Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 6 November 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 3 November 2019, Crystal_Palace 0 2 Leicester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        11   31  +16       7.09    96.89     0.92    90.18     6.89    53.64    60.02    94.97    99.16    99.83    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         11   25  +24      -2.41    23.33     0.56    86.82     6.64    68.65    38.09    89.90    97.64    99.53    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        11   23  +19       5.05    86.58    14.79    69.72     7.80    34.11     0.78     6.26    38.39    67.26    91.71     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          11   23   +8       2.58    70.92    -0.42    70.98     7.68    25.50     1.01     7.31    43.86    71.22    93.16     0.00R    0.00  
Arsenal          11   17   +1      -1.35    38.10    -3.93    60.67     7.93    11.00     0.04     0.66     7.42    19.61    58.31     0.09R    0.01  
Sheff_Utd        11   16   +4       2.92    74.34     7.06    47.76     7.73    -4.63     0.00     0.01     0.20     1.02     7.47     4.74R    0.47  
Bournemouth      11   16   +1       1.97    67.23     3.30    48.28     7.57    -8.34     0.00     0.01     0.19     0.93     7.85     3.92R    0.34  
Brighton         11   15   +0       2.28    70.53     4.21    42.51     7.22   -14.85     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.11     1.70    14.45R    1.72  
Crystal_Palace   11   15   -4       1.90    67.61    -0.74    48.83     7.58    -9.85     0.00     0.01     0.24     1.10     8.16     3.75R    0.34  
Man_Utd          11   13   +2      -4.91    14.87    -2.22    57.71     7.63    13.33     0.00     0.15     3.00    10.85    43.53     0.20R    0.02  
Tottenham        11   13   +1      -5.83     8.92    -4.76    62.17     7.81    19.94     0.05     0.72     9.48    26.26    67.46     0.03R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    11   13   +0      -0.62    45.37     2.63    48.68     7.64    -2.48     0.00     0.00     0.19     1.15     8.75     3.47R    0.30  
West_Ham         11   13   -3      -1.48    38.04    -1.73    44.07     7.60   -14.50     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.32     2.92    11.73R    1.62  
Burnley          11   12   -4      -0.15    50.03     0.82    41.29     7.38   -17.72     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.07     1.19    19.77R    3.24  
Newcastle        11   12   -8      -0.11    50.45    -3.21    44.35     7.51   -15.30     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.23     2.62    10.92R    1.30  
Aston_Villa      11   11   -2      -0.68    45.60     5.04    40.17     7.79   -16.16     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     1.21    25.51R    5.30  
Everton          11   11   -6      -3.99    19.37    -5.60    44.89     7.71   -11.99     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.42     3.69     9.77R    1.37  
Southampton      11    8  -17      -0.95    43.14    -5.73    36.05     7.44   -33.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.20    47.46R   14.31  
Norwich          11    7  -15      -1.85    34.61    -2.38    30.65     7.43   -41.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    74.76R   38.77  
Watford          11    5  -17      -5.53     8.96    -8.63    31.71     7.27   -35.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    69.43R   30.90  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 4 November 2019, Stoke 0 2 West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

West_Brom       15   30  +11       3.51    73.38     1.70    83.92     8.78    28.59    39.70    59.60    89.73    68.82P    0.00R    0.00  
Preston         15   28  +12       4.17    77.19     7.05    75.96     8.87    20.08    11.52    24.59    65.56    34.70P    0.06R    0.00  
Leeds_United    15   28  +11       3.71    74.58     5.50    79.37     8.55    24.00    19.19    37.84    78.97    49.94P    0.01R    0.00  
Swansea         15   28   +6       4.87    80.84     2.21    74.93     8.66    12.55     8.51    19.21    59.85    29.15P    0.08R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   14   25   +6       5.26    83.79     5.11    72.11     8.81    10.87     4.69    12.22    47.73    20.29P    0.23R    0.01  
Bristol_City    15   25   +3       3.11    71.01     1.12    69.77     8.79     6.27     2.99     8.11    37.04    14.58P    0.49R    0.04  
