Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Thursday 5 December 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 5 December 2019, Sheff_Utd 0 2 Newcastle; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Liverpool 15 43 +23 10.10 99.02 1.71 94.73 6.04 58.35 84.16 98.60 99.87 99.99 100.00 0.00 0.00 Leicester 15 35 +26 8.68 95.00 17.22 75.19 6.96 39.45 1.17 14.20 67.93 90.55 98.97 0.00 0.00 Man_City 15 32 +26 -3.51 20.98 -1.82 85.20 5.95 65.60 14.51 83.74 97.33 99.65 99.99 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 15 29 +9 1.89 63.43 -1.07 69.63 6.95 23.30 0.15 3.07 26.69 68.32 93.53 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 15 23 +4 2.54 68.29 4.58 53.26 6.88 1.49 0.00 0.01 0.40 2.43 20.55 0.43R 0.02 Man_Utd 15 21 +5 -4.29 21.90 -2.10 59.08 6.86 14.66 0.00 0.12 2.15 11.31 54.68 0.03R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 15 21 -4 3.17 73.32 0.46 51.33 6.86 -6.51 0.00 0.00 0.13 1.22 12.97 1.02R 0.05 Tottenham 15 20 +2 -5.98 13.07 -6.21 61.19 7.00 17.10 0.00 0.19 4.24 19.19 66.66 0.02R 0.00 Sheff_Utd 15 19 +2 1.51 61.78 6.74 46.37 6.87 -5.42 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.29 4.14 4.97R 0.40 Arsenal 14 19 -1 -3.82 23.41 -6.45 56.18 7.32 4.88 0.00 0.07 1.18 6.40 35.95 0.22R 0.01 Newcastle 15 19 -7 1.95 65.59 -1.16 47.54 6.75 -11.81 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.28 4.88 3.40R 0.21 Burnley 15 18 -3 0.81 57.30 3.02 43.54 6.68 -13.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.09 1.85 10.07R 0.98 Bournemouth 15 16 -3 -2.10 35.97 1.72 42.89 6.83 -12.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 1.51 12.47R 1.37 West_Ham 15 16 -8 -1.95 36.99 -3.26 41.92 6.77 -19.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 1.04 16.14R 1.90 Aston_Villa 15 15 -2 -1.10 42.92 6.83 41.64 7.05 -11.24 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.07 1.22 17.16R 2.59 Brighton 14 15 -5 0.71 57.15 3.57 39.99 6.77 -17.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.61 23.27R 3.45 Southampton 15 15 -16 0.60 55.95 -4.40 38.54 6.67 -30.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.31 33.45R 5.76 Everton 15 14 -11 -5.04 17.34 -7.81 41.91 6.89 -17.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 1.14 15.86R 2.06 Norwich 15 11 -16 -2.17 35.32 -1.36 30.77 6.45 -39.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 77.33R 34.93 Watford 15 8 -21 -6.60 8.96 -10.20 29.12 6.31 -39.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 84.15R 46.28Championship (Latest match accounted for: Monday 2 December 2019, Preston 0 1 West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 West_Brom 19 42 +17 7.78 89.46 4.13 90.84 7.77 35.46 56.76 81.03 98.45 86.23P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 19 40 +18 7.41 87.99 8.41 86.37 7.68 31.92 28.63 62.39 95.55 71.90P 0.00 0.00 Fulham 19 35 +12 3.48 69.93 3.58 77.02 8.06 19.44 5.28 17.33 68.58 31.02P 0.00R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 18 32 +10 5.52 81.70 7.25 74.89 7.94 16.73 2.64 10.22 59.31 21.77P 0.02R 