Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 30 November 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 November 2019, Burnley 0 2 Crystal_Palace; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        14   40  +20       9.78    98.96     1.25    93.69     6.25    55.84    83.32    98.29    99.80    99.98   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         14   29  +23      -3.91    18.07    -2.43    84.07     6.16    62.99    15.16    83.17    96.62    99.39    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        13   29  +23       7.04    92.31    16.84    73.37     7.34    38.78     1.25    13.54    60.10    84.18    97.59     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          14   26   +8       0.93    56.40    -0.99    69.01     7.14    24.03     0.25     4.04    28.83    63.40    91.55     0.00R    0.00  
Tottenham        14   20   +3      -4.73    17.48    -5.53    62.69     7.21    18.29     0.01     0.56     8.37    26.75    71.53     0.02R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    13   19   +2       1.96    65.86     3.58    52.43     7.29     0.11     0.00     0.01     0.44     2.42    17.87     1.01R    0.07  
Sheff_Utd        13   18   +4       2.74    71.44     8.01    48.69     7.40    -2.31     0.00     0.01     0.17     0.98     8.71     3.40R    0.30  
Burnley          14   18   +0       1.01    58.54     3.69    44.44     6.85   -11.59     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.16     2.31     8.66R    0.83  
Arsenal          13   18   -1      -2.97    27.77    -5.70    57.38     7.55     6.39     0.00     0.18     2.43     9.19    41.18     0.22R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   14   18   -5       1.94    65.92     0.09    49.74     7.10    -7.51     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.91     9.15     2.33R    0.18  
Man_Utd          13   17   +4      -4.81    17.31    -1.93    58.49     7.32    14.74     0.00     0.19     2.96    11.86    49.15     0.11R    0.00  
Bournemouth      14   16   -2      -1.01    42.95     2.30    44.22     7.07   -11.46     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.18     2.27     9.93R    1.06  
West_Ham         14   16   -6      -1.32    40.92    -2.48    43.76     7.00   -16.07     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.14     1.98    11.34R    1.32  
Newcastle        14   16   -9       0.58    55.94    -2.76    44.98     6.93   -15.08     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.17     2.59     8.15R    0.70  
Brighton         14   15   -5       0.64    56.61     3.39    40.02     6.77   -17.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.59    23.48R    3.41  
Aston_Villa      13   14   -1      -0.36    47.96     5.97    41.16     7.34   -13.98     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.11     1.27    20.74R    3.50  
Everton          13   14   -7      -4.12    21.10    -7.21    43.66     7.16   -15.34     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.17     2.11    11.64R    1.40  
Southampton      14   12  -17      -0.54    47.44    -4.69    37.07     6.88   -31.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16    42.54R   10.04  
Norwich          13   10  -15      -1.08    42.58    -1.65    31.22     6.83   -40.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    75.12R   35.01  
Watford          14    8  -19      -6.08    10.38    -9.73    29.84     6.49   -38.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.30R   42.16  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 November 2019, Barnsley 3 1 Hull; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United    19   40  +18       7.39    88.00     8.40    86.31     7.68    31.86    31.68    62.79    95.28    72.25P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       18   39  +16       6.36    85.13     3.33    89.23     8.01    34.55    50.11    74.94    97.20    81.68P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          19   35  +12       3.39    69.51     3.46    77.12     8.15    19.57     6.17    18.15    68.46    31.60P    0.00R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   18   32  +10       5.65    82.42     7.40    74.78     7.82    16.54     2.91    10.43    58.36    21.27P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_City    19   32   +4       4.28    74.87     1.67    71.67     7.94     8.04     1.39     5.20    41.39    12.81P    0.06R    0.00  
Preston         18   31   +9       3.60    71.75     4.87    73.12     8.25    14.43     2.65     8.68    49.65    18.30P    0.06R    0.00  
