Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 8 December 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 8 December 2019, Aston_Villa 1 4 Leicester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        16   46  +26      10.50    99.12     2.41    95.82     5.79    60.62    92.33    99.17    99.96   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        16   38  +29       9.28    95.42    18.53    77.06     6.68    43.03     1.74    26.13    79.34    93.81    99.51     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         16   32  +25      -5.35    13.00    -3.44    82.42     5.78    62.01     5.89    71.66    95.55    99.18    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          16   29   +7       0.68    54.06    -2.79    67.06     6.76    19.45     0.04     1.95    14.20    50.41    88.59     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          16   24   +6      -2.50    32.80    -0.71    62.15     6.68    18.19     0.00     0.42     4.12    21.31    71.31     0.00R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    16   24   +4       1.97    63.95     4.29    52.78     6.65     1.25     0.00     0.01     0.21     1.87    16.38     0.38R    0.00  
Tottenham        16   23   +7      -5.86    14.01    -3.84    63.32     6.77    23.09     0.01     0.63     6.09    28.69    76.99     0.00R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        16   22   +3       2.68    68.94     7.15    48.26     6.63    -3.98     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.39     5.60     2.17R    0.08  
Crystal_Palace   16   22   -4       2.75    69.92     0.34    50.47     6.60    -7.17     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.73     8.87     1.11R    0.03  
Newcastle        16   22   -6       3.11    72.32    -0.85    49.00     6.50   -11.05     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.42     6.00     1.63R    0.03  
Arsenal          15   19   -2      -5.40    16.11    -7.65    53.49     7.12     1.72     0.00     0.02     0.38     2.94    20.79     0.49R    0.02  
Brighton         16   19   -4       2.22    67.38     5.01    42.88     6.41   -13.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     1.00    10.78R    0.81  
Burnley          16   18   -8       0.84    57.19     0.55    41.91     6.50   -19.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.72    14.70R    1.33  
Everton          16   17   -9      -3.69    25.67    -6.22    44.73     6.68   -13.89     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.11     2.07     7.18R    0.54  
Bournemouth      16   16   -6      -2.19    35.32     1.07    41.92     6.58   -14.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.80    14.35R    1.45  
West_Ham         15   16   -8      -2.01    36.39    -3.37    42.01     6.72   -18.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.84    15.13R    1.50  
Aston_Villa      16   15   -5      -1.44    40.70     5.80    39.86     6.76   -15.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.44    23.53R    3.38  
Southampton      16   15  -17      -0.29    49.31    -4.57    37.40     6.43   -31.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09    38.88R    6.44  
Norwich          16   11  -17      -3.09    29.01    -1.58    29.07     6.14   -41.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.98R   42.77  
Watford          16    9  -21      -6.82     9.23   -10.14    29.08     6.13   -38.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.69R   41.64  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 8 December 2019, West_Brom 5 1 Swansea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

West_Brom       20   45  +21       7.91    89.38     5.48    93.35     7.49    41.09    64.16    89.16    99.54    92.44P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    20   43  +20       8.26    90.12     9.33    88.27     7.41    34.41    28.97    72.16    97.74    80.12P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          20   35  +11       2.24    62.95     2.82    74.70     7.80    16.96     1.84     9.07    59.64    22.60P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_City    20   35   +5       5.77    81.09     2.52    74.33     7.73    10.58     1.33     6.91    56.42    17.92P    0.01R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   19   33  +10       5.18    79.37     7.28    74.61     7.73    16.79     1.45     7.93    59.33    20.44P    0.01R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       20   32   +9       2.18    63.15     5.36    70.05     7.60    12.54     0.37     2.61    36.21    10.62P    0.07R    0.00  
