Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Saturday 23 November 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 November 2019, Arsenal 2 2 Southampton; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Liverpool 13 37 +19 9.25 98.77 2.15 93.52 6.35 57.47 78.03 97.38 99.65 99.98 100.00 0.00 0.00 Leicester 13 29 +23 7.15 92.38 17.01 73.36 7.30 38.88 1.09 10.70 52.11 82.40 97.53 0.00R 0.00 Man_City 13 28 +23 -2.80 23.51 -1.35 85.62 6.28 64.78 20.21 84.24 96.47 99.49 99.98 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 13 26 +9 2.67 70.16 0.53 72.09 7.29 28.14 0.65 7.02 41.01 75.67 95.78 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 13 19 +2 2.04 66.41 3.69 52.25 7.23 -0.08 0.00 0.00 0.28 1.78 16.79 0.81R 0.04 Burnley 13 18 +2 1.88 65.54 4.90 46.81 7.07 -7.97 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.33 4.82 4.10R 0.35 Arsenal 13 18 -1 -3.01 27.27 -5.70 57.39 7.45 6.36 0.00 0.10 1.79 7.63 40.52 0.18R 0.01 Sheff_Utd 12 17 +4 2.92 73.40 7.61 48.73 7.50 -2.55 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.71 8.82 3.12R 0.30 Tottenham 13 17 +2 -5.74 11.58 -5.45 61.83 7.35 18.47 0.02 0.36 5.62 19.74 67.18 0.02R 0.00 Man_Utd 12 16 +4 -4.17 19.65 -1.54 59.20 7.47 15.14 0.00 0.20 2.80 11.35 52.60 0.08R 0.00 Bournemouth 13 16 -1 -0.36 47.91 1.96 44.76 7.16 -11.79 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.16 2.92 7.77R 0.91 Brighton 13 15 -4 1.04 59.95 2.52 40.19 6.79 -18.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.58 20.74R 3.31 Crystal_Palace 13 15 -7 0.64 56.33 -1.33 47.24 7.24 -10.85 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.30 5.03 4.67R 0.53 Newcastle 12 15 -7 1.26 61.81 -2.56 46.02 7.26 -14.27 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.25 3.81 6.18R 0.63 Everton 13 14 -7 -4.17 20.81 -7.30 43.47 7.12 -15.63 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.11 1.94 10.73R 1.40 West_Ham 13 13 -7 -3.13 27.31 -3.85 40.42 7.09 -20.35 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.80 21.37R 3.81 Aston_Villa 12 11 -3 -1.54 38.30 4.77 38.70 7.54 -17.43 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.69 29.81R 7.19 Norwich 13 10 -15 -1.12 42.62 -1.69 31.36 6.86 -40.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 71.79R 33.81 Southampton 13 9 -18 -1.87 35.56 -5.24 35.72 7.11 -31.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.16 46.91R 14.54 Watford 13 8 -18 -4.96 14.36 -9.15 31.29 6.76 -37.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 71.71R 33.15Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 November 2019, Blackburn 3 2 Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 West_Brom 17 36 +13 5.69 83.14 2.05 87.20 8.30 30.61 49.09 70.02 95.11 77.56P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 17 34 +13 5.88 83.86 5.93 82.37 8.10 25.66 22.88 47.41 87.75 59.03P 0.00 0.00 Preston 17 31 +13 3.92 74.20 7.27 76.20 8.43 21.13 8.20 21.00 66.13 32.44P 0.03R 0.00 Fulham 17 29 +8 1.56 59.63 1.71 72.29 8.56 13.14 3.58 10.70 