Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 1 December 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 1 December 2019, Leicester 2 1 Everton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        14   40  +20       9.80    98.93     1.37    93.72     6.26    55.73    82.85    98.06    99.81    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        14   32  +24       7.96    93.83    16.74    74.27     7.12    38.69     1.43    14.56    64.60    88.04    98.70     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         14   29  +23      -3.96    17.73    -2.61    84.31     6.12    63.44    15.47    82.90    96.88    99.49    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          14   26   +8       0.95    56.49    -0.94    68.96     7.16    23.97     0.23     3.73    27.22    65.21    93.08     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        14   20   +3      -4.80    16.99    -5.58    62.85     7.18    18.51     0.02     0.58     8.09    28.24    75.36     0.01R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    14   20   +2       1.54    62.12     3.52    51.38     7.06    -0.87     0.00     0.01     0.24     1.70    15.81     1.16R    0.06  
Sheff_Utd        14   19   +4       2.50    69.04     8.15    48.79     7.18    -1.64     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.80     9.52     3.04R    0.25  
Arsenal          14   19   -1      -3.82    23.33    -6.44    56.00     7.31     4.60     0.00     0.07     1.31     6.68    37.23     0.29R    0.01  
Man_Utd          14   18   +4      -5.64    14.57    -2.67    56.96     7.13    12.89     0.01     0.08     1.53     8.12    44.49     0.13R    0.01  
Burnley          14   18   +0       1.11    59.56     3.84    44.35     6.86   -11.75     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.16     2.77     9.04R    0.94  
Crystal_Palace   14   18   -5       2.01    66.43     0.18    49.62     7.07    -7.66     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.86    10.28     2.53R    0.20  
Bournemouth      14   16   -2      -1.11    42.55     2.18    44.27     7.02   -11.33     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.16     2.77     9.90R    1.20  
West_Ham         14   16   -6      -1.22    41.63    -2.26    43.68     6.99   -16.19     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.14     2.32    11.86R    1.45  
Newcastle        14   16   -9       0.65    56.48    -2.65    44.89     6.93   -15.20     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.12     2.90     8.75R    0.90  
Aston_Villa      14   15   -1      -0.43    47.68     6.54    42.11     7.26   -11.81     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.12     1.90    16.93R    2.87  
Brighton         14   15   -5       0.70    56.83     3.49    39.98     6.73   -17.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.71    24.35R    3.77  
Everton          14   14   -8      -4.88    17.80    -7.22    42.89     7.00   -15.35     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.13     1.93    13.79R    1.80  
Southampton      14   12  -17      -0.55    47.27    -4.69    36.91     6.88   -31.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.19    44.13R   11.20  
Norwich          14   11  -15      -1.15    42.65    -1.16    31.90     6.71   -38.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    72.76R   31.76  
Watford          14    8  -19      -6.11    10.30    -9.79    29.93     6.51   -38.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    81.32R   43.56  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 November 2019, Barnsley 3 1 Hull; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United    19   40  +18       7.42    88.14     8.46    86.35     7.61    31.91    31.46    62.60    95.48    72.40P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       18   39  +16       6.27    84.93     3.17    89.29     8.04    34.63    50.63    74.92    97.18    81.67P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          19   35  +12       3.42    69.73     3.52    77.05     8.10    19.45     5.94    17.72    68.32    31.02P    0.01R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   18   32  +10       5.52    81.52     7.24    74.99     7.90    16.90     3.21    10.94    59.04    22.25P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_City    19   32   +4       4.22    74.62     1.62    71.77     7.93     8.16     1.32     5.43    41.92    13.28P    0.05R    0.00  
