Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 7 November 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 3 November 2019, Crystal_Palace 0 2 Leicester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        11   31  +16       7.05    96.91     0.88    90.14     6.83    53.62    59.88    94.77    99.17    99.86   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         11   25  +24      -2.43    23.31     0.51    86.85     6.68    68.69    38.20    89.85    97.66    99.51    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        11   23  +19       5.10    86.97    14.83    69.81     7.79    34.25     0.80     6.22    38.47    67.54    91.86     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          11   23   +8       2.59    71.00    -0.38    70.93     7.77    25.44     1.03     7.66    43.42    70.61    92.89     0.00R    0.00  
Arsenal          11   17   +1      -1.32    38.46    -3.88    60.65     7.96    10.95     0.03     0.60     7.30    19.75    58.03     0.08R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        11   16   +4       2.81    73.53     6.92    47.88     7.68    -4.45     0.00     0.01     0.21     0.98     7.58     4.53R    0.46  
Bournemouth      11   16   +1       2.02    67.56     3.34    48.32     7.60    -8.29     0.00     0.01     0.23     1.02     7.86     3.79R    0.28  
Brighton         11   15   +0       2.22    70.03     4.13    42.64     7.26   -14.68     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.15     1.81    13.93R    1.77  
Crystal_Palace   11   15   -4       1.91    67.33    -0.74    48.79     7.64    -9.85     0.00     0.00     0.23     1.11     8.28     3.91R    0.33  
Man_Utd          11   13   +2      -5.01    14.35    -2.34    57.83     7.66    13.53     0.01     0.16     3.11    11.01    44.07     0.16R    0.01  
Tottenham        11   13   +1      -5.84     8.91    -4.75    62.22     7.77    19.97     0.04     0.71     9.80    26.36    67.42     0.04R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    11   13   +0      -0.61    45.47     2.64    48.66     7.63    -2.50     0.00     0.00     0.20     1.05     8.48     3.55R    0.33  
West_Ham         11   13   -3      -1.53    37.77    -1.76    44.12     7.60   -14.34     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.30     2.99    11.36R    1.43  
Burnley          11   12   -4      -0.13    50.12     0.87    41.27     7.42   -17.78     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09     1.23    20.00R    3.23  
Newcastle        11   12   -8      -0.05    50.96    -3.13    44.25     7.50   -15.45     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.18     2.60    11.11R    1.34  
Aston_Villa      11   11   -2      -0.68    45.44     5.05    40.07     7.80   -16.31     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.10     1.14    25.70R    5.23  
Everton          11   11   -6      -3.95    19.68    -5.55    44.83     7.64   -12.11     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.37     3.49     9.82R    1.32  
Southampton      11    8  -17      -1.00    42.47    -5.84    36.21     7.48   -33.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.25    46.38R   13.55  
Norwich          11    7  -15      -1.77    35.22    -2.23    30.41     7.34   -42.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    75.76R   39.66  
Watford          11    5  -17      -5.49     9.21    -8.54    31.60     7.28   -35.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    69.88R   31.06  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 4 November 2019, Stoke 0 2 West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

West_Brom       15   30  +11       3.38    72.58     1.51    84.04     8.82    28.78    40.64    60.20    89.76    69.15P    0.00R    0.00  
Preston         15   28  +12       4.17    77.04     7.04    75.99     8.85    20.12    11.23    24.49    65.83    34.90P    0.05R    0.00  
Leeds_United    15   28  +11       3.67    74.52     5.46    79.51     8.53    24.22    19.26    38.69    79.91    50.86P    0.02R    0.00  
Swansea         15   28   +6       4.83    80.49     2.19    74.89     8.67    12.54     8.30    19.12    59.87    29.09P    0.06R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   14   25   +6       5.31    84.15     5.17    72.03     8.84    10.68     4.78    12.22    47.34    20.22P    0.22R    0.02  
Bristol_City    15   25   +3       3.14    71.25     1.13    69.65     8.74     6.13     2.83     7.51    36.56    14.07P    0.55R    0.05  
