Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 5 December 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 5 December 2019, Sheff_Utd 0 2 Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        15   43  +23      10.10    99.02     1.71    94.73     6.04    58.35    84.16    98.60    99.87    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        15   35  +26       8.68    95.00    17.22    75.19     6.96    39.45     1.17    14.20    67.93    90.55    98.97     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         15   32  +26      -3.51    20.98    -1.82    85.20     5.95    65.60    14.51    83.74    97.33    99.65    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          15   29   +9       1.89    63.43    -1.07    69.63     6.95    23.30     0.15     3.07    26.69    68.32    93.53     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    15   23   +4       2.54    68.29     4.58    53.26     6.88     1.49     0.00     0.01     0.40     2.43    20.55     0.43R    0.02  
Man_Utd          15   21   +5      -4.29    21.90    -2.10    59.08     6.86    14.66     0.00     0.12     2.15    11.31    54.68     0.03R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   15   21   -4       3.17    73.32     0.46    51.33     6.86    -6.51     0.00     0.00     0.13     1.22    12.97     1.02R    0.05  
Tottenham        15   20   +2      -5.98    13.07    -6.21    61.19     7.00    17.10     0.00     0.19     4.24    19.19    66.66     0.02R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        15   19   +2       1.51    61.78     6.74    46.37     6.87    -5.42     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.29     4.14     4.97R    0.40  
Arsenal          14   19   -1      -3.82    23.41    -6.45    56.18     7.32     4.88     0.00     0.07     1.18     6.40    35.95     0.22R    0.01  
Newcastle        15   19   -7       1.95    65.59    -1.16    47.54     6.75   -11.81     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.28     4.88     3.40R    0.21  
Burnley          15   18   -3       0.81    57.30     3.02    43.54     6.68   -13.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09     1.85    10.07R    0.98  
Bournemouth      15   16   -3      -2.10    35.97     1.72    42.89     6.83   -12.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     1.51    12.47R    1.37  
West_Ham         15   16   -8      -1.95    36.99    -3.26    41.92     6.77   -19.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     1.04    16.14R    1.90  
Aston_Villa      15   15   -2      -1.10    42.92     6.83    41.64     7.05   -11.24     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     1.22    17.16R    2.59  
Brighton         14   15   -5       0.71    57.15     3.57    39.99     6.77   -17.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.61    23.27R    3.45  
Southampton      15   15  -16       0.60    55.95    -4.40    38.54     6.67   -30.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.31    33.45R    5.76  
Everton          15   14  -11      -5.04    17.34    -7.81    41.91     6.89   -17.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     1.14    15.86R    2.06  
Norwich          15   11  -16      -2.17    35.32    -1.36    30.77     6.45   -39.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    77.33R   34.93  
Watford          15    8  -21      -6.60     8.96   -10.20    29.12     6.31   -39.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.15R   46.28  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 2 December 2019, Preston 0 1 West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

West_Brom       19   42  +17       7.78    89.46     4.13    90.84     7.77    35.46    56.76    81.03    98.45    86.23P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    19   40  +18       7.41    87.99     8.41    86.37     7.68    31.92    28.63    62.39    95.55    71.90P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          19   35  +12       3.48    69.93     3.58    77.02     8.06    19.44     5.28    17.33    68.58    31.02P    0.00R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   18   32  +10       5.52    81.70     7.25    74.89     7.94    16.73     2.64    10.22    59.31    21.77P    0.02R    0.00  
Bristol_City    19   32   +4       4.31    74.95     1.78    71.53     7.92     7.81     1.03     4.75    41.37    12.68P    0.07R    0.00  
Preston         19   31   +8       2.51    65.40     4.31    71.53     7.94    13.13     1.21     5.21    42.03    13.72P    0.07R    0.00  
