Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 27 November 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 25 November 2019, Aston_Villa 2 0 Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        13   37  +19       9.19    98.69     2.03    93.62     6.33    57.75    78.15    97.55    99.68    99.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        13   29  +23       7.04    92.30    16.83    73.45     7.35    38.98     1.15    10.66    52.58    83.00    97.56     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         13   28  +23      -2.76    23.84    -1.30    85.66     6.31    65.05    20.07    84.49    96.58    99.49    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          13   26   +9       2.70    70.51     0.55    72.09     7.30    28.08     0.62     6.71    40.87    76.03    95.92     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    13   19   +2       2.03    66.50     3.70    52.29     7.33    -0.10     0.00     0.01     0.30     1.94    17.86     0.87R    0.05  
Sheff_Utd        13   18   +4       2.74    71.48     8.02    48.81     7.34    -2.17     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.68     8.72     2.85R    0.27  
Burnley          13   18   +2       1.97    66.25     5.10    46.70     7.05    -8.21     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.28     4.94     4.40R    0.40  
Arsenal          13   18   -1      -3.06    27.11    -5.78    57.51     7.51     6.59     0.00     0.11     1.82     7.94    42.53     0.18R    0.01  
Man_Utd          13   17   +4      -4.85    17.34    -2.00    58.47     7.26    14.74     0.01     0.14     2.23     9.60    49.58     0.05R    0.00  
Tottenham        13   17   +2      -5.70    11.86    -5.43    61.82     7.39    18.49     0.01     0.33     5.69    20.12    67.81     0.02R    0.00  
Bournemouth      13   16   -1      -0.31    48.33     2.06    44.64     7.15   -12.12     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.19     2.87     8.54R    1.01  
Brighton         13   15   -4       1.14    60.65     2.70    40.06     6.78   -18.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.57    22.04R    3.61  
Crystal_Palace   13   15   -7       0.68    56.86    -1.23    47.26     7.26   -10.87     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.39     5.37     4.84R    0.50  
Newcastle        13   15   -9       0.38    54.56    -3.77    43.92     6.98   -17.43     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10     1.77    10.06R    1.22  
Aston_Villa      13   14   -1      -0.50    47.09     5.80    41.24     7.40   -13.95     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.11     1.40    19.42R    3.49  
Everton          13   14   -7      -4.11    21.27    -7.19    43.50     7.16   -15.71     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.11     2.13    11.44R    1.38  
West_Ham         13   13   -7      -3.18    27.09    -3.91    40.46     7.09   -20.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.77    22.05R    4.00  
Norwich          13   10  -15      -1.16    42.10    -1.79    31.44     6.93   -40.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    72.19R   34.73  
Southampton      13    9  -18      -1.81    36.20    -5.08    35.66     7.15   -32.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16    48.71R   15.70  
Watford          13    8  -18      -5.09    13.99    -9.32    31.39     6.76   -37.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    72.33R   33.64  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 27 November 2019, Blackburn 1 0 Brentford; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

West_Brom       18   39  +16       6.38    85.32     3.45    89.34     8.05    34.55    56.70    78.43    97.62    84.55P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    18   37  +14       7.06    87.73     6.26    83.70     7.86    26.26    22.94    51.99    91.41    63.10P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          18   32  +11       2.05    62.20     2.96    75.17     8.34    18.06     5.10    15.54    62.19    28.31P    0.03R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   17   32  +11       6.91    87.63     8.23    76.82     8.11    18.57     6.20    19.21    69.63    31.36P    0.02R    0.00  
Preston         18   31   +9       3.53    71.65     4.77    73.07     8.15    14.42     2.93     9.92    52.15    19.91P    0.05R    0.00  
Swansea         18   30   +5       2.68    66.70     1.10    71.50     7.98     9.68     1.72     6.47    43.33    15.22P    0.11R    0.00  
