Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 26 November 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 25 November 2019, Aston_Villa 2 0 Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        13   37  +19       9.19    98.73     1.99    93.70     6.32    57.99    78.36    97.56    99.69    99.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        13   29  +23       7.04    92.26    16.86    73.47     7.30    39.03     1.03    10.39    52.92    83.25    97.63     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         13   28  +23      -2.76    24.07    -1.33    85.74     6.27    65.23    20.05    84.88    96.74    99.54    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          13   26   +9       2.69    70.27     0.57    72.04     7.28    28.02     0.55     6.58    40.33    75.98    95.83     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    13   19   +2       2.13    67.35     3.87    52.09     7.19    -0.36     0.00     0.00     0.29     1.71    16.49     0.90R    0.06  
Sheff_Utd        13   18   +4       2.78    71.79     8.11    48.85     7.34    -2.15     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.72     8.88     2.86R    0.24  
Burnley          13   18   +2       2.00    66.38     5.13    46.71     7.08    -8.23     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.29     5.02     4.56R    0.43  
Arsenal          13   18   -1      -3.05    27.27    -5.79    57.42     7.49     6.43     0.00     0.07     1.81     7.88    42.18     0.21R    0.02  
Man_Utd          13   17   +4      -4.93    16.77    -2.12    58.52     7.27    14.84     0.00     0.11     2.21     9.63    50.21     0.11R    0.01  
Tottenham        13   17   +2      -5.69    11.92    -5.37    61.86     7.39    18.54     0.01     0.39     5.79    20.13    68.19     0.03R    0.00  
Bournemouth      13   16   -1      -0.31    48.15     2.03    44.64     7.11   -12.11     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.17     2.95     8.43R    0.99  
Brighton         13   15   -4       1.11    60.46     2.72    40.10     6.87   -18.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.68    22.25R    3.70  
Crystal_Palace   13   15   -7       0.69    57.05    -1.24    47.24     7.30   -10.88     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.41     5.52     4.78R    0.53  
Newcastle        13   15   -9       0.32    53.81    -3.92    44.06     7.01   -17.22     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     2.10     9.86R    1.18  
Aston_Villa      13   14   -1      -0.44    47.70     5.92    41.01     7.36   -14.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     1.30    20.07R    3.88  
Everton          13   14   -7      -4.09    21.14    -7.19    43.42     7.12   -15.82     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10     2.03    11.22R    1.50  
West_Ham         13   13   -7      -3.27    26.20    -4.03    40.56     7.09   -20.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.86    21.34R    3.86  
Norwich          13   10  -15      -1.14    42.17    -1.72    31.48     6.86   -40.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    72.35R   34.38  
Southampton      13    9  -18      -1.85    35.91    -5.15    35.67     7.08   -32.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12    48.55R   15.35  
Watford          13    8  -18      -5.12    13.94    -9.37    31.35     6.77   -37.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    72.48R   33.87  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 November 2019, Cardiff 1 0 Stoke; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United    18   37  +14       7.13    87.67     6.41    83.63     7.92    26.12    26.33    52.48    90.79    63.16P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       17   36  +13       5.81    83.76     2.27    87.02     8.30    30.33    46.35    68.45    95.09    76.25P    0.00R    0.00  
Fulham          18   32  +11       2.15    62.95     3.14    74.82     8.37    17.57     5.84    15.82    59.67    27.32P    0.03R    0.00  
Preston         17   31  +13       3.87    74.04     7.15    76.06     8.39    20.91     7.52    19.19    65.82    30.94P    0.02R    0.00  
Swansea         18   30   +5       2.73    66.99     1.12    71.60     8.03     9.84     2.26     7.10    43.36    16.00P    0.13R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   16   29   +7       6.32    86.37     5.75    73.59     8.37    12.26     3.91    11.38    53.06    20.81P    0.08R    0.00  