Preston         18   31   +9       3.45    71.12     4.62    73.31     8.21    14.79     2.65     8.99    50.92    18.61P    0.05R    0.00  
Brentford       19   30  +15      -1.99    37.59     6.00    73.87     7.81    25.23     2.70     9.62    55.48    23.40P    0.02R    0.00  
Swansea         19   30   +4       1.54    59.72     0.43    69.86     7.75     8.31     0.76     3.18    32.42    10.08P    0.08R    0.01  
Sheff_Wed       19   29   +8       0.81    55.32     4.78    68.17     7.77    11.22     0.46     2.28    26.70     7.90P    0.20R    0.01  
Cardiff         19   28   +2      -0.38    48.05    -1.47    67.79     7.98     6.18     0.51     2.24    24.87     7.86P    0.31R    0.04  
Blackburn       19   27   -1       1.53    59.96     0.25    62.60     7.86    -3.37     0.07     0.42     9.17     2.14P    1.71R    0.16  
Hull            19   26   +4      -1.32    42.26     2.30    64.15     7.87     5.28     0.14     0.74    13.12     3.48P    0.99R    0.08  
Millwall        19   26   -2       2.53    66.60     1.76    59.87     7.57    -6.51     0.02     0.13     4.35     0.88P    3.15R    0.32  
Derby           19   25   -5      -2.34    35.69    -6.99    63.78     7.72    -2.34     0.08     0.52    11.13     3.01P    1.07R    0.08  
Birmingham      19   25   -5       1.70    61.44    -1.15    58.35     7.62   -10.41     0.03     0.11     2.87     0.62P    5.28R    0.60  
QPR             19   25   -9       3.74    73.52    -0.65    55.71     7.72   -19.95     0.01     0.04     1.49     0.23P   10.91R    1.77  
Charlton        19   23   +0      -0.90    45.17     3.35    57.84     7.87    -3.25     0.02     0.08     3.14     0.67P    6.14R    0.77  
Reading         18   21   -1      -0.55    47.37     3.82    55.42     7.79    -6.89     0.00     0.03     1.54     0.32P   10.59R    1.83  
Huddersfield    19   18   -9      -4.02    26.37    -2.76    48.70     7.68   -18.17     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.02P   35.41R    9.37  
Middlesbrough   19   17  -11      -8.34     8.62   -10.41    52.61     7.48   -12.40     0.00     0.01     0.46     0.11P   17.65R    3.17  
Luton           19   17  -15      -3.53    29.68    -5.33    47.41     7.85   -26.83     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   43.89R   14.49  
Wigan           19   16  -14      -5.26    19.43    -6.98    47.25     7.46   -22.72     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   43.73R   12.81  
Stoke           19   14  -13      -8.63     7.30    -8.11    46.68     7.53   -19.37     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P   45.58R   14.18  
Barnsley        19   12  -17      -8.23     8.51    -7.47    41.29     7.74   -29.86     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    73.17R   40.29  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 November 2019, Ipswich 0 0 Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Wycombe              19   40  +14      11.85    97.18    10.76    75.48     7.32    15.75     9.34    20.88    63.29    28.21P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich              17   35  +15       5.27    81.14     5.56    81.46     7.86    29.34    34.49    52.50    86.33    62.03P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         18   31  +17      -0.24    48.00     6.51    75.65     7.66    31.87    12.15    25.65    66.68    36.96P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            18   30  +12       0.05    50.16     3.73    75.35     7.84    27.30    11.70    23.90    64.57    35.50P    0.00R    0.00  
Coventry             18   30   +3       4.38    77.21     1.67    65.17     7.41     2.68     0.63     1.97    15.11     4.43P    0.01R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           17   29  +18       1.65    60.63    11.68    74.14     7.87    30.79     9.60    20.34    59.81    30.20P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       16   29   +9       2.89    69.07     2.65    70.68     7.98    13.97     4.02     9.70    39.70    16.40P    0.00R    0.00  
Blackpool            18   29   +5       2.82    67.96     2.70    66.64     7.47     8.10     1.03     2.96    20.68     6.63P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       17   28   +1       3.99    75.14    -0.16    63.90     7.72    -0.79     0.58     1.69    12.50     3.72P    0.04R    0.00  
Portsmouth           17   27   +8      -2.03    36.25    -1.07    71.47     7.84    19.31     4.76    11.33    44.70    20.57P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           17   26   +5      -3.95    24.72    -5.41    71.81     7.74    18.42     4.87    11.82    45.92    22.43P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           17   24   -3       1.19    58.47    -2.62    59.35     7.51    -5.23     0.08     0.31     4.11     1.00P    0.27R    0.00  
