Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Wednesday 13 November 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 10 November 2019, Liverpool 3 1 Man_City; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Liverpool 12 34 +18 8.35 98.37 2.06 92.57 6.53 57.70 76.55 97.10 99.57 99.94 100.00 0.00 0.00 Leicester 12 26 +21 6.15 90.41 15.94 71.87 7.54 37.04 1.11 9.29 45.16 77.11 95.63 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 12 26 +10 3.43 76.28 0.41 72.40 7.45 27.38 1.05 9.78 46.84 77.13 95.55 0.00 0.00 Man_City 12 25 +22 -3.64 16.66 -1.22 84.76 6.44 65.46 21.27 82.94 95.84 99.21 99.96 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 12 17 +4 2.93 73.83 7.66 48.78 7.46 -2.47 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.87 8.58 3.04R 0.27 Arsenal 12 17 -1 -2.10 32.97 -4.88 59.15 7.63 8.84 0.01 0.28 3.44 12.44 50.81 0.13R 0.01 Man_Utd 12 16 +4 -4.22 19.14 -1.61 59.08 7.41 15.09 0.00 0.21 3.16 11.91 51.23 0.08R 0.00 Wolverhampton 12 16 +1 0.50 55.11 2.86 50.45 7.49 -1.34 0.00 0.01 0.23 1.44 12.29 1.97R 0.13 Bournemouth 12 16 +0 0.90 58.19 2.72 46.61 7.36 -10.08 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.51 4.96 5.50R 0.46 Burnley 12 15 -1 0.90 58.77 2.93 43.93 7.21 -13.13 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.14 2.38 10.35R 1.11 Brighton 12 15 -2 1.67 65.51 3.49 41.43 7.03 -16.71 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.95 17.11R 2.06 Crystal_Palace 12 15 -6 1.28 62.06 -1.58 47.77 7.36 -11.28 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.56 6.12 4.29R 0.37 Newcastle 12 15 -7 1.29 62.10 -2.45 45.98 7.30 -14.27 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.27 3.75 6.66R 0.56 Tottenham 12 14 +1 -6.67 7.22 -5.40 60.69 7.59 18.26 0.01 0.38 5.30 17.81 60.65 0.05R 0.00 Everton 12 14 -5 -2.66 29.45 -5.10 46.60 7.35 -10.87 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.47 4.96 5.59R 0.57 West_Ham 12 13 -6 -2.24 32.73 -3.76 41.56 7.24 -19.65 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.10 1.30 18.20R 2.60 Aston_Villa 12 11 -3 -1.63 37.35 4.82 38.71 7.52 -17.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.69 30.52R 6.11 Watford 12 8 -15 -4.24 17.67 -7.25 33.90 7.05 -32.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.07 58.51R 17.36 Southampton 12 8 -18 -2.02 33.78 -6.14 34.84 7.19 -34.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.12 53.42R 16.09 Norwich 12 7 -17 -2.79 27.25 -3.51 28.21 6.94 -45.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 84.56R 52.32Championship (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 10 November 2019, Cardiff 0 1 Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 West_Brom 16 33 +12 4.69 79.22 2.01 85.67 8.49 29.68 43.03 63.22 92.52 72.07P 0.00 0.00 Preston 16 31 +14 5.03 80.49 7.84 77.76 8.71 22.47 12.74 27.31 71.35 38.31P 0.02R 0.00 Leeds_United 16 31 +12 4.66 79.19 5.51 80.69 8.35 24.58 18.88 39.06 82.41 51.37P 0.00R 0.00 Swansea 