Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 19 November 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 10 November 2019, Liverpool 3 1 Man_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        12   34  +18       8.33    98.25     2.05    92.60     6.56    57.70    76.86    97.12    99.57    99.96   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        12   26  +21       6.19    90.42    15.98    71.73     7.54    36.91     1.07     9.30    44.88    76.99    95.61     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          12   26  +10       3.42    75.87     0.37    72.39     7.54    27.42     1.13    10.18    47.12    77.12    95.53     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         12   25  +22      -3.59    16.95    -1.09    84.67     6.47    65.21    20.92    82.48    95.72    99.22    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        12   17   +4       2.96    73.97     7.69    48.77     7.45    -2.52     0.00     0.01     0.14     0.87     8.86     3.07R    0.25  
Arsenal          12   17   -1      -2.08    33.23    -4.83    59.11     7.65     8.82     0.01     0.32     3.70    12.60    50.66     0.12R    0.01  
Man_Utd          12   16   +4      -4.18    19.34    -1.57    58.93     7.38    14.85     0.00     0.21     2.96    11.99    51.03     0.09R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    12   16   +1       0.61    55.80     3.04    50.26     7.42    -1.64     0.00     0.01     0.21     1.28    11.78     1.92R    0.14  
Bournemouth      12   16   +0       0.87    57.88     2.67    46.65     7.36    -9.97     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.47     5.09     5.63R    0.46  
Burnley          12   15   -1       0.81    57.91     2.80    44.15     7.29   -12.73     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.17     2.69    10.05R    1.04  
Brighton         12   15   -2       1.72    65.66     3.56    41.38     7.03   -16.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     1.07    17.57R    2.16  
Crystal_Palace   12   15   -6       1.24    61.82    -1.62    47.72     7.39   -11.30     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.54     6.04     4.53R    0.33  
Newcastle        12   15   -7       1.31    62.19    -2.42    46.05     7.27   -14.20     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.31     3.82     6.61R    0.62  
Tottenham        12   14   +1      -6.67     7.39    -5.34    60.62     7.55    18.11     0.01     0.36     5.36    17.85    60.54     0.05R    0.00  
Everton          12   14   -5      -2.68    29.72    -5.12    46.64     7.40   -10.83     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.44     5.19     5.57R    0.52  
West_Ham         12   13   -6      -2.24    32.79    -3.77    41.55     7.23   -19.69     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.10     1.19    18.35R    2.41  
Aston_Villa      12   11   -3      -1.73    36.76     4.59    38.90     7.57   -17.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.76    30.22R    5.83  
Watford          12    8  -15      -4.30    17.11    -7.33    33.95     7.08   -32.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    58.25R   17.50  
Southampton      12    8  -18      -2.03    33.40    -6.19    34.82     7.17   -34.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11    53.78R   16.15  
Norwich          12    7  -17      -2.80    27.49    -3.48    28.29     7.04   -45.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    84.21R   52.58  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 10 November 2019, Cardiff 0 1 Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

West_Brom       16   33  +12       4.64    78.97     1.95    85.82     8.51    29.96    43.43    63.92    92.76    72.38P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         16   31  +14       5.00    80.44     7.83    77.75     8.66    22.39    12.37    26.91    71.30    37.94P    0.01R    0.00  
Leeds_United    16   31  +12       4.67    78.96     5.56    80.74     8.40    24.65    18.98    39.45    82.33    51.85P    0.00R    0.00  
Swansea         16   29   +6       4.62    78.55     2.38    74.72     8.51    12.83     6.29    15.51    57.27    25.65P    0.06R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   15   28   +7       6.50    87.91     5.51    73.97     8.54    12.21     5.01    13.41    53.69    22.42P    0.09R    0.00  
Bristol_City    16   28   +4       4.64    79.05     1.91    72.14     8.52     8.40     3.62     9.86    44.78    17.56P    0.16R    0.01  
