Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 18 November 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 10 November 2019, Liverpool 3 1 Man_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        12   34  +18       8.33    98.34     2.04    92.56     6.54    57.68    76.46    97.15    99.59    99.96   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        12   26  +21       6.16    90.33    15.96    71.84     7.56    37.06     1.16     9.52    45.03    76.96    95.68     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          12   26  +10       3.36    75.78     0.31    72.48     7.44    27.59     1.09     9.84    47.13    77.60    95.76     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         12   25  +22      -3.65    16.56    -1.32    84.85     6.48    65.64    21.25    82.63    95.77    99.25    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        12   17   +4       2.99    74.21     7.73    48.71     7.46    -2.65     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.80     8.66     3.10R    0.22  
Arsenal          12   17   -1      -2.04    33.39    -4.78    59.01     7.67     8.60     0.01     0.24     3.42    12.20    50.13     0.12R    0.00  
Man_Utd          12   16   +4      -4.24    19.18    -1.62    59.05     7.43    15.09     0.01     0.23     3.16    12.05    51.53     0.09R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    12   16   +1       0.57    55.29     2.98    50.26     7.47    -1.63     0.00     0.01     0.20     1.22    11.82     1.99R    0.16  
Bournemouth      12   16   +0       0.90    58.20     2.71    46.61     7.36   -10.10     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.47     5.03     5.55R    0.50  
Burnley          12   15   -1       0.88    58.68     2.90    43.96     7.16   -13.07     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.15     2.38    10.19R    1.12  
Brighton         12   15   -2       1.67    65.18     3.47    41.58     7.05   -16.48     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     1.17    16.85R    1.89  
Crystal_Palace   12   15   -6       1.26    61.83    -1.60    47.78     7.38   -11.24     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.45     6.06     4.59R    0.37  
Newcastle        12   15   -7       1.33    62.46    -2.40    46.06     7.29   -14.24     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.26     3.75     6.61R    0.62  
Tottenham        12   14   +1      -6.71     7.05    -5.43    60.62     7.61    18.18     0.02     0.38     5.22    17.95    60.80     0.06R    0.00  
Everton          12   14   -5      -2.68    29.21    -5.14    46.64     7.35   -10.81     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.50     5.00     5.39R    0.50  
West_Ham         12   13   -6      -2.29    32.27    -3.85    41.67     7.28   -19.50     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09     1.35    17.73R    2.53  
Aston_Villa      12   11   -3      -1.63    37.44     4.85    38.72     7.52   -17.61     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.74    30.80R    6.13  
Watford          12    8  -15      -4.22    17.76    -7.15    33.85     7.04   -32.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    58.76R   17.57  
Southampton      12    8  -18      -2.06    33.45    -6.22    34.86     7.18   -34.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11    53.50R   15.76  
Norwich          12    7  -17      -2.78    27.22    -3.43    28.19     6.96   -45.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    84.67R   52.61  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 10 November 2019, Cardiff 0 1 Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

West_Brom       16   33  +12       4.70    79.37     2.03    85.73     8.48    29.83    43.03    63.62    92.66    72.42P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         16   31  +14       4.99    80.22     7.80    77.83     8.72    22.52    12.72    27.63    71.41    38.65P    0.01R    0.00  
Leeds_United    16   31  +12       4.74    79.52     5.63    80.67     8.38    24.58    18.89    38.89    82.34    51.48P    0.00R    0.00  
Swansea         16   29   +6       4.51    78.19     2.19    74.91     8.44    13.15     6.34    15.81    58.36    26.14P    0.06R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   15   28   +7       6.50    88.00     5.54    73.89     8.61    12.10     5.10    13.36    53.33    22.06P    0.10R    0.00  