Preston         20   31   +6       1.71    60.52     3.16    69.17     7.63     9.55     0.26     1.94    31.58     8.73P    0.13R    0.01  
Cardiff         20   31   +3       0.46    52.71    -1.62    69.04     7.87     6.51     0.36     2.28    31.00     9.47P    0.15R    0.01  
Brentford       20   30  +14      -3.17    31.10     5.20    72.29     7.65    23.95     0.94     5.11    49.58    18.80P    0.02R    0.00  
Blackburn       20   30   +0       2.82    66.96     0.78    64.42     7.59    -2.05     0.06     0.46    13.18     2.87P    0.72R    0.06  
Swansea         20   30   +0       1.32    58.08    -1.72    67.90     7.57     3.46     0.17     1.33    24.81     6.71P    0.21R    0.00  
Hull            20   29   +5      -0.18    49.18     2.54    65.38     7.68     5.71     0.06     0.65    16.84     4.26P    0.58R    0.03  
Birmingham      20   28   -4       3.00    68.75    -0.53    60.76     7.46    -8.44     0.01     0.10     5.34     1.00P    2.29R    0.19  
QPR             20   28   -7       4.85    78.06     0.49    58.21     7.51   -16.40     0.01     0.04     2.74     0.44P    5.41R    0.57  
Millwall        20   27   -2       2.13    64.03     1.82    59.66     7.41    -6.37     0.00     0.07     4.35     0.88P    2.99R    0.28  
Derby           20   25   -6      -3.27    30.99    -7.37    62.01     7.57    -3.93     0.01     0.17     7.70     1.86P    1.66R    0.13  
Charlton        20   23   -1      -1.74    40.37     3.11    56.31     7.64    -4.50     0.00     0.03     1.99     0.41P    7.77R    1.03  
Reading         19   21   -2      -1.72    39.87     3.27    53.50     7.60    -8.93     0.00     0.00     0.87     0.17P   14.46R    2.57  
Middlesbrough   20   20  -10      -7.24    12.66   -10.16    54.47     7.32   -11.08     0.00     0.00     0.83     0.20P   11.21R    1.55  
Luton           20   20  -14      -2.24    37.67    -4.76    49.14     7.59   -25.65     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.03P   34.36R    8.40  
Huddersfield    20   18  -11      -4.73    23.44    -3.84    47.33     7.41   -20.25     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   41.59R   11.17  
Wigan           20   16  -15      -6.33    15.48    -7.44    45.80     7.27   -23.92     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   50.39R   15.66  
Stoke           20   14  -14      -9.55     5.87    -8.36    45.70     7.35   -19.79     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   49.66R   15.47  
Barnsley        20   12  -18      -9.04     7.28    -7.34    40.44     7.49   -30.24     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   76.29R   42.87  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 December 2019, Blackpool 3 1 Fleetwood_Town; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Wycombe              19   40  +14      11.87    97.23    10.76    75.54     7.31    15.91    12.49    25.77    68.53    33.38P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich              18   36  +15       5.01    78.96     5.70    80.56     7.65    28.52    35.56    54.32    87.12    63.47P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         19   32  +17      -0.57    46.03     6.58    75.79     7.41    32.71    15.36    30.88    72.57    42.53P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            19   32   +7       3.85    72.66     3.85    68.57     7.27    10.63     2.15     5.94    32.43    11.65P    0.00R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       18   31   +3       4.63    77.74     0.28    65.27     7.52     0.70     1.16     3.04    18.82     5.93P    0.03R    0.00  
Coventry             19   31   +3       4.15    75.15     1.74    65.00     7.29     2.98     0.67     2.38    17.26     5.31P    0.03R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           18   30  +18       0.86    55.48    11.14    73.13     7.60    29.76     9.25    20.06    59.63    30.18P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            19   30  +11      -1.49    40.81     2.57    72.09     7.59    23.10     6.98    16.07    53.69    26.72P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       17   29   +7       2.05    63.55     1.47    68.89     7.86    11.32     3.10     7.97    35.49    14.31P    0.01R    0.00  
Portsmouth           18   28   +8      -2.56    33.47    -1.31    70.92     7.62    19.01     5.20    12.25    46.87    21.97P    0.00R    0.00  
