Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Thursday 14 November 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 10 November 2019, Liverpool 3 1 Man_City; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1
Liverpool 12 34 +18 8.36 98.36 2.13 92.53 6.59 57.69 76.77 97.12 99.57 99.94 100.00 0.00 0.00
Leicester 12 26 +21 6.25 90.73 16.12 71.62 7.53 36.68 1.01 9.20 44.02 76.10 95.48 0.00 0.00
Chelsea 12 26 +10 3.38 75.95 0.34 72.45 7.44 27.57 1.22 10.30 47.37 77.33 95.81 0.00 0.00
Man_City 12 25 +22 -3.59 17.24 -1.12 84.67 6.47 65.29 20.97 82.41 95.74 99.23 99.96 0.00 0.00
Sheff_Utd 12 17 +4 2.96 73.83 7.66 48.78 7.53 -2.48 0.00 0.00 0.17 0.93 8.88 3.24R 0.29
Arsenal 12 17 -1 -2.12 32.76 -4.89 59.19 7.67 8.90 0.01 0.30 3.69 12.84 50.55 0.13R 0.00
Man_Utd 12 16 +4 -4.29 18.80 -1.71 59.14 7.44 15.17 0.01 0.25 3.40 12.20 52.08 0.07R 0.00
Wolverhampton 12 16 +1 0.59 55.47 3.02 50.23 7.45 -1.69 0.00 0.00 0.24 1.34 11.49 1.90R 0.16
Bournemouth 12 16 +0 0.86 57.91 2.65 46.66 7.34 -10.00 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.49 4.74 5.40R 0.44
Burnley 12 15 -1 0.89 58.53 2.88 43.96 7.23 -13.06 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.14 2.33 10.48R 1.13
Brighton 12 15 -2 1.67 65.46 3.50 41.48 7.05 -16.67 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.04 1.05 17.25R 2.07
Crystal_Palace 12 15 -6 1.24 61.67 -1.61 47.78 7.45 -11.31 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.49 6.03 4.58R 0.40
Newcastle 12 15 -7 1.29 61.99 -2.49 46.04 7.27 -14.24 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.27 3.95 6.52R 0.57
Tottenham 12 14 +1 -6.69 7.29 -5.43 60.65 7.60 18.19 0.02 0.40 5.48 18.03 60.36 0.05R 0.00
Everton 12 14 -5 -2.69 29.36 -5.16 46.66 7.38 -10.73 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.50 5.13 5.36R 0.55
West_Ham 12 13 -6 -2.23 32.94 -3.73 41.62 7.26 -19.65 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.07 1.25 18.03R 2.51
Aston_Villa 12 11 -3 -1.67 37.14 4.73 38.81 7.61 -17.34 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.77 30.43R 6.11
Watford 12 8 -15 -4.27 17.40 -7.28 33.93 7.03 -32.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 58.14R 17.20
Southampton 12 8 -18 -2.05 33.33 -6.21 34.85 7.14 -34.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.10 53.65R 15.72
Norwich 12 7 -17 -2.73 27.60 -3.39 28.17 6.98 -45.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 84.76R 52.84
Championship (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 10 November 2019, Cardiff 0 1 Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1
West_Brom 16 33 +12 4.63 78.91 1.92 85.78 8.52 29.92 43.05 63.54 92.71 72.27P 0.00R 0.00
Preston 16 31 +14 5.02 80.50 7.84 77.82 8.68 22.49 12.57 27.46 71.57 38.37P 0.02R 0.00
Leeds_United 16 31 +12 4.70 79.26 5.58 80.76 8.35 24.69 19.27 39.47 82.48 51.80P 0.00R 0.00
