Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 28 November 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 25 November 2019, Aston_Villa 2 0 Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        13   37  +19       9.17    98.74     2.00    93.62     6.31    57.81    78.00    97.51    99.68    99.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        13   29  +23       7.03    92.26    16.79    73.45     7.31    39.02     1.12    10.40    52.59    83.11    97.66     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         13   28  +23      -2.83    23.14    -1.49    85.78     6.26    65.39    20.29    84.62    96.60    99.51    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          13   26   +9       2.59    69.76     0.41    72.13     7.28    28.25     0.59     6.88    40.93    76.30    95.94     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    13   19   +2       2.06    66.64     3.75    52.20     7.30    -0.21     0.00     0.02     0.30     1.80    17.39     0.95R    0.07  
Sheff_Utd        13   18   +4       2.78    71.68     8.10    48.80     7.35    -2.26     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.68     8.84     2.91R    0.24  
Burnley          13   18   +2       2.03    66.50     5.17    46.65     7.15    -8.30     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.33     5.10     4.78R    0.43  
Arsenal          13   18   -1      -3.01    27.41    -5.73    57.36     7.51     6.29     0.00     0.10     1.78     7.74    41.75     0.15R    0.01  
Man_Utd          13   17   +4      -4.83    17.17    -2.00    58.47     7.26    14.73     0.00     0.10     2.05     9.44    49.97     0.10R    0.01  
Tottenham        13   17   +2      -5.68    11.86    -5.39    61.84     7.43    18.52     0.01     0.36     5.86    20.25    67.66     0.03R    0.01  
Bournemouth      13   16   -1      -0.40    47.63     1.97    44.73     7.19   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.18     3.14     8.39R    0.97  
Brighton         13   15   -4       1.13    60.95     2.74    40.15     6.82   -18.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.61    21.90R    3.50  
Crystal_Palace   13   15   -7       0.64    56.68    -1.30    47.36     7.30   -10.71     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.38     5.64     4.85R    0.54  
Newcastle        13   15   -9       0.34    53.95    -3.83    44.05     7.08   -17.28     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10     2.19     9.85R    1.17  
Aston_Villa      13   14   -1      -0.39    47.93     5.96    41.08     7.38   -14.26     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09     1.26    19.77R    3.84  
Everton          13   14   -7      -4.05    21.34    -7.11    43.37     7.08   -15.89     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     1.89    11.42R    1.52  
West_Ham         13   13   -7      -3.21    26.62    -3.93    40.49     7.08   -20.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.81    21.65R    4.00  
Norwich          13   10  -15      -1.22    41.74    -1.88    31.59     6.90   -40.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    71.39R   33.60  
Southampton      13    9  -18      -1.82    36.04    -5.03    35.50     7.02   -32.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10    49.46R   16.05  
Watford          13    8  -18      -5.02    14.40    -9.19    31.35     6.77   -37.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    72.39R   34.04  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 27 November 2019, Blackburn 1 0 Brentford; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

West_Brom       18   39  +16       6.38    85.40     3.48    89.21     8.07    34.37    55.97    77.76    97.42    83.77P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    18   37  +14       7.07    87.64     6.31    83.69     7.91    26.21    23.20    51.78    91.40    63.28P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          18   32  +11       2.11    62.68     3.03    75.17     8.35    18.06     5.21    16.05    61.97    28.63P    0.04R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   17   32  +11       6.96    87.91     8.31    76.72     8.17    18.39     6.25    19.05    68.83    30.79P    0.01R    0.00  
Preston         18   31   +9       3.58    71.57     4.85    73.05     8.24    14.40     3.26    10.04    52.08    19.93P    0.09R    0.00  
Swansea         18   30   +5       2.60    66.16     0.96    71.61     7.99     9.85     1.80     6.71    44.19    15.83P    0.11R    0.00  