Doncaster            15   23   +7      -0.81    44.13     2.08    70.52     8.17    19.16     4.04     9.92    40.40    17.78P    0.01R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        16   23   +3       0.32    52.63     2.00    69.22     8.02    15.00     2.69     6.92    33.57    13.55P    0.02R    0.00  
Gillingham           18   21   +0      -2.77    32.88     1.33    55.73     7.57    -1.67     0.02     0.08     1.63     0.36P    1.14R    0.01  
Rochdale             19   19  -12      -1.94    38.62    -3.23    45.30     6.96   -25.77     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   15.62R    0.46  
Accrington_Stanley   18   18   -4      -3.77    26.73     0.79    49.90     7.46   -10.11     0.00     0.01     0.21     0.04P    5.37R    0.13  
Lincoln_City         17   18   -4      -1.98    37.58     1.03    52.26     7.85    -7.98     0.00     0.04     0.72     0.17P    3.44R    0.05  
AFC_Wimbledon        18   16   -7      -4.28    23.49    -0.34    46.26     7.29   -15.11     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   12.56R    0.38  
Tranmere             17   16  -11      -0.54    47.62     0.74    43.02     7.61   -27.38     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   27.02R    1.42  
MK_Dons              18   13  -14      -6.73    12.54    -6.32    39.06     7.28   -29.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   47.48R    3.73  
Southend             18    5  -35     -10.81     1.58   -18.99    28.24     6.92   -58.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.44R   43.00  
Bolton               15    1  -27      -0.13    50.95   -15.08    26.80     7.57   -49.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.56R   50.82  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 November 2019, Macclesfield 1 1 Bradford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot1     Bot1

Swindon          19   36  +10       6.16    83.32     4.36    78.02     7.83    17.57    17.64    45.51    81.07    53.96P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     19   35  +11       5.24    79.66     5.57    77.04     7.70    18.46    14.80    41.21    78.32    50.47P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            19   34  +10       5.42    80.12     6.23    74.29     7.84    14.86     8.17    28.11    66.66    36.52P    0.00R    0.00  
Exeter           19   33   +4       4.06    73.97    -0.31    74.58     7.80    10.81     8.46    28.32    66.76    38.00P    0.00R    0.00  
Cheltenham       18   31  +13       4.26    75.34     9.98    71.99     7.96    16.99     5.45    20.55    55.91    28.42P    0.00R    0.00  
Northampton      19   31   +9       1.28    57.78     3.55    71.22     7.86    13.79     4.47    17.45    51.80    26.08P    0.01R    0.01  
Bradford         18   31   +8       0.94    55.78     0.10    78.21     8.22    21.20    20.15    48.02    81.21    57.85P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         18   29   +6      -0.12    49.04    -0.83    76.54     8.20    19.62    14.67    39.90    75.89    50.31P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        19   28   +0       4.30    76.00     3.06    62.04     7.61    -3.90     0.23     1.81    12.00     3.56P    0.24R    0.24  
Colchester       18   27   +6      -0.52    46.82     1.79    70.23     7.99    13.23     3.65    14.88    47.07    23.51P    0.01R    0.01  
Newport_County   17   27   +3       3.62    73.15     2.59    66.78     8.04     3.51     1.41     6.92    29.27    11.64P    0.06R    0.06  
Salford_City     19   25   -5       4.65    78.08     3.92    52.23     7.48   -20.17     0.00     0.08     1.00     0.23P    4.98R    4.98  
Cambridge_Utd    19   24   +4       0.08    51.41     6.65    59.16     7.55     1.79     0.07     0.76     6.87     1.97P    0.58R    0.58  
Macclesfield     19   23   -3       2.18    65.16     4.27    51.77     7.23   -14.61     0.00     0.03     0.72     0.17P    4.78R    4.78  
Mansfield        19   21   +0      -9.22     7.17    -6.25    62.67     7.89     6.80     0.39     2.75    16.13     6.96P    0.23R    0.23  
Scunthorpe       19   21   -1      -8.74     8.74    -6.52    61.77     8.06     4.61     0.28     2.27    14.03     5.84P    0.38R    0.38  
Crawley_Town     19   21   -6      -1.12    43.80     0.05    52.95     7.60   -13.86     0.00     0.08     1.17     0.28P    4.27R    4.27  
