Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 14 November 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 10 November 2019, Liverpool 3 1 Man_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        12   34  +18       8.36    98.36     2.13    92.53     6.59    57.69    76.77    97.12    99.57    99.94   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        12   26  +21       6.25    90.73    16.12    71.62     7.53    36.68     1.01     9.20    44.02    76.10    95.48     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          12   26  +10       3.38    75.95     0.34    72.45     7.44    27.57     1.22    10.30    47.37    77.33    95.81     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         12   25  +22      -3.59    17.24    -1.12    84.67     6.47    65.29    20.97    82.41    95.74    99.23    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        12   17   +4       2.96    73.83     7.66    48.78     7.53    -2.48     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.93     8.88     3.24R    0.29  
Arsenal          12   17   -1      -2.12    32.76    -4.89    59.19     7.67     8.90     0.01     0.30     3.69    12.84    50.55     0.13R    0.00  
Man_Utd          12   16   +4      -4.29    18.80    -1.71    59.14     7.44    15.17     0.01     0.25     3.40    12.20    52.08     0.07R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    12   16   +1       0.59    55.47     3.02    50.23     7.45    -1.69     0.00     0.00     0.24     1.34    11.49     1.90R    0.16  
Bournemouth      12   16   +0       0.86    57.91     2.65    46.66     7.34   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.49     4.74     5.40R    0.44  
Burnley          12   15   -1       0.89    58.53     2.88    43.96     7.23   -13.06     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.14     2.33    10.48R    1.13  
Brighton         12   15   -2       1.67    65.46     3.50    41.48     7.05   -16.67     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     1.05    17.25R    2.07  
Crystal_Palace   12   15   -6       1.24    61.67    -1.61    47.78     7.45   -11.31     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.49     6.03     4.58R    0.40  
Newcastle        12   15   -7       1.29    61.99    -2.49    46.04     7.27   -14.24     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.27     3.95     6.52R    0.57  
Tottenham        12   14   +1      -6.69     7.29    -5.43    60.65     7.60    18.19     0.02     0.40     5.48    18.03    60.36     0.05R    0.00  
Everton          12   14   -5      -2.69    29.36    -5.16    46.66     7.38   -10.73     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.50     5.13     5.36R    0.55  
West_Ham         12   13   -6      -2.23    32.94    -3.73    41.62     7.26   -19.65     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     1.25    18.03R    2.51  
Aston_Villa      12   11   -3      -1.67    37.14     4.73    38.81     7.61   -17.34     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.77    30.43R    6.11  
Watford          12    8  -15      -4.27    17.40    -7.28    33.93     7.03   -32.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    58.14R   17.20  
Southampton      12    8  -18      -2.05    33.33    -6.21    34.85     7.14   -34.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10    53.65R   15.72  
Norwich          12    7  -17      -2.73    27.60    -3.39    28.17     6.98   -45.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    84.76R   52.84  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 10 November 2019, Cardiff 0 1 Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

West_Brom       16   33  +12       4.63    78.91     1.92    85.78     8.52    29.92    43.05    63.54    92.71    72.27P    0.00R    0.00  
Preston         16   31  +14       5.02    80.50     7.84    77.82     8.68    22.49    12.57    27.46    71.57    38.37P    0.02R    0.00  
Leeds_United    16   31  +12       4.70    79.26     5.58    80.76     8.35    24.69    19.27    39.47    82.48    51.80P    0.00R    0.00  
Swansea         16   29   +6       4.59    78.31     2.28    74.78     8.52    12.97     6.15    15.49    57.74    25.71P    0.05R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   15   28   +7       6.50    87.80     5.49    73.98     8.55    12.25     5.05    13.40    53.92    22.37P    0.07R    0.00  
