Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 10 November 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 10 November 2019, Liverpool 3 1 Man_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        12   34  +18       8.33    98.24     2.09    92.57     6.60    57.68    76.59    96.96    99.52    99.94   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        12   26  +21       6.21    90.53    16.02    71.75     7.54    36.87     1.08     9.27    44.64    77.00    95.52     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          12   26  +10       3.48    76.28     0.47    72.47     7.45    27.55     1.08     9.98    47.53    77.46    95.74     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         12   25  +22      -3.63    16.67    -1.21    84.78     6.48    65.56    21.23    82.86    95.73    99.22    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        12   17   +4       2.95    73.99     7.67    48.79     7.50    -2.52     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.93     8.78     3.12R    0.22  
Arsenal          12   17   -1      -2.05    33.32    -4.79    59.01     7.62     8.56     0.01     0.33     3.49    12.10    49.93     0.13R    0.00  
Man_Utd          12   16   +4      -4.26    19.23    -1.65    59.11     7.41    15.13     0.01     0.26     3.33    12.39    51.83     0.09R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    12   16   +1       0.52    55.01     2.94    50.35     7.44    -1.50     0.00     0.00     0.23     1.29    11.94     1.88R    0.12  
Bournemouth      12   16   +0       0.90    58.14     2.71    46.63     7.39   -10.07     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.45     5.10     5.56R    0.46  
Burnley          12   15   -1       0.85    58.16     2.85    44.07     7.22   -12.92     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.14     2.56    10.14R    1.04  
Brighton         12   15   -2       1.74    65.84     3.59    41.28     7.02   -16.97     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     1.05    17.72R    2.21  
Crystal_Palace   12   15   -6       1.27    62.11    -1.58    47.68     7.37   -11.38     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.48     5.97     4.55R    0.36  
Newcastle        12   15   -7       1.24    61.68    -2.56    46.17     7.22   -14.01     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.27     3.87     6.21R    0.53  
Tottenham        12   14   +1      -6.67     7.25    -5.37    60.57     7.60    18.05     0.01     0.33     5.07    17.68    60.60     0.06R    0.00  
Everton          12   14   -5      -2.65    29.75    -5.09    46.60     7.32   -10.93     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.46     4.95     5.41R    0.52  
West_Ham         12   13   -6      -2.31    32.41    -3.82    41.73     7.27   -19.42     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     1.38    17.79R    2.43  
Aston_Villa      12   11   -3      -1.66    37.09     4.73    38.73     7.49   -17.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.64    30.54R    5.99  
Watford          12    8  -15      -4.27    17.32    -7.26    34.00     7.01   -32.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    58.08R   16.88  
Southampton      12    8  -18      -2.03    33.77    -6.24    34.88     7.19   -34.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10    53.53R   15.83  
Norwich          12    7  -17      -2.77    27.14    -3.48    28.09     6.89   -45.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    85.21R   53.39  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 10 November 2019, Cardiff 0 1 Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

West_Brom       16   33  +12       4.63    78.75     1.93    85.78     8.55    29.93    43.27    63.60    92.55    72.24P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         16   31  +14       4.97    80.23     7.78    77.71     8.76    22.36    12.44    27.05    71.01    37.74P    0.02R    0.00  
Leeds_United    16   31  +12       4.65    79.05     5.52    80.76     8.38    24.67    18.86    39.09    82.49    51.56P    0.00R    0.00  
Swansea         16   29   +6       4.46    77.63     2.11    75.04     8.51    13.29     6.61    16.29    58.82    26.66P    0.05R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   15   28   +7       6.54    87.82     5.58    73.85     8.58    12.05     4.91    13.30    53.21    22.14P    0.10R    0.00  
