Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 13 November 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 10 November 2019, Liverpool 3 1 Man_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        12   34  +18       8.35    98.37     2.06    92.57     6.53    57.70    76.55    97.10    99.57    99.94   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        12   26  +21       6.15    90.41    15.94    71.87     7.54    37.04     1.11     9.29    45.16    77.11    95.63     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          12   26  +10       3.43    76.28     0.41    72.40     7.45    27.38     1.05     9.78    46.84    77.13    95.55     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         12   25  +22      -3.64    16.66    -1.22    84.76     6.44    65.46    21.27    82.94    95.84    99.21    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        12   17   +4       2.93    73.83     7.66    48.78     7.46    -2.47     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.87     8.58     3.04R    0.27  
Arsenal          12   17   -1      -2.10    32.97    -4.88    59.15     7.63     8.84     0.01     0.28     3.44    12.44    50.81     0.13R    0.01  
Man_Utd          12   16   +4      -4.22    19.14    -1.61    59.08     7.41    15.09     0.00     0.21     3.16    11.91    51.23     0.08R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    12   16   +1       0.50    55.11     2.86    50.45     7.49    -1.34     0.00     0.01     0.23     1.44    12.29     1.97R    0.13  
Bournemouth      12   16   +0       0.90    58.19     2.72    46.61     7.36   -10.08     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.51     4.96     5.50R    0.46  
Burnley          12   15   -1       0.90    58.77     2.93    43.93     7.21   -13.13     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.14     2.38    10.35R    1.11  
Brighton         12   15   -2       1.67    65.51     3.49    41.43     7.03   -16.71     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.95    17.11R    2.06  
Crystal_Palace   12   15   -6       1.28    62.06    -1.58    47.77     7.36   -11.28     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.56     6.12     4.29R    0.37  
Newcastle        12   15   -7       1.29    62.10    -2.45    45.98     7.30   -14.27     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.27     3.75     6.66R    0.56  
Tottenham        12   14   +1      -6.67     7.22    -5.40    60.69     7.59    18.26     0.01     0.38     5.30    17.81    60.65     0.05R    0.00  
Everton          12   14   -5      -2.66    29.45    -5.10    46.60     7.35   -10.87     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.47     4.96     5.59R    0.57  
West_Ham         12   13   -6      -2.24    32.73    -3.76    41.56     7.24   -19.65     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10     1.30    18.20R    2.60  
Aston_Villa      12   11   -3      -1.63    37.35     4.82    38.71     7.52   -17.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.69    30.52R    6.11  
Watford          12    8  -15      -4.24    17.67    -7.25    33.90     7.05   -32.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07    58.51R   17.36  
Southampton      12    8  -18      -2.02    33.78    -6.14    34.84     7.19   -34.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12    53.42R   16.09  
Norwich          12    7  -17      -2.79    27.25    -3.51    28.21     6.94   -45.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    84.56R   52.32  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 10 November 2019, Cardiff 0 1 Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

West_Brom       16   33  +12       4.69    79.22     2.01    85.67     8.49    29.68    43.03    63.22    92.52    72.07P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         16   31  +14       5.03    80.49     7.84    77.76     8.71    22.47    12.74    27.31    71.35    38.31P    0.02R    0.00  
Leeds_United    16   31  +12       4.66    79.19     5.51    80.69     8.35    24.58    18.88    39.06    82.41    51.37P    0.00R    0.00  
Swansea         16   29   +6       4.50    78.29     2.18    74.96     8.48    13.18     6.37    16.01    58.51    26.46P    0.06R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   15   28   +7       6.56    88.05     5.61    73.85     8.63    12.02     5.08    13.34    53.40    22.11P    0.10R    0.00  