16 29 +6 4.50 78.29 2.18 74.96 8.48 13.18 6.37 16.01 58.51 26.46P 0.06R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 15 28 +7 6.56 88.05 5.61 73.85 8.63 12.02 5.08 13.34 53.40 22.11P 0.10R 0.00 Bristol_City 16 28 +4 4.69 79.02 1.98 71.99 8.54 8.22 3.49 9.65 44.08 17.35P 0.15R 0.01 Fulham 16 26 +7 0.42 52.69 1.50 71.41 8.85 13.30 3.71 9.99 43.45 18.80P 0.26R 0.02 Sheff_Wed 16 25 +7 1.10 57.94 4.00 67.79 8.41 9.54 1.25 4.00 27.43 9.48P 0.55R 0.05 Brentford 16 24 +8 -1.32 41.00 2.98 71.71 8.52 17.88 3.38 9.57 45.20 19.77P 0.19R 0.01 QPR 16 24 -4 5.02 81.22 1.09 58.63 8.41 -15.18 0.09 0.31 4.84 0.98P 8.31R 1.20 Charlton 16 22 +3 1.32 59.69 4.84 61.96 8.64 1.50 0.25 0.97 10.46 3.00P 3.77R 0.45 Hull 16 22 +2 -0.56 46.60 1.24 63.57 8.57 2.32 0.42 1.56 13.88 4.26P 2.54R 0.34 Birmingham 16 22 -5 2.62 68.71 -1.39 58.92 8.21 -11.09 0.05 0.26 4.59 1.05P 7.11R 0.94 Cardiff 16 21 +0 -2.71 32.68 -2.59 64.60 8.78 3.69 0.56 2.12 17.59 6.09P 2.13R 0.22 Millwall 16 21 -3 1.72 62.83 0.85 57.84 8.21 -9.09 0.05 0.19 3.71 0.75P 8.94R 1.33 Derby 16 21 -3 -2.31 34.73 -5.08 65.19 8.53 1.52 0.56 2.01 17.95 6.06P 1.56R 0.17 Reading 15 18 -1 0.06 51.46 3.01 55.10 8.35 -9.01 0.02 0.12 2.02 0.45P 15.53R 3.02 Blackburn 16 18 -4 -2.30 35.27 -1.15 56.60 8.53 -8.04 0.04 0.19 3.31 0.83P 12.27R 2.32 Huddersfield 16 16 -6 -3.10 30.03 -1.85 51.43 8.34 -13.78 0.00 0.04 0.77 0.19P 28.23R 6.64 Wigan 16 15 -11 -2.99 30.24 -5.36 50.63 8.15 -18.89 0.01 0.02 0.43 0.10P 32.85R 8.40 Luton 16 14 -8 -4.84 20.62 -2.68 49.55 8.64 -17.67 0.00 0.01 0.59 0.11P 37.55R 11.25 Middlesbrough 16 13 -8 -9.00 5.16 -8.43 54.21 8.13 -7.15 0.01 0.06 1.31 0.38P 16.81R 3.34 Stoke 16 11 -12 -7.81 7.47 -7.52 47.83 8.20 -18.15 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.05P 44.84R 13.89 Barnsley 16 9 -17 -7.75 7.77 -8.57 41.00 8.35 -31.84 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 76.24R 46.40League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 November 2019, Portsmouth 4 1 Southend; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Ipswich 15 33 +15 6.86 89.22 6.74 83.87 8.23 31.77 45.62 64.91 92.12 72.53P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 16 33 +11 9.49 95.30 8.62 71.22 7.96 10.61 4.06 10.65 45.93 16.49P 0.01R 0.00 Peterborough 17 28 +16 -1.34 40.72 6.25 74.14 7.87 30.88 8.47 20.54 64.02 32.55P 0.00R 0.00 Oxford_Utd 16 26 +14 1.25 58.72 9.70 71.91 8.11 25.69 5.73 14.24 53.00 23.48P 0.00R 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 15 26 +8 2.04 64.07 2.93 69.80 8.21 14.12 3.01 8.67 40.89 15.83P 0.02R 0.00 Coventry 16 26 +2 3.34 72.63 1.02 63.42 7.91 0.96 0.46 1.69 14.15 4.13P 0.13R 0.00 Sunderland 15 25 +6 -1.84 36.46 -3.89 75.36 8.15 22.06 10.48 24.23 67.39 37.59P 0.00R 0.00 Blackpool 16 25 +3 1.90 63.14 1.27 64.51 7.87 4.83 0.62 2.17 18.09 5.39P 0.07R 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 16 25 +0 2.51 67.31 -0.92 61.33 7.78 -2.99 0.21 0.81 9.31 2.43P 0.32R 0.00 Rotherham 