Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 24 November 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 24 November 2019, Sheff_Utd 3 3 Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        13   37  +19       9.28    98.83     2.16    93.50     6.32    57.43    77.45    97.40    99.64    99.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        13   29  +23       7.05    92.15    16.82    73.51     7.34    39.13     1.14    10.61    52.55    83.40    97.63     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         13   28  +23      -2.82    23.41    -1.48    85.77     6.27    65.28    20.77    84.64    96.53    99.57    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          13   26   +9       2.68    70.13     0.54    72.12     7.31    28.25     0.63     6.71    41.07    76.03    95.87     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    13   19   +2       2.09    66.76     3.80    52.27     7.28    -0.10     0.00     0.01     0.29     1.82    17.39     0.81R    0.06  
Sheff_Utd        13   18   +4       2.78    71.94     8.10    48.79     7.34    -2.27     0.00     0.01     0.11     0.66     8.80     2.78R    0.26  
Burnley          13   18   +2       1.94    65.92     5.03    46.76     7.12    -8.13     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.32     5.12     4.25R    0.41  
Arsenal          13   18   -1      -3.03    27.45    -5.80    57.42     7.52     6.43     0.00     0.11     1.85     7.85    41.99     0.21R    0.02  
Man_Utd          13   17   +4      -4.87    16.93    -2.04    58.50     7.22    14.77     0.00     0.12     2.15     9.43    49.27     0.08R    0.01  
Tottenham        13   17   +2      -5.71    11.87    -5.48    61.80     7.42    18.49     0.01     0.40     5.66    20.00    67.38     0.03R    0.00  
Bournemouth      13   16   -1      -0.36    47.73     1.98    44.74     7.12   -11.93     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.17     2.97     7.81R    0.82  
Brighton         13   15   -4       1.10    60.20     2.65    40.14     6.81   -18.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.62    21.26R    3.41  
Crystal_Palace   13   15   -7       0.71    57.33    -1.18    47.14     7.26   -11.05     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.31     5.28     4.64R    0.54  
Newcastle        12   15   -7       1.32    62.31    -2.47    45.97     7.27   -14.39     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.27     3.89     6.16R    0.60  
Everton          13   14   -7      -4.17    20.70    -7.27    43.44     7.17   -15.72     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.11     2.07    11.01R    1.45  
West_Ham         13   13   -7      -3.19    26.80    -3.87    40.48     7.14   -20.33     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.87    21.37R    3.98  
Aston_Villa      12   11   -3      -1.63    37.62     4.69    38.73     7.55   -17.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.68    29.76R    7.20  
Norwich          13   10  -15      -1.09    42.60    -1.66    31.35     6.90   -40.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    71.84R   34.21  
Southampton      13    9  -18      -1.86    35.77    -5.17    35.69     7.10   -31.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12    47.09R   14.95  
Watford          13    8  -18      -5.12    13.61    -9.36    31.49     6.77   -37.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    70.90R   32.09  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 24 November 2019, Middlesbrough 2 2 Hull; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

West_Brom       17   36  +13       5.74    83.48     2.10    87.14     8.29    30.52    49.11    69.98    95.02    77.43P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    17   34  +13       5.86    83.50     5.92    82.33     8.11    25.60    23.13    47.57    87.78    59.16P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         17   31  +13       3.97    74.42     7.31    76.11     8.45    20.96     8.14    20.83    65.93    32.25P    0.03R    0.00  
Fulham          17   29   +8       1.44    59.03     1.52    72.54     8.54    13.56     3.83    11.26    49.05    21.05P    0.10R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   16   29   +7       6.33    86.30     5.73    73.71     8.32    12.38     4.06    12.21    53.51    21.62P    0.06R    0.00  
Swansea         17   29   +5       3.20    70.32     1.26    72.19     8.20    10.19     2.95     8.99    46.26    17.85P    0.14R    0.01  
