Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 29 November 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 25 November 2019, Aston_Villa 2 0 Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        13   37  +19       9.21    98.77     2.06    93.61     6.34    57.72    77.97    97.54    99.69    99.98   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        13   29  +23       7.12    92.40    16.96    73.37     7.33    38.89     1.12    10.38    52.52    82.83    97.51     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         13   28  +23      -2.80    23.56    -1.33    85.66     6.32    65.06    20.31    84.51    96.47    99.47    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          13   26   +9       2.72    70.68     0.60    72.05     7.30    28.09     0.58     6.98    41.04    76.25    95.98     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    13   19   +2       2.04    66.43     3.71    52.27     7.26    -0.11     0.00     0.01     0.31     1.87    17.46     0.89R    0.06  
Sheff_Utd        13   18   +4       2.75    71.35     8.04    48.76     7.31    -2.26     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.69     8.47     2.80R    0.26  
Burnley          13   18   +2       1.95    65.91     5.01    46.84     7.14    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.33     5.28     4.42R    0.36  
Arsenal          13   18   -1      -3.00    27.68    -5.72    57.43     7.49     6.47     0.00     0.11     1.89     7.80    42.06     0.21R    0.01  
Man_Utd          13   17   +4      -4.87    16.93    -2.04    58.47     7.29    14.77     0.00     0.11     2.24     9.81    49.74     0.11R    0.00  
Tottenham        13   17   +2      -5.69    11.82    -5.36    61.81     7.38    18.48     0.01     0.35     5.62    20.12    67.75     0.02R    0.00  
Bournemouth      13   16   -1      -0.25    48.67     2.15    44.58     7.18   -12.25     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.20     2.93     8.59R    1.03  
Brighton         13   15   -4       1.08    60.06     2.59    40.18     6.82   -18.50     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.67    21.44R    3.41  
Crystal_Palace   13   15   -7       0.62    56.39    -1.32    47.41     7.24   -10.64     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.32     5.64     4.47R    0.47  
Newcastle        13   15   -9       0.32    53.56    -3.87    44.02     7.05   -17.28     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10     2.13     9.89R    1.12  
Aston_Villa      13   14   -1      -0.45    47.30     5.84    41.21     7.38   -14.02     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     1.34    19.41R    3.68  
Everton          13   14   -7      -4.08    21.24    -7.17    43.44     7.12   -15.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10     2.04    11.40R    1.53  
West_Ham         13   13   -7      -3.23    26.56    -3.96    40.49     7.11   -20.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.86    21.77R    3.93  
Norwich          13   10  -15      -1.14    42.23    -1.73    31.35     6.82   -40.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    72.83R   34.85  
Southampton      13    9  -18      -1.87    35.44    -5.20    35.62     7.06   -32.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12    48.68R   15.29  
Watford          13    8  -18      -5.05    13.98    -9.27    31.24     6.70   -37.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    73.06R   33.99  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 29 November 2019, Swansea 1 2 Fulham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

West_Brom       18   39  +16       6.37    85.22     3.45    89.34     7.98    34.54    56.03    77.75    97.65    83.87P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    18   37  +14       7.03    87.49     6.24    83.67     7.90    26.19    22.38    50.80    91.30    62.60P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          19   35  +12       3.60    70.65     3.80    77.29     8.07    19.81     7.13    21.22    71.59    34.76P    0.01R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   17   32  +11       6.80    87.28     8.07    76.98     8.11    18.73     6.35    19.19    70.28    31.54P    0.02R    0.00  
Preston         18   31   +9       3.52    71.30     4.78    73.13     8.19    14.48     2.95     9.85    52.44    19.53P    0.07R    0.01  
Swansea         19   30   +4       1.46    58.90     0.29    69.64     7.75     7.99     0.92     3.66    34.00    11.01P    0.17R    0.01  