0.00 Bristol_City 19 32 +4 4.31 74.95 1.78 71.53 7.92 7.81 1.03 4.75 41.37 12.68P 0.07R 0.00 Preston 19 31 +8 2.51 65.40 4.31 71.53 7.94 13.13 1.21 5.21 42.03 13.72P 0.07R 0.00 Brentford 19 30 +15 -2.01 37.36 5.92 73.92 7.83 25.34 2.49 9.35 56.55 23.58P 0.01R 0.00 Swansea 19 30 +4 1.36 58.61 0.16 70.06 7.81 8.59 0.74 3.30 34.28 10.82P 0.11R 0.00 Sheff_Wed 19 29 +8 0.76 54.88 4.66 68.31 7.75 11.41 0.41 2.08 27.63 7.91P 0.18R 0.01 Cardiff 19 28 +2 -0.66 46.34 -1.89 68.13 8.06 6.73 0.50 2.33 27.02 8.55P 0.31R 0.01 Blackburn 19 27 -1 1.56 60.23 0.27 62.66 7.87 -3.29 0.05 0.41 9.45 2.15P 1.72R 0.17 Hull 19 26 +4 -1.21 42.83 2.38 64.15 7.96 5.32 0.13 0.77 13.68 3.64P 1.03R 0.08 Millwall 19 26 -2 2.49 66.32 1.72 59.90 7.65 -6.42 0.02 0.12 4.61 0.89P 3.26R 0.35 Derby 19 25 -5 -2.15 37.05 -6.74 63.53 7.80 -2.68 0.08 0.46 10.86 2.97P 1.22R 0.10 Birmingham 19 25 -5 1.51 60.36 -1.42 58.55 7.68 -10.06 0.01 0.09 3.14 0.65P 4.93R 0.63 QPR 19 25 -9 3.70 73.19 -0.80 55.83 7.70 -19.70 0.00 0.03 1.53 0.24P 10.39R 1.51 Charlton 19 23 +0 -0.92 45.25 3.30 57.84 7.99 -3.24 0.02 0.09 3.41 0.77P 6.23R 0.84 Reading 18 21 -1 -0.58 47.02 3.73 55.54 7.81 -6.69 0.00 0.02 1.71 0.30P 9.98R 1.63 Huddersfield 19 18 -9 -4.12 25.97 -2.97 48.82 7.64 -17.90 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.03P 34.54R 9.02 Middlesbrough 19 17 -11 -8.48 8.29 -10.58 52.69 7.51 -12.27 0.00 0.01 0.48 0.10P 17.49R 3.13 Luton 19 17 -15 -3.26 31.27 -4.85 47.04 7.84 -27.36 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.03P 45.85R 15.20 Wigan 19 16 -14 -5.20 19.69 -6.86 47.07 7.48 -22.94 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 44.40R 13.22 Stoke 19 14 -13 -8.63 7.49 -8.11 46.79 7.52 -19.18 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 44.65R 13.60 Barnsley 19 12 -17 -8.15 8.80 -7.38 41.15 7.71 -30.14 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 73.53R 40.51League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 3 December 2019, Burton_Albion 1 1 Southend; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Wycombe 19 40 +14 11.81 97.11 10.69 75.47 7.29 15.82 9.60 21.29 64.06 28.92P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 17 35 +15 5.30 81.28 5.62 81.37 7.82 29.22 34.04 52.33 86.54 61.92P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 18 31 +17 -0.17 48.54 6.63 75.51 7.59 31.55 11.85 24.93 67.11 36.51P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 18 30 +12 -0.04 49.35 3.60 75.37 7.88 27.28 11.97 24.56 65.17 35.93P 0.00R 0.00 Coventry 18 30 +3 4.48 77.38 1.81 65.10 7.49 2.60 0.61 1.98 15.59 4.49P 0.01R 0.00 Oxford_Utd 17 29 +18 1.50 59.81 11.41 74.33 7.89 31.06 10.32 21.55 60.81 31.50P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 16 29 +9 2.90 69.02 2.65 70.65 8.04 13.94 4.11 9.99 40.41 16.65P 0.00R 0.00 Blackpool 18 29 +5 2.66 66.95 2.49 66.79 7.50 8.33 1.04 3.08 21.78 7.10P 0.02R 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 17 28 +1 4.11 75.84 -0.01 63.72 7.72 -1.06 0.52 1.63 12.37 3.59P 0.06R 0.00 Portsmouth 17 27 +8 -2.06 36.21 -1.10 71.76 7.86 19.67 