Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 21 November 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 10 November 2019, Liverpool 3 1 Man_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        12   34  +18       8.34    98.29     2.05    92.51     6.57    57.64    76.89    97.00    99.50    99.95   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        12   26  +21       6.19    90.39    16.01    71.73     7.50    36.90     1.02     9.02    44.89    76.92    95.69     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          12   26  +10       3.34    75.47     0.26    72.52     7.45    27.63     1.17    10.47    47.46    77.66    95.76     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         12   25  +22      -3.59    17.07    -1.10    84.67     6.51    65.29    20.90    82.51    95.36    99.13    99.94     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        12   17   +4       2.98    74.14     7.73    48.68     7.47    -2.63     0.00     0.01     0.15     0.83     8.49     3.20R    0.25  
Arsenal          12   17   -1      -2.09    33.03    -4.88    59.17     7.64     8.86     0.01     0.33     3.57    12.57    50.85     0.12R    0.00  
Man_Utd          12   16   +4      -4.19    19.47    -1.57    59.00     7.45    14.96     0.00     0.24     3.13    11.78    51.19     0.10R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    12   16   +1       0.57    55.51     2.98    50.30     7.48    -1.54     0.00     0.01     0.23     1.31    11.88     1.94R    0.14  
Bournemouth      12   16   +0       0.86    57.96     2.61    46.71     7.38    -9.87     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.45     5.13     5.44R    0.42  
Burnley          12   15   -1       0.84    58.30     2.83    44.08     7.23   -12.90     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.18     2.47    10.07R    1.04  
Brighton         12   15   -2       1.66    65.37     3.47    41.54     7.07   -16.56     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     1.11    17.17R    2.01  
Crystal_Palace   12   15   -6       1.22    61.56    -1.64    47.79     7.40   -11.26     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.55     6.27     4.47R    0.38  
Newcastle        12   15   -7       1.27    62.06    -2.45    46.11     7.20   -14.14     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.25     3.71     6.41R    0.60  
Tottenham        12   14   +1      -6.66     7.10    -5.41    60.60     7.62    18.15     0.01     0.41     5.40    17.69    60.33     0.08R    0.01  
Everton          12   14   -5      -2.61    30.41    -5.05    46.56     7.41   -11.02     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.54     5.00     5.67R    0.58  
West_Ham         12   13   -6      -2.25    32.82    -3.73    41.57     7.27   -19.69     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08     1.24    18.35R    2.50  
Aston_Villa      12   11   -3      -1.69    36.80     4.70    38.81     7.46   -17.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.71    30.11R    5.82  
Watford          12    8  -15      -4.32    17.02    -7.32    33.97     7.10   -32.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09    58.23R   17.21  
Southampton      12    8  -18      -2.02    33.54    -6.20    34.86     7.16   -34.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10    53.46R   15.59  
Norwich          12    7  -17      -2.70    28.05    -3.29    28.08     6.95   -46.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    85.19R   53.45  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 10 November 2019, Cardiff 0 1 Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

West_Brom       16   33  +12       4.75    79.66     2.07    85.69     8.46    29.72    43.02    63.27    92.70    71.79P    0.00R    0.00  
Preston         16   31  +14       4.86    79.72     7.62    78.03     8.65    22.88    12.74    28.23    72.65    39.37P    0.02R    0.00  
Leeds_United    16   31  +12       4.75    79.35     5.69    80.58     8.34    24.37    18.88    38.56    81.91    50.90P    0.00R    0.00  
Swansea         16   29   +6       4.69    78.92     2.44    74.62     8.45    12.69     6.05    15.06    56.84    25.24P    0.06R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   15   28   +7       6.46    87.71     5.46    74.13     8.55    12.43     5.37    14.04    54.47    23.11P    0.06R    0.00  