Bristol_City    18   29   +1       3.87    73.48     0.46    69.40     8.09     4.04     0.91     3.80    33.05    10.26P    0.29R    0.01  
Brentford       18   27   +8      -1.38    41.38     2.52    70.62     8.07    15.82     1.68     5.93    41.22    15.81P    0.16R    0.00  
Hull            18   26   +6      -0.32    48.25     3.62    66.71     8.16     9.21     0.50     2.34    23.74     7.39P    0.71R    0.06  
Sheff_Wed       18   26   +6      -0.28    48.46     3.59    65.84     7.99     8.28     0.33     1.62    20.55     6.19P    0.71R    0.05  
Cardiff         18   25   +1      -1.92    38.27    -2.27    65.77     8.29     4.58     0.43     1.84    20.40     6.45P    1.06R    0.09  
Millwall        18   25   -2       2.70    67.90     1.44    60.08     7.81    -6.60     0.04     0.24     5.59     1.19P    4.30R    0.45  
Blackburn       18   24   -2       0.15    51.51    -0.37    60.48     8.04    -5.00     0.05     0.29     6.89     1.62P    4.27R    0.41  
Derby           18   24   -5      -1.36    41.72    -6.07    64.79     7.98    -1.37     0.20     0.96    15.45     4.25P    1.25R    0.09  
Birmingham      18   24   -5       2.16    64.89    -1.09    59.00     7.84    -9.99     0.03     0.15     4.20     0.91P    6.05R    0.62  
QPR             18   24   -9       3.89    74.65    -1.06    55.25     7.90   -21.28     0.01     0.05     1.72     0.28P   14.56R    2.26  
Charlton        18   23   +2      -0.08    50.43     4.45    59.80     8.13    -0.24     0.03     0.25     6.40     1.53P    4.95R    0.52  
Reading         17   18   -3      -1.66    39.61     2.45    52.67     7.97   -10.42     0.01     0.02     0.88     0.16P   21.55R    4.13  
Huddersfield    18   18   -6      -3.71    27.76    -1.70    50.59     7.85   -13.89     0.00     0.01     0.45     0.10P   30.21R    5.98  
Middlesbrough   18   17   -7      -8.35     7.93    -8.33    54.79     7.64    -7.15     0.00     0.03     1.29     0.38P   13.40R    1.74  
Luton           18   17   -8      -4.38    24.82    -2.33    50.39     8.18   -16.69     0.01     0.02     0.52     0.10P   32.52R    7.43  
Wigan           18   16  -12      -4.29    23.86    -5.73    49.12     7.66   -19.72     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P   37.86R    8.50  
Stoke           18   14  -12      -7.46    10.23    -7.50    48.38     7.76   -17.79     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P   41.09R    9.85  
Barnsley        18    9  -19      -9.32     4.83    -8.73    38.53     7.88   -33.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.79R   57.79  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 November 2019, Ipswich 0 0 Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Wycombe              19   40  +14      11.87    97.19    10.70    75.52     7.39    15.85     9.79    21.26    63.35    28.43P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich              17   35  +15       5.34    81.37     5.62    81.36     7.85    29.20    33.79    51.96    85.88    61.13P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         18   31  +17      -0.15    48.79     6.65    75.53     7.59    31.64    11.89    24.85    66.13    36.11P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            18   30  +12       0.01    49.90     3.72    75.35     7.87    27.26    11.74    24.30    64.44    35.85P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             18   30   +3       4.55    77.88     1.89    65.02     7.42     2.46     0.60     1.89    14.53     4.20P    0.01R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           17   29  +18       1.62    60.24    11.63    74.14     7.87    30.75     9.62    20.12    59.44    29.87P    0.00R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       16   29   +9       2.98    69.78     2.79    70.52     8.03    13.78     3.99     9.58    38.71    16.19P    0.00R    0.00  
Blackpool            18   29   +5       2.76    67.34     2.62    66.70     7.49     8.23     1.02     3.08    20.88     6.85P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       17   28   +1       4.03    75.19    -0.09    63.91     7.73    -0.82     0.56     1.67    12.46     3.68P    0.05R    0.00  
Portsmouth           17   27   +8      -2.00    36.56    -1.03    71.59     7.84    19.48     5.00    11.68    45.26    21.03P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           17   26   +5      -4.05    24.20    -5.54    71.86     7.74    18.48     4.86    11.68    46.52    22.48P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           17   24   -3       1.07    57.87    -2.75    59.57     7.63    -4.85     0.10     0.38     4.63     1.21P    0.25R    0.00  
