Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 7 December 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 December 2019, Bournemouth 0 3 Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        16   46  +26      10.50    99.17     2.51    95.85     5.76    60.59    92.94    99.34    99.97   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        15   35  +26       8.56    94.97    17.10    75.26     6.91    39.54     1.10    20.29    72.35    90.05    99.01     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         16   32  +25      -5.35    12.84    -3.27    82.45     5.77    61.96     5.91    76.87    95.94    99.20    99.95     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          16   29   +7       0.77    54.86    -2.58    67.05     6.76    19.36     0.05     2.40    17.46    51.51    88.72     0.00R    0.00  
Man_Utd          16   24   +6      -2.48    32.94    -0.62    62.17     6.64    18.21     0.00     0.40     5.33    22.06    72.18     0.01R    0.00  
Tottenham        16   23   +7      -5.93    13.59    -3.95    63.34     6.76    23.13     0.00     0.66     8.02    30.29    77.57     0.00R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    15   23   +4       2.59    68.67     4.62    52.99     6.85     1.09     0.00     0.01     0.31     2.32    18.22     0.52R    0.03  
Crystal_Palace   16   22   -4       2.78    70.05     0.34    50.46     6.57    -7.17     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.82     9.03     1.25R    0.05  
Sheff_Utd        15   19   +2       1.56    62.21     6.86    46.22     6.88    -5.60     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.23     3.67     5.74R    0.48  
Arsenal          15   19   -2      -5.34    16.51    -7.53    53.27     7.08     1.43     0.00     0.03     0.41     2.83    19.96     0.67R    0.04  
Newcastle        15   19   -7       2.00    65.96    -1.15    47.55     6.76   -11.77     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.36     4.62     3.77R    0.19  
Brighton         15   18   -4       2.48    69.68     4.80    43.15     6.61   -13.89     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     1.21    11.72R    1.08  
Burnley          16   18   -8       0.90    57.94     0.58    41.91     6.47   -19.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.74    16.40R    1.66  
Everton          16   17   -9      -3.63    25.87    -6.17    44.70     6.64   -13.91     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09     2.05     7.96R    0.71  
Bournemouth      16   16   -6      -2.22    35.22     1.01    41.90     6.60   -14.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.84    16.02R    1.73  
West_Ham         15   16   -8      -2.04    36.18    -3.44    42.18     6.70   -18.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.91    16.12R    1.86  
Aston_Villa      15   15   -2      -1.06    43.16     6.92    41.56     7.06   -11.38     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     1.06    18.83R    2.84  
Southampton      15   15  -16       0.59    56.11    -4.42    38.58     6.62   -30.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.25    35.04R    5.78  
Norwich          15   11  -16      -2.17    35.23    -1.42    30.70     6.38   -39.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    79.74R   35.96  
Watford          16    9  -21      -6.85     9.02   -10.19    29.04     6.12   -38.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.21R   47.61  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 December 2019, Blackburn 1 0 Derby; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United    20   43  +20       8.32    90.06     9.39    88.13     7.44    34.23    34.92    72.42    97.57    79.84P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       19   42  +17       7.62    89.14     3.83    91.10     7.75    35.91    55.16    82.43    98.61    87.50P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          20   35  +11       2.19    62.51     2.75    74.77     7.88    17.10     2.58    10.07    59.26    23.49P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_City    20   35   +5       5.65    80.63     2.38    74.36     7.72    10.66     1.85     8.14    55.83    18.70P    0.02R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   19   33  +10       5.08    78.78     7.14    74.63     7.71    16.83     1.98     8.66    58.24    20.38P    0.02R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       20   32   +9       2.02    62.46     5.12    70.15     7.56    12.74     0.52     2.96    35.77    10.86P    0.07R    0.00  