Swansea 16 29 +6 4.59 78.31 2.28 74.78 8.52 12.97 6.15 15.49 57.74 25.71P 0.05R 0.00
Nott'm_Forest 15 28 +7 6.50 87.80 5.49 73.98 8.55 12.25 5.05 13.40 53.92 22.37P 0.07R 0.00
Bristol_City 16 28 +4 4.54 78.34 1.77 72.19 8.53 8.53 3.66 9.91 45.25 17.87P 0.12R 0.00
Fulham 16 26 +7 0.51 53.55 1.61 71.24 8.83 13.12 3.53 9.54 42.53 18.20P 0.29R 0.01
Sheff_Wed 16 25 +7 1.12 58.03 4.04 67.69 8.38 9.37 1.19 3.85 26.99 9.25P 0.53R 0.04
Brentford 16 24 +8 -1.26 41.40 3.10 71.59 8.52 17.64 3.38 9.42 44.88 19.28P 0.18R 0.01
QPR 16 24 -4 4.92 80.68 0.98 58.74 8.39 -15.06 0.08 0.34 4.72 1.09P 8.12R 1.19
Charlton 16 22 +3 1.34 59.66 4.82 62.04 8.63 1.59 0.28 0.98 10.69 3.09P 3.78R 0.42
Hull 16 22 +2 -0.52 47.02 1.29 63.42 8.54 2.11 0.39 1.48 13.40 4.22P 2.56R 0.31
Birmingham 16 22 -5 2.41 67.14 -1.71 59.24 8.31 -10.59 0.08 0.29 5.03 1.15P 6.89R 0.93
Cardiff 16 21 +0 -2.62 33.31 -2.47 64.51 8.79 3.55 0.64 2.09 17.29 6.15P 2.12R 0.28
Millwall 16 21 -3 1.64 62.25 0.73 57.89 8.22 -9.00 0.05 0.23 3.87 0.86P 8.67R 1.35
Derby 16 21 -3 -2.32 34.70 -5.09 65.24 8.53 1.64 0.57 2.11 18.20 6.17P 1.55R 0.12
Reading 15 18 -1 0.02 51.18 2.96 55.13 8.37 -8.97 0.02 0.11 2.17 0.48P 15.50R 2.87
Blackburn 16 18 -4 -2.44 34.06 -1.33 56.83 8.50 -7.69 0.03 0.21 3.38 0.87P 11.52R 2.19
Huddersfield 16 16 -6 -3.04 30.00 -1.77 51.33 8.22 -13.89 0.00 0.02 0.69 0.16P 28.26R 6.45
Wigan 16 15 -11 -3.00 30.24 -5.37 50.53 8.14 -19.00 0.00 0.01 0.39 0.09P 32.91R 8.33
Luton 16 14 -8 -4.70 21.59 -2.48 49.35 8.60 -17.96 0.00 0.01 0.52 0.12P 38.34R 11.27
Middlesbrough 16 13 -8 -8.94 5.30 -8.33 54.14 8.14 -7.26 0.00 0.05 1.35 0.38P 17.01R 3.37
Stoke 16 11 -12 -7.76 7.70 -7.46 47.79 8.17 -18.27 0.00 0.00 0.22 0.04P 44.77R 13.77
Barnsley 16 9 -17 -7.60 8.14 -8.40 40.80 8.33 -32.18 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 76.73R 47.06
League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 November 2019, Portsmouth 4 1 Southend; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1
Ipswich 15 33 +15 6.69 88.70 6.51 84.08 8.26 32.05 46.86 65.51 92.51 73.08P 0.00 0.00
Wycombe 16 33 +11 9.50 95.33 8.64 71.24 7.98 10.63 4.03 10.76 46.21 16.81P 0.00R 0.00
Peterborough 17 28 +16 -1.33 40.74 6.25 74.16 7.87 30.97 8.08 20.87 64.27 32.73P 0.00 0.00
Oxford_Utd 16 26 +14 1.24 58.44 9.67 71.91 8.08 25.68 5.49 13.92 52.84 23.27P 0.00R 0.00
Fleetwood_Town 15 26 +8 2.02 64.00 2.89 69.89 8.25 14.30 3.21 8.98 41.44 16.41P 0.01R 0.00
Coventry 16 26 +2 3.49 73.53 1.21 63.31 7.85 0.77 0.46 1.49 14.11 3.81P 0.15R 0.00
Sunderland 15 25 +6 -1.74 37.15 -3.72 75.18 8.17 21.78 10.17 23.78 66.54 37.18P 0.00 0.00
Blackpool 16 25 +3 1.92 63.23 1.31 64.46 7.85 4.75 0.64 2.16 17.42 5.26P 0.10R 0.00
Bristol_Rovers 16 25 +0 2.45 67.04 -1.03 61.45 7.82 -2.77 0.19 0.86 9.53 2.47P 0.30R 0.01
Rotherham 15 24 +11 -0.98 42.74 4.18 74.68 8.57 28.05 10.72 23.93 64.75 35.87P 0.00R 0.00