Sunderland           18   26   +4      -5.14    19.78    -6.04    69.81     7.58    16.38     3.51     9.32    41.00    19.19P    0.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           18   25   -3       1.06    57.74    -2.31    59.80     7.31    -3.88     0.10     0.41     5.46     1.41P    0.22R    0.00  
Doncaster            16   24   +7      -1.64    38.62     1.41    69.05     8.06    17.33     3.70     8.96    37.94    16.56P    0.01R    0.00  
Gillingham           19   24   +1      -1.31    42.36     2.01    57.99     7.36     0.41     0.06     0.27     3.56     0.94P    0.52R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        18   24   +1      -1.87    38.36    -0.80    64.42     7.58     8.23     0.68     2.25    17.26     5.92P    0.07R    0.00  
Rochdale             20   22  -11      -0.04    51.06    -1.92    48.46     6.90   -21.74     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.00P    8.25R    0.12  
Lincoln_City         18   21   -2      -0.57    47.25     2.58    55.24     7.67    -3.91     0.03     0.11     1.98     0.47P    1.62R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley   19   19   -4      -4.01    26.23     0.87    49.39     7.24   -10.18     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.04P    6.58R    0.10  
AFC_Wimbledon        19   17   -7      -4.66    22.32    -0.31    45.81     7.04   -15.19     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   14.65R    0.40  
Tranmere             18   17  -11      -0.94    45.07     0.52    42.63     7.25   -27.29     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   30.60R    1.27  
MK_Dons              19   14  -14      -6.57    13.79    -5.59    39.72     7.09   -27.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   47.23R    2.76  
Southend             20    6  -37     -11.10     1.92   -18.39    28.07     6.57   -57.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.14R   42.65  
Bolton               16    2  -27      -0.37    49.01   -14.81    26.51     7.37   -49.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.04R   52.70  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 December 2019, Bradford 1 0 Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot1     Bot1

Swindon          20   39  +13       6.88    85.19     6.04    80.60     7.62    21.88    26.32    58.12    89.31    65.91P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           20   36   +5       5.36    79.51     0.23    76.07     7.51    11.62     9.98    33.21    73.50    42.97P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     20   35   +9       4.46    75.50     4.34    74.53     7.48    14.82     7.52    27.25    67.72    36.90P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       19   34  +16       5.33    79.78    12.10    75.04     7.86    22.04     9.83    31.93    70.60    40.75P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            19   34  +10       5.43    80.18     6.26    74.31     7.91    14.82     7.85    27.55    65.95    36.03P    0.00R    0.00  
Bradford         19   34   +9       2.26    63.30     0.73    79.45     7.92    21.53    22.16    52.65    85.41    62.20P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      20   31   +8       0.35    52.40     3.20    69.79     7.65    12.65     2.47    12.31    44.11    20.02P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       19   30   +7       0.23    51.65     1.56    71.22     7.73    13.27     3.77    16.23    51.14    25.62P    0.01R    0.01  
Plymouth         19   29   +5      -1.11    43.34    -1.14    74.23     8.06    17.11     8.27    27.94    66.30    39.11P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        20   28   -1       2.99    68.84     2.09    60.14     7.35    -5.56     0.09     0.83     7.22     2.02P    0.27R    0.27  
Cambridge_Utd    20   27   +5       1.42    59.73     7.20    61.34     7.41     3.64     0.14     1.23    10.57     3.09P    0.22R    0.22  
Newport_County   18   27   +2       2.74    68.11     2.20    65.82     7.78     3.12     0.75     4.76    24.39     9.04P    0.06R    0.06  
Salford_City     20   25   -6       3.93    73.90     3.75    51.47     7.28   -20.00     0.00     0.02     0.65     0.11P    5.67R    5.67  
Scunthorpe       20   24   +1      -7.63    12.50    -5.31    64.82     7.84     8.68     0.64     4.19    22.84     9.90P    0.09R    0.09  
Macclesfield     19   23   -3       2.24    65.62     4.31    51.83     7.31   -14.47     0.00     0.04     0.77     0.16P    4.87R    4.87  
Crawley_Town     20   22   -6      -1.29    43.03     0.18    53.02     7.37   -13.01     0.01     0.06     1.01     0.22P    3.59R    3.59  