Fulham          16   26   +7       0.49    53.14     1.58    71.24     8.85    13.11     3.43     9.49    42.62    18.14P    0.28R    0.02  
Sheff_Wed       16   25   +7       1.12    58.03     4.01    67.72     8.42     9.40     1.24     3.89    27.11     9.44P    0.54R    0.04  
Brentford       16   24   +8      -1.32    40.97     2.95    71.79     8.53    17.94     3.52     9.79    45.82    20.12P    0.18R    0.01  
QPR             16   24   -4       4.99    80.78     1.06    58.72     8.41   -15.10     0.06     0.30     4.88     0.98P    8.02R    1.23  
Charlton        16   22   +3       1.29    59.48     4.82    62.04     8.67     1.50     0.29     1.00    10.93     3.15P    3.76R    0.46  
Hull            16   22   +2      -0.50    47.03     1.32    63.53     8.53     2.25     0.37     1.37    13.90     4.09P    2.40R    0.30  
Birmingham      16   22   -5       2.55    68.09    -1.50    59.02     8.29   -10.92     0.07     0.28     4.73     1.05P    7.13R    0.97  
Cardiff         16   21   +0      -2.65    32.76    -2.53    64.51     8.79     3.56     0.64     2.25    17.22     6.10P    2.11R    0.26  
Millwall        16   21   -3       1.63    62.31     0.73    57.90     8.21    -8.96     0.05     0.20     3.83     0.90P    8.58R    1.24  
Derby           16   21   -3      -2.36    34.61    -5.12    65.20     8.51     1.51     0.56     1.95    17.90     5.97P    1.66R    0.15  
Reading         15   18   -1       0.04    51.32     3.02    55.05     8.44    -9.12     0.02     0.12     2.15     0.50P   15.97R    3.14  
Blackburn       16   18   -4      -2.38    34.38    -1.33    56.84     8.46    -7.63     0.04     0.17     3.34     0.88P   11.52R    2.00  
Huddersfield    16   16   -6      -3.04    30.32    -1.76    51.34     8.35   -13.92     0.00     0.03     0.81     0.18P   28.66R    6.63  
Wigan           16   15  -11      -3.05    29.77    -5.46    50.59     8.13   -18.89     0.00     0.02     0.44     0.08P   32.58R    8.11  
Luton           16   14   -8      -4.85    20.54    -2.73    49.60     8.64   -17.51     0.01     0.02     0.61     0.14P   37.38R   10.81  
Middlesbrough   16   13   -8      -8.98     5.11    -8.38    54.18     8.14    -7.16     0.01     0.05     1.38     0.43P   16.82R    3.26  
Stoke           16   11  -12      -7.76     7.73    -7.50    47.81     8.17   -18.19     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.05P   44.75R   13.58  
Barnsley        16    9  -17      -7.56     8.17    -8.32    40.70     8.34   -32.31     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   77.33R   47.77  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 17 November 2019, Tranmere 0 2 Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Wycombe              17   36  +13      10.56    96.49     9.77    73.31     7.78    13.35     6.24    15.18    54.76    21.85P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich              15   33  +15       6.81    89.16     6.70    83.76     8.20    31.59    44.19    63.13    91.50    70.90P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             17   29   +3       4.44    77.79     1.19    64.65     7.68     1.34     0.59     1.89    16.11     4.59P    0.03R    0.00  
Peterborough         17   28  +16      -1.35    40.74     6.27    74.11     7.88    30.77     8.02    19.69    62.47    31.40P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            17   28   +5       2.82    68.35     2.23    66.16     7.65     6.92     0.87     2.83    21.68     6.78P    0.02R    0.00  
Rotherham            16   27  +12       0.01    49.64     4.21    75.38     8.26    27.41    11.23    24.95    66.60    36.96P    0.00R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           16   26  +14       1.31    59.07     9.77    71.79     8.12    25.47     5.36    13.45    50.20    22.37P    0.00R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       15   26   +8       2.13    64.79     3.06    69.72     8.26    14.00     3.12     8.47    38.75    15.35P    0.02R    0.00  
Sunderland           15   25   +6      -1.83    36.36    -3.92    75.49     8.10    22.23    10.44    23.96    66.56    37.42P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       16   25   +0       2.54    67.62    -0.88    61.26     7.82    -3.05     0.20     0.76     8.35     2.22P    0.22R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           16   24   -2       2.44    67.35    -1.84    61.19     7.67    -3.31     0.17     0.63     7.88     2.01P    0.22R    0.00  