Brentford       19   30  +15      -2.01    37.36     5.92    73.92     7.83    25.34     2.49     9.35    56.55    23.58P    0.01R    0.00  
Swansea         19   30   +4       1.36    58.61     0.16    70.06     7.81     8.59     0.74     3.30    34.28    10.82P    0.11R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       19   29   +8       0.76    54.88     4.66    68.31     7.75    11.41     0.41     2.08    27.63     7.91P    0.18R    0.01  
Cardiff         19   28   +2      -0.66    46.34    -1.89    68.13     8.06     6.73     0.50     2.33    27.02     8.55P    0.31R    0.01  
Blackburn       19   27   -1       1.56    60.23     0.27    62.66     7.87    -3.29     0.05     0.41     9.45     2.15P    1.72R    0.17  
Hull            19   26   +4      -1.21    42.83     2.38    64.15     7.96     5.32     0.13     0.77    13.68     3.64P    1.03R    0.08  
Millwall        19   26   -2       2.49    66.32     1.72    59.90     7.65    -6.42     0.02     0.12     4.61     0.89P    3.26R    0.35  
Derby           19   25   -5      -2.15    37.05    -6.74    63.53     7.80    -2.68     0.08     0.46    10.86     2.97P    1.22R    0.10  
Birmingham      19   25   -5       1.51    60.36    -1.42    58.55     7.68   -10.06     0.01     0.09     3.14     0.65P    4.93R    0.63  
QPR             19   25   -9       3.70    73.19    -0.80    55.83     7.70   -19.70     0.00     0.03     1.53     0.24P   10.39R    1.51  
Charlton        19   23   +0      -0.92    45.25     3.30    57.84     7.99    -3.24     0.02     0.09     3.41     0.77P    6.23R    0.84  
Reading         18   21   -1      -0.58    47.02     3.73    55.54     7.81    -6.69     0.00     0.02     1.71     0.30P    9.98R    1.63  
Huddersfield    19   18   -9      -4.12    25.97    -2.97    48.82     7.64   -17.90     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P   34.54R    9.02  
Middlesbrough   19   17  -11      -8.48     8.29   -10.58    52.69     7.51   -12.27     0.00     0.01     0.48     0.10P   17.49R    3.13  
Luton           19   17  -15      -3.26    31.27    -4.85    47.04     7.84   -27.36     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.03P   45.85R   15.20  
Wigan           19   16  -14      -5.20    19.69    -6.86    47.07     7.48   -22.94     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   44.40R   13.22  
Stoke           19   14  -13      -8.63     7.49    -8.11    46.79     7.52   -19.18     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   44.65R   13.60  
Barnsley        19   12  -17      -8.15     8.80    -7.38    41.15     7.71   -30.14     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    73.53R   40.51  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 3 December 2019, Burton_Albion 1 1 Southend; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Wycombe              19   40  +14      11.81    97.11    10.69    75.47     7.29    15.82     9.60    21.29    64.06    28.92P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich              17   35  +15       5.30    81.28     5.62    81.37     7.82    29.22    34.04    52.33    86.54    61.92P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         18   31  +17      -0.17    48.54     6.63    75.51     7.59    31.55    11.85    24.93    67.11    36.51P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            18   30  +12      -0.04    49.35     3.60    75.37     7.88    27.28    11.97    24.56    65.17    35.93P    0.00R    0.00  
Coventry             18   30   +3       4.48    77.38     1.81    65.10     7.49     2.60     0.61     1.98    15.59     4.49P    0.01R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           17   29  +18       1.50    59.81    11.41    74.33     7.89    31.06    10.32    21.55    60.81    31.50P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       16   29   +9       2.90    69.02     2.65    70.65     8.04    13.94     4.11     9.99    40.41    16.65P    0.00R    0.00  
Blackpool            18   29   +5       2.66    66.95     2.49    66.79     7.50     8.33     1.04     3.08    21.78     7.10P    0.02R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       17   28   +1       4.11    75.84    -0.01    63.72     7.72    -1.06     0.52     1.63    12.37     3.59P    0.06R    0.00  
Portsmouth           17   27   +8      -2.06    36.21    -1.10    71.76     7.86    19.67     5.40    12.52    46.63    22.09P    0.00R    0.00  