Bristol_City    18   29   +1       3.81    73.07     0.40    69.49     8.13     4.21     1.02     4.04    33.50    10.40P    0.27R    0.01  
Brentford       18   27   +8      -1.40    40.89     2.45    70.72     8.07    16.01     1.66     6.04    41.79    16.05P    0.13R    0.01  
Hull            18   26   +6      -0.31    48.27     3.58    66.67     8.13     9.14     0.55     2.44    23.60     7.47P    0.67R    0.06  
Sheff_Wed       18   26   +6      -0.27    48.58     3.59    65.71     7.93     8.13     0.28     1.60    19.99     6.02P    0.79R    0.04  
Cardiff         18   25   +1      -1.87    38.72    -2.19    65.66     8.30     4.48     0.46     1.91    20.10     6.42P    1.14R    0.08  
Millwall        18   25   -2       2.79    68.41     1.60    59.89     7.82    -6.90     0.03     0.21     5.61     1.21P    4.58R    0.44  
Blackburn       18   24   -2       0.25    52.39    -0.19    60.24     8.03    -5.43     0.06     0.35     6.47     1.49P    4.50R    0.41  
Derby           18   24   -5      -1.44    40.95    -6.19    65.07     8.03    -1.02     0.23     1.22    16.65     4.91P    1.27R    0.09  
Birmingham      18   24   -5       2.13    64.57    -1.15    58.99     7.87    -9.94     0.03     0.16     4.29     0.91P    6.10R    0.54  
QPR             18   24   -9       3.89    74.82    -1.12    55.27     7.84   -21.27     0.01     0.04     1.72     0.27P   14.15R    2.07  
Charlton        18   23   +2      -0.11    49.82     4.39    59.89     8.11    -0.10     0.07     0.34     6.41     1.60P    4.81R    0.47  
Reading         17   18   -3      -1.74    38.80     2.31    52.83     7.96   -10.16     0.01     0.02     0.94     0.16P   21.39R    3.86  
Huddersfield    18   18   -6      -3.88    26.70    -1.95    50.84     7.89   -13.58     0.00     0.02     0.48     0.09P   28.99R    5.85  
Middlesbrough   18   17   -7      -8.32     8.07    -8.26    54.69     7.69    -7.27     0.00     0.02     1.19     0.34P   13.81R    1.83  
Luton           18   17   -8      -4.34    25.09    -2.30    50.33     8.19   -16.81     0.00     0.01     0.54     0.12P   32.89R    7.42  
Wigan           18   16  -12      -4.28    23.74    -5.70    49.20     7.73   -19.59     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.05P   37.88R    8.55  
Stoke           18   14  -12      -7.43    10.24    -7.44    48.32     7.79   -17.83     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.04P   41.58R   10.13  
Barnsley        18    9  -19      -9.26     5.27    -8.61    38.49     7.91   -33.62     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   84.85R   58.14  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 November 2019, Ipswich 0 0 Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Wycombe              19   40  +14      11.87    97.27    10.74    75.44     7.32    15.68     9.56    20.78    62.71    27.87P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich              17   35  +15       5.35    81.43     5.66    81.30     7.85    29.12    33.56    51.68    85.77    61.05P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         18   31  +17      -0.18    48.39     6.56    75.67     7.59    31.87    12.22    25.10    67.35    36.67P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            18   30  +12       0.07    50.32     3.76    75.24     7.78    27.17    11.29    23.68    64.14    35.20P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             18   30   +3       4.55    77.98     1.91    64.95     7.45     2.44     0.59     1.79    14.46     4.12P    0.01R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           17   29  +18       1.47    59.49    11.40    74.46     7.84    31.24    10.33    21.40    60.95    31.55P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       16   29   +9       2.83    68.83     2.57    70.73     8.08    14.03     4.21    10.11    39.89    16.66P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackpool            18   29   +5       2.81    67.81     2.70    66.55     7.48     8.01     0.94     2.96    20.21     6.56P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       17   28   +1       4.05    75.71    -0.07    63.85     7.66    -0.86     0.51     1.54    12.25     3.52P    0.05R    0.00  
Portsmouth           17   27   +8      -2.00    36.39    -1.03    71.58     7.83    19.44     5.00    11.72    45.24    21.16P    0.00R    0.00  
