Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 2 December 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 1 December 2019, Leicester 2 1 Everton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        14   40  +20       9.86    99.01     1.52    93.62     6.27    55.51    82.38    98.06    99.78    99.98   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        14   32  +24       8.02    93.95    16.80    74.38     7.14    38.87     1.65    15.09    65.22    88.33    98.63     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         14   29  +23      -3.90    18.13    -2.45    84.21     6.15    63.21    15.75    82.32    96.63    99.43    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          14   26   +8       0.95    56.65    -0.91    68.89     7.15    23.85     0.21     3.73    26.89    64.40    92.70     0.00R    0.00  
Tottenham        14   20   +3      -4.88    16.85    -5.73    62.95     7.18    18.72     0.02     0.64     8.04    28.55    76.00     0.01R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    14   20   +2       1.50    61.88     3.44    51.39     7.07    -0.85     0.00     0.01     0.28     1.74    15.77     1.13R    0.06  
Sheff_Utd        14   19   +4       2.52    69.45     8.17    48.68     7.12    -1.81     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.82     9.09     2.95R    0.24  
Arsenal          14   19   -1      -3.78    23.63    -6.44    56.05     7.25     4.73     0.00     0.07     1.26     6.56    37.11     0.31R    0.02  
Man_Utd          14   18   +4      -5.71    14.39    -2.82    57.06     7.13    13.07     0.00     0.08     1.66     8.44    44.88     0.16R    0.00  
Burnley          14   18   +0       1.00    58.49     3.72    44.46     6.82   -11.59     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.14     2.80     8.85R    0.89  
Crystal_Palace   14   18   -5       2.01    66.45     0.21    49.62     7.06    -7.67     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.87    10.21     2.37R    0.21  
Bournemouth      14   16   -2      -1.03    43.07     2.30    44.19     7.02   -11.44     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.17     2.72    10.10R    1.16  
West_Ham         14   16   -6      -1.27    41.37    -2.36    43.66     7.00   -16.18     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.12     2.37    11.96R    1.43  
Newcastle        14   16   -9       0.56    55.65    -2.82    45.04     6.96   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.17     3.05     8.39R    0.83  
Aston_Villa      14   15   -1      -0.48    47.50     6.48    42.06     7.29   -11.86     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.15     1.94    17.54R    2.90  
Brighton         14   15   -5       0.71    57.06     3.47    40.06     6.82   -17.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.77    24.43R    3.84  
Everton          14   14   -8      -4.76    18.25    -7.05    42.73     6.99   -15.58     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10     1.72    14.39R    2.01  
Southampton      14   12  -17      -0.60    46.64    -4.74    37.08     6.89   -31.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.21    43.30R   10.51  
Norwich          14   11  -15      -1.15    42.54    -1.15    31.92     6.69   -38.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    72.57R   31.47  
Watford          14    8  -19      -6.01    10.78    -9.64    29.80     6.55   -38.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    81.52R   44.43  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 2 December 2019, Preston 0 1 West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

West_Brom       19   42  +17       7.77    89.64     4.09    90.94     7.69    35.58    57.37    81.48    98.62    86.50P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    19   40  +18       7.41    88.02     8.45    86.32     7.62    31.87    28.27    62.45    95.51    72.21P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          19   35  +12       3.38    69.59     3.44    77.08     8.08    19.55     5.16    17.31    69.04    30.96P    0.00R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   18   32  +10       5.57    82.13     7.27    74.98     7.91    16.89     2.61    10.24    59.72    21.85P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_City    19   32   +4       4.17    74.38     1.51    71.83     7.98     8.26     1.19     5.25    42.57    13.69P    0.08R    0.00  
Preston         19   31   +8       2.60    65.88     4.49    71.33     7.88    12.81     1.08     4.66    41.49    13.01P    0.07R    0.00  