Brentford       19   30  +15      -2.10    36.79     5.86    73.99     7.80    25.48     2.91     9.93    56.05    24.00P    0.01R    0.00  
Swansea         19   30   +4       1.43    58.94     0.29    69.95     7.72     8.44     0.83     3.26    33.10    10.37P    0.11R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       19   29   +8       0.84    55.94     4.77    68.17     7.80    11.24     0.47     2.30    26.70     8.21P    0.22R    0.01  
Cardiff         19   28   +2      -0.55    46.84    -1.71    68.00     8.09     6.45     0.50     2.34    26.10     8.19P    0.32R    0.01  
Blackburn       19   27   -1       1.62    60.37     0.37    62.56     7.82    -3.44     0.07     0.38     8.93     1.95P    1.70R    0.17  
Hull            19   26   +4      -1.31    42.13     2.28    64.22     7.90     5.40     0.18     0.79    13.47     3.59P    1.03R    0.11  
Millwall        19   26   -2       2.58    66.75     1.83    59.74     7.63    -6.67     0.01     0.12     4.39     0.91P    3.51R    0.37  
Derby           19   25   -5      -2.31    36.02    -6.95    63.69     7.81    -2.50     0.10     0.47    11.02     2.91P    1.25R    0.10  
Birmingham      19   25   -5       1.70    61.81    -1.17    58.42     7.64   -10.31     0.02     0.07     2.91     0.62P    5.28R    0.59  
QPR             19   25   -9       3.70    73.03    -0.74    55.73     7.68   -19.96     0.01     0.03     1.41     0.22P   10.83R    1.69  
Charlton        19   23   +0      -0.80    45.87     3.49    57.71     7.92    -3.46     0.01     0.07     3.02     0.64P    6.34R    0.88  
Reading         18   21   -1      -0.52    47.48     3.80    55.53     7.88    -6.72     0.00     0.03     1.65     0.35P   10.44R    1.77  
Huddersfield    19   18   -9      -4.11    26.21    -2.91    48.87     7.68   -17.82     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.02P   34.53R    9.10  
Middlesbrough   19   17  -11      -8.44     8.40   -10.52    52.71     7.49   -12.25     0.00     0.00     0.47     0.10P   17.20R    3.24  
Luton           19   17  -15      -3.59    29.25    -5.38    47.50     7.85   -26.64     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P   43.63R   14.05  
Wigan           19   16  -14      -5.14    20.11    -6.77    46.99     7.47   -23.13     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   45.09R   13.67  
Stoke           19   14  -13      -8.65     7.45    -8.10    46.67     7.62   -19.35     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00P   45.61R   14.47  
Barnsley        19   12  -17      -8.30     8.48    -7.57    41.40     7.72   -29.76     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    72.77R   39.75  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 November 2019, Ipswich 0 0 Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Wycombe              19   40  +14      11.80    97.22    10.66    75.48     7.37    15.77     9.68    21.36    62.97    28.63P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich              17   35  +15       5.38    81.57     5.72    81.30     7.83    29.07    33.75    51.80    85.85    61.43P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         18   31  +17      -0.24    48.23     6.49    75.63     7.61    31.84    12.40    25.07    66.80    36.29P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            18   30  +12      -0.05    49.49     3.62    75.42     7.84    27.40    11.97    24.62    64.86    36.05P    0.00R    0.00  
Coventry             18   30   +3       4.39    77.06     1.65    65.25     7.46     2.81     0.66     1.96    15.52     4.44P    0.02R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           17   29  +18       1.64    60.45    11.61    74.17     7.88    30.84     9.86    20.64    59.62    30.31P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       16   29   +9       2.96    69.51     2.75    70.56     8.02    13.83     3.92     9.54    39.05    16.27P    0.00R    0.00  
Blackpool            18   29   +5       2.82    68.06     2.75    66.62     7.47     8.09     0.92     2.80    20.66     6.44P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       17   28   +1       3.98    75.05    -0.19    63.97     7.73    -0.70     0.48     1.60    12.96     3.69P    0.07R    0.00  
Portsmouth           17   27   +8      -2.11    35.48    -1.20    71.72     7.82    19.66     4.95    11.98    45.87    21.63P    0.00R    0.00  