Grimsby          17   20   -2      -0.64    46.51     1.40    54.94     7.90    -8.57     0.03     0.27     2.69     0.73P    2.51R    2.51  
Leyton_Orient    19   20   -8      -0.81    46.04     0.36    48.67     7.64   -21.21     0.00     0.02     0.33     0.07P   12.22R   12.22  
Oldham           18   19   -7      -5.29    19.36    -6.44    58.75     8.02    -4.92     0.10     0.76     6.85     2.26P    1.03R    1.03  
Carlisle         19   19  -12      -4.86    22.01    -8.60    53.50     7.73   -15.76     0.01     0.10     1.46     0.38P    4.23R    4.23  
Walsall          19   19  -12      -6.05    17.15   -10.79    55.03     7.81   -12.90     0.01     0.16     2.35     0.68P    2.74R    2.74  
Stevenage        18   14   -9      -8.65     6.63    -6.43    49.37     7.74   -12.74     0.00     0.03     0.43     0.10P    9.87R    9.87  
Morecambe        19   14  -19      -4.65    21.94    -7.69    40.78     7.21   -34.59     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   51.85R   51.85  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 November 2019, Aldershot 2 2 Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barrow             23   44  +18       7.20    84.14    10.22    79.57     7.14    24.01    29.45    82.19    41.76P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley            24   41  +11       4.48    72.31     5.68    75.10     7.03    16.80    10.86    61.63    22.10P    0.01R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors     23   40  +14       1.94    60.24     4.33    77.94     7.16    23.46    21.99    75.98    37.15P    0.01R    0.00  
Yeovil             23   38  +10      -1.66    41.23    -2.12    77.87     7.28    22.56    21.50    75.26    39.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Woking             24   38   +5       6.44    79.94     7.15    67.43     7.15     3.82     1.53    20.71     5.11P    0.52R    0.03  
Halifax            23   38   +4       7.07    84.05     4.67    69.71     6.99     4.42     2.59    29.82     7.68P    0.17R    0.00  
Harrogate_Town     24   37   +3       1.37    57.33    -0.90    69.50     7.06     6.29     2.58    30.13     8.68P    0.22R    0.01  
Stockport          24   35   -6       7.74    85.27     3.07    60.18     6.91   -13.81     0.10     3.50     0.59P    5.96R    0.68  
Boreham_Wood       24   34   +6       0.37    52.43     4.97    65.24     6.89     7.58     0.71    13.64     3.49P    0.98R    0.06  
Torquay            24   34   +1       3.49    67.95     5.62    60.76     7.12    -5.18     0.17     4.86     0.98P    5.21R    0.59  
Notts_County       23   32   +8      -7.49    15.59    -3.96    71.86     7.24    20.63     5.93    45.75    19.35P    0.10R    0.00  
Hartlepool         23   32   +4      -0.10    49.71     3.40    63.94     7.12     4.36     0.48    10.90     2.54P    1.77R    0.15  
Eastleigh          22   32   +0       2.31    63.17     0.99    64.54     7.36    -0.80     0.69    12.12     2.92P    1.97R    0.20  
Dover_Athletic     22   32   -1       1.48    58.75    -1.38    63.88     7.35    -2.79     0.57    10.68     2.67P    2.25R    0.21  
Barnet             23   31   +2      -2.59    36.16    -1.06    64.27     7.09     4.51     0.52    11.41     3.10P    1.52R    0.12  
Dag_&_Red          24   30   -2      -2.55    36.80    -1.38    59.08     6.84    -3.65     0.04     2.55     0.56P    6.99R    0.81  
Maidenhead         24   28   -4      -0.11    50.40     3.52    53.46     6.69   -11.46     0.01     0.33     0.07P   25.63R    5.22  
AFC_Fylde          22   27   -8      -5.18    23.33   -10.84    62.18     7.40    -4.82     0.28     7.15     1.97P    4.20R    0.51  
Aldershot          24   27   -9      -0.26    49.70    -0.63    52.40     6.63   -16.00     0.00     0.19     0.03P   31.62R    6.98  
Sutton_United      23   25   -5      -4.48    26.73    -1.95    54.38     7.05    -8.21     0.01     0.61     0.12P   22.11R    4.54  
Chesterfield       23   23  -12      -7.45    15.36    -9.93    52.00     7.06   -16.32     0.00     0.24     0.06P   34.46R    8.99  
Chorley            24   23  -18       0.56    54.74    -1.92    43.79     6.49   -32.36     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.81R   50.71  
Ebbsfleet_United   24   22  -12      -9.31    10.37    -9.05    50.91     6.96   -14.42     0.00     0.14     0.04P   39.54R   11.14  
Wrexham            23   20   -9     -11.01     5.58    -8.47    51.67     6.96    -8.62     0.00     0.19     0.04P   33.94R    9.04