Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 25 November 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 25 November 2019, Aston_Villa 2 0 Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        13   37  +19       9.22    98.71     2.00    93.61     6.35    57.69    77.84    97.53    99.64    99.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        13   29  +23       7.07    92.40    16.88    73.45     7.26    38.95     1.06    10.32    52.59    83.39    97.70     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         13   28  +23      -2.78    23.85    -1.34    85.70     6.26    65.17    20.45    84.82    96.73    99.55    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          13   26   +9       2.68    70.36     0.53    72.02     7.35    28.08     0.63     6.79    40.51    75.33    95.73     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    13   19   +2       2.06    66.46     3.76    52.34     7.33    -0.03     0.00     0.01     0.34     2.01    17.98     0.90R    0.06  
Sheff_Utd        13   18   +4       2.77    71.77     8.07    48.78     7.32    -2.23     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.68     8.63     2.82R    0.24  
Burnley          13   18   +2       2.00    66.53     5.13    46.70     7.10    -8.23     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.33     5.09     4.51R    0.45  
Arsenal          13   18   -1      -2.99    27.69    -5.72    57.31     7.54     6.34     0.00     0.08     1.79     7.74    41.17     0.21R    0.00  
Man_Utd          13   17   +4      -4.81    17.45    -1.96    58.46     7.27    14.68     0.00     0.11     2.07     9.60    49.73     0.09R    0.01  
Tottenham        13   17   +2      -5.75    11.55    -5.54    61.95     7.37    18.67     0.01     0.35     6.06    20.54    68.42     0.01R    0.00  
Bournemouth      13   16   -1      -0.35    47.95     1.96    44.74     7.18   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.18     3.04     8.41R    0.99  
Brighton         13   15   -4       1.11    60.37     2.70    40.13     6.81   -18.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.67    21.94R    3.54  
Crystal_Palace   13   15   -7       0.64    56.49    -1.26    47.25     7.27   -10.87     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.33     5.41     4.69R    0.48  
Newcastle        13   15   -9       0.35    54.03    -3.82    43.92     7.04   -17.41     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08     1.96    10.50R    1.34  
Aston_Villa      13   14   -1      -0.52    47.20     5.76    41.22     7.39   -13.98     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     1.43    19.46R    3.67  
Everton          13   14   -7      -4.07    21.34    -7.18    43.51     7.14   -15.69     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.15     2.15    11.11R    1.50  
West_Ham         13   13   -7      -3.21    27.00    -3.93    40.44     7.08   -20.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.76    21.98R    3.94  
Norwich          13   10  -15      -1.14    41.90    -1.69    31.41     6.87   -40.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    72.41R   34.52  
Southampton      13    9  -18      -1.90    35.20    -5.18    35.76     7.07   -31.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12    48.01R   14.87  
Watford          13    8  -18      -5.01    14.32    -9.17    31.26     6.74   -37.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    72.97R   34.40  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 24 November 2019, Middlesbrough 2 2 Hull; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

West_Brom       17   36  +13       5.80    83.58     2.22    87.01     8.29    30.35    48.57    69.69    95.08    77.14P    0.00R    0.00  
Leeds_United    17   34  +13       5.87    83.70     5.89    82.28     8.11    25.57    22.83    47.40    87.72    59.01P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         17   31  +13       3.99    74.69     7.38    76.16     8.35    21.05     8.32    20.63    66.39    32.30P    0.02R    0.00  
Fulham          17   29   +8       1.57    59.91     1.75    72.25     8.55    13.09     3.62    10.75    47.36    20.27P    0.17R    0.01  
Nott'm_Forest   16   29   +7       6.24    86.08     5.62    73.73     8.37    12.44     4.40    12.47    53.27    21.84P    0.06R    0.00  
Swansea         17   29   +5       3.14    70.18     1.20    72.36     8.20    10.44     3.29     9.36    47.07    18.45P    0.13R    0.01  
