Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Tuesday 3 December 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 3 December 2019, Crystal_Palace 1 0 Bournemouth; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1
Liverpool 14 40 +20 9.78 98.95 1.30 93.76 6.29 55.86 82.93 98.19 99.83 99.98 100.00 0.00 0.00
Leicester 14 32 +24 8.03 94.07 16.87 74.30 7.11 38.71 1.52 14.73 65.25 88.59 98.63 0.00 0.00
Man_City 14 29 +23 -3.96 17.62 -2.52 84.25 6.11 63.28 15.35 82.59 96.81 99.50 99.98 0.00 0.00
Chelsea 14 26 +8 1.02 57.33 -0.83 68.83 7.17 23.78 0.18 3.69 26.50 64.41 92.39 0.00 0.00
Crystal_Palace 15 21 -4 3.28 73.85 0.59 51.17 6.86 -6.72 0.00 0.01 0.17 1.20 13.55 1.35R 0.07
Tottenham 14 20 +3 -4.80 17.07 -5.54 62.80 7.24 18.43 0.02 0.62 8.12 28.12 74.86 0.02R 0.00
Wolverhampton 14 20 +2 1.46 61.55 3.41 51.54 7.08 -0.59 0.00 0.01 0.25 1.74 16.35 1.16R 0.08
Sheff_Utd 14 19 +4 2.54 69.53 8.20 48.68 7.13 -1.80 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.77 9.10 3.12R 0.20
Arsenal 14 19 -1 -3.73 23.79 -6.29 55.91 7.27 4.45 0.00 0.08 1.34 6.58 36.18 0.31R 0.01
Man_Utd 14 18 +4 -5.70 14.10 -2.79 57.10 7.03 13.10 0.00 0.08 1.56 8.40 44.76 0.15R 0.01
Burnley 14 18 +0 1.07 59.02 3.79 44.45 6.80 -11.61 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.13 2.65 8.83R 0.87
Bournemouth 15 16 -3 -2.10 35.75 1.67 42.92 6.81 -12.29 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.08 1.69 12.84R 1.48
West_Ham 14 16 -6 -1.17 41.90 -2.27 43.62 6.95 -16.32 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.13 2.20 11.93R 1.45
Newcastle 14 16 -9 0.50 55.18 -2.88 45.04 6.96 -14.98 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.14 3.16 8.30R 0.78
Aston_Villa 14 15 -1 -0.37 48.35 6.60 42.03 7.23 -11.93 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.11 1.77 17.30R 2.90
Brighton 14 15 -5 0.64 56.78 3.37 40.14 6.74 -17.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.67 23.39R 3.64
Everton 14 14 -8 -4.81 18.23 -7.12 42.77 6.99 -15.54 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.10 1.81 14.02R 1.82
Southampton 14 12 -17 -0.60 46.68 -4.76 36.99 6.85 -31.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.19 43.27R 10.77
Norwich 14 11 -15 -1.12 42.86 -1.06 31.89 6.70 -38.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 72.32R 31.64
Watford 14 8 -19 -6.07 10.52 -9.74 29.84 6.53 -38.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 81.68R 44.28
Championship (Latest match accounted for: Monday 2 December 2019, Preston 0 1 West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1
West_Brom 19 42 +17 7.72 89.36 4.02 90.95 7.78 35.60 57.06 81.54 98.65 86.65P 0.00 0.00
Leeds_United 19 40 +18 7.31 87.76 8.31 86.41 7.65 31.99 28.39 62.72 95.56 72.38P 0.00 0.00
Fulham 19 35 +12 3.31 69.09 3.31 77.29 8.09 19.82 5.51 17.56 70.02 31.72P 0.01R 0.00
Nott'm_Forest 18 32 +10 5.62 81.79 7.37 74.78 7.84 16.58 2.53 9.61 58.76 21.12P 0.01R 0.00