Bristol_City    16   28   +4       4.69    79.02     1.98    71.99     8.54     8.22     3.49     9.65    44.08    17.35P    0.15R    0.01  
Fulham          16   26   +7       0.42    52.69     1.50    71.41     8.85    13.30     3.71     9.99    43.45    18.80P    0.26R    0.02  
Sheff_Wed       16   25   +7       1.10    57.94     4.00    67.79     8.41     9.54     1.25     4.00    27.43     9.48P    0.55R    0.05  
Brentford       16   24   +8      -1.32    41.00     2.98    71.71     8.52    17.88     3.38     9.57    45.20    19.77P    0.19R    0.01  
QPR             16   24   -4       5.02    81.22     1.09    58.63     8.41   -15.18     0.09     0.31     4.84     0.98P    8.31R    1.20  
Charlton        16   22   +3       1.32    59.69     4.84    61.96     8.64     1.50     0.25     0.97    10.46     3.00P    3.77R    0.45  
Hull            16   22   +2      -0.56    46.60     1.24    63.57     8.57     2.32     0.42     1.56    13.88     4.26P    2.54R    0.34  
Birmingham      16   22   -5       2.62    68.71    -1.39    58.92     8.21   -11.09     0.05     0.26     4.59     1.05P    7.11R    0.94  
Cardiff         16   21   +0      -2.71    32.68    -2.59    64.60     8.78     3.69     0.56     2.12    17.59     6.09P    2.13R    0.22  
Millwall        16   21   -3       1.72    62.83     0.85    57.84     8.21    -9.09     0.05     0.19     3.71     0.75P    8.94R    1.33  
Derby           16   21   -3      -2.31    34.73    -5.08    65.19     8.53     1.52     0.56     2.01    17.95     6.06P    1.56R    0.17  
Reading         15   18   -1       0.06    51.46     3.01    55.10     8.35    -9.01     0.02     0.12     2.02     0.45P   15.53R    3.02  
Blackburn       16   18   -4      -2.30    35.27    -1.15    56.60     8.53    -8.04     0.04     0.19     3.31     0.83P   12.27R    2.32  
Huddersfield    16   16   -6      -3.10    30.03    -1.85    51.43     8.34   -13.78     0.00     0.04     0.77     0.19P   28.23R    6.64  
Wigan           16   15  -11      -2.99    30.24    -5.36    50.63     8.15   -18.89     0.01     0.02     0.43     0.10P   32.85R    8.40  
Luton           16   14   -8      -4.84    20.62    -2.68    49.55     8.64   -17.67     0.00     0.01     0.59     0.11P   37.55R   11.25  
Middlesbrough   16   13   -8      -9.00     5.16    -8.43    54.21     8.13    -7.15     0.01     0.06     1.31     0.38P   16.81R    3.34  
Stoke           16   11  -12      -7.81     7.47    -7.52    47.83     8.20   -18.15     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.05P   44.84R   13.89  
Barnsley        16    9  -17      -7.75     7.77    -8.57    41.00     8.35   -31.84     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   76.24R   46.40  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 November 2019, Portsmouth 4 1 Southend; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Ipswich              15   33  +15       6.86    89.22     6.74    83.87     8.23    31.77    45.62    64.91    92.12    72.53P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              16   33  +11       9.49    95.30     8.62    71.22     7.96    10.61     4.06    10.65    45.93    16.49P    0.01R    0.00  
Peterborough         17   28  +16      -1.34    40.72     6.25    74.14     7.87    30.88     8.47    20.54    64.02    32.55P    0.00R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           16   26  +14       1.25    58.72     9.70    71.91     8.11    25.69     5.73    14.24    53.00    23.48P    0.00R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       15   26   +8       2.04    64.07     2.93    69.80     8.21    14.12     3.01     8.67    40.89    15.83P    0.02R    0.00  
Coventry             16   26   +2       3.34    72.63     1.02    63.42     7.91     0.96     0.46     1.69    14.15     4.13P    0.13R    0.00  
Sunderland           15   25   +6      -1.84    36.46    -3.89    75.36     8.15    22.06    10.48    24.23    67.39    37.59P    0.00R    0.00  
Blackpool            16   25   +3       1.90    63.14     1.27    64.51     7.87     4.83     0.62     2.17    18.09     5.39P    0.07R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       16   25   +0       2.51    67.31    -0.92    61.33     7.78    -2.99     0.21     0.81     9.31     2.43P    0.32R    0.00  
Rotherham            15   24  +11      -1.01    42.80     4.10    74.79     8.51    28.17    10.88    24.24    65.43    36.49P    0.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           16   24   -2       2.44    67.07    -1.81    61.37     7.75    -3.10     0.20     0.76     9.08     2.33P    0.27R    0.00  