Brentford       19   30  +15      -2.05    36.95     5.91    74.00     7.82    25.46     2.54     9.43    57.02    23.75P    0.01R    0.00  
Swansea         19   30   +4       1.52    59.45     0.39    69.96     7.76     8.46     0.67     3.18    33.63    10.26P    0.14R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       19   29   +8       0.76    55.19     4.64    68.17     7.73    11.23     0.39     2.02    27.36     8.01P    0.15R    0.00  
Cardiff         19   28   +2      -0.40    47.78    -1.52    67.88     8.04     6.27     0.44     2.18    25.87     8.07P    0.32R    0.03  
Blackburn       19   27   -1       1.62    60.71     0.39    62.50     7.83    -3.53     0.06     0.32     9.15     1.99P    1.66R    0.14  
Hull            19   26   +4      -1.28    42.63     2.32    64.18     7.88     5.36     0.10     0.70    13.80     3.71P    0.99R    0.09  
Millwall        19   26   -2       2.49    66.22     1.69    59.85     7.67    -6.47     0.02     0.15     4.62     0.93P    3.45R    0.35  
Derby           19   25   -5      -2.26    36.16    -6.93    63.68     7.73    -2.48     0.08     0.44    11.17     2.96P    1.21R    0.08  
Birmingham      19   25   -5       1.47    60.15    -1.49    58.56     7.62   -10.08     0.00     0.07     3.14     0.59P    4.84R    0.64  
QPR             19   25   -9       3.68    72.97    -0.79    55.82     7.69   -19.70     0.00     0.02     1.56     0.25P   10.43R    1.61  
Charlton        19   23   +0      -0.98    44.74     3.21    57.83     7.87    -3.25     0.01     0.07     3.27     0.73P    6.03R    0.81  
Reading         18   21   -1      -0.33    48.81     4.08    55.25     7.82    -7.12     0.00     0.03     1.54     0.30P   10.95R    1.82  
Huddersfield    19   18   -9      -4.09    26.21    -2.94    48.82     7.68   -17.90     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.05P   34.81R    9.10  
Middlesbrough   19   17  -11      -8.45     8.32   -10.55    52.62     7.52   -12.34     0.00     0.00     0.51     0.14P   17.88R    3.26  
Luton           19   17  -15      -3.41    30.17    -5.09    47.26     7.82   -27.06     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   44.88R   14.70  
Wigan           19   16  -14      -5.21    19.52    -6.90    47.14     7.53   -22.86     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   44.12R   13.47  
Stoke           19   14  -13      -8.65     7.39    -8.13    46.79     7.56   -19.16     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00    45.08R   13.95  
Barnsley        19   12  -17      -8.27     8.56    -7.55    41.34     7.65   -29.77     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   72.89R   39.95  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 November 2019, Ipswich 0 0 Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Wycombe              19   40  +14      11.80    97.35    10.67    75.56     7.34    15.89     9.91    21.34    63.56    28.67P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich              17   35  +15       5.48    81.95     5.82    81.11     7.83    28.81    32.62    50.56    85.39    60.00P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         18   31  +17      -0.27    47.80     6.49    75.62     7.61    31.85    12.21    25.23    66.61    36.37P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            18   30  +12       0.11    50.62     3.84    75.26     7.86    27.12    11.54    23.98    64.17    35.16P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             18   30   +3       4.49    77.43     1.79    65.05     7.49     2.55     0.65     1.97    15.05     4.44P    0.03R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           17   29  +18       1.54    60.08    11.47    74.31     7.85    31.09    10.30    21.28    60.04    31.16P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       16   29   +9       2.97    69.74     2.73    70.52     8.04    13.74     3.88     9.41    39.05    16.17P    0.00R    0.00  
Blackpool            18   29   +5       2.67    67.16     2.54    66.77     7.47     8.31     0.97     2.99    21.31     6.89P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       17   28   +1       4.05    75.46    -0.11    63.86     7.71    -0.80     0.56     1.58    12.37     3.59P    0.06R    0.00  
Portsmouth           17   27   +8      -2.08    36.06    -1.12    71.72     7.82    19.63     5.39    12.12    45.62    21.55P    0.00R    0.00  
