Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 22 November 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 10 November 2019, Liverpool 3 1 Man_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        12   34  +18       8.39    98.32     2.18    92.42     6.53    57.42    76.15    97.01    99.57    99.96   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        12   26  +21       6.23    90.52    16.04    71.63     7.54    36.69     1.08     9.11    43.97    76.48    95.58     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          12   26  +10       3.36    75.61     0.29    72.53     7.42    27.62     1.23    10.25    48.06    77.89    95.97     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         12   25  +22      -3.63    16.82    -1.18    84.76     6.49    65.45    21.52    82.66    95.63    99.19    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        12   17   +4       2.94    73.80     7.65    48.71     7.48    -2.54     0.00     0.01     0.16     0.81     8.83     3.23R    0.25  
Arsenal          12   17   -1      -2.09    33.18    -4.83    59.05     7.67     8.69     0.00     0.35     3.66    12.54    50.38     0.11R    0.01  
Man_Utd          12   16   +4      -4.17    19.46    -1.54    58.98     7.40    14.93     0.00     0.26     3.17    12.11    51.18     0.06R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    12   16   +1       0.58    55.69     3.03    50.28     7.48    -1.56     0.00     0.01     0.26     1.42    11.87     2.03R    0.12  
Bournemouth      12   16   +0       0.84    57.58     2.61    46.79     7.34    -9.83     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.44     5.23     5.27R    0.43  
Burnley          12   15   -1       0.86    58.59     2.87    43.98     7.23   -13.01     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.18     2.50    10.47R    1.12  
Brighton         12   15   -2       1.61    64.67     3.39    41.58     7.02   -16.48     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     1.05    16.73R    2.02  
Crystal_Palace   12   15   -6       1.29    62.34    -1.59    47.74     7.41   -11.28     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.54     6.08     4.58R    0.34  
Newcastle        12   15   -7       1.28    62.03    -2.48    46.17     7.27   -14.09     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.32     4.02     6.42R    0.53  
Tottenham        12   14   +1      -6.62     7.42    -5.30    60.50     7.61    17.97     0.02     0.34     5.19    17.46    59.95     0.07R    0.01  
Everton          12   14   -5      -2.65    29.82    -5.11    46.69     7.39   -10.77     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.48     5.25     5.40R    0.50  
West_Ham         12   13   -6      -2.26    32.63    -3.79    41.64     7.26   -19.57     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     1.30    18.07R    2.48  
Aston_Villa      12   11   -3      -1.70    36.91     4.66    38.78     7.55   -17.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.65    30.63R    6.16  
Watford          12    8  -15      -4.25    17.38    -7.27    33.94     7.02   -32.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    58.47R   17.23  
Southampton      12    8  -18      -2.03    33.45    -6.15    34.80     7.18   -34.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15    54.04R   16.26  
Norwich          12    7  -17      -2.78    27.47    -3.47    28.23     7.00   -45.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    84.45R   52.54  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 22 November 2019, Fulham 2 1 QPR; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

West_Brom       16   33  +12       4.67    79.05     1.96    85.75     8.53    29.83    43.32    63.19    92.49    71.65P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         16   31  +14       5.04    80.65     7.89    77.69     8.72    22.30    12.32    26.90    70.57    37.71P    0.03R    0.00  
Leeds_United    16   31  +12       4.71    79.36     5.59    80.64     8.34    24.50    18.50    38.55    81.80    50.87P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          17   29   +8       1.37    58.69     1.44    72.48     8.53    13.44     4.03    10.96    47.17    20.45P    0.15R    0.01  
Swansea         16   29   +6       4.49    78.28     2.16    74.95     8.51    13.14     6.60    16.01    58.13    26.42P    0.05R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   15   28   +7       6.46    87.79     5.45    73.97     8.58    12.23     5.20    13.59    53.40    22.65P    0.10R    0.00  
