Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 16 November 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 10 November 2019, Liverpool 3 1 Man_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        12   34  +18       8.35    98.22     2.14    92.48     6.60    57.57    76.03    96.89    99.54    99.96   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        12   26  +21       6.17    90.28    15.97    71.73     7.55    36.88     1.10     9.23    44.80    76.73    95.57     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          12   26  +10       3.38    75.91     0.33    72.50     7.43    27.59     1.20    10.21    47.34    77.68    95.80     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         12   25  +22      -3.61    16.98    -1.17    84.75     6.50    65.45    21.64    82.72    95.69    99.23    99.95     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        12   17   +4       2.92    73.72     7.63    48.80     7.52    -2.46     0.00     0.01     0.16     0.97     9.06     3.20R    0.27  
Arsenal          12   17   -1      -2.14    32.77    -4.96    59.09     7.64     8.73     0.01     0.31     3.50    12.41    50.13     0.13R    0.01  
Man_Utd          12   16   +4      -4.20    19.23    -1.58    59.03     7.41    14.99     0.00     0.23     3.13    12.06    51.33     0.07R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    12   16   +1       0.58    55.57     3.01    50.19     7.45    -1.69     0.00     0.01     0.20     1.13    11.58     2.08R    0.20  
Bournemouth      12   16   +0       0.87    57.92     2.69    46.66     7.37    -9.99     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.44     5.06     5.57R    0.42  
Burnley          12   15   -1       0.90    58.76     2.92    44.02     7.24   -12.98     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.15     2.54    10.35R    1.20  
Brighton         12   15   -2       1.66    65.26     3.45    41.51     7.03   -16.56     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09     1.16    17.06R    2.04  
Crystal_Palace   12   15   -6       1.31    62.17    -1.51    47.73     7.37   -11.35     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.55     6.05     4.51R    0.34  
Newcastle        12   15   -7       1.32    62.24    -2.43    46.07     7.22   -14.18     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.33     3.74     6.32R    0.50  
Tottenham        12   14   +1      -6.66     7.21    -5.36    60.62     7.58    18.13     0.01     0.38     5.31    17.72    60.75     0.06R    0.01  
Everton          12   14   -5      -2.66    29.61    -5.09    46.64     7.34   -10.80     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.40     5.03     5.48R    0.52  
West_Ham         12   13   -6      -2.28    32.54    -3.81    41.69     7.27   -19.48     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08     1.35    17.82R    2.34  
Aston_Villa      12   11   -3      -1.64    37.25     4.77    38.62     7.48   -17.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.68    31.14R    6.13  
Watford          12    8  -15      -4.26    17.29    -7.25    33.90     7.04   -32.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08    58.81R   17.61  
Southampton      12    8  -18      -2.09    32.96    -6.31    35.05     7.20   -33.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13    52.42R   15.42  
Norwich          12    7  -17      -2.77    27.47    -3.45    28.13     6.92   -45.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    84.98R   52.98  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 10 November 2019, Cardiff 0 1 Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

West_Brom       16   33  +12       4.63    78.87     1.92    85.90     8.51    30.07    43.92    64.12    92.91    72.66P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         16   31  +14       4.95    80.13     7.75    77.79     8.64    22.52    12.29    27.25    71.77    38.39P    0.02R    0.00  
Leeds_United    16   31  +12       4.61    78.74     5.44    80.92     8.28    24.90    19.29    40.20    83.37    52.92P    0.00R    0.00  
Swansea         16   29   +6       4.59    78.64     2.29    74.76     8.45    12.86     6.07    15.31    57.75    25.56P    0.06R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   15   28   +7       6.51    88.03     5.52    73.83     8.66    12.02     5.03    13.39    53.19    22.22P    0.11R    0.01  