Sunderland           17   26   +5      -3.98    24.72    -5.40    71.77     7.77    18.30     4.81    11.75    45.80    22.21P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           17   24   -3       1.13    58.12    -2.68    59.52     7.58    -4.95     0.10     0.37     4.41     1.16P    0.26R    0.00  
Doncaster            15   23   +7      -0.77    44.48     2.17    70.49     8.23    19.11     4.22    10.15    40.61    18.32P    0.02R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        16   23   +3       0.29    52.40     1.95    69.21     8.03    15.05     2.82     7.11    33.37    13.68P    0.01R    0.00  
Gillingham           18   21   +0      -2.79    32.75     1.34    55.86     7.52    -1.48     0.02     0.09     1.68     0.43P    1.08R    0.01  
Rochdale             19   19  -12      -1.89    38.93    -3.16    45.33     6.96   -25.74     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   15.29R    0.43  
Accrington_Stanley   18   18   -4      -3.68    27.30     0.89    49.75     7.41   -10.35     0.00     0.01     0.22     0.04P    5.49R    0.11  
Lincoln_City         17   18   -4      -2.04    37.06     0.89    52.29     7.85    -7.92     0.01     0.04     0.64     0.16P    3.48R    0.07  
AFC_Wimbledon        18   16   -7      -4.45    22.81    -0.55    46.43     7.31   -14.88     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   12.37R    0.39  
Tranmere             17   16  -11      -0.55    47.52     0.75    42.97     7.56   -27.50     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    27.00R    1.40  
MK_Dons              18   13  -14      -6.65    12.74    -6.22    38.95     7.24   -29.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   48.19R    3.83  
Southend             18    5  -35     -10.85     1.49   -19.06    28.33     6.90   -58.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.13R   42.11  
Bolton               15    1  -27      -0.14    51.04   -15.04    26.78     7.55   -49.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.58R   51.65  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 November 2019, Macclesfield 1 1 Bradford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot1     Bot1

Swindon          19   36  +10       6.09    83.20     4.27    78.23     7.84    17.87    18.79    47.36    81.70    55.58P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     19   35  +11       5.41    80.53     5.77    76.79     7.67    18.17    13.99    39.86    77.54    49.46P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            19   34  +10       5.43    80.19     6.23    74.30     7.89    14.87     8.64    28.40    66.24    36.83P    0.01R    0.01  
Exeter           19   33   +4       4.20    74.61    -0.12    74.33     7.71    10.48     7.85    27.20    65.74    36.57P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       18   31  +13       4.24    75.58     9.94    72.07     7.96    17.06     5.59    20.91    56.44    28.93P    0.01R    0.01  
Northampton      19   31   +9       1.35    58.58     3.62    71.12     7.87    13.66     4.39    17.40    51.37    25.86P    0.00R    0.00  
Bradford         18   31   +8       0.96    55.93     0.17    78.02     8.20    20.91    19.64    46.97    80.66    56.81P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         18   29   +6       0.09    50.42    -0.49    76.31     8.22    19.26    14.33    39.13    74.85    49.31P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        19   28   +0       4.27    75.70     3.03    61.94     7.56    -4.01     0.22     1.66    11.74     3.45P    0.20R    0.20  
Colchester       18   27   +6      -0.75    45.27     1.49    70.52     8.00    13.68     4.02    15.94    48.71    24.75P    0.01R    0.01  
Newport_County   17   27   +3       3.46    72.37     2.33    67.11     8.07     3.95     1.55     7.65    31.00    12.76P    0.03R    0.03  
Salford_City     19   25   -5       4.56    77.42     3.83    52.33     7.51   -20.09     0.00     0.08     1.05     0.23P    5.11R    5.11  
Cambridge_Utd    19   24   +4       0.04    51.13     6.56    59.20     7.61     1.86     0.10     0.89     7.11     2.05P    0.63R    0.63  
Macclesfield     19   23   -3       2.20    65.25     4.28    51.86     7.30   -14.49     0.00     0.05     0.74     0.13P    4.79R    4.79  
Mansfield        19   21   +0      -9.11     7.26    -6.08    62.51     7.82     6.61     0.36     2.46    15.46     6.45P    0.23R    0.23  
Scunthorpe       19   21   -1      -8.87     8.48    -6.70    62.09     8.05     5.06     0.38     2.60    14.68     6.36P    0.34R    0.34  
