Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 4 December 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 4 December 2019, Chelsea 2 1 Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        14   40  +20       9.85    99.00     1.43    93.64     6.30    55.64    80.13    97.61    99.76    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        15   35  +26       8.59    94.83    17.07    75.20     6.97    39.46     1.74    14.72    68.20    90.81    98.95     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         15   32  +26      -3.56    20.56    -1.90    85.16     5.95    65.51    17.92    83.97    97.42    99.65    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          15   29   +9       1.92    63.67    -1.02    69.52     6.98    23.13     0.18     3.32    26.51    67.95    93.33     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    15   23   +4       2.55    68.57     4.59    53.26     6.86     1.59     0.00     0.01     0.28     2.35    20.52     0.43R    0.00  
Man_Utd          15   21   +5      -4.23    22.40    -2.02    58.85     6.87    14.26     0.00     0.12     2.08    10.86    53.38     0.06R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   15   21   -4       3.23    73.50     0.52    51.33     6.84    -6.58     0.00     0.00     0.14     1.23    12.93     1.08R    0.06  
Tottenham        15   20   +2      -5.94    13.05    -6.16    61.25     7.01    17.14     0.01     0.21     4.30    19.73    66.47     0.02R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        14   19   +4       2.51    69.06     8.17    48.66     7.13    -1.91     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.69     8.36     2.94R    0.19  
Arsenal          14   19   -1      -3.80    23.63    -6.45    56.09     7.26     4.76     0.00     0.04     1.17     6.25    35.43     0.28R    0.01  
Burnley          15   18   -3       0.74    56.63     2.92    43.69     6.71   -13.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     1.85    10.05R    0.90  
Bournemouth      15   16   -3      -2.10    35.72     1.69    42.90     6.79   -12.34     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     1.49    12.40R    1.32  
West_Ham         15   16   -8      -2.05    35.96    -3.46    42.06     6.67   -18.68     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     1.00    15.40R    1.89  
Newcastle        14   16   -9       0.61    56.09    -2.71    44.92     6.95   -15.19     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.16     2.78     8.25R    0.67  
Aston_Villa      15   15   -2      -1.05    43.24     6.94    41.41     6.97   -11.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     1.07    17.92R    2.63  
Brighton         14   15   -5       0.63    56.51     3.39    40.09     6.73   -17.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.62    22.85R    3.09  
Southampton      15   15  -16       0.64    56.57    -4.42    38.62     6.62   -30.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.28    32.91R    5.62  
Everton          14   14   -8      -4.78    18.21    -7.06    42.72     6.94   -15.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11     1.55    13.49R    1.68  
Norwich          15   11  -16      -2.14    35.24    -1.45    30.72     6.45   -39.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    77.76R   35.24  
Watford          15    8  -21      -6.53     9.31   -10.05    29.15     6.35   -39.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.17R   46.71  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 2 December 2019, Preston 0 1 West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

West_Brom       19   42  +17       7.70    89.27     4.00    91.01     7.79    35.75    57.73    81.83    98.52    86.90P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    19   40  +18       7.45    88.13     8.47    86.31     7.66    31.87    27.70    62.08    95.37    71.96P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          19   35  +12       3.40    69.58     3.46    77.17     8.11    19.63     5.22    17.63    69.56    31.57P    0.01R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   18   32  +10       5.71    82.08     7.48    74.66     7.93    16.44     2.54     9.65    57.95    20.87P    0.02R    0.00  
Bristol_City    19   32   +4       4.26    74.88     1.64    71.68     7.93     8.02     1.17     4.87    42.07    12.96P    0.07R    0.00  
Preston         19   31   +8       2.58    65.70     4.42    71.36     7.95    12.90     1.16     4.98    41.90    13.36P    0.09R    0.00  