Bristol_City 19 32 +4 4.28 75.41 1.69 71.70 7.87 8.05 1.11 4.79 42.16 12.87P 0.05R 0.00
Preston 19 31 +8 2.53 65.42 4.36 71.47 7.89 13.03 1.08 4.96 42.25 13.51P 0.09R 0.00
Brentford 19 30 +15 -2.10 36.79 5.82 74.01 7.84 25.49 2.58 9.43 57.05 23.74P 0.01R 0.00
Swansea 19 30 +4 1.48 59.15 0.33 69.88 7.75 8.33 0.67 3.05 33.14 10.06P 0.10R 0.01
Sheff_Wed 19 29 +8 0.85 55.51 4.82 68.17 7.85 11.26 0.41 2.22 27.33 7.93P 0.21R 0.01
Cardiff 19 28 +2 -0.56 46.84 -1.72 67.94 8.01 6.41 0.42 2.25 26.11 8.21P 0.31R 0.02
Blackburn 19 27 -1 1.48 59.80 0.18 62.67 7.84 -3.22 0.02 0.36 9.39 2.09P 1.68R 0.13
Hull 19 26 +4 -1.32 42.00 2.23 64.27 7.89 5.48 0.13 0.71 13.77 3.72P 0.94R 0.09
Millwall 19 26 -2 2.53 66.44 1.75 59.83 7.63 -6.50 0.02 0.11 4.53 0.89P 3.24R 0.33
Derby 19 25 -5 -2.19 36.65 -6.79 63.64 7.79 -2.54 0.06 0.48 11.18 3.00P 1.17R 0.11
Birmingham 19 25 -5 1.65 61.43 -1.22 58.38 7.58 -10.32 0.01 0.05 2.92 0.58P 4.96R 0.51
QPR 19 25 -9 3.73 73.38 -0.71 55.75 7.68 -19.81 0.00 0.04 1.49 0.29P 10.58R 1.70
Charlton 19 23 +0 -0.74 46.34 3.59 57.60 7.91 -3.63 0.01 0.07 3.05 0.69P 6.64R 0.88
Reading 18 21 -1 -0.47 47.84 3.88 55.42 7.85 -6.87 0.00 0.05 1.73 0.35P 10.67R 1.73
Huddersfield 19 18 -9 -4.19 25.82 -3.08 48.83 7.67 -17.89 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.04P 34.71R 9.32
Middlesbrough 19 17 -11 -8.38 8.56 -10.49 52.69 7.53 -12.28 0.00 0.00 0.48 0.11P 17.73R 3.26
Luton 19 17 -15 -3.39 30.70 -5.07 47.26 7.88 -27.00 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.02P 44.68R 14.84
Wigan 19 16 -14 -5.22 19.59 -6.92 47.08 7.53 -22.96 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.01P 44.70R 13.42
Stoke 19 14 -13 -8.62 7.43 -8.11 46.73 7.57 -19.26 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 45.22R 13.90
Barnsley 19 12 -17 -8.28 8.47 -7.57 41.40 7.77 -29.77 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 72.28R 39.72
League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 3 December 2019, Burton_Albion 1 1 Southend; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1
Wycombe 19 40 +14 12.01 97.21 10.96 75.34 7.30 15.59 9.22 20.77 63.35 27.94P 0.00 0.00
Ipswich 17 35 +15 5.36 81.74 5.66 81.35 7.81 29.14 34.46 52.60 86.36 62.12P 0.00 0.00
Peterborough 18 31 +17 -0.17 48.40 6.65 75.50 7.60 31.56 12.07 25.11 66.95 36.49P 0.00 0.00
Rotherham 18 30 +12 0.07 49.99 3.80 75.24 7.85 27.02 11.82 24.25 64.76 35.70P 0.00 0.00
Coventry 18 30 +3 4.42 77.32 1.68 65.20 7.45 2.74 0.63 2.02 15.65 4.60P 0.02R 0.00
Oxford_Utd 17 29 +18 1.53 59.92 11.49 74.31 7.85 31.02 10.18 21.16 61.12 31.36P 0.00 0.00
Fleetwood_Town 16 29 +9 2.95 69.59 2.74 70.57 8.04 13.81 4.14 10.02 40.24 16.76P 0.00R 0.00
Blackpool 18 29 +5 2.68 67.22 2.58 66.72 7.47 8.23 1.00 3.18 21.56 7.00P 0.01R 0.00
Bristol_Rovers 17 28 +1 3.93 74.98 -0.27 63.98 7.70 -0.65 0.54 1.71 13.04 3.86P 0.05R 0.00
Portsmouth 17 27 +8 -2.10 35.81 -1.16 71.71 7.80 19.64 5.20 12.35 46.67 21.93P 0.00R 0.00
