Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Sunday 17 November 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 10 November 2019, Liverpool 3 1 Man_City; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Liverpool 12 34 +18 8.37 98.32 2.16 92.47 6.56 57.50 76.15 96.93 99.52 99.96 100.00 0.00 0.00 Leicester 12 26 +21 6.17 90.37 16.00 71.70 7.53 36.82 1.04 9.41 44.62 76.76 95.54 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 12 26 +10 3.43 76.45 0.40 72.45 7.44 27.52 1.13 9.93 47.45 77.53 95.76 0.00 0.00 Man_City 12 25 +22 -3.65 16.62 -1.31 84.80 6.46 65.62 21.66 82.78 95.83 99.19 99.98 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 12 17 +4 2.96 74.13 7.70 48.70 7.50 -2.63 0.00 0.01 0.16 0.90 8.83 3.07R 0.23 Arsenal 12 17 -1 -2.07 33.07 -4.83 59.05 7.69 8.66 0.01 0.32 3.49 12.56 49.97 0.12R 0.01 Man_Utd 12 16 +4 -4.24 19.10 -1.66 59.06 7.37 15.10 0.00 0.23 3.04 11.92 51.59 0.07R 0.00 Wolverhampton 12 16 +1 0.64 56.12 3.11 50.10 7.44 -1.86 0.00 0.00 0.17 1.21 11.51 2.13R 0.17 Bournemouth 12 16 +0 0.88 57.98 2.66 46.68 7.40 -9.99 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.47 5.27 5.55R 0.43 Burnley 12 15 -1 0.86 58.36 2.86 44.10 7.27 -12.87 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.16 2.58 10.17R 1.13 Brighton 12 15 -2 1.70 65.85 3.57 41.42 7.01 -16.76 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.05 1.03 17.25R 2.00 Crystal_Palace 12 15 -6 1.26 62.02 -1.62 47.83 7.35 -11.16 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.52 6.09 4.30R 0.37 Newcastle 12 15 -7 1.28 62.02 -2.48 46.12 7.23 -14.16 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.29 3.78 6.28R 0.55 Tottenham 12 14 +1 -6.67 7.23 -5.40 60.70 7.58 18.25 0.01 0.38 5.39 17.85 60.89 0.06R 0.00 Everton 12 14 -5 -2.68 29.42 -5.11 46.66 7.33 -10.83 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.46 4.99 5.47R 0.58 West_Ham 12 13 -6 -2.29 32.57 -3.78 41.63 7.28 -19.56 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.11 1.30 18.02R 2.46 Aston_Villa 12 11 -3 -1.72 36.55 4.63 38.81 7.52 -17.33 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.73 30.33R 6.05 Watford 12 8 -15 -4.25 17.36 -7.23 33.88 7.02 -32.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.07 58.78R 17.55 Southampton 12 8 -18 -2.02 33.53 -6.18 34.82 7.15 -34.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.09 53.91R 15.96 Norwich 12 7 -17 -2.80 27.12 -3.49 28.27 6.93 -45.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 84.51R 52.50Championship (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 10 November 2019, Cardiff 0 1 Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 West_Brom 16 33 +12 4.71 79.15 2.02 85.69 8.53 29.77 43.42 63.33 92.45 72.04P 0.00 0.00 Preston 16 31 +14 5.01 80.24 7.83 77.82 8.72 22.50 12.79 27.87 71.61 38.87P 0.02R 0.00 Leeds_United 16 31 +12 4.70 79.16 5.59 80.67 8.30 24.60 18.79 38.94 82.37 51.48P 0.01R 0.00 Swansea 16 29 +6 4.58 78.61 2.29 74.76 8.49 12.91 6.19 15.55 57.64 