Bristol_City    17   29   +4       4.13    75.17     1.70    71.41     8.31     8.01     2.66     7.98    42.14    15.75P    0.16R    0.01  
Brentford       17   27   +9      -0.19    48.74     3.26    72.77     8.30    17.98     3.78    11.10    50.60    21.82P    0.09R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       17   25   +6       0.26    51.93     3.79    66.61     8.20     8.88     0.71     2.66    23.17     7.46P    0.62R    0.04  
Millwall        17   24   -2       3.35    72.16     1.78    60.60     8.03    -6.33     0.06     0.40     6.55     1.57P    4.10R    0.44  
Derby           17   24   -2      -1.05    43.40    -4.60    67.10     8.29     2.99     0.65     2.82    23.83     8.29P    0.77R    0.05  
QPR             17   24   -5       4.05    75.92     0.82    57.94     8.25   -14.91     0.05     0.23     3.99     0.86P    8.85R    1.21  
Charlton        17   23   +3       0.94    56.74     4.89    61.61     8.43     1.37     0.17     0.77     9.68     2.65P    3.52R    0.33  
Hull            17   23   +2      -0.86    44.79     1.28    63.59     8.33     2.88     0.31     1.35    13.90     4.09P    2.08R    0.20  
Birmingham      17   23   -5       2.20    65.38    -1.56    58.89     8.07   -10.63     0.05     0.23     4.35     0.89P    6.73R    0.80  
Cardiff         17   22   +0      -3.01    31.56    -2.46    64.28     8.60     3.77     0.47     1.85    16.60     5.61P    1.94R    0.19  
Blackburn       17   21   -3      -1.32    41.94    -1.14    58.20     8.26    -7.11     0.04     0.21     4.36     1.05P    7.99R    1.07  
Reading         16   18   -2      -0.63    46.55     2.97    53.92     8.17    -9.56     0.01     0.04     1.44     0.32P   18.06R    3.27  
Huddersfield    17   17   -6      -3.48    28.25    -1.90    50.85     8.10   -14.03     0.00     0.02     0.60     0.13P   29.42R    6.26  
Wigan           17   15  -12      -4.10    24.08    -6.03    49.25     7.98   -19.91     0.00     0.01     0.24     0.06P   37.95R    9.40  
Middlesbrough   17   14   -8      -9.42     4.95    -8.51    53.54     7.96    -7.57     0.01     0.03     1.02     0.30P   17.73R    3.30  
Luton           17   14   -9      -5.73    17.32    -2.94    48.25     8.47   -18.48     0.00     0.01     0.35     0.09P   42.65R   12.49  
Stoke           17   14  -11      -6.47    13.13    -6.99    49.52     8.04   -17.12     0.00     0.01     0.30     0.06P   35.96R    8.72  
Barnsley        17    9  -18      -8.44     6.51    -8.41    39.54     8.17   -33.20     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   81.01R   52.21  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 November 2019, AFC_Wimbledon 1 0 Gillingham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Wycombe              18   39  +14      11.99    97.62    10.39    75.04     7.48    14.55     8.06    18.52    60.70    25.54P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich              16   34  +15       5.92    84.70     5.87    82.65     8.08    30.66    37.89    56.48    88.43    65.13P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         18   31  +17      -0.20    48.48     6.55    75.58     7.62    31.75    10.37    23.32    66.72    35.19P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            17   30  +13       1.08    56.90     4.26    76.74     8.03    28.23    13.94    28.61    70.32    40.38P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             18   30   +3       4.39    77.10     1.65    65.16     7.43     2.67     0.58     1.82    14.95     4.26P    0.01R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           17   29  +18       1.60    60.22    11.57    74.34     7.84    31.09     8.79    19.32    60.38    29.70P    0.00R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       16   29   +9       2.95    69.59     2.73    70.47     8.00    13.74     3.40     8.54    38.82    15.33P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackpool            18   29   +5       2.70    67.33     2.56    66.76     7.50     8.30     0.92     2.79    21.29     6.73P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       17   28   +1       4.03    75.80    -0.14    63.82     7.71    -0.92     0.47     1.43    12.29     3.44P    0.04R    0.00  
Sunderland           16   26   +6      -2.58    31.74    -4.43    74.20     7.87    20.93     7.44    17.53    57.99    30.15P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           16   24   +7      -3.28    28.13    -1.48    69.92     8.04    18.33     3.24     8.35    37.50    16.52P    0.01R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           17   24   -3       1.11    58.02    -2.68    59.50     7.55    -5.01     0.08     0.31     4.42     1.08P    0.27R    0.00  
