Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Thursday 7 November 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 3 November 2019, Crystal_Palace 0 2 Leicester; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Liverpool 11 31 +16 7.05 96.91 0.88 90.14 6.83 53.62 59.88 94.77 99.17 99.86 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 11 25 +24 -2.43 23.31 0.51 86.85 6.68 68.69 38.20 89.85 97.66 99.51 99.97 0.00 0.00 Leicester 11 23 +19 5.10 86.97 14.83 69.81 7.79 34.25 0.80 6.22 38.47 67.54 91.86 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 11 23 +8 2.59 71.00 -0.38 70.93 7.77 25.44 1.03 7.66 43.42 70.61 92.89 0.00R 0.00 Arsenal 11 17 +1 -1.32 38.46 -3.88 60.65 7.96 10.95 0.03 0.60 7.30 19.75 58.03 0.08R 0.00 Sheff_Utd 11 16 +4 2.81 73.53 6.92 47.88 7.68 -4.45 0.00 0.01 0.21 0.98 7.58 4.53R 0.46 Bournemouth 11 16 +1 2.02 67.56 3.34 48.32 7.60 -8.29 0.00 0.01 0.23 1.02 7.86 3.79R 0.28 Brighton 11 15 +0 2.22 70.03 4.13 42.64 7.26 -14.68 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.15 1.81 13.93R 1.77 Crystal_Palace 11 15 -4 1.91 67.33 -0.74 48.79 7.64 -9.85 0.00 0.00 0.23 1.11 8.28 3.91R 0.33 Man_Utd 11 13 +2 -5.01 14.35 -2.34 57.83 7.66 13.53 0.01 0.16 3.11 11.01 44.07 0.16R 0.01 Tottenham 11 13 +1 -5.84 8.91 -4.75 62.22 7.77 19.97 0.04 0.71 9.80 26.36 67.42 0.04R 0.00 Wolverhampton 11 13 +0 -0.61 45.47 2.64 48.66 7.63 -2.50 0.00 0.00 0.20 1.05 8.48 3.55R 0.33 West_Ham 11 13 -3 -1.53 37.77 -1.76 44.12 7.60 -14.34 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.30 2.99 11.36R 1.43 Burnley 11 12 -4 -0.13 50.12 0.87 41.27 7.42 -17.78 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.09 1.23 20.00R 3.23 Newcastle 11 12 -8 -0.05 50.96 -3.13 44.25 7.50 -15.45 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.18 2.60 11.11R 1.34 Aston_Villa 11 11 -2 -0.68 45.44 5.05 40.07 7.80 -16.31 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.10 1.14 25.70R 5.23 Everton 11 11 -6 -3.95 19.68 -5.55 44.83 7.64 -12.11 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.37 3.49 9.82R 1.32 Southampton 11 8 -17 -1.00 42.47 -5.84 36.21 7.48 -33.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.25 46.38R 13.55 Norwich 11 7 -15 -1.77 35.22 -2.23 30.41 7.34 -42.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 75.76R 39.66 Watford 11 5 -17 -5.49 9.21 -8.54 31.60 7.28 -35.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 69.88R 31.06Championship (Latest match accounted for: Monday 4 November 2019, Stoke 0 2 West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 West_Brom 15 30 +11 3.38 72.58 1.51 84.04 8.82 28.78 40.64 60.20 89.76 69.15P 0.00R 0.00 Preston 15 28 +12 4.17 77.04 7.04 75.99 8.85 20.12 11.23 24.49 65.83 34.90P 0.05R 0.00 Leeds_United 15 28 +11 3.67 74.52 5.46 79.51 8.53 24.22 19.26 38.69 79.91 50.86P 0.02R 0.00 Swansea 15 28 +6 4.83 80.49 2.19 74.89 8.67 12.54 8.30 19.12 59.87 29.09P 0.06R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 