   32   +9       2.16    63.18     5.34    70.07     7.59    12.60     0.41     2.56    36.63    10.85P    0.04R    0.00  
Preston         20   31   +6       1.57    59.41     2.96    69.22     7.64     9.64     0.35     2.01    32.22     8.98P    0.12R    0.00  
Cardiff         20   31   +3       0.44    52.82    -1.66    68.99     7.80     6.47     0.35     2.21    30.34     9.34P    0.11R    0.01  
Brentford       20   30  +14      -3.25    30.69     5.17    72.39     7.67    24.09     0.99     5.43    49.68    19.00P    0.02R    0.00  
Blackburn       20   30   +0       2.77    66.76     0.64    64.65     7.66    -1.69     0.06     0.55    14.24     3.26P    0.79R    0.06  
Swansea         20   30   +0       1.39    58.65    -1.63    67.78     7.54     3.27     0.16     1.20    24.33     6.48P    0.21R    0.01  
Hull            20   29   +5      -0.34    48.02     2.29    65.51     7.63     5.94     0.11     0.77    17.38     4.51P    0.43R    0.02  
Birmingham      20   28   -4       3.03    68.94    -0.53    60.70     7.48    -8.50     0.01     0.09     5.32     0.99P    2.32R    0.19  
QPR             20   28   -7       4.83    77.94     0.49    58.27     7.52   -16.38     0.00     0.04     2.89     0.48P    5.23R    0.61  
Millwall        20   27   -2       2.11    63.86     1.80    59.69     7.48    -6.32     0.00     0.08     4.30     0.84P    3.25R    0.27  
Derby           20   25   -6      -3.26    31.18    -7.31    62.02     7.56    -3.94     0.01     0.15     7.64     1.93P    1.64R    0.11  
Charlton        20   23   -1      -1.91    39.30     2.86    56.49     7.69    -4.27     0.00     0.02     2.17     0.52P    7.55R    1.03  
Reading         19   21   -2      -1.73    39.88     3.23    53.50     7.65    -8.87     0.00     0.00     0.92     0.18P   14.69R    2.61  
Middlesbrough   20   20  -10      -7.24    12.48   -10.17    54.44     7.27   -11.14     0.00     0.00     0.77     0.20P   11.14R    1.55  
Luton           20   20  -14      -2.17    37.85    -4.61    49.13     7.64   -25.72     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.04P   34.15R    8.72  
Huddersfield    20   18  -11      -4.69    23.20    -3.77    47.19     7.32   -20.34     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P   42.12R   11.29  
Wigan           20   16  -15      -6.24    15.70    -7.35    45.73     7.23   -24.07     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   50.79R   15.90  
Stoke           20   14  -14      -9.47     6.11    -8.20    45.66     7.31   -19.89     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   49.71R   15.53  
Barnsley        20   12  -18      -9.05     7.09    -7.39    40.56     7.51   -30.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   75.65R   42.10  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 December 2019, Blackpool 3 1 Fleetwood_Town; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Wycombe              19   40  +14      11.83    97.04    10.69    75.61     7.39    16.03    12.51    26.33    68.54    33.77P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich              18   36  +15       4.89    78.58     5.53    80.63     7.66    28.60    36.06    54.63    87.36    63.89P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         19   32  +17      -0.52    46.51     6.72    75.66     7.44    32.51    15.06    30.32    72.24    42.14P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            19   32   +7       3.78    72.50     3.73    68.72     7.26    10.82     2.19     6.22    33.55    11.96P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       18   31   +3       4.76    78.52     0.45    65.14     7.56     0.55     1.05     2.89    18.48     5.66P    0.02R    0.00  
Coventry             19   31   +3       4.20    75.33     1.82    64.90     7.29     2.86     0.66     2.25    16.94     5.04P    0.02R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           18   30  +18       0.89    55.59    11.17    73.09     7.58    29.63     9.10    19.94    59.54    30.33P    0.00R    0.00  
Rotherham            19   30  +11      -1.33    41.45     2.78    71.92     7.65    22.83     6.81    15.46    52.66    25.72P    0.00R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       17   29   +7       2.12    63.90     1.57    68.89     7.85    11.33     3.22     8.05    35.61    14.10P    0.01R    0.00  