26.01P 0.07R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 15 28 +7 6.55 88.00 5.57 74.00 8.65 12.26 5.26 13.82 53.91 22.69P 0.07R 0.00 Bristol_City 16 28 +4 4.68 79.09 2.01 71.99 8.51 8.26 3.36 9.48 44.31 17.18P 0.17R 0.01 Fulham 16 26 +7 0.56 53.57 1.72 71.18 8.85 12.98 3.36 9.46 42.51 18.13P 0.26R 0.02 Sheff_Wed 16 25 +7 1.22 58.81 4.13 67.57 8.38 9.15 1.10 3.77 26.42 9.06P 0.54R 0.03 Brentford 16 24 +8 -1.25 41.38 3.06 71.61 8.57 17.70 3.40 9.48 45.01 19.53P 0.22R 0.01 QPR 16 24 -4 5.04 81.17 1.13 58.55 8.44 -15.36 0.09 0.33 4.71 0.97P 8.51R 1.34 Charlton 16 22 +3 1.31 59.55 4.79 62.12 8.57 1.69 0.27 0.97 10.87 2.99P 3.49R 0.36 Hull 16 22 +2 -0.62 46.19 1.14 63.65 8.55 2.46 0.44 1.57 14.19 4.39P 2.50R 0.29 Birmingham 16 22 -5 2.54 68.09 -1.53 59.12 8.26 -10.77 0.07 0.29 4.86 1.04P 6.95R 0.92 Cardiff 16 21 +0 -2.72 32.42 -2.58 64.64 8.83 3.79 0.72 2.27 17.68 6.26P 2.19R 0.25 Millwall 16 21 -3 1.71 62.57 0.82 57.88 8.20 -9.04 0.03 0.21 3.85 0.83P 8.70R 1.34 Derby 16 21 -3 -2.45 33.98 -5.27 65.46 8.50 1.95 0.63 2.25 18.56 6.37P 1.43R 0.13 Reading 15 18 -1 0.10 51.71 3.08 55.01 8.42 -9.20 0.02 0.11 2.17 0.52P 16.10R 3.16 Blackburn 16 18 -4 -2.48 33.91 -1.42 56.82 8.49 -7.66 0.04 0.18 3.43 0.79P 11.55R 2.09 Huddersfield 16 16 -6 -3.03 30.60 -1.73 51.26 8.35 -14.01 0.01 0.05 0.85 0.21P 29.02R 6.84 Wigan 16 15 -11 -3.06 29.71 -5.44 50.64 8.13 -18.83 0.00 0.02 0.41 0.08P 32.45R 8.07 Luton 16 14 -8 -4.91 20.33 -2.79 49.60 8.66 -17.54 0.00 0.01 0.61 0.13P 37.23R 11.16 Middlesbrough 16 13 -8 -8.92 5.33 -8.32 54.12 8.14 -7.30 0.01 0.06 1.38 0.38P 17.25R 3.28 Stoke 16 11 -12 -7.90 7.36 -7.68 47.91 8.21 -18.06 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.04P 44.44R 13.53 Barnsley 16 9 -17 -7.65 7.90 -8.46 40.76 8.42 -32.26 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 76.83R 47.16League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 17 November 2019, Tranmere 0 2 Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Wycombe 17 36 +13 10.60 96.36 9.83 73.18 7.74 13.17 5.91 14.57 53.92 21.34P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 15 33 +15 6.73 88.85 6.58 83.97 8.32 31.87 45.35 64.30 91.49 71.80P 0.00 0.00 Coventry 17 29 +3 4.43 77.94 1.16 64.69 7.67 1.40 0.55 1.80 16.09 4.46P 0.03R 0.00 Peterborough 17 28 +16 -1.36 40.61 6.27 74.14 7.84 30.88 8.23 19.91 62.42 31.60P 0.00 0.00 Blackpool 17 28 +5 2.81 68.39 2.23 66.12 7.65 6.86 0.90 2.82 21.47 6.67P 0.01R 0.00 Rotherham 16 27 +12 0.18 51.10 4.50 75.05 8.34 26.90 10.57 23.70 65.32 35.63P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 16 26 +14 1.20 58.12 9.59 71.92 8.10 25.69 5.25 13.28 51.04 22.45P 0.00R 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 15 26 +8 2.01 63.68 2.83 69.99 8.35 14.45 3.44 9.16 40.15 16.31P 0.01R 0.00 Sunderland 15 25 +6 -1.85 36.12 -3.93 75.46 8.12 22.24 10.15 23.88 66.29 37.18P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 16 25 +0 2.54 67.71 -0.88 61.27 7.82 -3.05 0.19 0.77 8.55 2.16P 