Sunderland 17 26 +5 -4.02 24.37 -5.45 71.85 7.74 18.45 4.98 12.02 46.64 22.90P 0.00R 0.00
Burton_Albion 17 24 +3 -0.66 46.03 0.93 67.32 7.77 12.52 1.46 4.13 25.56 9.37P 0.02R 0.00
Shrewsbury 17 24 -3 1.17 58.52 -2.61 59.37 7.53 -5.14 0.07 0.31 4.33 1.10P 0.29R 0.00
Doncaster 15 23 +7 -0.73 44.97 2.25 70.50 8.23 19.00 4.19 10.26 40.97 18.19P 0.01R 0.00
Gillingham 18 21 +0 -2.74 33.29 1.41 55.77 7.55 -1.60 0.03 0.11 1.73 0.44P 1.09R 0.01
Rochdale 19 19 -12 -2.02 38.17 -3.39 45.51 7.04 -25.40 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 15.43R 0.47
Accrington_Stanley 18 18 -4 -3.66 27.66 0.89 49.83 7.46 -10.24 0.00 0.01 0.25 0.07P 5.68R 0.12
Lincoln_City 17 18 -4 -1.95 37.99 1.07 52.11 7.80 -8.18 0.00 0.01 0.71 0.16P 3.55R 0.08
AFC_Wimbledon 18 16 -7 -4.35 23.30 -0.41 46.32 7.31 -15.04 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 12.77R 0.51
Tranmere 17 16 -11 -0.52 47.58 0.77 42.97 7.56 -27.47 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 27.28R 1.52
MK_Dons 18 13 -14 -6.74 12.43 -6.38 39.06 7.22 -29.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 47.87R 3.89
Southend 19 6 -35 -10.62 2.00 -18.16 29.05 6.77 -55.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 92.37R 39.10
Bolton 15 1 -27 -0.12 51.05 -15.04 26.79 7.57 -49.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 93.56R 54.29
Adjustments:
Bolton -12
Bury -12
League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 November 2019, Macclesfield 1 1 Bradford; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot1 Bot1
Swindon 19 36 +10 6.20 83.59 4.43 78.10 7.84 17.66 18.03 46.03 81.48 54.56P 0.00R 0.00
Forest_Green 19 35 +11 5.32 79.87 5.64 76.99 7.71 18.42 14.79 40.84 77.90 49.99P 0.00 0.00
Crewe 19 34 +10 5.41 80.19 6.16 74.31 7.86 14.89 8.49 28.09 66.41 36.57P 0.00 0.00
Exeter 19 33 +4 4.17 74.49 -0.16 74.37 7.76 10.57 7.95 27.19 65.76 36.61P 0.00R 0.00
Cheltenham 18 31 +13 4.26 75.60 9.97 71.95 7.97 16.87 5.59 20.36 55.78 28.16P 0.01R 0.01
Northampton 19 31 +9 1.25 57.86 3.49 71.27 7.91 13.88 4.61 17.95 52.09 26.51P 0.01R 0.01
Bradford 18 31 +8 0.98 55.80 0.18 78.10 8.14 20.96 19.23 47.36 81.05 57.56P 0.00 0.00
Plymouth 18 29 +6 -0.09 49.33 -0.79 76.55 8.24 19.60 14.91 40.19 75.62 50.70P 0.00 0.00
Port_Vale 19 28 +0 4.25 75.85 2.98 62.05 7.54 -3.82 0.21 1.74 11.90 3.62P 0.19R 0.19
Colchester 18 27 +6 -0.71 45.44 1.53 70.51 7.96 13.64 3.69 15.52 48.50 24.39P 0.01R 0.01
Newport_County 17 27 +3 3.59 73.42 2.51 66.93 8.03 3.71 1.52 7.24 29.81 12.04P 0.05R 0.05
Salford_City 19 25 -5 4.62 77.77 3.93 52.21 7.53 -20.24 0.01 0.10 0.97 0.24P 5.14R 5.14
Cambridge_Utd 19 24 +4 -0.09 50.09 6.39 59.32 7.62 2.04 0.10 0.86 7.34 2.14P 0.54R 0.54
Macclesfield 19 23 -3 2.18 65.23 4.23 51.87 7.30 -14.45 0.00 0.06 0.77 0.18P 4.90R 4.90
Mansfield 19 21 +0 -9.20 7.08 -6.22 62.57 7.83 6.73 0.37 2.63 15.47 6.46P 0.22R 0.22
Scunthorpe 19 21 -1 -8.75 8.98 -6.54 61.89 8.05 4.76 0.35 2.29 14.15 5.80P 0.29R 0.29