Sheff_Wed       15   24   +7       1.61    61.77     4.21    68.39     8.59     9.91     1.98     5.87    32.07    12.08P    0.63R    0.05  
Fulham          15   23   +6      -0.64    45.47     1.32    69.10     9.01    11.24     3.05     8.19    36.24    15.41P    0.61R    0.06  
QPR             15   23   -4       5.27    83.27     0.90    58.96     8.52   -15.15     0.16     0.55     5.78     1.38P    8.46R    1.38  
Charlton        15   22   +4       2.38    67.11     5.41    63.50     8.87     2.73     0.66     2.14    15.67     4.92P    3.14R    0.31  
Hull            15   22   +3       0.57    54.32     1.80    64.88     8.80     3.03     1.05     2.96    19.51     6.59P    2.09R    0.26  
Birmingham      15   22   -4       3.56    74.84    -0.98    60.95     8.53    -9.16     0.24     0.88     8.66     2.24P    5.59R    0.71  
Brentford       15   21   +5      -2.00    36.09     1.38    68.72     8.73    12.75     2.36     6.80    34.06    14.13P    0.70R    0.05  
Cardiff         15   21   +1      -1.39    40.77    -1.68    66.96     9.05     6.16     1.82     5.19    27.35    11.06P    1.42R    0.21  
Derby           15   21   -2      -1.25    41.32    -4.52    67.00     8.67     3.17     1.37     4.23    25.89     9.80P    1.17R    0.11  
Blackburn       15   18   -3      -1.56    39.73    -1.11    57.73     8.62    -7.38     0.09     0.37     4.91     1.36P   10.57R    2.00  
Millwall        15   18   -4       0.28    53.21     0.12    55.80     8.42   -10.67     0.05     0.18     2.80     0.69P   14.98R    2.90  
Huddersfield    15   16   -4      -2.56    32.89    -1.12    52.90     8.62   -11.61     0.04     0.12     1.59     0.46P   24.15R    5.48  
Reading         14   15   -4      -0.81    44.83     1.22    52.16     8.62   -13.98     0.01     0.07     1.31     0.31P   27.95R    7.27  
Wigan           15   15   -8      -2.57    32.38    -3.79    53.18     8.35   -13.99     0.01     0.06     1.27     0.30P   23.80R    5.31  
Luton           15   14   -5      -4.25    23.13    -0.94    52.16     8.90   -12.53     0.03     0.08     1.47     0.38P   28.01R    7.55  
Middlesbrough   15   12   -8      -8.51     5.43    -8.28    54.52     8.32    -7.16     0.01     0.09     1.95     0.53P   17.51R    3.76  
Barnsley        15    9  -15      -6.70    10.39    -7.34    43.25     8.64   -28.06     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   68.20R   36.42  
Stoke           15    8  -14      -9.04     3.71    -9.10    45.00     8.35   -21.77     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   60.12R   26.09  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 November 2019, Portsmouth 4 1 Southend; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Ipswich              15   33  +15       6.78    88.86     6.60    83.97     8.28    31.87    46.06    64.76    92.31    72.47P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              16   33  +11       9.55    95.30     8.65    71.23     7.97    10.59     4.21    10.87    45.87    16.62P    0.00R    0.00  
Peterborough         17   28  +16      -1.37    40.83     6.26    74.09     7.93    30.82     8.16    20.55    63.65    32.25P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           16   26  +14       1.29    58.88     9.76    71.85     8.09    25.56     5.44    13.68    52.40    22.80P    0.00R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       15   26   +8       1.98    63.91     2.81    69.89     8.34    14.30     3.33     9.24    41.37    16.58P    0.02R    0.00  
Coventry             16   26   +2       3.42    73.02     1.09    63.39     7.87     0.90     0.45     1.54    14.04     3.89P    0.14R    0.00  
Sunderland           15   25   +6      -1.87    36.07    -3.95    75.43     8.09    22.19    10.45    24.41    67.44    37.73P    0.00R    0.00  
Blackpool            16   25   +3       2.01    63.86     1.38    64.42     7.83     4.68     0.60     2.06    17.51     5.06P    0.10R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       16   25   +0       2.50    67.51    -0.95    61.35     7.81    -2.94     0.24     0.87     9.28     2.44P    0.24R    0.00  
Rotherham            15   24  +11      -0.95    43.01     4.23    74.64     8.55    27.96    10.46    23.69    64.66    35.67P    0.01R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           16   24   -2       2.44    67.26    -1.82    61.40     7.67    -3.03     0.18     0.78     8.88     2.32P    0.20R    0.00  
