Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 23 November 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 November 2019, Arsenal 2 2 Southampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        13   37  +19       9.25    98.77     2.15    93.52     6.35    57.47    78.03    97.38    99.65    99.98   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        13   29  +23       7.15    92.38    17.01    73.36     7.30    38.88     1.09    10.70    52.11    82.40    97.53     0.00R    0.00  
Man_City         13   28  +23      -2.80    23.51    -1.35    85.62     6.28    64.78    20.21    84.24    96.47    99.49    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          13   26   +9       2.67    70.16     0.53    72.09     7.29    28.14     0.65     7.02    41.01    75.67    95.78     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    13   19   +2       2.04    66.41     3.69    52.25     7.23    -0.08     0.00     0.00     0.28     1.78    16.79     0.81R    0.04  
Burnley          13   18   +2       1.88    65.54     4.90    46.81     7.07    -7.97     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.33     4.82     4.10R    0.35  
Arsenal          13   18   -1      -3.01    27.27    -5.70    57.39     7.45     6.36     0.00     0.10     1.79     7.63    40.52     0.18R    0.01  
Sheff_Utd        12   17   +4       2.92    73.40     7.61    48.73     7.50    -2.55     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.71     8.82     3.12R    0.30  
Tottenham        13   17   +2      -5.74    11.58    -5.45    61.83     7.35    18.47     0.02     0.36     5.62    19.74    67.18     0.02R    0.00  
Man_Utd          12   16   +4      -4.17    19.65    -1.54    59.20     7.47    15.14     0.00     0.20     2.80    11.35    52.60     0.08R    0.00  
Bournemouth      13   16   -1      -0.36    47.91     1.96    44.76     7.16   -11.79     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.16     2.92     7.77R    0.91  
Brighton         13   15   -4       1.04    59.95     2.52    40.19     6.79   -18.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.58    20.74R    3.31  
Crystal_Palace   13   15   -7       0.64    56.33    -1.33    47.24     7.24   -10.85     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.30     5.03     4.67R    0.53  
Newcastle        12   15   -7       1.26    61.81    -2.56    46.02     7.26   -14.27     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.25     3.81     6.18R    0.63  
Everton          13   14   -7      -4.17    20.81    -7.30    43.47     7.12   -15.63     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.11     1.94    10.73R    1.40  
West_Ham         13   13   -7      -3.13    27.31    -3.85    40.42     7.09   -20.35     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.80    21.37R    3.81  
Aston_Villa      12   11   -3      -1.54    38.30     4.77    38.70     7.54   -17.43     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.69    29.81R    7.19  
Norwich          13   10  -15      -1.12    42.62    -1.69    31.36     6.86   -40.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    71.79R   33.81  
Southampton      13    9  -18      -1.87    35.56    -5.24    35.72     7.11   -31.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.16    46.91R   14.54  
Watford          13    8  -18      -4.96    14.36    -9.15    31.29     6.76   -37.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    71.71R   33.15  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 November 2019, Blackburn 3 2 Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

West_Brom       17   36  +13       5.69    83.14     2.05    87.20     8.30    30.61    49.09    70.02    95.11    77.56P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    17   34  +13       5.88    83.86     5.93    82.37     8.10    25.66    22.88    47.41    87.75    59.03P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         17   31  +13       3.92    74.20     7.27    76.20     8.43    21.13     8.20    21.00    66.13    32.44P    0.03R    0.00  
Fulham          17   29   +8       1.56    59.63     1.71    72.29     8.56    13.14     3.58    10.70    47.59    20.36P    0.15R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   16   29   +7       6.25    86.32     5.62    73.84     8.34    12.57     4.26    12.52    54.11    21.98P    0.06R    0.01  
Swansea         17   29   +5       3.24    70.81     1.34    72.23     8.22    10.24     3.12     9.17    46.26    17.96P    0.11R    0.00  