Bristol_City    16   28   +4       4.64    78.98     1.92    71.97     8.46     8.22     3.31     9.17    44.25    16.83P    0.17R    0.02  
Fulham          16   26   +7       0.48    53.06     1.62    71.25     8.87    13.09     3.53     9.69    42.88    18.33P    0.27R    0.02  
Sheff_Wed       16   25   +7       1.16    58.18     4.06    67.73     8.39     9.43     1.22     3.85    27.11     9.42P    0.57R    0.04  
Brentford       16   24   +8      -1.26    41.44     3.06    71.57     8.52    17.63     3.36     9.27    44.77    19.33P    0.19R    0.01  
QPR             16   24   -4       5.01    81.33     1.11    58.73     8.42   -15.10     0.07     0.36     4.96     1.05P    8.22R    1.23  
Charlton        16   22   +3       1.37    60.10     4.96    61.87     8.63     1.30     0.23     0.92    10.50     2.91P    3.86R    0.49  
Hull            16   22   +2      -0.54    46.76     1.26    63.49     8.56     2.18     0.40     1.47    13.90     4.21P    2.52R    0.29  
Birmingham      16   22   -5       2.49    67.81    -1.59    59.12     8.31   -10.78     0.09     0.33     4.99     1.16P    7.03R    0.95  
Cardiff         16   21   +0      -2.62    33.19    -2.50    64.53     8.73     3.60     0.59     2.13    17.11     6.04P    2.03R    0.24  
Millwall        16   21   -3       1.74    62.76     0.85    57.91     8.21    -8.95     0.02     0.18     3.78     0.86P    8.91R    1.30  
Derby           16   21   -3      -2.28    35.21    -5.04    65.13     8.49     1.47     0.52     1.96    17.87     6.00P    1.53R    0.15  
Reading         15   18   -1       0.01    51.24     2.97    55.11     8.45    -9.03     0.03     0.11     2.28     0.52P   15.88R    3.04  
Blackburn       16   18   -4      -2.42    34.32    -1.32    56.85     8.45    -7.61     0.03     0.17     3.28     0.78P   11.49R    2.05  
Huddersfield    16   16   -6      -3.17    29.42    -1.94    51.48     8.29   -13.66     0.01     0.02     0.80     0.18P   27.82R    6.46  
Wigan           16   15  -11      -3.02    30.06    -5.42    50.58     8.17   -18.94     0.00     0.01     0.44     0.09P   33.10R    8.33  
Luton           16   14   -8      -4.81    21.00    -2.65    49.47     8.67   -17.78     0.01     0.05     0.60     0.15P   37.99R   11.09  
Middlesbrough   16   13   -8      -8.96     5.27    -8.34    54.10     8.15    -7.30     0.01     0.05     1.28     0.35P   17.30R    3.39  
Stoke           16   11  -12      -7.87     7.14    -7.63    48.03     8.23   -17.90     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.05P   43.96R   13.38  
Barnsley        16    9  -17      -7.58     8.07    -8.31    40.75     8.39   -32.26     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   76.99R   47.51  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 November 2019, Blackpool 2 0 AFC_Wimbledon; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Ipswich              15   33  +15       6.82    89.12     6.68    83.87     8.28    31.75    45.61    64.52    91.76    72.32P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              16   33  +11       9.51    95.52     8.62    71.23     7.91    10.64     4.01    10.44    45.00    16.06P    0.00R    0.00  
Coventry             17   29   +3       4.40    77.77     1.16    64.71     7.61     1.43     0.58     2.00    16.54     4.76P    0.04R    0.00  
Peterborough         17   28  +16      -1.28    41.17     6.38    74.06     7.82    30.76     8.25    19.96    63.16    31.75P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            17   28   +5       2.80    68.25     2.19    66.19     7.66     6.95     0.97     2.96    22.37     7.02P    0.02R    0.00  
Rotherham            16   27  +12      -0.10    48.93     4.07    75.53     8.27    27.65    11.70    26.15    68.24    38.29P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           16   26  +14       1.30    58.89     9.76    71.86     8.03    25.63     5.38    13.66    52.02    22.65P    0.00R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       15   26   +8       2.03    64.31     2.90    69.75     8.26    14.03     3.12     8.67    39.67    15.83P    0.01R    0.00  
Sunderland           15   25   +6      -1.84    36.19    -3.88    75.41     8.09    22.11    10.36    24.24    67.18    37.67P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       16   25   +0       2.54    67.60    -0.90    61.26     7.79    -3.03     0.25     0.84     8.80     2.19P    0.25R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           16   24   -2       2.47    67.66    -1.82    61.24     7.69    -3.26     0.16     0.73     8.42     2.10P    0.20R    0.00  