Doncaster            14   23   +8       0.29    51.98     2.71    72.10     8.44    20.45     5.78    14.12    50.91    23.68P    0.00R    0.00  
Portsmouth           15   21   +4      -3.93    23.35    -2.84    67.46     8.26    14.01     1.89     5.31    29.59    11.99P    0.05R    0.00  
Gillingham           17   21   +1      -1.73    39.00     1.87    57.38     7.79    -0.30     0.04     0.21     3.51     0.83P    0.90R    0.01  
Burton_Albion        14   20   +3      -0.45    46.82     1.18    67.60     8.35    12.88     1.84     5.40    30.05    11.41P    0.02R    0.00  
Rochdale             18   19   -9      -1.54    40.81    -1.88    47.28     7.28   -21.64     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   11.97R    0.56  
Lincoln_City         17   18   -4      -2.09    36.94     0.86    52.18     7.84    -8.09     0.01     0.03     0.80     0.20P    4.01R    0.18  
Tranmere             16   16  -10       0.18    52.91     0.59    43.80     7.73   -27.50     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   26.34R    2.32  
Accrington_Stanley   17   15  -10      -3.43    28.08    -2.45    46.64     7.52   -18.50     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   14.11R    0.96  
AFC_Wimbledon        17   13   -8      -5.65    15.59    -0.83    44.18     7.46   -16.76     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   21.76R    1.85  
MK_Dons              17   13  -13      -5.63    16.17    -5.93    39.95     7.47   -28.86     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   45.02R    5.81  
Southend             17    5  -31     -10.68     1.44   -17.39    30.13     7.16   -53.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.66R   45.48  
Bolton               14    1  -21      -0.57    47.18   -12.46    30.30     7.97   -39.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.61R   42.82  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 November 2019, Crawley_Town 1 1 Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot1     Bot1

Swindon          18   33   +9       4.82    78.23     3.84    76.40     8.06    16.55    13.72    39.73    75.93    48.63P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     17   31   +9       4.93    79.77     4.86    75.96     8.09    16.77    12.59    37.82    73.88    47.21P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         16   30   +9       2.73    67.52     1.17    80.58     8.63    23.06    30.58    60.13    87.13    67.93P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            17   30   +5       5.68    82.64     3.54    71.64     8.31     7.68     5.20    19.87    53.25    26.85P    0.02R    0.02  
Exeter           18   30   +3       2.77    67.06    -0.80    72.98     8.01     9.85     6.22    23.81    60.32    33.21P    0.00R    0.00  
Cheltenham       16   29  +13       5.03    80.48     9.98    73.17     8.51    17.55     8.36    27.54    62.13    35.19P    0.01R    0.01  
Northampton      18   28   +7       0.39    52.58     2.67    69.51     8.05    11.62     3.17    14.13    44.78    21.66P    0.02R    0.02  
Port_Vale        18   28   +1       5.05    80.04     3.18    63.21     7.81    -3.23     0.42     2.93    16.76     5.48P    0.24R    0.24  
Newport_County   16   27   +4       4.71    79.74     3.20    68.99     8.26     5.61     2.75    12.22    40.85    18.39P    0.06R    0.06  
Colchester       17   26   +6      -0.35    47.68     1.54    70.59     8.23    13.24     4.52    17.82    50.14    26.48P    0.02R    0.02  
Plymouth         17   26   +5      -1.44    40.52    -1.30    74.54     8.52    18.07    10.99    33.24    68.22    43.57P    0.01R    0.01  
Salford_City     18   24   -5       5.00    79.79     4.05    53.00     7.86   -19.88     0.02     0.16     1.71     0.41P    6.08R    6.08  
Cambridge_Utd    18   23   +4       0.22    52.25     6.42    59.28     7.85     1.36     0.16     1.15     8.28     2.67P    0.94R    0.94  
Mansfield        18   21   +1      -8.20     9.21    -5.74    64.28     8.09     8.25     0.74     4.90    22.82    10.51P    0.17R    0.17  
Macclesfield     17   21   -3       2.61    68.70     4.03    51.80     7.73   -15.91     0.01     0.10     1.13     0.24P    7.37R    7.37  
Crawley_Town     18   21   -5      -0.12    50.30     0.60    54.36     7.90   -12.92     0.02     0.24     2.38     0.59P    4.31R    4.31  
Leyton_Orient    18   20   -6      -0.08    50.83     1.17    50.21     7.87   -18.60     0.00     0.05     0.76     0.16P   11.29R   11.29  