Doncaster            15   23   +7      -0.89    43.51     2.00    70.77     8.21    19.52     4.52    10.55    41.54    18.76P    0.01R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        16   23   +3       0.29    52.47     1.95    69.20     7.94    15.00     2.51     6.87    33.49    13.61P    0.00R    0.00  
Gillingham           18   21   +0      -2.82    32.53     1.24    55.92     7.53    -1.42     0.02     0.08     1.76     0.38P    1.03R    0.01  
Rochdale             19   19  -12      -1.92    38.66    -3.25    45.27     7.02   -25.80     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   15.86R    0.47  
Accrington_Stanley   18   18   -4      -3.72    27.04     0.83    49.85     7.40   -10.23     0.00     0.01     0.23     0.04P    5.34R    0.09  
Lincoln_City         17   18   -4      -2.08    37.03     0.93    52.24     7.82    -7.96     0.00     0.03     0.66     0.15P    3.42R    0.07  
AFC_Wimbledon        18   16   -7      -4.38    22.91    -0.44    46.36     7.29   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.02P   12.04R    0.38  
Tranmere             17   16  -11      -0.52    47.92     0.82    42.89     7.61   -27.65     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   27.53R    1.42  
MK_Dons              18   13  -14      -6.68    12.70    -6.30    39.08     7.25   -29.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.53R    3.56  
Southend             18    5  -35     -10.79     1.55   -18.98    28.20     6.91   -58.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.16R   42.55  
Bolton               15    1  -27      -0.14    50.93   -15.02    26.65     7.48   -50.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.74R   51.45  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 November 2019, Forest_Green 0 0 Crewe; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot1     Bot1

Swindon          19   36  +10       6.10    82.99     4.30    78.20     7.85    17.79    17.80    46.13    81.65    54.61P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     19   35  +11       5.34    80.16     5.68    76.94     7.75    18.33    14.28    39.93    77.82    49.37P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            19   34  +10       5.53    80.77     6.38    74.06     7.84    14.52     7.54    27.02    65.31    35.39P    0.00R    0.00  
Exeter           19   33   +4       4.17    74.57    -0.13    74.48     7.69    10.65     7.63    27.46    66.45    37.20P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       18   31  +13       4.37    75.81    10.11    71.89     8.03    16.84     5.14    20.03    55.91    27.96P    0.01R    0.01  
Northampton      19   31   +9       1.27    57.90     3.58    71.17     7.81    13.73     4.01    17.13    51.67    25.79P    0.01R    0.01  
Bradford         17   30   +8       1.58    60.09     0.53    79.18     8.42    22.00    23.42    52.25    83.35    61.43P    0.00R    0.00  
Plymouth         18   29   +6      -0.09    49.59    -0.74    76.43     8.35    19.46    14.11    39.25    75.01    49.99P    0.00R    0.00  
Port_Vale        19   28   +0       4.23    75.67     2.98    62.03     7.54    -3.89     0.22     1.65    11.68     3.40P    0.23R    0.23  
Colchester       18   27   +6      -0.61    46.22     1.64    70.30     7.96    13.37     3.51    14.79    47.40    23.66P    0.01R    0.01  
Newport_County   17   27   +3       3.56    73.08     2.49    66.87     8.01     3.58     1.37     6.85    29.50    11.64P    0.04R    0.04  
Salford_City     19   25   -5       4.47    76.94     3.66    52.43     7.51   -19.83     0.01     0.08     1.13     0.20P    4.83R    4.83  
Cambridge_Utd    19   24   +4       0.06    51.07     6.64    59.21     7.56     1.88     0.07     0.81     7.07     2.05P    0.54R    0.54  
Macclesfield     18   22   -3       2.13    65.21     3.68    51.73     7.47   -15.19     0.01     0.07     0.84     0.18P    5.27R    5.27  
Mansfield        19   21   +0      -9.21     7.23    -6.27    62.70     7.79     6.90     0.35     2.58    15.78     6.59P    0.22R    0.22  
Scunthorpe       19   21   -1      -8.74     9.08    -6.54    61.96     8.10     4.87     0.38     2.47    14.54     6.11P    0.33R    0.33  
Crawley_Town     19   21   -6      -1.09    43.87     0.09    52.93     7.62   -13.92     0.01     0.08     1.21     0.29P    4.23R    4.23  