Walsall          20   22  -11      -4.57    24.62   -10.09    57.08     7.62   -11.31     0.03     0.33     3.57     1.13P    1.34R    1.34  
Mansfield        20   21   -3      -9.82     6.59    -8.10    59.75     7.59     1.58     0.11     0.85     7.76     2.85P    0.49R    0.49  
Leyton_Orient    20   21   -8      -0.73    46.71     0.91    48.86     7.38   -20.17     0.00     0.02     0.32     0.07P   10.72R   10.72  
Grimsby          18   20   -5      -1.16    43.31    -0.41    52.57     7.63   -12.91     0.00     0.07     1.11     0.24P    4.38R    4.38  
Oldham           19   20   -7      -5.97    16.90    -6.98    57.54     7.78    -6.18     0.04     0.36     4.43     1.32P    1.23R    1.23  
Carlisle         20   20  -12      -5.26    20.91    -8.66    52.90     7.53   -16.06     0.00     0.05     1.04     0.25P    4.25R    4.25  
Stevenage        19   15   -9      -9.12     6.35    -6.66    48.66     7.56   -13.12     0.00     0.01     0.26     0.06P   10.84R   10.84  
Morecambe        20   15  -19      -5.00    20.82    -7.74    40.71     7.03   -33.96     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    51.95R   51.95  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 December 2019, Barnet 2 1 AFC_Fylde; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barrow             24   47  +19       8.32    87.12    10.46    80.83     6.96    24.45    33.33    86.54    45.53P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley            25   44  +12       5.82    77.52     6.26    76.71     6.83    17.83    13.77    69.79    26.24P    0.00R    0.00  
Yeovil             24   41  +12      -0.95    44.56    -1.48    79.60     7.02    24.74    27.61    82.42    45.98P    0.00     0.00  
Woking             25   41   +6       7.58    83.42     7.45    69.46     6.87     5.38     2.00    28.08     6.83P    0.18R    0.01  
Solihull_Moors     24   40  +12       0.99    55.49     2.93    75.96     6.86    20.55    12.49    66.95    27.71P    0.01R    0.00  
Harrogate_Town     25   40   +4       2.58    63.38    -0.58    70.97     6.80     7.07     3.09    36.32    10.48P    0.08R    0.00  
Halifax            24   38   +2       6.56    81.96     3.88    68.21     6.81     2.32     1.27    21.93     5.14P    0.30R    0.01  
Stockport          25   38   -4       8.45    86.72     3.75    61.98     6.73   -11.61     0.14     5.14     0.84P    3.16R    0.17  
Boreham_Wood       25   37   +8       1.32    57.23     5.94    67.34     6.72    10.31     1.03    20.10     5.07P    0.36R    0.01  
Barnet             24   34   +3      -1.41    42.66    -0.77    66.00     6.88     5.74     0.71    15.43     4.08P    0.70R    0.04  
Torquay            25   34   +0       2.57    63.31     5.33    59.56     6.90    -5.77     0.07     3.02     0.60P    7.10R    0.62  
Notts_County       24   33   +8      -7.99    14.34    -4.14    70.79     7.07    19.49     3.76    39.10    15.71P    0.15R    0.01  
Eastleigh          24   33   -2       1.25    57.40    -0.01    61.76     6.86    -4.29     0.13     5.12     0.98P    3.58R    0.25  
Hartlepool         24   32   +3      -1.12    44.61     2.90    62.25     6.87     2.89     0.19     6.52     1.53P    2.76R    0.20  
Dover_Athletic     23   32   -3       0.54    53.54    -2.77    62.12     7.08    -5.33     0.24     6.14     1.40P    3.70R    0.31  
Maidenhead         25   31   -3       1.41    58.34     4.32    55.58     6.50    -9.70     0.00     0.60     0.10P   16.44R    2.07  
Dag_&_Red          25   30   -3      -3.73    31.20    -2.19    57.09     6.63    -5.58     0.01     1.10     0.22P   11.31R    1.17  
AFC_Fylde          23   27   -9      -6.18    19.37   -11.28    60.66     7.18    -5.99     0.14     4.12     1.16P    5.86R    0.66  
Aldershot          25   27  -10      -1.00    45.37    -0.82    51.51     6.43   -16.20     0.00     0.10     0.02P   37.36R    7.17  
Wrexham            25   26   -5      -8.94    11.32    -6.15    56.41     6.59    -2.49     0.01     0.79     0.21P   12.93R    1.85  
Sutton_United      24   26   -5      -4.74    25.82    -1.81    54.75     6.80    -7.03     0.01     0.52     0.12P   20.23R    3.02  
Ebbsfleet_United   25   23  -12      -9.40    10.47    -8.64    50.64     6.74   -14.23     0.00     0.07     0.02P   41.93R    9.95  
Chesterfield       24   23  -13      -8.47    12.37   -10.40    50.53     6.87   -17.39     0.00     0.09     0.01P   43.69R   10.93  
Chorley            25   23  -20       0.11    52.19    -2.20    42.09     6.18   -35.18     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.17R   61.57