Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 12 November 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 10 November 2019, Liverpool 3 1 Man_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        12   34  +18       8.33    98.25     2.05    92.49     6.59    57.61    76.42    96.90    99.49    99.94   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        12   26  +21       6.14    90.25    15.89    71.88     7.48    37.17     1.14     9.54    45.41    77.64    96.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          12   26  +10       3.43    76.07     0.40    72.36     7.49    27.39     1.14    10.18    46.71    76.93    95.60     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         12   25  +22      -3.62    17.02    -1.20    84.74     6.47    65.38    21.28    82.47    95.71    99.27    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        12   17   +4       2.96    73.92     7.69    48.78     7.56    -2.44     0.00     0.01     0.14     0.92     8.94     3.16R    0.30  
Arsenal          12   17   -1      -2.07    33.31    -4.85    59.06     7.69     8.73     0.01     0.33     3.64    12.30    50.12     0.16R    0.00  
Man_Utd          12   16   +4      -4.22    19.22    -1.61    59.07     7.37    15.08     0.00     0.21     3.19    12.18    51.46     0.08R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    12   16   +1       0.54    55.20     2.96    50.33     7.52    -1.49     0.00     0.01     0.25     1.40    11.96     1.92R    0.17  
Bournemouth      12   16   +0       0.96    58.74     2.78    46.55     7.37   -10.15     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.41     5.05     5.62R    0.40  
Burnley          12   15   -1       0.91    58.85     2.93    43.99     7.27   -13.06     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.17     2.43    10.40R    1.03  
Brighton         12   15   -2       1.67    65.38     3.50    41.52     7.06   -16.66     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     1.15    17.15R    1.93  
Crystal_Palace   12   15   -6       1.29    62.02    -1.56    47.76     7.38   -11.30     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.53     6.16     4.36R    0.37  
Newcastle        12   15   -7       1.21    61.67    -2.58    46.15     7.27   -14.07     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.31     3.95     6.26R    0.53  
Tottenham        12   14   +1      -6.62     7.41    -5.29    60.54     7.59    18.03     0.02     0.35     5.13    17.30    59.84     0.07R    0.00  
Everton          12   14   -5      -2.78    28.72    -5.25    46.82     7.35   -10.59     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.49     5.18     5.19R    0.50  
West_Ham         12   13   -6      -2.28    32.41    -3.81    41.68     7.23   -19.51     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.09     1.23    17.57R    2.38  
Aston_Villa      12   11   -3      -1.67    37.20     4.74    38.72     7.56   -17.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.75    30.79R    6.07  
Watford          12    8  -15      -4.30    17.13    -7.33    33.98     7.13   -32.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10    58.04R   16.95  
Southampton      12    8  -18      -1.99    33.64    -6.15    34.79     7.18   -34.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10    53.94R   16.18  
Norwich          12    7  -17      -2.70    27.78    -3.31    28.06     6.90   -46.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    85.30R   53.19  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 10 November 2019, Cardiff 0 1 Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

West_Brom       16   33  +12       4.62    78.56     1.87    85.92     8.53    30.13    43.70    64.23    92.97    72.72P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         16   31  +14       5.08    80.80     7.95    77.61     8.62    22.22    12.05    26.42    71.18    37.80P    0.02R    0.00  
Leeds_United    16   31  +12       4.68    79.24     5.55    80.80     8.32    24.76    19.09    39.49    82.63    51.88P    0.00R    0.00  
Swansea         16   29   +6       4.57    78.39     2.27    74.89     8.50    13.09     6.32    16.06    58.25    26.19P    0.05R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   15   28   +7       6.46    87.94     5.44    74.15     8.60    12.42     5.45    14.06    54.65    23.03P    0.06R    0.00  