Bristol_City    16   28   +4       4.66    78.81     1.94    71.93     8.53     8.16     3.42     9.32    44.07    17.05P    0.19R    0.01  
Fulham          16   26   +7       0.48    53.08     1.58    71.26     8.88    13.08     3.49     9.67    42.59    18.55P    0.31R    0.02  
Sheff_Wed       16   25   +7       1.15    57.94     4.03    67.81     8.40     9.47     1.30     4.06    27.12     9.46P    0.52R    0.02  
Brentford       16   24   +8      -1.25    41.50     3.03    71.74     8.48    17.88     3.48     9.61    45.69    19.75P    0.15R    0.01  
QPR             16   24   -4       4.93    80.55     1.00    58.65     8.42   -15.16     0.09     0.37     4.74     1.09P    8.21R    1.26  
Charlton        16   22   +3       1.30    59.45     4.82    62.00     8.67     1.50     0.29     0.95    10.87     3.02P    3.79R    0.44  
Hull            16   22   +2      -0.54    47.00     1.28    63.47     8.53     2.15     0.44     1.47    13.71     4.02P    2.49R    0.27  
Birmingham      16   22   -5       2.49    67.94    -1.57    59.04     8.23   -10.88     0.06     0.28     4.77     1.10P    6.89R    0.86  
Cardiff         16   21   +0      -2.62    33.12    -2.46    64.50     8.82     3.57     0.66     2.21    17.33     6.08P    2.00R    0.24  
Millwall        16   21   -3       1.63    62.41     0.68    58.05     8.23    -8.78     0.05     0.24     3.84     0.87P    8.47R    1.26  
Derby           16   21   -3      -2.39    34.51    -5.19    65.39     8.55     1.83     0.54     2.09    18.45     6.14P    1.61R    0.13  
Reading         15   18   -1       0.10    51.76     3.10    54.96     8.44    -9.25     0.04     0.12     2.08     0.49P   16.26R    3.33  
Blackburn       16   18   -4      -2.36    34.64    -1.22    56.77     8.48    -7.75     0.05     0.18     3.35     0.81P   11.61R    2.07  
Huddersfield    16   16   -6      -3.09    30.10    -1.81    51.40     8.22   -13.83     0.01     0.03     0.71     0.16P   28.14R    6.49  
Wigan           16   15  -11      -3.06    29.89    -5.46    50.46     8.11   -19.05     0.00     0.01     0.43     0.08P   33.00R    8.56  
Luton           16   14   -8      -4.82    20.78    -2.67    49.49     8.69   -17.69     0.00     0.03     0.63     0.18P   37.89R   11.33  
Middlesbrough   16   13   -8      -8.94     5.26    -8.35    54.20     8.09    -7.19     0.00     0.05     1.29     0.37P   16.81R    3.23  
Stoke           16   11  -12      -7.84     7.57    -7.60    47.93     8.19   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.04P   44.40R   13.30  
Barnsley        16    9  -17      -7.59     8.12    -8.33    40.76     8.35   -32.24     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   77.09R   47.17  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 17 November 2019, Tranmere 0 2 Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Wycombe              17   36  +13      10.54    96.42     9.72    73.30     7.73    13.34     5.92    14.81    54.78    21.69P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich              15   33  +15       6.77    88.77     6.61    83.84     8.26    31.70    44.68    63.59    91.71    71.46P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             17   29   +3       4.48    78.10     1.24    64.55     7.61     1.24     0.57     1.77    15.60     4.29P    0.02R    0.00  
Peterborough         17   28  +16      -1.32    40.98     6.30    74.03     7.82    30.74     7.91    19.55    61.96    31.42P    0.00R    0.00  
Blackpool            17   28   +5       2.82    68.46     2.22    66.20     7.60     6.99     0.81     2.77    21.53     6.77P    0.01R    0.00  
Rotherham            16   27  +12       0.04    50.07     4.30    75.31     8.28    27.29    10.95    24.82    66.45    37.04P    0.00R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           16   26  +14       1.27    58.86     9.71    71.88     8.06    25.64     5.44    13.12    51.13    22.24P    0.00R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       15   26   +8       2.10    64.81     2.99    69.77     8.27    14.05     3.27     8.84    38.63    15.45P    0.01R    0.00  
Sunderland           15   25   +6      -1.78    36.76    -3.84    75.38     8.16    22.09    10.46    23.64    65.72    36.64P    0.00R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       16   25   +0       2.54    67.57    -0.92    61.29     7.82    -3.00     0.21     0.83     8.39     2.26P    0.24R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           16   24   -2       2.35    66.69    -1.98    61.46     7.68    -2.97     0.18     0.69     8.46     2.24P    0.19R    0.00  