0.20R 0.00 Shrewsbury 16 24 -2 2.36 66.80 -1.95 61.30 7.66 -3.19 0.13 0.67 8.19 2.13P 0.16R 0.00 Doncaster 14 23 +8 0.28 51.87 2.71 72.05 8.44 20.33 5.57 14.09 50.84 23.48P 0.00R 0.00 Portsmouth 15 21 +4 -3.97 23.18 -2.93 67.53 8.27 14.10 1.84 5.23 29.72 11.97P 0.05R 0.00 Gillingham 17 21 +1 -1.76 38.90 1.87 57.38 7.70 -0.35 0.04 0.20 3.24 0.84P 0.91R 0.01 Burton_Albion 14 20 +3 -0.39 47.42 1.26 67.62 8.44 12.89 1.88 5.60 30.27 11.77P 0.04R 0.00 Rochdale 18 19 -9 -1.42 41.54 -1.68 47.20 7.23 -21.76 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.02P 11.90R 0.54 Lincoln_City 17 18 -4 -1.92 38.06 1.12 51.91 7.79 -8.45 0.00 0.02 0.73 0.17P 4.13R 0.14 Tranmere 16 16 -10 0.12 52.36 0.49 43.89 7.76 -27.26 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.01P 26.59R 2.11 Accrington_Stanley 17 15 -10 -3.55 27.22 -2.61 46.86 7.48 -18.16 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.02P 13.22R 0.91 AFC_Wimbledon 17 13 -8 -5.82 14.78 -1.08 44.32 7.49 -16.58 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 21.36R 1.72 MK_Dons 17 13 -13 -5.73 15.78 -6.06 40.02 7.43 -28.76 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 44.77R 5.41 Southend 17 5 -31 -10.55 1.65 -17.12 29.99 7.16 -53.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 89.88R 45.53 Bolton 14 1 -21 -0.39 48.42 -12.21 29.99 7.88 -39.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 86.74R 43.62 Adjustments: Bolton -12 Bury -12League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 November 2019, Crawley_Town 1 1 Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot1 Bot1 Swindon 18 33 +9 4.72 77.66 3.70 76.53 8.08 16.72 13.89 40.67 76.37 49.42P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 17 31 +9 4.98 79.78 4.96 75.90 8.15 16.63 12.60 37.99 73.81 46.99P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 16 30 +9 2.65 67.13 1.04 80.72 8.62 23.31 31.37 61.11 87.52 69.17P 0.00 0.00 Crewe 17 30 +5 5.78 83.07 3.72 71.47 8.28 7.44 5.01 19.49 52.93 26.53P 0.02R 0.02 Exeter 18 30 +3 2.89 68.24 -0.64 72.69 8.02 9.46 5.85 23.01 59.21 32.10P 0.01R 0.01 Cheltenham 16 29 +13 5.10 80.86 10.12 72.89 8.41 17.12 7.64 26.26 61.13 34.10P 0.00R 0.00 Northampton 18 28 +7 0.33 52.16 2.52 69.66 8.03 11.82 3.33 14.64 45.90 22.47P 0.02R 0.02 Port_Vale 18 28 +1 5.07 80.25 3.24 63.13 7.78 -3.32 0.38 2.73 16.34 5.25P 0.24R 0.24 Newport_County 16 27 +4 4.75 80.05 3.22 68.95 8.28 5.57 2.87 12.45 40.77 18.54P 0.05R 0.05 Colchester 17 26 +6 -0.34 47.97 1.54 70.64 8.21 13.32 4.46 17.65 50.51 26.57P 0.02R 0.02 Plymouth 17 26 +5 -1.42 41.08 -1.30 74.49 8.57 17.98 11.09 33.41 68.29 43.82P 0.01R 0.01 Salford_City 18 24 -5 5.03 80.16 4.14 52.90 7.84 -20.00 0.01 0.14 1.66 0.39P 6.35R 6.35 Cambridge_Utd 18 23 +4 0.21 52.11 6.40 59.31 7.85 1.39 0.13 1.07 8.29 2.61P 1.00R 1.00 Mansfield 18 21 +1 -8.14 9.21 -5.67 64.27 8.05 8.21 0.82 4.88 22.80 10.28P 0.19R 0.19 Macclesfield 17 21 -3 2.52 68.25 3.90 52.02 7.75 -15.62 0.01 0.11 1.25 0.28P 7.45R 7.45 Crawley_Town 