Crawley_Town     19   21   -6      -1.23    43.19    -0.08    53.09     7.58   -13.64     0.01     0.06     1.25     0.28P    4.12R    4.12  
Grimsby          17   20   -2      -0.59    46.96     1.51    54.70     7.89    -8.92     0.02     0.26     2.52     0.70P    2.88R    2.88  
Leyton_Orient    19   20   -8      -0.85    45.98     0.29    48.72     7.61   -21.18     0.00     0.01     0.38     0.08P   11.78R   11.78  
Oldham           18   19   -7      -5.31    19.18    -6.49    58.67     8.03    -5.01     0.10     0.77     6.52     2.10P    1.09R    1.09  
Carlisle         19   19  -12      -4.88    22.12    -8.60    53.51     7.76   -15.76     0.01     0.11     1.50     0.44P    4.18R    4.18  
Walsall          19   19  -12      -5.91    17.52   -10.61    54.90     7.87   -13.08     0.01     0.23     2.32     0.76P    2.87R    2.87  
Stevenage        18   14   -9      -8.56     7.09    -6.32    49.36     7.79   -12.75     0.00     0.02     0.47     0.10P    9.86R    9.86  
Morecambe        19   14  -19      -4.69    21.63    -7.82    40.82     7.23   -34.51     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    51.87R   51.87  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 November 2019, Aldershot 2 2 Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barrow             23   44  +18       7.11    83.77    10.10    79.63     7.22    24.06    29.55    81.88    41.81P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley            24   41  +11       4.32    71.73     5.45    75.15     7.02    16.88    10.99    61.98    22.33P    0.01R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors     23   40  +14       1.77    59.49     4.11    78.11     7.10    23.71    22.25    76.93    37.61P    0.00R    0.00  
Yeovil             23   38  +10      -1.61    40.83    -2.06    77.81     7.28    22.49    21.24    75.08    38.48P    0.00R    0.00  
Woking             24   38   +5       6.35    79.81     7.07    67.53     7.11     3.89     1.49    21.07     5.04P    0.52R    0.04  
Halifax            23   38   +4       6.98    84.08     4.55    69.69     7.00     4.43     2.49    29.81     7.65P    0.17R    0.02  
Harrogate_Town     24   37   +3       1.29    56.84    -0.99    69.66     7.06     6.52     2.68    30.78     8.96P    0.20R    0.01  
Stockport          24   35   -6       7.70    85.15     3.02    60.17     6.87   -13.84     0.07     3.32     0.54P    5.89R    0.67  
Boreham_Wood       24   34   +6       0.45    52.68     5.11    65.19     6.92     7.53     0.62    13.30     3.30P    0.96R    0.06  
Torquay            24   34   +1       3.54    68.13     5.66    60.68     7.12    -5.27     0.16     4.72     0.93P    5.40R    0.62  
Notts_County       23   32   +8      -7.51    15.02    -4.01    71.90     7.27    20.66     5.97    46.07    19.79P    0.12R    0.01  
Hartlepool         23   32   +4      -0.13    49.70     3.35    63.95     7.11     4.37     0.49    10.85     2.64P    1.77R    0.15  
Eastleigh          22   32   +0       2.51    64.50     1.29    64.32     7.25    -1.11     0.56    11.31     2.55P    2.02R    0.15  
Dover_Athletic     22   32   -1       1.49    58.88    -1.38    63.89     7.32    -2.74     0.60    10.59     2.58P    2.21R    0.21  
Barnet             23   31   +2      -2.55    36.29    -0.98    64.15     7.11     4.37     0.51    11.06     2.95P    1.68R    0.13  
Dag_&_Red          24   30   -2      -2.57    36.79    -1.46    59.02     6.88    -3.68     0.06     2.57     0.57P    7.13R    0.85  
Maidenhead         24   28   -4      -0.01    50.85     3.64    53.45     6.70   -11.44     0.00     0.33     0.05P   25.75R    5.03  
AFC_Fylde          22   27   -8      -5.14    23.59   -10.79    62.09     7.38    -4.93     0.26     6.92     1.88P    4.12R    0.53  
Aldershot          24   27   -9      -0.19    49.95    -0.60    52.42     6.67   -15.95     0.00     0.18     0.04P   31.75R    6.94  
Sutton_United      23   25   -5      -4.59    26.21    -2.09    54.52     6.97    -7.99     0.00     0.63     0.14P   20.99R    4.07  
Chesterfield       23   23  -12      -7.42    14.99    -9.94    51.97     7.06   -16.41     0.01     0.26     0.05P   34.86R    8.97  
Chorley            24   23  -18       0.64    55.25    -1.80    43.77     6.52   -32.34     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.83R   51.05  
Ebbsfleet_United   24   22  -12      -9.24    10.73    -8.91    50.84     6.99   -14.58     0.00     0.14     0.03P   39.73R   11.31  
Wrexham            23   20   -9     -10.95     5.61    -8.34    51.67     6.94    -8.62     0.00     0.21     0.08P   33.87R    9.19