Doncaster            14   23   +8       0.32    51.97     2.77    72.04     8.46    20.32     5.64    13.98    50.44    23.33P    0.01R    0.00  
Portsmouth           15   21   +4      -4.02    22.81    -3.02    67.61     8.29    14.23     1.93     5.46    30.05    12.12P    0.03R    0.00  
Gillingham           17   21   +1      -1.76    38.89     1.82    57.49     7.73    -0.17     0.03     0.17     3.38     0.79P    0.81R    0.01  
Burton_Albion        14   20   +3      -0.49    46.59     1.14    67.77     8.42    13.14     2.00     5.92    30.77    12.04P    0.04R    0.00  
Rochdale             18   19   -9      -1.51    41.14    -1.82    47.27     7.28   -21.70     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   11.72R    0.57  
Lincoln_City         17   18   -4      -1.98    37.80     1.04    52.05     7.82    -8.24     0.01     0.04     0.77     0.18P    4.13R    0.20  
Tranmere             16   16  -10       0.32    53.88     0.82    43.65     7.80   -27.77     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   27.07R    2.34  
Accrington_Stanley   17   15  -10      -3.54    27.19    -2.61    46.78     7.54   -18.28     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   13.58R    0.88  
AFC_Wimbledon        17   13   -8      -5.77    14.83    -1.00    44.32     7.46   -16.55     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00    21.11R    1.71  
MK_Dons              17   13  -13      -5.70    15.79    -6.03    39.94     7.44   -28.90     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    44.82R    5.63  
Southend             17    5  -31     -10.63     1.60   -17.27    30.07     7.18   -53.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.69R   44.82  
Bolton               14    1  -21      -0.41    48.45   -12.19    29.94     7.94   -39.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.51R   43.84  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 November 2019, Crawley_Town 1 1 Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot1     Bot1

Swindon          18   33   +9       4.77    77.87     3.71    76.46     8.11    16.61    13.74    40.04    76.17    48.88P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     17   31   +9       4.94    79.67     4.91    75.95     8.22    16.72    12.87    38.17    73.74    47.18P    0.00R    0.00  
Bradford         16   30   +9       2.58    66.42     0.99    80.80     8.74    23.40    31.46    61.09    87.23    68.80P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            17   30   +5       5.72    82.79     3.61    71.60     8.36     7.63     5.21    20.02    53.46    27.06P    0.01R    0.01  
Exeter           18   30   +3       2.81    67.94    -0.76    72.82     8.01     9.67     5.95    23.36    59.81    32.35P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       16   29  +13       5.14    81.16    10.15    72.87     8.46    17.11     7.65    26.28    61.12    34.13P    0.00R    0.00  
Northampton      18   28   +7       0.43    52.87     2.65    69.56     8.14    11.75     3.22    14.35    45.49    22.17P    0.02R    0.02  
Port_Vale        18   28   +1       5.06    80.17     3.21    63.14     7.82    -3.29     0.45     2.87    16.48     5.46P    0.28R    0.28  
Newport_County   16   27   +4       4.66    79.60     3.18    68.93     8.29     5.51     2.88    12.16    40.34    18.38P    0.06R    0.06  
Colchester       17   26   +6      -0.42    47.33     1.47    70.62     8.25    13.27     4.47    17.94    50.60    26.58P    0.03R    0.03  
Plymouth         17   26   +5      -1.32    41.24    -1.15    74.43     8.53    17.86    10.58    32.64    67.99    43.23P    0.01R    0.01  
Salford_City     18   24   -5       4.94    79.80     3.97    53.02     7.82   -19.80     0.02     0.17     1.69     0.40P    6.20R    6.20  
Cambridge_Utd    18   23   +4       0.29    52.58     6.54    59.16     7.82     1.19     0.13     1.15     8.04     2.54P    0.94R    0.94  
Mansfield        18   21   +1      -8.24     8.73    -5.80    64.36     8.05     8.34     0.79     5.00    23.33    10.76P    0.17R    0.17  
Macclesfield     17   21   -3       2.62    68.70     4.05    51.80     7.79   -15.94     0.01     0.09     1.13     0.24P    7.84R    7.84  
Crawley_Town     18   21   -5      -0.16    50.14     0.54    54.42     7.85   -12.83     0.01     0.24     2.33     0.59P    4.29R    4.29  
Leyton_Orient    18   20   -6      -0.05    50.98     1.28    50.21     7.89   -18.66     0.00     0.04     0.75     0.16P   11.31R   11.31  