Doncaster            15   23   +7      -0.81    44.42     2.11    70.43     8.20    18.99     3.51     9.06    39.90    17.07P    0.00R    0.00  
Gillingham           18   21   +0      -2.80    32.53     1.33    55.80     7.47    -1.60     0.01     0.07     1.56     0.40P    0.98R    0.01  
Burton_Albion        15   20   +2      -1.37    40.91     0.90    66.73     8.17    12.77     1.31     3.83    23.66     8.89P    0.03R    0.00  
Rochdale             19   19  -12      -1.87    39.19    -3.15    45.26     6.98   -25.78     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   15.47R    0.37  
Accrington_Stanley   18   18   -4      -3.75    26.96     0.79    49.97     7.41   -10.02     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.05P    5.23R    0.06  
Lincoln_City         17   18   -4      -2.02    37.53     0.95    52.24     7.80    -7.96     0.00     0.02     0.74     0.13P    3.29R    0.06  
AFC_Wimbledon        18   16   -7      -4.43    22.74    -0.47    46.35     7.36   -14.95     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   12.31R    0.42  
Tranmere             17   16  -11      -0.62    46.99     0.64    43.04     7.54   -27.39     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   26.07R    1.33  
MK_Dons              18   13  -14      -6.58    13.01    -6.09    38.78     7.24   -29.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.37R    3.96  
Southend             18    5  -35     -10.83     1.67   -18.97    28.27     6.86   -58.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.14R   42.44  
Bolton               15    1  -27      -0.06    51.50   -14.89    26.72     7.51   -50.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.76R   51.36  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 November 2019, Carlisle 0 0 Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot1     Bot1

Swindon          19   36  +10       6.11    83.18     4.36    78.13     7.82    17.67    16.58    44.78    81.42    53.64P    0.00R    0.00  
Forest_Green     18   34  +11       5.80    82.84     5.80    77.85     8.02    19.17    16.80    43.65    79.90    52.69P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            18   33  +10       5.65    81.86     6.03    74.22     8.06    14.16     8.12    27.07    64.95    35.29P    0.00R    0.00  
Exeter           19   33   +4       4.17    74.46    -0.13    74.42     7.74    10.56     7.13    26.47    65.40    36.05P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      19   31   +9       1.37    58.81     3.65    71.09     7.84    13.61     3.96    16.40    50.59    24.70P    0.01R    0.01  
Cheltenham       17   30  +13       4.68    78.04    10.03    72.61     8.21    17.27     6.14    22.29    58.21    30.32P    0.00R    0.00  
Bradford         17   30   +8       1.63    60.30     0.59    79.07     8.42    21.88    22.07    50.72    82.79    60.17P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         18   29   +6      -0.03    49.67    -0.66    76.44     8.31    19.44    13.39    38.32    74.66    48.76P    0.00R    0.00  
Port_Vale        19   28   +0       4.20    75.66     2.93    62.03     7.55    -3.94     0.24     1.62    11.46     3.42P    0.20R    0.20  
Colchester       18   27   +6      -0.69    45.51     1.54    70.43     7.94    13.55     3.39    14.52    47.72    23.60P    0.01R    0.01  
Newport_County   17   27   +3       3.61    73.39     2.55    66.86     8.06     3.58     1.25     6.84    28.94    11.49P    0.07R    0.07  
Salford_City     19   25   -5       4.55    77.28     3.79    52.36     7.52   -19.96     0.01     0.09     1.04     0.24P    4.92R    4.92  
Cambridge_Utd    19   24   +4       0.02    51.01     6.56    59.19     7.62     1.83     0.07     0.84     6.85     2.08P    0.66R    0.66  
Macclesfield     18   22   -3       2.26    66.08     3.92    51.55     7.51   -15.52     0.01     0.07     0.78     0.19P    5.75R    5.75  
Mansfield        19   21   +0      -9.25     7.09    -6.31    62.67     7.82     6.83     0.37     2.44    15.60     6.64P    0.22R    0.22  
Scunthorpe       19   21   -1      -8.84     8.75    -6.66    62.04     8.11     4.99     0.35     2.44    14.44     6.09P    0.34R    0.34  
Crawley_Town     19   21   -6      -1.15    43.64     0.04    52.98     7.64   -13.88     0.01     0.10     1.26     0.28P    4.35R    4.35  