18 21 -5 -0.17 49.81 0.50 54.50 7.91 -12.69 0.02 0.18 2.64 0.63P 4.25R 4.25 Leyton_Orient 18 20 -6 -0.06 50.57 1.22 50.21 7.79 -18.60 0.01 0.05 0.76 0.17P 11.15R 11.15 Grimsby 15 19 +0 0.22 52.45 2.30 56.71 8.41 -6.75 0.12 0.81 5.69 1.77P 2.74R 2.74 Scunthorpe 18 18 -2 -10.00 5.37 -6.91 60.83 8.29 4.60 0.31 2.23 13.16 5.49P 0.79R 0.79 Carlisle 18 18 -12 -4.43 23.69 -8.38 53.82 8.01 -16.00 0.01 0.17 2.04 0.58P 5.57R 5.57 Walsall 18 18 -12 -5.48 18.96 -10.46 55.68 8.10 -12.60 0.03 0.33 3.49 1.08P 3.30R 3.30 Oldham 17 16 -8 -6.85 12.41 -7.26 56.43 8.29 -6.97 0.05 0.54 4.78 1.55P 3.01R 3.01 Morecambe 18 14 -14 -4.97 19.82 -5.47 43.23 7.53 -27.76 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.00P 41.03R 41.03 Stevenage 17 13 -9 -8.37 6.80 -6.45 49.50 8.02 -13.23 0.00 0.05 0.64 0.21P 12.80R 12.80National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 November 2019, Barnet 1 2 Stockport; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Barrow 20 37 +13 6.45 83.09 8.45 76.83 7.71 19.19 16.54 66.19 27.61P 0.01R 0.00 Bromley 21 37 +10 5.04 76.64 5.30 75.04 7.66 15.47 11.24 56.63 21.02P 0.04R 0.00 Solihull_Moors 21 36 +11 1.87 60.63 3.10 76.47 7.48 20.08 14.83 65.32 28.67P 0.01R 0.00 Halifax 21 36 +4 7.91 88.28 4.72 70.28 7.31 4.24 2.98 30.45 8.02P 0.19R 0.00 Yeovil 20 35 +10 -0.06 49.10 -1.32 80.07 7.85 24.00 30.46 79.54 46.50P 0.01R 0.00 Torquay 21 34 +7 5.37 77.04 7.73 68.24 8.01 6.42 2.85 24.81 7.08P 0.70R 0.03 Harrogate_Town 21 33 +3 1.81 60.53 -0.47 70.49 7.65 7.65 3.72 33.14 10.38P 0.23R 0.01 Woking 21 32 +4 4.91 75.88 6.63 64.64 7.75 1.45 0.89 12.06 3.04P 1.96R 0.09 Notts_County 21 31 +9 -5.59 20.85 -2.76 75.28 7.62 23.99 12.56 60.71 29.71P 0.04R 0.00 Dover_Athletic 20 31 +0 2.89 67.26 -0.95 66.29 7.75 -0.65 1.39 16.59 4.43P 1.22R 0.05 Stockport 21 31 -7 8.17 88.45 2.25 58.42 7.51 -17.45 0.08 2.46 0.43P 10.47R 0.74 Dag_&_Red 21 30 +3 0.39 52.67 1.79 65.16 7.55 4.27 0.78 13.42 3.45P 1.38R 0.05 Boreham_Wood 21 29 +5 -0.31 48.76 4.26 63.70 7.45 5.70 0.48 9.84 2.48P 2.08R 0.10 Hartlepool 21 28 +0 -0.07 49.96 1.22 61.32 7.45 -1.62 0.21 5.43 1.23P 4.37R 0.26 Barnet 21 28 +0 -2.15 37.76 -2.06 63.35 7.42 1.66 0.41 8.68 2.44P 2.32R 0.10 Eastleigh 20 28 -1 1.59 59.83 0.77 62.88 7.69 -2.32 0.41 8.17 1.89P 3.38R 0.16 Maidenhead 21 25 +0 -0.34 48.72 5.03 54.73 7.26 -6.76 0.02 0.77 0.16P 19.13R 1.75 Chesterfield 20 22 -6 -5.99 18.53 -6.72 56.79 7.71 -7.55 0.05 1.88 0.49P 14.05R 1.38 Aldershot 21 22 -10 -1.37 42.83 -2.23 49.49 7.03 -19.82 0.00 0.09 0.02P 46.67R 7.56 AFC_Fylde 20 21 -12 -7.14 14.09 -12.87 57.74 7.76 -10.59 0.06 2.17 0.52P 12.36R 1.14 Sutton_United 20 19 -6 -6.37 16.16 -3.03 51.79 7.56 -10.18 0.01 0.33 0.08P 32.94R 4.77 Wrexham 20 19 -7 -8.64 9.11 -7.54 55.36 7.57 -5.68 0.02 1.04 0.29P 17.46R 2.12 Ebbsfleet_United 21 18 -10 -9.73 7.29 -8.00 51.34 7.55 -11.82 0.00 0.27 0.06P 35.37R 5.36 Chorley 21 16 -20 -2.16 38.52 -3.31 37.71 6.93 -39.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 93.62R 74.34