Bristol_City    18   29   +1       3.76    73.27     0.28    69.66     8.10     4.43     1.05     4.36    34.17    10.83P    0.31R    0.01  
Brentford       18   27   +8      -1.32    41.69     2.57    70.53     8.05    15.70     1.49     5.78    40.85    15.49P    0.13R    0.00  
Hull            18   26   +6      -0.36    47.94     3.56    66.69     8.16     9.15     0.57     2.43    23.93     7.46P    0.69R    0.06  
Sheff_Wed       18   26   +6      -0.31    48.32     3.50    65.85     7.99     8.31     0.32     1.67    20.40     6.03P    0.72R    0.03  
Cardiff         18   25   +1      -1.95    38.09    -2.27    65.82     8.26     4.68     0.50     2.00    20.74     6.80P    0.93R    0.06  
Millwall        18   25   -2       2.85    68.97     1.63    59.91     7.80    -6.88     0.05     0.27     5.38     1.22P    4.53R    0.44  
Blackburn       18   24   -2       0.15    51.75    -0.35    60.41     8.00    -5.16     0.05     0.31     6.53     1.58P    4.39R    0.38  
Derby           18   24   -5      -1.46    40.97    -6.22    64.90     8.04    -1.21     0.19     1.12    16.18     4.74P    1.20R    0.09  
Birmingham      18   24   -5       2.18    64.73    -1.08    59.04     7.86    -9.92     0.03     0.18     4.28     0.93P    5.88R    0.60  
QPR             18   24   -9       3.81    74.22    -1.25    55.40     7.83   -21.03     0.01     0.07     1.69     0.30P   13.99R    1.94  
Charlton        18   23   +2      -0.02    50.73     4.52    59.76     8.15    -0.30     0.06     0.33     6.33     1.55P    5.15R    0.54  
Reading         17   18   -3      -1.69    39.49     2.44    52.65     8.02   -10.40     0.00     0.02     0.96     0.18P   22.01R    4.19  
Huddersfield    18   18   -6      -3.87    26.75    -1.92    50.80     7.91   -13.61     0.00     0.01     0.49     0.13P   29.46R    5.98  
Middlesbrough   18   17   -7      -8.27     8.09    -8.19    54.60     7.70    -7.38     0.01     0.04     1.23     0.35P   13.95R    2.00  
Luton           18   17   -8      -4.29    25.20    -2.22    50.31     8.15   -16.79     0.00     0.01     0.55     0.11P   33.11R    7.45  
Wigan           18   16  -12      -4.32    23.61    -5.76    49.21     7.70   -19.55     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.03P   37.72R    8.58  
Stoke           18   14  -12      -7.45    10.20    -7.48    48.36     7.75   -17.81     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.03P   41.15R    9.82  
Barnsley        18    9  -19      -9.30     4.89    -8.72    38.56     7.96   -33.53     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   84.43R   57.82  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 November 2019, Ipswich 0 0 Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Wycombe              19   40  +14      11.91    97.19    10.79    75.41     7.36    15.67     9.66    20.89    62.63    27.83P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich              17   35  +15       5.37    81.57     5.70    81.25     7.78    29.03    33.24    51.60    85.91    61.20P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         18   31  +17      -0.17    48.51     6.61    75.52     7.64    31.65    11.92    24.90    66.16    36.29P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            18   30  +12       0.13    50.61     3.88    75.15     7.83    26.95    11.47    23.67    63.77    34.90P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             18   30   +3       4.43    77.33     1.74    65.16     7.50     2.71     0.69     1.96    15.34     4.44P    0.02R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           17   29  +18       1.55    59.84    11.49    74.35     7.83    31.15    10.15    21.08    60.62    30.94P    0.00R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       16   29   +9       2.91    69.62     2.66    70.63     8.08    13.91     4.19     9.89    39.41    16.47P    0.00R    0.00  
Blackpool            18   29   +5       2.67    66.91     2.55    66.67     7.44     8.19     1.01     2.95    20.65     6.79P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       17   28   +1       4.09    75.71    -0.03    63.79     7.70    -0.94     0.52     1.58    12.21     3.61P    0.05R    0.00  
Portsmouth           17   27   +8      -2.11    35.51    -1.18    71.78     7.83    19.73     5.31    12.33    46.13    21.89P    0.00R    0.00  
Sunderland           17   26   +5      -3.98    24.36    -5.42    71.73     7.81    18.31     4.71    11.53    45.87    22.11P    0.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           17   24   -3       1.04    57.58    -2.81    59.67     7.56    -4.78     0.10     0.38     4.62     1.26P    0.24R    0.00  