Bristol_City    16   28   +4       4.54    78.34     1.77    72.19     8.53     8.53     3.66     9.91    45.25    17.87P    0.12R    0.00  
Fulham          16   26   +7       0.51    53.55     1.61    71.24     8.83    13.12     3.53     9.54    42.53    18.20P    0.29R    0.01  
Sheff_Wed       16   25   +7       1.12    58.03     4.04    67.69     8.38     9.37     1.19     3.85    26.99     9.25P    0.53R    0.04  
Brentford       16   24   +8      -1.26    41.40     3.10    71.59     8.52    17.64     3.38     9.42    44.88    19.28P    0.18R    0.01  
QPR             16   24   -4       4.92    80.68     0.98    58.74     8.39   -15.06     0.08     0.34     4.72     1.09P    8.12R    1.19  
Charlton        16   22   +3       1.34    59.66     4.82    62.04     8.63     1.59     0.28     0.98    10.69     3.09P    3.78R    0.42  
Hull            16   22   +2      -0.52    47.02     1.29    63.42     8.54     2.11     0.39     1.48    13.40     4.22P    2.56R    0.31  
Birmingham      16   22   -5       2.41    67.14    -1.71    59.24     8.31   -10.59     0.08     0.29     5.03     1.15P    6.89R    0.93  
Cardiff         16   21   +0      -2.62    33.31    -2.47    64.51     8.79     3.55     0.64     2.09    17.29     6.15P    2.12R    0.28  
Millwall        16   21   -3       1.64    62.25     0.73    57.89     8.22    -9.00     0.05     0.23     3.87     0.86P    8.67R    1.35  
Derby           16   21   -3      -2.32    34.70    -5.09    65.24     8.53     1.64     0.57     2.11    18.20     6.17P    1.55R    0.12  
Reading         15   18   -1       0.02    51.18     2.96    55.13     8.37    -8.97     0.02     0.11     2.17     0.48P   15.50R    2.87  
Blackburn       16   18   -4      -2.44    34.06    -1.33    56.83     8.50    -7.69     0.03     0.21     3.38     0.87P   11.52R    2.19  
Huddersfield    16   16   -6      -3.04    30.00    -1.77    51.33     8.22   -13.89     0.00     0.02     0.69     0.16P   28.26R    6.45  
Wigan           16   15  -11      -3.00    30.24    -5.37    50.53     8.14   -19.00     0.00     0.01     0.39     0.09P   32.91R    8.33  
Luton           16   14   -8      -4.70    21.59    -2.48    49.35     8.60   -17.96     0.00     0.01     0.52     0.12P   38.34R   11.27  
Middlesbrough   16   13   -8      -8.94     5.30    -8.33    54.14     8.14    -7.26     0.00     0.05     1.35     0.38P   17.01R    3.37  
Stoke           16   11  -12      -7.76     7.70    -7.46    47.79     8.17   -18.27     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.04P   44.77R   13.77  
Barnsley        16    9  -17      -7.60     8.14    -8.40    40.80     8.33   -32.18     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   76.73R   47.06  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 November 2019, Portsmouth 4 1 Southend; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Ipswich              15   33  +15       6.69    88.70     6.51    84.08     8.26    32.05    46.86    65.51    92.51    73.08P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              16   33  +11       9.50    95.33     8.64    71.24     7.98    10.63     4.03    10.76    46.21    16.81P    0.00R    0.00  
Peterborough         17   28  +16      -1.33    40.74     6.25    74.16     7.87    30.97     8.08    20.87    64.27    32.73P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           16   26  +14       1.24    58.44     9.67    71.91     8.08    25.68     5.49    13.92    52.84    23.27P    0.00R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       15   26   +8       2.02    64.00     2.89    69.89     8.25    14.30     3.21     8.98    41.44    16.41P    0.01R    0.00  
Coventry             16   26   +2       3.49    73.53     1.21    63.31     7.85     0.77     0.46     1.49    14.11     3.81P    0.15R    0.00  
Sunderland           15   25   +6      -1.74    37.15    -3.72    75.18     8.17    21.78    10.17    23.78    66.54    37.18P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            16   25   +3       1.92    63.23     1.31    64.46     7.85     4.75     0.64     2.16    17.42     5.26P    0.10R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       16   25   +0       2.45    67.04    -1.03    61.45     7.82    -2.77     0.19     0.86     9.53     2.47P    0.30R    0.01  
Rotherham            15   24  +11      -0.98    42.74     4.18    74.68     8.57    28.05    10.72    23.93    64.75    35.87P    0.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           16   24   -2       2.37    66.90    -1.93    61.49     7.70    -2.94     0.17     0.74     9.23     2.34P    0.25R    0.01  