Portsmouth           18   28   +8      -2.55    33.76    -1.34    71.07     7.68    19.24     5.46    12.82    47.73    23.03P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           18   26   +4      -5.20    19.36    -6.14    69.90     7.56    16.48     3.62     9.45    41.35    19.49P    0.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           18   25   -3       0.95    56.68    -2.50    60.01     7.37    -3.59     0.13     0.46     5.89     1.54P    0.22R    0.00  
Doncaster            16   24   +7      -1.64    38.73     1.43    68.91     8.02    17.15     3.39     8.52    36.97    16.05P    0.03R    0.00  
Gillingham           19   24   +1      -1.22    42.77     2.16    57.88     7.34     0.20     0.06     0.23     3.51     0.96P    0.60R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        18   24   +1      -1.85    38.43    -0.80    64.38     7.59     8.21     0.62     2.23    17.00     5.70P    0.05R    0.00  
Rochdale             20   22  -11      -0.04    50.96    -1.87    48.45     6.88   -21.76     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    8.24R    0.10  
Lincoln_City         18   21   -2      -0.76    46.16     2.34    55.48     7.75    -3.54     0.05     0.18     2.23     0.57P    1.49R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley   19   19   -4      -4.10    25.86     0.75    49.58     7.29    -9.89     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.04P    6.05R    0.10  
AFC_Wimbledon        19   17   -7      -4.67    22.44    -0.31    45.77     7.08   -15.27     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   14.94R    0.33  
Tranmere             18   17  -11      -0.79    45.91     0.76    42.45     7.24   -27.59     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   31.34R    1.31  
MK_Dons              19   14  -14      -6.62    13.79    -5.66    39.78     7.12   -27.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.73R    2.62  
Southend             20    6  -37     -11.13     1.79   -18.46    28.01     6.61   -57.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.06R   42.71  
Bolton               16    2  -27      -0.39    48.98   -14.83    26.46     7.35   -49.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.18R   52.82  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 December 2019, Bradford 1 0 Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot1     Bot1

Swindon          20   39  +13       6.88    85.30     6.08    80.54     7.60    21.84    25.89    58.19    88.77    65.74P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           20   36   +5       5.43    79.81     0.33    76.08     7.51    11.59     9.80    33.33    73.52    43.14P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     20   35   +9       4.48    75.53     4.37    74.44     7.55    14.70     7.45    27.08    67.32    36.84P    0.00R    0.00  
Cheltenham       19   34  +16       5.35    79.81    12.14    75.06     7.80    21.98     9.68    31.59    70.93    40.40P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            19   34  +10       5.43    80.29     6.22    74.36     7.88    14.93     8.03    27.57    66.18    36.30P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         19   34   +9       2.13    62.48     0.56    79.51     7.98    21.64    22.60    52.74    85.32    62.21P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      20   31   +8       0.31    52.14     3.16    69.85     7.73    12.74     2.80    12.56    44.71    20.46P    0.01R    0.01  
Colchester       19   30   +7       0.42    52.72     1.77    71.07     7.80    13.08     3.77    15.87    50.64    24.88P    0.01R    0.01  
Plymouth         19   29   +5      -1.23    42.39    -1.32    74.40     7.96    17.37     8.22    28.30    67.39    39.87P    0.00R    0.00  
Port_Vale        20   28   -1       3.04    68.88     2.17    59.99     7.31    -5.84     0.06     0.70     6.82     1.74P    0.28R    0.28  
Cambridge_Utd    20   27   +5       1.53    60.23     7.32    61.31     7.36     3.60     0.11     1.23    10.13     2.97P    0.24R    0.24  
Newport_County   18   27   +2       2.86    68.53     2.37    65.72     7.82     2.96     0.76     4.70    24.11     8.91P    0.07R    0.07  
Salford_City     20   25   -6       3.82    73.65     3.61    51.55     7.31   -19.91     0.01     0.04     0.65     0.16P    5.55R    5.55  
Scunthorpe       20   24   +1      -7.67    12.71    -5.34    64.81     7.86     8.65     0.63     4.18    22.80     9.79P    0.09R    0.09  
Macclesfield     19   23   -3       2.23    65.59     4.34    51.81     7.26   -14.50     0.01     0.04     0.69     0.13P    4.53R    4.53  
Crawley_Town     20   22   -6      -1.26    43.24     0.28    53.01     7.42   -13.07     0.00     0.05     1.03     0.23P    3.68R    3.68  
