Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 9 November 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 November 2019, Burnley 3 0 West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        11   31  +16       7.07    96.87     0.88    90.22     6.89    53.83    60.12    93.77    98.89    99.86    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        12   26  +21       6.18    90.29    15.99    71.67     7.53    36.72     1.25     8.55    44.91    77.72    95.94     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          12   26  +10       3.34    75.55     0.28    72.50     7.45    27.53     1.28     9.38    47.48    78.65    96.11     0.00R    0.00  
Man_City         11   25  +24      -2.52    22.32     0.30    86.71     6.65    68.53    37.32    87.59    97.06    99.53    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        12   17   +4       2.94    73.75     7.62    48.71     7.47    -2.49     0.00     0.01     0.14     0.92     9.34     3.28R    0.26  
Arsenal          12   17   -1      -2.12    33.08    -4.86    58.91     7.62     8.43     0.01     0.23     3.37    12.24    51.11     0.17R    0.01  
Bournemouth      12   16   +0       0.86    57.65     2.65    46.71     7.40    -9.84     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.46     5.66     5.69R    0.49  
Brighton         11   15   +0       2.25    70.39     4.22    42.51     7.20   -14.82     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.11     1.80    14.49R    1.70  
Burnley          12   15   -1       0.85    58.15     2.82    44.01     7.26   -12.87     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.18     2.80    10.71R    1.12  
Crystal_Palace   12   15   -6       1.26    61.97    -1.62    47.82     7.40   -11.16     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.59     6.69     4.56R    0.39  
Newcastle        12   15   -7       1.28    61.91    -2.52    46.03     7.24   -14.26     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.29     4.08     6.78R    0.58  
Tottenham        12   14   +1      -6.68     7.26    -5.40    60.63     7.57    18.10     0.02     0.35     5.25    18.24    62.72     0.06R    0.00  
Everton          12   14   -5      -2.63    29.88    -5.03    46.64     7.39   -10.78     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.51     5.73     5.76R    0.65  
Man_Utd          11   13   +2      -4.95    14.52    -2.30    57.58     7.62    13.15     0.00     0.12     2.42     9.46    45.31     0.19R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    11   13   +0      -0.52    46.16     2.79    48.83     7.67    -2.26     0.00     0.00     0.17     1.04     9.90     3.39R    0.24  
West_Ham         12   13   -6      -2.31    32.22    -3.81    41.74     7.23   -19.24     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.12     1.37    18.23R    2.40  
Aston_Villa      11   11   -2      -0.75    44.41     4.93    39.98     7.73   -16.48     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.08     1.23    26.45R    4.75  
Watford          12    8  -15      -4.24    17.28    -7.25    33.93     7.09   -32.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12    59.23R   17.40  
Southampton      12    8  -18      -2.00    33.94    -6.22    34.70     7.18   -34.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11    55.61R   16.65  
Norwich          12    7  -17      -2.73    27.60    -3.47    28.19     6.92   -45.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    85.40R   53.34  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 November 2019, Barnsley 2 4 Stoke; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

West_Brom       16   33  +12       4.64    78.84     1.90    85.81     8.50    30.03    43.48    63.85    92.79    72.42P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         16   31  +14       4.98    80.49     7.78    77.77     8.66    22.46    12.66    27.64    71.57    38.32P    0.01R    0.00  
Leeds_United    16   31  +12       4.68    79.27     5.57    80.69     8.33    24.64    18.76    38.77    82.36    51.63P    0.00R    0.00  
Swansea         16   29   +6       4.52    78.11     2.20    74.82     8.46    12.97     6.35    15.89    58.18    26.06P    0.06R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   15   28   +7       6.42    87.60     5.38    74.06     8.58    12.35     5.38    13.88    54.33    22.91P    0.08R    0.00  