Grimsby          15   19   +0       0.27    53.06     2.37    56.65     8.44    -6.79     0.12     0.86     5.82     1.77P    2.72R    2.72  
Scunthorpe       18   18   -2      -9.93     5.85    -6.86    60.83     8.37     4.57     0.32     2.31    13.37     5.72P    0.82R    0.82  
Carlisle         18   18  -12      -4.49    23.62    -8.52    53.96     7.98   -15.78     0.02     0.20     2.20     0.62P    5.29R    5.29  
Walsall          18   18  -12      -5.48    18.95   -10.46    55.74     8.09   -12.56     0.03     0.37     3.48     1.16P    3.38R    3.38  
Oldham           17   16   -8      -6.82    12.39    -7.21    56.35     8.29    -7.08     0.07     0.58     4.68     1.61P    3.03R    3.03  
Morecambe        18   14  -14      -4.92    19.95    -5.40    43.25     7.58   -27.79     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.02P   41.12R   41.12  
Stevenage        17   13   -9      -8.40     6.76    -6.47    49.61     8.01   -13.08     0.00     0.04     0.70     0.20P   12.47R   12.47  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 November 2019, Barnet 1 2 Stockport; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barrow             20   37  +13       6.56    83.76     8.61    76.66     7.77    18.91    16.02    65.43    26.87P    0.01R    0.00  
Bromley            21   37  +10       4.98    76.31     5.20    75.10     7.65    15.58    11.43    57.39    21.51P    0.04R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors     21   36  +11       1.95    61.09     3.22    76.32     7.52    19.88    14.51    64.66    28.19P    0.01R    0.00  
Halifax            21   36   +4       7.95    88.18     4.76    70.27     7.33     4.22     3.04    30.40     8.16P    0.19R    0.00  
Yeovil             20   35  +10      -0.11    48.89    -1.41    80.19     7.81    24.13    31.19    80.04    47.05P    0.01R    0.00  
Torquay            21   34   +7       5.50    77.89     8.01    68.09     7.92     6.14     2.70    23.88     6.68P    0.72R    0.04  
Harrogate_Town     21   33   +3       1.89    61.06    -0.34    70.43     7.64     7.54     3.76    33.08    10.48P    0.26R    0.01  
Woking             21   32   +4       4.82    75.73     6.54    64.77     7.79     1.64     0.84    12.96     3.24P    2.01R    0.09  
Notts_County       21   31   +9      -5.67    20.46    -2.86    75.34     7.57    24.11    12.62    60.96    29.76P    0.04R    0.00  
Dover_Athletic     20   31   +0       3.09    68.27    -0.69    66.11     7.68    -0.89     1.21    15.91     4.01P    1.26R    0.04  
Stockport          21   31   -7       7.97    88.02     1.85    58.69     7.50   -17.01     0.14     2.78     0.55P    9.78R    0.66  
Dag_&_Red          21   30   +3       0.41    52.89     1.85    65.16     7.44     4.29     0.76    13.05     3.53P    1.42R    0.06  
Boreham_Wood       21   29   +5      -0.26    48.99     4.32    63.61     7.41     5.58     0.51     9.65     2.50P    2.03R    0.09  
Hartlepool         21   28   +0      -0.13    49.91     1.14    61.34     7.48    -1.61     0.21     5.70     1.35P    4.48R    0.25  
Barnet             21   28   +0      -2.22    37.38    -2.18    63.47     7.47     1.87     0.44     9.17     2.48P    2.29R    0.13  
Eastleigh          20   28   -1       1.72    60.81     0.93    62.73     7.71    -2.51     0.45     8.19     1.94P    3.51R    0.17  
Maidenhead         21   25   +0      -0.38    48.53     4.99    54.79     7.30    -6.70     0.02     0.81     0.17P   18.75R    1.97  
Chesterfield       20   22   -6      -6.06    18.18    -6.81    56.81     7.69    -7.49     0.06     1.85     0.47P   14.07R    1.28  
Aldershot          21   22  -10      -1.32    43.02    -2.18    49.34     7.07   -20.06     0.00     0.07     0.02P   47.91R    8.13  
AFC_Fylde          20   21  -12      -7.19    13.85   -12.94    57.79     7.84   -10.48     0.07     2.46     0.67P   12.48R    1.27  
Sutton_United      20   19   -6      -6.45    15.87    -3.15    51.90     7.57   -10.01     0.01     0.40     0.09P   32.12R    4.65  
Wrexham            20   19   -7      -8.68     8.98    -7.64    55.34     7.48    -5.71     0.01     0.96     0.25P   17.33R    2.13  
Ebbsfleet_United   21   18  -10      -9.58     7.62    -7.76    51.21     7.54   -12.04     0.01     0.21     0.04P   35.92R    5.64  
Chorley            21   16  -20      -2.23    37.54    -3.44    37.87     6.95   -39.39     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.37R   73.38