Bristol_City    16   28   +4       4.69    78.97     2.05    71.89     8.45     8.11     3.32     9.18    43.64    16.81P    0.17R    0.01  
Fulham          16   26   +7       0.54    53.42     1.68    71.22     8.89    13.05     3.43     9.60    42.62    18.29P    0.32R    0.03  
Sheff_Wed       16   25   +7       1.07    57.52     3.96    67.81     8.35     9.52     1.26     3.79    27.29     9.38P    0.57R    0.04  
Brentford       16   24   +8      -1.26    41.48     3.07    71.58     8.49    17.66     3.35     9.38    44.50    19.31P    0.22R    0.01  
QPR             16   24   -4       5.06    81.44     1.16    58.42     8.32   -15.52     0.06     0.29     4.48     0.94P    8.33R    1.29  
Charlton        16   22   +3       1.29    59.30     4.81    62.09     8.60     1.68     0.25     0.96    10.79     3.01P    3.42R    0.41  
Hull            16   22   +2      -0.59    46.17     1.16    63.62     8.58     2.42     0.42     1.59    14.24     4.39P    2.38R    0.28  
Birmingham      16   22   -5       2.50    67.91    -1.56    59.15     8.26   -10.78     0.09     0.31     5.02     1.12P    6.79R    0.83  
Cardiff         16   21   +0      -2.66    33.03    -2.52    64.53     8.83     3.60     0.62     2.14    17.34     6.22P    2.19R    0.26  
Millwall        16   21   -3       1.71    62.69     0.86    57.86     8.25    -9.11     0.03     0.19     3.82     0.87P    9.03R    1.38  
Derby           16   21   -3      -2.44    33.98    -5.23    65.37     8.45     1.79     0.50     1.93    17.99     5.97P    1.50R    0.14  
Reading         15   18   -1       0.09    51.42     3.06    54.95     8.35    -9.31     0.01     0.08     1.97     0.41P   15.85R    3.12  
Blackburn       16   18   -4      -2.45    34.09    -1.36    56.84     8.41    -7.61     0.03     0.17     3.33     0.82P   11.51R    1.95  
Huddersfield    16   16   -6      -3.02    30.58    -1.70    51.27     8.35   -14.03     0.01     0.04     0.77     0.18P   29.08R    6.79  
Wigan           16   15  -11      -3.05    29.75    -5.49    50.67     8.07   -18.77     0.00     0.01     0.39     0.09P   32.29R    7.88  
Luton           16   14   -8      -4.84    20.86    -2.69    49.49     8.57   -17.68     0.01     0.02     0.57     0.15P   37.61R   11.25  
Middlesbrough   16   13   -8      -8.94     5.21    -8.36    54.14     8.11    -7.27     0.01     0.06     1.37     0.38P   16.81R    3.33  
Stoke           16   11  -12      -7.80     7.71    -7.51    47.81     8.18   -18.22     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.05P   44.70R   13.79  
Barnsley        16    9  -17      -7.67     7.60    -8.47    40.82     8.30   -32.15     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   77.10R   47.21  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 November 2019, Portsmouth 4 1 Southend; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Ipswich              15   33  +15       6.77    88.99     6.62    83.91     8.27    31.82    46.16    65.19    92.22    72.71P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              16   33  +11       9.52    95.32     8.64    71.18     7.94    10.49     4.03    10.60    46.16    16.72P    0.00R    0.00  
Peterborough         17   28  +16      -1.24    41.46     6.46    73.96     7.92    30.62     8.16    20.06    62.95    31.67P    0.00R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           16   26  +14       1.25    58.67     9.68    71.84     8.10    25.61     5.47    13.80    52.65    23.24P    0.01R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       15   26   +8       1.98    63.73     2.80    69.95     8.30    14.34     3.36     9.22    41.84    16.65P    0.02R    0.00  
Coventry             16   26   +2       3.42    73.13     1.07    63.38     7.85     0.90     0.43     1.57    14.20     3.87P    0.13R    0.00  
Sunderland           15   25   +6      -1.75    36.79    -3.76    75.26     8.18    21.90    10.30    23.94    66.94    37.44P    0.00R    0.00  
Blackpool            16   25   +3       1.97    63.68     1.35    64.48     7.87     4.79     0.62     2.09    17.70     5.26P    0.12R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       16   25   +0       2.49    67.30    -0.94    61.30     7.79    -2.97     0.20     0.91     9.28     2.47P    0.22R    0.00  
Rotherham            15   24  +11      -0.86    43.62     4.38    74.61     8.55    27.82    10.62    23.90    64.91    35.77P    0.01R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           16   24   -2       2.40    66.98    -1.89    61.44     7.72    -2.95     0.22     0.82     9.16     2.41P    0.24R    0.00  