Sheff_Wed       15   24   +7       1.72    62.35     4.36    68.21     8.59     9.63     2.16     5.93    31.20    11.83P    0.60R    0.05  
Fulham          15   23   +6      -0.76    44.64     1.19    69.34     9.14    11.58     3.35     8.60    37.08    15.97P    0.74R    0.07  
QPR             15   23   -4       5.39    83.96     1.09    58.70     8.52   -15.58     0.13     0.48     5.46     1.22P    9.30R    1.42  
Charlton        15   22   +4       2.36    66.50     5.39    63.49     8.85     2.71     0.63     2.00    15.72     5.01P    3.21R    0.40  
Hull            15   22   +3       0.51    53.84     1.71    65.05     8.79     3.41     1.04     3.18    19.85     6.92P    2.07R    0.24  
Birmingham      15   22   -4       3.69    75.58    -0.79    60.75     8.53    -9.52     0.29     0.87     8.35     2.23P    5.60R    0.71  
Brentford       15   21   +5      -2.10    35.33     1.26    68.91     8.75    13.02     2.44     7.00    34.98    14.68P    0.60R    0.04  
Cardiff         15   21   +1      -1.45    39.93    -1.74    67.06     9.08     6.30     1.79     5.24    27.64    11.18P    1.40R    0.18  
Derby           15   21   -2      -1.26    41.36    -4.54    66.91     8.70     3.05     1.36     4.13    25.43     9.52P    1.33R    0.11  
Blackburn       15   18   -3      -1.53    39.78    -1.09    57.59     8.57    -7.50     0.09     0.37     4.65     1.26P   10.90R    1.96  
Millwall        15   18   -4       0.27    53.16     0.10    55.97     8.43   -10.44     0.04     0.20     3.03     0.77P   14.25R    2.78  
Huddersfield    15   16   -4      -2.55    32.99    -1.13    52.83     8.61   -11.68     0.03     0.11     1.63     0.40P   24.84R    5.70  
Reading         14   15   -4      -0.80    44.92     1.22    52.14     8.50   -14.08     0.02     0.06     1.16     0.27P   27.65R    7.20  
Wigan           15   15   -8      -2.48    33.01    -3.64    53.09     8.39   -14.17     0.01     0.06     1.35     0.28P   24.20R    5.57  
Luton           15   14   -5      -4.40    22.46    -1.19    52.40     8.85   -12.13     0.02     0.10     1.55     0.43P   27.26R    7.17  
Middlesbrough   15   12   -8      -8.51     5.49    -8.27    54.41     8.33    -7.30     0.02     0.09     1.80     0.52P   17.74R    3.80  
Barnsley        15    9  -15      -6.69    10.13    -7.33    43.18     8.59   -28.19     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   68.41R   36.79  
Stoke           15    8  -14      -9.21     3.45    -9.29    45.23     8.37   -21.47     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   59.02R   25.77  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 November 2019, Portsmouth 4 1 Southend; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Ipswich              15   33  +15       6.71    88.90     6.53    84.03     8.34    32.01    46.24    64.98    92.34    72.62P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              16   33  +11       9.56    95.42     8.71    71.09     7.94    10.41     3.81    10.23    45.36    15.87P    0.00R    0.00  
Peterborough         17   28  +16      -1.35    40.61     6.24    74.16     7.85    30.93     8.16    20.55    64.18    32.53P    0.01R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           16   26  +14       1.20    58.12     9.60    72.02     8.15    25.81     5.66    14.47    53.29    23.65P    0.00R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       15   26   +8       1.99    64.04     2.82    70.00     8.22    14.42     3.27     9.15    41.62    16.61P    0.02R    0.00  
Coventry             16   26   +2       3.46    73.26     1.15    63.27     7.82     0.74     0.40     1.48    13.68     3.63P    0.11R    0.00  
Sunderland           15   25   +6      -1.84    36.36    -3.90    75.54     8.21    22.32    11.01    25.47    68.18    39.00P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            16   25   +3       1.93    63.58     1.28    64.45     7.81     4.79     0.56     1.99    17.35     5.31P    0.09R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       16   25   +0       2.48    67.36    -0.95    61.37     7.83    -2.93     0.25     0.87     9.32     2.43P    0.32R    0.01  
Rotherham            15   24  +11      -0.88    43.46     4.34    74.57     8.57    27.77    10.27    23.29    64.74    35.16P    0.01R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           16   24   -2       2.45    67.53    -1.84    61.35     7.70    -3.08     0.21     0.78     8.98     2.24P    0.26R    0.00  