Preston         20   31   +6       1.61    59.99     3.02    69.19     7.64     9.63     0.38     2.26    31.02     8.84P    0.13R    0.01  
Cardiff         20   31   +3       0.52    53.12    -1.53    68.91     7.88     6.32     0.46     2.45    29.62     9.19P    0.15R    0.01  
Brentford       20   30  +14      -3.21    30.80     5.21    72.41     7.66    24.05     1.34     5.90    49.27    19.15P    0.03R    0.00  
Swansea         19   30   +4       1.60    60.02     0.49    69.65     7.72     7.97     0.53     2.70    32.45     9.77P    0.11R    0.00  
Blackburn       20   30   +0       2.92    67.50     0.89    64.28     7.64    -2.23     0.06     0.50    12.68     2.76P    0.76R    0.06  
Hull            20   29   +5      -0.29    48.32     2.38    65.55     7.68     5.99     0.14     0.97    16.66     4.36P    0.50R    0.03  
Birmingham      20   28   -4       2.99    68.45    -0.61    60.70     7.42    -8.50     0.02     0.12     5.00     1.03P    2.19R    0.21  
QPR             20   28   -7       4.92    78.23     0.53    58.30     7.55   -16.22     0.01     0.06     2.80     0.49P    5.21R    0.64  
Millwall        20   27   -2       2.18    63.91     1.87    59.59     7.41    -6.44     0.01     0.09     3.87     0.84P    3.01R    0.26  
Derby           20   25   -6      -3.22    31.16    -7.26    62.01     7.60    -3.93     0.03     0.21     7.46     1.99P    1.67R    0.14  
Charlton        20   23   -1      -1.81    40.00     2.95    56.35     7.67    -4.45     0.00     0.04     2.02     0.43P    7.65R    1.02  
Reading         19   21   -2      -1.65    40.09     3.31    53.48     7.60    -8.88     0.00     0.01     0.81     0.14P   14.63R    2.51  
Middlesbrough   20   20  -10      -7.21    12.76   -10.14    54.37     7.29   -11.21     0.00     0.00     0.75     0.20P   11.25R    1.60  
Luton           20   20  -14      -2.25    37.57    -4.84    49.12     7.52   -25.60     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.02P   34.11R    8.43  
Huddersfield    20   18  -11      -4.56    24.34    -3.68    47.17     7.38   -20.38     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   42.25R   11.83  
Wigan           20   16  -15      -6.20    15.92    -7.29    45.75     7.26   -23.94     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    50.55R   15.75  
Stoke           20   14  -14      -9.52     6.13    -8.34    45.70     7.34   -19.77     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   49.98R   15.64  
Barnsley        20   12  -18      -9.15     6.94    -7.57    40.62     7.46   -29.89     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   75.69R   41.85  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 December 2019, Blackpool 3 1 Fleetwood_Town; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Wycombe              19   40  +14      11.88    97.22    10.78    75.53     7.32    15.86    12.41    26.12    68.41    33.61P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich              18   36  +15       4.89    78.45     5.52    80.72     7.66    28.73    36.35    55.09    87.46    64.27P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         19   32  +17      -0.52    46.28     6.69    75.71     7.42    32.57    15.01    30.17    72.47    41.96P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            19   32   +7       3.75    72.39     3.69    68.83     7.29    10.98     2.26     6.42    34.25    12.41P    0.00R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       18   31   +3       4.78    78.81     0.44    65.18     7.56     0.56     1.12     2.94    18.54     5.72P    0.04R    0.00  
Coventry             19   31   +3       4.17    75.15     1.80    64.89     7.31     2.88     0.64     2.16    16.96     4.98P    0.02R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           18   30  +18       0.80    55.10    11.00    73.20     7.66    29.81     9.83    20.70    59.96    30.85P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            19   30  +11      -1.32    41.68     2.82    71.88     7.65    22.77     6.45    15.43    52.60    25.65P    0.00R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       17   29   +7       2.04    63.24     1.46    68.97     7.89    11.44     3.21     8.41    36.05    14.65P    0.00R    0.00  
Portsmouth           18   28   +8      -2.55    33.55    -1.28    70.91     7.58    19.02     4.90    11.94    46.86    22.15P    0.00R    0.00  
