Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 11 November 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 10 November 2019, Liverpool 3 1 Man_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        12   34  +18       8.35    98.27     2.11    92.48     6.54    57.57    76.37    96.86    99.49    99.94   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        12   26  +21       6.18    90.24    15.97    71.78     7.52    37.01     1.12     9.46    44.88    77.02    95.83     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          12   26  +10       3.40    75.97     0.31    72.49     7.46    27.56     1.17    10.46    47.53    77.79    95.74     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         12   25  +22      -3.61    17.12    -1.20    84.74     6.51    65.45    21.32    82.27    95.48    99.13    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        12   17   +4       2.92    73.78     7.64    48.81     7.48    -2.43     0.00     0.01     0.17     0.90     8.86     3.14R    0.26  
Arsenal          12   17   -1      -2.07    33.24    -4.83    59.10     7.65     8.72     0.01     0.30     3.67    12.30    50.53     0.13R    0.01  
Man_Utd          12   16   +4      -4.19    19.41    -1.57    58.92     7.37    14.82     0.00     0.24     3.09    11.86    50.83     0.07R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    12   16   +1       0.49    54.86     2.89    50.34     7.45    -1.49     0.00     0.01     0.22     1.32    12.04     1.87R    0.12  
Bournemouth      12   16   +0       0.82    57.44     2.58    46.75     7.37    -9.84     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.45     5.24     5.40R    0.46  
Burnley          12   15   -1       0.91    58.66     2.96    43.89     7.23   -13.21     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.16     2.49    10.44R    1.12  
Brighton         12   15   -2       1.76    66.06     3.61    41.30     6.99   -16.87     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.98    17.61R    2.15  
Crystal_Palace   12   15   -6       1.30    62.27    -1.53    47.72     7.38   -11.33     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.53     6.10     4.51R    0.38  
Newcastle        12   15   -7       1.25    61.70    -2.52    46.14     7.27   -14.07     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.29     3.86     6.45R    0.56  
Tottenham        12   14   +1      -6.64     7.17    -5.31    60.61     7.56    18.14     0.00     0.39     5.18    17.68    60.34     0.07R    0.00  
Everton          12   14   -5      -2.64    29.91    -5.05    46.65     7.36   -10.88     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.44     4.94     5.60R    0.46  
West_Ham         12   13   -6      -2.26    32.47    -3.77    41.59     7.32   -19.64     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09     1.30    18.32R    2.70  
Aston_Villa      12   11   -3      -1.72    36.76     4.64    38.91     7.57   -17.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.75    29.68R    5.88  
Watford          12    8  -15      -4.30    17.07    -7.36    34.01     7.07   -32.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08    57.69R   17.23  
Southampton      12    8  -18      -2.01    33.54    -6.17    34.81     7.14   -34.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11    54.13R   15.91  
Norwich          12    7  -17      -2.76    27.55    -3.39    28.17     6.92   -45.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    84.89R   52.75  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 10 November 2019, Cardiff 0 1 Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

West_Brom       16   33  +12       4.59    78.70     1.83    85.83     8.53    30.05    43.12    63.59    92.68    72.54P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         16   31  +14       4.95    80.04     7.76    77.81     8.71    22.48    12.66    27.26    71.24    38.07P    0.02R    0.00  
Leeds_United    16   31  +12       4.64    79.16     5.51    80.89     8.35    24.84    19.39    39.80    83.04    52.28P    0.00R    0.00  
Swansea         16   29   +6       4.51    78.16     2.19    74.86     8.45    13.06     6.25    15.59    57.90    25.84P    0.07R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   15   28   +7       6.51    87.87     5.49    74.01     8.64    12.28     5.21    13.86    53.97    22.95P    0.08R    0.00  