Doncaster            14   23   +8       0.20    51.12     2.57    72.25     8.40    20.72     5.95    14.96    53.03    24.74P    0.01R    0.00  
Portsmouth           15   21   +4      -3.97    23.04    -2.93    67.47     8.35    13.99     2.01     5.78    31.01    12.73P    0.06R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        14   20   +3      -0.37    47.50     1.31    67.68     8.46    12.99     1.98     6.00    32.06    12.21P    0.07R    0.00  
Rochdale             17   19   -8      -0.62    46.86    -1.59    48.27     7.45   -21.20     0.00     0.01     0.22     0.05P   11.73R    0.38  
Gillingham           16   18   +0      -2.93    30.66     1.57    55.80     7.95    -1.30     0.04     0.14     2.81     0.64P    1.97R    0.03  
Lincoln_City         16   18   -3      -1.04    43.87     1.50    53.28     8.08    -7.59     0.01     0.08     1.53     0.32P    4.20R    0.13  
Tranmere             15   16   -8       1.03    59.26     1.78    45.53     8.07   -24.94     0.00     0.01     0.17     0.03P   23.30R    1.27  
Accrington_Stanley   16   15   -9      -2.85    31.39    -2.60    47.37     7.72   -18.73     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.03P   14.97R    0.73  
AFC_Wimbledon        16   13   -6      -5.22    17.10    -0.17    45.70     7.77   -14.56     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   19.92R    1.27  
MK_Dons              16   13  -12      -4.74    19.88    -5.56    41.71     7.73   -27.39     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   40.23R    3.57  
Southend             17    5  -31     -10.61     1.60   -17.20    30.03     7.22   -53.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.22R   40.15  
Bolton               13   -2  -22      -1.75    37.33   -12.64    27.92     8.13   -41.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.50R   52.47  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 November 2019, Bradford 2 0 Exeter; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot1     Bot1

Forest_Green     16   31  +10       6.13    85.65     5.65    77.98     8.38    18.60    18.40    47.27    80.79    55.86P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         16   30   +9       2.68    67.05     1.09    80.66     8.66    23.16    29.31    60.10    87.29    68.22P    0.00R    0.00  
Swindon          17   30   +8       3.66    72.68     3.54    74.87     8.30    15.69     9.97    32.52    69.74    41.61P    0.01R    0.01  
Crewe            16   30   +8       6.34    85.97     5.47    73.86     8.55    12.05     8.64    28.46    64.25    36.18P    0.00R    0.00  
Exeter           17   29   +3       3.29    70.84    -0.60    73.72     8.31    10.37     7.66    27.06    63.67    36.21P    0.01R    0.01  
Cheltenham       15   28  +13       5.38    82.83     9.97    73.01     8.76    16.69     7.97    26.98    61.48    34.80P    0.01R    0.01  
Newport_County   16   27   +4       4.65    79.17     3.12    69.04     8.38     5.67     2.86    12.43    41.62    18.97P    0.06R    0.06  
Colchester       17   26   +6      -0.38    47.66     1.48    70.75     8.21    13.46     4.20    17.67    51.46    26.82P    0.02R    0.02  
Northampton      17   25   +4      -0.31    48.06     1.02    66.86     8.30     7.15     1.76     8.74    33.03    14.63P    0.08R    0.08  
Port_Vale        17   25   +0       3.70    74.36     2.61    61.55     8.04    -4.26     0.28     2.06    12.95     4.15P    0.57R    0.57  
Salford_City     17   24   -4       5.90    84.46     4.16    54.12     8.03   -19.01     0.04     0.28     2.57     0.62P    5.08R    5.08  
Cambridge_Utd    17   23   +5       1.25    58.99     6.93    60.82     8.06     2.60     0.29     1.86    12.07     4.01P    0.81R    0.81  
Plymouth         16   23   +4      -2.79    32.02    -1.85    72.12     8.85    15.90     7.06    24.18    57.97    34.19P    0.03R    0.03  
Mansfield        17   20   +1      -7.64     9.98    -5.51    65.40     8.29     9.27     1.15     6.51    28.09    13.10P    0.19R    0.19  
Macclesfield     16   20   -3       2.66    69.39     3.67    51.73     7.94   -16.77     0.01     0.12     1.33     0.30P    8.20R    8.20  
Leyton_Orient    17   20   -4       0.56    54.74     2.12    52.02     8.14   -16.02     0.01     0.14     1.58     0.38P    7.91R    7.91  
Crawley_Town     17   20   -5       0.39    53.94     0.83    55.38     8.11   -11.99     0.03     0.35     3.42     0.92P    3.87R    3.87  