Sunderland           18   26   +4      -5.15    19.54    -6.01    69.78     7.57    16.32     3.65     9.28    40.91    19.13P    0.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           18   25   -3       1.09    57.76    -2.27    59.82     7.34    -3.82     0.10     0.47     5.55     1.44P    0.26R    0.00  
Doncaster            16   24   +7      -1.51    39.44     1.60    68.78     7.97    16.93     3.24     8.18    36.72    15.76P    0.02R    0.00  
Gillingham           19   24   +1      -1.22    42.75     2.17    57.83     7.36     0.15     0.06     0.24     3.53     0.87P    0.58R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        18   24   +1      -1.89    38.05    -0.84    64.46     7.63     8.34     0.73     2.36    17.29     5.99P    0.08R    0.00  
Rochdale             20   22  -11      -0.16    50.14    -2.10    48.57     6.89   -21.59     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P    8.06R    0.08  
Lincoln_City         18   21   -2      -0.69    46.35     2.42    55.36     7.65    -3.73     0.03     0.11     2.04     0.48P    1.55R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley   19   19   -4      -4.00    26.31     0.86    49.45     7.22   -10.11     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.04P    6.27R    0.09  
AFC_Wimbledon        19   17   -7      -4.69    22.41    -0.36    45.79     7.13   -15.25     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   15.23R    0.39  
Tranmere             18   17  -11      -0.97    44.58     0.42    42.72     7.34   -27.08     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   30.39R    1.28  
MK_Dons              19   14  -14      -6.56    13.99    -5.61    39.72     7.13   -27.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.21R    2.66  
Southend             20    6  -37     -11.20     1.82   -18.52    28.17     6.64   -57.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.84R   41.89  
Bolton               16    2  -27      -0.29    49.80   -14.69    26.37     7.33   -50.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.44R   53.59  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 December 2019, Bradford 1 0 Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot1     Bot1

Swindon          20   39  +13       6.93    85.50     6.12    80.53     7.62    21.80    25.96    57.80    89.01    65.49P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           20   36   +5       5.41    79.75     0.30    76.11     7.53    11.66     9.79    33.42    73.66    43.27P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     20   35   +9       4.35    74.89     4.23    74.61     7.58    14.95     7.68    27.94    67.97    37.83P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       19   34  +16       5.43    80.27    12.27    74.98     7.79    21.92     9.47    31.33    70.52    40.17P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            19   34  +10       5.52    80.52     6.36    74.18     7.81    14.68     7.51    26.57    65.65    34.98P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         19   34   +9       2.14    62.72     0.57    79.59     8.02    21.73    23.01    53.47    85.37    62.83P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      20   31   +8       0.41    52.43     3.29    69.70     7.63    12.51     2.51    12.02    43.92    20.02P    0.00R    0.00  
Colchester       19   30   +7       0.45    52.92     1.84    71.10     7.77    13.08     3.76    16.01    50.91    25.14P    0.00R    0.00  
Plymouth         19   29   +5      -1.20    42.64    -1.30    74.31     8.02    17.28     8.41    28.19    66.63    39.53P    0.00R    0.00  
Port_Vale        20   28   -1       3.00    68.99     2.09    60.11     7.39    -5.60     0.09     0.78     7.36     2.00P    0.34R    0.34  
Cambridge_Utd    20   27   +5       1.54    60.38     7.35    61.25     7.38     3.53     0.16     1.23    10.06     3.01P    0.22R    0.22  
Newport_County   18   27   +2       2.86    68.67     2.38    65.66     7.82     2.89     0.79     4.73    23.88     8.89P    0.07R    0.07  
Salford_City     20   25   -6       3.88    73.62     3.69    51.53     7.30   -19.95     0.00     0.04     0.68     0.13P    5.59R    5.59  
Scunthorpe       20   24   +1      -7.90    11.77    -5.73    65.07     7.83     9.07     0.70     4.61    23.81    10.38P    0.09R    0.09  
Macclesfield     19   23   -3       2.12    64.73     4.16    51.83     7.30   -14.41     0.00     0.04     0.79     0.16P    4.63R    4.63  
Crawley_Town     20   22   -6      -1.29    42.94     0.18    52.99     7.39   -13.02     0.01     0.05     0.98     0.18P    3.51R    3.51  