15 24 +11 -1.01 42.80 4.10 74.79 8.51 28.17 10.88 24.24 65.43 36.49P 0.00R 0.00 Shrewsbury 16 24 -2 2.44 67.07 -1.81 61.37 7.75 -3.10 0.20 0.76 9.08 2.33P 0.27R 0.00 Doncaster 14 23 +8 0.27 51.59 2.67 72.17 8.45 20.52 6.03 14.90 52.86 24.55P 0.03R 0.00 Portsmouth 15 21 +4 -3.95 23.47 -2.88 67.40 8.30 13.93 2.00 5.57 30.42 12.32P 0.06R 0.00 Burton_Albion 14 20 +3 -0.47 46.83 1.16 67.81 8.49 13.19 2.19 6.40 32.56 12.78P 0.07R 0.00 Rochdale 17 19 -8 -0.57 47.02 -1.50 48.15 7.47 -21.39 0.00 0.00 0.18 0.02P 12.33R 0.41 Gillingham 16 18 +0 -2.89 31.05 1.59 55.80 7.94 -1.31 0.03 0.14 2.65 0.66P 2.10R 0.03 Lincoln_City 16 18 -3 -1.07 43.66 1.44 53.31 8.08 -7.54 0.01 0.07 1.48 0.35P 4.08R 0.10 Tranmere 15 16 -8 0.92 58.55 1.57 45.78 8.02 -24.54 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.02P 22.17R 1.28 Accrington_Stanley 16 15 -9 -2.80 31.55 -2.53 47.28 7.71 -18.94 0.00 0.00 0.17 0.03P 15.21R 0.78 AFC_Wimbledon 16 13 -6 -5.15 17.27 -0.05 45.61 7.74 -14.67 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.02P 20.16R 1.24 MK_Dons 16 13 -12 -4.71 20.05 -5.53 41.70 7.79 -27.42 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 40.52R 3.85 Southend 17 5 -31 -10.64 1.62 -17.29 30.08 7.23 -53.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 91.12R 40.73 Bolton 13 -2 -22 -1.79 36.85 -12.68 28.09 8.15 -41.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 91.33R 51.58 Adjustments: Bolton -12 Bury -12League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 November 2019, Bradford 2 0 Exeter; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot1 Bot1 Forest_Green 16 31 +10 6.14 85.97 5.72 77.87 8.36 18.45 17.61 46.44 80.32 54.82P 0.00R 0.00 Bradford 16 30 +9 2.56 66.45 0.92 80.85 8.78 23.44 30.62 61.04 87.45 68.76P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 17 30 +8 3.79 73.64 3.67 74.81 8.27 15.54 9.63 32.49 69.68 41.86P 0.00 0.00 Crewe 16 30 +8 6.24 85.75 5.29 74.11 8.51 12.41 8.90 29.18 65.46 36.90P 0.01R 0.01 Exeter 17 29 +3 3.24 70.40 -0.64 73.79 8.27 10.49 7.45 27.20 64.15 36.69P 0.00R 0.00 Cheltenham 15 28 +13 5.34 82.79 9.95 73.01 8.71 16.74 7.82 26.59 61.60 34.36P 0.01R 0.01 Newport_County 16 27 +4 4.67 79.42 3.19 68.93 8.35 5.53 2.76 12.14 41.19 18.37P 0.04R 0.04 Colchester 17 26 +6 -0.38 47.64 1.51 70.68 8.23 13.41 4.26 17.42 51.07 26.59P 0.01R 0.01 Northampton 17 25 +4 -0.29 48.40 1.06 66.78 8.29 7.04 1.64 8.47 32.62 14.51P 0.09R 0.09 Port_Vale 17 25 +0 3.77 74.57 2.72 61.41 7.99 -4.42 0.26 1.95 12.49 3.97P 0.50R 0.50 Salford_City 17 24 -4 6.03 85.14 4.38 53.92 8.07 -19.38 0.04 0.25 2.44 0.53P 5.49R 5.49 Cambridge_Utd 17 23 +5 1.23 59.04 6.94 60.74 8.03 2.51 0.26 1.83 11.97 3.94P 0.64R 0.64 Plymouth 16 23 +4 -2.95 30.92 -2.10 72.42 8.75 16.39 7.23 24.79 59.13 35.17P 0.04R 0.04 Mansfield 17 20 +1 -7.60 10.21 -5.43 65.29 8.24 9.11 1.06 6.34 27.45 12.80P 0.17R 0.17 Macclesfield 16 20 -3 2.62 69.09 3.61 51.77 7.96 -16.68 0.02 0.10 1.36 0.31P 8.01R 8.01 Leyton_Orient 