Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Tuesday 12 November 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 10 November 2019, Liverpool 3 1 Man_City; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1
Liverpool 12 34 +18 8.33 98.25 2.05 92.49 6.59 57.61 76.42 96.90 99.49 99.94 100.00 0.00 0.00
Leicester 12 26 +21 6.14 90.25 15.89 71.88 7.48 37.17 1.14 9.54 45.41 77.64 96.00 0.00 0.00
Chelsea 12 26 +10 3.43 76.07 0.40 72.36 7.49 27.39 1.14 10.18 46.71 76.93 95.60 0.00 0.00
Man_City 12 25 +22 -3.62 17.02 -1.20 84.74 6.47 65.38 21.28 82.47 95.71 99.27 99.96 0.00 0.00
Sheff_Utd 12 17 +4 2.96 73.92 7.69 48.78 7.56 -2.44 0.00 0.01 0.14 0.92 8.94 3.16R 0.30
Arsenal 12 17 -1 -2.07 33.31 -4.85 59.06 7.69 8.73 0.01 0.33 3.64 12.30 50.12 0.16R 0.00
Man_Utd 12 16 +4 -4.22 19.22 -1.61 59.07 7.37 15.08 0.00 0.21 3.19 12.18 51.46 0.08R 0.00
Wolverhampton 12 16 +1 0.54 55.20 2.96 50.33 7.52 -1.49 0.00 0.01 0.25 1.40 11.96 1.92R 0.17
Bournemouth 12 16 +0 0.96 58.74 2.78 46.55 7.37 -10.15 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.41 5.05 5.62R 0.40
Burnley 12 15 -1 0.91 58.85 2.93 43.99 7.27 -13.06 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.17 2.43 10.40R 1.03
Brighton 12 15 -2 1.67 65.38 3.50 41.52 7.06 -16.66 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.07 1.15 17.15R 1.93
Crystal_Palace 12 15 -6 1.29 62.02 -1.56 47.76 7.38 -11.30 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.53 6.16 4.36R 0.37
Newcastle 12 15 -7 1.21 61.67 -2.58 46.15 7.27 -14.07 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.31 3.95 6.26R 0.53
Tottenham 12 14 +1 -6.62 7.41 -5.29 60.54 7.59 18.03 0.02 0.35 5.13 17.30 59.84 0.07R 0.00
Everton 12 14 -5 -2.78 28.72 -5.25 46.82 7.35 -10.59 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.49 5.18 5.19R 0.50
West_Ham 12 13 -6 -2.28 32.41 -3.81 41.68 7.23 -19.51 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.09 1.23 17.57R 2.38
Aston_Villa 12 11 -3 -1.67 37.20 4.74 38.72 7.56 -17.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.75 30.79R 6.07
Watford 12 8 -15 -4.30 17.13 -7.33 33.98 7.13 -32.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.10 58.04R 16.95
Southampton 12 8 -18 -1.99 33.64 -6.15 34.79 7.18 -34.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.10 53.94R 16.18
Norwich 12 7 -17 -2.70 27.78 -3.31 28.06 6.90 -46.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 85.30R 53.19
Championship (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 10 November 2019, Cardiff 0 1 Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1
West_Brom 16 33 +12 4.62 78.56 1.87 85.92 8.53 30.13 43.70 64.23 92.97 72.72P 0.00 0.00
Preston 16 31 +14 5.08 80.80 7.95 77.61 8.62 22.22 12.05 26.42 71.18 37.80P 0.02R 0.00
Leeds_United 16 31 +12 4.68 79.24 5.55 80.80 8.32 24.76 19.09 39.49 82.63 51.88P 0.00R 0.00
Swansea 16 29 +6 4.57 78.39 2.27 74.89 8.50 13.09 6.32 16.06 58.25 26.19P 0.05R 0.00