Bristol_City    17   29   +4       4.21    75.97     1.83    71.21     8.25     7.69     2.35     7.41    40.83    14.97P    0.15R    0.01  
Brentford       17   27   +9      -0.27    48.14     3.12    72.80     8.30    18.05     3.86    11.10    51.21    22.52P    0.10R    0.01  
Sheff_Wed       17   25   +6       0.27    52.36     3.81    66.63     8.20     8.87     0.65     2.65    23.27     7.42P    0.62R    0.03  
Millwall        17   24   -2       3.43    72.81     1.92    60.49     8.06    -6.48     0.10     0.38     6.54     1.55P    4.45R    0.49  
Derby           17   24   -2      -0.96    43.82    -4.46    66.92     8.29     2.74     0.70     2.80    23.27     7.81P    0.78R    0.04  
QPR             17   24   -5       4.15    76.44     0.94    57.80     8.15   -15.21     0.03     0.18     3.64     0.68P    8.97R    1.24  
Charlton        17   23   +3       0.92    56.81     4.81    61.72     8.39     1.57     0.19     0.79    10.01     2.76P    3.55R    0.35  
Hull            17   23   +2      -0.77    45.15     1.44    63.47     8.40     2.68     0.30     1.27    13.87     3.95P    2.25R    0.23  
Birmingham      17   23   -5       2.16    65.44    -1.57    59.00     8.10   -10.43     0.04     0.24     4.69     1.03P    6.43R    0.75  
Cardiff         17   22   +0      -3.06    31.22    -2.55    64.32     8.56     3.79     0.51     1.95    16.68     5.87P    1.82R    0.21  
Blackburn       17   21   -3      -1.35    41.60    -1.16    58.20     8.23    -7.04     0.06     0.26     4.39     1.16P    8.03R    0.99  
Reading         16   18   -2      -0.68    46.23     2.92    54.06     8.25    -9.38     0.01     0.07     1.56     0.31P   18.04R    3.27  
Huddersfield    17   17   -6      -3.55    27.85    -1.96    50.91     8.07   -13.98     0.00     0.01     0.55     0.11P   28.89R    6.26  
Wigan           17   15  -12      -4.04    24.31    -5.94    49.15     7.92   -20.01     0.00     0.01     0.22     0.05P   38.33R    9.38  
Middlesbrough   17   14   -8      -9.53     4.64    -8.65    53.73     7.96    -7.38     0.00     0.03     1.11     0.34P   17.33R    3.17  
Luton           17   14   -9      -5.61    17.45    -2.80    48.09     8.35   -18.73     0.00     0.01     0.31     0.05P   43.42R   12.69  
Stoke           17   14  -11      -6.53    12.71    -7.09    49.69     8.05   -16.91     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.06P   35.16R    8.35  
Barnsley        17    9  -18      -8.49     6.28    -8.45    39.55     8.09   -33.07     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    81.35R   52.51  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 November 2019, AFC_Wimbledon 1 0 Gillingham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Wycombe              18   39  +14      11.91    97.64    10.31    75.18     7.58    14.75     8.55    19.13    61.34    26.28P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich              16   34  +15       6.00    84.98     5.94    82.56     8.00    30.55    37.43    56.00    88.55    65.05P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         18   31  +17      -0.31    47.53     6.42    75.62     7.61    31.81    10.46    23.52    66.75    35.12P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            17   30  +13       1.17    57.38     4.40    76.64     8.08    28.06    13.81    28.14    69.83    39.81P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             18   30   +3       4.47    77.47     1.79    65.05     7.44     2.51     0.50     1.69    14.65     4.06P    0.01R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           17   29  +18       1.53    59.84    11.47    74.40     7.85    31.20     8.92    19.75    60.55    30.02P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       16   29   +9       2.85    68.99     2.63    70.60     8.05    13.89     3.49     8.91    39.49    15.76P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            18   29   +5       2.72    67.23     2.59    66.72     7.44     8.23     0.80     2.69    20.78     6.46P    0.00R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       17   28   +1       4.10    75.85    -0.02    63.70     7.67    -1.16     0.40     1.33    11.91     3.33P    0.04R    0.00  
Sunderland           16   26   +6      -2.57    32.05    -4.43    74.17     7.94    20.88     7.61    17.53    57.72    30.12P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           16   24   +7      -3.36    27.30    -1.53    69.94     8.02    18.35     3.12     8.08    37.65    16.65P    0.01R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           17   24   -3       1.30    59.25    -2.45    59.29     7.52    -5.32     0.07     0.23     4.08     0.98P    0.29R    0.00  