Doncaster            15   23   +7      -0.83    44.25     2.09    70.59     8.18    19.23     4.33    10.05    40.56    18.04P    0.00R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        16   23   +3       0.26    52.44     1.91    69.28     7.98    15.10     2.68     7.08    33.50    13.61P    0.01R    0.00  
Gillingham           18   21   +0      -2.75    32.82     1.34    55.84     7.49    -1.51     0.01     0.09     1.66     0.41P    1.01R    0.01  
Rochdale             19   19  -12      -1.86    39.32    -3.16    45.23     6.99   -25.86     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   15.72R    0.46  
Accrington_Stanley   18   18   -4      -3.69    27.52     0.88    49.78     7.39   -10.31     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.03P    5.44R    0.10  
Lincoln_City         17   18   -4      -2.03    37.11     0.94    52.30     7.80    -7.89     0.01     0.03     0.67     0.15P    3.37R    0.07  
AFC_Wimbledon        18   16   -7      -4.32    23.41    -0.34    46.29     7.32   -15.07     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   12.70R    0.46  
Tranmere             17   16  -11      -0.64    47.15     0.61    43.13     7.53   -27.22     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   25.93R    1.31  
MK_Dons              18   13  -14      -6.65    12.89    -6.25    38.94     7.20   -29.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.60R    3.64  
Southend             18    5  -35     -10.74     1.74   -18.90    28.15     6.89   -58.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.40R   43.17  
Bolton               15    1  -27      -0.18    50.56   -15.08    26.78     7.56   -49.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.50R   50.78  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 November 2019, Forest_Green 0 0 Crewe; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot1     Bot1

Swindon          19   36  +10       6.23    83.51     4.54    78.03     7.84    17.52    17.44    45.22    81.20    53.78P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     19   35  +11       5.30    80.17     5.61    77.06     7.72    18.48    14.39    40.56    78.10    50.02P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            19   34  +10       5.46    80.35     6.27    74.22     7.79    14.73     7.77    27.20    66.02    35.88P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           19   33   +4       4.22    75.10    -0.09    74.33     7.72    10.43     7.31    26.63    65.31    36.28P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       18   31  +13       4.37    75.90    10.09    71.88     7.99    16.76     5.16    19.92    55.67    27.79P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      19   31   +9       1.33    58.49     3.61    71.18     7.85    13.76     4.24    17.24    51.63    25.67P    0.00R    0.00  
Bradford         17   30   +8       1.60    59.97     0.52    79.17     8.39    22.03    23.25    52.05    83.39    61.27P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         18   29   +6      -0.20    48.61    -0.88    76.59     8.20    19.65    14.32    39.90    75.69    50.51P    0.00R    0.00  
Port_Vale        19   28   +0       4.32    76.14     3.08    61.98     7.54    -4.00     0.19     1.60    11.49     3.41P    0.20R    0.20  
Colchester       18   27   +6      -0.72    45.42     1.53    70.51     7.99    13.62     3.70    15.50    48.38    24.54P    0.01R    0.01  
Newport_County   17   27   +3       3.63    73.42     2.55    66.86     8.04     3.62     1.30     6.90    29.40    11.61P    0.05R    0.05  
Salford_City     19   25   -5       4.61    77.56     3.84    52.29     7.51   -20.10     0.00     0.08     1.04     0.21P    5.05R    5.05  
Cambridge_Utd    19   24   +4       0.05    51.10     6.58    59.14     7.57     1.82     0.09     0.77     6.78     2.04P    0.64R    0.64  
Macclesfield     18   22   -3       2.34    66.62     3.96    51.42     7.40   -15.64     0.00     0.06     0.69     0.17P    5.66R    5.66  
Mansfield        19   21   +0      -9.23     7.06    -6.26    62.66     7.83     6.85     0.40     2.53    15.64     6.48P    0.22R    0.22  
Scunthorpe       19   21   -1      -8.81     8.79    -6.63    61.97     8.07     4.91     0.30     2.29    14.34     5.80P    0.37R    0.37  