Bristol_City    16   28   +4       4.60    78.64     1.86    72.14     8.51     8.47     3.49     9.57    44.61    17.28P    0.16R    0.01  
Sheff_Wed       16   25   +7       1.09    57.84     3.96    67.76     8.47     9.51     1.23     4.01    27.03     9.43P    0.59R    0.03  
Brentford       16   24   +8      -1.34    40.93     2.95    71.75     8.45    17.88     3.31     9.53    45.23    19.58P    0.19R    0.01  
QPR             17   24   -5       4.24    76.94     1.14    57.75     8.18   -15.34     0.03     0.19     3.50     0.65P    9.24R    1.32  
Charlton        16   22   +3       1.40    60.28     4.94    61.94     8.60     1.43     0.22     0.95    10.45     2.93P    3.62R    0.40  
Hull            16   22   +2      -0.55    46.91     1.23    63.60     8.56     2.43     0.42     1.51    13.90     4.35P    2.49R    0.29  
Birmingham      16   22   -5       2.63    68.71    -1.42    58.89     8.26   -11.10     0.06     0.27     4.51     1.03P    7.38R    0.98  
Cardiff         16   21   +0      -2.63    33.09    -2.43    64.48     8.80     3.54     0.59     2.03    16.81     5.84P    2.18R    0.25  
Millwall        16   21   -3       1.71    62.56     0.85    57.88     8.25    -9.04     0.06     0.25     3.71     0.90P    8.65R    1.33  
Derby           16   21   -3      -2.37    34.53    -5.19    65.28     8.50     1.72     0.55     2.10    17.83     6.08P    1.52R    0.13  
Reading         15   18   -1       0.06    51.41     3.03    55.12     8.44    -9.00     0.02     0.13     2.16     0.48P   15.50R    2.94  
Blackburn       16   18   -4      -2.37    34.68    -1.29    56.76     8.44    -7.79     0.04     0.17     3.24     0.78P   11.53R    2.01  
Huddersfield    16   16   -6      -3.09    30.14    -1.85    51.41     8.38   -13.80     0.00     0.03     0.83     0.24P   28.16R    6.43  
Wigan           16   15  -11      -3.08    29.59    -5.53    50.78     8.20   -18.62     0.00     0.01     0.50     0.10P   31.87R    7.70  
Luton           16   14   -8      -4.74    21.31    -2.53    49.39     8.71   -17.87     0.01     0.02     0.56     0.13P   38.06R   11.19  
Middlesbrough   16   13   -8      -9.00     5.08    -8.42    54.27     8.14    -7.06     0.01     0.05     1.39     0.41P   16.52R    3.11  
Stoke           16   11  -12      -7.85     7.38    -7.60    47.83     8.18   -18.14     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.04P   44.31R   13.66  
Barnsley        16    9  -17      -7.49     8.28    -8.15    40.51     8.29   -32.66     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    77.69R   48.19  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 17 November 2019, Tranmere 0 2 Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Wycombe              17   36  +13      10.66    96.65     9.94    73.11     7.67    13.05     5.62    14.31    53.83    20.95P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich              15   33  +15       6.77    88.89     6.61    83.89     8.26    31.80    44.97    63.66    91.79    71.47P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             17   29   +3       4.52    78.46     1.35    64.49     7.64     1.20     0.50     1.75    15.67     4.34P    0.03R    0.00  
Peterborough         17   28  +16      -1.31    40.91     6.36    74.11     7.88    30.78     8.11    19.86    62.31    31.44P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            17   28   +5       2.68    67.77     2.00    66.39     7.59     7.24     0.84     2.83    22.34     6.84P    0.01R    0.00  
Rotherham            16   27  +12       0.07    50.08     4.31    75.32     8.27    27.30    11.03    24.74    66.45    36.90P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           16   26  +14       1.34    59.22     9.83    71.78     8.06    25.45     5.26    13.24    50.02    21.87P    0.01R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       15   26   +8       1.99    63.99     2.87    69.91     8.21    14.32     3.34     8.66    39.44    15.68P    0.01R    0.00  
Sunderland           15   25   +6      -1.81    36.35    -3.81    75.31     8.13    21.95    10.13    23.30    65.67    36.67P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       16   25   +0       2.53    67.51    -0.90    61.35     7.80    -2.93     0.22     0.82     8.56     2.14P    0.21R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           16   24   -2       2.47    67.53    -1.81    61.21     7.68    -3.32     0.14     0.63     7.89     2.04P    0.16R    0.00  