Bristol_City    16   28   +4       4.61    79.03     1.89    72.06     8.48     8.40     3.34     9.36    44.80    17.01P    0.15R    0.01  
Fulham          16   26   +7       0.55    53.37     1.69    71.10     8.83    12.87     3.37     9.30    41.83    17.75P    0.25R    0.02  
Sheff_Wed       16   25   +7       1.14    57.90     4.04    67.75     8.39     9.43     1.25     3.97    27.00     9.48P    0.52R    0.03  
Brentford       16   24   +8      -1.30    41.31     3.00    71.72     8.49    17.86     3.32     9.41    45.29    19.33P    0.20R    0.01  
QPR             16   24   -4       4.95    80.70     0.96    58.74     8.35   -15.01     0.07     0.36     4.64     1.03P    7.92R    1.08  
Charlton        16   22   +3       1.29    59.41     4.79    62.17     8.65     1.73     0.22     0.95    11.13     3.13P    3.52R    0.39  
Hull            16   22   +2      -0.56    46.58     1.23    63.55     8.54     2.32     0.42     1.51    13.79     4.26P    2.50R    0.29  
Birmingham      16   22   -5       2.57    68.39    -1.47    59.02     8.24   -10.96     0.07     0.32     4.63     1.08P    7.01R    0.85  
Cardiff         16   21   +0      -2.67    32.94    -2.51    64.53     8.75     3.62     0.58     2.11    17.08     6.07P    2.11R    0.21  
Millwall        16   21   -3       1.68    62.38     0.78    57.94     8.27    -8.96     0.05     0.22     3.97     0.94P    8.58R    1.23  
Derby           16   21   -3      -2.37    34.36    -5.17    65.38     8.51     1.85     0.61     1.96    18.48     6.16P    1.45R    0.13  
Reading         15   18   -1       0.08    51.52     3.09    55.01     8.30    -9.16     0.02     0.09     1.98     0.43P   15.48R    2.87  
Blackburn       16   18   -4      -2.37    34.44    -1.27    56.72     8.46    -7.79     0.03     0.19     3.22     0.82P   11.71R    2.08  
Huddersfield    16   16   -6      -3.07    30.13    -1.79    51.30     8.37   -13.98     0.00     0.04     0.82     0.18P   28.80R    6.63  
Wigan           16   15  -11      -3.12    29.50    -5.55    50.79     8.13   -18.64     0.00     0.02     0.46     0.09P   31.60R    7.64  
Luton           16   14   -8      -4.79    20.82    -2.64    49.37     8.67   -17.91     0.00     0.03     0.50     0.12P   38.05R   11.22  
Middlesbrough   16   13   -8      -8.88     5.35    -8.26    54.01     8.14    -7.43     0.00     0.07     1.29     0.37P   17.37R    3.37  
Stoke           16   11  -12      -7.81     7.50    -7.54    47.85     8.19   -18.16     0.00     0.01     0.19     0.05P   44.68R   13.38  
Barnsley        16    9  -17      -7.43     8.39    -8.05    40.46     8.33   -32.78     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00    77.92R   48.59  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 November 2019, Portsmouth 4 1 Southend; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Ipswich              15   33  +15       6.75    89.09     6.60    83.99     8.20    31.91    46.03    65.35    92.45    72.90P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              16   33  +11       9.43    95.24     8.52    71.22     7.98    10.63     4.15    10.75    45.95    16.70P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         17   28  +16      -1.31    41.05     6.34    74.07     7.87    30.76     8.12    20.30    63.69    32.16P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           16   26  +14       1.23    58.53     9.62    71.96     8.07    25.77     5.66    14.06    53.11    23.46P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       15   26   +8       2.06    64.45     2.93    69.91     8.27    14.29     3.26     9.13    41.36    16.30P    0.02R    0.00  
Coventry             16   26   +2       3.35    72.64     0.98    63.48     7.87     1.00     0.45     1.63    14.32     4.10P    0.16R    0.00  
Sunderland           15   25   +6      -1.77    36.94    -3.78    75.29     8.19    22.00    10.56    24.12    66.98    37.52P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            16   25   +3       2.06    64.25     1.49    64.32     7.84     4.55     0.61     2.04    17.11     5.07P    0.12R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       16   25   +0       2.53    67.86    -0.90    61.30     7.79    -3.02     0.24     0.85     9.14     2.38P    0.27R    0.01  
Rotherham            15   24  +11      -0.87    43.73     4.35    74.50     8.56    27.71    10.23    23.09    64.31    35.16P    0.01R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           16   24   -2       2.42    67.05    -1.86    61.41     7.74    -3.05     0.21     0.80     9.16     2.40P    0.27R    0.00  