Crawley_Town 19 21 -6 -1.06 44.49 0.12 52.89 7.66 -13.96 0.01 0.08 1.25 0.28P 4.46R 4.46
Grimsby 17 20 -2 -0.60 46.92 1.51 54.80 7.85 -8.77 0.03 0.25 2.53 0.65P 2.78R 2.78
Leyton_Orient 19 20 -8 -0.79 46.17 0.36 48.57 7.58 -21.37 0.00 0.02 0.31 0.07P 12.06R 12.06
Oldham 18 19 -7 -5.29 19.29 -6.44 58.72 8.00 -4.97 0.11 0.85 6.57 2.22P 1.02R 1.02
Carlisle 19 19 -12 -4.82 22.39 -8.53 53.48 7.78 -15.79 0.01 0.13 1.48 0.38P 4.26R 4.26
Walsall 19 19 -12 -5.93 17.53 -10.61 54.91 7.82 -13.08 0.02 0.19 2.34 0.74P 2.65R 2.65
Stevenage 18 14 -9 -8.60 6.74 -6.35 49.40 7.80 -12.75 0.00 0.02 0.52 0.12P 9.77R 9.77
Morecambe 19 14 -19 -4.73 21.26 -7.77 40.78 7.26 -34.53 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 51.64R 51.64
National League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 3 December 2019, Eastleigh 0 2 Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1
Barrow 23 44 +18 7.11 83.77 10.08 79.63 7.13 24.09 29.87 82.51 42.09P 0.00R 0.00
Bromley 24 41 +11 4.50 72.61 5.69 75.09 7.02 16.81 11.16 62.27 22.28P 0.01R 0.00
Solihull_Moors 23 40 +14 1.85 60.08 4.25 77.95 7.07 23.46 21.86 76.79 37.47P 0.00R 0.00
Yeovil 23 38 +10 -1.69 40.61 -2.13 77.89 7.23 22.51 21.49 75.88 39.03P 0.01R 0.00
Woking 24 38 +5 6.24 79.30 6.89 67.56 7.15 3.97 1.51 21.61 5.13P 0.60R 0.04
Halifax 23 38 +4 7.10 84.45 4.70 69.68 6.96 4.46 2.49 30.16 7.79P 0.21R 0.01
Harrogate_Town 24 37 +3 1.50 58.29 -0.70 69.46 7.06 6.22 2.53 30.11 8.50P 0.25R 0.01
Stockport 24 35 -6 7.86 85.45 3.21 60.08 6.91 -13.96 0.10 3.51 0.63P 6.61R 0.70
Boreham_Wood 24 34 +6 0.36 52.42 4.97 65.21 6.89 7.58 0.64 13.54 3.44P 0.95R 0.06
Torquay 24 34 +1 3.41 67.55 5.44 60.81 7.15 -5.11 0.23 5.29 1.05P 5.32R 0.66
Notts_County 23 32 +8 -7.48 15.36 -3.89 71.85 7.23 20.55 5.93 46.37 19.80P 0.13R 0.01
Hartlepool 23 32 +4 -0.07 50.00 3.43 63.81 7.13 4.15 0.52 10.64 2.56P 1.99R 0.20
Dover_Athletic 22 32 -1 1.34 58.06 -1.62 64.08 7.28 -2.47 0.54 10.93 2.64P 2.23R 0.19
Eastleigh 23 32 -2 1.65 59.47 0.07 62.38 7.06 -3.98 0.20 6.85 1.47P 3.56R 0.40
Barnet 23 31 +2 -2.69 35.54 -1.24 64.31 7.12 4.62 0.53 11.71 3.27P 1.70R 0.15
Dag_&_Red 24 30 -2 -2.52 36.99 -1.42 58.97 6.84 -3.76 0.05 2.52 0.51P 7.58R 0.91
Maidenhead 24 28 -4 -0.01 50.86 3.63 53.43 6.70 -11.44 0.00 0.32 0.05P 26.94R 5.33
AFC_Fylde 22 27 -8 -5.07 23.93 -10.70 62.15 7.42 -4.80 0.32 7.35 1.94P 4.43R 0.50
Aldershot 24 27 -9 -0.09 50.57 -0.45 52.37 6.59 -16.02 0.00 0.19 0.02P 33.46R 7.15
Sutton_United 23 25 -5 -4.61 26.20 -2.11 54.48 6.99 -8.03 0.01 0.63 0.14P 22.31R 4.40
Wrexham 24 23 -7 -10.14 7.79 -7.57 54.15 6.80 -5.40 0.00 0.45 0.12P 22.24R 4.60
Chesterfield 23 23 -12 -7.43 14.95 -9.91 51.94 7.07 -16.43 0.00 0.23 0.04P 36.28R 9.62
Chorley 24 23 -18 0.72 55.74 -1.63 43.61 6.51 -32.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 82.41R 53.77
Ebbsfleet_United 24 22 -12 -9.26 10.32 -9.00 50.98 6.95 -14.38 0.00 0.12 0.02P 40.77R 11.29