Sunderland           17   26   +5      -3.96    24.76    -5.40    71.76     7.78    18.35     4.86    11.71    45.72    22.33P    0.01R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           17   24   -3       1.24    58.78    -2.54    59.42     7.54    -5.16     0.06     0.28     4.20     1.04P    0.26R    0.00  
Doncaster            15   23   +7      -0.84    44.02     2.11    70.54     8.11    19.20     3.96     9.89    40.34    17.70P    0.01R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        16   23   +3       0.31    52.62     2.00    69.08     7.95    14.89     2.50     6.64    32.97    13.15P    0.01R    0.00  
Gillingham           18   21   +0      -2.69    33.21     1.44    55.78     7.53    -1.61     0.01     0.06     1.62     0.40P    1.13R    0.01  
Rochdale             19   19  -12      -2.01    38.26    -3.36    45.43     6.99   -25.54     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   15.14R    0.46  
Accrington_Stanley   18   18   -4      -3.85    26.30     0.65    49.98     7.43   -10.00     0.00     0.01     0.25     0.04P    5.20R    0.09  
Lincoln_City         17   18   -4      -1.94    38.08     1.10    52.10     7.87    -8.22     0.00     0.02     0.65     0.14P    3.48R    0.05  
AFC_Wimbledon        18   16   -7      -4.40    23.01    -0.50    46.33     7.29   -14.99     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   12.47R    0.34  
Tranmere             17   16  -11      -0.59    47.23     0.68    43.12     7.54   -27.31     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    26.13R    1.24  
MK_Dons              18   13  -14      -6.55    13.38    -6.10    38.84     7.22   -29.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.11R    3.74  
Southend             18    5  -35     -10.85     1.58   -19.06    28.27     6.88   -58.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.27R   42.29  
Bolton               15    1  -27      -0.05    51.92   -14.86    26.70     7.52   -50.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.69R   51.78  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 November 2019, Macclesfield 1 1 Bradford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot1     Bot1

Swindon          19   36  +10       6.29    83.66     4.59    77.85     7.84    17.24    17.61    45.17    80.58    53.49P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     19   35  +11       5.27    79.70     5.61    77.04     7.74    18.47    14.81    41.45    78.44    50.79P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            19   34  +10       5.49    80.47     6.32    74.16     7.85    14.65     8.35    27.82    65.91    36.28P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           19   33   +4       4.19    74.52    -0.12    74.33     7.74    10.46     7.87    27.32    65.82    36.66P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       18   31  +13       4.32    75.63    10.03    71.94     7.99    16.87     5.42    20.71    55.88    28.64P    0.00R    0.00  
Northampton      19   31   +9       1.23    57.90     3.48    71.30     7.85    13.93     4.53    18.11    52.26    26.53P    0.01R    0.01  
Bradford         18   31   +8       1.04    56.45     0.24    78.00     8.20    20.90    19.61    47.09    80.51    57.04P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         18   29   +6      -0.15    48.92    -0.83    76.56     8.25    19.65    15.10    40.44    75.88    50.88P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        19   28   +0       4.23    75.73     2.95    62.10     7.61    -3.77     0.25     1.77    12.33     3.65P    0.17R    0.17  
Colchester       18   27   +6      -0.58    46.44     1.69    70.28     7.97    13.31     3.83    15.05    47.39    23.64P    0.01R    0.01  
Newport_County   17   27   +3       3.60    73.47     2.54    66.89     8.08     3.63     1.50     7.27    29.80    12.08P    0.05R    0.05  
Salford_City     19   25   -5       4.47    77.00     3.67    52.49     7.52   -19.73     0.01     0.10     1.13     0.24P    4.78R    4.78  
Cambridge_Utd    19   24   +4       0.06    51.12     6.65    59.04     7.58     1.63     0.09     0.83     6.89     2.13P    0.63R    0.63  
Macclesfield     19   23   -3       2.16    64.99     4.18    51.88     7.30   -14.43     0.00     0.05     0.78     0.16P    4.78R    4.78  
Mansfield        19   21   +0      -9.19     7.12    -6.24    62.58     7.83     6.72     0.37     2.58    15.79     6.58P    0.23R    0.23  
Scunthorpe       19   21   -1      -8.89     8.63    -6.73    62.13     8.08     5.10     0.46     2.64    15.01     6.33P    0.33R    0.33  