Doncaster            14   23   +8       0.30    52.25     2.69    72.03     8.44    20.33     5.95    14.53    52.01    24.21P    0.01R    0.00  
Portsmouth           15   21   +4      -4.05    22.56    -3.06    67.61     8.29    14.22     2.11     5.81    31.59    12.95P    0.05R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        14   20   +3      -0.42    47.11     1.21    67.75     8.47    13.09     2.05     6.16    32.20    12.69P    0.07R    0.00  
Rochdale             17   19   -8      -0.58    47.00    -1.49    48.16     7.43   -21.37     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.02P   12.25R    0.38  
Gillingham           16   18   +0      -2.92    30.93     1.60    55.79     7.98    -1.35     0.02     0.11     2.85     0.63P    2.10R    0.03  
Lincoln_City         16   18   -3      -1.17    42.99     1.28    53.55     8.12    -7.17     0.03     0.10     1.66     0.37P    3.92R    0.10  
Tranmere             15   16   -8       1.06    59.54     1.85    45.46     8.11   -25.05     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P   23.45R    1.45  
Accrington_Stanley   16   15   -9      -2.85    31.26    -2.62    47.42     7.71   -18.72     0.00     0.01     0.18     0.02P   14.64R    0.69  
AFC_Wimbledon        16   13   -6      -5.11    17.38     0.01    45.58     7.70   -14.75     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P   19.94R    1.06  
MK_Dons              16   13  -12      -4.77    19.73    -5.63    41.75     7.75   -27.23     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   39.69R    3.53  
Southend             17    5  -31     -10.59     1.70   -17.14    29.98     7.19   -53.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.52R   40.91  
Bolton               13   -2  -22      -1.76    37.33   -12.66    28.03     8.12   -41.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.54R   51.84  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 November 2019, Bradford 2 0 Exeter; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot1     Bot1

Forest_Green     16   31  +10       6.06    85.39     5.54    77.99     8.43    18.65    18.27    46.93    80.36    55.31P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         16   30   +9       2.67    67.03     1.04    80.76     8.64    23.29    29.76    60.39    87.57    68.49P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          17   30   +8       3.61    72.50     3.47    74.98     8.34    15.80    10.20    33.10    70.12    42.20P    0.01R    0.01  
Crewe            16   30   +8       6.32    86.05     5.43    73.91     8.48    12.07     8.13    28.37    64.49    36.29P    0.01R    0.01  
Exeter           17   29   +3       3.22    70.37    -0.69    73.76     8.31    10.45     7.68    27.10    63.81    36.41P    0.01R    0.01  
Cheltenham       15   28  +13       5.25    82.25     9.83    73.10     8.70    16.85     8.14    26.73    61.51    34.32P    0.01R    0.01  
Newport_County   16   27   +4       4.65    79.37     3.14    69.08     8.27     5.70     2.69    12.42    41.32    18.70P    0.06R    0.06  
Colchester       17   26   +6      -0.37    47.60     1.48    70.78     8.21    13.50     4.10    17.69    51.65    26.85P    0.03R    0.03  
Northampton      17   25   +4      -0.43    47.50     0.83    66.97     8.22     7.37     1.64     8.52    33.46    14.62P    0.06R    0.06  
Port_Vale        17   25   +0       3.84    75.13     2.81    61.35     7.99    -4.53     0.29     1.92    12.32     3.87P    0.55R    0.55  
Salford_City     17   24   -4       5.98    84.82     4.30    54.04     8.06   -19.15     0.02     0.27     2.54     0.58P    5.06R    5.06  
Cambridge_Utd    17   23   +5       1.17    58.35     6.86    60.80     8.06     2.57     0.25     1.74    12.14     3.88P    0.69R    0.69  
Plymouth         16   23   +4      -2.84    31.56    -1.93    72.32     8.79    16.21     7.21    24.52    58.83    34.88P    0.04R    0.04  
Mansfield        17   20   +1      -7.65    10.01    -5.54    65.42     8.30     9.37     1.20     6.56    27.72    13.14P    0.15R    0.15  
Macclesfield     16   20   -3       2.70    69.77     3.73    51.63     7.91   -16.94     0.01     0.10     1.22     0.28P    8.05R    8.05  
Leyton_Orient    17   20   -4       0.52    54.59     2.05    52.02     8.21   -15.97     0.01     0.17     1.66     0.44P    8.08R    8.08  
Crawley_Town     17   20   -5       0.43    54.06     0.91    55.24     8.08   -12.23     0.03     0.32     3.28     0.86P    3.78R    3.78  