Sunderland           17   26   +5      -4.00    24.19    -5.43    71.80     7.76    18.37     4.79    11.70    46.12    22.34P    0.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           17   24   -3       1.08    57.87    -2.78    59.64     7.48    -4.81     0.08     0.30     4.36     1.10P    0.25R    0.00  
Doncaster            15   23   +7      -0.76    44.50     2.19    70.44     8.23    18.98     4.18     9.98    40.06    17.81P    0.01R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        16   23   +3       0.25    52.17     1.88    69.32     7.97    15.20     2.69     7.13    33.88    13.80P    0.01R    0.00  
Gillingham           18   21   +0      -2.80    32.64     1.31    55.85     7.50    -1.51     0.03     0.09     1.62     0.40P    0.91R    0.01  
Rochdale             19   19  -12      -1.95    38.62    -3.27    45.36     6.96   -25.66     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   15.30R    0.42  
Accrington_Stanley   18   18   -4      -3.70    27.11     0.83    49.80     7.41   -10.28     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.04P    5.39R    0.10  
Lincoln_City         17   18   -4      -1.97    37.83     1.00    52.17     7.86    -8.03     0.00     0.03     0.68     0.14P    3.64R    0.06  
AFC_Wimbledon        18   16   -7      -4.43    22.79    -0.52    46.34     7.26   -14.96     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   12.17R    0.37  
Tranmere             17   16  -11      -0.52    47.85     0.80    43.02     7.60   -27.45     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    27.07R    1.34  
MK_Dons              18   13  -14      -6.62    12.83    -6.17    38.92     7.26   -29.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.26R    3.89  
Southend             18    5  -35     -10.86     1.55   -19.07    28.26     6.87   -58.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.43R   42.22  
Bolton               15    1  -27      -0.10    51.20   -14.98    26.71     7.55   -50.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.48R   51.59  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 November 2019, Forest_Green 0 0 Crewe; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot1     Bot1

Swindon          19   36  +10       6.09    82.88     4.30    78.12     7.87    17.68    17.73    45.81    81.18    54.25P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     19   35  +11       5.23    79.67     5.54    77.06     7.67    18.54    14.11    40.79    78.47    50.20P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            19   34  +10       5.61    80.64     6.50    74.06     7.87    14.46     7.59    26.78    65.16    35.28P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           19   33   +4       4.16    74.48    -0.17    74.45     7.79    10.65     7.99    27.39    66.11    37.04P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       18   31  +13       4.39    76.14    10.11    71.85     8.00    16.78     5.12    19.96    55.22    27.91P    0.01R    0.01  
Northampton      19   31   +9       1.25    57.80     3.53    71.24     7.85    13.81     4.33    17.47    52.03    25.84P    0.00R    0.00  
Bradford         17   30   +8       1.75    60.97     0.74    78.93     8.40    21.66    22.30    50.94    82.85    60.26P    0.00R    0.00  
Plymouth         18   29   +6      -0.23    48.56    -0.92    76.69     8.27    19.88    14.87    40.21    75.95    50.96P    0.01R    0.01  
Port_Vale        19   28   +0       4.14    75.36     2.82    62.22     7.56    -3.65     0.19     1.71    12.36     3.71P    0.18R    0.18  
Colchester       18   27   +6      -0.54    46.59     1.78    70.21     8.03    13.17     3.42    14.75    47.03    23.44P    0.01R    0.01  
Newport_County   17   27   +3       3.65    73.71     2.59    66.91     8.03     3.69     1.42     6.96    29.71    11.74P    0.06R    0.06  
Salford_City     19   25   -5       4.58    77.31     3.81    52.35     7.53   -19.99     0.01     0.09     1.06     0.23P    5.02R    5.02  
Cambridge_Utd    19   24   +4       0.03    50.82     6.59    59.19     7.59     1.85     0.09     0.81     7.10     2.04P    0.53R    0.53  
Macclesfield     18   22   -3       2.26    66.30     3.89    51.59     7.40   -15.45     0.00     0.04     0.78     0.19P    5.45R    5.45  
Mansfield        19   21   +0      -9.14     7.26    -6.15    62.56     7.71     6.69     0.33     2.34    15.07     6.25P    0.20R    0.20  
Scunthorpe       19   21   -1      -8.83     8.83    -6.66    62.05     8.16     5.02     0.35     2.50    14.90     6.29P    0.36R    0.36  