Doncaster            14   23   +8       0.20    51.33     2.59    72.19     8.48    20.59     6.21    15.43    53.27    25.03P    0.01R    0.00  
Portsmouth           15   21   +4      -3.99    22.95    -2.91    67.53     8.24    14.10     2.05     5.80    30.85    12.70P    0.06R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        14   20   +3      -0.46    46.91     1.17    67.92     8.44    13.35     2.11     6.42    33.07    12.99P    0.06R    0.00  
Rochdale             17   19   -8      -0.56    47.20    -1.53    48.17     7.45   -21.33     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.02P   12.10R    0.44  
Gillingham           16   18   +0      -2.94    30.69     1.54    55.74     7.92    -1.39     0.03     0.15     2.64     0.65P    2.05R    0.03  
Lincoln_City         16   18   -3      -1.15    42.95     1.28    53.48     8.10    -7.28     0.02     0.08     1.53     0.31P    4.03R    0.12  
Tranmere             15   16   -8       0.91    58.53     1.54    45.66     8.05   -24.69     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P   22.89R    1.26  
Accrington_Stanley   16   15   -9      -2.80    31.74    -2.55    47.27     7.71   -18.88     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P   15.42R    0.72  
AFC_Wimbledon        16   13   -6      -5.28    16.70    -0.26    45.90     7.74   -14.28     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P   19.04R    1.08  
MK_Dons              16   13  -12      -4.67    20.25    -5.46    41.67     7.71   -27.48     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   40.58R    3.67  
Southend             17    5  -31     -10.61     1.57   -17.21    30.06     7.24   -53.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.31R   40.26  
Bolton               13   -2  -22      -1.75    36.96   -12.61    27.96     8.14   -41.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.67R   52.42  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 November 2019, Bradford 2 0 Exeter; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot1     Bot1

Forest_Green     16   31  +10       6.16    85.65     5.71    77.83     8.39    18.39    17.77    46.38    80.20    55.06P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         16   30   +9       2.60    66.78     0.98    80.77     8.72    23.38    30.25    60.71    87.32    68.75P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          17   30   +8       3.67    72.91     3.57    74.85     8.35    15.60    10.21    32.58    69.58    41.59P    0.01R    0.01  
Crewe            16   30   +8       6.25    85.76     5.31    74.08     8.48    12.36     8.63    29.19    65.26    36.90P    0.01R    0.01  
Exeter           17   29   +3       3.37    71.45    -0.45    73.60     8.26    10.23     7.27    26.56    63.32    35.90P    0.01R    0.01  
Cheltenham       15   28  +13       5.27    82.39     9.81    73.20     8.70    17.01     8.18    27.58    62.37    35.26P    0.00R    0.00  
Newport_County   16   27   +4       4.70    79.73     3.19    68.91     8.30     5.49     2.58    12.09    40.75    18.25P    0.05R    0.05  
Colchester       17   26   +6      -0.38    47.61     1.49    70.70     8.16    13.39     4.20    17.44    51.22    26.71P    0.01R    0.01  
Northampton      17   25   +4      -0.28    48.34     1.05    66.84     8.28     7.07     1.72     8.54    32.85    14.33P    0.09R    0.09  
Port_Vale        17   25   +0       3.74    74.34     2.68    61.44     8.01    -4.37     0.28     1.98    12.70     4.03P    0.54R    0.54  
Salford_City     17   24   -4       5.92    84.67     4.23    54.18     8.01   -19.04     0.03     0.27     2.59     0.63P    4.96R    4.96  
Cambridge_Utd    17   23   +5       1.23    59.11     6.94    60.72     8.09     2.45     0.22     1.82    11.98     3.82P    0.78R    0.78  
Plymouth         16   23   +4      -2.83    31.51    -1.90    72.35     8.73    16.25     7.16    24.61    59.05    34.92P    0.03R    0.03  
Mansfield        17   20   +1      -7.69     9.91    -5.59    65.40     8.29     9.32     1.12     6.53    27.98    13.13P    0.19R    0.19  
Macclesfield     16   20   -3       2.73    70.00     3.78    51.43     7.90   -17.20     0.02     0.07     1.19     0.25P    8.49R    8.49  
Leyton_Orient    17   20   -4       0.57    54.84     2.07    52.07     8.23   -15.94     0.02     0.18     1.72     0.45P    8.12R    8.12  