Doncaster            14   23   +8       0.26    51.91     2.67    72.15     8.43    20.52     5.98    14.88    52.54    24.50P    0.02R    0.00  
Portsmouth           15   21   +4      -4.07    22.77    -3.08    67.72     8.25    14.43     2.01     5.74    31.94    13.13P    0.04R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        14   20   +3      -0.53    46.21     1.06    68.01     8.46    13.51     2.36     6.66    32.98    13.29P    0.06R    0.00  
Rochdale             17   19   -8      -0.50    47.55    -1.39    47.96     7.42   -21.75     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P   12.61R    0.41  
Gillingham           16   18   +0      -2.96    30.72     1.52    55.91     8.01    -1.17     0.04     0.19     2.99     0.74P    1.96R    0.03  
Lincoln_City         16   18   -3      -1.05    43.67     1.49    53.25     8.09    -7.64     0.02     0.08     1.49     0.38P    4.05R    0.10  
Tranmere             15   16   -8       0.97    58.95     1.67    45.66     8.10   -24.69     0.01     0.01     0.18     0.03P   22.72R    1.29  
Accrington_Stanley   16   15   -9      -2.91    30.81    -2.73    47.42     7.70   -18.66     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.04P   14.52R    0.67  
AFC_Wimbledon        16   13   -6      -5.14    17.38    -0.02    45.62     7.76   -14.68     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   19.70R    1.14  
MK_Dons              16   13  -12      -4.68    20.11    -5.47    41.60     7.74   -27.53     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   40.80R    3.60  
Southend             17    5  -31     -10.58     1.54   -17.15    29.95     7.19   -53.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.37R   40.82  
Bolton               13   -2  -22      -1.76    37.14   -12.63    27.96     8.16   -41.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.43R   51.92  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 November 2019, Bradford 2 0 Exeter; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot1     Bot1

Forest_Green     16   31  +10       6.15    85.97     5.68    77.83     8.39    18.40    17.72    46.10    79.82    54.43P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         16   30   +9       2.56    66.37     0.94    80.80     8.69    23.43    30.31    60.48    87.50    68.37P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          17   30   +8       3.64    72.54     3.45    74.99     8.35    15.85    10.39    33.40    70.08    42.72P    0.00R    0.00  
Crewe            16   30   +8       6.24    85.70     5.35    74.03     8.50    12.28     8.57    29.06    65.01    36.89P    0.01R    0.01  
Exeter           17   29   +3       3.37    71.49    -0.46    73.59     8.23    10.21     7.12    26.25    63.33    35.48P    0.00R    0.00  
Cheltenham       15   28  +13       5.38    82.98    10.01    73.03     8.65    16.73     7.76    26.55    61.59    34.30P    0.02R    0.02  
Newport_County   16   27   +4       4.73    79.55     3.25    68.91     8.35     5.45     2.67    12.00    40.86    18.22P    0.06R    0.06  
Colchester       17   26   +6      -0.38    47.46     1.50    70.70     8.26    13.40     4.24    17.55    50.92    26.37P    0.01R    0.01  
Northampton      17   25   +4      -0.33    48.05     0.99    66.93     8.29     7.26     1.69     8.70    33.30    14.66P    0.08R    0.08  
Port_Vale        17   25   +0       3.76    74.51     2.67    61.48     8.04    -4.35     0.26     2.07    12.79     4.10P    0.50R    0.50  
Salford_City     17   24   -4       6.01    84.92     4.34    53.99     8.00   -19.33     0.03     0.26     2.43     0.57P    5.04R    5.04  
Cambridge_Utd    17   23   +5       1.14    58.40     6.82    60.85     7.99     2.69     0.21     1.74    12.10     3.84P    0.64R    0.64  
Plymouth         16   23   +4      -3.00    30.82    -2.17    72.58     8.79    16.60     7.47    25.50    60.05    36.34P    0.03R    0.03  
Mansfield        17   20   +1      -7.54    10.20    -5.34    65.28     8.33     9.13     1.10     6.37    27.52    12.98P    0.19R    0.19  
Macclesfield     16   20   -3       2.70    69.73     3.75    51.58     7.95   -17.06     0.01     0.11     1.26     0.29P    8.29R    8.29  
Leyton_Orient    17   20   -4       0.52    54.51     2.04    52.19     8.18   -15.78     0.02     0.15     1.80     0.42P    7.82R    7.82  
Crawley_Town     17   20   -5       0.39    53.55     0.85    55.26     8.11   -12.12     0.04     0.37     3.32     0.93P    3.93R    3.93  