Crawley_Town     19   21   -6      -1.11    44.01     0.09    52.92     7.54   -13.94     0.01     0.07     1.18     0.29P    4.30R    4.30  
Grimsby          17   20   -2      -0.60    46.91     1.50    54.78     7.91    -8.76     0.03     0.24     2.58     0.68P    2.73R    2.73  
Leyton_Orient    19   20   -8      -0.72    46.66     0.50    48.51     7.66   -21.48     0.00     0.01     0.35     0.07P   12.94R   12.94  
Oldham           18   19   -7      -5.22    19.54    -6.37    58.72     8.11    -4.99     0.12     0.94     7.04     2.50P    1.19R    1.19  
Carlisle         19   19  -12      -4.87    22.01    -8.59    53.55     7.76   -15.73     0.01     0.10     1.53     0.41P    4.24R    4.24  
Walsall          19   19  -12      -6.00    17.21   -10.72    55.04     7.81   -12.89     0.03     0.21     2.41     0.79P    2.68R    2.68  
Stevenage        18   14   -9      -8.66     6.70    -6.47    49.51     7.80   -12.61     0.00     0.03     0.51     0.14P    9.88R    9.88  
Morecambe        19   14  -19      -4.85    20.91    -7.98    40.97     7.24   -34.25     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   51.07R   51.07  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 November 2019, Aldershot 2 2 Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barrow             23   44  +18       7.10    83.62    10.10    79.66     7.17    24.11    29.72    82.18    41.92P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley            24   41  +11       4.48    72.27     5.70    75.06     7.04    16.74    10.97    61.46    22.26P    0.01R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors     23   40  +14       1.85    59.93     4.22    78.04     7.14    23.61    21.79    76.48    37.25P    0.00R    0.00  
Yeovil             23   38  +10      -1.68    40.64    -2.17    77.95     7.26    22.62    21.73    75.72    38.95P    0.01R    0.00  
Woking             24   38   +5       6.37    80.00     7.04    67.51     7.07     3.89     1.40    20.79     4.95P    0.47R    0.03  
Halifax            23   38   +4       7.07    84.11     4.65    69.70     6.99     4.44     2.48    29.85     7.49P    0.18R    0.01  
Harrogate_Town     24   37   +3       1.22    56.60    -1.14    69.70     7.01     6.60     2.61    30.91     8.89P    0.17R    0.00  
Stockport          24   35   -6       7.72    85.12     3.04    60.10     6.94   -13.91     0.10     3.46     0.55P    6.16R    0.64  
Boreham_Wood       24   34   +6       0.45    52.92     5.14    65.11     6.89     7.42     0.61    13.14     3.16P    1.00R    0.07  
Torquay            24   34   +1       3.38    67.34     5.41    60.79     7.17    -5.10     0.17     4.93     1.04P    5.35R    0.60  
Notts_County       23   32   +8      -7.52    15.22    -3.96    71.92     7.24    20.64     5.91    45.96    19.39P    0.15R    0.01  
Hartlepool         23   32   +4      -0.01    50.36     3.53    63.80     7.10     4.16     0.47    10.52     2.65P    1.92R    0.18  
Eastleigh          22   32   +0       2.52    64.30     1.32    64.30     7.27    -1.17     0.53    11.12     2.57P    2.06R    0.18  
Dover_Athletic     22   32   -1       1.34    57.73    -1.54    64.02     7.33    -2.60     0.57    11.04     2.81P    2.23R    0.25  
Barnet             23   31   +2      -2.61    36.13    -1.04    64.22     7.14     4.45     0.58    11.47     3.22P    1.55R    0.14  
Dag_&_Red          24   30   -2      -2.53    37.10    -1.38    58.99     6.84    -3.81     0.06     2.41     0.63P    7.30R    0.78  
Maidenhead         24   28   -4      -0.00    51.16     3.61    53.47     6.64   -11.44     0.00     0.29     0.04P   25.66R    4.97  
AFC_Fylde          22   27   -8      -5.10    23.66   -10.75    62.11     7.39    -4.87     0.30     6.95     1.95P    4.12R    0.50  
Aldershot          24   27   -9      -0.13    50.27    -0.47    52.41     6.61   -15.98     0.00     0.21     0.03P   31.69R    6.74  
Sutton_United      23   25   -5      -4.55    26.38    -2.04    54.43     6.97    -8.09     0.00     0.56     0.09P   21.68R    4.27  
Chesterfield       23   23  -12      -7.62    14.21   -10.23    52.15     7.07   -16.10     0.00     0.26     0.07P   33.76R    8.76  
Chorley            24   23  -18       0.65    55.29    -1.79    43.67     6.46   -32.49     0.00     0.01     0.00    81.41R   51.83  
Ebbsfleet_United   24   22  -12      -9.06    10.58    -8.63    50.80     6.92   -14.71     0.00     0.10     0.02P   40.08R   11.17  
Wrexham            23   20   -9     -11.11     5.35    -8.62    51.82     6.96    -8.42     0.00     0.19     0.06P   33.05R    8.86