Shrewsbury 16 24 -2 2.37 66.90 -1.93 61.49 7.70 -2.94 0.17 0.74 9.23 2.34P 0.25R 0.01
Doncaster 14 23 +8 0.20 51.12 2.57 72.25 8.40 20.72 5.95 14.96 53.03 24.74P 0.01R 0.00
Portsmouth 15 21 +4 -3.97 23.04 -2.93 67.47 8.35 13.99 2.01 5.78 31.01 12.73P 0.06R 0.00
Burton_Albion 14 20 +3 -0.37 47.50 1.31 67.68 8.46 12.99 1.98 6.00 32.06 12.21P 0.07R 0.00
Rochdale 17 19 -8 -0.62 46.86 -1.59 48.27 7.45 -21.20 0.00 0.01 0.22 0.05P 11.73R 0.38
Gillingham 16 18 +0 -2.93 30.66 1.57 55.80 7.95 -1.30 0.04 0.14 2.81 0.64P 1.97R 0.03
Lincoln_City 16 18 -3 -1.04 43.87 1.50 53.28 8.08 -7.59 0.01 0.08 1.53 0.32P 4.20R 0.13
Tranmere 15 16 -8 1.03 59.26 1.78 45.53 8.07 -24.94 0.00 0.01 0.17 0.03P 23.30R 1.27
Accrington_Stanley 16 15 -9 -2.85 31.39 -2.60 47.37 7.72 -18.73 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.03P 14.97R 0.73
AFC_Wimbledon 16 13 -6 -5.22 17.10 -0.17 45.70 7.77 -14.56 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.02P 19.92R 1.27
MK_Dons 16 13 -12 -4.74 19.88 -5.56 41.71 7.73 -27.39 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 40.23R 3.57
Southend 17 5 -31 -10.61 1.60 -17.20 30.03 7.22 -53.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 91.22R 40.15
Bolton 13 -2 -22 -1.75 37.33 -12.64 27.92 8.13 -41.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 91.50R 52.47
Adjustments:
Bolton -12
Bury -12
League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 November 2019, Bradford 2 0 Exeter; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot1 Bot1
Forest_Green 16 31 +10 6.13 85.65 5.65 77.98 8.38 18.60 18.40 47.27 80.79 55.86P 0.00 0.00
Bradford 16 30 +9 2.68 67.05 1.09 80.66 8.66 23.16 29.31 60.10 87.29 68.22P 0.00R 0.00
Swindon 17 30 +8 3.66 72.68 3.54 74.87 8.30 15.69 9.97 32.52 69.74 41.61P 0.01R 0.01
Crewe 16 30 +8 6.34 85.97 5.47 73.86 8.55 12.05 8.64 28.46 64.25 36.18P 0.00R 0.00
Exeter 17 29 +3 3.29 70.84 -0.60 73.72 8.31 10.37 7.66 27.06 63.67 36.21P 0.01R 0.01
Cheltenham 15 28 +13 5.38 82.83 9.97 73.01 8.76 16.69 7.97 26.98 61.48 34.80P 0.01R 0.01
Newport_County 16 27 +4 4.65 79.17 3.12 69.04 8.38 5.67 2.86 12.43 41.62 18.97P 0.06R 0.06
Colchester 17 26 +6 -0.38 47.66 1.48 70.75 8.21 13.46 4.20 17.67 51.46 26.82P 0.02R 0.02
Northampton 17 25 +4 -0.31 48.06 1.02 66.86 8.30 7.15 1.76 8.74 33.03 14.63P 0.08R 0.08
Port_Vale 17 25 +0 3.70 74.36 2.61 61.55 8.04 -4.26 0.28 2.06 12.95 4.15P 0.57R 0.57
Salford_City 17 24 -4 5.90 84.46 4.16 54.12 8.03 -19.01 0.04 0.28 2.57 0.62P 5.08R 5.08
Cambridge_Utd 17 23 +5 1.25 58.99 6.93 60.82 8.06 2.60 0.29 1.86 12.07 4.01P 0.81R 0.81
Plymouth 16 23 +4 -2.79 32.02 -1.85 72.12 8.85 15.90 7.06 24.18 57.97 34.19P 0.03R 0.03
Mansfield 17 20 +1 -7.64 9.98 -5.51 65.40 8.29 9.27 1.15 6.51 28.09 13.10P 0.19R 0.19
Macclesfield 16 20 -3 2.66 69.39 3.67 51.73 7.94 -16.77 0.01 0.12 1.33 0.30P 8.20R 8.20
Leyton_Orient 17 20 -4 0.56 54.74 2.12 52.02 8.14 -16.02 0.01 0.14 1.58 0.38P 7.91R 7.91