Bristol_City    16   28   +4       4.74    79.16     2.07    72.00     8.61     8.23     3.64     9.72    44.16    17.53P    0.20R    0.01  
Fulham          16   26   +7       0.45    52.87     1.53    71.33     8.84    13.22     3.74     9.77    42.97    18.50P    0.24R    0.02  
Sheff_Wed       16   25   +7       1.13    58.00     4.03    67.82     8.40     9.56     1.20     3.89    27.22     9.41P    0.50R    0.03  
Brentford       16   24   +8      -1.32    41.01     2.98    71.69     8.53    17.81     3.30     9.45    45.41    19.53P    0.19R    0.01  
QPR             16   24   -4       4.93    80.73     0.96    58.77     8.43   -15.01     0.09     0.40     4.99     1.08P    7.93R    1.18  
Charlton        16   22   +3       1.38    59.96     4.90    61.95     8.63     1.41     0.24     0.99    10.61     3.16P    3.77R    0.48  
Hull            16   22   +2      -0.59    46.23     1.19    63.70     8.54     2.49     0.38     1.47    14.25     4.23P    2.40R    0.31  
Birmingham      16   22   -5       2.54    68.02    -1.51    59.02     8.29   -10.96     0.08     0.32     4.75     1.21P    7.02R    0.89  
Cardiff         16   21   +0      -2.67    32.80    -2.49    64.54     8.86     3.58     0.62     2.20    17.39     6.16P    2.12R    0.24  
Millwall        16   21   -3       1.61    62.00     0.68    58.06     8.20    -8.76     0.05     0.22     3.94     0.91P    8.21R    1.17  
Derby           16   21   -3      -2.30    34.61    -5.07    65.16     8.45     1.50     0.50     1.85    17.46     5.81P    1.55R    0.11  
Reading         15   18   -1       0.06    51.46     2.99    55.21     8.47    -8.81     0.03     0.14     2.28     0.52P   15.53R    3.06  
Blackburn       16   18   -4      -2.32    35.03    -1.18    56.62     8.43    -8.00     0.05     0.16     3.18     0.79P   11.92R    2.07  
Huddersfield    16   16   -6      -3.09    30.19    -1.83    51.43     8.29   -13.79     0.00     0.02     0.77     0.17P   28.15R    6.40  
Wigan           16   15  -11      -3.08    29.48    -5.52    50.64     8.09   -18.80     0.00     0.01     0.44     0.08P   32.64R    7.80  
Luton           16   14   -8      -4.92    20.50    -2.80    49.59     8.64   -17.58     0.00     0.03     0.55     0.14P   37.10R   10.89  
Middlesbrough   16   13   -8      -8.83     5.67    -8.22    54.05     8.11    -7.35     0.01     0.04     1.37     0.37P   17.11R    3.28  
Stoke           16   11  -12      -7.72     7.75    -7.40    47.65     8.20   -18.44     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.04P   45.64R   13.96  
Barnsley        16    9  -17      -7.54     8.26    -8.25    40.54     8.40   -32.61     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   77.61R   48.08  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 November 2019, Portsmouth 4 1 Southend; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Ipswich              15   33  +15       6.75    88.89     6.59    83.93     8.26    31.86    46.41    65.39    92.25    73.09P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              16   33  +11       9.47    95.31     8.57    71.24     7.94    10.62     4.13    10.98    46.13    16.76P    0.01R    0.00  
Peterborough         17   28  +16      -1.30    40.92     6.35    74.15     7.88    30.91     8.57    20.97    64.18    32.71P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           16   26  +14       1.31    58.79     9.78    71.77     8.08    25.48     5.35    13.58    52.12    22.98P    0.00R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       15   26   +8       2.04    64.26     2.85    69.95     8.27    14.39     3.39     9.08    41.45    16.42P    0.01R    0.00  
Coventry             16   26   +2       3.43    73.19     1.11    63.36     7.87     0.88     0.43     1.61    14.35     4.09P    0.13R    0.00  
Sunderland           15   25   +6      -1.80    36.64    -3.82    75.35     8.15    21.99    10.63    24.45    67.59    37.69P    0.00R    0.00  
Blackpool            16   25   +3       1.90    63.09     1.22    64.58     7.85     4.95     0.64     2.20    18.00     5.47P    0.09R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       16   25   +0       2.51    67.58    -0.93    61.40     7.87    -2.85     0.24     0.98     9.65     2.64P    0.32R    0.00  
Rotherham            15   24  +11      -0.73    44.69     4.60    74.18     8.53    27.24     9.78    22.51    62.79    34.11P    0.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           16   24   -2       2.39    66.85    -1.89    61.41     7.68    -3.02     0.21     0.72     9.01     2.21P    0.28R    0.01  