Brentford       19   30  +15      -2.11    36.71     5.83    73.96     7.85    25.35     2.60     9.46    56.94    23.68P    0.02R    0.00  
Swansea         19   30   +4       1.51    59.38     0.38    69.84     7.81     8.30     0.69     2.98    33.49    10.17P    0.14R    0.01  
Sheff_Wed       19   29   +8       0.65    54.42     4.53    68.33     7.78    11.47     0.42     2.22    27.94     8.23P    0.17R    0.01  
Cardiff         19   28   +2      -0.53    47.23    -1.74    68.08     8.10     6.57     0.46     2.33    26.78     8.65P    0.32R    0.03  
Blackburn       19   27   -1       1.51    60.09     0.21    62.63     7.88    -3.29     0.06     0.42     9.72     2.32P    1.62R    0.15  
Hull            19   26   +4      -1.23    42.76     2.34    64.15     7.87     5.36     0.14     0.74    13.54     3.48P    1.00R    0.07  
Millwall        19   26   -2       2.53    66.66     1.77    59.90     7.64    -6.41     0.01     0.12     4.67     0.93P    3.27R    0.37  
Derby           19   25   -5      -2.39    35.68    -7.03    63.77     7.76    -2.38     0.08     0.50    11.41     2.98P    1.12R    0.10  
Birmingham      19   25   -5       1.55    60.76    -1.38    58.55     7.63   -10.12     0.01     0.06     3.18     0.61P    4.90R    0.60  
QPR             19   25   -9       3.77    73.43    -0.58    55.61     7.68   -20.08     0.01     0.02     1.45     0.23P   11.22R    1.75  
Charlton        19   23   +0      -0.82    45.75     3.47    57.67     7.91    -3.49     0.01     0.07     3.02     0.64P    6.52R    0.85  
Reading         18   21   -1      -0.46    47.72     3.91    55.46     7.76    -6.81     0.00     0.03     1.61     0.28P   10.30R    1.77  
Huddersfield    19   18   -9      -4.04    26.39    -2.85    48.78     7.66   -17.98     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.05P   35.07R    9.32  
Middlesbrough   19   17  -11      -8.46     8.25   -10.55    52.70     7.49   -12.26     0.00     0.00     0.47     0.10P   17.15R    3.32  
Luton           19   17  -15      -3.44    30.15    -5.16    47.32     7.84   -26.96     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P   44.71R   14.32  
Wigan           19   16  -14      -5.31    19.23    -6.98    47.14     7.50   -22.85     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   44.03R   13.61  
Stoke           19   14  -13      -8.57     7.63    -8.05    46.70     7.54   -19.30     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   45.34R   14.07  
Barnsley        19   12  -17      -8.30     8.32    -7.61    41.39     7.66   -29.73     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   72.91R   39.65  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 3 December 2019, Burton_Albion 1 1 Southend; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Wycombe              19   40  +14      11.84    97.23    10.72    75.53     7.32    15.85     9.89    21.54    64.07    28.69P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich              17   35  +15       5.34    81.30     5.66    81.32     7.82    29.09    33.98    52.19    86.10    61.60P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         18   31  +17      -0.18    48.42     6.61    75.56     7.64    31.64    12.16    25.26    67.10    36.78P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            18   30  +12      -0.02    49.77     3.70    75.37     7.87    27.23    11.78    24.55    65.25    36.03P    0.00R    0.00  
Coventry             18   30   +3       4.46    77.45     1.78    65.14     7.50     2.65     0.66     2.02    15.68     4.52P    0.02R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           17   29  +18       1.54    59.81    11.48    74.34     7.85    31.09     9.91    21.10    60.96    31.17P    0.00R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       16   29   +9       2.94    69.36     2.73    70.71     8.05    14.03     4.24    10.11    40.50    16.86P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackpool            18   29   +5       2.70    67.34     2.57    66.73     7.49     8.24     1.02     3.03    21.54     6.79P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       17   28   +1       4.03    75.57    -0.11    63.84     7.71    -0.88     0.52     1.56    12.81     3.65P    0.04R    0.00  
Portsmouth           17   27   +8      -2.02    36.27    -1.03    71.60     7.84    19.44     5.18    11.98    45.71    21.73P    0.00R    0.00  