Nott'm_Forest 15 28 +7 6.46 87.94 5.44 74.15 8.60 12.42 5.45 14.06 54.65 23.03P 0.06R 0.00
Bristol_City 16 28 +4 4.69 78.97 2.05 71.89 8.45 8.11 3.32 9.18 43.64 16.81P 0.17R 0.01
Fulham 16 26 +7 0.54 53.42 1.68 71.22 8.89 13.05 3.43 9.60 42.62 18.29P 0.32R 0.03
Sheff_Wed 16 25 +7 1.07 57.52 3.96 67.81 8.35 9.52 1.26 3.79 27.29 9.38P 0.57R 0.04
Brentford 16 24 +8 -1.26 41.48 3.07 71.58 8.49 17.66 3.35 9.38 44.50 19.31P 0.22R 0.01
QPR 16 24 -4 5.06 81.44 1.16 58.42 8.32 -15.52 0.06 0.29 4.48 0.94P 8.33R 1.29
Charlton 16 22 +3 1.29 59.30 4.81 62.09 8.60 1.68 0.25 0.96 10.79 3.01P 3.42R 0.41
Hull 16 22 +2 -0.59 46.17 1.16 63.62 8.58 2.42 0.42 1.59 14.24 4.39P 2.38R 0.28
Birmingham 16 22 -5 2.50 67.91 -1.56 59.15 8.26 -10.78 0.09 0.31 5.02 1.12P 6.79R 0.83
Cardiff 16 21 +0 -2.66 33.03 -2.52 64.53 8.83 3.60 0.62 2.14 17.34 6.22P 2.19R 0.26
Millwall 16 21 -3 1.71 62.69 0.86 57.86 8.25 -9.11 0.03 0.19 3.82 0.87P 9.03R 1.38
Derby 16 21 -3 -2.44 33.98 -5.23 65.37 8.45 1.79 0.50 1.93 17.99 5.97P 1.50R 0.14
Reading 15 18 -1 0.09 51.42 3.06 54.95 8.35 -9.31 0.01 0.08 1.97 0.41P 15.85R 3.12
Blackburn 16 18 -4 -2.45 34.09 -1.36 56.84 8.41 -7.61 0.03 0.17 3.33 0.82P 11.51R 1.95
Huddersfield 16 16 -6 -3.02 30.58 -1.70 51.27 8.35 -14.03 0.01 0.04 0.77 0.18P 29.08R 6.79
Wigan 16 15 -11 -3.05 29.75 -5.49 50.67 8.07 -18.77 0.00 0.01 0.39 0.09P 32.29R 7.88
Luton 16 14 -8 -4.84 20.86 -2.69 49.49 8.57 -17.68 0.01 0.02 0.57 0.15P 37.61R 11.25
Middlesbrough 16 13 -8 -8.94 5.21 -8.36 54.14 8.11 -7.27 0.01 0.06 1.37 0.38P 16.81R 3.33
Stoke 16 11 -12 -7.80 7.71 -7.51 47.81 8.18 -18.22 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.05P 44.70R 13.79
Barnsley 16 9 -17 -7.67 7.60 -8.47 40.82 8.30 -32.15 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 77.10R 47.21
League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 November 2019, Portsmouth 4 1 Southend; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1
Ipswich 15 33 +15 6.77 88.99 6.62 83.91 8.27 31.82 46.16 65.19 92.22 72.71P 0.00 0.00
Wycombe 16 33 +11 9.52 95.32 8.64 71.18 7.94 10.49 4.03 10.60 46.16 16.72P 0.00R 0.00
Peterborough 17 28 +16 -1.24 41.46 6.46 73.96 7.92 30.62 8.16 20.06 62.95 31.67P 0.00R 0.00
Oxford_Utd 16 26 +14 1.25 58.67 9.68 71.84 8.10 25.61 5.47 13.80 52.65 23.24P 0.01R 0.00
Fleetwood_Town 15 26 +8 1.98 63.73 2.80 69.95 8.30 14.34 3.36 9.22 41.84 16.65P 0.02R 0.00
Coventry 16 26 +2 3.42 73.13 1.07 63.38 7.85 0.90 0.43 1.57 14.20 3.87P 0.13R 0.00
Sunderland 15 25 +6 -1.75 36.79 -3.76 75.26 8.18 21.90 10.30 23.94 66.94 37.44P 0.00R 0.00
Blackpool 16 25 +3 1.97 63.68 1.35 64.48 7.87 4.79 0.62 2.09 17.70 5.26P 0.12R 0.00
Bristol_Rovers 16 25 +0 2.49 67.30 -0.94 61.30 7.79 -2.97 0.20 0.91 9.28 2.47P 0.22R 0.00
Rotherham 15 24 +11 -0.86 43.62 4.38 74.61 8.55 27.82 10.62 23.90 64.91 35.77P 0.01R 0.00
Shrewsbury 16 24 -2 2.40 66.98 -1.89 61.44 7.72 -2.95 0.22 0.82 9.16 2.41P 0.24R 0.00