Sunderland           17   26   +5      -3.95    24.71    -5.37    71.82     7.74    18.36     4.85    11.64    46.62    22.43P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        17   24   +3      -0.61    46.37     1.02    67.23     7.77    12.39     1.35     3.91    24.94     9.04P    0.02R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           17   24   -3       1.06    57.59    -2.76    59.55     7.52    -4.89     0.10     0.31     4.56     1.13P    0.28R    0.00  
Doncaster            15   23   +7      -0.78    44.62     2.19    70.48     8.24    19.06     4.20    10.13    40.70    18.04P    0.01R    0.00  
Gillingham           18   21   +0      -2.70    33.44     1.48    55.71     7.56    -1.67     0.03     0.09     1.76     0.43P    1.07R    0.03  
Rochdale             19   19  -12      -1.88    38.96    -3.16    45.30     7.00   -25.70     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    16.00R    0.51  
Accrington_Stanley   18   18   -4      -3.70    27.34     0.85    49.91     7.44   -10.10     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.04P    5.43R    0.13  
Lincoln_City         17   18   -4      -1.90    38.20     1.16    52.06     7.88    -8.25     0.01     0.04     0.65     0.17P    3.72R    0.08  
AFC_Wimbledon        18   16   -7      -4.36    23.14    -0.49    46.35     7.28   -14.95     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P   12.04R    0.46  
Tranmere             17   16  -11      -0.49    48.27     0.82    42.95     7.56   -27.56     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   27.31R    1.59  
MK_Dons              18   13  -14      -6.63    13.02    -6.26    38.95     7.19   -29.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.54R    4.09  
Southend             19    6  -35     -10.65     2.19   -18.14    29.04     6.77   -56.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.20R   39.81  
Bolton               15    1  -27      -0.18    50.47   -15.13    26.96     7.54   -49.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.28R   53.31  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 November 2019, Macclesfield 1 1 Bradford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot1     Bot1

Swindon          19   36  +10       6.19    83.47     4.43    78.07     7.87    17.64    17.82    45.89    81.42    54.44P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     19   35  +11       5.33    79.98     5.67    76.96     7.72    18.38    14.93    40.89    78.07    50.28P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            19   34  +10       5.38    80.04     6.14    74.37     7.83    14.97     8.41    28.63    66.85    37.00P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           19   33   +4       4.18    74.33    -0.16    74.44     7.75    10.62     8.04    27.54    66.08    37.00P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       18   31  +13       4.30    75.69    10.01    71.95     7.92    16.90     5.40    20.33    55.59    28.01P    0.01R    0.01  
Northampton      19   31   +9       1.24    57.67     3.49    71.22     7.84    13.80     4.42    17.66    52.10    26.30P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         18   31   +8       1.08    56.51     0.33    78.06     8.20    20.93    19.41    47.46    80.75    57.37P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         18   29   +6      -0.18    48.77    -0.86    76.58     8.28    19.67    15.29    40.19    75.83    50.79P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        19   28   +0       4.26    75.97     3.00    62.03     7.55    -3.93     0.23     1.68    11.73     3.49P    0.23R    0.23  
Colchester       18   27   +6      -0.60    46.45     1.68    70.35     7.95    13.42     3.65    15.10    48.05    23.98P    0.01R    0.01  
Newport_County   17   27   +3       3.61    73.38     2.51    66.93     8.03     3.74     1.47     7.29    29.78    12.01P    0.04R    0.04  
Salford_City     19   25   -5       4.58    77.69     3.81    52.29     7.51   -20.09     0.01     0.09     1.08     0.24P    5.06R    5.06  
Cambridge_Utd    19   24   +4       0.06    51.16     6.60    59.08     7.58     1.72     0.08     0.83     6.91     2.06P    0.68R    0.68  
Macclesfield     19   23   -3       2.05    64.51     4.02    51.92     7.27   -14.38     0.00     0.04     0.78     0.17P    4.78R    4.78  
Mansfield        19   21   +0      -9.07     7.45    -6.04    62.46     7.82     6.54     0.31     2.47    15.26     6.35P    0.20R    0.20  
Scunthorpe       19   21   -1      -8.90     8.47    -6.77    62.04     7.97     5.00     0.34     2.37    14.43     5.88P    0.31R    0.31  