Sunderland           17   26   +5      -4.00    24.45    -5.44    71.82     7.74    18.45     4.73    11.74    46.83    22.62P    0.00R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        17   24   +3      -0.63    46.07     0.98    67.30     7.83    12.50     1.54     4.36    25.37     9.56P    0.01R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           17   24   -3       1.22    58.78    -2.60    59.35     7.54    -5.18     0.10     0.32     4.34     1.13P    0.27R    0.00  
Doncaster            15   23   +7      -0.84    43.95     2.08    70.59     8.18    19.21     4.24    10.11    41.11    18.26P    0.01R    0.00  
Gillingham           18   21   +0      -2.73    33.13     1.44    55.69     7.52    -1.73     0.02     0.09     1.60     0.40P    1.08R    0.01  
Rochdale             19   19  -12      -1.84    39.49    -3.15    45.32     6.99   -25.67     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    16.06R    0.52  
Accrington_Stanley   18   18   -4      -3.65    27.85     0.94    49.80     7.44   -10.32     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.04P    5.63R    0.14  
Lincoln_City         17   18   -4      -2.04    37.34     0.95    52.16     7.79    -8.07     0.01     0.04     0.72     0.15P    3.42R    0.08  
AFC_Wimbledon        18   16   -7      -4.35    23.52    -0.41    46.27     7.29   -15.04     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   12.59R    0.43  
Tranmere             17   16  -11      -0.64    47.11     0.61    43.02     7.58   -27.34     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   26.91R    1.48  
MK_Dons              18   13  -14      -6.63    12.93    -6.23    39.03     7.27   -29.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.20R    4.09  
Southend             19    6  -35     -10.64     2.19   -18.19    29.04     6.77   -55.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.23R   39.50  
Bolton               15    1  -27      -0.14    50.66   -15.07    26.86     7.53   -49.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.52R   53.76  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 November 2019, Macclesfield 1 1 Bradford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot1     Bot1

Swindon          19   36  +10       6.15    83.40     4.39    78.08     7.83    17.60    17.98    46.22    81.44    54.57P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     19   35  +11       5.36    80.11     5.68    76.92     7.71    18.32    14.59    40.57    77.92    49.94P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            19   34  +10       5.42    79.96     6.19    74.44     7.81    15.04     8.77    29.22    67.13    37.53P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           19   33   +4       4.25    75.11     0.00    74.33     7.78    10.45     8.06    27.41    65.22    36.82P    0.00R    0.00  
Cheltenham       18   31  +13       4.27    75.39     9.93    72.08     7.99    17.05     5.84    21.07    56.67    29.12P    0.00R    0.00  
Northampton      19   31   +9       1.27    58.17     3.51    71.23     7.75    13.84     4.34    17.32    52.25    26.15P    0.00R    0.00  
Bradford         18   31   +8       1.09    56.69     0.35    77.92     8.17    20.75    19.11    46.67    80.32    56.39P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         18   29   +6      -0.06    49.41    -0.72    76.44     8.28    19.46    14.86    39.78    75.06    50.18P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        19   28   +0       4.18    75.43     2.92    62.04     7.63    -3.81     0.23     1.78    12.30     3.72P    0.19R    0.19  
Colchester       18   27   +6      -0.65    45.97     1.60    70.43     7.95    13.52     3.80    15.44    48.19    24.05P    0.01R    0.01  
Newport_County   17   27   +3       3.63    73.54     2.58    66.90     8.02     3.69     1.41     7.09    29.88    11.90P    0.07R    0.07  
Salford_City     19   25   -5       4.67    77.87     3.95    52.21     7.52   -20.13     0.01     0.07     0.97     0.19P    5.07R    5.07  
Cambridge_Utd    19   24   +4      -0.00    51.00     6.52    59.23     7.60     1.92     0.11     0.89     7.12     2.18P    0.59R    0.59  
Macclesfield     19   23   -3       2.22    65.62     4.30    51.76     7.26   -14.63     0.00     0.04     0.73     0.15P    5.03R    5.03  
Mansfield        19   21   +0      -9.09     7.30    -6.08    62.48     7.84     6.55     0.38     2.51    15.27     6.39P    0.22R    0.22  
Scunthorpe       19   21   -1      -8.91     8.47    -6.81    62.13     8.01     5.10     0.36     2.44    14.85     6.29P    0.26R    0.26  
