Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 20 November 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 10 November 2019, Liverpool 3 1 Man_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        12   34  +18       8.45    98.30     2.29    92.37     6.50    57.26    76.32    96.99    99.53    99.95   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        12   26  +21       6.16    90.50    15.93    71.89     7.50    37.17     1.13     9.54    45.10    77.28    95.92     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          12   26  +10       3.42    76.03     0.37    72.46     7.42    27.52     1.07     9.94    47.17    77.45    95.90     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         12   25  +22      -3.65    16.70    -1.31    84.77     6.48    65.60    21.44    82.60    95.79    99.19    99.95     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        12   17   +4       2.94    73.64     7.64    48.81     7.48    -2.42     0.00     0.02     0.18     0.91     8.84     3.03R    0.25  
Arsenal          12   17   -1      -2.10    32.97    -4.88    59.09     7.62     8.77     0.01     0.33     3.46    12.36    50.10     0.12R    0.01  
Man_Utd          12   16   +4      -4.25    19.20    -1.63    59.00     7.40    14.95     0.01     0.22     3.04    11.94    51.33     0.08R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    12   16   +1       0.59    55.76     3.05    50.18     7.42    -1.74     0.00     0.01     0.22     1.24    11.46     1.88R    0.09  
Bournemouth      12   16   +0       0.89    58.12     2.68    46.67     7.37    -9.95     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.43     5.21     5.51R    0.43  
Burnley          12   15   -1       0.88    58.63     2.87    44.01     7.24   -12.96     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.17     2.60    10.18R    1.16  
Brighton         12   15   -2       1.66    64.98     3.48    41.48     7.01   -16.63     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     1.15    16.82R    2.09  
Crystal_Palace   12   15   -6       1.25    61.82    -1.58    47.64     7.36   -11.43     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.51     5.91     4.56R    0.37  
Newcastle        12   15   -7       1.25    61.82    -2.52    46.21     7.29   -14.01     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.25     3.99     6.33R    0.57  
Tottenham        12   14   +1      -6.62     7.25    -5.33    60.60     7.57    18.06     0.02     0.36     5.19    17.58    60.35     0.04R    0.00  
Everton          12   14   -5      -2.64    29.84    -5.07    46.58     7.38   -10.93     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.52     5.04     5.67R    0.53  
West_Ham         12   13   -6      -2.32    32.34    -3.89    41.75     7.31   -19.44     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.10     1.39    17.79R    2.54  
Aston_Villa      12   11   -3      -1.64    37.19     4.75    38.66     7.49   -17.58     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.66    31.00R    6.16  
Watford          12    8  -15      -4.27    17.43    -7.26    33.96     7.00   -32.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    58.35R   17.23  
Southampton      12    8  -18      -2.05    33.43    -6.17    34.87     7.14   -34.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12    53.52R   15.69  
Norwich          12    7  -17      -2.75    27.34    -3.41    28.18     6.92   -45.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    85.12R   52.90  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 10 November 2019, Cardiff 0 1 Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

West_Brom       16   33  +12       4.60    78.49     1.86    85.84     8.58    30.02    43.50    63.67    92.51    72.30P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         16   31  +14       4.86    79.75     7.61    78.02     8.64    22.84    13.14    28.40    72.56    39.56P    0.02R    0.00  
Leeds_United    16   31  +12       4.73    79.53     5.60    80.67     8.35    24.57    18.42    38.58    82.15    51.04P    0.01R    0.00  
Swansea         16   29   +6       4.57    78.45     2.29    74.83     8.45    13.04     6.23    15.73    57.83    26.03P    0.05R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   15   28   +7       6.53    88.25     5.55    73.84     8.57    12.02     4.94    13.13    53.20    21.90P    0.09R    0.01  