Fulham          16   26   +7       0.45    53.12     1.57    71.33     8.84    13.25     3.60     9.83    42.93    18.37P    0.26R    0.02  
Sheff_Wed       16   25   +7       1.07    57.49     3.94    67.90     8.44     9.67     1.34     4.15    27.89     9.70P    0.54R    0.06  
Bristol_City    15   25   +3       3.17    71.46     1.21    69.45     8.77     5.81     2.05     6.15    33.67    12.38P    0.48R    0.02  
Brentford       16   24   +8      -1.30    41.31     2.99    71.75     8.51    17.89     3.56     9.84    45.51    19.84P    0.20R    0.01  
QPR             16   24   -4       4.97    81.03     1.11    58.64     8.42   -15.25     0.09     0.33     4.82     1.00P    8.36R    1.18  
Charlton        16   22   +3       1.33    59.70     4.86    61.96     8.67     1.41     0.25     0.93    10.70     3.02P    3.79R    0.43  
Hull            16   22   +2      -0.49    47.07     1.36    63.35     8.54     2.00     0.38     1.45    13.68     4.02P    2.63R    0.29  
Birmingham      16   22   -5       2.54    68.32    -1.49    59.12     8.28   -10.87     0.05     0.32     4.79     1.10P    6.99R    0.96  
Cardiff         15   21   +1      -1.53    39.47    -1.90    67.09     9.03     6.30     1.35     4.33    26.00     9.94P    1.22R    0.13  
Millwall        16   21   -3       1.66    62.53     0.74    57.98     8.23    -8.88     0.06     0.21     3.97     0.98P    8.55R    1.28  
Derby           16   21   -3      -2.32    34.82    -5.13    65.23     8.50     1.62     0.55     2.03    17.90     6.09P    1.51R    0.14  
Reading         15   18   -1       0.12    51.78     3.14    54.94     8.40    -9.29     0.02     0.08     2.02     0.45P   16.11R    3.16  
Blackburn       16   18   -4      -2.34    34.69    -1.23    56.76     8.46    -7.79     0.04     0.19     3.40     0.86P   11.53R    1.96  
Huddersfield    16   16   -6      -3.11    30.05    -1.80    51.43     8.35   -13.77     0.00     0.05     0.79     0.19P   28.14R    6.45  
Wigan           16   15  -11      -3.04    29.97    -5.44    50.60     8.13   -18.92     0.00     0.01     0.45     0.09P   32.71R    8.18  
Luton           16   14   -8      -4.77    21.35    -2.55    49.45     8.62   -17.78     0.01     0.02     0.58     0.15P   38.21R   11.18  
Middlesbrough   16   13   -8      -8.95     5.39    -8.36    54.28     8.15    -7.06     0.01     0.04     1.52     0.43P   16.55R    3.24  
Stoke           16   11  -12      -7.83     7.61    -7.56    47.78     8.24   -18.24     0.00     0.01     0.15     0.04P   44.90R   13.80  
Barnsley        16    9  -17      -7.58     8.33    -8.29    40.64     8.38   -32.54     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   77.17R   47.51  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 November 2019, Portsmouth 4 1 Southend; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Ipswich              15   33  +15       6.89    89.24     6.76    83.80     8.36    31.59    45.38    64.40    91.85    72.06P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              16   33  +11       9.56    95.48     8.72    71.20     7.95    10.56     4.14    10.70    45.85    16.42P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         17   28  +16      -1.39    40.33     6.21    74.27     7.88    31.09     8.59    21.17    64.82    32.93P    0.00R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           16   26  +14       1.17    58.00     9.53    71.95     8.11    25.74     5.61    14.21    53.01    23.54P    0.00R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       15   26   +8       1.97    63.91     2.81    69.87     8.28    14.25     3.34     9.05    41.00    16.43P    0.02R    0.00  
Coventry             16   26   +2       3.37    72.95     1.04    63.41     7.80     0.97     0.43     1.49    14.09     3.86P    0.14R    0.00  
Sunderland           15   25   +6      -1.83    36.25    -3.90    75.50     8.15    22.28    10.72    24.86    68.02    38.55P    0.00R    0.00  
Blackpool            16   25   +3       1.96    63.57     1.33    64.51     7.81     4.85     0.65     2.04    17.41     5.17P    0.09R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       16   25   +0       2.55    67.66    -0.87    61.32     7.88    -2.99     0.26     0.89     9.43     2.48P    0.31R    0.01  
Rotherham            15   24  +11      -0.89    43.35     4.33    74.52     8.57    27.69    10.42    23.43    64.47    35.37P    0.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           16   24   -2       2.48    67.43    -1.78    61.33     7.70    -3.17     0.17     0.69     8.97     2.29P    0.22R    0.00  