Doncaster            14   23   +8       0.27    51.59     2.67    72.17     8.45    20.52     6.03    14.90    52.86    24.55P    0.03R    0.00  
Portsmouth           15   21   +4      -3.95    23.47    -2.88    67.40     8.30    13.93     2.00     5.57    30.42    12.32P    0.06R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        14   20   +3      -0.47    46.83     1.16    67.81     8.49    13.19     2.19     6.40    32.56    12.78P    0.07R    0.00  
Rochdale             17   19   -8      -0.57    47.02    -1.50    48.15     7.47   -21.39     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.02P   12.33R    0.41  
Gillingham           16   18   +0      -2.89    31.05     1.59    55.80     7.94    -1.31     0.03     0.14     2.65     0.66P    2.10R    0.03  
Lincoln_City         16   18   -3      -1.07    43.66     1.44    53.31     8.08    -7.54     0.01     0.07     1.48     0.35P    4.08R    0.10  
Tranmere             15   16   -8       0.92    58.55     1.57    45.78     8.02   -24.54     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.02P   22.17R    1.28  
Accrington_Stanley   16   15   -9      -2.80    31.55    -2.53    47.28     7.71   -18.94     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P   15.21R    0.78  
AFC_Wimbledon        16   13   -6      -5.15    17.27    -0.05    45.61     7.74   -14.67     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   20.16R    1.24  
MK_Dons              16   13  -12      -4.71    20.05    -5.53    41.70     7.79   -27.42     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   40.52R    3.85  
Southend             17    5  -31     -10.64     1.62   -17.29    30.08     7.23   -53.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.12R   40.73  
Bolton               13   -2  -22      -1.79    36.85   -12.68    28.09     8.15   -41.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.33R   51.58  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 November 2019, Bradford 2 0 Exeter; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot1     Bot1

Forest_Green     16   31  +10       6.14    85.97     5.72    77.87     8.36    18.45    17.61    46.44    80.32    54.82P    0.00R    0.00  
Bradford         16   30   +9       2.56    66.45     0.92    80.85     8.78    23.44    30.62    61.04    87.45    68.76P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          17   30   +8       3.79    73.64     3.67    74.81     8.27    15.54     9.63    32.49    69.68    41.86P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            16   30   +8       6.24    85.75     5.29    74.11     8.51    12.41     8.90    29.18    65.46    36.90P    0.01R    0.01  
Exeter           17   29   +3       3.24    70.40    -0.64    73.79     8.27    10.49     7.45    27.20    64.15    36.69P    0.00R    0.00  
Cheltenham       15   28  +13       5.34    82.79     9.95    73.01     8.71    16.74     7.82    26.59    61.60    34.36P    0.01R    0.01  
Newport_County   16   27   +4       4.67    79.42     3.19    68.93     8.35     5.53     2.76    12.14    41.19    18.37P    0.04R    0.04  
Colchester       17   26   +6      -0.38    47.64     1.51    70.68     8.23    13.41     4.26    17.42    51.07    26.59P    0.01R    0.01  
Northampton      17   25   +4      -0.29    48.40     1.06    66.78     8.29     7.04     1.64     8.47    32.62    14.51P    0.09R    0.09  
Port_Vale        17   25   +0       3.77    74.57     2.72    61.41     7.99    -4.42     0.26     1.95    12.49     3.97P    0.50R    0.50  
Salford_City     17   24   -4       6.03    85.14     4.38    53.92     8.07   -19.38     0.04     0.25     2.44     0.53P    5.49R    5.49  
Cambridge_Utd    17   23   +5       1.23    59.04     6.94    60.74     8.03     2.51     0.26     1.83    11.97     3.94P    0.64R    0.64  
Plymouth         16   23   +4      -2.95    30.92    -2.10    72.42     8.75    16.39     7.23    24.79    59.13    35.17P    0.04R    0.04  
Mansfield        17   20   +1      -7.60    10.21    -5.43    65.29     8.24     9.11     1.06     6.34    27.45    12.80P    0.17R    0.17  
Macclesfield     16   20   -3       2.62    69.09     3.61    51.77     7.96   -16.68     0.02     0.10     1.36     0.31P    8.01R    8.01  
Leyton_Orient    17   20   -4       0.47    54.26     1.94    52.20     8.21   -15.72     0.02     0.17     1.88     0.46P    7.70R    7.70  