Bristol_City    16   28   +4       4.63    79.00     1.90    72.05     8.53     8.34     3.46     9.44    44.46    16.97P    0.18R    0.01  
Fulham          16   26   +7       0.48    53.22     1.58    71.25     8.83    13.09     3.43     9.57    42.58    18.26P    0.28R    0.02  
Sheff_Wed       16   25   +7       1.15    58.05     4.03    67.74     8.36     9.46     1.23     3.89    27.10     9.39P    0.60R    0.03  
Brentford       16   24   +8      -1.33    41.01     2.95    71.73     8.55    17.88     3.57     9.81    45.49    19.98P    0.22R    0.00  
QPR             16   24   -4       4.90    80.82     0.95    58.74     8.41   -15.07     0.08     0.34     4.75     1.03P    7.97R    1.18  
Charlton        16   22   +3       1.33    59.57     4.87    62.00     8.66     1.52     0.21     0.94    10.72     3.08P    3.72R    0.45  
Hull            16   22   +2      -0.52    46.87     1.29    63.57     8.58     2.31     0.41     1.45    13.94     4.15P    2.58R    0.26  
Birmingham      16   22   -5       2.52    68.20    -1.56    59.05     8.28   -10.93     0.10     0.31     4.72     1.08P    7.10R    0.91  
Cardiff         16   21   +0      -2.65    33.05    -2.53    64.58     8.87     3.64     0.64     2.14    17.62     6.19P    2.22R    0.29  
Millwall        16   21   -3       1.65    62.27     0.76    57.99     8.18    -8.84     0.03     0.16     3.80     0.81P    8.37R    1.17  
Derby           16   21   -3      -2.33    34.64    -5.09    65.27     8.48     1.62     0.53     2.05    17.79     6.11P    1.48R    0.14  
Reading         15   18   -1       0.02    51.14     2.98    55.10     8.46    -9.01     0.02     0.12     2.23     0.51P   15.80R    3.05  
Blackburn       16   18   -4      -2.33    34.94    -1.16    56.68     8.50    -7.89     0.03     0.19     3.28     0.81P   11.71R    2.29  
Huddersfield    16   16   -6      -3.14    29.82    -1.89    51.50     8.34   -13.68     0.01     0.03     0.74     0.19P   27.56R    6.38  
Wigan           16   15  -11      -3.10    29.71    -5.50    50.71     8.15   -18.76     0.00     0.02     0.46     0.09P   32.18R    7.85  
Luton           16   14   -8      -4.79    21.15    -2.65    49.44     8.61   -17.78     0.00     0.01     0.54     0.13P   37.86R   11.00  
Middlesbrough   16   13   -8      -8.84     5.45    -8.21    53.93     8.15    -7.52     0.00     0.03     1.34     0.35P   17.57R    3.37  
Stoke           16   11  -12      -7.74     7.74    -7.41    47.74     8.21   -18.34     0.00     0.01     0.16     0.04P   44.98R   13.86  
Barnsley        16    9  -17      -7.52     8.33    -8.22    40.65     8.34   -32.50     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   77.46R   47.73  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 17 November 2019, Tranmere 0 2 Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Wycombe              17   36  +13      10.50    96.30     9.70    73.35     7.78    13.37     6.05    15.09    54.66    21.79P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich              15   33  +15       6.78    89.19     6.62    83.85     8.21    31.67    44.63    63.31    91.64    71.06P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             17   29   +3       4.49    78.29     1.26    64.56     7.64     1.24     0.52     1.73    15.67     4.22P    0.04R    0.00  
Peterborough         17   28  +16      -1.41    40.42     6.20    74.18     7.90    30.96     8.17    19.80    62.37    31.56P    0.00R    0.00  
Blackpool            17   28   +5       2.80    68.26     2.22    66.19     7.66     6.95     0.86     2.84    21.69     6.76P    0.03R    0.00  
Rotherham            16   27  +12       0.06    50.12     4.28    75.36     8.31    27.37    11.23    24.92    66.48    36.92P    0.00R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           16   26  +14       1.24    58.51     9.68    71.90     8.13    25.61     5.45    13.49    50.76    22.65P    0.00R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       15   26   +8       2.11    64.80     3.00    69.65     8.24    13.97     3.00     8.31    38.00    15.02P    0.01R    0.00  
Sunderland           15   25   +6      -1.79    36.43    -3.80    75.34     8.08    22.02    10.13    23.42    65.80    36.88P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       16   25   +0       2.56    67.64    -0.86    61.32     7.76    -2.98     0.21     0.78     8.47     2.20P    0.19R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           16   24   -2       2.39    66.92    -1.95    61.43     7.68    -3.02     0.17     0.66     8.24     2.17P    0.17R    0.01  