Grimsby          15   19   +0       0.33    53.24     2.48    56.63     8.47    -6.83     0.09     0.77     5.84     1.72P    2.73R    2.73  
Carlisle         17   18  -11      -3.39    28.91    -7.91    55.35     8.18   -14.72     0.04     0.33     3.36     0.96P    4.17R    4.17  
Oldham           17   16   -8      -6.90    12.07    -7.32    56.41     8.33    -7.01     0.07     0.56     4.94     1.59P    2.99R    2.99  
Scunthorpe       17   15   -4     -10.82     3.72    -7.74    58.53     8.58     1.57     0.15     1.30     9.00     3.64P    1.88R    1.88  
Walsall          17   15  -13      -6.80    12.63   -11.03    53.96     8.36   -13.71     0.02     0.25     2.72     0.91P    5.76R    5.76  
Stevenage        17   13   -9      -8.43     6.49    -6.48    49.56     8.03   -13.12     0.01     0.06     0.75     0.22P   12.68R   12.68  
Morecambe        17   13  -14      -4.81    20.05    -5.69    43.04     7.81   -28.72     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   42.93R   42.93  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 November 2019, Stockport 1 0 Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Bromley            20   36  +10       5.53    79.25     5.52    75.59     7.87    15.75    10.84    59.06    21.12P    0.02R    0.00  
Yeovil             19   35  +11       1.26    57.13    -0.47    82.48     8.09    26.58    39.35    85.84    54.51P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax            20   35   +4       8.17    89.60     4.68    70.68     7.58     4.29     2.93    32.42     8.39P    0.22R    0.01  
Barrow             19   34  +10       5.44    80.13     6.40    73.47     7.88    13.55     7.18    48.11    15.98P    0.11R    0.00  
Torquay            20   34   +8       6.47    82.23     8.29    70.48     8.16     8.79     4.02    33.74     9.53P    0.34R    0.01  
Solihull_Moors     20   33   +9       1.01    56.08     2.29    74.46     7.74    17.53     8.40    54.39    20.65P    0.06R    0.00  
Harrogate_Town     20   32   +3       2.23    63.26    -0.42    70.53     7.85     7.12     3.46    33.13    10.12P    0.32R    0.00  
Notts_County       20   31  +12      -5.12    21.99    -1.14    78.38     7.74    29.62    20.21    74.21    40.65P    0.01R    0.00  
Woking             20   31   +4       5.24    78.17     6.68    65.15     8.05     1.55     0.92    14.29     3.27P    2.05R    0.06  
Barnet             20   28   +1      -0.72    45.87    -1.02    65.75     7.62     4.16     0.78    14.99     4.16P    1.28R    0.04  
Eastleigh          20   28   -1       1.47    59.50     0.55    62.92     7.68    -2.22     0.31     8.20     1.72P    3.33R    0.12  
Dover_Athletic     19   28   -1       1.51    59.99    -1.62    63.45     7.87    -3.51     0.53     9.71     2.36P    3.10R    0.12  
Stockport          20   28   -8       6.67    84.72     1.41    55.65     7.61   -20.09     0.05     1.18     0.20P   19.13R    1.20  
Hartlepool         20   27   +0       0.29    52.29     1.19    61.52     7.66    -1.90     0.19     5.87     1.33P    4.53R    0.15  
Dag_&_Red          20   27   -2       0.25    51.81    -1.08    62.19     7.62    -2.61     0.25     6.72     1.46P    3.85R    0.12  
Boreham_Wood       20   26   +4      -1.44    41.78     3.97    62.02     7.60     4.64     0.24     6.86     1.58P    3.64R    0.13  
Maidenhead         20   25   +1       0.60    54.45     5.42    55.98     7.42    -5.96     0.04     1.27     0.26P   15.50R    0.83  
Chesterfield       19   22   -5      -4.55    24.31    -5.68    59.56     7.88    -4.38     0.15     4.09     1.09P    8.05R    0.50  
Aldershot          20   22   -5      -1.52    41.54     0.34    51.89     7.24   -12.90     0.00     0.26     0.05P   32.92R    2.63  
AFC_Fylde          19   21  -10      -6.31    16.73   -11.69    59.56     8.01    -7.91     0.15     4.11     1.15P    9.02R    0.52  
Wrexham            20   19   -7      -8.59     9.10    -7.53    55.26     7.53    -5.85     0.02     0.97     0.29P   17.70R    1.32  
Ebbsfleet_United   20   17  -10      -9.16     8.13    -7.75    51.90     7.75   -11.55     0.00     0.40     0.08P   32.97R    3.42  
Sutton_United      19   16   -7      -7.87     9.87    -3.87    49.48     7.75   -12.22     0.00     0.20     0.04P   45.12R    5.88  
Chorley            20   13  -21      -3.76    27.51    -4.48    34.84     7.02   -42.49     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.73R   82.94