47.59 20.36P 0.15R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 16 29 +7 6.25 86.32 5.62 73.84 8.34 12.57 4.26 12.52 54.11 21.98P 0.06R 0.01 Swansea 17 29 +5 3.24 70.81 1.34 72.23 8.22 10.24 3.12 9.17 46.26 17.96P 0.11R 0.00 Bristol_City 17 29 +4 4.15 75.63 1.74 71.34 8.28 7.89 2.50 7.48 41.78 15.17P 0.17R 0.01 Brentford 17 27 +9 -0.16 48.66 3.28 72.71 8.30 17.92 3.81 11.07 50.47 22.01P 0.08R 0.00 Sheff_Wed 17 25 +6 0.33 52.46 3.87 66.64 8.24 8.89 0.74 2.76 23.47 7.66P 0.68R 0.03 Millwall 17 24 -2 3.36 72.36 1.78 60.67 8.02 -6.21 0.06 0.41 6.78 1.50P 4.03R 0.42 Derby 17 24 -2 -1.02 43.52 -4.57 67.05 8.24 2.95 0.70 2.72 23.57 8.03P 0.66R 0.04 QPR 17 24 -5 4.09 76.22 0.85 57.90 8.18 -15.02 0.03 0.19 3.70 0.71P 8.80R 1.29 Charlton 17 23 +3 1.07 57.81 5.05 61.44 8.42 1.13 0.18 0.73 9.47 2.60P 3.75R 0.46 Birmingham 17 23 -5 2.30 66.21 -1.39 58.69 8.11 -10.90 0.04 0.22 4.32 0.97P 7.03R 0.77 Hull 16 22 +2 -0.51 47.01 1.26 63.48 8.55 2.23 0.32 1.39 14.14 4.20P 2.43R 0.26 Cardiff 17 22 +0 -3.07 31.11 -2.57 64.27 8.56 3.82 0.42 1.82 16.44 5.66P 1.84R 0.19 Blackburn 17 21 -3 -1.34 41.73 -1.17 58.18 8.25 -7.11 0.04 0.24 4.47 1.05P 8.16R 1.06 Reading 16 18 -2 -0.81 45.17 2.70 54.20 8.19 -9.19 0.02 0.06 1.54 0.32P 17.42R 3.17 Huddersfield 17 17 -6 -3.47 28.49 -1.84 50.88 8.16 -14.00 0.00 0.02 0.64 0.17P 29.69R 6.56 Wigan 17 15 -12 -3.98 24.64 -5.84 48.96 7.90 -20.30 0.00 0.01 0.17 0.05P 39.37R 10.06 Luton 17 14 -9 -5.69 17.56 -2.87 48.21 8.42 -18.58 0.00 0.01 0.33 0.08P 42.64R 12.68 Stoke 17 14 -11 -6.57 12.63 -7.11 49.55 8.06 -17.00 0.00 0.00 0.35 0.08P 35.78R 8.82 Middlesbrough 16 13 -8 -8.90 5.37 -8.31 54.08 8.17 -7.31 0.01 0.04 1.40 0.38P 16.88R 3.20 Barnsley 17 9 -18 -8.67 5.82 -8.78 39.88 8.12 -32.56 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 80.24R 50.93League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 November 2019, AFC_Wimbledon 1 0 Gillingham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Wycombe 18 39 +14 11.83 97.50 10.19 75.26 7.51 14.86 8.47 19.24 61.59 26.38P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 16 34 +15 5.93 84.86 5.86 82.56 8.03 30.53 37.16 55.79 88.36 64.92P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 18 31 +17 -0.13 48.68 6.68 75.49 7.66 31.56 10.43 23.13 65.95 34.74P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 17 30 +13 1.07 56.75 4.25 76.75 8.09 28.25 14.28 28.74 69.98 40.33P 0.00 0.00 Coventry 18 30 +3 4.39 77.10 1.63 65.19 7.47 2.72 0.58 1.80 15.30 4.30P 0.02R 0.00 Oxford_Utd 17 29 +18 1.64 60.71 11.61 74.28 7.82 31.02 8.57 19.24 60.45 29.47P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 16 29 +9 2.89 69.15 2.70 70.48 8.05 13.68 3.45 8.71 38.98 15.63P 0.01R 0.00 Blackpool 18 29 +5 2.59 66.38 2.42 66.77 7.48 8.31 0.81 2.65 21.14 6.45P 0.02R 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 17 28 +1 3.96 75.24 -0.24 63.93 7.70 -0.80 0.46 1.50 12.52 3.56P 0.04R 0.00 Sunderland 16 26 +6 -2.68 31.16 -4.55 74.31 7.95 21.15 7.69 18.19 58.59 