Doncaster            14   23   +8       0.25    51.58     2.67    72.17     8.44    20.48     5.83    14.28    51.06    23.65P    0.01R    0.00  
Portsmouth           15   21   +4      -4.03    22.87    -3.07    67.72     8.21    14.39     1.81     5.49    30.36    12.42P    0.03R    0.00  
Gillingham           17   21   +1      -1.76    38.61     1.83    57.42     7.77    -0.25     0.04     0.22     3.56     0.88P    0.91R    0.01  
Burton_Albion        14   20   +3      -0.41    47.13     1.22    67.71     8.38    13.07     1.90     5.62    30.20    11.64P    0.05R    0.00  
Rochdale             18   19   -9      -1.47    41.12    -1.75    47.16     7.23   -21.84     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   11.69R    0.61  
Lincoln_City         17   18   -4      -1.91    38.14     1.19    51.87     7.86    -8.52     0.00     0.03     0.77     0.14P    4.35R    0.20  
Tranmere             16   16  -10       0.16    52.83     0.57    43.81     7.81   -27.46     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.01P   26.60R    2.45  
Accrington_Stanley   17   15  -10      -3.46    27.75    -2.46    46.70     7.52   -18.41     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P   13.87R    0.87  
AFC_Wimbledon        17   13   -8      -5.84    14.56    -1.07    44.31     7.48   -16.61     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   21.26R    1.78  
MK_Dons              17   13  -13      -5.69    15.84    -6.05    39.94     7.43   -28.86     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    44.78R    5.73  
Southend             17    5  -31     -10.60     1.64   -17.21    30.04     7.19   -53.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.47R   45.10  
Bolton               14    1  -21      -0.43    48.46   -12.22    29.96     7.92   -39.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.52R   43.23  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 November 2019, Crawley_Town 1 1 Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot1     Bot1

Swindon          18   33   +9       4.79    78.00     3.77    76.47     8.12    16.62    13.92    40.32    76.08    49.31P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     17   31   +9       5.03    80.21     4.98    75.83     8.17    16.52    12.54    37.46    73.35    46.22P    0.00R    0.00  
Bradford         16   30   +9       2.63    66.81     1.03    80.82     8.57    23.39    31.60    61.50    87.81    69.39P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            17   30   +5       5.78    82.82     3.70    71.47     8.27     7.47     4.73    19.27    52.92    26.21P    0.02R    0.02  
Exeter           18   30   +3       2.84    67.90    -0.67    72.82     7.94     9.64     6.10    23.25    59.58    32.27P    0.01R    0.01  
Cheltenham       16   29  +13       5.04    80.51    10.02    72.99     8.43    17.25     7.86    26.81    61.65    34.74P    0.01R    0.01  
Northampton      18   28   +7       0.32    52.16     2.52    69.70     8.09    11.91     3.27    14.80    46.02    22.38P    0.02R    0.02  
Port_Vale        18   28   +1       5.11    80.50     3.26    63.12     7.87    -3.34     0.53     3.01    16.33     5.48P    0.25R    0.25  
Newport_County   16   27   +4       4.73    79.71     3.25    68.94     8.25     5.53     2.71    12.38    40.66    18.46P    0.05R    0.05  
Colchester       17   26   +6      -0.46    47.07     1.42    70.68     8.26    13.44     4.54    17.92    50.59    26.84P    0.03R    0.03  
Plymouth         17   26   +5      -1.38    41.05    -1.19    74.42     8.51    17.89    10.77    32.51    67.84    43.22P    0.02R    0.02  
Salford_City     18   24   -5       5.00    80.30     4.05    52.90     7.84   -19.95     0.01     0.16     1.61     0.38P    6.34R    6.34  
Cambridge_Utd    18   23   +4       0.14    51.82     6.33    59.36     7.84     1.46     0.12     1.16     8.53     2.72P    0.86R    0.86  
Mansfield        18   21   +1      -8.10     9.48    -5.62    64.29     8.08     8.22     0.78     5.04    22.77    10.53P    0.21R    0.21  
Macclesfield     17   21   -3       2.56    68.43     3.96    51.95     7.72   -15.72     0.01     0.08     1.19     0.24P    7.15R    7.15  
Crawley_Town     18   21   -5      -0.13    50.26     0.58    54.38     7.93   -12.90     0.01     0.20     2.50     0.58P    4.35R    4.35  
Leyton_Orient    18   20   -6      -0.24    49.63     0.94    50.41     7.81   -18.26     0.00     0.06     0.77     0.18P   10.63R   10.63  