Crawley_Town     19   21   -6      -1.16    43.66     0.03    53.04     7.65   -13.69     0.01     0.09     1.34     0.31P    4.28R    4.28  
Grimsby          17   20   -2      -0.68    46.63     1.40    54.88     7.97    -8.68     0.04     0.27     2.80     0.74P    2.73R    2.73  
Leyton_Orient    19   20   -8      -0.69    47.01     0.54    48.50     7.54   -21.55     0.00     0.02     0.30     0.07P   12.27R   12.27  
Oldham           18   19   -7      -5.25    19.48    -6.37    58.73     8.05    -4.91     0.12     0.85     6.44     2.26P    1.14R    1.14  
Carlisle         19   19  -12      -4.79    22.56    -8.48    53.36     7.72   -15.96     0.01     0.09     1.39     0.38P    4.33R    4.33  
Walsall          19   19  -12      -6.03    17.35   -10.78    55.02     7.85   -12.90     0.02     0.20     2.48     0.72P    2.73R    2.73  
Stevenage        18   14   -9      -8.55     6.93    -6.28    49.29     7.77   -12.88     0.00     0.02     0.53     0.13P   10.00R   10.00  
Morecambe        19   14  -19      -4.80    20.91    -7.91    40.91     7.23   -34.34     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   51.22R   51.22  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 3 December 2019, Eastleigh 0 2 Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barrow             23   44  +18       7.10    83.71    10.05    79.64     7.21    24.10    29.49    82.30    41.88P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley            24   41  +11       4.38    72.25     5.56    75.22     7.03    16.95    11.33    62.84    22.73P    0.01R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors     23   40  +14       1.79    59.65     4.09    78.09     7.14    23.71    22.24    77.18    37.81P    0.00R    0.00  
Yeovil             23   38  +10      -1.70    40.33    -2.19    77.89     7.24    22.53    21.30    75.83    39.04P    0.01R    0.00  
Woking             24   38   +5       6.52    80.30     7.30    67.39     7.10     3.70     1.40    20.61     4.80P    0.58R    0.03  
Halifax            23   38   +4       7.09    84.39     4.70    69.64     7.01     4.36     2.47    29.71     7.53P    0.21R    0.00  
Harrogate_Town     24   37   +3       1.33    57.31    -0.93    69.58     7.03     6.46     2.59    30.34     8.44P    0.23R    0.01  
Stockport          24   35   -6       7.90    85.76     3.29    60.01     6.90   -14.05     0.06     3.34     0.55P    6.58R    0.75  
Boreham_Wood       24   34   +6       0.41    52.78     5.05    65.19     6.89     7.56     0.59    13.62     3.34P    1.03R    0.10  
Torquay            24   34   +1       3.30    66.94     5.25    60.82     7.15    -5.07     0.19     5.16     1.11P    5.53R    0.58  
Notts_County       23   32   +8      -7.56    15.35    -4.05    72.00     7.27    20.79     6.12    47.20    20.11P    0.12R    0.00  
Hartlepool         23   32   +4       0.02    50.55     3.56    63.74     7.17     4.07     0.49    10.68     2.59P    2.05R    0.21  
Dover_Athletic     22   32   -1       1.34    58.05    -1.62    64.05     7.31    -2.51     0.66    11.22     2.74P    2.25R    0.19  
Eastleigh          23   32   -2       1.77    60.38     0.27    62.30     7.10    -4.09     0.23     6.74     1.44P    3.57R    0.34  
Barnet             23   31   +2      -2.59    36.17    -1.06    64.20     7.09     4.42     0.46    11.38     2.98P    1.69R    0.17  
Dag_&_Red          24   30   -2      -2.52    36.95    -1.37    59.01     6.88    -3.74     0.05     2.64     0.58P    7.85R    0.90  
Maidenhead         24   28   -4      -0.06    50.72     3.55    53.40     6.71   -11.50     0.00     0.33     0.06P   27.28R    5.48  
AFC_Fylde          22   27   -8      -5.10    23.57   -10.75    62.11     7.45    -4.89     0.31     7.27     1.95P    4.52R    0.57  
Aldershot          24   27   -9      -0.26    49.57    -0.68    52.55     6.62   -15.75     0.00     0.20     0.02P   32.19R    6.96  
Sutton_United      23   25   -5      -4.68    25.70    -2.21    54.58     7.03    -7.89     0.01     0.65     0.14P   21.91R    4.43  
Wrexham            24   23   -7     -10.11     7.85    -7.49    54.06     6.71    -5.60     0.01     0.37     0.09P   22.34R    4.62  
Chesterfield       23   23  -12      -7.45    14.99    -9.99    51.97     7.04   -16.37     0.00     0.26     0.06P   35.95R    9.37  
Chorley            24   23  -18       0.74    55.89    -1.61    43.59     6.45   -32.62     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.89R   53.74  
Ebbsfleet_United   24   22  -12      -9.13    10.58    -8.73    50.85     6.90   -14.57     0.00     0.12     0.02P   41.22R   11.55