Doncaster            14   23   +8       0.25    51.50     2.66    72.16     8.44    20.52     5.72    14.50    51.07    24.13P    0.01R    0.00  
Portsmouth           15   21   +4      -4.00    23.08    -2.96    67.58     8.33    14.19     2.06     5.71    29.91    12.49P    0.04R    0.00  
Gillingham           17   21   +1      -1.60    39.84     2.03    57.23     7.72    -0.54     0.04     0.20     3.30     0.79P    0.97R    0.03  
Burton_Albion        14   20   +3      -0.45    47.08     1.18    67.75     8.44    13.10     2.00     5.76    30.70    12.01P    0.04R    0.00  
Rochdale             18   19   -9      -1.39    41.89    -1.68    47.11     7.24   -21.92     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.03P   12.41R    0.57  
Lincoln_City         17   18   -4      -2.00    37.57     0.97    52.11     7.80    -8.16     0.00     0.02     0.76     0.18P    4.12R    0.14  
Tranmere             16   16  -10       0.19    53.13     0.52    43.75     7.75   -27.48     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   26.62R    2.38  
Accrington_Stanley   17   15  -10      -3.58    27.04    -2.63    46.74     7.51   -18.33     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   14.14R    0.89  
AFC_Wimbledon        17   13   -8      -5.82    14.74    -1.06    44.37     7.45   -16.50     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   21.10R    1.75  
MK_Dons              17   13  -13      -5.84    15.31    -6.22    40.15     7.41   -28.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.91R    5.34  
Southend             17    5  -31     -10.64     1.65   -17.32    29.98     7.20   -53.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.96R   45.71  
Bolton               14    1  -21      -0.46    48.00   -12.25    30.09     7.97   -39.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.24R   43.20  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 November 2019, Crawley_Town 1 1 Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot1     Bot1

Swindon          18   33   +9       4.86    78.42     3.86    76.37     8.08    16.47    13.27    39.82    75.69    48.44P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     17   31   +9       4.99    79.86     4.95    75.90     8.12    16.64    12.35    37.60    73.93    46.62P    0.00R    0.00  
Bradford         16   30   +9       2.51    65.94     0.82    80.94     8.70    23.63    32.40    61.97    87.59    69.58P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            17   30   +5       5.63    82.43     3.46    71.75     8.27     7.89     5.36    20.43    54.35    27.44P    0.01R    0.01  
Exeter           18   30   +3       2.93    68.21    -0.56    72.68     7.99     9.42     5.68    22.84    58.60    31.93P    0.00R    0.00  
Cheltenham       16   29  +13       5.07    80.82    10.10    72.99     8.46    17.28     7.88    26.79    61.71    34.61P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      18   28   +7       0.41    52.73     2.66    69.53     8.10    11.70     3.21    14.38    44.99    22.04P    0.02R    0.02  
Port_Vale        18   28   +1       5.09    80.24     3.26    63.14     7.87    -3.33     0.50     3.13    16.52     5.58P    0.22R    0.22  
Newport_County   16   27   +4       4.68    79.57     3.16    69.03     8.26     5.67     2.79    12.36    41.25    18.72P    0.04R    0.04  
Colchester       17   26   +6      -0.31    48.12     1.54    70.62     8.18    13.28     4.42    17.54    50.49    26.53P    0.02R    0.02  
Plymouth         17   26   +5      -1.42    40.97    -1.30    74.44     8.50    17.92    10.74    32.45    67.98    43.22P    0.00R    0.00  
Salford_City     18   24   -5       5.04    80.12     4.10    52.85     7.77   -20.04     0.02     0.14     1.54     0.33P    6.16R    6.16  
Cambridge_Utd    18   23   +4       0.17    51.84     6.40    59.37     7.84     1.46     0.14     1.15     8.45     2.72P    0.88R    0.88  
Mansfield        18   21   +1      -8.12     9.29    -5.66    64.25     8.13     8.13     0.77     5.08    22.89    10.45P    0.21R    0.21  
Macclesfield     17   21   -3       2.55    68.52     3.93    51.89     7.73   -15.76     0.01     0.10     1.21     0.27P    7.23R    7.23  
Crawley_Town     18   21   -5      -0.12    50.37     0.65    54.29     7.86   -13.01     0.02     0.20     2.39     0.65P    4.14R    4.14  
Leyton_Orient    18   20   -6      -0.23    49.73     0.99    50.45     7.83   -18.29     0.00     0.04     0.77     0.17P   10.44R   10.44  