Doncaster            14   23   +8       0.28    51.77     2.69    72.09     8.47    20.40     6.12    14.96    52.41    24.39P    0.01R    0.00  
Portsmouth           15   21   +4      -4.04    22.76    -3.04    67.68     8.30    14.27     2.13     5.90    31.86    12.96P    0.05R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        14   20   +3      -0.49    46.70     1.14    67.74     8.40    13.13     1.99     5.99    31.91    12.37P    0.05R    0.00  
Rochdale             17   19   -8      -0.67    46.51    -1.62    48.21     7.47   -21.27     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P   12.24R    0.45  
Gillingham           16   18   +0      -2.94    30.61     1.55    55.75     7.96    -1.35     0.03     0.15     2.76     0.70P    2.04R    0.03  
Lincoln_City         16   18   -3      -1.10    43.43     1.39    53.39     8.04    -7.40     0.02     0.07     1.53     0.37P    3.87R    0.12  
Tranmere             15   16   -8       0.95    58.60     1.67    45.72     8.11   -24.64     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P   22.61R    1.30  
Accrington_Stanley   16   15   -9      -2.81    31.34    -2.55    47.24     7.72   -18.96     0.00     0.01     0.17     0.03P   15.15R    0.80  
AFC_Wimbledon        16   13   -6      -5.11    17.56     0.02    45.53     7.73   -14.84     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   20.52R    1.20  
MK_Dons              16   13  -12      -4.71    20.29    -5.52    41.67     7.72   -27.42     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   40.32R    3.82  
Southend             17    5  -31     -10.63     1.57   -17.23    30.17     7.20   -53.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.11R   39.97  
Bolton               13   -2  -22      -1.77    37.13   -12.67    28.05     8.15   -41.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.24R   52.31  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 November 2019, Bradford 2 0 Exeter; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot1     Bot1

Forest_Green     16   31  +10       6.09    85.92     5.60    78.01     8.36    18.69    18.23    47.40    80.90    55.87P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         16   30   +9       2.66    67.14     1.05    80.70     8.69    23.27    29.95    60.35    87.36    68.19P    0.00R    0.00  
Swindon          17   30   +8       3.60    72.75     3.40    75.01     8.33    15.87    10.44    33.42    70.25    42.57P    0.00R    0.00  
Crewe            16   30   +8       6.29    85.90     5.41    73.99     8.49    12.20     8.61    28.81    65.01    36.76P    0.02R    0.02  
Exeter           17   29   +3       3.33    71.20    -0.51    73.68     8.23    10.35     7.39    26.75    63.49    36.05P    0.00R    0.00  
Cheltenham       15   28  +13       5.28    82.38     9.87    73.06     8.63    16.79     7.75    26.63    61.65    34.21P    0.01R    0.01  
Newport_County   16   27   +4       4.76    79.87     3.27    68.78     8.31     5.30     2.60    11.70    40.15    17.75P    0.04R    0.04  
Colchester       17   26   +6      -0.39    47.53     1.48    70.74     8.22    13.44     4.23    17.69    51.31    26.90P    0.01R    0.01  
Northampton      17   25   +4      -0.35    47.84     0.95    66.88     8.21     7.21     1.58     8.50    32.87    14.23P    0.08R    0.08  
Port_Vale        17   25   +0       3.73    74.31     2.65    61.45     8.02    -4.38     0.29     2.00    12.73     4.08P    0.52R    0.52  
Salford_City     17   24   -4       5.96    84.70     4.29    54.09     8.00   -19.16     0.03     0.28     2.47     0.66P    4.71R    4.71  
Cambridge_Utd    17   23   +5       1.27    59.32     7.02    60.71     8.07     2.47     0.20     1.80    11.95     3.87P    0.80R    0.80  
Plymouth         16   23   +4      -2.85    31.59    -1.90    72.19     8.79    16.01     7.21    24.22    58.11    34.66P    0.04R    0.04  
Mansfield        17   20   +1      -7.70     9.91    -5.59    65.47     8.24     9.41     1.11     6.55    28.15    13.19P    0.18R    0.18  
Macclesfield     16   20   -3       2.72    69.84     3.78    51.63     7.94   -17.00     0.01     0.11     1.35     0.32P    8.14R    8.14  
Leyton_Orient    17   20   -4       0.54    54.90     2.05    52.08     8.18   -15.91     0.02     0.17     1.69     0.45P    8.06R    8.06  