Walsall          20   22  -11      -4.59    24.21   -10.13    57.18     7.61   -11.21     0.02     0.32     3.63     1.12P    1.31R    1.31  
Mansfield        20   21   -3      -9.88     6.24    -8.23    59.88     7.56     1.72     0.08     0.88     7.84     2.90P    0.45R    0.45  
Leyton_Orient    20   21   -8      -0.82    46.17     0.80    48.87     7.41   -20.12     0.00     0.01     0.31     0.04P   10.58R   10.58  
Grimsby          18   20   -5      -1.23    42.64    -0.50    52.75     7.60   -12.72     0.01     0.09     1.14     0.26P    4.22R    4.22  
Oldham           19   20   -7      -5.90    17.50    -6.85    57.40     7.83    -6.38     0.04     0.41     4.51     1.38P    1.32R    1.32  
Carlisle         20   20  -12      -5.24    20.79    -8.63    52.84     7.48   -16.11     0.00     0.05     1.04     0.22P    4.07R    4.07  
Stevenage        19   15   -9      -9.10     6.40    -6.65    48.68     7.53   -13.08     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.07P   10.47R   10.47  
Morecambe        20   15  -19      -4.91    21.14    -7.60    40.55     6.99   -34.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.11R   53.11  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 December 2019, Barnet 2 1 AFC_Fylde; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barrow             24   47  +19       8.30    87.02    10.41    80.86     6.95    24.52    33.48    86.53    46.07P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley            25   44  +12       5.77    77.44     6.14    76.82     6.83    17.96    13.95    70.40    26.37P    0.01R    0.00  
Yeovil             24   41  +12      -1.01    44.20    -1.58    79.71     6.95    24.94    27.72    83.30    46.25P    0.00     0.00  
Woking             25   41   +6       7.70    83.90     7.58    69.33     6.82     5.26     1.85    27.14     6.34P    0.18R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors     24   40  +12       1.05    55.53     3.06    75.88     6.91    20.46    12.42    66.61    27.23P    0.01R    0.00  
Harrogate_Town     25   40   +4       2.49    62.98    -0.71    70.94     6.81     7.03     3.02    35.80    10.11P    0.08R    0.00  
Halifax            24   38   +2       6.51    81.76     3.84    68.30     6.75     2.40     1.17    22.05     4.90P    0.28R    0.02  
Stockport          25   38   -4       8.53    86.72     3.91    61.89     6.76   -11.81     0.14     4.90     0.82P    3.42R    0.21  
Boreham_Wood       25   37   +8       1.41    57.73     6.07    67.30     6.73    10.27     0.98    19.86     5.20P    0.37R    0.02  
Barnet             24   34   +3      -1.38    42.89    -0.64    65.95     6.89     5.64     0.66    15.11     4.00P    0.75R    0.04  
Torquay            25   34   +0       2.68    64.10     5.49    59.48     6.90    -5.93     0.07     2.89     0.54P    7.11R    0.72  
Notts_County       24   33   +8      -8.19    13.93    -4.45    70.95     7.10    19.81     3.86    40.01    16.24P    0.15R    0.01  
Eastleigh          24   33   -2       1.29    57.47     0.00    61.86     6.83    -4.14     0.14     5.16     1.05P    3.41R    0.24  
Hartlepool         24   32   +3      -1.20    43.97     2.83    62.26     6.90     2.89     0.18     6.63     1.59P    2.78R    0.23  
Dover_Athletic     23   32   -3       0.59    53.81    -2.68    62.06     7.10    -5.43     0.20     6.13     1.42P    3.80R    0.29  
Maidenhead         25   31   -3       1.29    57.77     4.09    55.65     6.55    -9.54     0.01     0.66     0.09P   16.40R    2.10  
Dag_&_Red          25   30   -3      -3.66    31.55    -2.03    57.00     6.58    -5.67     0.01     1.04     0.25P   11.44R    1.24  
AFC_Fylde          23   27   -9      -6.23    19.75   -11.33    60.63     7.23    -6.02     0.13     4.28     1.16P    6.07R    0.73  
Aldershot          25   27  -10      -0.93    46.06    -0.72    51.46     6.44   -16.28     0.00     0.11     0.03P   37.69R    7.49  
Wrexham            25   26   -5      -8.82    11.67    -6.05    56.29     6.56    -2.73     0.01     0.72     0.20P   12.99R    1.77  
Sutton_United      24   26   -5      -4.83    25.67    -1.90    54.82     6.80    -6.91     0.01     0.52     0.11P   19.88R    3.14  
Ebbsfleet_United   25   23  -12      -9.44    10.24    -8.72    50.68     6.68   -14.20     0.00     0.07     0.02P   41.65R    9.41  
Chesterfield       24   23  -13      -8.50    12.25   -10.46    50.58     6.86   -17.38     0.00     0.10     0.02P   43.77R   10.52  
Chorley            25   23  -20       0.12    52.22    -2.15    42.12     6.26   -35.12     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.75R   61.81