Doncaster            15   23   +7      -0.90    43.63     2.01    70.57     8.19    19.27     3.58     9.15    40.75    17.27P    0.02R    0.00  
Gillingham           18   21   +0      -2.87    32.32     1.19    55.85     7.52    -1.50     0.02     0.07     1.70     0.46P    1.06R    0.01  
Burton_Albion        15   20   +2      -1.36    40.61     0.90    66.57     8.19    12.51     1.25     3.74    23.20     8.42P    0.05R    0.00  
Rochdale             19   19  -12      -1.97    38.45    -3.28    45.42     7.01   -25.57     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   15.11R    0.44  
Accrington_Stanley   18   18   -4      -3.68    27.51     0.86    50.00     7.44   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.04P    5.23R    0.11  
Lincoln_City         17   18   -4      -1.99    37.58     0.99    52.26     7.86    -7.98     0.00     0.02     0.74     0.18P    3.64R    0.09  
AFC_Wimbledon        18   16   -7      -4.34    23.15    -0.36    46.29     7.24   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   12.20R    0.36  
Tranmere             17   16  -11      -0.48    48.09     0.87    42.81     7.51   -27.73     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   27.77R    1.42  
MK_Dons              18   13  -14      -6.70    12.59    -6.27    39.00     7.24   -29.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.98R    3.72  
Southend             18    5  -35     -10.82     1.55   -18.98    28.26     6.90   -58.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.29R   43.09  
Bolton               15    1  -27      -0.16    50.68   -15.05    26.90     7.60   -49.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.28R   50.76  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 November 2019, Carlisle 0 0 Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot1     Bot1

Swindon          19   36  +10       6.13    83.36     4.40    78.11     7.83    17.62    16.80    44.79    81.05    53.49P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     18   34  +11       5.81    82.67     5.82    77.94     8.01    19.24    16.92    44.55    80.12    53.63P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            18   33  +10       5.70    81.95     6.09    74.22     8.10    14.17     8.23    27.01    65.06    35.30P    0.00R    0.00  
Exeter           19   33   +4       4.12    74.27    -0.24    74.48     7.68    10.66     7.17    26.46    65.80    36.32P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      19   31   +9       1.20    57.66     3.40    71.32     7.87    13.92     4.21    17.26    51.74    25.64P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       17   30  +13       4.76    78.60    10.15    72.45     8.17    17.06     5.98    21.52    57.34    29.48P    0.00R    0.00  
Bradford         17   30   +8       1.67    60.51     0.64    79.04     8.35    21.81    21.53    50.44    82.76    59.96P    0.00R    0.00  
Plymouth         18   29   +6      -0.14    48.97    -0.79    76.53     8.22    19.63    13.64    38.42    75.21    49.29P    0.00R    0.00  
Port_Vale        19   28   +0       4.16    75.33     2.93    62.04     7.56    -3.92     0.19     1.52    11.59     3.35P    0.20R    0.20  
Colchester       18   27   +6      -0.59    46.26     1.68    70.34     7.96    13.40     3.25    14.37    47.11    23.07P    0.01R    0.01  
Newport_County   17   27   +3       3.65    73.64     2.61    66.82     8.02     3.54     1.19     6.53    28.82    11.34P    0.03R    0.03  
Salford_City     19   25   -5       4.58    77.75     3.84    52.31     7.51   -20.07     0.01     0.09     1.04     0.26P    4.89R    4.89  
Cambridge_Utd    19   24   +4       0.10    51.49     6.71    59.10     7.60     1.74     0.09     0.76     6.67     1.98P    0.68R    0.68  
Macclesfield     18   22   -3       2.31    66.46     3.98    51.48     7.44   -15.69     0.00     0.04     0.74     0.14P    5.68R    5.68  
Mansfield        19   21   +0      -9.15     7.23    -6.17    62.52     7.84     6.62     0.33     2.41    15.24     6.24P    0.24R    0.24  
Scunthorpe       19   21   -1      -8.93     8.47    -6.81    62.21     8.09     5.26     0.31     2.28    14.62     6.00P    0.35R    0.35  
Crawley_Town     19   21   -6      -1.21    43.09    -0.07    53.06     7.58   -13.71     0.01     0.10     1.15     0.26P    4.10R    4.10  