Bristol_City    17   29   +4       4.18    75.81     1.77    71.21     8.25     7.67     2.16     6.94    41.41    14.76P    0.17R    0.01  
Brentford       17   27   +9      -0.20    48.54     3.23    72.65     8.32    17.84     3.64    10.32    50.10    21.37P    0.09R    0.01  
Sheff_Wed       17   25   +6       0.28    52.09     3.82    66.82     8.24     9.18     0.68     2.52    24.18     7.72P    0.68R    0.04  
Cardiff         18   25   +1      -1.92    38.18    -2.28    65.72     8.27     4.52     0.53     2.08    19.77     6.60P    1.10R    0.11  
Millwall        18   25   -2       2.96    69.54     1.80    59.83     7.81    -7.00     0.04     0.26     5.30     1.21P    4.55R    0.54  
QPR             17   24   -5       4.15    76.46     0.96    58.00     8.19   -14.87     0.03     0.19     3.78     0.73P    8.86R    1.27  
Derby           18   24   -5      -1.43    41.18    -6.17    64.91     8.03    -1.20     0.28     1.27    15.61     4.80P    1.37R    0.10  
Charlton        18   23   +2      -0.08    50.44     4.39    59.69     8.14    -0.36     0.05     0.29     6.20     1.48P    5.14R    0.60  
Hull            17   23   +2      -0.87    44.56     1.30    63.51     8.34     2.78     0.31     1.24    13.79     4.05P    2.14R    0.25  
Birmingham      17   23   -5       2.30    66.31    -1.40    58.80     8.00   -10.72     0.03     0.19     4.23     0.90P    6.67R    0.75  
Blackburn       17   21   -3      -1.36    41.84    -1.18    58.35     8.22    -6.90     0.04     0.21     4.39     1.05P    7.74R    1.13  
Reading         17   18   -3      -1.58    40.22     2.55    52.72     8.04   -10.32     0.00     0.03     0.93     0.19P   22.16R    4.49  
Huddersfield    18   18   -6      -3.84    26.92    -1.93    50.87     7.85   -13.48     0.00     0.00     0.49     0.09P   28.99R    6.20  
Luton           18   17   -8      -4.30    24.96    -2.27    50.14     8.13   -17.05     0.01     0.02     0.52     0.13P   33.69R    8.61  
Wigan           18   16  -12      -4.32    23.60    -5.74    49.29     7.76   -19.42     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.06P   37.79R    9.33  
Middlesbrough   17   14   -8      -9.50     4.70    -8.62    53.72     7.93    -7.37     0.01     0.02     1.17     0.33P   17.52R    3.37  
Stoke           18   14  -12      -7.41    10.42    -7.40    48.48     7.77   -17.56     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.04P   40.80R   10.70  
Barnsley        17    9  -18      -8.61     6.02    -8.66    39.82     8.19   -32.76     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   80.28R   52.47  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 November 2019, Ipswich 0 0 Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Wycombe              19   40  +14      11.94    97.25    10.86    75.37     7.33    15.64     9.38    20.92    62.48    28.01P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich              17   35  +15       5.36    81.38     5.67    81.30     7.83    29.09    33.71    51.63    85.85    61.19P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         18   31  +17      -0.23    47.85     6.50    75.58     7.59    31.72    12.05    24.96    66.42    35.96P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            18   30  +12      -0.06    49.06     3.58    75.44     7.90    27.39    12.21    24.79    64.88    36.16P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             18   30   +3       4.39    76.71     1.69    65.22     7.47     2.79     0.68     1.98    15.24     4.52P    0.02R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           17   29  +18       1.56    60.10    11.49    74.30     7.83    31.04     9.87    20.82    60.27    30.83P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       16   29   +9       2.89    69.15     2.64    70.71     8.06    14.04     4.08     9.94    39.93    16.60P    0.00R    0.00  
Blackpool            18   29   +5       2.79    67.86     2.70    66.63     7.46     8.07     0.96     2.90    20.65     6.69P    0.02R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       17   28   +1       3.97    75.37    -0.19    63.92     7.70    -0.80     0.55     1.61    12.75     3.60P    0.05R    0.00  
Portsmouth           17   27   +8      -1.99    36.61    -1.01    71.59     7.83    19.46     5.07    11.83    45.12    21.39P    0.00R    0.00  