Leyton_Orient    19   20   -8      -0.76    46.48     0.42    48.67     7.62   -21.26     0.00     0.01     0.30     0.07P   12.14R   12.14  
Grimsby          16   19   -2      -0.33    48.69     1.47    55.00     8.09    -9.15     0.04     0.30     2.87     0.77P    2.85R    2.85  
Oldham           18   19   -7      -5.32    19.17    -6.47    58.76     8.04    -4.94     0.07     0.74     6.54     2.21P    1.01R    1.01  
Carlisle         19   19  -12      -4.75    22.71    -8.38    53.28     7.77   -16.12     0.00     0.08     1.30     0.35P    4.56R    4.56  
Walsall          19   19  -12      -6.02    17.39   -10.72    55.13     7.86   -12.78     0.01     0.19     2.39     0.79P    2.65R    2.65  
Stevenage        18   14   -9      -8.72     6.57    -6.54    49.53     7.81   -12.55     0.01     0.04     0.57     0.15P    9.39R    9.39  
Morecambe        19   14  -19      -4.73    21.54    -7.81    40.92     7.25   -34.43     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    50.86R   50.86  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 November 2019, AFC_Fylde 3 0 Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barrow             21   40  +14       7.70    86.95     8.93    78.46     7.54    20.23    22.31    74.69    34.17P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley            22   40  +12       6.03    80.24     6.34    76.97     7.41    17.93    16.55    68.07    27.81P    0.01R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors     22   37  +11       1.48    58.09     3.14    75.71     7.26    19.52    12.46    63.23    26.41P    0.01R    0.00  
Halifax            22   37   +4       7.51    86.29     4.70    69.72     7.10     3.99     2.43    28.01     7.40P    0.19R    0.01  
Yeovil             21   36  +10      -0.57    46.08    -1.61    79.55     7.67    23.82    28.35    78.98    44.88P    0.01R    0.00  
Harrogate_Town     22   36   +5       2.88    65.94     0.70    72.28     7.40     9.91     5.46    42.81    13.97P    0.10R    0.00  
Woking             22   35   +5       5.85    78.90     6.69    67.01     7.63     3.46     1.60    19.39     5.00P    0.92R    0.03  
Torquay            22   34   +6       4.30    72.44     7.22    65.63     7.67     3.45     1.20    15.75     4.09P    1.33R    0.07  
Dover_Athletic     21   32   +0       2.59    65.25    -0.84    66.20     7.50    -0.25     1.22    16.02     4.14P    0.97R    0.07  
Stockport          22   32   -7       7.90    87.44     2.33    58.29     7.18   -17.00     0.06     2.06     0.32P    9.83R    1.02  
Notts_County       22   31   +8      -6.96    16.40    -3.70    72.82     7.43    21.34     6.84    48.84    21.49P    0.09R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       22   30   +5      -0.51    47.56     4.58    63.21     7.27     5.45     0.36     8.83     2.08P    2.17R    0.15  
Dag_&_Red          22   30   +0      -0.00    50.43     0.30    62.88     7.27    -0.10     0.27     7.63     1.82P    2.66R    0.18  
Hartlepool         22   29   +0      -0.46    47.96     1.28    60.79     7.22    -1.91     0.17     4.68     1.06P    4.66R    0.40  
Eastleigh          21   29   -1       1.17    57.24     0.67    62.71     7.45    -2.04     0.32     7.55     1.80P    3.16R    0.21  
Barnet             22   28   -1      -3.13    32.98    -2.46    61.93     7.21     0.53     0.20     6.07     1.60P    3.08R    0.21  
Maidenhead         22   25   -1      -1.57    41.70     4.36    53.39     7.08    -7.93     0.01     0.50     0.09P   24.47R    3.70  
Aldershot          22   25   -9       0.24    52.46    -1.25    52.19     6.92   -17.30     0.00     0.19     0.04P   31.81R    5.36  
AFC_Fylde          21   24   -9      -6.49    17.26   -11.31    60.37     7.61    -6.06     0.13     4.44     1.23P    6.60R    0.64  
Chesterfield       21   22   -8      -6.77    16.13    -7.79    55.21     7.41    -9.89     0.03     1.01     0.24P   18.71R    2.81  
Wrexham            21   20   -7      -8.97     8.86    -7.41    55.30     7.38    -5.35     0.02     0.91     0.26P   17.69R    2.75  
Sutton_United      21   19   -8      -7.18    13.58    -4.15    49.83     7.34   -13.01     0.00     0.15     0.04P   43.72R   10.19  
Ebbsfleet_United   22   19  -10     -10.07     7.21    -7.90    50.73     7.33   -12.20     0.00     0.18     0.05P   38.60R    8.44  
Chorley            22   19  -19      -0.69    47.70    -2.81    40.50     6.79   -36.59     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.22R   63.76