Doncaster 14 23 +8 0.20 51.33 2.59 72.19 8.48 20.59 6.21 15.43 53.27 25.03P 0.01R 0.00
Portsmouth 15 21 +4 -3.99 22.95 -2.91 67.53 8.24 14.10 2.05 5.80 30.85 12.70P 0.06R 0.00
Burton_Albion 14 20 +3 -0.46 46.91 1.17 67.92 8.44 13.35 2.11 6.42 33.07 12.99P 0.06R 0.00
Rochdale 17 19 -8 -0.56 47.20 -1.53 48.17 7.45 -21.33 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.02P 12.10R 0.44
Gillingham 16 18 +0 -2.94 30.69 1.54 55.74 7.92 -1.39 0.03 0.15 2.64 0.65P 2.05R 0.03
Lincoln_City 16 18 -3 -1.15 42.95 1.28 53.48 8.10 -7.28 0.02 0.08 1.53 0.31P 4.03R 0.12
Tranmere 15 16 -8 0.91 58.53 1.54 45.66 8.05 -24.69 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.02P 22.89R 1.26
Accrington_Stanley 16 15 -9 -2.80 31.74 -2.55 47.27 7.71 -18.88 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.02P 15.42R 0.72
AFC_Wimbledon 16 13 -6 -5.28 16.70 -0.26 45.90 7.74 -14.28 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.01P 19.04R 1.08
MK_Dons 16 13 -12 -4.67 20.25 -5.46 41.67 7.71 -27.48 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01P 40.58R 3.67
Southend 17 5 -31 -10.61 1.57 -17.21 30.06 7.24 -53.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 91.31R 40.26
Bolton 13 -2 -22 -1.75 36.96 -12.61 27.96 8.14 -41.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 91.67R 52.42
Adjustments:
Bolton -12
Bury -12
League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 November 2019, Bradford 2 0 Exeter; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot1 Bot1
Forest_Green 16 31 +10 6.16 85.65 5.71 77.83 8.39 18.39 17.77 46.38 80.20 55.06P 0.00 0.00
Bradford 16 30 +9 2.60 66.78 0.98 80.77 8.72 23.38 30.25 60.71 87.32 68.75P 0.00 0.00
Swindon 17 30 +8 3.67 72.91 3.57 74.85 8.35 15.60 10.21 32.58 69.58 41.59P 0.01R 0.01
Crewe 16 30 +8 6.25 85.76 5.31 74.08 8.48 12.36 8.63 29.19 65.26 36.90P 0.01R 0.01
Exeter 17 29 +3 3.37 71.45 -0.45 73.60 8.26 10.23 7.27 26.56 63.32 35.90P 0.01R 0.01
Cheltenham 15 28 +13 5.27 82.39 9.81 73.20 8.70 17.01 8.18 27.58 62.37 35.26P 0.00R 0.00
Newport_County 16 27 +4 4.70 79.73 3.19 68.91 8.30 5.49 2.58 12.09 40.75 18.25P 0.05R 0.05
Colchester 17 26 +6 -0.38 47.61 1.49 70.70 8.16 13.39 4.20 17.44 51.22 26.71P 0.01R 0.01
Northampton 17 25 +4 -0.28 48.34 1.05 66.84 8.28 7.07 1.72 8.54 32.85 14.33P 0.09R 0.09
Port_Vale 17 25 +0 3.74 74.34 2.68 61.44 8.01 -4.37 0.28 1.98 12.70 4.03P 0.54R 0.54
Salford_City 17 24 -4 5.92 84.67 4.23 54.18 8.01 -19.04 0.03 0.27 2.59 0.63P 4.96R 4.96
Cambridge_Utd 17 23 +5 1.23 59.11 6.94 60.72 8.09 2.45 0.22 1.82 11.98 3.82P 0.78R 0.78
Plymouth 16 23 +4 -2.83 31.51 -1.90 72.35 8.73 16.25 7.16 24.61 59.05 34.92P 0.03R 0.03
Mansfield 17 20 +1 -7.69 9.91 -5.59 65.40 8.29 9.32 1.12 6.53 27.98 13.13P 0.19R 0.19
Macclesfield 16 20 -3 2.73 70.00 3.78 51.43 7.90 -17.20 0.02 0.07 1.19 0.25P 8.49R 8.49
Leyton_Orient 17 20 -4 0.57 54.84 2.07 52.07 8.23 -15.94 0.02 0.18 1.72 0.45P 8.12R 8.12