30.87P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 16 24 +7 -3.26 27.89 -1.45 69.90 8.03 18.30 3.20 8.12 37.26 16.40P 0.00R 0.00 Shrewsbury 17 24 -3 1.25 59.05 -2.51 59.31 7.55 -5.27 0.07 0.27 4.23 0.99P 0.26R 0.00 Doncaster 15 23 +7 -0.80 44.34 2.17 70.45 8.19 19.03 3.61 8.94 39.98 17.00P 0.01R 0.00 Gillingham 18 21 +0 -2.76 32.75 1.41 55.66 7.51 -1.78 0.02 0.09 1.65 0.41P 1.07R 0.02 Burton_Albion 15 20 +2 -1.31 41.24 1.03 66.52 8.16 12.38 1.20 3.57 23.04 8.38P 0.04R 0.00 Rochdale 19 19 -12 -1.94 38.65 -3.27 45.41 6.98 -25.59 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 15.20R 0.39 Accrington_Stanley 18 18 -4 -3.65 27.56 0.95 49.89 7.47 -10.14 0.00 0.00 0.21 0.03P 5.66R 0.12 Lincoln_City 17 18 -4 -1.98 37.72 1.05 52.24 7.83 -8.06 0.00 0.01 0.67 0.14P 3.54R 0.06 AFC_Wimbledon 18 16 -7 -4.42 22.85 -0.51 46.43 7.28 -14.88 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 12.16R 0.43 Tranmere 17 16 -11 -0.58 47.52 0.71 42.99 7.56 -27.43 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 26.98R 1.29 MK_Dons 18 13 -14 -6.66 12.60 -6.22 38.96 7.21 -29.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 48.03R 3.82 Southend 18 5 -35 -10.80 1.56 -18.97 28.22 6.86 -58.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 93.35R 42.77 Bolton 15 1 -27 -0.05 51.61 -14.93 26.82 7.56 -49.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 93.62R 51.11 Adjustments: Bolton -12 Bury -12League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 November 2019, Carlisle 0 0 Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot1 Bot1 Swindon 19 36 +10 6.12 83.11 4.32 78.11 7.83 17.67 16.78 44.90 81.20 53.71P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 18 34 +11 5.82 83.03 5.83 77.82 8.00 19.06 16.43 43.79 79.47 52.55P 0.00 0.00 Crewe 18 33 +10 5.71 82.03 6.11 74.14 8.14 14.03 8.09 26.99 64.42 35.01P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 19 33 +4 4.00 73.91 -0.38 74.65 7.69 10.88 7.37 27.03 66.88 36.97P 0.00 0.00 Northampton 19 31 +9 1.30 58.30 3.56 71.18 7.86 13.75 3.89 16.41 50.83 24.95P 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 17 30 +13 4.66 78.14 9.98 72.59 8.20 17.25 5.99 22.27 58.20 30.42P 0.00R 0.00 Bradford 17 30 +8 1.69 60.42 0.63 79.08 8.42 21.86 22.23 50.49 82.88 59.97P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 18 29 +6 -0.07 49.61 -0.70 76.54 8.26 19.60 13.71 38.66 75.30 49.65P 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 19 28 +0 4.31 76.31 3.08 62.02 7.57 -3.95 0.20 1.56 11.53 3.27P 0.16R 0.16 Colchester 18 27 +6 -0.69 45.59 1.57 70.35 8.01 13.47 3.24 14.51 47.09 23.28P 0.02R 0.02 Newport_County 17 27 +3 3.61 73.39 2.57 66.89 7.99 3.59 1.26 6.55 29.11 11.48P 0.07R 0.07 Salford_City 19 25 -5 4.59 77.64 3.86 52.29 7.52 -20.10 0.01 0.06 1.00 0.20P 5.01R 5.01 Cambridge_Utd 19 24 +4 0.03 50.90 6.59 59.16 7.62 1.79 0.09 0.78 6.78 1.95P 0.59R 0.59 Macclesfield 18 22 -3 2.20 65.67 3.83 51.68 7.48 -15.36 0.01 0.06 0.84 0.21P 5.42R 5.42 Mansfield 19 21 +0 -9.12 7.33 -6.08 62.55 7.87 6.64 