Walsall          20   22  -11      -4.57    24.47   -10.08    57.19     7.60   -11.18     0.04     0.34     3.61     1.13P    1.27R    1.27  
Mansfield        20   21   -3      -9.93     6.04    -8.29    59.89     7.56     1.81     0.07     0.90     8.06     3.04P    0.38R    0.38  
Leyton_Orient    20   21   -8      -0.97    45.02     0.60    49.03     7.46   -19.89     0.00     0.02     0.37     0.07P   10.47R   10.47  
Grimsby          18   20   -5      -1.12    43.68    -0.28    52.49     7.61   -13.09     0.01     0.07     1.02     0.22P    4.57R    4.57  
Oldham           19   20   -7      -5.99    17.03    -6.97    57.55     7.80    -6.16     0.05     0.43     4.54     1.42P    1.27R    1.27  
Carlisle         20   20  -12      -5.27    20.77    -8.70    52.94     7.50   -15.97     0.00     0.07     1.08     0.27P    4.14R    4.14  
Stevenage        19   15   -9      -9.01     6.66    -6.59    48.62     7.51   -13.17     0.00     0.01     0.29     0.10P   10.84R   10.84  
Morecambe        20   15  -19      -4.97    20.99    -7.73    40.60     6.99   -34.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.59R   52.59  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 December 2019, Barnet 2 1 AFC_Fylde; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barrow             24   47  +19       8.29    87.04    10.40    80.85     6.94    24.50    33.60    86.61    46.05P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley            25   44  +12       5.74    77.41     6.10    76.80     6.82    17.95    13.82    70.44    26.47P    0.00R    0.00  
Yeovil             24   41  +12      -1.05    43.88    -1.59    79.71     6.97    24.94    27.67    83.03    46.07P    0.00R    0.00  
Woking             25   41   +6       7.67    83.64     7.60    69.38     6.93     5.28     2.03    27.97     6.87P    0.22R    0.01  
Solihull_Moors     24   40  +12       1.10    55.85     3.11    75.85     6.92    20.39    12.24    66.21    27.06P    0.01R    0.00  
Harrogate_Town     25   40   +4       2.43    62.70    -0.80    71.02     6.81     7.13     3.23    36.31    10.34P    0.08R    0.00  
Halifax            24   38   +2       6.54    81.88     3.90    68.20     6.79     2.29     1.19    21.86     5.01P    0.29R    0.01  
Stockport          25   38   -4       8.39    86.52     3.73    61.98     6.72   -11.60     0.13     5.14     0.83P    3.22R    0.15  
Boreham_Wood       25   37   +8       1.35    57.22     6.01    67.38     6.67    10.35     0.99    20.14     5.14P    0.35R    0.01  
Barnet             24   34   +3      -1.40    42.82    -0.70    65.99     6.88     5.66     0.66    15.37     4.18P    0.75R    0.03  
Torquay            25   34   +0       2.53    63.03     5.22    59.56     6.89    -5.79     0.05     2.97     0.58P    6.91R    0.73  
Notts_County       24   33   +8      -8.00    14.29    -4.14    70.77     7.05    19.45     3.70    38.87    15.64P    0.16R    0.01  
Eastleigh          24   33   -2       1.32    57.67     0.06    61.80     6.84    -4.26     0.13     5.00     1.02P    3.49R    0.30  
Hartlepool         24   32   +3      -1.10    44.52     2.95    62.21     6.89     2.85     0.17     6.64     1.53P    2.66R    0.21  
Dover_Athletic     23   32   -3       0.56    53.65    -2.75    62.14     7.10    -5.34     0.26     6.16     1.48P    3.62R    0.33  
Maidenhead         25   31   -3       1.45    58.52     4.38    55.55     6.49    -9.71     0.00     0.54     0.10P   16.68R    2.24  
Dag_&_Red          25   30   -3      -3.74    31.39    -2.15    57.08     6.62    -5.58     0.01     1.09     0.24P   11.44R    1.29  
AFC_Fylde          23   27   -9      -5.98    20.62   -11.01    60.46     7.24    -6.30     0.11     4.14     1.03P    6.43R    0.80  
Aldershot          25   27  -10      -0.82    46.49    -0.57    51.35     6.39   -16.39     0.00     0.07     0.01P   38.42R    7.60  
Wrexham            25   26   -5      -8.98    11.26    -6.26    56.37     6.59    -2.56     0.00     0.70     0.19P   13.02R    1.86  
Sutton_United      24   26   -5      -4.66    26.33    -1.70    54.73     6.84    -7.05     0.01     0.55     0.11P   20.26R    3.37  
Ebbsfleet_United   25   23  -12      -9.52    10.17    -8.84    50.72     6.73   -14.09     0.00     0.10     0.03P   41.38R    9.89  
Chesterfield       24   23  -13      -8.54    12.26   -10.52    50.61     6.79   -17.29     0.00     0.10     0.01P   42.93R   10.42  
Chorley            25   23  -20      -0.05    51.42    -2.44    42.28     6.24   -34.84     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.65R   60.76