Leyton_Orient    19   20   -8      -0.76    46.20     0.46    48.59     7.63   -21.39     0.00     0.02     0.33     0.07P   12.36R   12.36  
Grimsby          16   19   -2      -0.39    48.23     1.38    55.11     8.11    -9.02     0.03     0.30     2.92     0.83P    2.75R    2.75  
Oldham           18   19   -7      -5.25    19.66    -6.40    58.64     8.06    -5.07     0.08     0.82     6.41     2.16P    1.04R    1.04  
Carlisle         19   19  -12      -4.84    22.21    -8.53    53.39     7.74   -15.95     0.00     0.08     1.40     0.35P    4.39R    4.39  
Walsall          19   19  -12      -6.13    16.75   -10.87    55.16     7.83   -12.74     0.01     0.18     2.35     0.72P    2.65R    2.65  
Stevenage        18   14   -9      -8.64     6.68    -6.40    49.46     7.80   -12.65     0.00     0.02     0.51     0.13P    9.74R    9.74  
Morecambe        19   14  -19      -4.72    21.31    -7.79    40.91     7.22   -34.44     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   50.87R   50.87  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 November 2019, AFC_Fylde 3 0 Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barrow             21   40  +14       7.72    86.97     8.91    78.45     7.52    20.14    21.85    74.60    33.67P    0.01R    0.00  
Bromley            22   40  +12       5.84    79.37     6.11    77.06     7.42    18.12    16.87    68.63    28.32P    0.01R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors     22   37  +11       1.42    57.81     3.03    75.84     7.26    19.68    12.62    64.18    27.10P    0.01R    0.00  
Halifax            22   37   +4       7.50    86.02     4.68    69.81     7.12     4.09     2.39    28.56     7.44P    0.18R    0.00  
Yeovil             21   36  +10      -0.51    46.72    -1.54    79.46     7.71    23.72    28.27    78.59    44.55P    0.01R    0.00  
Harrogate_Town     22   36   +5       2.85    65.61     0.71    72.31     7.46     9.95     5.69    43.44    14.36P    0.08R    0.00  
Woking             22   35   +5       6.21    80.48     7.24    66.70     7.53     2.99     1.34    18.01     4.31P    0.83R    0.03  
Torquay            22   34   +6       4.36    72.42     7.34    65.59     7.65     3.41     1.22    15.43     4.04P    1.35R    0.07  
Dover_Athletic     21   32   +0       2.66    65.37    -0.74    66.11     7.45    -0.41     1.05    15.76     3.98P    1.06R    0.08  
Stockport          22   32   -7       7.87    87.03     2.27    58.29     7.20   -16.98     0.07     2.17     0.41P   10.07R    1.00  
Notts_County       22   31   +8      -6.90    16.56    -3.64    72.76     7.42    21.27     6.98    48.48    21.46P    0.08R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       22   30   +5      -0.64    46.81     4.38    63.31     7.25     5.61     0.39     8.81     2.24P    2.03R    0.11  
Dag_&_Red          22   30   +0      -0.11    50.10     0.13    63.00     7.24     0.06     0.32     7.74     1.91P    2.68R    0.21  
Hartlepool         22   29   +0      -0.34    48.52     1.42    60.77     7.28    -2.03     0.14     4.68     1.05P    4.88R    0.44  
Eastleigh          21   29   -1       1.12    57.08     0.61    62.79     7.50    -1.91     0.37     7.83     1.81P    3.18R    0.23  
Barnet             22   28   -1      -3.09    32.81    -2.46    61.84     7.27     0.46     0.22     5.85     1.50P    3.45R    0.27  
Maidenhead         22   25   -1      -1.47    42.48     4.60    53.18     7.06    -8.26     0.01     0.43     0.09P   25.48R    4.07  
Aldershot          22   25   -9       0.23    52.48    -1.24    52.10     6.94   -17.40     0.00     0.18     0.02P   32.62R    5.72  
AFC_Fylde          21   24   -9      -6.32    17.97   -11.09    60.24     7.56    -6.28     0.17     4.21     1.19P    6.78R    0.72  
Chesterfield       21   22   -8      -6.78    16.37    -7.77    55.28     7.52    -9.83     0.02     1.13     0.24P   18.94R    2.80  
Wrexham            21   20   -7      -9.07     8.32    -7.58    55.41     7.35    -5.22     0.01     0.95     0.25P   17.22R    2.73  
Sutton_United      21   19   -8      -7.16    13.82    -4.17    49.95     7.30   -12.86     0.00     0.15     0.02P   42.98R   10.33  
Ebbsfleet_United   22   19  -10     -10.19     6.94    -8.10    50.89     7.29   -11.96     0.01     0.18     0.04P   37.45R    8.06  
Chorley            22   19  -19      -0.86    46.50    -3.09    40.64     6.79   -36.37     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.63R   63.12