Crawley_Town 17 20 -5 0.39 53.94 0.83 55.38 8.11 -11.99 0.03 0.35 3.42 0.92P 3.87R 3.87
Grimsby 15 19 +0 0.33 53.24 2.48 56.63 8.47 -6.83 0.09 0.77 5.84 1.72P 2.73R 2.73
Carlisle 17 18 -11 -3.39 28.91 -7.91 55.35 8.18 -14.72 0.04 0.33 3.36 0.96P 4.17R 4.17
Oldham 17 16 -8 -6.90 12.07 -7.32 56.41 8.33 -7.01 0.07 0.56 4.94 1.59P 2.99R 2.99
Scunthorpe 17 15 -4 -10.82 3.72 -7.74 58.53 8.58 1.57 0.15 1.30 9.00 3.64P 1.88R 1.88
Walsall 17 15 -13 -6.80 12.63 -11.03 53.96 8.36 -13.71 0.02 0.25 2.72 0.91P 5.76R 5.76
Stevenage 17 13 -9 -8.43 6.49 -6.48 49.56 8.03 -13.12 0.01 0.06 0.75 0.22P 12.68R 12.68
Morecambe 17 13 -14 -4.81 20.05 -5.69 43.04 7.81 -28.72 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 42.93R 42.93
National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 November 2019, Stockport 1 0 Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1
Bromley 20 36 +10 5.53 79.25 5.52 75.59 7.87 15.75 10.84 59.06 21.12P 0.02R 0.00
Yeovil 19 35 +11 1.26 57.13 -0.47 82.48 8.09 26.58 39.35 85.84 54.51P 0.00 0.00
Halifax 20 35 +4 8.17 89.60 4.68 70.68 7.58 4.29 2.93 32.42 8.39P 0.22R 0.01
Barrow 19 34 +10 5.44 80.13 6.40 73.47 7.88 13.55 7.18 48.11 15.98P 0.11R 0.00
Torquay 20 34 +8 6.47 82.23 8.29 70.48 8.16 8.79 4.02 33.74 9.53P 0.34R 0.01
Solihull_Moors 20 33 +9 1.01 56.08 2.29 74.46 7.74 17.53 8.40 54.39 20.65P 0.06R 0.00
Harrogate_Town 20 32 +3 2.23 63.26 -0.42 70.53 7.85 7.12 3.46 33.13 10.12P 0.32R 0.00
Notts_County 20 31 +12 -5.12 21.99 -1.14 78.38 7.74 29.62 20.21 74.21 40.65P 0.01R 0.00
Woking 20 31 +4 5.24 78.17 6.68 65.15 8.05 1.55 0.92 14.29 3.27P 2.05R 0.06
Barnet 20 28 +1 -0.72 45.87 -1.02 65.75 7.62 4.16 0.78 14.99 4.16P 1.28R 0.04
Eastleigh 20 28 -1 1.47 59.50 0.55 62.92 7.68 -2.22 0.31 8.20 1.72P 3.33R 0.12
Dover_Athletic 19 28 -1 1.51 59.99 -1.62 63.45 7.87 -3.51 0.53 9.71 2.36P 3.10R 0.12
Stockport 20 28 -8 6.67 84.72 1.41 55.65 7.61 -20.09 0.05 1.18 0.20P 19.13R 1.20
Hartlepool 20 27 +0 0.29 52.29 1.19 61.52 7.66 -1.90 0.19 5.87 1.33P 4.53R 0.15
Dag_&_Red 20 27 -2 0.25 51.81 -1.08 62.19 7.62 -2.61 0.25 6.72 1.46P 3.85R 0.12
Boreham_Wood 20 26 +4 -1.44 41.78 3.97 62.02 7.60 4.64 0.24 6.86 1.58P 3.64R 0.13
Maidenhead 20 25 +1 0.60 54.45 5.42 55.98 7.42 -5.96 0.04 1.27 0.26P 15.50R 0.83
Chesterfield 19 22 -5 -4.55 24.31 -5.68 59.56 7.88 -4.38 0.15 4.09 1.09P 8.05R 0.50
Aldershot 20 22 -5 -1.52 41.54 0.34 51.89 7.24 -12.90 0.00 0.26 0.05P 32.92R 2.63
AFC_Fylde 19 21 -10 -6.31 16.73 -11.69 59.56 8.01 -7.91 0.15 4.11 1.15P 9.02R 0.52
Wrexham 20 19 -7 -8.59 9.10 -7.53 55.26 7.53 -5.85 0.02 0.97 0.29P 17.70R 1.32
Ebbsfleet_United 20 17 -10 -9.16 8.13 -7.75 51.90 7.75 -11.55 0.00 0.40 0.08P 32.97R 3.42
Sutton_United 19 16 -7 -7.87 9.87 -3.87 49.48 7.75 -12.22 0.00 0.20 0.04P 45.12R 5.88
Chorley 20 13 -21 -3.76 27.51 -4.48 34.84 7.02 -42.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.73R 82.94