Grimsby          15   19   +0       0.26    52.73     2.36    56.61     8.40    -6.87     0.11     0.72     5.37     1.58P    2.78R    2.78  
Scunthorpe       18   18   -2      -9.89     5.82    -6.78    60.72     8.30     4.42     0.26     2.06    12.79     5.42P    0.83R    0.83  
Carlisle         18   18  -12      -4.44    23.62    -8.41    53.81     8.01   -16.02     0.01     0.19     2.15     0.64P    5.63R    5.63  
Walsall          18   18  -12      -5.53    18.48   -10.52    55.79     8.15   -12.47     0.04     0.41     3.84     1.29P    3.42R    3.42  
Oldham           17   16   -8      -6.87    12.11    -7.28    56.45     8.34    -6.97     0.08     0.64     5.00     1.77P    2.98R    2.98  
Morecambe        18   14  -14      -4.87    20.61    -5.30    43.15     7.59   -27.95     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   41.80R   41.80  
Stevenage        17   13   -9      -8.33     6.88    -6.40    49.43     7.98   -13.33     0.00     0.04     0.62     0.17P   12.63R   12.63  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 November 2019, Barnet 1 2 Stockport; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barrow             20   37  +13       6.46    83.61     8.43    76.88     7.73    19.23    16.59    66.34    28.17P    0.01R    0.00  
Bromley            21   37  +10       5.08    76.67     5.34    74.95     7.62    15.34    10.94    56.67    20.78P    0.02R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors     21   36  +11       1.84    60.60     3.11    76.39     7.53    19.97    14.74    64.83    28.53P    0.02R    0.00  
Halifax            21   36   +4       7.86    88.18     4.66    70.31     7.39     4.30     3.12    30.80     8.17P    0.18R    0.00  
Yeovil             20   35  +10      -0.09    48.85    -1.37    80.16     7.86    24.11    30.99    79.79    46.89P    0.01R    0.00  
Torquay            21   34   +7       5.43    77.84     7.88    68.10     7.92     6.27     2.53    24.14     6.73P    0.69R    0.03  
Harrogate_Town     21   33   +3       1.85    60.74    -0.41    70.43     7.62     7.55     3.65    33.16    10.26P    0.25R    0.01  
Woking             21   32   +4       4.95    76.20     6.70    64.64     7.74     1.48     0.80    12.44     3.01P    1.88R    0.08  
Notts_County       21   31   +9      -5.59    20.74    -2.79    75.24     7.62    23.91    12.60    60.65    29.60P    0.04R    0.00  
Dover_Athletic     20   31   +0       3.02    67.89    -0.78    66.26     7.67    -0.72     1.31    16.39     4.33P    1.23R    0.05  
Stockport          21   31   -7       8.18    88.54     2.24    58.43     7.51   -17.41     0.10     2.58     0.47P   10.53R    0.74  
Dag_&_Red          21   30   +3       0.37    52.73     1.75    65.19     7.49     4.31     0.77    13.14     3.34P    1.52R    0.07  
Boreham_Wood       21   29   +5      -0.34    48.46     4.22    63.73     7.45     5.77     0.55     9.79     2.55P    1.96R    0.10  
Hartlepool         21   28   +0      -0.16    49.73     1.10    61.35     7.45    -1.57     0.26     5.56     1.30P    4.38R    0.22  
Barnet             21   28   +0      -2.10    38.15    -2.02    63.22     7.42     1.49     0.38     8.57     2.25P    2.38R    0.11  
Eastleigh          20   28   -1       1.48    59.38     0.57    62.96     7.70    -2.18     0.47     8.49     2.06P    3.40R    0.17  
Maidenhead         21   25   +0      -0.41    48.36     4.94    54.82     7.26    -6.62     0.02     0.83     0.14P   19.07R    1.75  
Chesterfield       20   22   -6      -6.01    18.39    -6.69    56.76     7.74    -7.61     0.07     1.95     0.47P   14.14R    1.34  
Aldershot          21   22  -10      -1.46    42.10    -2.38    49.53     7.09   -19.72     0.00     0.07     0.01P   46.78R    7.64  
AFC_Fylde          20   21  -12      -7.21    13.82   -12.98    57.81     7.75   -10.48     0.07     2.34     0.58P   11.98R    1.14  
Sutton_United      20   19   -6      -6.32    16.29    -2.94    51.81     7.53   -10.16     0.01     0.32     0.06P   33.02R    4.88  
Wrexham            20   19   -7      -8.64     8.88    -7.53    55.33     7.50    -5.73     0.02     0.93     0.24P   17.42R    2.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   21   18  -10      -9.63     7.49    -7.86    51.30     7.54   -11.89     0.00     0.24     0.05P   35.54R    5.49  
Chorley            21   16  -20      -2.10    38.80    -3.20    37.75     6.96   -39.64     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.56R   74.18