14 25 +6 5.31 84.15 5.17 72.03 8.84 10.68 4.78 12.22 47.34 20.22P 0.22R 0.02 Bristol_City 15 25 +3 3.14 71.25 1.13 69.65 8.74 6.13 2.83 7.51 36.56 14.07P 0.55R 0.05 Sheff_Wed 15 24 +7 1.61 61.77 4.21 68.39 8.59 9.91 1.98 5.87 32.07 12.08P 0.63R 0.05 Fulham 15 23 +6 -0.64 45.47 1.32 69.10 9.01 11.24 3.05 8.19 36.24 15.41P 0.61R 0.06 QPR 15 23 -4 5.27 83.27 0.90 58.96 8.52 -15.15 0.16 0.55 5.78 1.38P 8.46R 1.38 Charlton 15 22 +4 2.38 67.11 5.41 63.50 8.87 2.73 0.66 2.14 15.67 4.92P 3.14R 0.31 Hull 15 22 +3 0.57 54.32 1.80 64.88 8.80 3.03 1.05 2.96 19.51 6.59P 2.09R 0.26 Birmingham 15 22 -4 3.56 74.84 -0.98 60.95 8.53 -9.16 0.24 0.88 8.66 2.24P 5.59R 0.71 Brentford 15 21 +5 -2.00 36.09 1.38 68.72 8.73 12.75 2.36 6.80 34.06 14.13P 0.70R 0.05 Cardiff 15 21 +1 -1.39 40.77 -1.68 66.96 9.05 6.16 1.82 5.19 27.35 11.06P 1.42R 0.21 Derby 15 21 -2 -1.25 41.32 -4.52 67.00 8.67 3.17 1.37 4.23 25.89 9.80P 1.17R 0.11 Blackburn 15 18 -3 -1.56 39.73 -1.11 57.73 8.62 -7.38 0.09 0.37 4.91 1.36P 10.57R 2.00 Millwall 15 18 -4 0.28 53.21 0.12 55.80 8.42 -10.67 0.05 0.18 2.80 0.69P 14.98R 2.90 Huddersfield 15 16 -4 -2.56 32.89 -1.12 52.90 8.62 -11.61 0.04 0.12 1.59 0.46P 24.15R 5.48 Reading 14 15 -4 -0.81 44.83 1.22 52.16 8.62 -13.98 0.01 0.07 1.31 0.31P 27.95R 7.27 Wigan 15 15 -8 -2.57 32.38 -3.79 53.18 8.35 -13.99 0.01 0.06 1.27 0.30P 23.80R 5.31 Luton 15 14 -5 -4.25 23.13 -0.94 52.16 8.90 -12.53 0.03 0.08 1.47 0.38P 28.01R 7.55 Middlesbrough 15 12 -8 -8.51 5.43 -8.28 54.52 8.32 -7.16 0.01 0.09 1.95 0.53P 17.51R 3.76 Barnsley 15 9 -15 -6.70 10.39 -7.34 43.25 8.64 -28.06 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.02P 68.20R 36.42 Stoke 15 8 -14 -9.04 3.71 -9.10 45.00 8.35 -21.77 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.02P 60.12R 26.09League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 November 2019, Portsmouth 4 1 Southend; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Ipswich 15 33 +15 6.78 88.86 6.60 83.97 8.28 31.87 46.06 64.76 92.31 72.47P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 16 33 +11 9.55 95.30 8.65 71.23 7.97 10.59 4.21 10.87 45.87 16.62P 0.00R 0.00 Peterborough 17 28 +16 -1.37 40.83 6.26 74.09 7.93 30.82 8.16 20.55 63.65 32.25P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 16 26 +14 1.29 58.88 9.76 71.85 8.09 25.56 5.44 13.68 52.40 22.80P 0.00R 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 15 26 +8 1.98 63.91 2.81 69.89 8.34 14.30 3.33 9.24 41.37 16.58P 0.02R 0.00 Coventry 16 26 +2 3.42 73.02 1.09 63.39 7.87 0.90 0.45 1.54 14.04 3.89P 0.14R 0.00 Sunderland 15 25 +6 -1.87 36.07 -3.95 75.43 8.09 22.19 10.45 24.41 67.44 37.73P 0.00R 0.00 Blackpool 16 25 +3 2.01 63.86 1.38 64.42 7.83 4.68 0.60 2.06 17.51 5.06P 0.10R 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 16 25 +0 2.50 67.51 -0.95 61.35 7.81 -2.94 0.24 0.87 9.28 2.44P 0.24R 0.00 Rotherham 15 24 +11 -0.95 43.01 4.23 74.64 8.55 27.96 10.46 23.69 