Doncaster            14   23   +8       0.12    50.62     2.41    72.46     8.37    21.05     6.20    15.45    54.24    25.27P    0.01R    0.00  
Portsmouth           15   21   +4      -3.91    23.62    -2.83    67.32     8.39    13.80     1.95     5.72    30.23    12.40P    0.07R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        14   20   +3      -0.51    46.44     1.07    67.95     8.48    13.43     2.28     6.48    33.15    13.13P    0.05R    0.00  
Rochdale             17   19   -8      -0.65    46.61    -1.58    48.19     7.44   -21.34     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.03P   12.02R    0.39  
Gillingham           16   18   +0      -2.85    31.28     1.68    55.69     7.94    -1.49     0.03     0.12     2.61     0.60P    2.09R    0.03  
Lincoln_City         16   18   -3      -1.07    43.49     1.43    53.31     8.12    -7.49     0.02     0.08     1.52     0.34P    4.28R    0.12  
Tranmere             15   16   -8       1.03    59.28     1.72    45.55     8.05   -24.87     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   23.35R    1.47  
Accrington_Stanley   16   15   -9      -2.92    30.90    -2.74    47.45     7.70   -18.63     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.02P   14.76R    0.75  
AFC_Wimbledon        16   13   -6      -5.14    17.39    -0.05    45.72     7.70   -14.55     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   19.53R    1.12  
MK_Dons              16   13  -12      -4.73    19.95    -5.54    41.72     7.77   -27.37     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   40.41R    3.78  
Southend             17    5  -31     -10.63     1.67   -17.21    30.02     7.21   -53.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.24R   40.44  
Bolton               13   -2  -22      -1.79    36.63   -12.68    28.06     8.19   -41.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.33R   51.89  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 November 2019, Bradford 2 0 Exeter; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot1     Bot1

Forest_Green     16   31  +10       6.12    85.77     5.63    77.99     8.44    18.72    18.42    47.21    80.50    55.64P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         16   30   +9       2.60    66.53     1.01    80.73     8.68    23.29    29.83    60.37    87.45    68.45P    0.00R    0.00  
Swindon          17   30   +8       3.63    72.58     3.48    74.99     8.29    15.84    10.25    33.46    70.37    42.50P    0.00R    0.00  
Crewe            16   30   +8       6.29    85.76     5.38    74.00     8.47    12.21     8.62    28.58    64.91    36.32P    0.01R    0.01  
Exeter           17   29   +3       3.36    71.31    -0.46    73.48     8.28    10.06     7.19    26.14    62.98    35.53P    0.01R    0.01  
Cheltenham       15   28  +13       5.31    82.62     9.91    72.93     8.71    16.61     7.86    26.48    60.97    34.07P    0.01R    0.01  
Newport_County   16   27   +4       4.74    79.81     3.25    68.89     8.33     5.45     2.49    11.99    40.86    18.22P    0.05R    0.05  
Colchester       17   26   +6      -0.45    47.05     1.44    70.73     8.19    13.50     4.22    17.78    51.12    27.13P    0.03R    0.03  
Northampton      17   25   +4      -0.35    47.91     0.95    66.94     8.32     7.24     1.74     8.94    33.63    14.93P    0.09R    0.09  
Port_Vale        17   25   +0       3.75    74.45     2.67    61.37     8.05    -4.52     0.29     2.04    12.58     4.03P    0.52R    0.52  
Salford_City     17   24   -4       5.98    84.79     4.32    54.06     8.05   -19.20     0.03     0.27     2.65     0.61P    5.09R    5.09  
Cambridge_Utd    17   23   +5       1.13    58.19     6.80    60.89     8.02     2.73     0.25     1.91    12.24     4.08P    0.64R    0.64  
Plymouth         16   23   +4      -2.81    31.97    -1.89    72.25     8.78    16.11     7.20    24.44    58.81    34.74P    0.03R    0.03  
Mansfield        17   20   +1      -7.61    10.05    -5.46    65.29     8.31     9.11     1.19     6.48    27.41    12.96P    0.18R    0.18  
Macclesfield     16   20   -3       2.65    69.52     3.66    51.63     7.91   -16.91     0.01     0.11     1.25     0.29P    8.17R    8.17  
Leyton_Orient    17   20   -4       0.51    54.69     1.99    52.21     8.19   -15.72     0.01     0.17     1.79     0.48P    7.67R    7.67  