Sunderland           17   26   +5      -4.07    23.90    -5.60    71.93     7.69    18.59     4.70    11.70    46.60    22.52P    0.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           17   24   -3       1.15    58.49    -2.70    59.48     7.55    -4.98     0.08     0.32     4.31     1.13P    0.24R    0.00  
Doncaster            15   23   +7      -0.75    44.58     2.21    70.42     8.20    18.97     4.14     9.67    39.79    17.47P    0.01R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        16   23   +3       0.33    52.44     2.04    69.08     8.00    14.82     2.50     6.78    33.10    13.26P    0.01R    0.00  
Gillingham           18   21   +0      -2.78    32.64     1.34    55.84     7.47    -1.55     0.02     0.10     1.64     0.46P    1.07R    0.01  
Rochdale             19   19  -12      -1.88    39.16    -3.16    45.23     6.98   -25.88     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   15.67R    0.44  
Accrington_Stanley   18   18   -4      -3.71    27.18     0.88    49.90     7.44   -10.19     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.04P    5.40R    0.09  
Lincoln_City         17   18   -4      -2.04    37.64     0.97    52.24     7.82    -8.01     0.01     0.04     0.64     0.16P    3.37R    0.06  
AFC_Wimbledon        18   16   -7      -4.37    22.86    -0.44    46.31     7.27   -14.97     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P   11.96R    0.44  
Tranmere             17   16  -11      -0.57    47.37     0.69    43.05     7.54   -27.37     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   26.44R    1.28  
MK_Dons              18   13  -14      -6.56    13.27    -6.10    38.88     7.25   -29.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   48.90R    3.97  
Southend             18    5  -35     -10.83     1.53   -19.03    28.23     6.90   -58.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.24R   42.73  
Bolton               15    1  -27      -0.15    50.88   -15.04    26.80     7.50   -49.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.61R   50.98  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 November 2019, Forest_Green 0 0 Crewe; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot1     Bot1

Swindon          19   36  +10       6.11    83.33     4.32    78.10     7.84    17.66    17.77    45.83    81.28    54.25P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     19   35  +11       5.32    79.92     5.67    77.00     7.73    18.43    14.22    40.46    78.06    49.83P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            19   34  +10       5.45    80.42     6.24    74.26     7.81    14.78     7.80    27.62    66.00    36.14P    0.01R    0.01  
Exeter           19   33   +4       4.19    74.90    -0.11    74.39     7.73    10.54     7.49    27.05    66.06    36.53P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       18   31  +13       4.36    76.06    10.08    71.87     7.97    16.76     5.20    19.92    55.44    27.79P    0.00R    0.00  
Northampton      19   31   +9       1.20    57.36     3.45    71.35     7.82    13.98     4.38    17.62    52.34    26.28P    0.01R    0.01  
Bradford         17   30   +8       1.58    59.93     0.51    79.17     8.40    22.02    23.38    51.86    83.42    61.07P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         18   29   +6      -0.01    49.86    -0.63    76.37     8.22    19.37    13.66    38.87    74.88    49.62P    0.00R    0.00  
Port_Vale        19   28   +0       4.23    75.68     2.99    62.11     7.59    -3.80     0.23     1.79    12.12     3.70P    0.19R    0.19  
Colchester       18   27   +6      -0.60    46.00     1.68    70.18     8.02    13.18     3.51    14.67    46.53    23.27P    0.01R    0.01  
Newport_County   17   27   +3       3.60    73.30     2.53    66.95     8.02     3.67     1.34     7.08    29.66    11.95P    0.05R    0.05  
Salford_City     19   25   -5       4.62    77.61     3.85    52.31     7.47   -20.06     0.01     0.06     0.97     0.17P    4.90R    4.90  
Cambridge_Utd    19   24   +4       0.01    50.74     6.55    59.23     7.58     1.90     0.06     0.79     6.88     2.03P    0.58R    0.58  
Macclesfield     18   22   -3       2.28    66.12     3.93    51.49     7.45   -15.61     0.00     0.04     0.74     0.16P    5.64R    5.64  
Mansfield        19   21   +0      -9.18     6.98    -6.21    62.63     7.79     6.76     0.37     2.45    15.64     6.44P    0.18R    0.18  
Scunthorpe       19   21   -1      -8.89     8.67    -6.74    62.13     8.07     5.12     0.39     2.48    14.99     6.32P    0.35R    0.35  