Crawley_Town     19   21   -6      -1.20    43.43    -0.09    52.95     7.57   -13.77     0.01     0.09     1.19     0.29P    4.01R    4.01  
Grimsby          17   20   -2      -0.69    46.17     1.39    54.86     7.86    -8.65     0.03     0.27     2.64     0.68P    2.60R    2.60  
Leyton_Orient    19   20   -8      -0.80    45.98     0.32    48.64     7.65   -21.27     0.00     0.01     0.32     0.06P   12.01R   12.01  
Oldham           18   19   -7      -5.32    19.26    -6.50    58.71     8.02    -4.97     0.09     0.79     6.70     2.19P    1.00R    1.00  
Carlisle         19   19  -12      -4.81    22.33    -8.51    53.39     7.75   -15.95     0.01     0.09     1.35     0.34P    4.36R    4.36  
Walsall          19   19  -12      -5.98    17.16   -10.72    54.97     7.84   -12.98     0.02     0.18     2.37     0.72P    2.76R    2.76  
Stevenage        18   14   -9      -8.61     6.59    -6.38    49.36     7.74   -12.77     0.00     0.01     0.43     0.09P    9.97R    9.97  
Morecambe        19   14  -19      -4.74    21.31    -7.83    40.84     7.24   -34.44     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   51.44R   51.44  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 November 2019, Barnet 5 2 Ebbsfleet_United; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barrow             22   41  +14       6.92    83.73     8.27    77.08     7.38    18.63    18.65    69.21    30.08P    0.00R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors     23   40  +14       1.77    59.54     4.09    78.00     7.16    23.53    22.84    75.26    37.82P    0.01R    0.00  
Bromley            23   40  +11       4.79    74.15     5.61    75.26     7.26    16.45    12.60    60.86    23.41P    0.02R    0.00  
Woking             23   38   +6       7.20    83.38     7.33    69.19     7.34     5.33     2.65    27.62     7.34P    0.25R    0.01  
Halifax            23   38   +4       7.23    84.90     4.86    69.74     6.93     4.51     2.62    28.50     7.68P    0.13R    0.00  
Yeovil             22   37  +10      -1.27    42.45    -2.13    78.36     7.54    22.71    25.36    75.62    41.46P    0.01R    0.00  
Harrogate_Town     23   37   +5       2.23    62.27     0.30    71.64     7.24     9.50     5.27    40.31    13.21P    0.08R    0.00  
Torquay            23   34   +5       3.37    67.57     7.05    64.00     7.39     2.00     0.75    10.97     2.80P    1.94R    0.12  
Notts_County       23   32   +8      -7.50    15.47    -4.00    71.81     7.21    20.50     5.95    44.69    19.26P    0.12R    0.00  
Hartlepool         23   32   +4      -0.03    50.23     3.50    63.82     7.13     4.15     0.50    10.09     2.45P    1.67R    0.12  
Eastleigh          22   32   +0       2.46    64.12     1.28    64.49     7.29    -0.88     0.67    11.42     2.85P    1.62R    0.08  
Dover_Athletic     22   32   -1       1.33    57.86    -1.62    64.23     7.30    -2.25     0.61    10.73     2.55P    1.71R    0.09  
Stockport          23   32  -10       7.59    85.51     1.30    56.68     7.06   -20.65     0.02     1.21     0.19P   14.28R    1.67  
Boreham_Wood       23   31   +5      -0.67    46.88     4.90    63.27     7.08     6.11     0.41     8.81     2.27P    1.92R    0.11  
Barnet             23   31   +2      -2.60    36.30    -1.04    64.26     7.10     4.47     0.54    10.83     3.02P    1.45R    0.07  
Dag_&_Red          23   30   -1      -1.35    42.79    -0.63    61.11     7.06    -1.68     0.17     4.65     1.11P    3.90R    0.36  
Maidenhead         23   28   +0      -0.02    50.90     5.44    55.49     6.97    -6.41     0.02     0.89     0.18P   15.87R    2.06  
AFC_Fylde          22   27   -8      -5.07    23.50   -10.68    62.22     7.34    -4.77     0.33     6.88     1.97P    3.48R    0.30  
Aldershot          23   26   -9       0.11    51.71    -0.72    52.67     6.83   -16.07     0.01     0.26     0.05P   29.15R    4.84  
Sutton_United      22   22   -7      -5.71    20.68    -3.38    52.08     7.20   -11.20     0.01     0.31     0.09P   31.35R    6.11  
Chesterfield       22   22  -12      -7.12    15.54   -10.10    52.54     7.29   -16.03     0.00     0.37     0.09P   30.54R    5.99  
Wrexham            22   20   -8     -10.04     7.01    -7.99    53.58     7.19    -6.88     0.01     0.44     0.11P   23.74R    4.39  
Chorley            23   20  -19      -0.87    46.74    -2.34    41.16     6.61   -34.98     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.58R   60.83  
Ebbsfleet_United   23   19  -13     -10.50     6.73    -9.34    48.91     7.15   -16.09     0.00     0.08     0.01P   49.17R   12.85