Doncaster            14   23   +8       0.32    52.00     2.73    71.95     8.45    20.19     5.63    14.23    50.99    23.81P    0.02R    0.00  
Portsmouth           15   21   +4      -4.06    22.73    -3.05    67.62     8.25    14.29     1.90     5.59    30.92    12.69P    0.05R    0.00  
Gillingham           17   21   +1      -1.63    39.95     2.02    57.28     7.71    -0.47     0.04     0.20     3.35     0.79P    1.02R    0.03  
Burton_Albion        14   20   +3      -0.38    47.46     1.32    67.53     8.45    12.75     2.03     5.77    30.51    11.88P    0.08R    0.00  
Rochdale             18   19   -9      -1.49    40.99    -1.77    47.27     7.23   -21.66     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   12.52R    0.61  
Lincoln_City         17   18   -4      -1.96    37.61     1.06    52.02     7.80    -8.30     0.01     0.03     0.70     0.13P    4.55R    0.19  
Tranmere             15   16   -8       0.98    58.58     1.68    45.67     8.04   -24.69     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P   20.92R    1.58  
Accrington_Stanley   17   15  -10      -3.54    27.32    -2.59    46.83     7.53   -18.23     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.01P   14.43R    0.87  
AFC_Wimbledon        17   13   -8      -5.73    14.96    -0.92    44.15     7.46   -16.82     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   23.19R    1.95  
MK_Dons              17   13  -13      -5.76    15.72    -6.14    40.12     7.46   -28.63     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   45.79R    5.55  
Southend             17    5  -31     -10.63     1.66   -17.24    30.06     7.21   -53.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.11R   45.35  
Bolton               14    1  -21      -0.46    48.01   -12.26    30.07     7.98   -39.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.81R   43.87  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 November 2019, Crawley_Town 1 1 Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot1     Bot1

Swindon          18   33   +9       4.87    78.54     3.91    76.29     8.09    16.37    13.53    39.33    75.37    48.01P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     17   31   +9       4.93    79.53     4.90    75.99     8.16    16.75    12.93    38.10    74.04    47.23P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         16   30   +9       2.63    66.94     1.04    80.75     8.61    23.29    31.75    61.30    87.56    68.98P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            17   30   +5       5.71    82.92     3.56    71.58     8.27     7.63     5.18    19.83    53.10    26.76P    0.01R    0.01  
Exeter           18   30   +3       2.90    68.03    -0.62    72.65     8.00     9.40     5.84    22.76    59.27    32.07P    0.01R    0.01  
Cheltenham       16   29  +13       5.07    80.75    10.06    72.99     8.41    17.30     7.66    26.87    61.59    34.67P    0.01R    0.01  
Northampton      18   28   +7       0.43    52.93     2.63    69.61     8.06    11.78     3.27    14.65    45.44    22.17P    0.01R    0.01  
Port_Vale        18   28   +1       5.06    80.01     3.21    63.15     7.78    -3.34     0.39     2.83    16.38     5.37P    0.23R    0.23  
Newport_County   16   27   +4       4.72    79.69     3.23    68.93     8.25     5.51     2.72    12.32    40.86    18.43P    0.06R    0.06  
Colchester       17   26   +6      -0.42    47.26     1.43    70.71     8.24    13.46     4.39    18.17    50.84    27.29P    0.01R    0.01  
Plymouth         17   26   +5      -1.38    40.84    -1.23    74.54     8.56    18.04    10.80    33.39    68.69    43.89P    0.01R    0.01  
Salford_City     18   24   -5       4.93    79.67     3.96    53.07     7.84   -19.73     0.01     0.14     1.67     0.34P    6.13R    6.13  
Cambridge_Utd    18   23   +4       0.33    53.04     6.57    59.10     7.83     1.09     0.12     1.03     8.02     2.42P    1.02R    1.02  
Mansfield        18   21   +1      -8.18     9.14    -5.74    64.30     8.05     8.21     0.82     4.84    23.15    10.65P    0.22R    0.22  
Macclesfield     17   21   -3       2.55    68.33     3.94    51.93     7.75   -15.72     0.01     0.10     1.16     0.26P    7.13R    7.13  
Crawley_Town     18   21   -5      -0.13    50.24     0.58    54.43     7.88   -12.82     0.03     0.21     2.47     0.61P    4.26R    4.26  