Crawley_Town     19   21   -6      -1.22    43.46    -0.10    53.07     7.61   -13.67     0.01     0.09     1.24     0.28P    4.12R    4.12  
Grimsby          17   20   -2      -0.58    46.87     1.54    54.73     7.92    -8.82     0.03     0.23     2.51     0.64P    2.77R    2.77  
Leyton_Orient    19   20   -8      -0.76    46.37     0.45    48.51     7.61   -21.46     0.00     0.03     0.38     0.09P   12.28R   12.28  
Oldham           18   19   -7      -5.45    18.28    -6.67    58.93     7.99    -4.67     0.08     0.90     6.90     2.30P    0.98R    0.98  
Carlisle         19   19  -12      -4.72    22.64    -8.38    53.29     7.70   -16.08     0.01     0.11     1.33     0.37P    4.35R    4.35  
Walsall          19   19  -12      -6.03    17.04   -10.77    55.12     7.77   -12.79     0.01     0.18     2.40     0.72P    2.62R    2.62  
Stevenage        18   14   -9      -8.68     6.74    -6.46    49.46     7.79   -12.63     0.00     0.02     0.45     0.11P    9.84R    9.84  
Morecambe        19   14  -19      -4.80    21.03    -7.92    40.93     7.27   -34.31     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   50.82R   50.82  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 November 2019, Barnet 5 2 Ebbsfleet_United; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barrow             22   41  +14       6.94    83.69     8.30    77.14     7.44    18.73    19.33    69.55    30.55P    0.01R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors     23   40  +14       1.77    59.60     4.11    77.90     7.13    23.39    22.22    74.86    37.17P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley            23   40  +11       4.88    74.85     5.72    75.15     7.26    16.28    12.31    60.32    23.17P    0.02R    0.00  
Woking             23   38   +6       7.28    83.53     7.45    69.02     7.37     5.08     2.78    27.08     7.16P    0.33R    0.01  
Halifax            23   38   +4       7.16    84.60     4.81    69.84     6.99     4.58     2.88    29.53     7.93P    0.13R    0.00  
Yeovil             22   37  +10      -1.26    42.57    -2.12    78.30     7.53    22.60    25.07    75.44    41.63P    0.01R    0.00  
Harrogate_Town     23   37   +5       2.21    62.01     0.25    71.74     7.24     9.66     5.29    40.94    13.59P    0.11R    0.00  
Torquay            23   34   +5       3.29    67.35     6.85    64.13     7.44     2.22     0.86    11.55     2.78P    1.83R    0.14  
Notts_County       23   32   +8      -7.50    15.18    -3.96    71.79     7.19    20.46     5.81    43.98    18.96P    0.10R    0.01  
Hartlepool         23   32   +4      -0.06    50.04     3.49    63.79     7.13     4.09     0.54    10.18     2.54P    1.71R    0.08  
Eastleigh          22   32   +0       2.53    64.43     1.35    64.39     7.30    -0.98     0.66    11.12     2.72P    1.77R    0.11  
Dover_Athletic     22   32   -1       1.49    58.74    -1.39    64.11     7.35    -2.44     0.68    10.52     2.63P    1.90R    0.10  
Stockport          23   32  -10       7.71    86.23     1.40    56.58     7.01   -20.77     0.02     1.22     0.19P   14.42R    1.76  
Boreham_Wood       23   31   +5      -0.86    45.46     4.63    63.52     7.08     6.44     0.45     9.19     2.48P    1.71R    0.10  
Barnet             23   31   +2      -2.59    36.13    -1.01    64.19     7.03     4.45     0.53    10.45     2.83P    1.29R    0.07  
Dag_&_Red          23   30   -1      -1.32    43.21    -0.60    61.18     7.05    -1.61     0.17     4.81     1.15P    3.90R    0.25  
Maidenhead         23   28   +0      -0.08    50.32     5.34    55.59     6.88    -6.25     0.01     0.79     0.13P   15.31R    1.90  
AFC_Fylde          22   27   -8      -5.09    23.76   -10.73    62.34     7.44    -4.59     0.36     7.12     2.09P    3.60R    0.34  
Aldershot          23   26   -9       0.23    52.63    -0.53    52.54     6.79   -16.28     0.00     0.22     0.03P   29.72R    5.09  
Sutton_United      22   22   -7      -5.80    20.15    -3.48    52.12     7.19   -11.11     0.01     0.30     0.06P   31.30R    5.84  
Chesterfield       22   22  -12      -7.07    15.70   -10.01    52.49     7.28   -16.11     0.01     0.32     0.06P   30.87R    6.14  
Wrexham            22   20   -8     -10.21     6.61    -8.24    53.71     7.16    -6.67     0.01     0.46     0.13P   23.07R    4.19  
Chorley            23   20  -19      -0.76    47.12    -2.16    41.08     6.60   -35.14     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.01R   61.01  
Ebbsfleet_United   23   19  -13     -10.58     6.92    -9.49    48.93     7.16   -16.04     0.00     0.08     0.01P   48.87R   12.87