5.40 12.52 46.63 22.09P 0.00R 0.00 Sunderland 17 26 +5 -3.95 24.71 -5.37 71.82 7.74 18.36 4.85 11.64 46.62 22.43P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 17 24 +3 -0.61 46.37 1.02 67.23 7.77 12.39 1.35 3.91 24.94 9.04P 0.02R 0.00 Shrewsbury 17 24 -3 1.06 57.59 -2.76 59.55 7.52 -4.89 0.10 0.31 4.56 1.13P 0.28R 0.00 Doncaster 15 23 +7 -0.78 44.62 2.19 70.48 8.24 19.06 4.20 10.13 40.70 18.04P 0.01R 0.00 Gillingham 18 21 +0 -2.70 33.44 1.48 55.71 7.56 -1.67 0.03 0.09 1.76 0.43P 1.07R 0.03 Rochdale 19 19 -12 -1.88 38.96 -3.16 45.30 7.00 -25.70 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 16.00R 0.51 Accrington_Stanley 18 18 -4 -3.70 27.34 0.85 49.91 7.44 -10.10 0.00 0.00 0.22 0.04P 5.43R 0.13 Lincoln_City 17 18 -4 -1.90 38.20 1.16 52.06 7.88 -8.25 0.01 0.04 0.65 0.17P 3.72R 0.08 AFC_Wimbledon 18 16 -7 -4.36 23.14 -0.49 46.35 7.28 -14.95 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.02P 12.04R 0.46 Tranmere 17 16 -11 -0.49 48.27 0.82 42.95 7.56 -27.56 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 27.31R 1.59 MK_Dons 18 13 -14 -6.63 13.02 -6.26 38.95 7.19 -29.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 48.54R 4.09 Southend 19 6 -35 -10.65 2.19 -18.14 29.04 6.77 -56.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 92.20R 39.81 Bolton 15 1 -27 -0.18 50.47 -15.13 26.96 7.54 -49.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 93.28R 53.31 Adjustments: Bolton -12 Bury -12League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 November 2019, Macclesfield 1 1 Bradford; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot1 Bot1 Swindon 19 36 +10 6.19 83.47 4.43 78.07 7.87 17.64 17.82 45.89 81.42 54.44P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 19 35 +11 5.33 79.98 5.67 76.96 7.72 18.38 14.93 40.89 78.07 50.28P 0.00 0.00 Crewe 19 34 +10 5.38 80.04 6.14 74.37 7.83 14.97 8.41 28.63 66.85 37.00P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 19 33 +4 4.18 74.33 -0.16 74.44 7.75 10.62 8.04 27.54 66.08 37.00P 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 18 31 +13 4.30 75.69 10.01 71.95 7.92 16.90 5.40 20.33 55.59 28.01P 0.01R 0.01 Northampton 19 31 +9 1.24 57.67 3.49 71.22 7.84 13.80 4.42 17.66 52.10 26.30P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 18 31 +8 1.08 56.51 0.33 78.06 8.20 20.93 19.41 47.46 80.75 57.37P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 18 29 +6 -0.18 48.77 -0.86 76.58 8.28 19.67 15.29 40.19 75.83 50.79P 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 19 28 +0 4.26 75.97 3.00 62.03 7.55 -3.93 0.23 1.68 11.73 3.49P 0.23R 0.23 Colchester 18 27 +6 -0.60 46.45 1.68 70.35 7.95 13.42 3.65 15.10 48.05 23.98P 0.01R 0.01 Newport_County 17 27 +3 3.61 73.38 2.51 66.93 8.03 3.74 1.47 7.29 29.78 12.01P 0.04R 0.04 Salford_City 19 25 -5 4.58 77.69 3.81 52.29 7.51 -20.09 0.01 0.09 1.08 0.24P 5.06R 5.06 Cambridge_Utd 19 24 +4 0.06 51.16 6.60 59.08 7.58 1.72 0.08 0.83 6.91 2.06P 0.68R 0.68 Macclesfield 19 23 -3 2.05 64.51 4.02 51.92 7.27 -14.38 0.00 0.04 0.78 0.17P 4.78R 4.78 Mansfield 19 21 +0 -9.07 7.45 -6.04 62.46 7.82 6.54 0.31 2.47 15.26 6.35P 0.20R 0.20 Scunthorpe 19 21 -1 -8.90 8.47 -6.77 62.04 7.97 5.00 0.34 2.37 14.43 5.88P 0.31R 0.31 Crawley_Town 19 21 -6 -1.16 43.66 0.03 53.04 7.65 -13.69 0.01 0.09 1.34 0.31P 4.28R 4.28 Grimsby 17 20 -2 -0.68 46.63 1.40 54.88 7.97 -8.68 0.04 0.27 2.80 0.74P 2.73R 2.73 Leyton_Orient 19 20 -8 -0.69 47.01 0.54 48.50 7.54 -21.55 0.00 0.02 0.30 0.07P 12.27R 12.27 Oldham 18 19 -7 -5.25 19.48 -6.37 58.73 8.05 -4.91 0.12 0.85 6.44 2.26P 1.14R 1.14 Carlisle 19 19 -12 -4.79 22.56 -8.48 53.36 7.72 -15.96 0.01 0.09 1.39 0.38P 4.33R 4.33 Walsall 19 19 -12 -6.03 17.35 -10.78 55.02 7.85 -12.90 0.02 0.20 2.48 0.72P 2.73R 2.73 Stevenage 18 14 -9 -8.55 6.93 -6.28 49.29 7.77 -12.88 0.00 0.02 0.53 0.13P 10.00R 10.00 Morecambe 19 14 -19 -4.80 20.91 -7.91 40.91 7.23 -34.34 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 51.22R 51.22National League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 3 December 2019, Eastleigh 0 2 Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Barrow 23 44 +18 7.10 83.71 10.05 79.64 7.21 24.10 29.49 82.30 41.88P 0.00 0.00 Bromley 24 41 +11 4.38 72.25 5.56 75.22 7.03 16.95 11.33 62.84 22.73P 0.01R 0.00 Solihull_Moors 23 40 +14 1.79 59.65 4.09 78.09 7.14 23.71 22.24 77.18 37.81P 0.00R 0.00 Yeovil 23 38 +10 -1.70 40.33 -2.19 77.89 7.24 22.53 21.30 75.83 39.04P 0.01R 0.00 Woking 24 38 +5 6.52 80.30 7.30 67.39 7.10 3.70 1.40 20.61 4.80P 0.58R 0.03 Halifax 23 38 +4 7.09 84.39 4.70 69.64 7.01 4.36 2.47 29.71 7.53P 0.21R 0.00 Harrogate_Town 24 37 +3 1.33 57.31 -0.93 69.58 7.03 6.46 2.59 30.34 8.44P 0.23R 0.01 Stockport 24 35 -6 7.90 85.76 3.29 60.01 6.90 -14.05 0.06 3.34 0.55P 6.58R 0.75 Boreham_Wood 24 34 +6 0.41 52.78 5.05 65.19 6.89 7.56 0.59 13.62 3.34P 1.03R 0.10 Torquay 24 34 +1 3.30 66.94 5.25 60.82 7.15 -5.07 0.19 5.16 1.11P 5.53R 0.58 Notts_County 23 32 +8 -7.56 15.35 -4.05 72.00 7.27 20.79 6.12 47.20 20.11P 0.12R 0.00 Hartlepool 23 32 +4 0.02 50.55 3.56 63.74 7.17 4.07 0.49 10.68 2.59P 2.05R 0.21 Dover_Athletic 22 32 -1 1.34 58.05 -1.62 64.05 7.31 -2.51 0.66 11.22 2.74P 2.25R 0.19 Eastleigh 23 32 -2 1.77 60.38 0.27 62.30 7.10 -4.09 0.23 6.74 1.44P 3.57R 0.34 Barnet 23 31 +2 -2.59 36.17 -1.06 64.20 7.09 4.42 0.46 11.38 2.98P 1.69R 0.17 Dag_&_Red 24 30 -2 -2.52 36.95 -1.37 59.01 6.88 -3.74 0.05 2.64 0.58P 7.85R 0.90 Maidenhead 24 28 -4 -0.06 50.72 3.55 53.40 6.71 -11.50 0.00 0.33 0.06P 27.28R 5.48 AFC_Fylde 22 27 -8 -5.10 23.57 -10.75 62.11 7.45 -4.89 0.31 7.27 1.95P 4.52R 0.57 Aldershot 24 27 -9 -0.26 49.57 -0.68 52.55 6.62 -15.75 0.00 0.20 0.02P 32.19R 6.96 Sutton_United 23 25 -5 -4.68 25.70 -2.21 54.58 7.03 -7.89 0.01 0.65 0.14P 21.91R 4.43 Wrexham 24 23 -7 -10.11 7.85 -7.49 54.06 6.71 -5.60 0.01 0.37 0.09P 22.34R 4.62 Chesterfield 23 23 -12 -7.45 14.99 -9.99 51.97 7.04 -16.37 0.00 0.26 0.06P 35.95R 9.37 Chorley 24 23 -18 0.74 55.89 -1.61 43.59 6.45 -32.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 82.89R 53.74 Ebbsfleet_United 24 22 -12 -9.13 10.58 -8.73 50.85 6.90 -14.57 0.00 0.12 0.02P 41.22R 11.55