Leyton_Orient    18   20   -6      -0.17    50.18     1.07    50.35     7.89   -18.42     0.01     0.06     0.84     0.20P   11.01R   11.01  
Grimsby          15   19   +0       0.26    53.01     2.31    56.68     8.38    -6.74     0.10     0.78     5.45     1.69P    2.66R    2.66  
Scunthorpe       18   18   -2      -9.99     5.60    -6.95    60.76     8.30     4.53     0.31     2.14    13.16     5.55P    0.77R    0.77  
Carlisle         18   18  -12      -4.46    23.48    -8.47    53.88     8.00   -15.89     0.02     0.18     2.01     0.55P    5.46R    5.46  
Walsall          18   18  -12      -5.56    18.64   -10.58    55.86     8.11   -12.39     0.03     0.33     3.68     1.16P    3.46R    3.46  
Oldham           17   16   -8      -6.72    12.59    -7.09    56.29     8.29    -7.17     0.06     0.57     4.52     1.50P    3.06R    3.06  
Morecambe        18   14  -14      -4.88    20.32    -5.32    43.05     7.54   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P   41.90R   41.90  
Stevenage        17   13   -9      -8.36     7.08    -6.40    49.56     8.00   -13.14     0.00     0.04     0.68     0.19P   12.56R   12.56  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 November 2019, Barnet 1 2 Stockport; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barrow             20   37  +13       6.55    83.53     8.55    76.73     7.75    19.09    16.26    66.24    27.23P    0.02R    0.00  
Bromley            21   37  +10       5.05    76.53     5.37    74.95     7.64    15.35    11.02    56.86    21.09P    0.04R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors     21   36  +11       1.83    60.42     3.07    76.43     7.56    20.05    15.05    65.07    28.97P    0.02R    0.00  
Halifax            21   36   +4       8.04    88.66     4.90    70.16     7.36     4.11     2.90    30.00     7.89P    0.19R    0.00  
Yeovil             20   35  +10      -0.12    48.89    -1.39    80.17     7.83    24.08    31.09    79.88    47.09P    0.00R    0.00  
Torquay            21   34   +7       5.53    78.00     8.00    68.02     7.89     6.10     2.52    23.84     6.52P    0.73R    0.02  
Harrogate_Town     21   33   +3       1.76    60.40    -0.49    70.44     7.58     7.60     3.59    32.98    10.39P    0.23R    0.00  
Woking             21   32   +4       4.87    75.91     6.58    64.70     7.79     1.55     0.91    12.59     3.13P    1.95R    0.09  
Notts_County       21   31   +9      -5.62    20.70    -2.77    75.28     7.62    23.95    12.68    60.86    29.41P    0.04R    0.00  
Dover_Athletic     20   31   +0       2.97    67.43    -0.88    66.27     7.63    -0.69     1.23    16.46     4.32P    1.06R    0.03  
Stockport          21   31   -7       8.06    88.39     2.03    58.51     7.45   -17.20     0.08     2.49     0.40P   10.21R    0.69  
Dag_&_Red          21   30   +3       0.31    52.25     1.65    65.34     7.52     4.49     0.84    13.78     3.76P    1.38R    0.05  
Boreham_Wood       21   29   +5      -0.24    48.98     4.36    63.63     7.47     5.59     0.53     9.91     2.61P    2.07R    0.08  
Hartlepool         21   28   +0      -0.08    49.97     1.22    61.31     7.48    -1.65     0.21     5.53     1.25P    4.49R    0.24  
Barnet             21   28   +0      -2.11    37.99    -2.03    63.30     7.46     1.64     0.44     8.74     2.35P    2.43R    0.10  
Eastleigh          20   28   -1       1.56    59.86     0.71    62.88     7.70    -2.28     0.47     8.15     2.01P    3.35R    0.15  
Maidenhead         21   25   +0      -0.38    48.56     4.98    54.85     7.29    -6.64     0.01     0.81     0.15P   18.81R    1.84  
Chesterfield       20   22   -6      -6.05    18.24    -6.82    56.89     7.67    -7.40     0.05     1.80     0.40P   13.63R    1.30  
Aldershot          21   22  -10      -1.42    42.35    -2.31    49.45     7.09   -19.90     0.00     0.07     0.01P   47.27R    8.15  
AFC_Fylde          20   21  -12      -7.20    13.88   -12.95    57.73     7.74   -10.59     0.06     2.30     0.60P   12.37R    1.12  
Sutton_United      20   19   -6      -6.31    16.36    -2.95    51.73     7.60   -10.23     0.01     0.42     0.09P   33.44R    5.10  
Wrexham            20   19   -7      -8.66     8.85    -7.54    55.35     7.53    -5.69     0.03     0.99     0.26P   17.47R    2.07  
Ebbsfleet_United   21   18  -10      -9.64     7.24    -7.90    51.30     7.50   -11.91     0.01     0.24     0.07P   35.57R    5.48  
Chorley            21   16  -20      -2.20    37.98    -3.38    37.88     6.97   -39.42     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.26R   73.49