Crawley_Town     19   21   -6      -1.19    43.48    -0.00    52.95     7.63   -13.86     0.01     0.06     1.21     0.25P    4.22R    4.22  
Grimsby          17   20   -2      -0.62    46.64     1.47    54.77     7.89    -8.76     0.03     0.21     2.50     0.68P    2.82R    2.82  
Leyton_Orient    19   20   -8      -0.78    46.33     0.36    48.63     7.63   -21.31     0.00     0.02     0.35     0.07P   12.00R   12.00  
Oldham           18   19   -7      -5.36    19.05    -6.53    58.73     8.06    -4.90     0.12     0.81     6.70     2.21P    1.04R    1.04  
Carlisle         19   19  -12      -4.80    22.67    -8.48    53.33     7.71   -16.00     0.01     0.10     1.37     0.39P    4.38R    4.38  
Walsall          19   19  -12      -5.99    17.20   -10.70    55.10     7.85   -12.81     0.02     0.21     2.43     0.76P    2.70R    2.70  
Stevenage        18   14   -9      -8.59     6.82    -6.37    49.37     7.74   -12.78     0.00     0.02     0.43     0.09P    9.86R    9.86  
Morecambe        19   14  -19      -4.77    21.20    -7.86    40.94     7.25   -34.29     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    51.04R   51.04  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 November 2019, Barnet 5 2 Ebbsfleet_United; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barrow             22   41  +14       6.88    83.70     8.18    77.14     7.35    18.75    18.70    69.79    30.06P    0.01R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors     23   40  +14       1.88    60.45     4.28    77.81     7.07    23.29    21.68    74.47    36.94P    0.00R    0.00  
Bromley            23   40  +11       4.84    74.69     5.64    75.27     7.24    16.46    12.75    60.72    23.43P    0.02R    0.00  
Woking             23   38   +6       7.28    83.48     7.49    69.10     7.35     5.18     2.92    27.04     7.36P    0.29R    0.01  
Halifax            23   38   +4       7.22    84.64     4.83    69.76     7.02     4.49     2.78    28.95     7.62P    0.14R    0.00  
Yeovil             22   37  +10      -1.34    42.28    -2.25    78.37     7.51    22.73    25.40    75.47    41.61P    0.01R    0.00  
Harrogate_Town     23   37   +5       2.14    61.38     0.19    71.76     7.29     9.67     5.51    40.90    13.73P    0.12R    0.00  
Torquay            23   34   +5       3.27    67.05     6.86    64.09     7.50     2.17     0.81    11.69     2.98P    1.82R    0.13  
Notts_County       23   32   +8      -7.57    15.41    -4.05    71.80     7.26    20.53     6.14    44.03    19.39P    0.09R    0.00  
Hartlepool         23   32   +4      -0.07    50.01     3.48    63.86     7.10     4.19     0.51    10.04     2.46P    1.51R    0.10  
Eastleigh          22   32   +0       2.42    64.12     1.12    64.58     7.33    -0.76     0.72    11.52     2.81P    1.71R    0.12  
Dover_Athletic     22   32   -1       1.41    58.24    -1.50    64.17     7.29    -2.39     0.65    10.70     2.64P    1.69R    0.10  
Stockport          23   32  -10       7.73    86.42     1.44    56.56     6.98   -20.80     0.02     1.16     0.19P   14.41R    1.70  
Boreham_Wood       23   31   +5      -0.86    45.68     4.61    63.46     7.07     6.34     0.42     9.09     2.26P    1.79R    0.10  
Barnet             23   31   +2      -2.66    35.62    -1.17    64.24     7.09     4.52     0.52    10.64     2.94P    1.30R    0.06  
Dag_&_Red          23   30   -1      -1.36    43.00    -0.64    61.23     7.06    -1.55     0.16     4.83     1.15P    3.87R    0.29  
Maidenhead         23   28   +0      -0.01    50.68     5.51    55.49     6.89    -6.43     0.02     0.84     0.18P   15.88R    1.92  
AFC_Fylde          22   27   -8      -5.05    23.77   -10.62    62.16     7.38    -4.82     0.30     6.69     1.88P    3.63R    0.27  
Aldershot          23   26   -9       0.24    52.43    -0.49    52.58     6.82   -16.22     0.00     0.23     0.05P   29.40R    4.93  
Sutton_United      22   22   -7      -5.76    20.32    -3.42    52.16     7.15   -11.07     0.00     0.28     0.08P   30.88R    5.92  
Chesterfield       22   22  -12      -7.04    15.83    -9.95    52.49     7.26   -16.14     0.01     0.37     0.10P   31.04R    6.00  
Wrexham            22   20   -8      -9.92     7.24    -7.84    53.44     7.19    -7.06     0.01     0.48     0.13P   24.20R    4.51  
Chorley            23   20  -19      -0.83    46.92    -2.22    41.17     6.66   -35.05     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.34R   60.79  
Ebbsfleet_United   23   19  -13     -10.60     6.76    -9.49    48.95     7.21   -16.01     0.00     0.07     0.01P   48.84R   13.06