Bristol_City    17   29   +4       4.15    75.63     1.74    71.34     8.28     7.89     2.50     7.48    41.78    15.17P    0.17R    0.01  
Brentford       17   27   +9      -0.16    48.66     3.28    72.71     8.30    17.92     3.81    11.07    50.47    22.01P    0.08R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       17   25   +6       0.33    52.46     3.87    66.64     8.24     8.89     0.74     2.76    23.47     7.66P    0.68R    0.03  
Millwall        17   24   -2       3.36    72.36     1.78    60.67     8.02    -6.21     0.06     0.41     6.78     1.50P    4.03R    0.42  
Derby           17   24   -2      -1.02    43.52    -4.57    67.05     8.24     2.95     0.70     2.72    23.57     8.03P    0.66R    0.04  
QPR             17   24   -5       4.09    76.22     0.85    57.90     8.18   -15.02     0.03     0.19     3.70     0.71P    8.80R    1.29  
Charlton        17   23   +3       1.07    57.81     5.05    61.44     8.42     1.13     0.18     0.73     9.47     2.60P    3.75R    0.46  
Birmingham      17   23   -5       2.30    66.21    -1.39    58.69     8.11   -10.90     0.04     0.22     4.32     0.97P    7.03R    0.77  
Hull            16   22   +2      -0.51    47.01     1.26    63.48     8.55     2.23     0.32     1.39    14.14     4.20P    2.43R    0.26  
Cardiff         17   22   +0      -3.07    31.11    -2.57    64.27     8.56     3.82     0.42     1.82    16.44     5.66P    1.84R    0.19  
Blackburn       17   21   -3      -1.34    41.73    -1.17    58.18     8.25    -7.11     0.04     0.24     4.47     1.05P    8.16R    1.06  
Reading         16   18   -2      -0.81    45.17     2.70    54.20     8.19    -9.19     0.02     0.06     1.54     0.32P   17.42R    3.17  
Huddersfield    17   17   -6      -3.47    28.49    -1.84    50.88     8.16   -14.00     0.00     0.02     0.64     0.17P   29.69R    6.56  
Wigan           17   15  -12      -3.98    24.64    -5.84    48.96     7.90   -20.30     0.00     0.01     0.17     0.05P   39.37R   10.06  
Luton           17   14   -9      -5.69    17.56    -2.87    48.21     8.42   -18.58     0.00     0.01     0.33     0.08P   42.64R   12.68  
Stoke           17   14  -11      -6.57    12.63    -7.11    49.55     8.06   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.08P   35.78R    8.82  
Middlesbrough   16   13   -8      -8.90     5.37    -8.31    54.08     8.17    -7.31     0.01     0.04     1.40     0.38P   16.88R    3.20  
Barnsley        17    9  -18      -8.67     5.82    -8.78    39.88     8.12   -32.56     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   80.24R   50.93  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 November 2019, AFC_Wimbledon 1 0 Gillingham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Wycombe              18   39  +14      11.83    97.50    10.19    75.26     7.51    14.86     8.47    19.24    61.59    26.38P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich              16   34  +15       5.93    84.86     5.86    82.56     8.03    30.53    37.16    55.79    88.36    64.92P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         18   31  +17      -0.13    48.68     6.68    75.49     7.66    31.56    10.43    23.13    65.95    34.74P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            17   30  +13       1.07    56.75     4.25    76.75     8.09    28.25    14.28    28.74    69.98    40.33P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             18   30   +3       4.39    77.10     1.63    65.19     7.47     2.72     0.58     1.80    15.30     4.30P    0.02R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           17   29  +18       1.64    60.71    11.61    74.28     7.82    31.02     8.57    19.24    60.45    29.47P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       16   29   +9       2.89    69.15     2.70    70.48     8.05    13.68     3.45     8.71    38.98    15.63P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackpool            18   29   +5       2.59    66.38     2.42    66.77     7.48     8.31     0.81     2.65    21.14     6.45P    0.02R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       17   28   +1       3.96    75.24    -0.24    63.93     7.70    -0.80     0.46     1.50    12.52     3.56P    0.04R    0.00  
Sunderland           16   26   +6      -2.68    31.16    -4.55    74.31     7.95    21.15     7.69    18.19    58.59    30.87P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           16   24   +7      -3.26    27.89    -1.45    69.90     8.03    18.30     3.20     8.12    37.26    16.40P    0.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           17   24   -3       1.25    59.05    -2.51    59.31     7.55    -5.27     0.07     0.27     4.23     0.99P    0.26R    0.00  