Crawley_Town     17   20   -5       0.47    54.44     0.97    55.22     8.13   -12.25     0.02     0.34     3.38     0.94P    3.97R    3.97  
Grimsby          15   19   +0       0.28    53.01     2.41    56.71     8.37    -6.71     0.07     0.78     5.52     1.73P    2.58R    2.58  
Carlisle         17   18  -11      -3.43    28.55    -7.96    55.53     8.20   -14.45     0.03     0.34     3.66     1.05P    4.07R    4.07  
Oldham           17   16   -8      -6.88    12.29    -7.28    56.44     8.26    -6.98     0.05     0.50     4.76     1.55P    2.82R    2.82  
Scunthorpe       17   15   -4     -10.89     3.68    -7.85    58.72     8.60     1.85     0.14     1.27     9.35     3.78P    1.87R    1.87  
Walsall          17   15  -13      -6.82    12.83   -11.07    53.95     8.32   -13.76     0.01     0.20     2.48     0.78P    5.56R    5.56  
Stevenage        17   13   -9      -8.43     6.80    -6.50    49.53     8.06   -13.23     0.00     0.04     0.70     0.19P   12.95R   12.95  
Morecambe        17   13  -14      -4.72    20.22    -5.58    42.92     7.80   -28.89     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P   42.89R   42.89  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 November 2019, Stockport 1 0 Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Bromley            20   36  +10       5.58    79.82     5.57    75.56     7.90    15.65    11.06    58.90    21.36P    0.04R    0.00  
Yeovil             19   35  +11       1.27    57.21    -0.45    82.55     8.07    26.66    39.80    86.13    55.25P    0.00R    0.00  
Halifax            20   35   +4       8.30    89.92     4.82    70.64     7.60     4.25     2.99    32.39     8.31P    0.20R    0.00  
Barrow             19   34  +10       5.49    80.07     6.41    73.38     7.93    13.45     7.12    48.02    15.79P    0.10R    0.00  
Torquay            20   34   +8       6.50    82.19     8.36    70.40     8.21     8.70     4.12    33.90     9.69P    0.44R    0.02  
Solihull_Moors     20   33   +9       0.94    55.64     2.26    74.43     7.67    17.47     8.29    54.19    20.57P    0.03R    0.00  
Harrogate_Town     20   32   +3       2.26    63.71    -0.36    70.48     7.78     7.00     3.26    32.99     9.84P    0.29R    0.00  
Notts_County       20   31  +12      -4.92    22.92    -0.87    78.14     7.75    29.27    19.56    73.54    39.80P    0.02R    0.00  
Woking             20   31   +4       5.23    77.91     6.71    65.11     7.96     1.51     0.95    14.18     3.35P    2.08R    0.05  
Barnet             20   28   +1      -0.80    45.42    -1.16    65.84     7.63     4.27     0.85    15.34     4.16P    1.21R    0.03  
Eastleigh          20   28   -1       1.47    59.51     0.58    62.86     7.64    -2.27     0.31     7.85     1.76P    3.42R    0.11  
Dover_Athletic     19   28   -1       1.34    58.61    -1.86    63.69     7.87    -3.22     0.64    10.21     2.58P    2.81R    0.09  
Stockport          20   28   -8       6.61    84.80     1.36    55.72     7.60   -20.00     0.02     1.18     0.20P   19.16R    1.17  
Hartlepool         20   27   +0       0.28    52.39     1.16    61.61     7.69    -1.74     0.23     6.28     1.40P    4.55R    0.17  
Dag_&_Red          20   27   -2       0.35    52.73    -0.99    62.12     7.59    -2.70     0.22     6.37     1.41P    4.08R    0.14  
Boreham_Wood       20   26   +4      -1.51    41.15     3.84    62.02     7.64     4.67     0.26     7.18     1.74P    3.79R    0.12  
Maidenhead         20   25   +1       0.54    54.14     5.30    56.08     7.45    -5.75     0.02     1.36     0.24P   15.17R    0.87  
Chesterfield       19   22   -5      -4.40    25.02    -5.45    59.34     7.89    -4.69     0.14     3.93     0.98P    8.58R    0.51  
Aldershot          20   22   -5      -1.53    41.47     0.33    51.99     7.28   -12.86     0.01     0.31     0.05P   32.21R    2.73  
AFC_Fylde          19   21  -10      -6.43    15.90   -11.89    59.74     7.98    -7.62     0.11     4.26     1.11P    8.41R    0.42  
Wrexham            20   19   -7      -8.62     8.95    -7.52    55.34     7.53    -5.69     0.02     0.94     0.26P   17.48R    1.30  
Ebbsfleet_United   20   17  -10      -9.20     8.01    -7.80    51.90     7.70   -11.53     0.00     0.32     0.09P   33.24R    3.36  
Sutton_United      19   16   -7      -7.85     9.86    -3.84    49.42     7.72   -12.31     0.00     0.21     0.05P   45.89R    5.78  
Chorley            20   13  -21      -3.82    27.51    -4.50    34.84     7.06   -42.50     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.80R   83.12