Crawley_Town     17   20   -5       0.45    54.36     0.91    55.33     8.14   -12.12     0.04     0.34     3.64     0.91P    3.98R    3.98  
Grimsby          15   19   +0       0.32    53.23     2.43    56.79     8.42    -6.63     0.09     0.73     5.87     1.76P    2.63R    2.63  
Carlisle         17   18  -11      -3.40    28.63    -7.89    55.42     8.15   -14.63     0.03     0.33     3.38     0.96P    3.95R    3.95  
Oldham           17   16   -8      -6.82    12.24    -7.20    56.38     8.26    -7.07     0.03     0.57     4.73     1.60P    2.92R    2.92  
Scunthorpe       17   15   -4     -10.87     3.60    -7.80    58.60     8.57     1.69     0.17     1.32     9.25     3.69P    1.76R    1.76  
Walsall          17   15  -13      -6.92    12.09   -11.21    54.16     8.35   -13.46     0.03     0.28     2.85     0.88P    5.48R    5.48  
Stevenage        17   13   -9      -8.28     7.03    -6.30    49.33     7.97   -13.43     0.00     0.04     0.70     0.20P   13.12R   13.12  
Morecambe        17   13  -14      -4.71    20.55    -5.62    42.92     7.75   -28.88     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   43.66R   43.66  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 November 2019, Stockport 1 0 Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Bromley            20   36  +10       5.58    79.66     5.57    75.48     7.87    15.59    10.64    58.77    20.98P    0.03R    0.00  
Yeovil             19   35  +11       1.25    57.09    -0.48    82.52     8.10    26.62    39.66    85.91    54.86P    0.01R    0.00  
Halifax            20   35   +4       8.21    89.80     4.69    70.70     7.55     4.29     3.01    32.60     8.54P    0.19R    0.00  
Barrow             19   34  +10       5.50    80.24     6.44    73.41     7.93    13.49     7.23    48.10    15.87P    0.09R    0.00  
Torquay            20   34   +8       6.66    83.11     8.62    70.18     8.27     8.32     4.05    32.85     9.48P    0.44R    0.02  
Solihull_Moors     20   33   +9       0.95    55.83     2.21    74.42     7.66    17.48     8.23    54.37    20.41P    0.06R    0.00  
Harrogate_Town     20   32   +3       2.18    62.77    -0.55    70.66     7.82     7.26     3.45    34.07    10.37P    0.28R    0.01  
Notts_County       20   31  +12      -5.02    22.41    -1.02    78.27     7.76    29.42    20.12    73.86    40.27P    0.02R    0.00  
Woking             20   31   +4       5.34    78.51     6.88    65.04     7.97     1.36     0.85    13.90     3.32P    2.04R    0.05  
Barnet             20   28   +1      -0.73    46.00    -1.03    65.72     7.67     4.12     0.77    15.16     4.10P    1.27R    0.03  
Eastleigh          20   28   -1       1.48    59.65     0.58    62.95     7.70    -2.21     0.33     8.29     1.89P    3.28R    0.09  
Dover_Athletic     19   28   -1       1.27    58.07    -1.98    63.80     7.87    -3.01     0.63    10.51     2.57P    2.84R    0.07  
Stockport          20   28   -8       6.64    84.69     1.44    55.65     7.64   -20.07     0.03     1.26     0.20P   19.35R    1.24  
Hartlepool         20   27   +0       0.24    51.93     1.12    61.57     7.64    -1.77     0.19     6.10     1.32P    4.42R    0.17  
Dag_&_Red          20   27   -2       0.41    53.09    -0.90    62.01     7.60    -2.82     0.26     6.32     1.48P    4.20R    0.12  
Boreham_Wood       20   26   +4      -1.52    41.45     3.86    62.02     7.59     4.65     0.24     6.89     1.58P    3.68R    0.14  
Maidenhead         20   25   +1       0.54    54.20     5.29    56.05     7.42    -5.75     0.02     1.21     0.25P   15.26R    0.84  
Chesterfield       19   22   -5      -4.50    24.65    -5.58    59.50     7.85    -4.46     0.13     4.06     1.04P    8.16R    0.56  
Aldershot          20   22   -5      -1.53    41.55     0.32    51.94     7.32   -12.92     0.00     0.27     0.05P   32.66R    2.79  
AFC_Fylde          19   21  -10      -6.36    15.97   -11.81    59.73     7.97    -7.67     0.13     4.11     1.11P    8.58R    0.48  
Wrexham            20   19   -7      -8.62     8.80    -7.46    55.24     7.50    -5.84     0.01     0.92     0.22P   18.02R    1.27  
Ebbsfleet_United   20   17  -10      -9.22     7.88    -7.85    51.93     7.68   -11.45     0.00     0.33     0.07P   32.99R    3.22  
Sutton_United      19   16   -7      -7.82     9.95    -3.83    49.40     7.74   -12.30     0.00     0.14     0.03P   45.50R    6.05  
Chorley            20   13  -21      -3.81    27.29    -4.55    34.90     7.06   -42.32     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.63R   82.84