Doncaster            15   23   +7      -0.80    44.34     2.17    70.45     8.19    19.03     3.61     8.94    39.98    17.00P    0.01R    0.00  
Gillingham           18   21   +0      -2.76    32.75     1.41    55.66     7.51    -1.78     0.02     0.09     1.65     0.41P    1.07R    0.02  
Burton_Albion        15   20   +2      -1.31    41.24     1.03    66.52     8.16    12.38     1.20     3.57    23.04     8.38P    0.04R    0.00  
Rochdale             19   19  -12      -1.94    38.65    -3.27    45.41     6.98   -25.59     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   15.20R    0.39  
Accrington_Stanley   18   18   -4      -3.65    27.56     0.95    49.89     7.47   -10.14     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.03P    5.66R    0.12  
Lincoln_City         17   18   -4      -1.98    37.72     1.05    52.24     7.83    -8.06     0.00     0.01     0.67     0.14P    3.54R    0.06  
AFC_Wimbledon        18   16   -7      -4.42    22.85    -0.51    46.43     7.28   -14.88     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   12.16R    0.43  
Tranmere             17   16  -11      -0.58    47.52     0.71    42.99     7.56   -27.43     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   26.98R    1.29  
MK_Dons              18   13  -14      -6.66    12.60    -6.22    38.96     7.21   -29.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.03R    3.82  
Southend             18    5  -35     -10.80     1.56   -18.97    28.22     6.86   -58.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.35R   42.77  
Bolton               15    1  -27      -0.05    51.61   -14.93    26.82     7.56   -49.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.62R   51.11  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 November 2019, Carlisle 0 0 Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot1     Bot1

Swindon          19   36  +10       6.12    83.11     4.32    78.11     7.83    17.67    16.78    44.90    81.20    53.71P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     18   34  +11       5.82    83.03     5.83    77.82     8.00    19.06    16.43    43.79    79.47    52.55P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            18   33  +10       5.71    82.03     6.11    74.14     8.14    14.03     8.09    26.99    64.42    35.01P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           19   33   +4       4.00    73.91    -0.38    74.65     7.69    10.88     7.37    27.03    66.88    36.97P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      19   31   +9       1.30    58.30     3.56    71.18     7.86    13.75     3.89    16.41    50.83    24.95P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       17   30  +13       4.66    78.14     9.98    72.59     8.20    17.25     5.99    22.27    58.20    30.42P    0.00R    0.00  
Bradford         17   30   +8       1.69    60.42     0.63    79.08     8.42    21.86    22.23    50.49    82.88    59.97P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         18   29   +6      -0.07    49.61    -0.70    76.54     8.26    19.60    13.71    38.66    75.30    49.65P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        19   28   +0       4.31    76.31     3.08    62.02     7.57    -3.95     0.20     1.56    11.53     3.27P    0.16R    0.16  
Colchester       18   27   +6      -0.69    45.59     1.57    70.35     8.01    13.47     3.24    14.51    47.09    23.28P    0.02R    0.02  
Newport_County   17   27   +3       3.61    73.39     2.57    66.89     7.99     3.59     1.26     6.55    29.11    11.48P    0.07R    0.07  
Salford_City     19   25   -5       4.59    77.64     3.86    52.29     7.52   -20.10     0.01     0.06     1.00     0.20P    5.01R    5.01  
Cambridge_Utd    19   24   +4       0.03    50.90     6.59    59.16     7.62     1.79     0.09     0.78     6.78     1.95P    0.59R    0.59  
Macclesfield     18   22   -3       2.20    65.67     3.83    51.68     7.48   -15.36     0.01     0.06     0.84     0.21P    5.42R    5.42  
Mansfield        19   21   +0      -9.12     7.33    -6.08    62.55     7.87     6.64     0.29     2.27    15.19     6.20P    0.24R    0.24  
Scunthorpe       19   21   -1      -8.82     8.75    -6.64    61.95     8.05     4.87     0.28     2.12    13.84     5.61P    0.34R    0.34  