Crawley_Town     17   20   -5       0.43    53.88     0.89    55.37     8.09   -12.05     0.02     0.34     3.47     0.94P    3.80R    3.80  
Grimsby          15   19   +0       0.22    52.44     2.29    56.84     8.43    -6.49     0.11     0.79     6.02     1.79P    2.63R    2.63  
Carlisle         17   18  -11      -3.42    28.86    -7.93    55.48     8.24   -14.51     0.03     0.36     3.51     1.02P    4.04R    4.04  
Oldham           17   16   -8      -6.86    12.20    -7.27    56.32     8.30    -7.12     0.05     0.48     4.84     1.61P    3.17R    3.17  
Scunthorpe       17   15   -4     -10.89     3.72    -7.83    58.66     8.61     1.77     0.15     1.33     9.44     3.82P    1.84R    1.84  
Walsall          17   15  -13      -6.76    12.75   -10.98    53.85     8.31   -13.90     0.02     0.27     2.51     0.85P    5.74R    5.74  
Stevenage        17   13   -9      -8.42     6.76    -6.49    49.55     8.01   -13.21     0.00     0.04     0.72     0.24P   12.52R   12.52  
Morecambe        17   13  -14      -4.66    20.79    -5.49    42.84     7.72   -29.01     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   43.67R   43.67  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 November 2019, Stockport 1 0 Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Bromley            20   36  +10       5.54    79.33     5.48    75.63     7.85    15.76    11.11    59.40    21.54P    0.04R    0.00  
Yeovil             19   35  +11       1.28    57.52    -0.40    82.54     7.98    26.59    40.15    86.39    55.38P    0.01R    0.00  
Halifax            20   35   +4       8.27    89.64     4.78    70.59     7.53     4.17     2.92    32.16     8.15P    0.24R    0.01  
Barrow             19   34  +10       5.48    80.07     6.37    73.48     7.90    13.60     7.19    48.75    16.13P    0.12R    0.00  
Torquay            20   34   +8       6.56    82.82     8.44    70.43     8.12     8.73     4.03    34.01     9.81P    0.38R    0.01  
Solihull_Moors     20   33   +9       0.95    55.77     2.20    74.47     7.69    17.52     8.47    54.61    21.01P    0.04R    0.00  
Harrogate_Town     20   32   +3       2.28    63.52    -0.35    70.42     7.79     6.98     3.29    32.76     9.80P    0.32R    0.01  
Notts_County       20   31  +12      -4.87    23.12    -0.78    78.06     7.72    29.16    19.18    72.84    38.75P    0.02R    0.00  
Woking             20   31   +4       5.24    77.87     6.69    65.10     8.04     1.49     0.94    14.16     3.50P    2.21R    0.07  
Barnet             20   28   +1      -0.74    46.03    -1.04    65.76     7.57     4.17     0.83    14.69     4.05P    1.23R    0.02  
Eastleigh          20   28   -1       1.49    59.45     0.60    62.88     7.63    -2.30     0.35     7.95     1.83P    3.35R    0.10  
Dover_Athletic     19   28   -1       1.35    58.62    -1.86    63.65     7.86    -3.23     0.55    10.24     2.57P    2.92R    0.08  
Stockport          20   28   -8       6.70    84.89     1.52    55.62     7.65   -20.15     0.03     1.26     0.22P   19.41R    1.22  
Hartlepool         20   27   +0       0.28    52.08     1.13    61.70     7.69    -1.60     0.26     6.36     1.52P    4.56R    0.15  
Dag_&_Red          20   27   -2       0.37    52.82    -0.93    62.04     7.58    -2.83     0.18     6.34     1.35P    4.19R    0.13  
Boreham_Wood       20   26   +4      -1.46    41.84     3.93    61.93     7.59     4.54     0.21     6.84     1.62P    3.72R    0.12  
Maidenhead         20   25   +1       0.48    53.87     5.19    56.17     7.41    -5.57     0.02     1.31     0.22P   14.71R    0.79  
Chesterfield       19   22   -5      -4.46    24.92    -5.54    59.40     7.90    -4.63     0.13     4.02     1.03P    8.47R    0.51  
Aldershot          20   22   -5      -1.56    41.09     0.29    51.94     7.31   -12.90     0.00     0.29     0.06P   32.88R    2.80  
AFC_Fylde          19   21  -10      -6.42    16.12   -11.86    59.64     7.95    -7.76     0.13     4.08     1.10P    8.64R    0.46  
Wrexham            20   19   -7      -8.59     8.95    -7.48    55.24     7.51    -5.84     0.02     0.95     0.25P   18.02R    1.38  
Ebbsfleet_United   20   17  -10      -9.27     7.79    -7.94    52.13     7.74   -11.20     0.01     0.38     0.08P   32.23R    3.22  
Sutton_United      19   16   -7      -7.89     9.87    -3.92    49.47     7.75   -12.19     0.00     0.19     0.04P   45.51R    5.78  
Chorley            20   13  -21      -3.83    27.08    -4.54    34.81     7.00   -42.51     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.78R   83.14