Crawley_Town 17 20 -5 0.47 54.44 0.97 55.22 8.13 -12.25 0.02 0.34 3.38 0.94P 3.97R 3.97
Grimsby 15 19 +0 0.28 53.01 2.41 56.71 8.37 -6.71 0.07 0.78 5.52 1.73P 2.58R 2.58
Carlisle 17 18 -11 -3.43 28.55 -7.96 55.53 8.20 -14.45 0.03 0.34 3.66 1.05P 4.07R 4.07
Oldham 17 16 -8 -6.88 12.29 -7.28 56.44 8.26 -6.98 0.05 0.50 4.76 1.55P 2.82R 2.82
Scunthorpe 17 15 -4 -10.89 3.68 -7.85 58.72 8.60 1.85 0.14 1.27 9.35 3.78P 1.87R 1.87
Walsall 17 15 -13 -6.82 12.83 -11.07 53.95 8.32 -13.76 0.01 0.20 2.48 0.78P 5.56R 5.56
Stevenage 17 13 -9 -8.43 6.80 -6.50 49.53 8.06 -13.23 0.00 0.04 0.70 0.19P 12.95R 12.95
Morecambe 17 13 -14 -4.72 20.22 -5.58 42.92 7.80 -28.89 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.02P 42.89R 42.89
National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 November 2019, Stockport 1 0 Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1
Bromley 20 36 +10 5.58 79.82 5.57 75.56 7.90 15.65 11.06 58.90 21.36P 0.04R 0.00
Yeovil 19 35 +11 1.27 57.21 -0.45 82.55 8.07 26.66 39.80 86.13 55.25P 0.00R 0.00
Halifax 20 35 +4 8.30 89.92 4.82 70.64 7.60 4.25 2.99 32.39 8.31P 0.20R 0.00
Barrow 19 34 +10 5.49 80.07 6.41 73.38 7.93 13.45 7.12 48.02 15.79P 0.10R 0.00
Torquay 20 34 +8 6.50 82.19 8.36 70.40 8.21 8.70 4.12 33.90 9.69P 0.44R 0.02
Solihull_Moors 20 33 +9 0.94 55.64 2.26 74.43 7.67 17.47 8.29 54.19 20.57P 0.03R 0.00
Harrogate_Town 20 32 +3 2.26 63.71 -0.36 70.48 7.78 7.00 3.26 32.99 9.84P 0.29R 0.00
Notts_County 20 31 +12 -4.92 22.92 -0.87 78.14 7.75 29.27 19.56 73.54 39.80P 0.02R 0.00
Woking 20 31 +4 5.23 77.91 6.71 65.11 7.96 1.51 0.95 14.18 3.35P 2.08R 0.05
Barnet 20 28 +1 -0.80 45.42 -1.16 65.84 7.63 4.27 0.85 15.34 4.16P 1.21R 0.03
Eastleigh 20 28 -1 1.47 59.51 0.58 62.86 7.64 -2.27 0.31 7.85 1.76P 3.42R 0.11
Dover_Athletic 19 28 -1 1.34 58.61 -1.86 63.69 7.87 -3.22 0.64 10.21 2.58P 2.81R 0.09
Stockport 20 28 -8 6.61 84.80 1.36 55.72 7.60 -20.00 0.02 1.18 0.20P 19.16R 1.17
Hartlepool 20 27 +0 0.28 52.39 1.16 61.61 7.69 -1.74 0.23 6.28 1.40P 4.55R 0.17
Dag_&_Red 20 27 -2 0.35 52.73 -0.99 62.12 7.59 -2.70 0.22 6.37 1.41P 4.08R 0.14
Boreham_Wood 20 26 +4 -1.51 41.15 3.84 62.02 7.64 4.67 0.26 7.18 1.74P 3.79R 0.12
Maidenhead 20 25 +1 0.54 54.14 5.30 56.08 7.45 -5.75 0.02 1.36 0.24P 15.17R 0.87
Chesterfield 19 22 -5 -4.40 25.02 -5.45 59.34 7.89 -4.69 0.14 3.93 0.98P 8.58R 0.51
Aldershot 20 22 -5 -1.53 41.47 0.33 51.99 7.28 -12.86 0.01 0.31 0.05P 32.21R 2.73
AFC_Fylde 19 21 -10 -6.43 15.90 -11.89 59.74 7.98 -7.62 0.11 4.26 1.11P 8.41R 0.42
Wrexham 20 19 -7 -8.62 8.95 -7.52 55.34 7.53 -5.69 0.02 0.94 0.26P 17.48R 1.30
Ebbsfleet_United 20 17 -10 -9.20 8.01 -7.80 51.90 7.70 -11.53 0.00 0.32 0.09P 33.24R 3.36
Sutton_United 19 16 -7 -7.85 9.86 -3.84 49.42 7.72 -12.31 0.00 0.21 0.05P 45.89R 5.78
Chorley 20 13 -21 -3.82 27.51 -4.50 34.84 7.06 -42.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.80R 83.12