Crawley_Town     17   20   -5       0.42    53.84     0.87    55.25     8.05   -12.19     0.04     0.35     3.23     0.87P    3.88R    3.88  
Grimsby          15   19   +0       0.30    53.19     2.46    56.77     8.40    -6.64     0.10     0.78     5.79     1.74P    2.57R    2.57  
Carlisle         17   18  -11      -3.40    28.79    -7.89    55.45     8.24   -14.61     0.02     0.33     3.54     0.93P    4.09R    4.09  
Oldham           17   16   -8      -6.88    12.27    -7.31    56.39     8.22    -7.01     0.06     0.53     4.87     1.67P    2.93R    2.93  
Scunthorpe       17   15   -4     -10.87     3.62    -7.82    58.56     8.56     1.63     0.15     1.31     8.97     3.69P    1.87R    1.87  
Walsall          17   15  -13      -6.80    12.57   -11.03    53.87     8.33   -13.88     0.02     0.25     2.56     0.85P    5.72R    5.72  
Stevenage        17   13   -9      -8.39     6.73    -6.48    49.55     8.06   -13.18     0.01     0.04     0.72     0.21P   12.80R   12.80  
Morecambe        17   13  -14      -4.72    20.44    -5.55    42.90     7.74   -28.99     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   43.41R   43.41  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 November 2019, Stockport 1 0 Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Bromley            20   36  +10       5.47    79.06     5.41    75.58     7.86    15.76    10.95    59.04    21.45P    0.03R    0.00  
Yeovil             19   35  +11       1.24    57.03    -0.48    82.47     8.05    26.54    39.40    85.80    54.63P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax            20   35   +4       8.24    89.84     4.74    70.65     7.56     4.25     2.92    32.41     8.21P    0.17R    0.00  
Barrow             19   34  +10       5.41    79.93     6.30    73.52     7.90    13.64     7.35    48.59    15.94P    0.07R    0.00  
Torquay            20   34   +8       6.57    82.48     8.42    70.32     8.20     8.55     4.03    33.42     9.59P    0.48R    0.01  
Solihull_Moors     20   33   +9       1.05    56.28     2.36    74.35     7.71    17.39     8.20    53.87    20.32P    0.04R    0.00  
Harrogate_Town     20   32   +3       2.17    63.06    -0.51    70.65     7.71     7.27     3.21    33.65    10.01P    0.25R    0.00  
Notts_County       20   31  +12      -5.05    22.14    -1.04    78.39     7.76    29.61    20.42    74.36    40.77P    0.02R    0.00  
Woking             20   31   +4       5.23    78.05     6.70    65.11     8.00     1.55     0.87    14.37     3.43P    2.04R    0.05  
Barnet             20   28   +1      -0.89    44.98    -1.23    65.90     7.62     4.39     0.83    15.33     4.15P    1.19R    0.02  
Eastleigh          20   28   -1       1.56    59.97     0.70    62.86     7.66    -2.36     0.32     7.84     1.81P    3.33R    0.08  
Dover_Athletic     19   28   -1       1.36    58.94    -1.85    63.71     7.85    -3.19     0.49    10.21     2.40P    2.90R    0.10  
Stockport          20   28   -8       6.57    84.34     1.31    55.74     7.62   -19.97     0.02     1.23     0.20P   18.90R    1.19  
Hartlepool         20   27   +0       0.49    53.51     1.47    61.25     7.64    -2.25     0.19     5.50     1.20P    5.06R    0.16  
Dag_&_Red          20   27   -2       0.26    52.03    -1.09    62.21     7.58    -2.56     0.21     6.60     1.43P    3.84R    0.12  
Boreham_Wood       20   26   +4      -1.46    41.60     3.95    61.94     7.62     4.54     0.26     6.86     1.65P    3.76R    0.10  
Maidenhead         20   25   +1       0.57    54.31     5.38    56.03     7.44    -5.84     0.02     1.25     0.25P   15.43R    0.77  
Chesterfield       19   22   -5      -4.50    24.65    -5.59    59.57     7.87    -4.37     0.16     3.96     1.02P    8.20R    0.45  
Aldershot          20   22   -5      -1.57    41.15     0.23    52.02     7.26   -12.79     0.01     0.29     0.06P   32.28R    2.64  
AFC_Fylde          19   21  -10      -6.31    16.38   -11.71    59.54     8.00    -7.92     0.14     3.97     1.11P    8.98R    0.47  
Wrexham            20   19   -7      -8.54     9.36    -7.40    55.19     7.46    -5.91     0.01     0.92     0.25P   17.76R    1.33  
Ebbsfleet_United   20   17  -10      -9.25     7.90    -7.91    52.03     7.73   -11.30     0.01     0.37     0.08P   32.27R    3.25  
Sutton_United      19   16   -7      -7.81    10.27    -3.80    49.35     7.79   -12.37     0.00     0.16     0.03P   46.12R    5.86  
Chorley            20   13  -21      -3.74    27.69    -4.36    34.76     7.00   -42.66     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.87R   83.40