Bristol_City    16   28   +4       4.63    78.36     1.91    72.05     8.57     8.33     3.50     9.65    44.68    17.33P    0.18R    0.02  
Fulham          16   26   +7       0.47    53.03     1.55    71.26     8.85    13.13     3.54     9.73    42.64    18.46P    0.30R    0.01  
Sheff_Wed       16   25   +7       1.12    58.21     4.01    67.73     8.37     9.46     1.31     3.86    26.92     9.25P    0.59R    0.04  
Brentford       16   24   +8      -1.27    41.32     3.03    71.71     8.51    17.87     3.44     9.74    45.17    19.78P    0.21R    0.01  
QPR             16   24   -4       4.97    81.14     1.07    58.58     8.41   -15.30     0.07     0.30     4.71     1.01P    8.54R    1.24  
Charlton        16   22   +3       1.30    59.44     4.88    61.97     8.73     1.43     0.24     0.97    10.80     3.13P    3.98R    0.53  
Hull            16   22   +2      -0.50    46.88     1.31    63.48     8.53     2.14     0.42     1.43    13.64     4.09P    2.57R    0.26  
Birmingham      16   22   -5       2.59    68.54    -1.43    59.02     8.23   -10.96     0.08     0.30     4.59     1.06P    7.22R    0.96  
Cardiff         16   21   +0      -2.70    32.76    -2.55    64.59     8.79     3.66     0.63     2.18    17.44     6.23P    2.10R    0.24  
Millwall        16   21   -3       1.64    62.28     0.74    57.92     8.24    -9.01     0.04     0.22     3.90     0.81P    8.73R    1.35  
Derby           16   21   -3      -2.37    34.54    -5.17    65.29     8.47     1.65     0.60     2.06    18.02     6.14P    1.50R    0.13  
Reading         15   18   -1       0.06    51.21     2.99    55.07     8.40    -9.08     0.02     0.09     2.14     0.45P   15.70R    3.12  
Blackburn       16   18   -4      -2.35    34.76    -1.21    56.69     8.52    -7.87     0.04     0.20     3.40     0.94P   11.90R    2.29  
Huddersfield    16   16   -6      -3.11    29.94    -1.88    51.50     8.26   -13.67     0.00     0.03     0.80     0.19P   27.49R    6.31  
Wigan           16   15  -11      -3.05    29.92    -5.45    50.66     8.09   -18.80     0.00     0.01     0.43     0.10P   32.32R    7.94  
Luton           16   14   -8      -4.84    20.74    -2.71    49.49     8.66   -17.64     0.00     0.02     0.60     0.14P   37.97R   11.23  
Middlesbrough   16   13   -8      -8.96     5.24    -8.37    54.20     8.12    -7.16     0.01     0.06     1.35     0.40P   16.94R    3.29  
Stoke           16   11  -12      -7.78     7.43    -7.53    47.77     8.22   -18.22     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.05P   45.02R   14.13  
Barnsley        16    9  -17      -7.67     8.07    -8.47    40.85     8.44   -32.07     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   76.59R   46.92  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 17 November 2019, Tranmere 0 2 Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Wycombe              17   36  +13      10.66    96.56     9.95    73.19     7.70    13.17     5.64    14.33    53.83    20.94P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich              15   33  +15       6.79    89.21     6.62    83.92     8.30    31.78    45.13    63.77    91.70    71.79P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             17   29   +3       4.53    78.29     1.34    64.48     7.61     1.12     0.48     1.69    15.29     4.33P    0.03R    0.00  
Peterborough         17   28  +16      -1.39    40.40     6.24    74.18     7.88    30.91     7.94    19.87    62.68    31.51P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            17   28   +5       2.90    68.90     2.33    66.05     7.59     6.70     0.83     2.60    21.02     6.27P    0.02R    0.00  
Rotherham            16   27  +12       0.06    50.20     4.37    75.19     8.32    27.10    10.75    24.33    65.75    36.32P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           16   26  +14       1.14    57.80     9.53    71.99     8.07    25.79     5.56    13.52    51.38    22.51P    0.00R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       15   26   +8       1.96    63.82     2.77    70.04     8.22    14.49     3.31     9.12    40.29    16.19P    0.01R    0.00  
Sunderland           15   25   +6      -1.88    36.05    -3.97    75.48     8.17    22.22    10.56    23.83    66.34    37.33P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       16   25   +0       2.55    67.64    -0.88    61.25     7.83    -3.05     0.22     0.86     8.60     2.31P    0.23R    0.01  
Shrewsbury           16   24   -2       2.36    66.81    -2.01    61.39     7.66    -3.02     0.14     0.66     8.32     2.05P    0.15R    0.00  