Grimsby          15   19   +0       0.33    53.40     2.49    56.76     8.47    -6.68     0.09     0.84     5.86     1.78P    2.69R    2.69  
Carlisle         17   18  -11      -3.33    29.15    -7.83    55.42     8.20   -14.58     0.02     0.31     3.44     1.00P    3.92R    3.92  
Oldham           17   16   -8      -6.89    12.09    -7.31    56.35     8.29    -7.11     0.05     0.50     4.62     1.49P    3.01R    3.01  
Scunthorpe       17   15   -4     -10.76     3.90    -7.63    58.42     8.63     1.43     0.16     1.24     8.88     3.54P    1.91R    1.91  
Walsall          17   15  -13      -6.75    12.73   -10.95    53.84     8.31   -13.92     0.02     0.22     2.45     0.83P    5.78R    5.78  
Stevenage        17   13   -9      -8.44     6.73    -6.52    49.58     7.97   -13.10     0.00     0.05     0.71     0.20P   12.08R   12.08  
Morecambe        17   13  -14      -4.69    20.53    -5.53    42.82     7.72   -29.04     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   44.03R   44.03  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 November 2019, Hartlepool 0 1 Solihull_Moors; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Bromley            20   36  +10       5.44    79.20     5.37    75.68     7.87    15.83    11.22    58.82    21.36P    0.04R    0.00  
Yeovil             19   35  +11       1.18    56.64    -0.63    82.58     8.06    26.78    39.49    86.13    55.05P    0.00R    0.00  
Halifax            20   35   +4       8.13    89.45     4.57    70.86     7.57     4.57     3.19    32.69     8.60P    0.19R    0.00  
Barrow             19   34  +10       5.47    80.13     6.38    73.43     7.88    13.52     7.18    47.77    15.92P    0.07R    0.00  
Torquay            20   34   +8       6.61    82.61     8.47    70.25     8.14     8.46     3.85    32.67     9.29P    0.39R    0.01  
Solihull_Moors     20   33   +9       1.00    55.99     2.32    74.49     7.66    17.53     8.34    54.19    20.63P    0.05R    0.00  
Harrogate_Town     20   32   +3       2.15    62.85    -0.52    70.62     7.82     7.24     3.51    33.40    10.10P    0.26R    0.00  
Notts_County       20   31  +12      -4.94    22.75    -0.83    78.21     7.66    29.35    19.34    73.38    39.39P    0.01R    0.00  
Woking             20   31   +4       5.33    78.45     6.82    65.03     8.02     1.42     0.86    13.77     3.22P    1.97R    0.05  
Barnet             20   28   +1      -0.76    45.56    -1.08    65.81     7.64     4.29     0.80    14.82     4.06P    1.21R    0.03  
Eastleigh          20   28   -1       1.60    60.18     0.76    62.76     7.65    -2.51     0.30     7.65     1.67P    3.25R    0.10  
Dover_Athletic     19   28   -1       1.39    58.84    -1.81    63.66     7.86    -3.21     0.57    10.02     2.58P    2.78R    0.06  
Hartlepool         20   27   +0       0.31    52.41     1.18    61.52     7.71    -1.87     0.22     6.01     1.30P    4.48R    0.16  
Dag_&_Red          19   27   -1       1.51    60.03    -0.24    64.19     7.80    -0.71     0.55    10.62     2.59P    2.35R    0.07  
Boreham_Wood       20   26   +4      -1.54    41.09     3.79    62.06     7.60     4.72     0.27     6.86     1.63P    3.43R    0.11  
Maidenhead         20   25   +1       0.52    54.04     5.28    56.14     7.45    -5.70     0.03     1.33     0.24P   14.31R    0.79  
Stockport          19   25   -9       5.22    80.11     0.94    53.20     7.86   -22.54     0.01     0.70     0.10P   29.53R    2.63  
Chesterfield       19   22   -5      -4.48    24.52    -5.52    59.38     7.85    -4.63     0.14     3.67     0.97P    7.96R    0.40  
Aldershot          20   22   -5      -1.59    40.95     0.25    51.98     7.21   -12.86     0.00     0.25     0.04P   30.85R    2.49  
AFC_Fylde          19   21  -10      -6.34    16.36   -11.75    59.49     7.96    -7.96     0.12     3.85     0.94P    8.46R    0.43  
Wrexham            20   19   -7      -8.60     9.13    -7.50    55.25     7.49    -5.82     0.01     0.88     0.21P   16.93R    1.22  
Ebbsfleet_United   20   17  -10      -9.20     7.92    -7.85    52.08     7.71   -11.22     0.00     0.36     0.08P   31.41R    3.02  
Sutton_United      19   16   -7      -7.92     9.86    -3.94    49.55     7.76   -12.14     0.00     0.17     0.03P   43.42R    5.66  
Chorley            20   13  -21      -3.76    27.52    -4.47    34.79     7.01   -42.53     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.66R   82.76