Doncaster            14   23   +8       0.26    51.77     2.65    72.17     8.43    20.54     5.98    15.15    53.03    25.04P    0.01R    0.00  
Portsmouth           15   21   +4      -3.98    23.16    -2.95    67.52     8.38    14.08     2.06     5.76    31.83    12.91P    0.07R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        14   20   +3      -0.45    47.01     1.16    67.87     8.44    13.29     2.12     6.35    32.62    12.70P    0.07R    0.00  
Rochdale             17   19   -8      -0.59    46.86    -1.54    48.21     7.48   -21.29     0.00     0.01     0.19     0.03P   12.08R    0.40  
Gillingham           16   18   +0      -3.02    30.59     1.46    55.84     7.97    -1.28     0.03     0.18     2.82     0.73P    2.13R    0.03  
Lincoln_City         16   18   -3      -1.14    42.88     1.29    53.43     8.03    -7.32     0.01     0.08     1.52     0.36P    4.13R    0.12  
Tranmere             15   16   -8       0.86    57.78     1.49    45.77     8.08   -24.54     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.02P   22.32R    1.23  
Accrington_Stanley   16   15   -9      -2.78    31.66    -2.50    47.27     7.71   -18.92     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.03P   15.33R    0.73  
AFC_Wimbledon        16   13   -6      -5.15    17.27    -0.04    45.60     7.64   -14.72     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P   20.20R    1.06  
MK_Dons              16   13  -12      -4.79    19.79    -5.63    41.84     7.77   -27.21     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   39.72R    3.41  
Southend             17    5  -31     -10.65     1.66   -17.24    30.06     7.17   -53.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.44R   40.32  
Bolton               13   -2  -22      -1.72    37.28   -12.58    27.94     8.17   -41.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.65R   52.68  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 November 2019, Bradford 2 0 Exeter; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot1     Bot1

Forest_Green     16   31  +10       6.01    85.42     5.50    78.10     8.39    18.79    18.75    47.68    81.13    56.04P    0.00R    0.00  
Bradford         16   30   +9       2.66    67.02     1.07    80.67     8.72    23.21    29.72    60.30    87.26    68.32P    0.00R    0.00  
Swindon          17   30   +8       3.68    72.88     3.49    74.89     8.38    15.64    10.18    33.03    69.65    42.19P    0.01R    0.01  
Crewe            16   30   +8       6.28    85.92     5.37    73.88     8.50    12.05     8.40    28.53    64.56    36.53P    0.01R    0.01  
Exeter           17   29   +3       3.32    71.11    -0.54    73.61     8.18    10.25     7.21    26.38    63.71    35.64P    0.01R    0.01  
Cheltenham       15   28  +13       5.32    82.59     9.91    73.09     8.67    16.88     7.78    27.11    61.88    34.79P    0.01R    0.01  
Newport_County   16   27   +4       4.77    79.82     3.30    68.85     8.29     5.35     2.54    11.86    40.60    18.18P    0.06R    0.06  
Colchester       17   26   +6      -0.37    47.70     1.51    70.75     8.23    13.45     4.23    17.53    51.74    26.82P    0.02R    0.02  
Northampton      17   25   +4      -0.34    48.13     0.97    66.90     8.24     7.16     1.74     8.62    33.01    14.56P    0.06R    0.06  
Port_Vale        17   25   +0       3.74    74.30     2.67    61.48     8.07    -4.37     0.29     2.09    12.89     4.16P    0.55R    0.55  
Salford_City     17   24   -4       5.88    84.37     4.17    54.23     8.07   -18.91     0.03     0.32     2.73     0.70P    4.69R    4.69  
Cambridge_Utd    17   23   +5       1.13    58.19     6.79    60.86     8.07     2.67     0.27     1.86    12.16     3.91P    0.67R    0.67  
Plymouth         16   23   +4      -2.81    31.94    -1.90    72.25     8.86    16.16     7.30    24.59    58.44    34.75P    0.03R    0.03  
Mansfield        17   20   +1      -7.63    10.00    -5.46    65.32     8.26     9.22     1.13     6.24    27.61    12.75P    0.19R    0.19  
Macclesfield     16   20   -3       2.71    69.82     3.74    51.67     7.98   -16.94     0.01     0.12     1.26     0.30P    8.57R    8.57  
Leyton_Orient    17   20   -4       0.50    54.49     2.01    52.18     8.17   -15.78     0.01     0.17     1.70     0.44P    7.94R    7.94  