Doncaster            14   23   +8       0.33    52.10     2.76    72.08     8.45    20.41     5.76    14.26    50.79    23.69P    0.01R    0.00  
Portsmouth           15   21   +4      -4.01    23.07    -3.00    67.50     8.21    14.10     1.78     5.31    29.64    12.11P    0.05R    0.00  
Gillingham           17   21   +1      -1.73    39.22     1.84    57.38     7.70    -0.33     0.05     0.20     3.34     0.78P    0.87R    0.02  
Burton_Albion        14   20   +3      -0.41    47.16     1.26    67.57     8.47    12.86     1.84     5.60    30.02    11.70P    0.05R    0.00  
Rochdale             18   19   -9      -1.52    40.84    -1.82    47.24     7.23   -21.70     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P   11.79R    0.56  
Lincoln_City         17   18   -4      -1.96    37.80     1.06    52.03     7.86    -8.31     0.01     0.03     0.74     0.17P    4.24R    0.22  
Tranmere             16   16  -10       0.29    53.97     0.76    43.56     7.79   -27.84     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00    27.67R    2.53  
Accrington_Stanley   17   15  -10      -3.51    27.52    -2.54    46.83     7.53   -18.19     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   13.48R    0.85  
AFC_Wimbledon        17   13   -8      -5.74    15.06    -0.91    44.26     7.46   -16.68     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   21.55R    1.87  
MK_Dons              17   13  -13      -5.77    15.67    -6.14    40.12     7.43   -28.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.85R    5.38  
Southend             17    5  -31     -10.66     1.61   -17.28    30.16     7.17   -53.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.45R   44.91  
Bolton               14    1  -21      -0.42    48.50   -12.24    30.03     7.89   -39.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.54R   43.66  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 November 2019, Crawley_Town 1 1 Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot1     Bot1

Swindon          18   33   +9       4.80    77.81     3.79    76.46     8.14    16.60    13.90    40.54    76.01    49.34P    0.00R    0.00  
Forest_Green     17   31   +9       4.94    79.72     4.94    75.88     8.15    16.63    12.39    37.60    73.73    46.59P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         16   30   +9       2.60    66.49     0.99    80.78     8.75    23.37    31.90    61.45    87.27    69.03P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            17   30   +5       5.57    82.29     3.37    71.73     8.25     7.86     5.27    20.10    54.44    27.45P    0.02R    0.02  
Exeter           18   30   +3       2.85    68.24    -0.67    72.82     7.98     9.66     6.13    23.34    60.07    32.63P    0.01R    0.01  
Cheltenham       16   29  +13       5.12    80.92    10.15    72.94     8.44    17.19     7.69    26.58    61.41    34.41P    0.01R    0.01  
Northampton      18   28   +7       0.49    53.12     2.78    69.43     8.13    11.49     3.15    14.26    44.59    21.83P    0.03R    0.03  
Port_Vale        18   28   +1       4.99    79.78     3.09    63.29     7.78    -3.07     0.42     3.05    16.76     5.54P    0.24R    0.24  
Newport_County   16   27   +4       4.74    79.64     3.27    68.86     8.26     5.47     2.75    12.21    40.38    18.36P    0.05R    0.05  
Colchester       17   26   +6      -0.32    47.90     1.58    70.55     8.20    13.18     4.23    17.54    50.36    26.48P    0.01R    0.01  
Plymouth         17   26   +5      -1.41    40.89    -1.28    74.38     8.56    17.81    10.72    32.62    67.83    43.12P    0.01R    0.01  
Salford_City     18   24   -5       5.00    79.94     4.06    52.96     7.81   -19.89     0.02     0.14     1.72     0.36P    6.11R    6.11  
Cambridge_Utd    18   23   +4       0.11    51.34     6.30    59.47     7.83     1.60     0.15     1.17     8.66     2.57P    0.90R    0.90  
Mansfield        18   21   +1      -8.07     9.31    -5.62    64.25     8.03     8.16     0.76     4.82    22.82    10.44P    0.22R    0.22  
Macclesfield     17   21   -3       2.55    68.32     3.94    51.94     7.71   -15.68     0.01     0.08     1.17     0.22P    7.12R    7.12  
Crawley_Town     18   21   -5      -0.12    50.30     0.59    54.39     7.82   -12.90     0.01     0.18     2.34     0.56P    4.22R    4.22  
Leyton_Orient    18   20   -6      -0.11    50.51     1.20    50.25     7.87   -18.59     0.00     0.07     0.82     0.17P   11.31R   11.31  