Grimsby          17   20   -2      -0.58    46.88     1.51    54.69     7.96    -8.90     0.03     0.27     2.58     0.70P    2.85R    2.85  
Leyton_Orient    19   20   -8      -0.73    46.61     0.48    48.53     7.60   -21.40     0.00     0.01     0.32     0.07P   12.39R   12.39  
Oldham           18   19   -7      -5.25    19.50    -6.40    58.63     8.04    -5.08     0.10     0.82     6.69     2.22P    1.04R    1.04  
Carlisle         19   19  -12      -4.87    21.82    -8.59    53.53     7.68   -15.77     0.00     0.08     1.39     0.37P    4.26R    4.26  
Walsall          19   19  -12      -5.92    17.65   -10.62    54.93     7.80   -13.07     0.01     0.20     2.20     0.64P    2.80R    2.80  
Stevenage        18   14   -9      -8.69     6.72    -6.50    49.48     7.80   -12.58     0.00     0.04     0.49     0.14P    9.68R    9.68  
Morecambe        19   14  -19      -4.79    21.26    -7.96    40.95     7.21   -34.28     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   51.27R   51.27  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 November 2019, Barnet 5 2 Ebbsfleet_United; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barrow             22   41  +14       6.98    84.05     8.34    77.02     7.39    18.60    18.34    69.07    29.72P    0.01R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors     23   40  +14       1.87    60.11     4.23    77.89     7.07    23.38    22.07    74.83    37.08P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley            23   40  +11       4.65    73.64     5.37    75.47     7.24    16.76    13.48    61.70    24.15P    0.02R    0.00  
Woking             23   38   +6       7.29    83.50     7.43    69.14     7.34     5.21     2.71    27.28     7.41P    0.29R    0.01  
Halifax            23   38   +4       7.32    85.07     5.04    69.66     6.96     4.35     2.58    28.39     7.42P    0.13R    0.01  
Yeovil             22   37  +10      -1.27    42.63    -2.15    78.35     7.45    22.72    25.11    75.36    41.49P    0.01R    0.00  
Harrogate_Town     23   37   +5       2.15    61.69     0.17    71.78     7.20     9.68     5.35    40.74    13.46P    0.09R    0.00  
Torquay            23   34   +5       3.43    67.81     7.11    63.96     7.42     1.96     0.68    10.91     2.61P    1.99R    0.14  
Notts_County       23   32   +8      -7.72    14.57    -4.30    71.98     7.22    20.76     6.35    44.93    19.51P    0.10R    0.00  
Hartlepool         23   32   +4      -0.20    49.34     3.28    63.98     7.15     4.35     0.55    10.35     2.72P    1.53R    0.10  
Eastleigh          22   32   +0       2.56    64.64     1.41    64.34     7.30    -1.11     0.59    10.67     2.54P    1.77R    0.11  
Dover_Athletic     22   32   -1       1.49    58.67    -1.36    64.02     7.32    -2.56     0.66    10.46     2.69P    1.80R    0.12  
Stockport          23   32  -10       7.86    86.75     1.63    56.45     6.95   -21.00     0.02     1.02     0.16P   14.71R    1.81  
Boreham_Wood       23   31   +5      -0.96    45.17     4.48    63.59     7.08     6.55     0.40     9.26     2.29P    1.58R    0.12  
Barnet             23   31   +2      -2.66    35.78    -1.13    64.22     7.11     4.42     0.50    10.84     3.04P    1.35R    0.10  
Dag_&_Red          23   30   -1      -1.22    43.69    -0.42    61.05     7.07    -1.82     0.19     4.56     1.09P    4.13R    0.34  
Maidenhead         23   28   +0      -0.04    50.67     5.46    55.49     6.93    -6.40     0.03     0.90     0.19P   15.79R    2.00  
AFC_Fylde          22   27   -8      -5.24    23.14   -10.91    62.41     7.50    -4.42     0.38     7.43     2.15P    3.55R    0.32  
Aldershot          23   26   -9       0.17    52.01    -0.66    52.70     6.80   -16.06     0.00     0.23     0.03P   28.56R    4.85  
Sutton_United      22   22   -7      -5.74    20.26    -3.39    52.14     7.14   -11.13     0.00     0.27     0.05P   31.18R    6.07  
Chesterfield       22   22  -12      -6.98    15.89    -9.83    52.38     7.25   -16.28     0.01     0.34     0.08P   31.40R    6.29  
Wrexham            22   20   -8     -10.07     6.87    -8.07    53.53     7.18    -6.89     0.01     0.41     0.11P   23.55R    4.42  
Chorley            23   20  -19      -0.98    45.96    -2.54    41.30     6.69   -34.86     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.02R   59.99  
Ebbsfleet_United   23   19  -13     -10.41     7.03    -9.21    48.82     7.11   -16.23     0.00     0.05     0.02P   49.45R   13.21