17 20 -4 0.47 54.26 1.94 52.20 8.21 -15.72 0.02 0.17 1.88 0.46P 7.70R 7.70 Crawley_Town 17 20 -5 0.42 53.84 0.87 55.25 8.05 -12.19 0.04 0.35 3.23 0.87P 3.88R 3.88 Grimsby 15 19 +0 0.30 53.19 2.46 56.77 8.40 -6.64 0.10 0.78 5.79 1.74P 2.57R 2.57 Carlisle 17 18 -11 -3.40 28.79 -7.89 55.45 8.24 -14.61 0.02 0.33 3.54 0.93P 4.09R 4.09 Oldham 17 16 -8 -6.88 12.27 -7.31 56.39 8.22 -7.01 0.06 0.53 4.87 1.67P 2.93R 2.93 Scunthorpe 17 15 -4 -10.87 3.62 -7.82 58.56 8.56 1.63 0.15 1.31 8.97 3.69P 1.87R 1.87 Walsall 17 15 -13 -6.80 12.57 -11.03 53.87 8.33 -13.88 0.02 0.25 2.56 0.85P 5.72R 5.72 Stevenage 17 13 -9 -8.39 6.73 -6.48 49.55 8.06 -13.18 0.01 0.04 0.72 0.21P 12.80R 12.80 Morecambe 17 13 -14 -4.72 20.44 -5.55 42.90 7.74 -28.99 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 43.41R 43.41National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 November 2019, Stockport 1 0 Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Bromley 20 36 +10 5.47 79.06 5.41 75.58 7.86 15.76 10.95 59.04 21.45P 0.03R 0.00 Yeovil 19 35 +11 1.24 57.03 -0.48 82.47 8.05 26.54 39.40 85.80 54.63P 0.00 0.00 Halifax 20 35 +4 8.24 89.84 4.74 70.65 7.56 4.25 2.92 32.41 8.21P 0.17R 0.00 Barrow 19 34 +10 5.41 79.93 6.30 73.52 7.90 13.64 7.35 48.59 15.94P 0.07R 0.00 Torquay 20 34 +8 6.57 82.48 8.42 70.32 8.20 8.55 4.03 33.42 9.59P 0.48R 0.01 Solihull_Moors 20 33 +9 1.05 56.28 2.36 74.35 7.71 17.39 8.20 53.87 20.32P 0.04R 0.00 Harrogate_Town 20 32 +3 2.17 63.06 -0.51 70.65 7.71 7.27 3.21 33.65 10.01P 0.25R 0.00 Notts_County 20 31 +12 -5.05 22.14 -1.04 78.39 7.76 29.61 20.42 74.36 40.77P 0.02R 0.00 Woking 20 31 +4 5.23 78.05 6.70 65.11 8.00 1.55 0.87 14.37 3.43P 2.04R 0.05 Barnet 20 28 +1 -0.89 44.98 -1.23 65.90 7.62 4.39 0.83 15.33 4.15P 1.19R 0.02 Eastleigh 20 28 -1 1.56 59.97 0.70 62.86 7.66 -2.36 0.32 7.84 1.81P 3.33R 0.08 Dover_Athletic 19 28 -1 1.36 58.94 -1.85 63.71 7.85 -3.19 0.49 10.21 2.40P 2.90R 0.10 Stockport 20 28 -8 6.57 84.34 1.31 55.74 7.62 -19.97 0.02 1.23 0.20P 18.90R 1.19 Hartlepool 20 27 +0 0.49 53.51 1.47 61.25 7.64 -2.25 0.19 5.50 1.20P 5.06R 0.16 Dag_&_Red 20 27 -2 0.26 52.03 -1.09 62.21 7.58 -2.56 0.21 6.60 1.43P 3.84R 0.12 Boreham_Wood 20 26 +4 -1.46 41.60 3.95 61.94 7.62 4.54 0.26 6.86 1.65P 3.76R 0.10 Maidenhead 20 25 +1 0.57 54.31 5.38 56.03 7.44 -5.84 0.02 1.25 0.25P 15.43R 0.77 Chesterfield 19 22 -5 -4.50 24.65 -5.59 59.57 7.87 -4.37 0.16 3.96 1.02P 8.20R 0.45 Aldershot 20 22 -5 -1.57 41.15 0.23 52.02 7.26 -12.79 0.01 0.29 0.06P 32.28R 2.64 AFC_Fylde 19 21 -10 -6.31 16.38 -11.71 59.54 8.00 -7.92 0.14 3.97 1.11P 8.98R 0.47 Wrexham 20 19 -7 -8.54 9.36 -7.40 55.19 7.46 -5.91 0.01 0.92 0.25P 17.76R 1.33 Ebbsfleet_United 20 17 -10 -9.25 7.90 -7.91 52.03 7.73 -11.30 0.01 0.37 0.08P 32.27R 3.25 Sutton_United 19 16 -7 -7.81 10.27 -3.80 49.35 7.79 -12.37 0.00 0.16 0.03P 46.12R 5.86 Chorley 20 13 -21 -3.74 27.69 -4.36 34.76 7.00 -42.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.87R 83.40