Grimsby          15   19   +0       0.33    53.27     2.45    56.50     8.48    -7.02     0.06     0.73     5.38     1.65P    3.05R    3.05  
Scunthorpe       18   18   -2      -9.87     5.83    -6.75    60.74     8.30     4.47     0.27     2.07    12.87     5.38P    0.84R    0.84  
Carlisle         18   18  -12      -4.43    23.70    -8.40    53.85     8.02   -15.93     0.01     0.18     2.08     0.60P    5.43R    5.43  
Walsall          18   18  -12      -5.59    18.47   -10.57    55.85     8.15   -12.41     0.04     0.41     3.75     1.24P    3.27R    3.27  
Oldham           17   16   -8      -6.82    12.27    -7.24    56.43     8.31    -7.00     0.05     0.53     4.86     1.64P    3.01R    3.01  
Morecambe        18   14  -14      -4.83    20.67    -5.25    42.91     7.54   -28.22     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   42.84R   42.84  
Stevenage        17   13   -9      -8.48     6.61    -6.59    49.66     8.02   -12.95     0.00     0.05     0.68     0.17P   12.20R   12.20  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 November 2019, Barnet 1 2 Stockport; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barrow             20   37  +13       6.53    83.63     8.57    76.73     7.74    19.05    16.06    65.67    27.12P    0.01R    0.00  
Bromley            21   37  +10       5.03    76.50     5.33    75.05     7.70    15.46    11.34    57.02    21.34P    0.03R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors     21   36  +11       1.68    59.67     2.82    76.64     7.50    20.38    15.25    66.02    29.30P    0.02R    0.00  
Halifax            21   36   +4       7.91    88.16     4.74    70.28     7.35     4.28     2.97    30.55     7.98P    0.15R    0.00  
Yeovil             20   35  +10      -0.03    49.30    -1.27    80.11     7.88    24.03    30.93    79.63    46.82P    0.01R    0.00  
Torquay            21   34   +7       5.49    78.03     7.93    68.17     7.91     6.33     2.59    24.35     6.77P    0.65R    0.04  
Harrogate_Town     21   33   +3       1.75    60.22    -0.55    70.50     7.62     7.69     3.65    33.02    10.35P    0.25R    0.00  
Woking             21   32   +4       4.83    75.58     6.54    64.78     7.76     1.69     0.86    12.61     3.06P    1.99R    0.10  
Notts_County       21   31   +9      -5.63    20.65    -2.81    75.27     7.60    24.01    12.44    60.57    29.43P    0.05R    0.00  
Dover_Athletic     20   31   +0       3.08    68.15    -0.73    66.17     7.74    -0.82     1.29    16.30     4.19P    1.26R    0.04  
Stockport          21   31   -7       8.08    88.21     2.04    58.48     7.53   -17.33     0.08     2.68     0.44P   10.36R    0.73  
Dag_&_Red          21   30   +3       0.35    52.44     1.72    65.20     7.51     4.34     0.85    13.35     3.57P    1.46R    0.05  
Boreham_Wood       21   29   +5      -0.21    49.29     4.39    63.53     7.45     5.50     0.42     9.64     2.43P    2.13R    0.09  
Hartlepool         21   28   +0      -0.06    50.24     1.27    61.31     7.45    -1.64     0.22     5.33     1.26P    4.38R    0.23  
Barnet             21   28   +0      -2.12    37.97    -2.07    63.33     7.44     1.60     0.45     8.63     2.38P    2.39R    0.11  
Eastleigh          20   28   -1       1.64    60.63     0.84    62.78     7.64    -2.44     0.41     7.84     1.84P    3.42R    0.15  
Maidenhead         21   25   +0      -0.36    48.62     5.08    54.71     7.23    -6.82     0.01     0.75     0.11P   19.10R    1.89  
Chesterfield       20   22   -6      -6.02    18.18    -6.80    56.90     7.70    -7.41     0.08     1.93     0.48P   13.60R    1.34  
Aldershot          21   22  -10      -1.45    42.44    -2.37    49.49     7.06   -19.83     0.00     0.07     0.02P   46.86R    7.58  
AFC_Fylde          20   21  -12      -7.22    13.78   -13.00    57.83     7.84   -10.47     0.07     2.43     0.69P   12.32R    1.19  
Sutton_United      20   19   -6      -6.36    16.21    -2.98    51.78     7.60   -10.24     0.00     0.36     0.08P   33.16R    4.80  
Wrexham            20   19   -7      -8.52     9.19    -7.36    55.13     7.57    -5.98     0.02     1.01     0.28P   18.23R    2.24  
Ebbsfleet_United   21   18  -10      -9.72     7.45    -8.04    51.42     7.51   -11.73     0.00     0.24     0.06P   34.75R    5.22  
Chorley            21   16  -20      -2.13    38.60    -3.28    37.73     6.93   -39.64     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.43R   74.18