Crawley_Town     19   21   -6      -1.22    43.16    -0.07    53.05     7.55   -13.75     0.00     0.06     1.21     0.27P    4.05R    4.05  
Grimsby          17   20   -2      -0.63    46.73     1.44    54.79     7.89    -8.77     0.03     0.24     2.53     0.69P    2.68R    2.68  
Leyton_Orient    19   20   -8      -0.83    46.21     0.29    48.71     7.64   -21.16     0.00     0.02     0.34     0.08P   12.03R   12.03  
Oldham           18   19   -7      -5.29    19.22    -6.44    58.65     8.03    -5.05     0.08     0.83     6.57     2.23P    1.13R    1.13  
Carlisle         19   19  -12      -4.86    22.07    -8.56    53.48     7.71   -15.77     0.01     0.07     1.39     0.37P    4.31R    4.31  
Walsall          19   19  -12      -6.01    17.35   -10.74    55.00     7.80   -12.94     0.02     0.23     2.21     0.67P    2.66R    2.66  
Stevenage        18   14   -9      -8.59     6.69    -6.35    49.31     7.72   -12.84     0.00     0.02     0.40     0.10P    9.98R    9.98  
Morecambe        19   14  -19      -4.78    21.28    -7.88    40.87     7.22   -34.44     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   51.72R   51.72  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 3 December 2019, Eastleigh 0 2 Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barrow             23   44  +18       7.03    83.46     9.97    79.75     7.17    24.25    30.19    83.12    42.64P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley            24   41  +11       4.48    72.46     5.70    75.04     7.04    16.69    10.95    61.98    21.85P    0.01R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors     23   40  +14       1.95    60.27     4.33    77.91     7.11    23.41    21.40    76.56    36.81P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil             23   38  +10      -1.77    39.99    -2.29    77.96     7.28    22.69    21.73    75.96    39.40P    0.02R    0.00  
Woking             24   38   +5       6.43    80.17     7.10    67.40     7.11     3.78     1.45    20.76     4.96P    0.55R    0.05  
Halifax            23   38   +4       7.14    84.43     4.79    69.59     6.97     4.28     2.39    29.75     7.44P    0.21R    0.01  
Harrogate_Town     24   37   +3       1.41    57.53    -0.81    69.49     7.06     6.26     2.57    30.19     8.54P    0.27R    0.01  
Stockport          24   35   -6       7.82    85.44     3.18    60.15     6.90   -13.90     0.09     3.55     0.61P    6.51R    0.66  
Boreham_Wood       24   34   +6       0.51    53.33     5.19    65.07     6.86     7.38     0.64    13.08     3.35P    0.98R    0.08  
Torquay            24   34   +1       3.38    67.51     5.43    60.77     7.15    -5.19     0.19     5.03     1.03P    5.62R    0.67  
Notts_County       23   32   +8      -7.66    14.76    -4.26    72.04     7.24    20.90     6.07    47.40    20.34P    0.14R    0.00  
Hartlepool         23   32   +4      -0.06    49.89     3.47    63.87     7.17     4.23     0.52    11.01     2.69P    2.02R    0.17  
Dover_Athletic     22   32   -1       1.30    57.54    -1.68    64.12     7.32    -2.42     0.63    11.27     2.66P    2.14R    0.18  
Eastleigh          23   32   -2       1.64    59.69     0.04    62.37     7.08    -3.99     0.25     6.82     1.50P    3.59R    0.34  
Barnet             23   31   +2      -2.70    35.33    -1.16    64.29     7.10     4.56     0.57    11.55     3.19P    1.62R    0.14  
Dag_&_Red          24   30   -2      -2.66    36.23    -1.60    59.11     6.89    -3.57     0.04     2.78     0.56P    7.46R    0.84  
Maidenhead         24   28   -4      -0.04    50.65     3.60    53.46     6.67   -11.41     0.01     0.37     0.06P   26.45R    5.33  
AFC_Fylde          22   27   -8      -5.13    23.56   -10.79    62.17     7.41    -4.82     0.29     7.16     1.93P    4.40R    0.57  
Aldershot          24   27   -9      -0.15    50.49    -0.48    52.39     6.61   -15.98     0.00     0.19     0.04P   33.20R    7.31  
Sutton_United      23   25   -5      -4.57    26.42    -2.05    54.53     7.06    -8.00     0.01     0.70     0.18P   22.11R    4.49  
Wrexham            24   23   -7      -9.99     8.37    -7.32    53.97     6.76    -5.65     0.00     0.38     0.12P   22.94R    4.94  
Chesterfield       23   23  -12      -7.36    15.37    -9.84    51.90     7.08   -16.53     0.00     0.27     0.06P   36.67R    9.57  
Chorley            24   23  -18       0.67    55.42    -1.78    43.73     6.50   -32.41     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.89R   52.85  
Ebbsfleet_United   24   22  -12      -9.12    10.43    -8.74    50.85     6.95   -14.56     0.00     0.13     0.03P   41.19R   11.79