Grimsby          15   19   +0       0.29    53.12     2.39    56.54     8.40    -6.92     0.10     0.78     5.36     1.65P    2.66R    2.66  
Scunthorpe       18   18   -2      -9.86     5.93    -6.77    60.68     8.39     4.40     0.31     2.27    12.99     5.61P    0.91R    0.91  
Carlisle         18   18  -12      -4.40    23.74    -8.38    53.89     8.02   -15.92     0.02     0.19     2.11     0.59P    5.60R    5.60  
Walsall          18   18  -12      -5.51    18.43   -10.49    55.70     8.05   -12.61     0.03     0.34     3.45     1.11P    3.29R    3.29  
Oldham           17   16   -8      -6.88    12.03    -7.30    56.44     8.27    -6.92     0.06     0.55     4.83     1.63P    2.95R    2.95  
Morecambe        18   14  -14      -4.82    20.58    -5.20    42.99     7.52   -28.20     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   42.21R   42.21  
Stevenage        17   13   -9      -8.54     6.39    -6.66    49.72     7.99   -12.88     0.00     0.04     0.74     0.20P   11.84R   11.84  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 November 2019, Barnet 1 2 Stockport; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barrow             20   37  +13       6.38    83.22     8.33    76.89     7.75    19.30    16.68    66.53    27.67P    0.01R    0.00  
Bromley            21   37  +10       4.97    76.47     5.22    75.09     7.68    15.57    11.53    57.08    21.16P    0.03R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors     21   36  +11       1.80    60.33     3.05    76.43     7.43    20.06    14.75    65.16    28.83P    0.00R    0.00  
Halifax            21   36   +4       7.92    88.24     4.73    70.32     7.36     4.33     3.07    30.59     8.24P    0.15R    0.00  
Yeovil             20   35  +10      -0.09    49.16    -1.37    80.15     7.83    24.06    30.75    79.85    46.73P    0.01R    0.00  
Torquay            21   34   +7       5.29    77.17     7.61    68.35     7.87     6.58     2.58    24.93     6.97P    0.57R    0.02  
Harrogate_Town     21   33   +3       1.85    60.75    -0.40    70.40     7.65     7.50     3.69    32.76    10.29P    0.22R    0.00  
Woking             21   32   +4       4.92    76.05     6.71    64.62     7.76     1.46     0.77    12.31     3.01P    2.03R    0.09  
Notts_County       21   31   +9      -5.53    21.23    -2.63    75.18     7.58    23.81    12.11    60.08    28.98P    0.05R    0.00  
Dover_Athletic     20   31   +0       2.97    67.60    -0.89    66.31     7.69    -0.64     1.36    16.25     4.42P    1.10R    0.02  
Stockport          21   31   -7       8.09    88.36     2.10    58.52     7.54   -17.24     0.08     2.64     0.44P   10.09R    0.69  
Dag_&_Red          21   30   +3       0.30    51.82     1.64    65.36     7.45     4.49     0.83    13.64     3.67P    1.30R    0.05  
Boreham_Wood       21   29   +5      -0.25    48.83     4.36    63.62     7.47     5.62     0.49     9.68     2.46P    2.08R    0.09  
Hartlepool         21   28   +0      -0.16    49.47     1.11    61.38     7.47    -1.51     0.24     5.47     1.31P    4.39R    0.25  
Barnet             21   28   +0      -2.20    37.40    -2.16    63.40     7.43     1.76     0.45     8.70     2.34P    2.26R    0.11  
Eastleigh          20   28   -1       1.63    60.20     0.82    62.88     7.67    -2.33     0.45     8.01     1.92P    3.38R    0.19  
Maidenhead         21   25   +0      -0.23    49.42     5.26    54.51     7.23    -7.05     0.00     0.74     0.14P   19.69R    1.78  
Chesterfield       20   22   -6      -6.16    17.81    -6.97    56.97     7.71    -7.29     0.07     1.91     0.50P   13.30R    1.35  
Aldershot          21   22  -10      -1.29    43.24    -2.13    49.39     7.09   -20.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   47.29R    7.73  
AFC_Fylde          20   21  -12      -7.10    14.31   -12.79    57.60     7.77   -10.79     0.07     2.11     0.53P   12.61R    1.14  
Sutton_United      20   19   -6      -6.28    16.51    -2.94    51.67     7.58   -10.32     0.01     0.30     0.07P   33.05R    4.84  
Wrexham            20   19   -7      -8.67     8.81    -7.58    55.36     7.52    -5.67     0.02     0.97     0.24P   17.31R    1.89  
Ebbsfleet_United   21   18  -10      -9.63     7.42    -7.87    51.28     7.53   -11.94     0.00     0.22     0.06P   35.33R    5.39  
Chorley            21   16  -20      -2.05    39.22    -3.20    37.67     6.90   -39.77     0.00     0.00     0.00P   93.76R   74.36