0.29 2.27 15.19 6.20P 0.24R 0.24 Scunthorpe 19 21 -1 -8.82 8.75 -6.64 61.95 8.05 4.87 0.28 2.12 13.84 5.61P 0.34R 0.34 Crawley_Town 19 21 -6 -1.18 43.29 0.02 52.99 7.64 -13.88 0.01 0.07 1.22 0.29P 4.15R 4.15 Leyton_Orient 19 20 -8 -0.83 45.99 0.38 48.66 7.59 -21.33 0.00 0.01 0.35 0.08P 11.72R 11.72 Grimsby 16 19 -2 -0.40 48.13 1.31 55.14 8.15 -8.98 0.03 0.31 3.17 0.86P 2.86R 2.86 Oldham 18 19 -7 -5.28 19.50 -6.42 58.66 8.06 -5.02 0.07 0.79 6.43 2.12P 0.99R 0.99 Carlisle 19 19 -12 -4.92 21.74 -8.65 53.57 7.72 -15.68 0.01 0.11 1.48 0.39P 4.22R 4.22 Walsall 19 19 -12 -6.00 17.49 -10.70 55.02 7.85 -12.94 0.01 0.21 2.28 0.71P 2.63R 2.63 Stevenage 18 14 -9 -8.66 6.67 -6.44 49.59 7.77 -12.47 0.00 0.03 0.50 0.13P 9.26R 9.26 Morecambe 19 14 -19 -4.63 21.99 -7.63 40.70 7.22 -34.72 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 52.29R 52.29National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 November 2019, AFC_Fylde 3 0 Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Barrow 21 40 +14 7.74 87.16 8.94 78.54 7.53 20.29 22.39 74.87 34.36P 0.00R 0.00 Bromley 22 40 +12 6.05 80.35 6.40 76.89 7.42 17.84 16.21 67.60 27.62P 0.01R 0.00 Solihull_Moors 22 37 +11 1.43 57.86 3.02 75.83 7.26 19.67 12.83 63.72 26.95P 0.01R 0.00 Halifax 22 37 +4 7.45 86.21 4.62 69.76 7.11 4.03 2.36 28.13 7.17P 0.15R 0.01 Yeovil 21 36 +10 -0.69 45.74 -1.79 79.59 7.66 23.93 28.37 79.16 45.31P 0.00R 0.00 Harrogate_Town 22 36 +5 2.72 65.28 0.47 72.52 7.38 10.25 5.77 44.02 14.36P 0.09R 0.00 Woking 22 35 +5 6.05 80.04 7.06 66.92 7.54 3.33 1.44 18.74 4.58P 0.73R 0.03 Torquay 22 34 +6 4.25 72.03 7.09 65.64 7.63 3.54 1.20 15.59 3.91P 1.30R 0.09 Dover_Athletic 21 32 +0 2.67 65.54 -0.77 66.12 7.50 -0.37 1.16 15.87 4.11P 1.09R 0.05 Stockport 22 32 -7 7.76 86.77 2.17 58.36 7.27 -16.90 0.06 2.35 0.41P 9.97R 0.99 Notts_County 22 31 +8 -6.80 16.95 -3.46 72.64 7.45 21.09 6.74 48.05 20.93P 0.12R 0.00 Boreham_Wood 22 30 +5 -0.64 46.64 4.36 63.30 7.21 5.64 0.34 8.81 2.21P 1.99R 0.12 Dag_&_Red 22 30 +0 -0.13 49.80 0.10 62.98 7.22 0.04 0.27 7.62 1.78P 2.48R 0.17 Hartlepool 22 29 +0 -0.45 47.95 1.28 60.85 7.25 -1.88 0.17 4.74 1.16P 4.51R 0.37 Eastleigh 21 29 -1 1.17 57.30 0.70 62.72 7.48 -2.03 0.32 7.67 1.74P 3.18R 0.22 Barnet 22 28 -1 -3.15 32.57 -2.52 61.93 7.25 0.55 0.21 6.10 1.58P 3.26R 0.25 Maidenhead 22 25 -1 -1.44 42.53 4.62 53.16 7.04 -8.23 0.00 0.38 0.07P 25.40R 3.88 Aldershot 22 25 -9 0.27 52.76 -1.15 52.11 6.88 -17.41 0.00 0.19 0.03P 32.57R 5.38 AFC_Fylde 21 24 -9 -6.35 17.54 -11.15 60.18 7.55 -6.36 0.11 4.10 1.12P 6.68R 0.73 Chesterfield 21 22 -8 -6.69 16.34 -7.63 55.16 7.50 -10.00 0.01 1.00 0.22P 19.06R 2.76 Wrexham 21 20 -7 -8.91 9.12 -7.30 55.25 7.38 -5.44 0.01 0.97 0.30P 17.61R 2.82 Sutton_United 21 19 -8 -7.17 13.84 -4.15 49.96 7.31 -12.87 0.00 0.15 0.05P 42.72R 10.06 Ebbsfleet_United 22 19 -10 -10.05 7.29 -7.92 50.68 7.32 -12.28 0.00 0.16 0.04P 38.44R 8.49 Chorley 22 19 -19 -0.78 47.06 -2.99 40.57 6.79 -36.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 88.63R 63.57