Grimsby          15   19   +0       0.26    52.67     2.36    56.65     8.43    -6.81     0.10     0.80     5.56     1.76P    2.83R    2.83  
Scunthorpe       18   18   -2      -9.82     6.06    -6.68    60.61     8.38     4.27     0.30     2.27    12.90     5.58P    0.86R    0.86  
Carlisle         18   18  -12      -4.44    23.65    -8.44    53.93     8.00   -15.87     0.02     0.18     2.04     0.56P    5.33R    5.33  
Walsall          18   18  -12      -5.58    18.46   -10.62    55.83     8.11   -12.42     0.04     0.41     3.62     1.26P    3.36R    3.36  
Oldham           17   16   -8      -6.91    12.29    -7.34    56.54     8.22    -6.83     0.05     0.57     4.75     1.57P    2.80R    2.80  
Morecambe        18   14  -14      -4.84    20.49    -5.25    42.98     7.51   -28.17     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   42.15R   42.15  
Stevenage        17   13   -9      -8.43     6.78    -6.51    49.58     7.98   -13.07     0.00     0.03     0.72     0.18P   12.41R   12.41  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 November 2019, Barnet 1 2 Stockport; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barrow             20   37  +13       6.36    83.17     8.35    76.95     7.69    19.33    16.96    66.99    28.07P    0.01R    0.00  
Bromley            21   37  +10       5.08    76.96     5.38    74.93     7.67    15.30    11.11    56.55    20.91P    0.03R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors     21   36  +11       2.01    61.56     3.34    76.20     7.49    19.74    14.30    63.76    27.83P    0.03R    0.00  
Halifax            21   36   +4       7.89    88.25     4.68    70.26     7.37     4.26     3.15    30.46     8.26P    0.14R    0.00  
Yeovil             20   35  +10      -0.03    49.44    -1.27    80.06     7.85    23.94    30.88    79.61    46.75P    0.01R    0.00  
Torquay            21   34   +7       5.28    77.04     7.64    68.30     7.90     6.50     2.62    24.88     6.92P    0.70R    0.03  
Harrogate_Town     21   33   +3       1.83    60.56    -0.41    70.49     7.65     7.61     3.74    33.51    10.59P    0.28R    0.01  
Woking             21   32   +4       4.85    75.74     6.57    64.75     7.73     1.62     0.80    12.46     3.01P    1.95R    0.08  
Notts_County       21   31   +9      -5.49    21.38    -2.60    75.21     7.62    23.85    12.46    60.53    29.24P    0.05R    0.00  
Dover_Athletic     20   31   +0       2.86    67.13    -1.04    66.43     7.64    -0.41     1.37    16.90     4.64P    1.14R    0.05  
Stockport          21   31   -7       8.08    88.51     2.06    58.51     7.43   -17.24     0.08     2.45     0.43P   10.04R    0.67  
Dag_&_Red          21   30   +3       0.26    52.07     1.62    65.30     7.48     4.44     0.76    13.36     3.66P    1.49R    0.04  
Boreham_Wood       21   29   +5      -0.15    49.61     4.47    63.54     7.44     5.49     0.46     9.47     2.44P    2.23R    0.09  
Hartlepool         21   28   +0      -0.00    50.42     1.30    61.26     7.43    -1.71     0.23     5.31     1.29P    4.40R    0.25  
Barnet             21   28   +0      -2.08    38.28    -1.97    63.25     7.46     1.54     0.45     8.75     2.34P    2.43R    0.11  
Eastleigh          20   28   -1       1.57    59.91     0.67    62.97     7.72    -2.17     0.44     8.39     1.91P    3.33R    0.18  
Maidenhead         21   25   +0      -0.32    49.01     5.08    54.76     7.23    -6.70     0.01     0.80     0.16P   18.86R    1.73  
Chesterfield       20   22   -6      -5.97    18.39    -6.68    56.75     7.68    -7.60     0.07     1.82     0.49P   13.90R    1.35  
Aldershot          21   22  -10      -1.45    42.29    -2.36    49.51     7.05   -19.78     0.00     0.07     0.01P   46.95R    7.57  
AFC_Fylde          20   21  -12      -7.20    13.95   -12.95    57.65     7.80   -10.70     0.08     2.34     0.62P   12.84R    1.18  
Sutton_United      20   19   -6      -6.36    16.23    -3.06    51.85     7.56   -10.06     0.01     0.32     0.07P   32.40R    4.65  
Wrexham            20   19   -7      -8.57     9.07    -7.45    55.24     7.54    -5.88     0.02     0.94     0.28P   17.87R    2.20  
Ebbsfleet_United   21   18  -10      -9.74     7.24    -8.03    51.38     7.52   -11.80     0.01     0.31     0.06P   35.20R    5.52  
Chorley            21   16  -20      -2.15    38.22    -3.35    37.74     6.92   -39.58     0.00     0.00     0.00P   93.72R   74.31