64.66 35.67P 0.01R 0.00 Shrewsbury 16 24 -2 2.44 67.26 -1.82 61.40 7.67 -3.03 0.18 0.78 8.88 2.32P 0.20R 0.00 Doncaster 14 23 +8 0.26 51.91 2.67 72.15 8.43 20.52 5.98 14.88 52.54 24.50P 0.02R 0.00 Portsmouth 15 21 +4 -4.07 22.77 -3.08 67.72 8.25 14.43 2.01 5.74 31.94 13.13P 0.04R 0.00 Burton_Albion 14 20 +3 -0.53 46.21 1.06 68.01 8.46 13.51 2.36 6.66 32.98 13.29P 0.06R 0.00 Rochdale 17 19 -8 -0.50 47.55 -1.39 47.96 7.42 -21.75 0.00 0.00 0.17 0.03P 12.61R 0.41 Gillingham 16 18 +0 -2.96 30.72 1.52 55.91 8.01 -1.17 0.04 0.19 2.99 0.74P 1.96R 0.03 Lincoln_City 16 18 -3 -1.05 43.67 1.49 53.25 8.09 -7.64 0.02 0.08 1.49 0.38P 4.05R 0.10 Tranmere 15 16 -8 0.97 58.95 1.67 45.66 8.10 -24.69 0.01 0.01 0.18 0.03P 22.72R 1.29 Accrington_Stanley 16 15 -9 -2.91 30.81 -2.73 47.42 7.70 -18.66 0.00 0.00 0.18 0.04P 14.52R 0.67 AFC_Wimbledon 16 13 -6 -5.14 17.38 -0.02 45.62 7.76 -14.68 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.02P 19.70R 1.14 MK_Dons 16 13 -12 -4.68 20.11 -5.47 41.60 7.74 -27.53 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 40.80R 3.60 Southend 17 5 -31 -10.58 1.54 -17.15 29.95 7.19 -53.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 91.37R 40.82 Bolton 13 -2 -22 -1.76 37.14 -12.63 27.96 8.16 -41.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 91.43R 51.92 Adjustments: Bolton -12 Bury -12League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 November 2019, Bradford 2 0 Exeter; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot1 Bot1 Forest_Green 16 31 +10 6.15 85.97 5.68 77.83 8.39 18.40 17.72 46.10 79.82 54.43P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 16 30 +9 2.56 66.37 0.94 80.80 8.69 23.43 30.31 60.48 87.50 68.37P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 17 30 +8 3.64 72.54 3.45 74.99 8.35 15.85 10.39 33.40 70.08 42.72P 0.00R 0.00 Crewe 16 30 +8 6.24 85.70 5.35 74.03 8.50 12.28 8.57 29.06 65.01 36.89P 0.01R 0.01 Exeter 17 29 +3 3.37 71.49 -0.46 73.59 8.23 10.21 7.12 26.25 63.33 35.48P 0.00R 0.00 Cheltenham 15 28 +13 5.38 82.98 10.01 73.03 8.65 16.73 7.76 26.55 61.59 34.30P 0.02R 0.02 Newport_County 16 27 +4 4.73 79.55 3.25 68.91 8.35 5.45 2.67 12.00 40.86 18.22P 0.06R 0.06 Colchester 17 26 +6 -0.38 47.46 1.50 70.70 8.26 13.40 4.24 17.55 50.92 26.37P 0.01R 0.01 Northampton 17 25 +4 -0.33 48.05 0.99 66.93 8.29 7.26 1.69 8.70 33.30 14.66P 0.08R 0.08 Port_Vale 17 25 +0 3.76 74.51 2.67 61.48 8.04 -4.35 0.26 2.07 12.79 4.10P 0.50R 0.50 Salford_City 17 24 -4 6.01 84.92 4.34 53.99 8.00 -19.33 0.03 0.26 2.43 0.57P 5.04R 5.04 Cambridge_Utd 17 23 +5 1.14 58.40 6.82 60.85 7.99 2.69 0.21 1.74 12.10 3.84P 0.64R 0.64 Plymouth 16 23 +4 -3.00 30.82 -2.17 72.58 8.79 16.60 7.47 25.50 60.05 36.34P 0.03R 0.03 Mansfield 17 20 +1 -7.54 10.20 -5.34 65.28 8.33 9.13 1.10 6.37 27.52 12.98P 0.19R 0.19 Macclesfield 16 20 -3 2.70 69.73 3.75 51.58 7.95 -17.06 0.01 0.11 1.26 0.29P 8.29R 8.29 Leyton_Orient 17 20 -4 0.52 54.51 2.04 52.19 8.18 -15.78 0.02 0.15 1.80 0.42P 7.82R 7.82 Crawley_Town 17 20 -5 0.39 53.55 0.85 55.26 8.11 -12.12 0.04 0.37 3.32 0.93P 3.93R 3.93 Grimsby 15 19 +0 0.34 53.52 2.47 56.53 8.45 -6.94 0.08 0.84 5.56 1.80P 2.74R 2.74 Carlisle 17 18 -11 -3.41 28.82 -7.97 55.44 8.26 -14.55 0.03 0.35 3.59 1.05P 4.01R 4.01 Oldham 17 16 -8 -6.89 12.36 -7.34 56.40 8.32 -7.02 0.07 0.53 4.83 1.61P 3.11R 3.11 Scunthorpe 17 15 -4 -10.85 3.72 -7.76 58.57 8.61 1.66 0.18 1.31 9.09 3.66P 1.78R 1.78 Walsall 17 15 -13 -6.77 12.67 -11.01 53.91 8.26 -13.82 0.02 0.23 2.38 0.76P 5.55R 5.55 Stevenage 17 13 -9 -8.49 6.82 -6.60 49.62 8.11 -13.07 0.00 0.06 0.79 0.21P 12.53R 12.53 Morecambe 17 13 -14 -4.64 20.83 -5.46 42.85 7.79 -29.05 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.01P 43.67R 43.67National League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 November 2019, Hartlepool 0 1 Solihull_Moors; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Bromley 20 36 +10 5.53 79.61 5.47 75.50 7.82 15.60 10.85 58.12 20.90P 0.04R 0.00 Yeovil 19 35 +11 1.25 57.22 -0.51 82.44 8.06 26.53 38.99 85.66 54.53P 0.00R 0.00 Halifax 20 35 +4 8.32 89.88 4.84 70.66 7.59 4.24 3.00 32.15 8.21P 0.19R 0.01 Barrow 19 34 +10 5.43 79.76 6.34 73.54 7.95 13.66 7.47 48.31 16.16P 0.06R 0.00 Torquay 20 34 +8 6.47 82.08 8.36 70.41 8.17 8.67 4.00 33.27 9.67P 0.36R 0.01 Solihull_Moors 20 33 +9 1.06 56.48 2.36 74.40 7.69 17.43 8.15 53.76 20.40P 0.06R 0.00 Harrogate_Town 20 32 +3 2.13 62.60 -0.59 70.66 7.83 7.30 3.61 33.66 10.06P 0.25R 0.01 Notts_County 20 31 +12 -5.03 22.47 -1.02 78.29 7.74 29.47 19.98 73.47 39.94P 0.02R 0.00 Woking 20 31 +4 5.32 78.31 6.80 65.09 8.05 1.52 0.90 13.83 3.28P 1.95R 0.05 Barnet 20 28 +1 -0.71 46.05 -0.99 65.74 7.61 4.16 0.84 14.59 3.96P 1.28R 0.01 Eastleigh 20 28 -1 1.44 59.25 0.54 62.98 7.67 -2.15 0.37 8.17 1.89P 3.09R 0.08 Dover_Athletic 19 28 -1 1.40 58.89 -1.76 63.56 7.84 -3.38 0.52 9.64 2.36P 2.77R 0.08 Hartlepool 20 27 +0 0.26 52.36 1.12 61.65 7.65 -1.70 0.21 6.06 1.31P 4.18R 0.14 Dag_&_Red 19 27 -1 1.58 60.31 -0.18 64.25 7.81 -0.61 0.57 10.85 2.66P 2.38R 0.05 Boreham_Wood 20 26 +4 -1.46 41.62 3.98 61.93 7.61 4.52 0.23 6.62 1.71P 3.49R 0.11 Maidenhead 20 25 +1 0.54 54.13 5.31 56.06 7.40 -5.81 0.03 1.27 0.21P 14.32R 0.77 Stockport 19 25 -9 5.28 80.34 0.97 53.16 7.80 -22.58 0.02 0.65 0.11P 29.09R 2.65 Chesterfield 19 22 -5 -4.56 24.34 -5.68 59.53 7.85 -4.41 0.13 4.00 1.05P 7.52R 0.43 Aldershot 20 22 -5 -1.63 40.69 0.21 51.99 7.25 -12.83 0.00 0.29 0.05P 31.34R 2.63 AFC_Fylde 19 21 -10 -6.37 16.36 -11.78 59.62 8.00 -7.79 0.14 4.12 1.14P 8.64R 0.42 Wrexham 20 19 -7 -8.59 8.78 -7.49 55.28 7.50 -5.79 0.01 0.94 0.24P 17.04R 1.30 Ebbsfleet_United 20 17 -10 -9.21 7.81 -7.88 52.09 7.72 -11.22 0.00 0.38 0.09P 31.31R 3.11 Sutton_United 19 16 -7 -7.88 9.90 -3.93 49.51 7.77 -12.18 0.00 0.20 0.05P 44.08R 5.74 Chorley 20 13 -21 -3.80 27.50 -4.49 34.73 7.05 -42.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.55R 82.40