Grimsby          15   19   +0       0.34    53.52     2.47    56.53     8.45    -6.94     0.08     0.84     5.56     1.80P    2.74R    2.74  
Carlisle         17   18  -11      -3.41    28.82    -7.97    55.44     8.26   -14.55     0.03     0.35     3.59     1.05P    4.01R    4.01  
Oldham           17   16   -8      -6.89    12.36    -7.34    56.40     8.32    -7.02     0.07     0.53     4.83     1.61P    3.11R    3.11  
Scunthorpe       17   15   -4     -10.85     3.72    -7.76    58.57     8.61     1.66     0.18     1.31     9.09     3.66P    1.78R    1.78  
Walsall          17   15  -13      -6.77    12.67   -11.01    53.91     8.26   -13.82     0.02     0.23     2.38     0.76P    5.55R    5.55  
Stevenage        17   13   -9      -8.49     6.82    -6.60    49.62     8.11   -13.07     0.00     0.06     0.79     0.21P   12.53R   12.53  
Morecambe        17   13  -14      -4.64    20.83    -5.46    42.85     7.79   -29.05     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   43.67R   43.67  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 November 2019, Hartlepool 0 1 Solihull_Moors; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Bromley            20   36  +10       5.53    79.61     5.47    75.50     7.82    15.60    10.85    58.12    20.90P    0.04R    0.00  
Yeovil             19   35  +11       1.25    57.22    -0.51    82.44     8.06    26.53    38.99    85.66    54.53P    0.00R    0.00  
Halifax            20   35   +4       8.32    89.88     4.84    70.66     7.59     4.24     3.00    32.15     8.21P    0.19R    0.01  
Barrow             19   34  +10       5.43    79.76     6.34    73.54     7.95    13.66     7.47    48.31    16.16P    0.06R    0.00  
Torquay            20   34   +8       6.47    82.08     8.36    70.41     8.17     8.67     4.00    33.27     9.67P    0.36R    0.01  
Solihull_Moors     20   33   +9       1.06    56.48     2.36    74.40     7.69    17.43     8.15    53.76    20.40P    0.06R    0.00  
Harrogate_Town     20   32   +3       2.13    62.60    -0.59    70.66     7.83     7.30     3.61    33.66    10.06P    0.25R    0.01  
Notts_County       20   31  +12      -5.03    22.47    -1.02    78.29     7.74    29.47    19.98    73.47    39.94P    0.02R    0.00  
Woking             20   31   +4       5.32    78.31     6.80    65.09     8.05     1.52     0.90    13.83     3.28P    1.95R    0.05  
Barnet             20   28   +1      -0.71    46.05    -0.99    65.74     7.61     4.16     0.84    14.59     3.96P    1.28R    0.01  
Eastleigh          20   28   -1       1.44    59.25     0.54    62.98     7.67    -2.15     0.37     8.17     1.89P    3.09R    0.08  
Dover_Athletic     19   28   -1       1.40    58.89    -1.76    63.56     7.84    -3.38     0.52     9.64     2.36P    2.77R    0.08  
Hartlepool         20   27   +0       0.26    52.36     1.12    61.65     7.65    -1.70     0.21     6.06     1.31P    4.18R    0.14  
Dag_&_Red          19   27   -1       1.58    60.31    -0.18    64.25     7.81    -0.61     0.57    10.85     2.66P    2.38R    0.05  
Boreham_Wood       20   26   +4      -1.46    41.62     3.98    61.93     7.61     4.52     0.23     6.62     1.71P    3.49R    0.11  
Maidenhead         20   25   +1       0.54    54.13     5.31    56.06     7.40    -5.81     0.03     1.27     0.21P   14.32R    0.77  
Stockport          19   25   -9       5.28    80.34     0.97    53.16     7.80   -22.58     0.02     0.65     0.11P   29.09R    2.65  
Chesterfield       19   22   -5      -4.56    24.34    -5.68    59.53     7.85    -4.41     0.13     4.00     1.05P    7.52R    0.43  
Aldershot          20   22   -5      -1.63    40.69     0.21    51.99     7.25   -12.83     0.00     0.29     0.05P   31.34R    2.63  
AFC_Fylde          19   21  -10      -6.37    16.36   -11.78    59.62     8.00    -7.79     0.14     4.12     1.14P    8.64R    0.42  
Wrexham            20   19   -7      -8.59     8.78    -7.49    55.28     7.50    -5.79     0.01     0.94     0.24P   17.04R    1.30  
Ebbsfleet_United   20   17  -10      -9.21     7.81    -7.88    52.09     7.72   -11.22     0.00     0.38     0.09P   31.31R    3.11  
Sutton_United      19   16   -7      -7.88     9.90    -3.93    49.51     7.77   -12.18     0.00     0.20     0.05P   44.08R    5.74  
Chorley            20   13  -21      -3.80    27.50    -4.49    34.73     7.05   -42.66     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.55R   82.40