Crawley_Town     19   21   -6      -1.18    43.29     0.02    52.99     7.64   -13.88     0.01     0.07     1.22     0.29P    4.15R    4.15  
Leyton_Orient    19   20   -8      -0.83    45.99     0.38    48.66     7.59   -21.33     0.00     0.01     0.35     0.08P   11.72R   11.72  
Grimsby          16   19   -2      -0.40    48.13     1.31    55.14     8.15    -8.98     0.03     0.31     3.17     0.86P    2.86R    2.86  
Oldham           18   19   -7      -5.28    19.50    -6.42    58.66     8.06    -5.02     0.07     0.79     6.43     2.12P    0.99R    0.99  
Carlisle         19   19  -12      -4.92    21.74    -8.65    53.57     7.72   -15.68     0.01     0.11     1.48     0.39P    4.22R    4.22  
Walsall          19   19  -12      -6.00    17.49   -10.70    55.02     7.85   -12.94     0.01     0.21     2.28     0.71P    2.63R    2.63  
Stevenage        18   14   -9      -8.66     6.67    -6.44    49.59     7.77   -12.47     0.00     0.03     0.50     0.13P    9.26R    9.26  
Morecambe        19   14  -19      -4.63    21.99    -7.63    40.70     7.22   -34.72     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    52.29R   52.29  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 November 2019, AFC_Fylde 3 0 Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barrow             21   40  +14       7.74    87.16     8.94    78.54     7.53    20.29    22.39    74.87    34.36P    0.00R    0.00  
Bromley            22   40  +12       6.05    80.35     6.40    76.89     7.42    17.84    16.21    67.60    27.62P    0.01R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors     22   37  +11       1.43    57.86     3.02    75.83     7.26    19.67    12.83    63.72    26.95P    0.01R    0.00  
Halifax            22   37   +4       7.45    86.21     4.62    69.76     7.11     4.03     2.36    28.13     7.17P    0.15R    0.01  
Yeovil             21   36  +10      -0.69    45.74    -1.79    79.59     7.66    23.93    28.37    79.16    45.31P    0.00R    0.00  
Harrogate_Town     22   36   +5       2.72    65.28     0.47    72.52     7.38    10.25     5.77    44.02    14.36P    0.09R    0.00  
Woking             22   35   +5       6.05    80.04     7.06    66.92     7.54     3.33     1.44    18.74     4.58P    0.73R    0.03  
Torquay            22   34   +6       4.25    72.03     7.09    65.64     7.63     3.54     1.20    15.59     3.91P    1.30R    0.09  
Dover_Athletic     21   32   +0       2.67    65.54    -0.77    66.12     7.50    -0.37     1.16    15.87     4.11P    1.09R    0.05  
Stockport          22   32   -7       7.76    86.77     2.17    58.36     7.27   -16.90     0.06     2.35     0.41P    9.97R    0.99  
Notts_County       22   31   +8      -6.80    16.95    -3.46    72.64     7.45    21.09     6.74    48.05    20.93P    0.12R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       22   30   +5      -0.64    46.64     4.36    63.30     7.21     5.64     0.34     8.81     2.21P    1.99R    0.12  
Dag_&_Red          22   30   +0      -0.13    49.80     0.10    62.98     7.22     0.04     0.27     7.62     1.78P    2.48R    0.17  
Hartlepool         22   29   +0      -0.45    47.95     1.28    60.85     7.25    -1.88     0.17     4.74     1.16P    4.51R    0.37  
Eastleigh          21   29   -1       1.17    57.30     0.70    62.72     7.48    -2.03     0.32     7.67     1.74P    3.18R    0.22  
Barnet             22   28   -1      -3.15    32.57    -2.52    61.93     7.25     0.55     0.21     6.10     1.58P    3.26R    0.25  
Maidenhead         22   25   -1      -1.44    42.53     4.62    53.16     7.04    -8.23     0.00     0.38     0.07P   25.40R    3.88  
Aldershot          22   25   -9       0.27    52.76    -1.15    52.11     6.88   -17.41     0.00     0.19     0.03P   32.57R    5.38  
AFC_Fylde          21   24   -9      -6.35    17.54   -11.15    60.18     7.55    -6.36     0.11     4.10     1.12P    6.68R    0.73  
Chesterfield       21   22   -8      -6.69    16.34    -7.63    55.16     7.50   -10.00     0.01     1.00     0.22P   19.06R    2.76  
Wrexham            21   20   -7      -8.91     9.12    -7.30    55.25     7.38    -5.44     0.01     0.97     0.30P   17.61R    2.82  
Sutton_United      21   19   -8      -7.17    13.84    -4.15    49.96     7.31   -12.87     0.00     0.15     0.05P   42.72R   10.06  
Ebbsfleet_United   22   19  -10     -10.05     7.29    -7.92    50.68     7.32   -12.28     0.00     0.16     0.04P   38.44R    8.49  
Chorley            22   19  -19      -0.78    47.06    -2.99    40.57     6.79   -36.43     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.63R   63.57