Crawley_Town     17   20   -5       0.44    54.19     0.93    55.24     8.07   -12.16     0.04     0.38     3.44     0.90P    3.88R    3.88  
Grimsby          15   19   +0       0.41    53.96     2.59    56.55     8.37    -6.99     0.08     0.67     5.41     1.50P    2.76R    2.76  
Carlisle         17   18  -11      -3.34    28.95    -7.86    55.48     8.20   -14.51     0.04     0.38     3.49     1.04P    4.03R    4.03  
Oldham           17   16   -8      -6.90    12.00    -7.32    56.35     8.29    -7.09     0.04     0.51     4.82     1.55P    3.13R    3.13  
Scunthorpe       17   15   -4     -10.82     3.57    -7.73    58.56     8.58     1.63     0.16     1.34     9.10     3.82P    1.87R    1.87  
Walsall          17   15  -13      -6.81    12.60   -11.04    53.88     8.37   -13.84     0.03     0.24     2.61     0.89P    5.84R    5.84  
Stevenage        17   13   -9      -8.47     6.53    -6.56    49.64     8.01   -13.04     0.00     0.06     0.73     0.22P   12.42R   12.42  
Morecambe        17   13  -14      -4.75    20.15    -5.61    42.99     7.75   -28.84     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   43.25R   43.25  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 November 2019, Stockport 1 0 Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Bromley            20   36  +10       5.57    79.51     5.56    75.54     7.80    15.65    10.91    58.94    21.26P    0.03R    0.00  
Yeovil             19   35  +11       1.25    56.88    -0.47    82.55     8.03    26.69    39.83    86.37    54.92P    0.00R    0.00  
Halifax            20   35   +4       8.23    89.90     4.71    70.64     7.53     4.23     2.90    32.20     8.26P    0.18R    0.00  
Barrow             19   34  +10       5.54    80.38     6.54    73.32     7.97    13.35     7.19    47.89    15.72P    0.10R    0.00  
Torquay            20   34   +8       6.51    82.48     8.34    70.49     8.15     8.80     4.17    34.08     9.67P    0.42R    0.01  
Solihull_Moors     20   33   +9       1.10    56.62     2.43    74.28     7.69    17.25     8.01    53.49    20.17P    0.06R    0.00  
Harrogate_Town     20   32   +3       2.22    63.45    -0.43    70.49     7.74     7.06     3.30    32.77     9.96P    0.28R    0.00  
Notts_County       20   31  +12      -5.00    22.39    -0.96    78.29     7.74    29.47    20.00    73.97    40.35P    0.02R    0.00  
Woking             20   31   +4       5.22    77.73     6.65    65.17     8.03     1.58     0.91    14.44     3.47P    2.10R    0.04  
Barnet             20   28   +1      -0.68    46.20    -0.95    65.64     7.62     4.01     0.81    14.47     3.90P    1.42R    0.02  
Eastleigh          20   28   -1       1.40    58.97     0.48    62.98     7.65    -2.15     0.31     8.24     1.81P    3.24R    0.09  
Dover_Athletic     19   28   -1       1.39    59.15    -1.79    63.64     7.88    -3.28     0.58    10.23     2.54P    2.99R    0.11  
Stockport          20   28   -8       6.65    84.81     1.39    55.70     7.65   -20.00     0.03     1.26     0.22P   19.26R    1.22  
Hartlepool         20   27   +0       0.36    52.78     1.29    61.55     7.67    -1.84     0.24     6.18     1.42P    4.70R    0.15  
Dag_&_Red          20   27   -2       0.27    52.15    -1.07    62.13     7.57    -2.66     0.22     6.64     1.50P    4.16R    0.13  
Boreham_Wood       20   26   +4      -1.37    42.37     4.09    61.86     7.61     4.43     0.23     6.91     1.76P    3.82R    0.13  
Maidenhead         20   25   +1       0.53    53.90     5.24    56.09     7.40    -5.76     0.05     1.33     0.27P   15.11R    0.77  
Chesterfield       19   22   -5      -4.60    24.05    -5.75    59.70     7.86    -4.16     0.12     4.15     1.03P    7.80R    0.47  
Aldershot          20   22   -5      -1.59    41.02     0.25    51.98     7.39   -12.86     0.00     0.32     0.05P   32.86R    2.71  
AFC_Fylde          19   21  -10      -6.50    15.79   -11.98    59.82     8.11    -7.49     0.17     4.61     1.34P    8.56R    0.49  
Wrexham            20   19   -7      -8.65     8.71    -7.55    55.34     7.48    -5.73     0.02     0.92     0.22P   17.38R    1.20  
Ebbsfleet_United   20   17  -10      -9.21     7.77    -7.84    51.98     7.70   -11.43     0.01     0.42     0.12P   32.63R    3.02  
Sutton_United      19   16   -7      -7.80    10.26    -3.78    49.34     7.72   -12.47     0.00     0.16     0.05P   46.12R    5.71  
Chorley            20   13  -21      -3.69    27.99    -4.38    34.68     7.01   -42.71     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.77R   83.72